sjpt - 1h 2012
TRANSCRIPT
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUPBlvd Mihajla Pupina 115v, Block A3/711 070 Belgradewww.sinteza.net & www.sinteza.net/[email protected] +381 (0)11 2099 500
Analyst: Milos BijanicTel: +381 (0)11 2099 574
Email: [email protected]
MEMBER OF VICTORIA GROUP
SOJAPROTEIN
1H 2012
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Quarterly update
SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 2
Company Overview
Sojaprotein (SJPT) is a member of Victoria Group (a leading agricultural company in the region) and
represents the biggest regional and one of the most important soybean processor in south and east
Europe. It produces crude soya oil, soybean meal and varying range of products within the pool of human
food ingredients. The soybean used as an input is of the highest non-genetically modified (NON-GMOquality certified by Swiss-based SGS Agency) quality which gives the company outstanding competitive
advantage in the market.
From 150,000-160,000 ha under soybean corns in Serbia, 100,000 ha is for Sojaprotein's production
needs. Total company capacity is 300,000 tons per year of soybeans. 51% of total sales are exported to
foreign markets (EU, CEFTA, Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Middle East, Turkey). Total number of employees
at the end of June this year was 412 compared to 394 at the end of 2011.
General Information
Company Name Sojaprotein PLC
Country of Domicile Serbia
Home City BecejSector Manufacturing Industry
Security Type Ordinary Shares
ISIN RSSOJAE21837
CFI Code ESVUFR
Primary Stock Exchange The Belgrade Stock Exchange
Stock Exchange Ticker SJPT
Bloomberg Ticker SJPT:SG Equity
Stock Exchange Segment Prime market
Trading Method Continuous
Market-maker Sinteza Invest Group Ltd
Benchmark Belex15 Index
Number of Shares 14,895,524
Market Float 37.06%
Beta () n/a
Auditor Deloitte d.o.o.
Fiscal Year January 1 - December 31
Strengths/Opportunities Weakness/Threats
- focus on the added-value investment projects;-prevailing position in the soybean market,- increased transparency in the operating activities,- listed in the Prime market of the BSE,-EBRD in the shareholding structure (through majority
shareholder Victoria Group),-cutting edge technology and state-of-the art equipment
for the processing system,-non-GMO raw material base seen as the companys
competitive advantage,- listing of the parent company Victoria Group.
- possible slowdown of the investment cycles due tothe crisis;
- sales drop during the change in production structure;- possible threats to NON-GMO products export due tothe interests of some big GMO players in the market.
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Shareholding Structure
Sojaprotein as a part of Victoria Group (VG) which is a
regional leader in agribusiness has one of the better diversified
shareholding structure. VG holds 63% of Sojaprotein while the
rest of37% makes a solid market floatof the company.
Business Performance
Production
In first six months of 2012 total of 106,879 tons of soybean were processed (annual supply in 2011 was
230,000 tons) which is 0.5% less than in 1H 2011, but total quantity produced was 0.15% higher and
amounted to 100,290 tons. Processed soybean is distributed to 3 main business lines:
1. Soybean meal used for animals - the production fell by 10.1% due to the lower demand indomestic market.
2. Crude Soy Oil - rise by 3.4% due to the better quality of raw materials and higher efficiency.3. Human Food Ingredients solid increase by 23% due to the higher demand of products: BIG
(Flour and Grits jump by 27.5% y-o-y), TSP (20%) and Lecithin (11%).
4. Other Products 1 * y-o-y growth by 168% was the highest of all products type, but itsparticipation in total production is still low 3%. and at the end of 1H12 this class participated
Realization
In 1H 2012 sales amounted to RSD 5.4bn which is a solid 12.1% increase y-o-y (sales volume in the
same period totaled to 91,932 tons, 5.7% up y-o-y - about 8.4k tons less than produced. The result was
mainly due to HFI products which participated with 26.4% in total sales and recorded near 30% sales
jump y-o-y, because two product lines with the highest participation TSP (13.5%) and BIG (11.4%) had
great jump in sales - 35.5% and 28.3% respectively. Other products class saw highest jump amongst all
classes but its participation is still very low in total revenues, only 0.7% at the end of 1H 2012.
1 Includes SojaVita, Husk, oily residue, Sopro PTG / SH and services
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Soya Oil Soybean Meal Other Products Human FoodIngredients
tons
1H 2011
1H 2012
Victoria
Group
63.04%
FreeFloat
36.96%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
BIG TSP MIX Lecithin
tons
1H 2011
1H 2012
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 4
Important thing is that total exports in 1H 2012 recorded rise both in quantity and value which is in
accordance with the strategy of Sojaprotein. Volume of goods exported advanced by 11% y-o-y
participating at the end of 1H 2012 with 37% in total sales volume (around 2 p.p. higher than in the
same period of 2011). The rise has even more value knowing that all the increase came from the growth
in HFI products which have higher profitable margins than other product lines. Observed by value,
exports recorded even higher growth, soaring near 19% to RSD 2.75bn compared to 1H 2011, making
more than a half (51%) of the total revenues (48% in 1H 2011). EU is still the most important foreign
market with 84.7% of all exports.
BIG12%
TSP
10%MIX
0%
Lecithin
1%
Soya Oil
20%
Soybean
Meal55%
OtherProducts
2%
Quantity Breakdown
BIG11%
TSP
14%MIX
0%Lecithin
1%
Soya Oil
35%
SoybeanMeal
38%
OtherProducts
1%
Sales Breakdown
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Soya Oil Soybean Meal Other Products Human Food
Ingredients
tons Quantity sold per products: 1H 2012/1H2011
1H 2011
1H 2012
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
BIG TSP MIX Lecithin
tons
1H 2011
1H 2012
-400
100
600
1,100
1,600
2,100
Soya Oil Soybean Meal Other Products Human FoodIngredients
m RSD Sales per products: 1H 2012/ 1H2011
1H 2011
1H 2012
0100200300400500600700800
BIG TSP MIX Lecithin
m RSD
1H 2011
1H 2012
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 5
Financial Performance
In first six months this year total operating revenues recorded very good increase of 18% to RSD 7.6bn
y-o-y (near RSD 2bn was generated from sales with related parties almost 100% growth) but the rise
in operating expenses (due to the higher input prices as a result of a drought) pushed down EBITDA by7%. Higher depreciation and amortization costs because of the investments in fixed assets (new plant
and equipment) made EBIT to fall by 9%. Moreover, huge FX losses of more than RSD 400m made net
income to plunge 62% y-o-y.
FX EURRSD 84.95 93.95 103.04 101.95 101.93 110.82
Statement of Earnings (m RSD) 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
Operating Revenues 19,197 16,441 14,513 12,189 6,584 7,608
Sales 19,122 16,138 14,586 11,834 6,117 7,203
Growth - -16% -10% -19% - 18%
Change in Inventories 75 303 -73 355 467 405
Operating Expenses 17,255 14,925 12,794 10,981 5,837 6,926
COGS 10,304 6,172 3,979 1,818 1,158 1,643
Cost of Materials 6,055 7,808 7,846 7,915 4,095 4,607
Other Operating Expenses 896 945 969 1,248 584 676
EBITDA 2,090 1,666 1,867 1,399 839 782
Growth - -20% 12% -25% - -7%
EBIT 1,942 1,516 1,719 1,208 747 682
Growth - -22% 13% -30% - -9%
Other Non-Operating Items -1,534 -1,028 -927 -65 -78 -428
Net Income 408 488 792 1,143 669 254
Growth - 20% 62% 44% - -62%
PROFITABILITY - Margins 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
EBITDA Margin 10.9% 10.3% 12.8% 11.8% 13.7% 10.9%
EBIT Margin 10.2% 9.4% 11.8% 10.2% 12.2% 9.5%
Profit Margin 2.1% 3.0% 5.4% 9.7% 10.9% 3.5%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
m RSD
Sales and EBITDA
Sales EBITDA
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
%
Margins
EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Profit Margin
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 6
PROFITABILITY - Returns 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
Operating Return on Assets 9.9% 7.6% 9.2% 7.0% 10.5% 6.7%
Return on Assets (ROA) 2.1% 2.4% 4.2% 6.7% 9.5% 4.3%
Return on Equity (ROE) 5.9% 6.0% 8.1% 10.7% 14.0% 6.5%
Return on Capital (ROTC) 11.1% 8.5% 10.5% 7.8% 11.1% 7.1%
The increase of 38% in long-lived assets was a result of the earlier mentioned investments in new factory
and equipment (PP&E advanced 44%). Most of it the Company finances through long term borrowings
and thats why this position almost doubled (89%) on a y-o-y basis while compared to the end of 2011
the increase was 51%. On the other side, the encouraging was decrease of short-term liabilities which
plunged 20%. Although the long term liabilities made huge increase, own sources of finance participate
with 64% (2 p.p. fall over 2011) and therefore Sojaprotein has strong long-term financial stability and
lower long-term operating and financial risk.
FX EURRSD 88.60 95.89 105.50 104.64 102.46 115.82
Balance Sheet (m RSD) 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
Assets 19,572 20,373 17,072 17,294 15,816 18,115
Long-lived Assets 4,285 4,599 5,050 7,987 6,056 8,361
PP&E 3,584 3,728 4,184 7,117 5,189 7,490
Other Long-lived Assets 701 871 866 870 867 872
Current Assets 15,287 15,774 12,022 9,307 9,760 9,753
Inventories 6,858 8,261 5,727 4,744 2,554 4,835
Receivables 7,496 5,913 4,563 3,777 4,394 3,969
Cash and Cash Equivalents 493 88 221 524 256 259
Deferred Tax Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0
Equity 6,885 9,341 10,096 11,260 10,764 11,514
Liabilities 12,534 10,900 6,840 5,899 4,916 6,465
Long-term Borrowings 5,106 4,155 1,791 2,896 2,311 4,366
Other Long-term Liabilities 47 45 45 50 45 50
Short-term Liabilities 7,381 6,700 5,004 2,953 2,560 2,049
Short-term Borrowings 5,494 4,732 2,559 2,346 1,920 1,520
Accounts Payable 1,767 1,901 2,381 522 512 459
Other Short-term Liabilities 120 67 64 85 128 70
Deferred Tax Liabilities 154 132 136 136 136 136
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
% Source Structure
Equity Long-term Borrowings Short-term Borrowings
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
m RSD Asset Structure
Long-lived Assets Current Assets
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 7
LIQUIDITY 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
Current Ratio 2.07 2.35 2.40 3.15 3.81 4.76
Quick Ratio 1.14 1.12 1.26 1.55 2.81 2.40
Cash Ratio 0.07 0.01 0.04 0.18 0.10 0.13
SOLVENCY 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012
Debt-to-Equity 1.54 0.95 0.43 0.47 0.39 0.51
Debt-to-Capital 0.61 0.49 0.30 0.32 0.28 0.34
Debt-to-Assets 0.54 0.44 0.25 0.30 0.27 0.32
Financial Leverage 2.84 2.18 1.69 1.54 1.47 1.57
Trading
The company paid out stock dividends in its history by converting retained earnings into stated capital.
The reason has been the aim of the major shareholder to make the capital base of Sojaprotein firm andstable. While on the road of new investment cycles, Sojaprotein does not plan to pay out cash dividends.
MAIN STOCK VALUES 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012 26-Sep-12
Price 562 687 562 565 984 527 437
Face Value N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Book Value per Share (BVPS) 462 627 678 756 723 773 773
Basic Earnings per Share (EPS)* 27.4 32.8 53.2 76.7 101.4 48.9 48.9
Dividend per Share (DVPS) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - -
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - -
*calculated on total outstanding (not weighted average) number of ordinary shares
MAIN VALUATION INDICATORS 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2011 1H 2012 26-Sep-12
Price-to-Earnings 20.52 20.97 10.57 7.36 9.71 10.78 8.94
Price-to-EBITDA 4.01 6.14 4.48 6.02 7.77 5.85 4.85
Price-to-Book 1.22 1.10 0.83 0.75 1.36 0.68 0.57
Price-to-Sales 0.44 0.63 0.57 0.71 1.05 0.61 0.50
Market Cap (in m RSD) 8,371 10,233 8,371 8,416 14,657 7,850 6,509
Enterprise Value (m RSD) 18,478 19,032 12,500 13,134 18,632 13,477 12,136
Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA 8.84 11.42 6.70 9.39 9.88 10.05 9.05
Enterprise Value-to-EBIT 9.52 12.55 7.27 10.87 11.23 11.78 10.61
INFORMATION ON STOCK PRICE 26-Sep-12
Last Price 437
All-Time-High 6,699
All-Time-Low 180
52-Week-Change -25.0%
1M -11.7%
YTD -22.7%
INFORMATION ON TRADING (m RSD) 26-Sep-12
Last Trading Value 48,507
5-Day-Trading Value 2,510,755
30-Day-Trading Value 21,896,700
90-Day-Trading Value 423,891,231
YTD Average 3,817,049
Last Trading Volume 111
5-Day-Trading Volume 5,752
30-Day-Trading Volume 48,213
90-Day-Trading Volume 809,771YTD Average 7,211
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 8
Growth Plans and Projections
Last year Sojaprotein began the investment worth EUR 26.2m for the production of traditional soya
protein concentrates (higher phase of soybean processing) total capacity of 70,000 t/y. The production of
this new product replacing the production of soybean meal started in the second half of this year and is
supposed to generate revenues worth EUR 57m at full rate of utilization, which is expected to be next
year. The operational efficiency will more than doubled the EBITDA margin, from current 11% to 24%.
Additionally, Sojaprotein starts the new investment cycle next year for the production of functional soya
protein concentrates which are expected to generate annual revenues of EUR 25m after full utilization
that is expected in 2014 (one year after the investment has been completed). The utilization rate in the
first year is estimated to be 50%. The investment is worth EUR 29.7m and represents the second stage
after which the Company will be fully vertically integrated.
The future levels of companys sales are based on indiv idual projections of volume sold of each product
and forecasted sale price. The company plans to sell 40k tons of soya oil in 2012 and 37k tons of the
same product by 2015. Since it changes the production structure, Sojaprotein will produce 77.4k tons of
soybean meal in 2012 and cease the production in 2013. This year the company will start producing
traditional SPC of 32.5k tons and increase the production to 70k in 2013, 60.6k in 2014 and 54k tons in
2015. In 2014 the production of functional SPC will begin and increase to the full capacity of 15.5k tons
by 2015. The volume of the production and sale of human food ingredients shall remain at the same
levels as it was for last couple of years.
From 2012 to 2015 sales is expected to grow at the compound annual growth rate of 13.65% and
EBITDA to increase at CAGR of great 40.75% at the same time frame.
0
50
100
150
200
250
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
23-Sep-11 23-Jan-12 23-May-12 23-Sep-12
m RSDRSD
Price and Turnover
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
m RSDSales & EBITDA
Sales Revenues EBITDA
SharePrice
Belex15
Index
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
30-Dec-11 24-Mar-12 17-Jun-12 10-Sep-12
%Benchmark Comparison
12.5%
19.9%
24.0% 23.8%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
EBITDA Margin
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 9
Proforma Income Statement (m RSD) 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
Operating Revenues 12,400 15,416 17,159 17,960
Sales Revenues 12,091 15,174 16,594 17,749
Growth 2% 26% 9% 7%Other Operating Revenues 82 84 87 88
Change in Inventories 228 157 478 123
Operating Expenses 11,160 12,737 13,665 14,247
Cost of Sales (COGS) 0 0 0 0
Cost of Materials 9,867 11,333 12,014 12,526
Growth 25% 15% 6% 4%
EBITDA 1,520 3,032 4,005 4,239
Growth 9% 99% 32% 6%
EBIT 1,240 2,679 3,494 3,714
Growth 3% 116% 30% 6%
Net Income 682 1,923 2,609 2,800
Growth -40% 182% 36% 7%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
m RSDEBIT & Profit
EBIT Net Income
10.2%
17.6%
20.9% 20.8%
5.6%
12.6%
15.6% 15.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
EBIT & Profit Margin
EBIT Margin Profit Margin
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SINTEZA INVEST GROUP | SJPT, 1H 2012 10
Appendix
Sources
Belex, Sojaprotein, SIG, Bloomberg.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of undersigned analyst about the issuer of the security. The
undersigned analyst has not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view in this report. The
recommendation has not been disclosed to anyone prior to public release.
Disclaimer
The data in this material is of the informative nature and is intended exclusively as a basis for the further reconsideration. The company
Sinteza Invest Group ad has prepared this material with all the necessary care and based on the data it received from the sources it
believes to be reliable. Sinteza Invest Group ad does not guarantee for the accuracy, promptness, completeness and correctness of the
data in this material. The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts may well be affected by subsequent changes in market
conditions. This report does not take into account the investment objective, financial situation or particular needs of any particular
investor. Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making an investment
decision based on the recommendations in this report. This report is disseminated and available primarily electronically to professional
investors and may not be reproduced in whole or in part, or published for any purpose. Additional information is available on request.