rebecca ryan - wisconsin governor's conference - 5 trends
DESCRIPTION
In this presentation on Feb. 10, 2011, Rebecca covered these 5 trends facing Wisconsin economic and workforce development professionals: (1) The Great Unraveling (based on the book The Fourth Turning, by Strauss & Howe); (2) The graying and the browning of the workforce; (3) The "bigger city" payoff; (4) The talent dividend; (5) TechnologyTRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Five Trends in 50 MinutesRebecca Ryan
1Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 2: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Leaders watch “STEEP” trends:Socio-cultural Technology
Environment Economy Politics
2Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 3: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Trend 1: The Great Unraveling
3Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 4: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire.
4Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 5: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
1st Turning: “High”Era of promise, belonging
5Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 6: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
2nd Turning: “Awakening”Era of euphoria, defiance
6Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 7: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
3rd Turning: “Unraveling”Era of separation, anxiety
7Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 8: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
4th Turning: “Crisis”Era of survival, gathering
8Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 9: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Trend 2: The Graying and the Browning of America
9Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 10: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Racial and ethnic minorities accounted for 83 percent of our population growth this last decade. We are well on the way to becoming a majority-minority society.
Bruce KatzThe Brookings Institution
“An Impending National Transformation”
10Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 11: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 12: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
12Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 13: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
In Wisconsin
Source: Wisconsin Population 2035, WI Dept of Administration
http://www.doa.state.wi.us/docview.asp?locid=9&docid=2108
13Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 14: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
The United States is undergoing the most significant socio-demographic change since the huge wave of immigrants in the early 20th century.
Bruce KatzThe Brookings Institution
“An Impending National Transformation”
14Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 15: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Trend 3: The Big City Payoff
15Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 16: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Kleiber’s Law
16Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 17: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
A Cat and Mouse Equation
17Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 18: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 19: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 20: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
An animal's metabolic rate scales to the ¾ power of the animal's mass. Thus a cat, having a mass 100 times that of a mouse, will have a metabolism roughly 31 times greater than that of a mouse.
Keliber’s Law
20Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 21: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Geoffrey WestSanta Fe Institute
21Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 22: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Could Kleiber’s Law Apply to Cities?
22Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 23: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
When a city doubles in size, it requires an increase in resources of only 85 percent.
West’s Findings
23Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 24: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Whenever a city doubles in size, every measure of economic activity, from construction spending to the amount of bank deposits, increases by approximately 15% per capita.
West’s Findings
24Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 25: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Put another way...
25Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 26: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
America's 100 largest metropolitan areas already account for two-thirds of our population and generate 75 percent of our gross domestic product.
Bruce KatzThe Brookings Institution
“An Impending National Transformation”
26Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 27: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
In Wisconsin
27Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 28: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Trend 4:The Talent Dividend
28Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 29: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
The Talent DividendFor every 1% increase in the number of residents who hold bachelors degrees...
There is a $763 increase in annual regional per capita income.
29Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 30: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Fifty-eight percent of a city’s success, as measured by per capita income, can be attributed to post-secondary degree attainment.
CEOs for Cities
30Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 31: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Trend 5: Technology
31Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 32: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Two & half year old Meets the iPad
32Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 33: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
What’s your relationship to these trends?
33Friday, February 11, 2011
![Page 34: Rebecca Ryan - Wisconsin Governor's Conference - 5 Trends](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022051817/5480436ab4af9fd3158b5e33/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
We find few senior management teams that spend as much time on opportunity management as they do on operations management.
Gary Hamel & C.K. PrahaladCompeting for the Future (p.85)
34Friday, February 11, 2011