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All copyright and intellectual property regarding this material belong to Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. Renewable Energies Business Presentation Meeting October 17, 2006 Power Systems Headquarters

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Page 1: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

All copyright and intellectual property regarding this material belong to Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.

Renewable Energies Business Presentation Meeting

October 17, 2006Power Systems Headquarters

Page 2: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

All copyright and intellectual property regarding this material belong to Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.

1.Position of Power Systems Segment in MHI

Power Systems Segment

FY2005Actual

FY2008(Business Plan for FY2006)

Consolidated net sales Consolidated net sales

25% 29%Power Systems Segment

2.8 trillion yen 3.0 trillion yen

Page 3: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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2. Power Systems Headquarters – Business Policy

Concentrate on growth areas

・・・Concentrate resources on GTCC and renewable energy-related products (wind turbines, solar cells, etc.) .

Raise profitability Expand sales of highly profitable products. Expand service/maintenance business. ・・・

Shift emphasis from generally available products to those using MHI’s unique, cutting-edge technologies (air-blown IGCC, BFG-fired GTCC, thin film amorphous silicon (a-Si) type solar cells, and high-temperature gas turbines)

Change product strategy

・・・

GTCC; Gas Turbine Combined Cycle,            BFG; Blast Furnace GasIGCC; Integrated coal Gasification Combined Cycle

Page 4: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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3.Composition of Products and Their Contribution to Sales/Income

Solar power generation system

GTCC Large conventionalpower plant

Wind power generation system

Industrial use Marine machinery

Non-consolidated net sales

Ordinary income

FY’05-FY’06Average

FY’07-FY’08Average

Renewable energies

GTCC

Other

Renewable energies

GTCC

Other100

157 (+57)

100

136 (+36)(+4)

(+20)

(+12)

(+9)

(+27)

(+21)

・・・(In index figures) ・・・

Large conventional power plant, industrial use, marine machinery, etc.

Large conventional power plant, industrial use, marine machinery, etc.

157 (+57)

FY’05-FY’06Average

FY’07-FY’08Average

(+21)

Page 5: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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4. Power Systems Headquarters – Capital Investment Plans

100%

220%

FY’03-FY’05Average(Actual)

FY’06-FY’08Average(Target)

Renewable energies

GTCC

Other

(+120%)

(540%)

(130%)

(190%)

・・・ (In index figures) ・・・Major capital investment projects ahead:

・ Facilities to produce gas turbine hot parts

・ Plant to produce microcrystalline tandem solar modules (additional plant enlargement being considered)

・Wind turbines production facilities

・ Facilities to produce gas turbine/steam turbine main bodies

Page 6: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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5-1.Power Systems Headquarters – Products Portfolio (1/2)

Large conventional power plant,

Industrial conventional, Marine machinery

Mature businesses generating stable income and forming the basis of the

Headquarters’ business.

IGCC

Take a lead with MHI’s technological superiority. Increase market share by

expanding alliances.

GTCCGas engines

Respond to the market’s rapid expansion and

secure short-term profit.

Wind turbines

Make investments as large in scale as those in the electronics industry in

order to achieve growth.

Solar cells

Areas to be maintained with stable

growth

Growth areas with aggressive investment

MHI’s position in the market

Opportunities for MHI

Next large-scale products

Large

Expansion StabilityMaturity(Decline)

Many entrants in the market

Wind turbines

Solar cells

Industrial conven-tional

GTCC LargeConven-

tional

Marine machinery

Small Lithium batteries

Fuel cellsIntensified competition to

lead to selection

Survivors to enjoy

profit

Maturity phases Current products

Page 7: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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5-2.Power Systems Headquarters – Products Portfolio (2/2)

Market share

Market size and market share

Amount of investment and profitability

2Market size

(Trillions of yen)

4

10%

Profitability

Marine machinery

Industrial

Solar cellsWind

turbines

20%

30%

GTCCLarge

Conven-tional

GTCCLarge

conven-tional

(Size of circle corresponds to size of sales.)

( Size of circle corresponds to size of sales. )

Solar cells

Marine machinery

Industrial

10%

Wind turbines

Amount of investment

Page 8: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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6. Long-term Projection of Global Demand for Primary EnergiesOther Renewable

Solar Thermal Heating

Solar Power

Wind Power

Biomass

Hydro Power

Nuclear Power

Gas

Oil

Coal

[ ×10

6G

Wh/

Yea

r ]

Ann

ual P

rim

ary

Ene

rgy

Con

sum

ptio

n

0

100

200

300

400

500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

[ Year ]

40% to be produced from natural energies

Reference:solarwirtschaft.de

Page 9: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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7.Trends in Global Demand for Power Generation Systems for New Installation

GTCC

Large conventional power plant

Wind turbines

Solar power

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015

Oders(GW)

China

South Asia

East Asia

Africa

Middle East

Eastern Europe/CIS

Western Europe

Central/South America

North America

Actual ProjectionExpanding 5GW/year mainly in SE Asia and Middle East.

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Oders(GW)

South Asia

East Asia

Africa

Middle East

East Europe/CIS

Western Europe

Central/South America

North America (ex. IGCC)

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015

Oders

(GW)

Other

Cina

South Asia

East Asiaaa

Africa

Middle Eas

Eastern Europe

Western Europe

Centrak/South America

North America

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015

Oders(GW)

Other

Asia

Western Europe

North America

Increase to 30GW levels.

Page 10: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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8. Expand GTCC Business

2621

30 30

0

10

20

30

40

H18 H19 H20 H21

24

3026

21

40~ 40~

Production capacity

Production capacity of 30 units currently being established through capital investment.

Produce 30-plus GTs by enhancing collaboration with other companies.

Number of GTs produced

(77) (68) (58) (57)

◆ Production of gas turbines (projection) Number of GTs in stock orders

FY’06 FY’07 FY’08 FY’09

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9. Progress in Construction of A New Plant for Production of Gas Turbine Hot Parts (Takasago Machinery Works)

Operation to start in March 2007. Amount of investment: Approx. ¥8bn

◆ Raise production capacity of hot parts ~Construct a new plant

Blades plant (under construction)

Combustor Basket plant (under construction)

MHI is considering additional investments to respond to future demand in 2008 and thereafter.

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10.Expand GTCC Business

◆ Increase production of hot partsMHI plans to achieve production increase target set for 2010 ahead of schedule in order to supply hot parts to alliance makers (in numbers besides 30 units produced).

Gas Turbine row 1Blade

H17 H18 H19 H20 H21 H22

Production capacity*

To be supplied to alliance makers

Turbine Blades Air Air

Internal cooling structure

Dry low Nox combustor

100

145131

* Presented in index figures with production capacity in 2005 as 100.

Utilization of OSC**, etc.

Further capital investments(under consideration)

Construction of a new plant(Takasago Machinery Works)

121

** Orlando Service Center (Service Plant of MPSA)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

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130121

103100

2005 2006 2007 2008

128

100 98

113

11.Expand Service/Maintenance Business

Sales from service/ 

maintenance business

Sales from service/ 

maintenance business

Largeconv.

GTCC

Industrialconv.

Other

Income from service/maintenance business

Efforts to achieve the ratio of sales from service/maintenance business to total sales of 40% [Achieve higher customer satisfaction]

1. Expand markets of MHI products; make entries in a wider range of markets of peers’ products. Establish a global network to respond to rapidly increasing LTSAs and service/maintenance business that is facing increasing sophistication and intensifying competition.

  (1) Expand services operations overseas (A service company for BFG-fired GT in China, etc.)  (2) Collaborate with overseas manufacturers.  

(3) Provide rehabilitation service of peer-made boilers and turbines.

・・・(In index figures) ・・・

2.Make entry into O&M market

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12.Expand BFG-fired Gas Turbines Business

MHI maintains almost dominant market share in BFG-fired GTCCs. Going forward, MHI will leverage its unique technological superiority to win more orders from Chinese and other markets.

◆ MHI is receiving a growing number of orders by leveraging its unique technology.

Order trends for BFG-fired GT

World’s largest BFG-fired GTCC(using M701F )

Kimitsu Cooperative Thermal Power Company, Inc. (Operation started in 2004)

Orders received from:

Japan: 8 unitsChina: 12 unitsEastern Europe, etc.: 4 unitsIndia and Europe:Sales activity under way

15

20

25

5

10

15

20

25

3,000

2,000

1,000

1990 1995 2000 2005

Tota

l Cap

acity

(MW

)

Year

Unit NOS.

Capacity

15

20

25

5

10

15

20

25

3,000

2,000

1,000

1990 1995 2000 2005

Tota

l Cap

acity

(MW

)

Year

Unit NOS.

CapacityCapacity

Delivered ’82-’06 13Under production ’06-’08 11Orders (projection) ’07-’09 7

Number of Period units

Page 15: Renewable Energies Business - Mitsubishi Heavy · PDF fileenergy-related products ... strategy ・・・ GTCC;Gas ... Ltd. 8.Expand GTCC Business 26 21 30 30 0 10 20 30 40 H18H19H20H21

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13.Trends in Global Wind Turbines Market・ Global market is expected to continue expansion (11GW in 2005, 25GW in 2010, and

40GW in 2015).・ Currently, Europe accounts for approx 73% of the global market. North American and

Asian (China and India) markets are expected to expand sharply.

Europe

Americas

Asia

Other

Already installed

30

25

20

15

10

 5

0

Win

d tu

rbin

es in

stal

led 

(GW

/yea

r)

Annual Wind Power development

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2005

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004 Year

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14.Market Share of Mitsubishi Wind Turbines・ In 2002, MHI launched MWT-1000A on the market. In 2005, MHI accounted for 2.0%

(233MW/ranked 10th) in terms of global market share (7% and 3rd in the U.S., 57% and top market share in Japan).

Top-10 Suppliers in 2005% of the total market 11,407 MW

VESTAS (DK) 27.9%

SIEMENS (DK) 5.5%

Others 5.0%

SUZLON (Ind) 6.1%

GAMESA (ES) 12.9%GE WIND (US) 17.7%

ENERCON (GE) 13.2%

MITSUBISHI (JP) 2.0%

ECOTÉCNIA (ES) 2.1%

NORDEX (GE) 2.6%REPOWER (GE) 3.1%

Source: BTM Consult ApS - March 2006

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Market SizingMarket Forecast Scenarios – Combined 2006 - 2010

Net Adds Base

3,40

0

750

3,60

0

990

3,60

0

1,070

3,80

01,12

0

4,00

0

1,140

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

CAN Base

US Base

MW Add – EER Base Scenario 2006 - 2010

3,200

400

3,800

500

800

600

1,200

700

2,000

800

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

CAN LowUS Low

3,800

800

4,000

1,100

4,200

1,200

4,400

1,400

4,500

1,500

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

US High CAN High

MW Add – Low Growth Scenario

MW Add – High Growth Scenario

4,1504,590

5,1404,9204,670

Annual increase in MW – High growth scenario

U.S.Canada

3,800 4,0004,200 4,400 4,500

3,2003,800

800 1,2002,000

15.Growth of North American Wind Turbines Market 

Annual increase in MW– Low growth scenario (2006~2010)

Annual increase in MW– Basic scenario (2006~2010)

U.S.Canada

U.S. Canada

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16. Trends in Market Prices of Wind Turbines and Production Plans for Mitsubishi Wind Turbines・ Market prices of wind turbines started to rise in 2004. Currently, the market is the “seller’s

market” to the levels unseen before. ・ MHI will expand production bases for Mitsubishi wind turbines to increase production to

over 1000MW in 2008.

Production plans for Mitsubishi wind turbines (MW)

Trends in prices of wind turbines(Price per output (kW) with the figure in 2004 as 100)

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

H16 H17 H18 H19 H20

100

120

140

160

(%)

Target profit margin: 10%

191 261355

26

321

350

624

584

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

H16 H17 H18 H19 H20

(MW)

□Yokohama Plant■Nagasaki Plant

1208

671

381

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

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17.Plans to Expand Wind Turbines Plants

(Production of nacelles at Nagasaki Plant)・ Dedicate the Nagasaki Plant, the main wind

turbines plant, to production of 2.4MWmodels and increase production capacity from:

     480MW480MW →  → 650MW650MW +

Nacelle production line

+

Nagasaki Plant Rotor head production line

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18. Production of Nacelles at Yokohama Plant (Honmoku Plant)

Wind turbines plant

Depot for shipment

Shipping quay

Bayside Marina

Kanazawa PlantMWT92

Hakkeijima

Honmoku Nacelle Plant

・ Leverage a large space at Yokohama Plant (production facilities for steel structures and bridges at Honmoku Plant to be converted) and port facilities.

・ Start production in October to produce nacelles at two plants (in Yokohama and Nagasaki). ・ Start establishing a supply chain in the Kanto area following the completion of a new nacelle production

plant.

Yokohama Plant (Honmoku Plant)

・ Secure production capacity at Yokohama Plant as high (650MW650MW) as at Nagasaki Plant.

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19.  Production of Nacelles at Yokohama Dockyard & Machinery Works (Honmoku Plant) Yokohama Plant (in Honmoku)

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20. Expansion of Blade Production Plant (VIENTEK)

・Capacity expansion at the Mexico plant (VIENTEK) to increase production of wind turbine bladesfor 2.4MW machines marketed in the core U.S. market.(Capacity expansion at the Nagasaki Plant to increase production of wind turbine blades for the Japanese market. )

Blade production capacity: up from current 400MW to 1200MW+.

VIENTEK plant: blade shipment Blade production line

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21-1. History of Developing Mitsubishi Wind Turbines

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005

Out

put k

W

Squirrel cage induction motor

Synchronous motor

Wound induction motor

Mitsubishi Nagasaki

Test Machine

40kW

Winkra-Energy,

Germany, 450kW

Kyushu Electric Power

Okino-erabu Island, 300kW

NEDO Tappi WP,

500kW

Foote Creek, USA,

600kW

Tohoku Electric Power

Tappi WP, 275 kW

Tohoku Electric Power

Tappi WP, 300 kW Tohoku

Electric Power

Tappi WP, 300kW

Hokudan-cho

600kW

Okinawa New Energy

Development Gushikawa

1950kW

Muroran-city,

1000kW

Hotel New Awaji2000Kw

2006 Yokohama city (Demo model)   2400kW

Year

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21-2. Delivery of Mitsubishi Wind Turbines

As of End/FY2005(Operation started as of March 2006)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

14001980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Fiscal year

Cum

ulat

ive

inst

alla

tion

MW

MWT-300 MWT-S300 MWT-500

MWT-600 MWT-S600 MWT-1000

MWT-1000A MWT-S2000 MWT92/2.4

Delivered: 2,077 units / Total output: 1,295MW

First model

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22. Mitsubishi Wind Turbines - Outline

MWT62/1.0MWT62/1.0 MWT92/2.4, MWT95/2.4MWT92/2.4, MWT95/2.4

Operation Market launch in 2003 Market launch in 2008Rated Output 1000 kW 2400 kW

61.4 meters69/60 meters

Rotor Diameter 92/95 metersHub Height 70/80 meters

Power Regulation: Full Span Pitch ControlWind Class : IEC Class IIA

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23. Yokohama 2.4 MW Demo Model

New Model (MWT92/2.4)New Model (MWT92/2.4)

Rated Output: 2.4MWRotor Diameter: 92mIEC Class IIA・Performing a thorough examination of performance and

reliability by using a demo model of large-sized wind turbine at the Yokohama Plant (in Kanazawa) 

Assembly of nacelle(Nagasaki plant)

Test: lightening damage to wind turbine blade (demo model; Apr 2, 2006). 63 coulomb measured.No problem detected.

Demo model (full view) Demo model (Nacelle, rotor head)

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24. Mitsubishi Wind Turbines in the U.S.

Oregon AreaCondon : 600kW × 83 unitsCombine Hills :1000kW x 41units

Total 90.8MW 124units

Oregon AreaCondon : 600kW × 83 unitsCombine Hills :1000kW x 41units

Total 90.8MW 124units

Tehachiapi California AreaToyowestⅠ:250kW × 20 unitsMojave’89 :275kW ×340 unitsMojave’90 :275kW ×300 unitsMojave’99 :600kW × 30 unitsMorwind :600kW × 29 unitsMogul :500kW × 8 unitsOASIS :1000kW x 60units

Total 280MW 787 units

Tehachiapi California AreaToyowestⅠ:250kW × 20 unitsMojave’89 :275kW ×340 unitsMojave’90 :275kW ×300 unitsMojave’99 :600kW × 30 unitsMorwind :600kW × 29 unitsMogul :500kW × 8 unitsOASIS :1000kW x 60units

Total 280MW 787 units

MPS Los Angeles Office(Wind Business Group)

MPS Los Angeles Office(Wind Business Group)

Palm Springs California AreaMountain ViewⅠ: 600kW × 74 unitsMountain ViewⅡ: 600kW × 37 units

Total 66.6MW 111 units

Palm Springs California AreaMountain ViewⅠ: 600kW × 74 unitsMountain ViewⅡ: 600kW × 37 units

Total 66.6MW 111 units

Texas/New Mexico/Arizona AreaWhite Deer  : 1000kW x 80 unitsBrazos    : 1000kW x 160 unitsCaprock : 1000kW x 80 unitsSan Juan Mesa : 1000kW x 120unitsSteel Park :1000kW x 15units

Total 455MW 455units

Texas/New Mexico/Arizona AreaWhite Deer  : 1000kW x 80 unitsBrazos    : 1000kW x 160 unitsCaprock : 1000kW x 80 unitsSan Juan Mesa : 1000kW x 120unitsSteel Park :1000kW x 15units

Total 455MW 455units

Wyoming AreaFoot Creek Ⅰ: 600kW × 69 unitsFoot Creek Ⅱ: 600kW × 3 unitsFoot Creek Ⅳ: 600kW × 28 unitsRock RiverⅠ :1000kW × 50 units

Total 110MW 150 units

Wyoming AreaFoot Creek Ⅰ: 600kW × 69 unitsFoot Creek Ⅱ: 600kW × 3 unitsFoot Creek Ⅳ: 600kW × 28 unitsRock RiverⅠ :1000kW × 50 units

Total 110MW 150 units

MPS HeadQuarter(Orlando,Florida)

MPS HeadQuarter(Orlando,Florida)

Iowa AreaIowa : 1000kW x 50 units

Total 50MW 50units

Iowa AreaIowa : 1000kW x 50 units

Total 50MW 50units

VienTek,Mexico(Blade Factory)

VienTek,Mexico(Blade Factory)

UndisclosedProject A   : 1000kW x 38 unitsProject B   : 1000kW x 90 unitsProject C : 1000kW x 45 unitsProject D : 1000kW x 135unitsProject E : 1000kW x 160unitsProject F : 1000kW x 250unitsProject G : 1000kW x 80units

Total 798MW 798units

UndisclosedProject A   : 1000kW x 38 unitsProject B   : 1000kW x 90 unitsProject C : 1000kW x 45 unitsProject D : 1000kW x 135unitsProject E : 1000kW x 160unitsProject F : 1000kW x 250unitsProject G : 1000kW x 80units

Total 798MW 798units

Total 1,850MW 2,475 units (sales as of may 2006)

Red color: MWT62/1.0

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25. Mitsubishi Wind Turbines in the U.S.

California California ‒‒ MojaveMojave,  MWT-250 x 300 unit  1990~

Dia. 28m x T.Height 30m

Texas Texas -- Brazos Brazos     MWT-62  160 Units  Operated began Dec. ‘03

Rotor Diameter: 61.4meters Tower Height: 69/60meters

California California ‒‒ OasisOasis    MWT-57  60 Units Operations in Dec. ‘04

Rotor Diameter: 57metersTower Height: 69meters

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26. Development of Offshore Wind Turbines・ Installation of offshore wind turbines is expected to grow to take advantage of favorable wind

conditions. Fundamental technologies are under development in Japan and abroad.・MHI is the only group in the world that engages in both the wind turbine and shipbuilding

(marine structure) businesses. MHI will leverage its overall technological capabilities to deliver world-class offshore wind turbines.

Source http://www.middelgrunden.dk

Offshore wind turbines in Europe(mounted on towers driven into the ocean floor)

Example of offshore wind turbines mounted on a floating platform (Tokyo University)

Coastal area [Mounted on a floating platform]

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27. Solar Cells - Business Environment

562 744

1 ,195

1 ,759

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

生産量(MW/年)

JapanEuropeNorth AmericaOther

Forecast of global demand for solar cellsSource:Solar Generation III by European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA)/ Greenpeace 

Production and shipment (Actual)

Global market

Q -Cells9%

Sharp24%

Kyocera8%

Sanyo7% Mitsubishi

Electric6%

O ther28%

Shell Solar2%

Isofoton3%

Motech3%

SchottSolar

5%Suntech

5%

28%

3%

56%

CdTe2%

7%

a-Si4%

CIS0%

Market share by manufacturer

Market share by type

As of 2005, MHI ranked 20th in the global solar cell market. MHI will increase production to join the world’s top 5 companies by 2010 as a leading thin-film solar cell maker.

Prod

uctio

n (M

W/Y

ear)

Projection as of Dec 31, 2005

Monocrystalline Si

Monocrystalline a-Si

Ribbon-Si

Polycrystalline Si

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28. MHI’s Production Capacity and Sales Outlook

Volumes of purchase by existing MHI customers are expected to increase sharply. These customers have requested MHI to increasesupply volumes rapidly and significantly.  

23

微結晶

アモルファス

0.4 3.6 7 12 14

52

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

H14 H15 H16 H17 H18 H19 H20 H21 H22

生産能力/購入希望量(MW/年)

微結晶

アモルファス

5,600(4.6%)

4,600(3.5%)

3,400(2.7%)

2,500(2.1%)

1,900(0.7%)

世界市場規模(当社生産量比率)

当社生産実績・予定量

顧客購入希望量

増設予定

23

微結晶

アモルファス

0.4 3.6 7 12 14

52

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

H14 H15 H16 H17 H18 H19 H20 H21 H22

生産能力/購入希望量(MW/年)

微結晶

アモルファス

5,600(4.6%)

4,600(3.5%)

3,400(2.7%)

2,500(2.1%)

1,900(0.7%)

世界市場規模(当社生産量比率)

当社生産実績・予定量

顧客購入希望量

増設予定

Global market size (Ratio of production by MHI)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Production (actual/forecast) by MHI 

Customer demand

Production increase (plan)

Microcrystalline

Amorphous

P rod

u cti o

n ca

paci

ty /

Cus

tom

ers ’

dem

and

(MW

/Yea

r)

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29. Trends in Production and Cost

0

100

200

300

400

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

0%

50%

100%

Prod

uctio

n [ M

W/Y

ear

]

Mod

ule

cost

[ %

]

Production

Module cost

Year

Module cost is expected to decrease sharply as production increases.

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30. Comparison of Solar Cells

シリコン使用量とコスト

EPT:エネルギーペイバックタイム

105%(-0.3%/℃)

110%(-0.2%/℃)

100%(-0.4%/℃)

年間発電量(温度係数)

11~12%7~8%14~17%セル効率

80%90%100%コスト(同一生産量ベース)

断面構造

微結晶タンデム型アモルファス型結晶型

シリコン使用量とコスト

EPT:エネルギーペイバックタイム

105%(-0.3%/℃)

110%(-0.2%/℃)

100%(-0.4%/℃)

年間発電量(温度係数)

11~12%7~8%14~17%セル効率

80%90%100%コスト(同一生産量ベース)

断面構造

微結晶タンデム型アモルファス型結晶型

光白板強化ガラス

Al裏面電極(+)

200μ

m

n型Si

バックシート

p型Si

反射防止膜

テクスチャー

EVA

Ag電極(-)

光 光

3.5μm0.3μm2μm

EVA

アモルファストップ電池(0.3μm)微結晶ボトム電池(2μm)

pin

pin

EVA

1.5μm0.3μm

バックシート

白板ガラス 白板ガラス

シリコン膜厚

シリコンコスト

EPT シリコン膜厚

シリコンコスト

EPT シリコン膜厚

シリコンコスト

EPT

0.3μm19%

2.1年

1年

2.5μm22%

2.4年200μm 100%

製造エネルギー

年間発電量EPT=

透明電極(+)

Ag裏面電極(-)

0.3μm

バックシート

透明電極(+)

Ag裏面電極(-)

Crystalline  Amorphous  Tandem 

Cross Section 

Cost ratio

Cell efficiencyAnnual Power 

Generation(Thermal Coefficient)

Volume of silicon & Cost

EnergyAnnual Power 

Generation

Sunlight 

Glass substrate  Electrode

(Ag)

ARcoating

Texture    P type

Si  N type Si 

Back sheet 

Back

electrode(Ag)

Back

electrode(Ag)

Back sheet 

Sunlight Transparent electrode(+)

 

2.4year 2.1year 

1year 

Transparent electrode (+)

Sunlight 

Back sheet Back

electrode(Ag) Amorphous top cell

Microcrystalline bottomcell

Costof silicon

Silicon film thickness

Silicon film thickness

Costof silicon

Silicon film thickness

Costof silicon

Glass substrate 

Glass substrate 

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31. Road Map on Solar Cells for NEDO

Source :NEDO "PV Roadmap 2030 (PV2030)"

4.84.8GWGW

JPY 7/kWh

JPY 23/kWh

Lower cost of bulk crystalline silicon solar cells

Lower cost of thin film silicon solar cells by using large-area thin film production and other technologies.

Achieve further cost reduction through low-cost, high-quality production process and longer product life cycle

Thin-film (silicon, composite) solar cells to appear.

Higher performance achieved by ultra-thin/multi-junction solar cells.

New materials, which are neither silicon nor composite, to appear.

Solar cells using new materials and new structures

2002 2007 2010 2020 2030

Achieve cost reduction throughtechnological generation change.

102102GWGW~ JPY 50/kWh

JPY 14/kWh

JPY 30/kWh

Development investment (for 25

years starting 2005):

JPY 150 billion

3535GWGWCrystalline solar cells

Microcrystalline tandem

Lowering system prices is key to diffusion of solar cells. Accordingly, mass production of solar cells using thin-film silicon technology or composites is attracting attention as a substitute for crystalline solar cells. In particular, MHI’s proprietary technologies (for production of high-speed, large-area films) are highly valued by NEDO and peers.

Microcrystalline tandem solar cells to replace crystalline solar cells

<Development timetable for highly-productive thin film silicon solar cells>

12% 15% 18%

10

15

20

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Development of microcrystalline tandem solar

cells

Module

efficiency(%)

Development of cell manufacturing technologies achieving high efficiency and productivity

Development of next-generation production technologies achieving high productivity and efficiency

Mod

ule

effic

ienc

y (%

)

Power generation cost

Year

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32. Rendering of the New PlantA new plant for production of microcrystalline tandem solar modules with annual production of approx. 40MW to be constructed adjacent to the amorphous solar cell production plant (capex: approx. ¥10bn). New products to be launched in April 2007.

Rendering of the new plant for production of microcrystalline tandem solar modules(steel framed, two-story building with dimension of 150m(W)x50m(D)x15m(H))

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33. Production Facility for Microcrystalline Tandem Solar Cells

The plasma CVD production line, the central part of a microcrystalline tandem solar cell production facility, has an efficient and compact structure based on MHI’s expertise in amorphous solar cells.

Central transfer chamberUnloading chamber

Unloader

Central transfer robot

Load-lock chamberLoader

Film production chamber 

Production facility for microcrystalline tandem solar cells (Full view)

Production facility for microcrystalline tandem solar cells (Full view)

Plasma CVD production line

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34. Technologies Differentiating MHI from Peers in Production of Thin-film Si Solar Cells

(MHI’s proprietary technology)

∝ Conversion efficiency

Operating rate

Size of substrate

YieldProduction speed

Productivity

(cost)

Large area・high speed・high qualityPlasma CVD Self cleaning

MHI:1.1m  1.4m

Company B:0.56m×0.93m

Company A:0.46mx0.91m

1.0

2.0

11

12

MHI

[nm/s] [%]

10

70 80

[%]

60 w/ cleaning w/o cleaning

Size of substrateSize of substrate Film production speedFilm production speed EfficiencyEfficiency Operating rateOperating rate

90100

Production line stopped

Cleaning Open Maintenance *

Operating time

Operating time50

   MHI  :100% Company A : 16% Company B : 6%  

based on same production yield per film production chamber

MHI Comp-any A

Comp-any B

Comp-any A

Comp-any B

Peers: Placing too much focus on efficiency improvement (system development entrusted to equipment makers)MHI: As an equipment maker, MHI works to improve the full scope of technologies for cost reduction.

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35. Large Scale Solar Power Generation System

<Facilities outline>・Name of plant:Buttenwiesen PV Plant ,Germany     ・Output:1,000kWp・Number of panels: 10,000 (amorphous solar modules modules made by MHI)

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36. Characteristics of MACH-30G ・Achieved world’s highest level electric efficiency and low NOx levels.・High reliability (developed based on the KU30 series (over 400 units were ordered)) ・Seamless customer support package (from planning to maintenance and after service)

MACH-30G Main specifications /50Hz(in brackets:60Hz)

  8MACH-30G 12MACH-30G 14MACH-30G 16MACH-30G 18MACH-30G

Number of cylinders   8 12 14 16 18

Cylinder bore ×piston stroke mm 300×380

Number of revolutions min-1 750(720)

Rated output (at power generation end) kW

2,550(2,450)

3,800(3,650)

4,450(4,250)

5,100(4,900)

5,750(5,500)

NOx ppm 200 or less:converted to O2=0%

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37. Efficiency of MACH-30GEl

ectri

c ef

ficie

ncy 

at g

ener

ator

end

(%)

50

40

30

20

10

010kW 100kW 1MW 10MW 100MW

60

Diesel

Conventional gas engine

MACH gas engine

Output

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38. MACH-30G - Awards and Market ShareAgency for Natural Resources and Energy (ANRE) Director-General‘s Prize

of Japan (2002)MACH-30G was awarded in the 23rd Energy Saving Machinery and Equipment Awards in the field of power generation engines for its high performance including significant improvement in efficiency and reduction in NOx/CO2/PM(Particulate matter) and other pollutants.

JGA’s Technical Award (2003)

Awarded by the Japan Gas Association (JGA) for achieving high efficiency, high operating performance and high environmental performance in the area of gas fueled machinery and equipment.

Others:190MW(20%)

MACH :720MW(80%)

Japanese market share of gas engines (3.5~7.5MW class)

(FY2001(when MACH was launched) ~FY2005)

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39. MACH-30G - Orders Received

(台) (MW)

71

3519

107

134145

19725MW

572MW

381MW

194MW

106MW

886MW

0

50

100

150

200

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060

500

1,000

台数(計画)

台数

MW(計画)

MW

Number of units (prospect)

Number of units (ordered)MW (prospect)

MW

(Units)

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40. Overview of MACH-30G (Example) 

Customer: Sodegaura Power Station, Nippon Steel Corporation 18MACH-30G  10Units

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41. IGCC (Integrated Coal Gasification Combined Cycle)

IGCC:Integrated coal Gasification Combined Cycle Power River Basin (PRB) coal: a low rank coal with higher moisture content and lower heating value, but available at low cost because of its plentiful reserves.

1. Features(1) More than 10% lower CO2 Emission Intensity than latest USC conventional coal fired

plant by Higher Plant Efficiency with Air-blown IGCC(2) Fuel Flexibility for high moisture Low Rank Coal like PRB Coal.(3) Higher Reliability with Waterwall Structure based on mature boiler experiences(4) Much Experiences in Low calorific gas firing G/T

2. 250MW-class Demonstration Plant

Gas Clean-up

GT/ST

Gasifier

HRSG

Operation Room

Operation starts in Sep. 2007Gas Clean-up

HRSGGasifier

GT/ST

OperationRoom

Air Blown IGCC is the Best System for Power Generation

Clean Coal Power R&D Co., LTD.

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42. IGCC (Integrated Coal Gasification Combined Cycle) 

3. IGCC projects in the U.S. 4. Commercial Plant PerformanceEPACT (Energy Policy Act; signed in Aug

2005) set measures including subsidies, tax incentives for investments, etc. → Triggering IGCC projects across the U.S.

: IGCC projects being considered

Item Unit 250MWDemo. Plant

Commercial Plant(60Hz)

Gross Output MW 250 500

Design Coal -Bituminous

CoalBituminous

Coal

  PM mg/Nm3 4 4

Gasifier -Air-blown

Dry coal feedAir-blown

Dry coal feed

Gas Clean-up - Wet Clean-up Wet Clean-up

Gas Turbine - M701DA M501G

Net PlantEfficiency %,HHV 40.5 46

Emission SOx ppm 8 8

(16%O2) NOx ppm 5 5

Mitsubishi IGCC ready for Commercial plants in Japan and the U.S.

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Tubular type SOFCJointly developed with

J-Power

MOLB-type SOFC

Jointly developed with Chubu Electric Power

Mid-sized dispersed type power sources;Replacement for large-sized thermal power generation

PEFC for “Urashima”, deep sea cruising AUV developed by JAMSTECPEFC for mobile

applications

Development of “Combined System” with levels of 200kW

Project of experimental study in Aichi World Expo 2005(March - September)

Cogeneration system for Japan Pavilion

SOFCSOFC(solid oxide fuel cells)

MOLB:MOno-Block Layer Built

NEDO technology development project(2004 - 2007)

Cogeneration system for Electric Power Pavilion

PEFC (polymer-electrolyte fuel cell)

As an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV), Urashima recordedthe world’s longest continuous cruising of 317km in February 2005. JAMSTEC “URASHIMA”

43. MHI’s Efforts to Develop Fuel Cells

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Power Generation plant for Utility

(output:several 100 MW)

200kW class

Power Generation plant(output:several MW)

2005 2010 2020Year

Efficiency:70%-LHV

2015

(Efficiency with output of 350kW class: 55%-LHV

IGFC

44. SOFC Combined-Cycle Power Generation SystemEfficiency and Road Map

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

USC(coal)

Combined-Cycle

SOFCCombined-Cycle

LHV %75

2020Year

IGFC

LNG SOFC C/C

IGCC: Integrated Gasification Combined CycleIGFC: Integrated Gasification SOFC Combined Cycle

C/C (1700℃ class)Efficiency: 60%-LHV

LNG C/C

IGCC

Efficiency:50%-LHV700℃ class USC

USC: Ultra Super critical pressure Coal-fired plant

Eff

icie

ncy

at p

ower

gen

erat

ion

end

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45. Road Map for Lithium Rechargeable Batteries

Raise performance of batteries ・Reduce cost・Develop mass production technology Pre-mass-production Full-scale mass production

2006 2007 2008 2009

EVs (fleet sales)

Electricity storage business; R&D on use of natural energies

Stationary batteries

Batteries for EV

Phases of development

Unit w/100kWhPower storage systemSystem ensuring stablesupply of natural energies

Cell batteries for EVs Module batteries for EVs

Stationary battery cellsStationary module batteries

Power density

(W/kg)

Ene

rgy

dens

ity

(Wh/

kg)

For HEV

For PEV

020

406080100

120140160180200

500 1000 1500 2000 2500

MHI stationary batteries

                MHI batteries for mobile applications      (Developed in 2001)Data of batteries

developed by peers

For EV

For PHEVMHI stationary batteries

(Developed in 1998)

0

(Developed in 2005)

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Fuel cell production (in 10,000 units / year)

Fuel

cel

l pri

ces (

in r

elat

ive

valu

es)

1/20

1

0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175

Reduce materials costInitial-phase mass production facilities

Production capacity:For approx. 8,000 EVs/year

Reduce production cost; reduce materials

cost

46. Estimation of Fuel Cell Prices

Test production facilities (current facilities)Production capacity:For approx. 60 EVs/year

Pre-mass-production facilitiesProduction capacity:For approx. 2,000 EVs/year1/10

Full-scale mass production facilitiesProduction capacity:For 16,000 EVs/year

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GT C/C

Ultra – Supercritical Pressure Power Plant

Solar Power GenerationHotel,Office etc…

Home

TransportationSystem

(Train etc…)

TransmissionPlant

SubstationFacilities

Wind Power GenerationIntegrated coal Gasification Fuel Cell

combined cycle (IGFC)

Batery CarSecondary Battery

47. Future of Power Generation

Secondary Battery

Secondary Battery

Integrated coal Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC)

Secondary Battery

SubstationFacilities