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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
Executive Summary
Travis Averill, ChiefLivestock Branch
June 25, 2020
2020 June Hogs & Pigs SurveyNumber of Samples
June 25, 2020
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions
Survey ItemInitial
Estimate(1,000 head)
CurrentRevision(1,000 head)
Net Revision(1,000 head)
Current Estimate(1,000 head)
December 1, 2019 All Hogs and Pigs 77,338 +390 +1,710 79,048
Pig Crop 35,101 +198 +1,104 36,205
June 25, 2020
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1
2019 2020 % Change from Previous Year(1,000 head)
All Hogs and Pigs 75,725 79,634 ↑ 5.2
Breeding Hogs 6,410 6,326 ↓ 1.3
Market Hogs 69,316 73,308 ↑ 5.8
79.6
61
63
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
79
81
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Million head U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
June March
75.7
77.6
Top 5 States
Inventory(1,000 head)
Iowa 25,200
Minnesota 9,600
North Carolina 9,400
Illinois 5,500
Indiana 4,550
June 25, 2020
June 1, 2020 Hogs and Pigs Inventory(000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year
June 25, 2020
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1
2019 2020 % Change from Previous Year(1,000 head)
Market Hogs 69,316 73,308 ↑ 5.8
Less than 50 lbs 22,210 22,160 ↓ 0.2
50 – 119 lbs 19,693 20,370 ↑ 3.4
120 – 179 lbs 14,396 16,090 ↑ 11.8
180 lbs or more 13,017 14,687 ↑ 12.8
11
14
17
20
23
26
Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020
Million head Market Hogs by Weight Class
LT 50 LBS 50 TO 119 LBS 120 TO 179 LBS GE 180 LBS
June 25, 2020
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1
2019 2020 % Change from Previous Year(1,000 head)
Sows Farrowed 3,133 3,172 ↑ 1.2
Intentions
Jun – Aug 3,275 3,123 ↓ 4.6
Sep – Nov 3,265 3,090 ↓ 5.4
3.17
3.12
3.09
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Million head U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed
Mar-May Estimates Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions
June 25, 2020
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1
2019 2020 % Change fromPrevious Year(1,000 head)
Pig Crop 34,454 34,933 ↑ 1.4
(Number)
Pigs per Litter 11.00 11.01 ↑ 0.1
11.0011.00
11.01
9.50
9.80
10.10
10.40
10.70
11.00
11.30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Pigs per Litter U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter
March - May December - February
June 25, 2020
Trade Expectations Compared to NASS Estimates Percent of Previous Year
95.5
95.2
99.0
104.2
98.1
103.7
94.7
95.4
101.4
105.8
98.7
105.2
92.5 94.5 96.5 98.5 100.5 102.5 104.5 106.5
Sep-Nov Farrowings
Jun-Aug Farrowings
Mar-May Pig Crop
Market Hogs
Breeding Hogs
All Hogs and Pigs
Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
June 25, 2020
All Hogs and Pigs First Estimate vs Final Estimate
59
64
69
74
79
84
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Million head
Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate
June 25, 2020
Breeding Herd InventoryDisposition and Utilization
Year
Mar 1Estimate(1,000 head)
Slaughter(1,000 head)
Additions(1,000 head)
Jun 1Estimate(1,000 head)
SowUtilization
(Percent)
2011 5,788 826 841 5,803 50
2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 51
2013 5,836 848 896 5,884 48
2014 5,851 775 779 5,855 48
2015 5,982 781 725 5,926 48
2016 5,980 794 793 5,979 50
2017 6,098 851 862 6,109 49
2018 6,210 855 965 6,320 50
2019 6,349 856 917 6,410 49
2020 6,375 932 883 6,326 50
June 25, 2020
Canadian Imports by QuarterFeeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs
(1,000 head)
79% 83% 83% 83%84% 85%
84% 85% 85% 84%84% 84%
84%
85%
83%
83% 82%83%
21% 17%17% 17%
16% 15%
16% 15% 15% 16%16%
16%
16%
15%
17%
17% 18%17%
1,453 1,401
1,366 1,375 1,409 1,412
1,327 1,326 1,326 1,320 1,257
1,222
1,398
1,262
1,124
1,267 1,299
1,221
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Feeder Slaughter
June 25, 2020
U.S. Prices Received by Farmersfor Hogs and Corn
$1.50
$2.50
$3.50
$4.50
$5.50
$6.50
$7.50
$8.50
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Corn $/buHogs $/cwt
Hogs Corn
Hogs Corn
Month $/lbs $/buNovember 48.00 3.68
December 47.30 3.71
January 47.80 3.79
February 45.50 3.78
March 47.70 3.68
April 42.30 3.29
Hog to Corn
Month RatioNovember 13.04
December 12.75
January 12.61
February 12.04
March 12.96
April 12.86
June 25, 2020
Upcoming Reports
June 30
AcreageGrain StocksRice Stocks
Agricultural Prices
July 1Cotton System, Fats & Oils,
Grain CrushingsDairy Products
July 10 Crop Production
July 22 Cold Storage
July 23 Livestock Slaughter
July 24Cattle
Cattle on Feed
https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php
June 25, 2020
All Reports Available At
www.nass.usda.gov
For Questions(202) 720-3570
(800) 727-9540