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Page 1: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inferring Inequality with Home Production

Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis

University of Minnesota University of Minnesota

FRB of Minneapolis FRB of Minneapolis

April 2020

Page 2: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

The question

Existing research on inequality in labor markets:

documents dispersion in wages, labor supply, consumption

examines sources, welfare effects, policy implications of dispersion

Motivation for incorporating home production into inequality research:

alters standard of living measures

smooths differences in market? uninsurable differences at home?

How do inferences from dispersion change with home production?

1 / 32

Page 3: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

The question

Existing research on inequality in labor markets:

documents dispersion in wages, labor supply, consumption

examines sources, welfare effects, policy implications of dispersion

Motivation for incorporating home production into inequality research:

alters standard of living measures

smooths differences in market? uninsurable differences at home?

How do inferences from dispersion change with home production?

1 / 32

Page 4: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

The question

Existing research on inequality in labor markets:

documents dispersion in wages, labor supply, consumption

examines sources, welfare effects, policy implications of dispersion

Motivation for incorporating home production into inequality research:

alters standard of living measures

smooths differences in market? uninsurable differences at home?

How do inferences from dispersion change with home production?

1 / 32

Page 5: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Our approach and findings

Model: incomplete markets with home production

heterogeneity in preferences and productivity in both sectors

(closed-form) identification of sources of heterogeneity

comparison between models with and without home production

More cross-sectional inequality with home production

(fact:) home hours uncorrelated with wages/expenditures

(finding:) significant production efficiency differences at home

2 / 32

Page 6: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Our approach and findings

Model: incomplete markets with home production

heterogeneity in preferences and productivity in both sectors

(closed-form) identification of sources of heterogeneity

comparison between models with and without home production

More cross-sectional inequality with home production

(fact:) home hours uncorrelated with wages/expenditures

(finding:) significant production efficiency differences at home

2 / 32

Page 7: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Contributions to literature

1 Home production (business cycles, life-cycle).

Benhabib, Rogerson, Wright (JPE91); Greenwood, Hercowitz (JPE91); Rios-Rull

(AER93); Aguiar, Hurst (JPE05, AER07); Aguiar, Hurst, Karabarbounis

(AER13); Blundell, Pistaferri, Saporta-Eksten (JPE18).

2 Inequality in consumption.

Deaton, Paxson (JPE94); Gourinchas, Parker (ECMA02); Storesletten, Telmer,

Yaron (JME04); Krueger, Perri (RES06); Blundell, Pistaferri, Preston (AER08);

Aguiar, Hurst (JPE13); Aguiar, Bils (AER15); Jones, Klenow (AER16).

3 No-trade theorems.

Constantinides, Duffie (JPE96); Heathcote, Storesletten, Violante (AER14).

3 / 32

Page 8: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Model

Page 9: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Technologies and preferences

Market good cM and home goods cK for K = 1, ...,K.

Market hours hM and home hours hK .

Market technology y = zMhM and home technologies cK = zKhK .

Preferences: Ej

∞∑t=j

(βδ)t−j Ut (ct , hM,t , hK ,t),

U =c1−γ − 1

1− γ−

(exp(B)hM +

∑exp(DK )hK

)1+ 1η

1 + 1η

,

c =(cM

φ−1φ +

∑ωKcK

φ−1φ

) φφ−1

.

4 / 32

Page 10: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Technologies and preferences

Market good cM and home goods cK for K = 1, ...,K.

Market hours hM and home hours hK .

Market technology y = zMhM and home technologies cK = zKhK .

Preferences: Ej

∞∑t=j

(βδ)t−j Ut (ct , hM,t , hK ,t),

U =c1−γ − 1

1− γ−

(exp(B)hM +

∑exp(DK )hK

)1+ 1η

1 + 1η

,

c =(cM

φ−1φ +

∑ωKcK

φ−1φ

) φφ−1

.

4 / 32

Page 11: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Production efficiency Beckerian model

Derived utility:

V =

[(cM

φ−1

φ +∑

(θKhK )φ−1

φ

) φ

φ−1

]1−γ− 1

1− γ

(exp(B)hM +

∑exp(DK )hK

)1+ 1

η

1 + 1η

.

Production efficiency θK = ωφφ−1

K zK .

Separating ωK from zK not feasible without cK .

Not a challenge: V and equilibrium allocations depend only on θK .

5 / 32

Page 12: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Sources of heterogeneity across households more

1 Home production efficiency and disutility of home work:

θjK ,t and D jK ,t .

2 Disutility of market work:

B jt = B j

t−1 + υBt .

3 Market productivity:

log z jM,t = αjt +

εjt︷ ︸︸ ︷κjt + υεt ,

αjt = αj

t−1 + υαt ,

κjt = κjt−1 + υκt .

6 / 32

Page 13: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Asset markets

Definition of island

Household ι ≡ {θjK ,DjK ,B

j , αj , κj , υε} lives in island ` consisting of ι’s

with common (θjK ,j ,DjK ,j ,B

jj , α

jj , κ

jj) and {θjK ,t ,D

jK ,t ,B

jt , α

jt}∞t=j+1.

Assumptions on securities:

Cannot be contingent on θjK ,t+1 and D jK ,t+1.

b`(s jt+1) for s jt+1 ≡(B jt+1, α

jt+1, κ

jt+1, υ

εt+1

)with ι’s on same `.

x(ζ jt+1) for ζ jt+1 ≡(κjt+1, υ

εt+1

)with ι’s on all `.

=⇒ (κ, υε) insurable [trivial] and (θK ,DK ,B, α) uninsurable [not trivial].

7 / 32

Page 14: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Asset markets

Definition of island

Household ι ≡ {θjK ,DjK ,B

j , αj , κj , υε} lives in island ` consisting of ι’s

with common (θjK ,j ,DjK ,j ,B

jj , α

jj , κ

jj) and {θjK ,t ,D

jK ,t ,B

jt , α

jt}∞t=j+1.

Assumptions on securities:

Cannot be contingent on θjK ,t+1 and D jK ,t+1.

b`(s jt+1) for s jt+1 ≡(B jt+1, α

jt+1, κ

jt+1, υ

εt+1

)with ι’s on same `.

x(ζ jt+1) for ζ jt+1 ≡(κjt+1, υ

εt+1

)with ι’s on all `.

=⇒ (κ, υε) insurable [trivial] and (θK ,DK ,B, α) uninsurable [not trivial].

7 / 32

Page 15: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Asset markets

Definition of island

Household ι ≡ {θjK ,DjK ,B

j , αj , κj , υε} lives in island ` consisting of ι’s

with common (θjK ,j ,DjK ,j ,B

jj , α

jj , κ

jj) and {θjK ,t ,D

jK ,t ,B

jt , α

jt}∞t=j+1.

Assumptions on securities:

Cannot be contingent on θjK ,t+1 and D jK ,t+1.

b`(s jt+1) for s jt+1 ≡(B jt+1, α

jt+1, κ

jt+1, υ

εt+1

)with ι’s on same `.

x(ζ jt+1) for ζ jt+1 ≡(κjt+1, υ

εt+1

)with ι’s on all `.

=⇒ (κ, υε) insurable [trivial] and (θK ,DK ,B, α) uninsurable [not trivial].

7 / 32

Page 16: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Household ι’s maximization problem tax functions

Wj(ι) = max{cM,t ,hM,t ,hK ,t ,b`(s jt+1),x(ζ jt+1)}∞t=j

Ej

∞∑t=j

(βδ)t−j Vt (cM,t , hM,t , hK ,t) ,

subject to:

cM,t +

∫s jt+1

q`b(s jt+1)b`(s jt+1)ds jt+1 +

∫ζ jt+1

qx(ζ jt+1)x(ζ jt+1)dζ jt+1

= yt + b`(s jt ) + x(ζ jt),

yt = (1− τ0)(z jM,t)1−τ1hM,t .

8 / 32

Page 17: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Equilibrium

{cM,t , hM,t , hK ,t , b`(s jt+1), x(ζ jt+1)}ι,t , {q`b(s jt+1)}`,t , {qx(ζ jt+1)}t :

1 Households ι = {θjK ,DjK ,B

j , αj , κj , υε} maximize their values.

2 Asset markets clear:∫ι∈`

b`(s jt+1; ι)dΦ(ι) = 0, ∀` and ∀s jt+1,∫ιx(ζ jt+1; ι)dΦ(ι) = 0, ∀ζ jt+1.

3 Goods market clears:∫ιcM,t(ι)dΦ(ι) + G =

∫ιzM,t(ι)hM,t(ι)dΦ(ι),

G =

∫ι

[zM,t(ι)− (1− τ0)zM,t(ι)

1−τ1

]hM,t(ι)dΦ(ι).

9 / 32

Page 18: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

No trade result details non-separability

Equilibrium Allocations

The allocations derived from planning problems for each `t :

max

∫ζ jt

V (cM,t(ι), hM,t(ι), hK ,t(ι); ι) dΦt(ζjt),

subject to: ∫ζ jt

cM,t(ι)dΦt(ζjt) =

∫ζ jt

yt(ι)dΦt(ζjt),

together with x(ζ jt+1; ι) = 0, ∀ι, ζ jt+1 are equilibrium allocations for:

1 ωK = 0: no home production (HSV, AER14),

2 γ = 1: home production model with log utility.

10 / 32

Page 19: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Identification challenge

3 +K observed variables (cM , hM , zM , hK ).

3 + 2×K sources of heterogeneity (α, ε,B,DK , θK ).

Gap K because both θK and DK can account for hK .

Special to home production: observe inputs hK not outputs cK .

Solution is to place structure on θK and DK :

1 Sector N: heterogeneity in θN and DN = B.

2 Sector P: constant θP and heterogeneity in DP .

11 / 32

Page 20: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inference of sources of heterogeneity

Observational Equivalence Theorem

Let {cM , hM , zM , hN , hP}ι be some cross-sectional data. For any given

parameters:

1 There exists unique {α, ε,B}ι such that under ωK = 0:

{cM , hM , zM}ι = {cM , hM , zM}ι.

2 There exists unique {α, ε,B,DP , θN}ι such that under γ = 1:

{cM , hM , zM , hN , hP}ι = {cM , hM , zM , hN , hP}ι.

12 / 32

Page 21: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Example with ωK = 0 (γ = η = 1, τ0 = τ1 = 0)

[Note: C depends on aggregates. (α, ε,B) is ι-specific.]

log zM = α + ε

log cM = α− B + C/2

log hM = ε− B − C/2

=⇒α = log

(zM

cMhM

)/2− C/2

ε = log zM − α

B = α− log cM + C/2

ι zM cM hM α ε B T

1 20 1,000 60 2.90 0.09 -4.00 0

2 20 600 40 2.85 0.14 -3.54 399

13 / 32

Page 22: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Example with ωK = 0 (γ = η = 1, τ0 = τ1 = 0)

[Note: C depends on aggregates. (α, ε,B) is ι-specific.]

log zM = α + ε

log cM = α− B + C/2

log hM = ε− B − C/2

=⇒α = log

(zM

cMhM

)/2− C/2

ε = log zM − α

B = α− log cM + C/2

ι zM cM hM α ε B T

1 20 1,000 60 2.90 0.09 -4.00 0

2 20 600 40 2.85 0.14 -3.54 399

13 / 32

Page 23: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Example with ωM = ωN = ωP (γ = η = 1, τ0 = τ1 = 0)

[Note: cT = cM + zM

(hN +

(cMθP hP

) 1φ θP

zMhP

)and hT = hM + hN +

(cMθP hP

) 1φ θP

zMhP ].

α = log

(zM

cT

hT

)/2− C/2, ε = log zM − α, B = α− log cT + C/2,

cM

hP= zφMθ

1−φP

(exp(DP)

exp(B)

)φand

cM

hN= zφMθN

1−φ.

ι zM cM hM hN hP α ε B DP θN T

1 20 1,000 60 10 50 2.95 0.04 -4.74 -4.74 6.07 0

2 20 600 40 50 30 2.95 0.04 -4.74 -4.74 29.20 -765

14 / 32

Page 24: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Example with ωM = ωN = ωP (γ = η = 1, τ0 = τ1 = 0)

[Note: cT = cM + zM

(hN +

(cMθP hP

) 1φ θP

zMhP

)and hT = hM + hN +

(cMθP hP

) 1φ θP

zMhP ].

α = log

(zM

cT

hT

)/2− C/2, ε = log zM − α, B = α− log cT + C/2,

cM

hP= zφMθ

1−φP

(exp(DP)

exp(B)

)φand

cM

hN= zφMθN

1−φ.

ι zM cM hM hN hP α ε B DP θN T

1 20 1,000 60 10 50 2.95 0.04 -4.74 -4.74 6.07 0

2 20 600 40 50 30 2.95 0.04 -4.74 -4.74 29.20 -765

14 / 32

Page 25: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Example with ωM = ωN = ωP (γ = η = 1, τ0 = τ1 = 0)

[Note: cT = cM + zM

(hN +

(cMθP hP

) 1φ θP

zMhP

)and hT = hM + hN +

(cMθP hP

) 1φ θP

zMhP ].

α = log

(zM

cT

hT

)/2− C/2, ε = log zM − α, B = α− log cT + C/2,

cM

hP= zφMθ

1−φP

(exp(DP)

exp(B)

)φand

cM

hN= zφMθN

1−φ.

ι zM cM hM hN hP α ε B DP θN T

1 20 1,000 60 10 50 2.95 0.04 -4.74 -4.74 6.07 0

2 20 600 40 50 30 2.95 0.04 -4.74 -4.74 29.20 -765

14 / 32

Page 26: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Quantitative Results

Page 27: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Data

1 CEX, 1995-2016.

married households, 25-65

aggregate hours at the household level

consumption: non-durables excluding health and education

2 ATUS, 2003-2017.

hN : less manual intensive – hP : more manual intensive occupations

imputation of home hours to CEX details

Later: PSID panel (food), PSID cross-section (expanded), JPSC (Japan), LISS (Dutch).

15 / 32

Page 28: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Time allocation of married profiles CEX vs PSID raw vs imputed

Manual Skill Index Hours per week

All 25-44 45-65

Market hours hM 66.1 66.8 65.5

Home hours hN 21.3 25.4 17.3

Child care -0.73 10.8 14.9 6.7

Shopping 0.08 6.4 6.5 6.3

Nursing -0.12 1.9 1.8 2.0

Home hours hP 16.7 16.4 17.0

Cooking 0.41 7.5 7.4 7.5

Cleaning 0.43 3.7 3.7 3.6

Gardening 1.27 2.1 1.7 2.5

Laundry 0.89 2.0 2.1 1.9

16 / 32

Page 29: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Parameters implied elasticities

Models

Parameter ωK = 0 ωK > 0 Rationale

τ1 0.12 0.12 log(

yhM

)= Cτ + (1− τ1) log zM .

τ0 -0.36 -0.36 Match G/Y = 0.10.

γ 1 1 Nesting of models.

η 0.90 0.50 Match β = 0.54 in log hM = Cη + β(η)ε.

θP — 4.64 θP =

(E(

cMzφMhP

) 1φ

) φ1−φ

.

φ — 2.35∆65−25 log(cM/hN )

∆65−25 log zM= φ(1− τ1) = 2.07.

17 / 32

Page 30: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Means of sources of heterogeneity counterfactuals

0.2

.4.6

.8

Mea

n of

α

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

-.25

-.2-.1

5-.1

-.05

0

Mea

n of

ε

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

-.20

.2.4

Mea

n of

B a

nd D

P

25 35 45 55 65

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

0.1

.2.3

.4

Mea

n of

log(

θ N)

25 35 45 55 65

ωK>0

Reminder: exp(DP )exp(B)

∝(

cMhP

)1/φ1zM

, θN ∝ zφ

φ−1

M

(hNcM

)φ−1

.

18 / 32

Page 31: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Variances of sources of heterogeneity counterfactuals

.2.3

.4.5

Varia

nce

of α

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

.1.1

5.2

.25

.3.3

5

Varia

nce

of ε

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

.05

.1.1

5.2

.25

.3

Varia

nce

of B

and

DP

25 35 45 55 65

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

1.2

1.25

1.3

1.35

1.4

Varia

nce

of lo

g(θ N

)

25 35 45 55 65

ωK>0

19 / 32

Page 32: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inference of home production efficiency θN summary of other moments

log θN =

(1

φ− 1

)C + φ

low covariances︷ ︸︸ ︷log zM + log hN − log cM

0

12

34

5

Va

ria

nce

s

0 1 2 3 4 5Elasticity of substitution φ

logzM

logθN

-.5

0.5

1

Co

rre

latio

n(l

og

zM,lo

N)

0 1 2 3 4Elasticity of substitution φ

20 / 32

Page 33: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Efficiency distributions more

0.0

5.1

.15

.2

Dens

ity

0 20 40 60 80

2010 dollars

zM

θH

θN

zM θH = θNhN+θPhPhN+hP

θN

Mean 26.6 10.9 14.3

Median 21.8 6.2 7.6

Percent above 100$ 1.0 0.5 1.2

21 / 32

Page 34: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inequality

Page 35: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Roadmap

Home production amplifies inequality:

1 Dispersion in equivalent variation.

2 Dispersion in redistributive transfers.

3 Lifetime welfare losses from heterogeneity.

4 Optimal tax function.

Home efficiency (not disutility of work) amplifies inequality:

Inequality gap maximized when ωP = 0.

Inequality gap disappear when ωN = 0.

22 / 32

Page 36: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Roadmap

Home production amplifies inequality:

1 Dispersion in equivalent variation.

2 Dispersion in redistributive transfers.

3 Lifetime welfare losses from heterogeneity.

4 Optimal tax function.

Home efficiency (not disutility of work) amplifies inequality:

Inequality gap maximized when ωP = 0.

Inequality gap disappear when ωN = 0.

22 / 32

Page 37: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

1. Equivalent variation T show ι identity time

Find T (ι) that equalizes flow utilities to some reference utility.

.6.7

.8.9

1

Sta

ndar

d D

evia

tion

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

Note: Standard deviation of T normalized by mean market consumption∫cM(ι)dΦ(ι).

23 / 32

Page 38: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Key fact: hN uncorrelated with zM and cM cross sectionally

correlations of time uses

-.8

-.4

0.4

.8

Cor

rela

tion

of h

N

25 35 45 55 65

log(zM) log(cM) hM

24 / 32

Page 39: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Counterfactuals of dispersion in T hP

.5.6

.7.8

Sta

nd

ard

De

via

tio

n o

f T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) corr(hN , log zM) = −0.8

.4.5

.6.7

.8

Sta

nd

ard

De

via

tio

n o

f T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) corr(hN , log cM) = −0.8

25 / 32

Page 40: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

2. Redistributive transfers t show time counterfactuals

Equalize marginal utility: t(ι) =∫ι cT (ι)dΦ(ι)− cT (ι) for cT = cM + zM

(hN + exp(DP )

exp(B)hP

).

.4.5

.6.7

.8

Sta

ndar

d D

evia

tion

of t

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

Note: Standard deviation of t normalized by mean market consumption∫cM(ι)dι.

26 / 32

Page 41: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

3. Lifetime heterogeneity losses within age levels incompleteness

Ej−1W ({ct , hM,t , hN,t , hP,t}) = Ej−1W({(1− λ)ct , hM,t , hN,t , hP,t}

).

No dispersion in ... ωK = 0 model ωK > 0 model

zM , θN ,B,DP 0.06 0.12

zM , θN 0.07 0.16

θN — 0.13

27 / 32

Page 42: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

4. Ramsey optimal taxes

Stationary optimization problem:

maxτ={τ0,τ1}

∫ιV (cM(τ), hM(τ), hN(τ), hP(τ); ι)dΦ(ι),

subject to: ∫ι

[zM − (1− τ0)zM

1−τ1]hM(τ)dΦ(ι) = G .

28 / 32

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Tax functions

050

100

150

200

250

Afte

r-tax

labo

r inc

ome

0 100 200 300

Pre-tax labor incomedata ωK=0 model ωK>0 model

Pre-tax income y After-tax income y

(thousands of 2010$) data ωK = 0 model ωK > 0 model

300 252 261 226

200 173 177 161

100 91 90 91

50 48 46 51

10 11 10 13

29 / 32

Page 44: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Home efficiency - not disutility - amplifies inequality

No Home Production Home Production

ωK = 0 ωP = 0 ωN = 0

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.78 1.14 0.90 0.76

std(t) 0.55 0.83 0.73 0.65

λ 0.06 0.20 0.12 0.03

τ1 0.06 0.32 0.24 0.13

30 / 32

Page 45: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Sensitivity Analyses

Page 46: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Sensitivity analysis

1 Parameters (τ1, G , η, φ).

2 Subsamples (singles, working spouse, children, education).

3 Consumption measures (food, all expenditures).

4 Measurement error (consumption, market hours, home hours).

5 CEX/ATUS vs PSID.

6 Other countries (JPSC and LISS).

31 / 32

Page 47: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Conclusion

Page 48: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Conclusion

Revisit sources and welfare effects of labor market dispersion.

1 The world looks more unequal with home production.

2 Home production efficiency differences important for inequality.

3 More progressivity warranted.

32 / 32

Page 49: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Extra Slides

Page 50: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Specification of home production technology back

General Beckerian framework with i = 1, ...,N goods:

max{ci ,hi}

∑Ui (x1, ..., xN),

xi = Fi (ci , hi ), ∀i = 1, ...,N,∑pici = whM , with hM = 1−

∑hi .

Our specification is a special case with N = 2 goods:

maxcM ,{hK}

U1(x1) + U2(x2),

x1 = F1(cM , {hK}) and x2 = F2(hL),

cM = whM and hL = 1− hM −∑

exp(DK − B)hK .

Page 51: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Assumptions on stochastic processes back

State vector:

σjt =(θjK ,t ,D

jK ,t ,B

jt , α

jt , κ

jt , υ

εt

).

Innovations:

υxt+1 ∈ {υBt+1, υαt+1, υ

κt+1, υ

εt+1},

Assumptions:

υxt+1 ⊥ υ−xt+1, υxt+1 ⊥ σjt , υxt+1 ⊥ θK ,t+1, υxt+1 ⊥ DK ,t+1.

Page 52: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Specification of tax function back

Tax Function Paper τ1 estimate

log(

yhM

)= C + (1− τ1) log zM This 0.12

log y = C + (1− τ1) log y This 0.15

log y = C + (1− τ1) log y GKV (RED14) 0.06

log y = C + (1− τ1) log y HSV (AER14) 0.19

Notes: We include child care credit and EITC and exclude government transfers (UI, SNAP,

TANF, Medicaid).

Page 53: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Postulate no-trade equilibrium back

{cM,t , hM,t , hK ,t}ι,t that solve planning problems.

Island multipliers µ(`t), where `t = (θjK ,t ,DjK ,t ,B

jt , α

jt).

Bond quantities and prices:

b`(s jt ; ι) = Et

∞∑n=0

(βδ)nµ(`t+n)

µ(`t)(cM,n(ι)− yn(ι)) , ∀s jt ,

x(ζ jt ; ι) = 0, ∀ζ jt ,

q`b(s jt+1) = βδf (s jt+1|sjt )µ(`t+1)

µ(`t), ∀`, s jt+1,

qx(ζ jt+1) = βδ

∫s jt+1

µ(`t+1)

µ(`t)f (s jt+1|s

jt )ds jt+1, ∀ζ

jt+1,

with s jt+1 = {θjK ,t+1,DjK ,t+1,B

jt+1, α

jt+1}.

Page 54: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Verify no-trade equilibrium back

All markets clear and households optimize.

At no-trade equilibrium, all `t have the same valuations:

q`b(s jt+1) = βδf (s jt+1|sjt )µ(`t+1)

µ(`t)= Qb

(υBt+1, υ

αt+1

),∀`t

qx(ζ jt+1) = βδ

∫s jt+1

µ(`t+1)

µ(`t)f (s jt+1|s

jt )ds jt+1 = Qx(ζ jt+1),∀`t .

Random walk =⇒ µ(`t+1)/µ(`t) does not depend on state `t .

No gains from trading x(ζ jt+1; ι).

Page 55: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

How we retain tractability with ωK > 0 back

No trade across ` if µ(`′)µ(`) independent of state ` at x = 0.

With ωK = 0:

µ(`) =1

cγM=

(exp ((1 + η)(B − log(1− τ0)− (1− τ1)α))∫

ζ exp ((1 + η)(1− τ1)(κ+ υε)) dΦ(ζ)

) γ1+ηγ

.

With ωK > 0, µ(`) independent of (θK ,DK ) when γ = 1:

µ(`) =1

cM + zM∑

exp(DK − B)hK )

=

(exp ((1 + η)(B − log(1− τ0)− (1− τ1)α))∫

ζ exp ((1 + η)(1− τ1)(κ+ υε)) dΦ(ζ)

) 11+η

.

Page 56: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Time uses and occupations back

Activity Occupation

Child care Preschool Teachers, Child care Workers

Shopping Cashiers

Nursing Registered Nurses, Nursing Assistants

Cooking Food Preparation and Serving Workers

Cleaning Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners

Gardening Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers

Laundry Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers

Page 57: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Imputation of home hours to CEX individuals back

Exclude from ATUS respondents during weekends.

Iterative procedure imputing mean hours conditional on groups:

1 Work status, race, gender, age.

2 Add cohort, family status, education.

3 Add disability status, retirement status, geographic information.

4 Add hours and wage conditional on working.

Account for ≈ 2/3 of variation in hN and hP .

Page 58: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Lifecycle means back

0.1

.2.3

Mea

n of

log(

c M)

25 35 45 55 65

0.1

.2.3

.4.5

Mea

n of

log(

z M)

25 35 45 55 65

-25

-20

-15

-10

-50

Mea

n of

hM

25 35 45 55 65

-10

-50

5

Mea

n of

hom

e ho

urs

25 35 45 55 65

hN hP

Page 59: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Lifecycle variances back

.3.3

1.3

2.3

3.3

4

Va

ria

nce

of lo

g(c

M)

25 35 45 55 65.2

.3.4

.5

Va

ria

nce

of lo

g(z

M)

25 35 45 55 65

Page 60: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

CEX/ATUS (1995-2016) vs PSID (1975-2014) back

CEX/ATUS PSID

Age All 25-44 45-65 All 25-44 45-65

Mean hM 66.1 66.8 65.5 67.8 65.3 70.3

Mean hN + hP 38.0 41.8 34.3 25.9 27.1 24.7

corr(zM , hM) -0.15 -0.14 -0.14 -0.15 -0.15 -0.14

corr(zM , hN + hP) 0.09 0.12 0.10 0.00 0.02 -0.02

corr(zM , cfoodM ) 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.28 0.29 0.27

corr(hM , hN + hP) -0.42 -0.49 -0.42 -0.24 -0.28 -0.20

corr(hM , cfoodM ) 0.10 0.09 0.12 0.06 0.06 0.08

corr(hN + hP , cfoodM ) -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 0.01 0.03 -0.01

Page 61: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

CEX/ATUS (1995-2016) vs PSID (2004-2014) back

CEX/ATUS PSID

Age All 25-44 45-65 All 25-44 45-65

Mean hM 66.1 66.8 65.5 64.8 67.6 62.0

Mean hN + hP 38.0 41.8 34.3 24.3 24.1 24.6

corr(zM , hM) -0.15 -0.14 -0.14 -0.09 -0.15 -0.06

corr(zM , hN + hP) 0.09 0.12 0.10 -0.01 0.03 -0.03

corr(zM , cndM ) 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.25

corr(hM , hN + hP) -0.42 -0.49 -0.42 -0.23 -0.27 -0.20

corr(hM , cndM ) 0.14 0.16 0.13 0.20 0.21 0.20

corr(hN + hP , cndM ) -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03

Page 62: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Raw vs imputed samples back

ATUS Married Individuals CEX Married Households

Age All 25-44 45-65 All 25-44 45-65

Mean hM 42.1 41.9 42.2 66.1 66.8 65.5

Mean hN 12.5 14.6 10.5 21.3 25.4 17.3

Mean hP 10.6 10.7 10.5 16.7 16.4 17.0

corr(zM , hM) 0.06 0.03 0.08 -0.15 -0.14 -0.14

corr(zM , hN) 0.01 0.04 -0.01 0.10 0.16 0.12

corr(zM , hP) -0.08 -0.06 -0.09 0.02 0.00 0.03

corr(hM , hN) -0.44 -0.46 -0.42 -0.25 -0.36 -0.23

corr(hM , hP) -0.45 -0.44 -0.46 -0.42 -0.42 -0.41

corr(hN , hP) 0.10 0.14 0.08 0.15 0.20 0.17

Note: ATUS sample excludes weekend respondents.

Page 63: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Implied elasticities of labor supply back

log hM = ε log(zM) + controls + error

Controls ωK = 0 ωK > 0

X and NA 0.05 0.34

X and U 0.08 0.34

X and µ 0.79 1.54

Notes: X = [B,DP , log θN ]; NA: net assets; U: utility; µ: marginal utility.

Page 64: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Means of market consumption and hours back

0.2

.4.6

.8M

ean

of lo

g(c M

)

25 35 45 55 65

data constant B (ωK=0) constant B (ωK>0)

0.1

.2.3

.4

Mea

n of

log(

c M)

25 35 45 55 65

data constant θN (ωK>0)

-30

-20

-10

010

Mea

n of

hM

25 35 45 55 65

data constant B (ωK=0) constant B (ωK>0)

-30

-20

-10

010

Mea

n of

hM

25 35 45 55 65

data constant θN (ωK>0)

Page 65: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Variances of market consumption back

.1.2

.3.4

.5Va

rianc

e of

log(

c M)

25 35 45 55 65

data constant α (ωK=0) constant α (ωK>0)

.3.3

5.4

.45

Varia

nce

of lo

g(c M

)

25 35 45 55 65

data constant ε (ωK=0) constant ε (ωK>0)

.15

.2.2

5.3

.35

.4Va

rianc

e of

log(

c M)

25 35 45 55 65

data constant B (ωK=0) constant B (ωK>0)

.3.3

5.4

.45

Varia

nce

of lo

g(c M

)

25 35 45 55 65

data constant θN (ωK>0)

Page 66: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Variances back

Models

Variance ωK = 0 ωK > 0

log zM 0.33 0.33

log cM 0.33 0.33

log hM 0.23 0.23

log hN – 0.99

log hP – 0.65

α 0.31 0.28

ε 0.19 0.11

B 0.18 0.08

DP – 0.26

log θN – 1.38

Page 67: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Correlations in ωK = 0 model back

log zM log cM log hM log hN log hP α ε B DP log θN

log zM 1.00 0.29 -0.07 – – 0.70 0.42 0.42 – –

log cM 1.00 0.13 – – 0.69 -0.50 -0.55 – –

log hM 1.00 – – -0.46 0.50 -0.71 – –

log hN – – – – – – –

log hP – – – – – –

α 1.00 -0.35 0.23 – –

ε 1.00 0.26 – –

B 1.00 – –

DP – –

log θN –

Page 68: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Correlations in ωK > 0 model back

log zM log cM log hM log hN log hP α ε B DP log θN

log zM 1.00 0.29 -0.07 0.07 -0.02 0.82 0.42 0.45 -0.58 0.69

log cM 1.00 0.13 0.00 -0.06 0.66 -0.54 -0.43 -0.01 -0.14

log hM 1.00 -0.17 -0.30 -0.32 0.38 -0.48 0.06 -0.20

log hN 1.00 0.18 0.13 -0.08 -0.29 -0.36 0.68

log hP 1.00 0.08 -0.15 -0.03 -0.70 0.12

α 1.00 -0.18 0.23 -0.41 0.46

ε 1.00 0.40 -0.34 0.46

B 1.00 -0.06 0.31

DP 1.00 -0.66

log θN 1.00

Page 69: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Distributions of sources of heterogeneity back

0.2

.4.6

.8

Dens

ity o

f α

0 1 2 3 4 5

ωK=0 ωK>0

0.5

11.

5

Dens

ity o

f ε

-1 0 1 2 3

ωK=0 ωK>0

0.5

11.

5

Dens

ity o

f B

-1 0 1 2 3 4

ωK=0 ωK>0

0.2

.4.6

.81

Dens

ity o

f DP

-2 0 2 4

Page 70: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Dispersion in equivalent variation back

Equilibrium Wt(ι) = V (xt ; ι) + βδEt

[Wt+1(ι′)|ι

],

Hypothetical Wt(ι; ι) = V (xt ; ι) + βδEt

[Wt+1(ι′)|ι

].

Inequality metric: dispersion in equivalent variation Tt(ι)

Wt(ι; ι) = maxxt

V (xt ; ι) + βδEt

[Wt+1(ι′)|ι

],

cM,t = yt + Tt(ι) + NAt .

Page 71: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Robustness to hypothetical ι back

.6.7

.8.9

1

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) Median utility (baseline)

.6.7

.8.9

1

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) Median utility by age

.6.7

.8.9

1

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(c) Mean utility

.6.7

.8.9

1

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(d) Mean utility by age

Page 72: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Dispersion in T over time back

.7.7

5.8

.85

.9.9

5

Sta

ndar

d D

evia

tion

of T

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0 ωK>0

Page 73: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Variances of sources of heterogeneity over time back

.24

.26

.28

.3.3

2

Varia

nce

of α

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0 ωK>0

.1.1

5.2

Varia

nce

of ε

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0 ωK>0

0.1

.2.3

Varia

nce

of B

and

DP

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

11.

11.

21.

31.

41.

5

Varia

nce

of lo

g(θ N

)

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0

Page 74: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Means of sources of heterogeneity over time back

0.0

5.1

.15

.2.2

5

Mea

n of

α

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0 ωK>0

-.08

-.06

-.04

-.02

0

Mea

n of

ε

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0 ωK>0

-.05

0.0

5.1

.15

.2

Mea

n of

B a

nd D

P

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

-.25

-.2-.1

5-.1

-.05

0

Mea

n of

log(

θ N)

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK>0

Page 75: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Correlations of time uses with wages and spending back

ATUS Individuals CEX Households

Time Use Wage Wage Consumption

Market hours hM 0.09 -0.07 0.16

Home hours hN 0.01 0.12 0.01

Child care 0.03 0.11 0.02

Shopping -0.02 0.05 -0.01

Nursing -0.03 0.00 -0.01

Home hours hP -0.11 -0.04 -0.08

Cooking -0.13 -0.03 -0.06

Cleaning -0.08 -0.01 -0.06

Gardening 0.00 -0.02 -0.04

Laundry -0.10 -0.02 -0.04

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hP relatively uncorrelated with zM and cM back

-.8

-.4

0.4

.8

Cor

rela

tion

of h

P

25 35 45 55 65

log(zM) log(cM) hM

Page 77: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Counterfactuals of dispersion in T back

.6.7

.8.9

Sta

nd

ard

De

via

tio

n o

f T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) corr(hP , log zM) = −0.8

.5.6

.7.8

.9

Sta

nd

ard

De

via

tio

n o

f T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) corr(hP , log cM) = −0.8

Page 78: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Transfers that equalize marginal utilities back

[Note: cT = cM + zM

(hN + exp(DP )

exp(B)hP

).]

Find optimal t(ι) under equilibrium allocations {cM , hM , hN , hP}ι:

max{t(ι)}

∫ιV (cM(ι) + t(ι), hM(ι), hN(ι), hP(ι))dΦ(ι),

∫ιt(ι)dΦ(ι) = 0.

Solution is to equalize marginal utilities:

t(ι) =

∫ιcT (ι)dΦ(ι)− cT (ι).

Page 79: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Dispersion in t over time back

.5.5

5.6

.65

.7.7

5

Sta

ndar

d D

evia

tion

of t

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

ωK=0 ωK>0

Page 80: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Counterfactuals of dispersion in t back

.4.6

Sta

nd

ard

De

via

tio

n o

f t

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) corr(hN , log zM) = −0.8

.4.4

5.5

.55

.6

Sta

nd

ard

De

via

tio

n o

f t

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) corr(hN , log cM) = −0.8

Page 81: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Welfare implications of within-age dispersion back

No within-age dispersion in ... ωK = 0 model ωK > 0 model

zM , θN ,B,DP 0.07 0.14

zM , θN 0.07 0.16

θN — 0.12

Page 82: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Lifetime welfare losses from heterogeneity back

[Note: cT = cM + zM

(hN + exp(DP )

exp(B)hP

)and hT = hM + hN + exp(DP )

exp(B)hP ].

Welfare effects of dispersion:

Ej−1W ({ct , hM,t , hN,t , hP,t}) = Ej−1W({(1− λ)ct , hM,t , hN,t , hP,t}

).

Level effects of dispersion:

P =

∫ι zM(ι)hT (ι)dΦ(ι)∫

ι hT (ι)dΦ(ι), with λp =

P − P

P.

Page 83: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Level effects from eliminating heterogeneity back

ωK = 0 model ωK > 0 model

No dispersion in ... λp λ λp λ

zM , θN ,B ,DP 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.12

zM , θN 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.16

θN — — 0.00 0.13

Page 84: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Welfare implications of market incompleteness back

All wage variation insurable ... ωK = 0 model ωK > 0 model

log zM,t = α + εt λp λ λp λ

Ours 0.21 0.23 0.13 0.20

PM (2006, RED) 0.25 0.16

HSV (2008, JME) 0.22 0.22

PM: high persistence with γ = 1 and η = 0.8. HSV: separable preferences with γ = η = 1.

Page 85: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Parameters back

No Home Production: ωK = 0 Home Production: ωK > 0

Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1 Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1

Baseline 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.24

τ1 = 0.06 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.12 0.93 0.74 0.14 0.27

τ1 = 0.19 0.78 0.55 0.05 -0.04 0.88 0.72 0.10 0.20

G/Y = 0.05 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.03 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.24

G/Y = 0.15 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.09 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.25

Frisch elast. = 0.4 0.68 0.55 0.02 -0.74 0.80 0.73 0.10 0.06

Frisch elast. = 0.7 0.85 0.55 0.08 0.26 0.98 0.73 0.13 0.31

φ = 0.5 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 1.94 0.70 0.52 0.44

φ = 20 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.85 0.71 0.09 -0.80

Page 86: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Subsamples back

No Home Production: ωK = 0 Home Production: ωK > 0

Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1 Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1

Baseline 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.24

Singles 0.89 0.61 0.01 0.03 0.90 0.71 0.08 0.13

Non-working spouse 0.80 0.55 0.10 0.22 1.34 1.07 0.21 0.33

Working spouse 0.78 0.54 0.05 0.09 0.85 0.70 0.10 0.23

No children 0.79 0.55 0.10 -0.06 0.81 0.67 0.18 0.13

One child 0.78 0.55 0.07 0.10 0.85 0.72 0.11 0.27

Two or more children 0.77 0.53 0.04 0.15 0.96 0.77 0.19 0.31

Child younger than 5 0.77 0.54 0.01 0.15 1.02 0.82 0.24 0.34

Less than college 0.78 0.55 0.02 -0.22 0.86 0.71 0.06 0.13

College or more 0.76 0.52 0.06 -0.10 0.86 0.68 0.15 0.20

Page 87: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Consumption measures back

No Home Production: ωK = 0 Home Production: ωK > 0

Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1 Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1

Baseline 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.24

Food 0.82 0.56 0.05 -0.05 0.92 0.75 0.13 0.21

All 0.88 0.63 0.08 0.18 0.99 0.83 0.13 0.27

Adjusted baseline 0.57 0.39 0.07 0.23 0.79 0.60 0.13 0.31

Adjusted all 0.84 0.60 0.07 0.26 0.97 0.80 0.11 0.31

Page 88: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Measurement error: x = x∗ exp(e), classical back

No Home Production: ωK = 0 Home Production: ωK > 0

Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1 Std(T ) Std(t) λ τ1

Baseline 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.24

20% of consumption 0.74 0.51 0.05 0.10 0.87 0.69 0.12 0.26

50% of consumption 0.62 0.41 0.04 0.15 0.80 0.60 0.12 0.27

80% of consumption 0.45 0.26 0.03 0.18 0.70 0.47 0.12 0.29

20% of market hours 0.79 0.55 0.05 0.08 0.90 0.73 0.12 0.24

50% of market hours 0.80 0.55 0.06 0.14 0.89 0.73 0.12 0.26

80% of market hours 0.80 0.55 0.06 0.21 0.88 0.73 0.12 0.30

20% of home hours 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.92 0.74 0.12 0.24

50% of home hours 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.88 0.73 0.13 0.24

80% of home hours 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.06 0.78 0.70 0.14 0.25

20% of all variables 0.74 0.51 0.05 0.12 0.89 0.70 0.12 0.26

50% of all variables 0.63 0.41 0.05 0.21 0.77 0.59 0.13 0.29

80% of all variables 0.46 0.26 0.05 0.31 0.51 0.40 0.14 0.33

Page 89: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

PSID analyses back

PSID samples (similar demographic restrictions as CEX/ATUS)

panel: only food, starts in 1975, use within-household variation

cross-section: expanded spending categories, starts in 2004

Unclear whether child care or shopping is in “homework” answer.

Baseline case: split homework equally between hN and hP .

Find similar results between PSID and CEX/ATUS in terms of:

1 Correlations of hN .

2 Means and variances of α, ε, B, DP , and θN by age.

3 Statistics of inequality: Std(T ), Std(t), λ, and τ1.

Page 90: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Robustness of home hours correlations back

-.8-.4

0.4

.8

Corre

lation

of h

N

25 35 45 55 65

log(zM) log(cM) hM

(a) CEX – food

-.8-.4

0.4

.8

Corre

lation

of h

N

25 35 45 55 65

log(zM) log(cM) hM

(b) CEX – nondurables

-.8-.4

0.4

.8

Corre

lation

of h

N

25 35 45 55 65

log(zM) log(cM) hM

(c) PSID – food

-.8-.4

0.4

.8

Corre

lation

of h

N

25 35 45 55 65

log(zM) log(cM) hM

(d) PSID – nondurables

Page 91: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Similarity of means of sources of heterogeneity back

0.2

.4.6

.8

Mea

n of

α

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) CEX/ATUS

-.25

-.2-.1

5-.1

-.05

0

Mea

n of

ε

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) CEX/ATUS

0.1

.2.3

.4

Mea

n of

α

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(c) PSID Panel

-.1-.0

50

.05

.1.1

5

Mea

n of

ε

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(d) PSID Panel

Page 92: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Similarity of means of sources of heterogeneity back

-.20

.2.4

Mea

n of

B a

nd D

P

25 35 45 55 65

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

(a) CEX/ATUS

0.1

.2.3

.4

Mea

n of

log(

θ N)

25 35 45 55 65

ωK>0

(b) CEX/ATUS

-.2-.1

0.1

.2.3

Mea

n of

B a

nd D

P

25 35 45 55 65

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

(c) PSID Panel

0.1

.2.3

.4

Mea

n of

log(

θ N)

25 35 45 55 65

ωK>0

(d) PSID Panel

Page 93: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Similarity of variances of sources of heterogeneity back

.2.3

.4.5

Varia

nce

of α

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) CEX/ATUS

.1.1

5.2

.25

.3.3

5

Varia

nce

of ε

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) CEX/ATUS

.1.2

.3.4

.5

Varia

nce

of α

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(c) PSID Panel

.1.2

.3.4

Varia

nce

of ε

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(d) PSID Panel

Page 94: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Similarity of variances of sources of heterogeneity back

.05

.1.1

5.2

.25

.3

Varia

nce

of B

and

DP

25 35 45 55 65

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

(a) CEX/ATUS

1.2

1.25

1.3

1.35

1.4

Varia

nce

of lo

g(θ N

)

25 35 45 55 65

ωK>0

(b) CEX/ATUS

.1.2

.3.4

Varia

nce

of B

and

DP

25 35 45 55 65

B in ωK=0 B in ωK>0 DP in ωK>0

(c) PSID Panel

.6.8

11.

21.

4

Varia

nce

of lo

g(θ N

)

25 35 45 55 65

ωK>0

(d) PSID Panel

Page 95: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Similarity of inequality results (baseline case) back

.6.7

.8.9

1

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(a) CEX/ATUS

.4.5

.6.7

.8

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of t

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(b) CEX/ATUS

.45

.5.5

5.6

.65

.7

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of T

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(c) PSID Panel

.35

.4.4

5.5

.55

Stan

dard

Dev

iation

of t

25 35 45 55 65

ωK=0 ωK>0

(d) PSID Panel

Page 96: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inequality results: CEX vs PSID (all cases) back

CEX Food No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.82 1.15 0.92 0.80

std(t) 0.56 0.84 0.75 0.67

λ 0.04 0.20 0.11 0.02

τ1 -0.05 0.29 0.21 0.09

PSID Food No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.57 0.87 0.63 0.55

std(t) 0.40 0.62 0.51 0.45

λ 0.09 0.18 0.14 0.09

τ1 0.28 0.33 0.29 0.24

Page 97: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inequality results: CEX vs PSID (all cases) back

CEX All No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.78 1.14 0.90 0.76

std(t) 0.55 0.83 0.73 0.65

λ 0.06 0.20 0.12 0.03

τ1 0.06 0.32 0.24 0.13

PSID All No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.58 0.85 0.63 0.56

std(t) 0.40 0.61 0.51 0.45

λ 0.11 0.18 0.15 0.10

τ1 0.33 0.36 0.33 0.29

Page 98: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inequality results: CEX vs JPSC (all cases) back

CEX/ATUS No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.78 1.14 0.90 0.76

std(t) 0.55 0.83 0.73 0.65

λ 0.06 0.20 0.12 0.03

τ1 0.06 0.32 0.24 0.13

JPSC No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.66 0.98 0.76 0.67

std(t) 0.46 0.68 0.60 0.56

λ 0.04 0.11 0.07 0.02

τ1 -0.15 0.19 0.11 0.03

Page 99: Slides: Inferring Inequality with Home Production · 2020-04-24 · Inferring Inequality with Home Production Job Boerma Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota University of

Inequality results: CEX vs LISS (all cases) back

CEX/ATUS No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.78 1.14 0.90 0.76

std(t) 0.55 0.83 0.73 0.65

λ 0.06 0.20 0.12 0.03

τ1 0.06 0.32 0.24 0.13

LISS No Home Production Home Production

Statistics Efficiency Baseline Disutility

std(T ) 0.64 1.12 0.80 0.64

std(t) 0.45 0.77 0.63 0.54

λ 0.03 0.20 0.12 0.02

τ1 -0.80 -0.12 -0.24 -0.80