recent mexican data sources in the study of international migration seminar: the 2013 high-level...
TRANSCRIPT
Recent Mexican data sources in the study of international migration
Seminar:
The 2013 High-level Dialogue on International Migration and Development: Implications for data collection
27 February 2013, United Nations, New York
Purpose
• “The Seminar also provides a platform for sharing country experiences in collecting migration statistics and in using migration data to inform policy makers”.
BACKGROUND
• Undocumented flow of Mexican nationals both in and out of the country:– Emigrants, mostly to the USA and Canada,
reluctant to take part in surveys and censuses in receiving countries.
– Immigrants, mostly return migrants and their foreign-born children. Growing proportion of American and Canadian retirees.
Layout
• ENOE, Mexico’s quarterly labour force survey
• 2010 Population and Housing Census
ENOE, MEXICO'S QUARTERLY LABOUR FORCE SURVEY
ENOE
One of the longest-running statistical projects in the country. • Main purpose, to produce national and state-
level quarterly unemployment rates. – Information collected continuously over three-month
periods.– Sample size fixed at 120,060 dwellings every
quarter.– New entries are randomly selected with unequal
probabilities from stratified sampling frame.
Rotation pattern
• Each quarter, 20% of households leave sample after completing five-interview tour,
• replaced by new (semi-)panel with same size,• remains in sample for five consecutive rounds of
interviews, one quarter apart. • Hence, 80% quarter-to-quarter sample overlap.• Useful in determining quarterly change patterns in
– household composition, – occupational status of individuals,– etc.
Common sample in two successive quarters due to ENOE's Rotation Pattern
Rotation pattern as means to gauge change
Numerical Results
Quarterly Migration Rates in Mexico, 2006-2012.(per 10,000 inhabitants)
http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/Boletines/Boletin/Comunicados/Especiales/2012/Diciembre/comunica4.pdf
2006-II
2006-III
2006-IV2007-I
2007-II
2007-III
2007-IV2008-I
2008-II
2008-III
2008-IV2009-I
2009-II
2009-III
2009-IV2010-I
2010-II
2010-III
2010-IV2011-I
2011-II
2011-III
2011-IV2012-I
2012-II
2012-III0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
International Emigration
International immigration
Quarterly Net Migration Rates in Mexico, 2006-2012, (per 10,000 inhabitants).
http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/Boletines/Boletin/Comunicados/Especiales/2012/Diciembre/comunica4.pdf
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
Year-over-Year Job Growth in Metropolitan Areas, USA, 2001-2012
(Natural Resources, Mining, Construction)
Source: http://www.pittsburghtoday.org/view_economy_job_growth_years_change.html, Feb. 19, 2013.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
-20.00%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
Results.
• Declining trend in the number of out migrants from 2006– Burst of the housing bubble in the US?
• Also declining but less markedly for immigration, includes return migrants.
• Distinct seasonal pattern exhibited by both out- and in-migrants over the same period– Regaining momentum.
2010 POPULATION CENSUS
International Migration in the Long Form
Over the last five years, in other words, from June 2005 to date, has anyone living with you now or at that time (in this dwelling) gone to live in a different country?Yes (1) No (3) -> Go to section V
How many people?
|_|_|Write number
Please give me the name of each person who went to live abroad between June, 2005 and today.
(Write name in item (4)).
Was (NAME) living with you when he/she left last time?
Mark only one codeYES … 1
NO … 3
Is (NAME) male or female?
Mark only one codeMALE … 1
FEMALE … 3
How old was (NAME) when he/she left last time?
IF UNDER ONE WRITE “000”
|_|_|_|WRITE AGE IN YEARS
For each person named, inquire:
State year and month when (NAME) left last time to live abroad?
|_|_|WRITE MONTH
|_|_|_|_|WRITE YEAR
Emigrant65%
Return Migrant32%
Unspecified3%
International Migrant population by current place of residence.
00-14 años5%
15-24 años41%
25-34 años27%
35-49 años18%
50-59 años3%
60 años y más2%
Unspecified3%
International migrant population by age group.
United States of Amer-ica
89%
Other country7%
Unspecified4%
International migrant population by country of destination.
Under 1 year34%
1 to 3 years41%
3 to 5 years15%
Unspecified10%
Return international migrant population by duration of migration.
