romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% news … · volume off-peak base peak *...
TRANSCRIPT
Energy NEWS | Price forecasts | Country Reports | Analyses | Power and trading data | Auctions | Carbon market | Tenders
B a l k a n E n e r g y . c o m
Covering: Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Turkey
SPOT Market Prices (all prices in EUR/MWh); Rise - Green, Drop - Red
Current wholesale prices
MIN - AT MAX - GR
45.9 45.9 - 49 49 - 52 52 - 58 58 - 61 61 - 64 64 - 66.7 66.7
based on 2 last day-ahead average price
0
10
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05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.
Trad
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Wh)
HUPX, Hungary
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
* BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia)
Power and trading data
11.12.2019
Full report available in SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY
WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
21,000 energy news, PDF, XLS, email notices
NEWS service on new web portal www.portal.balkanenergy.com
Day-ahead HUPX forecast and analytics
Month-ahead forecast / trading advices
HU + SEE SPOT SUPPORT
HU + SEE TRADING TOOL
All available on new web portal
www.portal.balkanenergy.com
December-19 forecast available
*Day ahead prices - day ahead capacity
Market Arbitration Profits (in EUR/MWh)
11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change
Hungary 48.24 51.11 49.72 43.87 61.90 53.74 49.69 -7.5%
Germany 38.12 40.17 23.37 -16.38 24.39 43.68 33.89 -22.4%
Austria 46.92 44.78 45.28 35.37 36.60 48.81 45.66 -6.5%
Slovenia 50.91 45.69 45.80 40.65 47.38 50.58 47.47 -6.2%
Romania 48.20 50.94 49.55 43.87 61.90 53.88 49.56 -8.0%
Bulgaria 52.70 55.15 54.96 42.03 54.79 61.42 54.27 -11.6%
Croatia 50.91 45.69 45.80 40.65 65.10 50.68 47.47 -6.3%
Serbia 49.88 53.19 50.97 47.49 46.43 52.12 51.35 -1.5%
Greece 61.98 71.34 62.80 63.38 62.48 63.67 65.37 2.7%
Turkey 47.93 50.32 48.11 48.02 48.93 47.37 48.79 3.0%
IT NORD 51.36 47.15 46.47 44.19 48.28 54.40 48.33 -11.2%
11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change
Hungary 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.51 59.21 -6.8%
Germany 50.50 47.54 39.71 -13.66 35.15 49.76 45.92 -7.7%
Austria 53.22 50.05 50.90 38.35 39.29 55.45 51.39 -7.3%
Slovenia 58.66 51.81 51.78 45.70 49.88 58.21 54.08 -7.1%
Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3%
Bulgaria 56.15 67.33 67.63 46.47 70.63 74.39 63.70 -14.4%
Croatia 58.66 51.81 51.78 45.70 82.24 58.41 54.08 -7.4%
Serbia 58.18 62.90 64.42 51.58 54.13 60.25 61.83 2.6%
Greece 66.82 69.06 67.04 63.52 64.98 67.32 67.64 0.5%
Turkey 51.34 52.04 51.42 47.45 50.65 51.14 51.60 0.9%
IT NORD 58.66 51.81 51.64 46.52 49.88 61.08 54.03 -11.5%
BASEWorkweek average
PEAKWorkweek average
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
04.12. 05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12.
Activated thermal units (MW, installed)
In HU, RO, RS, SI, BiH, BG
More details and analytics in our Day-ahead forecast
11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT
B -2.90 -3.47 -7.00 -6.52 11.05
AT > HU P -13.86 -8.86 -24.68 -61.83 -28.08
O -8.16 -4.27 -12.07 -59.36 -14.73
B 1.64 2.08 1.25 3.62 -15.47
HU > RS P 23.86 31.17 39.43 79.76 38.09
O 16.32 21.52 27.33 77.18 29.83
B 2.65 -5.43 -3.94 -3.31 3.17
HU > HR P 11.60 12.90 27.44 63.71 21.88
O 7.68 15.36 24.71 65.24 18.98
B 1.54 2.21 1.40 3.62 -15.47
RO > RS P 8.92 16.12 7.75 21.35 7.67
O 10.67 1.73 -0.59 17.05 -5.65
BASE
Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication
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Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
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Trad
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Wh)
BSP, Slovenia
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
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90
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05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
OPCOM, Romania
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
25.0
25.5
26.0
26.5
27.0
27.5
28.0
28.5
29.0
29.5
0
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80
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Trad
ed v
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Wh)
IBEX, Bulgaria
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0.0
5.0
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15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
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40
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100
05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.
Trad
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CROPEX, Croatia
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.010.0
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20
40
60
80
05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.
Trad
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Wh)
SEEPEX, Serbia
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0
50
100
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60
05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.
Trad
ed v
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Wh)
EPIAS, Turkey
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
Daily Auctions (all prices in EUR/MW, volumes in MW AVG)
B 2.65 574 6.57 609 6.85 549 9.91 549
AT > HU P 4.22 541 9.80 609 11.44 549 15.02 549
O 1.07 608 3.34 609 2.25 549 4.80 549
B 0.02 942 0.00 990 0.02 1,050 0.02 951
HU > AT P 0.01 909 0.00 989 0.00 1,050 0.02 951
O 0.02 975 0.01 990 0.04 1,050 0.02 951
B 0.09 1,242 0.07 1,206 0.09 1,181 0.13 1,244
HU > HR P 0.02 1,270 0.01 1,235 0.02 1,210 0.09 1,278
O 0.16 1,213 0.12 1,177 0.16 1,153 0.16 1,210
B 1.00 958 0.53 993 0.42 1,018 0.41 955
HR > HU P 0.13 942 0.04 959 0.08 938 0.00 0
O 0.12 1,014 0.04 1,051 0.02 1,049 0.00 0
B 0.13 978 0.04 1,005 0.05 994 0.00 0
RS > HU P 0.13 942 0.04 959 0.08 938 0.00 0
O 0.12 1,014 0.04 1,051 0.02 1,049 0.00 0
B 0.21 1,021 0.40 995 0.32 1,005 0.00 0
HU > RS P 0.09 1,057 0.35 1,041 0.14 1,061 0.00 0
O 0.33 985 0.45 948 0.51 950 0.00 0
B 0.25 399 0.06 515 0.05 508 0.00 0
RO > RS P 0.14 409 0.04 525 0.02 503 0.00 0
O 0.36 388 0.08 506 0.09 514 0.00 0
B 0.14 701 0.67 584 0.36 573 0.00 0
RS > RO P 0.16 691 1.05 574 0.31 596 0.00 0
O 0.12 711 0.30 593 0.40 551 0.00 0
B 0.94 246 1.16 246 0.52 255 0.43 217
BG > RS P 0.92 269 0.87 276 0.32 288 0.34 240
O 0.96 224 1.45 216 0.73 221 0.52 195
B 0.07 639 0.04 662 0.09 639 0.06 636
RS > HR P 0.07 643 0.03 668 0.10 643 0.05 640
O 0.08 635 0.05 656 0.08 635 0.06 632
B 0.34 195 0.24 193 0.64 125 0.60 205
BA > RS P 0.50 162 0.24 187 0.88 97 0.85 179
O 0.17 229 0.24 198 0.39 152 0.36 230
B 0.08 586 0.06 552 0.06 552 0.04 597
BA > HR P 0.09 580 0.07 542 0.07 542 0.05 598
O 0.06 593 0.05 563 0.05 563 0.04 597
B 0.00 360 0.00 420 0.00 365 0.00 350
BA > ME P 0.00 360 0.00 420 0.00 350 0.00 350
O 0.00 360 0.00 420 0.00 380 0.00 350
B 0.00 206 0.00 211 0.00 166 0.00 317
ME > AL P 0.00 206 0.00 211 0.00 166 0.00 316
O 0.00 206 0.00 211 0.00 166 0.00 318
B 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0
AL > GR P 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0
O 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0
B 0.98 81 1.79 103 0.79 113 0.00 0
RS > MK P 0.54 96 1.07 122 0.02 132 0.00 0
O 1.42 65 2.51 84 1.56 93 0.00 0
B 11.62 208 9.15 203 10.40 203 9.22 202
MK > GR P 7.24 210 4.19 206 1.74 206 5.14 205
O 16.01 206 14.11 200 19.07 200 13.31 200
B 18.67 143 13.35 141 12.19 139 13.85 122
BG > GR P 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0O 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0
B 10.58 48 9.67 49 8.17 42 4.90 54
TR > GR P 11.43 47 10.62 47 7.04 42 5.29 54O 9.73 48 8.72 50 9.30 43 4.51 54
B 0.00 585 0.01 662 0.00 546 0.02 571
GR > IT P 0.00 588 0.01 664 0.00 528 0.04 540
O 0.00 582 0.01 660 0.00 563 0.00 601
Auctions
Daily 11.12.
WED
10.12.
TUE
09.12.
MON
08.12.
SUN
Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication
Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM
3
Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
A
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FUTURES
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D A T A
E V E N TS
Danube level, relevant for hydro generation in 4 HPPs
with 2,740 MW output: Djerdap 1 (SR), Djerdap 2
(SR), Iron Gates 1 (RO), Iron Gates 2 (RO)
* Measurement location near Belgrade, taking into
account Sava river and its tributaries
0 1
-1
2 2
5
3
5
7 8
-202468
10
11.12. 12.12. 13.12. 14.12. 15.12.
Budapest, Hungary
0
3
5
3 3
6 6
8 9
10
02468
1012
Bucharest, Romania
0
2 3
4
2
5
8
10
8
10
02468
1012
Sofia,
Bulgaria
3 2 2
5 3
4 6
11 10
13
0
5
10
15
Belgrade, Serbia
-3 -2 -2
1 0
5
2
5
8 9
-5
0
5
10
Zagreb,
Croatia
11 10 10 12 11
17 16 17 17 18
0
5
10
15
20
Athens, Greece
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Danube water level (cm)
Current level Long term averageLong term MAX Forecast
6 4 3 3
-1
8 9 10 9 10
-5
0
5
10
15
Skopje, Maced.
Weather forecast (Celsius)
Off-peak Peak
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Bulgaria, Romania, Greece - 11.12.
Bulgaria Romania Greece
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Croatia - 11.12.
Croatia
-1.74 -1.55 -0.99 -0.92 -1.07 -0.96 -0.47
12.6 12.4 11.9 11.9 11.9 12.0 11.6
-5
0
5
10
15
10.12.9.12.6.12.5.12.4.12.3.12.2.12.
Cal 20 Base DE-HU-IT Spreads
IT - HU HU - DE
-1.74 -1.55 -0.99 -0.92 -1.07 -0.96 -0.47
12.6 12.4 11.9 11.9 11.9 12.0 11.6
-5
0
5
10
15
10.12.9.12.6.12.5.12.4.12.3.12.2.12.
Cal 20 Base DE-HU-IT Spreads
IT - HU HU - DE
Danube level
Renewable generation
Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication
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Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
A
N
A
L
Y
S
E
S
N E WS
SPOT
MARKE T
FUTURES
AUCT IONS
T ENDERS
F L O W S
P O WE R
D A T A
E V E N TS
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Energy news, data, analyses
PDFs, Excel and web access
-104
-127
215
449
28
-74
-424
-162
-184
437
-1,167
-724
-228
784
-753
260
-189
414
520
34
54
182
21
123
338
-459
-79
-422
-81
16
206
429
-124
-119
-498
-179
-96
320
-1,216
-788
-485
1,096
-880
112
-287
430
537
-12
-13
189
56
111
300
-417
-84
-440
-1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500
BG > SR
BG > RO
BG > MK
BG > GR
BG > TR
RO > HU
RO >RS
RO > UA
HU > UA
HU > RS
HU > SK
HU > AT
HU > HR
SI > HR
SI > AT
SI > IT
HR > BA
HR > RS
BA > RS
BA > ME
ME > AL
ME > RS
AL > RS
AL > GR
MK > GR
MK > RS
GR > TR
GR > IT
Commercial flows (MW, last 7 days Hourly AVG)
BASE PEAK
19,000 energy news, PDF, XLS, email notices
NEWS service on new web portal www.portal.balkanenergy.com
Day-ahead HUPX forecast and analytics
Month-ahead forecast / trading advices
HU + SEE SPOT SUPPORT
HU + SEE TRADING TOOL
All available on new web portal
www.portal.balkanenergy.com
September-18 forecast available