radical innovation 17 may10

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Page 1: Radical innovation   17 may10

@jus%nspra*  www.sandboxsavant.com  

Page 2: Radical innovation   17 may10
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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Already  almost  a  70%  fall  since  launch  of  Seacom  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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The  Last  Mile  

Interna%onal  Backhaul  

DSL  FTTx  

WiMax  LTE  

Last Hop

National Backhaul

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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African  Cables  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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1.1  million  mobile  broadband  subscribers  

14Mbps  compliant  towers  –  this  can  go  to  circa  40Mbps  before  LTE  is  needed  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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“Even  if  developed  countries  recover  completely  in  2010,  emerging  economies  will  account  for  70  -­‐  75%  of  the  growth  in  global  output  ‘for  the  foreseeable  future”    

New  York  Times  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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“China’s  growth  as  an  economic  superpower  is  increasingly  correlated  with  that  of  Africa,  on  which  it  now  relies  for  25%  of  its  oil  imports,  reports  the”    

Financial  Mail  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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The  demand  on  networks  crazy  AT&T’s  network  is  broken  because  of  it  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Why  use  paper  %cke%ng?  

Mobile  will  increasingly  replace  the  need  for  printed  %ckets  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Facebook  and  Twi*er  are  paragon  examples  

onsite  applica%ons  =  old  school  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Stra\or:  “South  Africa  is  at  high  risk  of  a  cold  war  with  Angola”  

Logic  is  that  Angola’s  oil  wealth  is  now  tapped  and  it  is  significant  

Also,  Angola  increasingly  appears  a  Chinese  proxy  

justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Reinven%ng  Fire  

justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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global warming aside, price of oil is will increase &

big food chain was built on $30 a

barrel of oil not $130

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Mass  produc%on  of  content  Repor%ng  done  by  bots  

Editorials  will  be  the  only  paid  for  content  

justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Credit  Crisis:  Overcapacity  and  abundance  fallen?  

“With  cost  of  distribu%on  relentlessly  driving  towards  zero,  Chris  Anderson,  has  once  again  iden%fied  the  next  big  thing”  Schmidt,  on  Anderson’s  book  “Free”  

justin spratt – RMB: think bigger justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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“people  are  increasingly  neglec%ng  their  voicemails,”  explains  Streicher  

Study  by  Sprint:  people  under  the  age  of  30  are  4  %mes  more  likely  to  respond  to  an  SMS  within  minutes  than  a  voicemail  

Over  30,  twice  as  likely  

Consumers  op%ng  for  voice-­‐to-­‐text  messages.  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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“check-in” – earn points – become the “mayor”

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Mobile  Phones  &  Broadband  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Predic%ons  

• Voice declines as % of total coms

• Instant messaging increases

• Applications drive markets, not voice

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Applica%ons  

justin spratt – broadband summit justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Communica%ons  Tools  

Communica%ons  tools  don't  get  socially  interes%ng  un%l  they  get  technologically  boring  

Clay  Shirky,  “Here  Comes  Everybody”  

justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Ques%ons  

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The  Entrepreneur  

A  zealot  with  an  almost  annoying  passion  for  their  business….  They  are  good  at  selling.  They  believe  living  frugally  is  spiritual  and  necessary.  Understanding  highly  technical  ideas  as  well  as  the  bigger  picture  is  something  they  are  good  at.  They  are  not  usually  analy%cal.  They  don’t  mind  that  each  day  is  con%nually  different,  despite  the  chao%c  nature  of  such.  They  know  that  money  ma*ers,  but  don’t  spend  too  much  %me  worrying  about  their  personal  bank  account  –  that  doesn’t  help  sell  the  product….    They  are  comfortable  with  these  personifica%ons,  even  reveling  in  them  and  the  fact  that  it  makes  them  an  outsider  and  “strange”.  They  deplore  rules,  even  when  the  rules  make  sense.  Nothing  is  ever  accepted  knowledge  un%l  they  have  put  it  to  the  test.  They  are  almost  impossible  to  manage  and  are  ojen  deemed  self-­‐centered.  The  la*er  is  just  zeal  misunderstood.  Considera%on  is  for  people  with  jobs  and  they,  ajer  all,  are  changing  the  world  for  the  be*er,  so  you  need  to  get  out  the  way.  

h*p://memeburn.com/2010/04/10-­‐lessons-­‐for-­‐founders/  

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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justin spratt – radical innovation – 17th of May

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Ques%ons  

Pesa = Swahili for Money

6.5 million users

Pay bills, withdraw cash and transfer money

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justin spratt – heavy chef – 2nd of February justin spratt – RMB: think bigger

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Ques%ons  

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