slides and trainer materials viennasep08

Upload: yada-hidayat

Post on 04-Apr-2018

221 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    1/85

    How to Prepare and Present

    Proposals:

    a twelve session trainers workshop

    Improving our capacity to prepare complete and

    balanced proposals shortens the path from good ideas

    to implementation.

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    2/85

    Session 1Overview

    Why are we here?

    What are we expected to accomplish?

    What information and techniques will weshare?

    What are the different examples and

    problems we will work on? How will we critique our work?

    Information Technique Cases Teaching OptionsFeedback Improvements

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    3/85

    Proposal Samples

    Mozambique Sugar to Ethanol

    Egypt Waste to Electricity

    Kenya Bagasse to Electricity China Waste Water Treatment

    Senegal Solar Milling

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    4/85

    Typical Proposal Problems

    Incomplete or Imbalanced

    Misdirected

    Non-responsive

    Terminology Gap

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    5/85

    Schedule and Approach

    Day 1-preparatory work Day 2-building a proposals Day 3-presenting a proposal and training others

    Lectures + Exercises + Feedback Primary Exercises-Working as teams, sharingfive proposal examples.

    Authors will help teams understand theproposal; teams will assist authors in suggestingimprovements

    Feedback will concentrate on the strengths andweaknesses of each session

    Wiki, Memory Sticks and all-in-one

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    6/85

    Preparing and Presenting ProposalsA Guidebook on Preparing Technology Transfer Projects for Financing

    Chapter 1Summary

    Chapter 2Before Preparing a Proposal

    Chapter 3Preparing a Proposal

    Chapter 4Presenting a Proposal

    Chapter 5Customizing a Proposal

    Information Boxes and Lessons Learned

    Templates and Other Annexes

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    7/85

    Basic Concepts

    Proposal

    Champion and Enabler

    Money, time and otherresources

    Idea + Request

    P r o p o s a l

    EnablerChampion

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    8/85

    Session 1 Exercise

    You are preparing a budget. How is this aproposal?

    You are asked to approve a trip. How is this a

    proposal? A school needs books. You decide to raisemoney for the school. Who is the Champion andhow is your decision a proposal? Who are the

    enablers? Is it still a proposal if you simply buy the books

    yourself and send the books to the school?

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    9/85

    Feedback and Break

    Too long, too short?

    Too simple, too much?

    Lecture and Exercise Critique Questions and Discussions helped,

    distracted?

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    10/85

    Session 2Method: Seven Questions

    Information-the seven key questions

    Technique-building block approach

    Information-content for two of the fiveproposals

    Exercise-as a group we will conduct apreliminary inventory of two proposals,

    identify the seven key pieces of content (ornot) and address a core issue: Is it clearwhat is being requested?

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    11/85

    Method

    What?

    Where?

    Who?

    Why?

    How?

    BaseCase

    What If?

    To Whom?

    Proposal

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    12/85

    Preparing and PresentingProposals: Building Blocks

    1. What? Product, service, technology, client

    2. Where? Location, market, operating and regulatory conditions

    3. Who? Champion, owners, sponsors, team, approval bodies, stakeholders

    4. Why? Financial, social, environmental, market, growth

    5. How? Status, milestones, schedule, costs, revenues, grants, loans, investment

    6. What if? Schedule changes, output and cost variances, kep person events

    7. To Whom? Grant-makers, Lenders, Investors, Specialized Programs, Others

    What? Where? Who? Why? How?

    Base Case

    What If? To Whom?Proposal

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    13/85

    Guidebook Checklist

    Read Egypt and Kenya

    See Page 16 of Guidebook

    Conduct a preliminary inventory ofproposals

    Identify included and missing parts

    Is it clear what is being requested?

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    14/85

    Session 3 - Numbers: accounting,finance and scheduling concepts

    Information: key terms used in thequantitative portions of proposals

    Technique: debt service, net present

    value, internal rate of return incomestatement, balance sheet planning,construction and operations

    Exercise: simple payback Ellen and NikiBuy a Coffeepot) compound interestcalculationssee Guidebook Page 39

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    15/85

    Basic ConceptsTime Periods and Money

    Planning

    Construction

    Pre-operation

    Operation

    Capital Cost

    Capital Grants

    Loans, Debt

    Equity

    Revenue

    Operating Costs

    Operating Grants

    Net Operating Revenue

    Debt Service

    Cash Flow

    Dividends

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    16/85

    Time Periods and Money

    Planning

    Construction

    Pre-operation Operation

    Capital Cost Capital Grants Loans, Debt

    Equity Revenue Operating Costs Operating Grants Net Revenue Debt Service Cash Flow Dividends

    CAPITAL

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    17/85

    Time Periods and Money

    Planning

    Construction

    Pre-operation

    Operation

    Capital Cost

    Capital Grants

    Loans, Debt

    Equity

    Revenue Operating Costs

    Operating Grants

    Net Revenue Debt Service

    Cash Flow

    Dividends

    OPERATING

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    18/85

    Planning includes

    Technical analysis

    Site selection

    Environmental and social assessments

    Feasibility analysis

    Obtaining all permits and approvals

    Finding, negotiating and closing the necessary fundingto make a proposal reality

    During the planning period, the Champion must track

    and record time spent on activities. Sometimes calledsweat equity, this information becomes extremelyhelpful in later discussions, especially with new potentialinvestor-owners.

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    19/85

    Construction and pre-operationinclude:

    Site acquisition

    Preparation of land

    Building of structures

    Installation of infrastructure

    Acquisition and installation of equipment

    Setting up offices and distribution points

    Acquisition of operating equipment (vehicles, office,maintenance)

    Fees to be paid to experts Fees to be paid or credited as shares of ownership to

    Champions

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    20/85

    An operating budget and planincludes:

    Revenue estimates that show both the number of units expected tobe produced and the value of each unit

    Labour costs (separated between labour to produce the product orservice and labour to run the company or the programme)

    Raw materials to produce the product or service (e.g., fuel toproduce electricity or untreated bed-nets and the special coating tobe applied)

    Transport: fuel, maintenance Communications: phone, fax, e-mail, postage Utilities: heat, cooling, water, electricity Packaging

    Office supplies Equipment rental Insurance Accounting and auditing services

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    21/85

    Basic ConceptsFinancial Analysis

    Cash Flow

    Interest

    Debt Service Net Present Value

    Internal Rate of Return

    Debt Service Coverage Ratios Project Rate of Return

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    22/85

    InterestYear 0 (when the money is borrowed) = 1,000

    Add 12% for year 1 = 120Balance at end of year = 1,120.00

    Add 12% for year 2 = 134.40

    Balance at end of year 2 = 1,254.40

    Add 12 % for year 3 = 150.53Balance at end of year 3 = 1,404.93

    Add 12% for year 4 = 168.59Balance at end of year 4 = 1,573.52

    Add 12% for year 5 = 188.82

    Balance at end of year 5 = 1,762.34

    FV = P(1 + R) N

    1762.34=1000(1+.12)5

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    23/85

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    24/85

    FV = P(1 + R)n

    Where:

    FV = future value

    P = principal (initial amount)

    R = annual rate of interest (also abbreviated as lowercase i)

    n = number of years

    FV = 1000(1+.12)5

    * = multiplied by 1.12 * 1.12 * 1.12 * 1.12 * 1.12 = 1.7623

    1000 * 1.7623 = 1762.34

    Compounding

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    25/85

    Compounding: a calculation showing 1,000 at 12 per centinterest compounded yearly for five years follows:

    Year 0 (when the money is borrowed) = 1,000

    Add 12% for year 1 = 120

    Balance at end of year = 1,120.00

    Add 12% for year 2 = 134.40

    Balance at end of year 2 = 1,254.40

    Add 12 % for year 3 = 150.53

    Balance at end of year 3 = 1,404.93

    Add 12% for year 4 = 168.59

    Balance at end of year 4 = 1,573.52

    Add 12% for year 5 = 188.82

    Balance at end of year 5 = 1,762.34

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    26/85

    PaymentMethods

    Year1

    Year2

    Year3

    Year4

    Year5

    Totalpayment

    A - Bullet 120 120 120 120 1,120 1,600

    B - EqualAnnual

    orMortgage

    277 277 277 277 277 1,385

    C - Equalprincipal

    320 296 272 248 224 1,360

    Debt ServiceRepay 1,000 over five years at 12 per cent three methods

    Five year net present value at

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    27/85

    Five-year net present value at12 per cent discount rate

    Year1

    Year2

    Year3

    Year4

    Year 5Totalpay-ment

    NPV,12%,five

    years

    CaseA

    120 120 120 120 1,120 1,600 1,000

    Case

    B

    277 277 277 277 277 1,385 1,000

    CaseC

    320 296 272 248 224 1,360 1,000

    See Annex 5, Page 191 for formula and factors

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    28/85

    IRR and NPV

    Year 0Amt.

    out

    Year1

    Amt.

    in

    Yr.2

    Yr. 3 Yr. 4 Yr. 5 Total

    1. -1,000 300 240 240 270 350 400

    2. -1,000 350 280 350 280 140 400

    3. -1,000 350 350 300 200 200 400

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    29/85

    IRR and NPV

    Year 0Amt.out

    Year 1Amt.

    in

    Yr.2

    Yr.3

    Yr. 4 Yr. 5 TotalNPV @

    13%

    1. -1,000 300 240 240 270 350 400 -22

    2. -1,000 350 280 350 280 140 600 +17

    3. -1,000 350 350 300 200 200 400 +20

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    30/85

    IRR and NPV

    Year 0Amt.out

    Year 1Amt. in

    Yr.2

    Yr. 3 Yr. 4 Yr. 5

    NPV@13%

    IRR

    1. -1,000 300 240 240 270 350 -22 12.0%

    2. -1,000 350 280 350 280 140 +17 13.9%

    3. -1,000 350 350 300 200 200 +20 14.1%

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    31/85

    Debt Service and DSCRs

    Debt service

    optionsYear 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total

    Case A 120 120 120 120 1,120 1,600

    Case B 277 277 277 277 277 1,385

    Case C 320 296 272 248 224 1,360

    Debt servicecoverageratio

    Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5Years

    15

    Case A 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 0.4 1.4

    Case B 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6

    Case C 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.6

    Year 1 2 3 4 5 1-5Funds Available 400 420 440 460 480 2,200

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    32/85

    Financial Concepts

    Interest

    Principal

    Debt Service

    Net Present Value

    Internal Rate of Return

    Debt Service Coverage

    Ratios

    i

    P or p

    P+I

    NPV

    IRR

    DSCR

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    33/85

    Session 4 Process: fact-finding tobase case to finished proposal

    Information Content: taking the sevenquestions and using these to complete a

    proposal Technique Content: template paper or

    Excel-based proposal building

    Exercise: by team, conduct an inventory ofthe five sample proposals

    Preparing and Presenting

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    34/85

    Preparing and PresentingProposals: Building Blocks

    1. What? Product, service, technology, client

    2. Where? Location, market, operating and regulatory conditions

    3. Who? Champion, owners, sponsors, team, approval bodies, stakeholders

    4. Why? Financial, social, environmental, market, growth

    5. How? Status, milestones, schedule, costs, revenues, grants, loans, investment

    6. What if? Schedule changes, output and cost variances, kep person events

    7. To Whom? Grant-makers, Lenders, Investors, Specialized Programs, Others

    What? Where? Who? Why? How?

    Base Case

    What If? To Whom?Proposal

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    35/85

    Preparing and PresentingProposals: Initial Questions

    What? Product, service, technology, clients

    Where?Location, market, operating and regulatory

    conditions

    Who?Champion, owners, sponsors, team, suppliers,

    approval bodies, stakeholders

    Why?Financial, social, environmental returns,

    benefits and issues, market and replicationpotential, sustainability

    How?

    Current status, milestones, metrics, schedule,

    costs, revenues, grants, loans, investment

    F I iti l Q ti t B C

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    36/85

    From Initial Questions to Base Case

    What?

    Where?

    Who?

    Why?

    How?

    BaseCase

    F I iti l Q ti t B C

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    37/85

    From Initial Questions to Base Case

    What?

    Where?

    Who?

    Why?

    How?

    BaseCase

    Planning Costs and Schedule

    Construction Costs and Schedule

    Planning and Capital Grants

    Debt and Equity

    Operations Commencement andRoll-out

    Revenues

    Operating Grants

    Operating Expenses

    Net Revenue from Operations

    Depreciation, Taxes, Debt Service

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    38/85

    Session 5What? And Where?

    Information Content: the differentdimensions of defining product, service,technology, clients, market and setting

    Technique Content: us of templates Exercise: by teams, investigate the

    What? and the Where? of one sample

    proposal, record Notes and Comments tobe shared with other teams and proposalauthors

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    39/85

    Product or Service

    Are you offering a Product or Service?

    Product Service Both Other

    Is the Product or Service New?

    New New to thisarea

    Existing Other

    Have customers seen this Product or Service before?

    Never Sawelsewhere

    Yes, existslocally

    Other

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    40/85

    TechnologyDescription

    Reference for further technicaldetails

    Where is thistechnology

    used?

    Is the technology successul inthese places?

    Globally Yes No Don't know

    In thiscountry

    Yes No Don't know

    In this local Yes No Don't know

    Customer

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    41/85

    What types of customers will youserve?

    Individuals orfamilies Smallbusinesses

    Largebusinesses

    Other

    Approximately how many customers will be served innext 3 years?

    Average Customer Income / Revenue

    Average Customer Income / Revenue

    Trends

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    42/85

    Session 6Who? and How?

    Information Content: the variety of humanand institutional skills and motivations tobe considered in creating animplementation teams and a plan

    Technique content: use of templates tobuild such an inventory

    Exercise: teams switch proposals and

    prepare an assessment of the team andthe plan, creating a series of questionsand notes to be shared with other teams

    and the proposal author

    Champion Self-Assessment

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    43/85

    What is your main motivation for starting thisbusiness?

    Earn a regular income

    Be involved day to day

    Be involved only part-timeEarn a one-time fee or lump-sum

    payment

    Create a valuable business over time by growing it slowly

    Engage family membersGain experience

    Improve the well-being of a particularcommunity

    Improve the environment

    Other Please

    Describe the skills your team members have (check all that

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    44/85

    apply):

    Pleasespecify

    Level ofcompetence

    Technical

    Operational

    Financial

    Legal

    Sales

    Service

    Negotiation

    Marketing

    Political

    Fundraising

    Other

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    45/85

    Planning Costs Year -2 Year -1 Year 0

    P1Obtaining all

    permits -

    P2 Technical analysis -

    P3

    Negotiating andpreparingcontracts

    -

    P4

    Negotiating andpreparingcontracts -

    P5 Technical analysis -

    P6 -

    P7 -

    Month Number

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    46/85

    Month Number

    Planning tasksResponsible

    personEstimated

    cost Start Finish

    P1 Permits Name 15,000 1 12

    P2Technical

    analysis I Name 10,000 1 12

    P3 Contracts I Name 5,000 1 12

    P4 Contracts II Name 10,000 13 24

    P5Technical

    analysis II Name 5,000 13 24

    P6

    P7

    P8P9

    P1

    0

    45,000

    Construction /

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    47/85

    Pre-operationsCosts Year -2 Year -1 Year 0 Year 1

    C

    1Land Acquisition

    C2

    Final engineeringand design

    C3Machinery

    C 4MachineryC

    5Machinery

    C6Machinery

    C

    7TestingC

    8Testing

    C9Testing

    Subtotal - - - - -

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    48/85

    Construction tasksResponsible

    person Estimated cost

    C1 Land acquisition Name 240,000

    C2 Engineering Name 110,000

    C3 Machinery 1 Name 2,381

    C4 Machinery 2 Name 200,000

    C5 Machinery 3 Name 111,000

    C6 Machinery 4 Name 22,333

    C7 Testing 1 Name 300,000

    C8 Testing 2 Name 33,334

    C9

    C10Interest during

    construction Name 50,952

    1,070,000

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    49/85

    Revenues Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Yea

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    50/85

    Revenues Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Yea

    Units

    Revenue per Unit

    R1 Revenue from 1

    Units

    Revenue per Unit

    R2 Revenue from 2

    Units

    Revenue per Unit

    R3 Revenue from 3

    REVENUES - - - -

    RESULTSTotal, all

    years Year -2 Year -1 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    51/85

    RESULTS years Year -2 Year -1 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

    Planning Costs - - - -

    Construction / Pre-operations

    Costs - - - -CAPITAL COSTS - - - -

    Grants and Subsides

    For Planning, Construction orPre-Operations

    - -

    - -

    GRANTS AND SUBSIDIES - - - - - - -

    REVENUES - - - -

    OPERATING COSTS - - - -

    NET REV.FROMOPERATIONS - - - - - - -

    Operating Grant - -

    "EBITDA" - - - - - - -

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    52/85

    We know from previous steps the following:

    Capital Costs -

    from Grants -

    Balance -

    Owner's Equity Investment

    Balance to be Raised -

    Equity from new owner - investors

    Balance to be raised from loans -

    yeThe Following Table represents the venture in operation. It brings forward data from the

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    53/85

    The Following Table represents the venture in operation. It brings forward data from the"How Templates 1-7."

    Year Year -2 Year -1

    Capital Cost

    from Donors Capital Grants - - -

    from Owner-Investors Equity Investment -

    from Lenders Loans -

    Capital Cost - - -

    Operations Year Year -2 Year -1

    Revenues -

    Operating Grants or Subsidies -

    Operating Costs -

    Net Revenues from Operations "EBITDA" -For Length of LoanOnly

    Interest #NUM!Taxes

    Depreciation

    Net Income

    Add Back: Depreciation

    Less: Amortization / Principal Payments

    Net Cash Flow to Owner-Investors IRR #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #

    Year -2 Year -1 Year 0

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    54/85

    Capital costs

    From donors Capital grants 50,000 50,00

    From owner-investors Equity investment 465,000 174,648 159,366 130,986

    From lenders Loans 600,000 225,352 205,634 169,014

    Capital costs 1,115,000 400,000 365,000 350,00

    Operations Year -2 Year -1 Year 0Revenues 4,290,000

    Operating grants or subsidies 12,500

    Operating costs 1,880,000

    Net revenues from operations

    (EBITDA) 1,532,500 (For length of loan only)

    Interest 314,446

    Taxes

    Depreciation

    Net income

    Add back: Depreciation

    Less: amortization/ principal

    payments 600,000

    Net cash flow to

    owner-investors IRR 8.4% (174,648) (159,366) (130,366

    DSCR 1.68

    S i 7

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    55/85

    Session 7Why? impacts and benefits

    Information Content: classifying the type ofproject from an environmental perspective andcreating an inventory of the benefits offered by aproposal

    Technique Content: recognizing projectdifferences and impacts, thinking beyondconventional classifications to realize themaximum triple bottom line

    Exercise: with authors joining the proposalteams the notes, comments and questions thusfar will be reviewed and the impacts and benefitsof the projects discussed.

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    56/85

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    57/85

    Typical category C projects

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    58/85

    yp g y p j

    Pre-feasibility studypreparation

    Energy efficiency

    Consulting firms Share registries

    Service industries Stock broking

    Technical assistance Retail banking

    Exclusions -- of course, there are activities with the clear potentialt t bl i l d i t l i k th t t d t

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    59/85

    to pose unacceptable social and environmental risks that tend tobe unclassified as A, B or C. Examples of projects to be avoided

    include:

    Production or activities involving harmful or exploitative forms of child labour Production of or trade in any product or activity deemed illegal under host

    country laws or regulations or international conventions and agreements Production of or trade in weapons and munitions Production of or trade in alcoholic beverages (excluding beer and wine) Production of or trade in tobacco

    Gambling casinos and equivalent enterprises Trade in wildlife or wildlife products regulated under Convention on

    International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora(CITES)

    Production of or trade in radioactive materials Production of or trade in or use of unbonded asbestos fibres

    Commercial logging operations in primary humid tropical forest Production of or trade in products containing polychlorinated biphenyls(PCBs)

    Production of or trade in pharmaceuticals subject to phase-outs or bans Production of or trade in ozone-depleting substances subject to phase-out Drift-net fishing in the marine environment using nets in excess of 2 km in

    length

    People withAccess to

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    60/85

    Access toModern Energy

    Services People with Access to WaterCumulative Clean Energy

    Generated/MWH

    Energy saved fromEfficiency

    initiatives/MWH

    4,313,198 93,325 867,818 122,525

    Jobs Supported Improved IncomeWomen Ownership/

    ShareholdingEntrepreneurs receiving

    services

    4,034 $ 10,336,199 108 984

    Capital MobilizedE+Co's Portfolio Return

    after Write-offsPotential Growth or Follow-

    On CapitalE+Co Repayments to

    Investors

    $183,169,170 7.9% $ 119,900,000 $5,306,289

    CO2 Offsets byEnterprises/tons

    CO2 Offset for Life ofProject/projected tons

    Value of CO2 Offsets for Lifeof Project

    Reforested Land/Hectares and Number of

    Trees

    3,431,790 17,368,845 $ 86,844,223~320,000 trees/ 280

    hectares

    Kerosene Firewood & Charcoal

    Session 8 the base case

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    61/85

    Session 8 the base case

    Information Content-base casecomponents

    Technique Content-template entry and use

    of default values and basic assumptions

    Exercise-teams and authors enter dataand begin the compile a list of what could

    go wrong, filling in default assumptionswhere data is not available

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    62/85

    Planning Costs Year -2 Year -1 Year 0

    P1 Obtaining all permits -

    P2 Technical analysis -

    P3

    Negotiating and preparingcontracts

    -

    P4

    Negotiating and preparingcontracts

    -

    P5 Technical analysis -

    P6 -

    P7 -

    P8 -

    P9 -

    P10 -

    TOTAL - - - -

    Construction / Pre-

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    63/85

    operationsCosts Year -2 Year -1 Year 0 Year 1

    C1 Land Acquisition

    C2

    Final engineering and

    design

    C3 Machinery

    C4 Machinery

    C5 Machinery

    C6 Machinery

    C7 Testing

    C8 Testing

    C9 Testing

    Subtotal - - - - -

    C10

    Annual Interestduringconstruction=

    5%

    - - - - -

    TOTAL - - - - -

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    64/85

    Grants and Subsidies Year -2 Year -1 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2

    1 For Planning or Construction / Pre-operation

    NEW requests

    Existing or other requested grants and subsidies

    2 For Operation-NEW

    For Operation-Existing or other requested

    TOTAL - - - - -

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    65/85

    Revenues Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year

    Units

    Revenue per Unit

    R1 Revenue from 1

    Units

    Revenue per Unit

    R2 Revenue from 2

    Units

    Revenue per Unit

    R3 Revenue from 3

    REVENUES - - - - -

    RESULTSTotal, all

    years Year -2 Year -1 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    66/85

    Planning Costs - - - -

    Construction / Pre-operationsCosts - - - -

    CAPITAL COSTS - - - -

    Grants and Subsides

    For Planning, Construction orPre-Operations

    - -

    - -

    GRANTS AND SUBSIDIES - - - - - - -

    REVENUES - - - -

    OPERATING COSTS - - - -NET REVENUE FROM

    OPERATIONS - - - - - - -

    Operating Grant - -

    "EBITDA" - - - - - - -

    Simple Feasibility Test - - - - - -

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    67/85

    We know from previous steps the following:

    Capital Costs -

    from Grants -

    Balance -

    Owner's Equity Investment

    Balance to be Raised -

    Equity from new owner - investors

    Balance to be raised from loans -

    Base Case

    S

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    68/85

    Sye

    The Following Table represents the venture in operation. It brings forward data from the"How Templates 1-7."

    Year Year -2 Year -1

    Capital Cost

    from Donors Capital Grants - - -

    from Owner-Investors Equity Investment -

    from Lenders Loans -Capital Cost - - -

    Operations Year Year -2 Year -1

    Revenues -

    Operating Grants or Subsidies -

    Operating Costs -

    Net Revenues from Operations "EBITDA" -For Length of LoanOnly

    Interest #NUM!

    Taxes

    Depreciation

    Net Income

    Session 9

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    69/85

    Session 9What if? sensitivity analysis

    Information Content use of checklists ofthings that might go wrong

    Technique Content risk analysis,

    sensitivity analysis grouping like eventsand impacts

    Exercise a series of sensitivity cases will

    be prepared and an inventory made of keyversus other risks

    From Base Case to Final Questions

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    70/85

    Q

    What?

    Where?

    Who?

    Why?

    How?

    BaseCase

    What If?

    To Whom

    From Base Case to Final Questions

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    71/85

    BaseCase

    What If?

    To Whom

    WHAT IF?

    Schedule disruptions

    Cost and revenue variances

    Output differences

    Key person changes

    Laws, regulations, owners,

    sponsors, staffing, political

    Changes

    TO WHOM?

    Customers

    Donors

    Lenders

    Investors

    Completion risk involves the risk that something

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    72/85

    p gstarted might not be completed after a lender hasmade funds available. This can happen when aproposal costs far more than originally expected or

    the market has changed significantly duringconstruction. Completion risk can be managedthrough the type of contract entered into to design,build and commission (start operation).

    Technology risk involves something not performingas planned or becoming obsolete far more rapidlythan expected. If the technology never performs asagreed to in the installation phase this can be part ofcompletion risk, but generally it is considered to bein a separate category. Technology risk is most oftenmanaged through guarantees and warranties fromthe suppliers of equipment and also through theacceptance testing process. Longer-termperformance can be enhanced through operationsand maintenance contracts and various types of

    insurance.

    Supply risk involves raw materials not being

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    73/85

    Supply risk involves raw materials not beingavailable. This can include resources which theproject is going to use (e.g., a mine or a

    plantation forest) or buy (e.g., fuel or supplies).Managing supply risk sometimes requiresentering contracts for sufficiently long enoughperiods of time and with predictable prices toassure an uninterrupted supply of inputs.

    Economic risk exists even after a project iscompleted, the technology is working and theinputs are available. The result might be

    inefficient or the estimated market (demand)evaporates. Confidence in (conservative andrealistic) market projections and the Championsdemonstration of market knowledge andawareness are crucial in managing economic

    risk.

    Political risk involves the risk that the rules andregulations governing a proposal might change

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    74/85

    regulations governing a proposal might change.A good example might be the risk that agovernment may arbitrarily raise the taxes on a

    project to render it not economic. Environmental risk involves unknown

    environmental conditions that might disrupt aplan after it is begun.

    Social risk is a category that takes into accountall manner of social disturbances or disruptionsthat can impair a proposals implementation.

    Force majeure risk is the risk that somethingcatastrophic a storm, an earthquake, adevastating accident may cause a project tofail. Insurance programmes directly addressforce majeure risks.

    Financial risk occurs either when variable

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    75/85

    Financial risk occurs either when variableinterest rates are used, refinancing of the projectis assumed sometime during its life or additional

    financing is required in the future. Interest rateschange. Large changes can make an enterprisenon-competitive or not liquid (liquidity meanshaving the cash to meet repayment obligation to

    lenders). Currency risk is closely related to financial risk

    and could be lumped into that category, but thevery nature of technology transfer projects

    warrants it being treated separately. Currencyrisk involves the difference between the value ofthe currency that impacts income or expensesand the value of the currency in which the loan

    repayments must be made.

    Session 10

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    76/85

    Session 10To Whom?

    Information Content: types of enablers andfunders, relationship of funders to rates ofreturn

    Technique Content: classifying andmatching funding needs to enablers

    Exercise: teams (with authors) create a list

    of what to pursue Peter Storey introduces PFAN

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    77/85

    Beginning the Search

    Estimated rate of return Type of funding

    Negative or zeroGrants and subsidies

    Zero to between 5 and 7per cent

    Donors and investors who considersocial and environmental returns aswell as financial ones

    Over 57 per centSpecialized lender-investor-donors

    who see the blended value potentialof investments are likely targets

    Above 10 per cent

    Private-sector investors and lenders

    Return

    potential

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    78/85

    potential

    15%

    10%

    5%

    0%

    Donors and

    specialized

    programmesOwner

    investorsFinancial

    investors

    Triple-

    bottom-line

    investorsExperts,

    suppliers, etc.

    Looking forPLANNINGsupport

    15%

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    79/85

    15%

    10%

    5%

    0%

    Donors and

    specialized

    programsOwner-

    investorsFinancial

    investors Lenders

    Triple-

    bottom-

    line

    investors

    Experts,

    suppliers,

    etc.Major

    customers

    Looking for

    CONSTRUCTIONFinance

    Return Potential

    Return

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    80/85

    potential Operations stage

    15%

    10%

    5%

    0%

    Donors and

    specialized

    programmes CustomersExperts,

    suppliers, etc. LendersOwner-

    investorsGovernment

    subsidy

    Funding forOPERATIONS

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    81/85

    C b M ti ti E i

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    82/85

    Carbon Monetization Exercise

    S i ti

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    83/85

    Summarization

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    84/85

    Session 12

  • 7/31/2019 Slides and Trainer Materials ViennaSep08

    85/85

    Session 12Teaching Others

    Information Content: review of theinformation and techniques conveyed,methods used and exercises

    Technique Content: feedback andimprovements suggestions onadaptations and usefulness

    Exercise: team feedback, author feedback,individual feedback inventory ofmaterials needed