SOFI Introduced Into the IFS Model

MPPC 2010

The International Futures Model

• Large-scale, long-term, structure-based and agent-class-driven global modeling system.

• Contains demographic, economic, energy, agricultural, socio-political, and environmental subsystems

• 183 countries interacting in the global system.• Can show how changing the value of a variable in a

country affects other measures in that country, other countries, regions, and the world as a whole.

• Computes projections for the long term future (to year 2100

• Used in teaching, policy analysis, new method development (RAND RDM)

IFS/MP SOFI

SOFI vs. Systemic SOFI

For the Future

• Introduce Trend Impact Analysis (might require a database of future developments)

• Enrich the historical database• Country data sharing.• Create sub-indexes (e.g. Security, Health, Wealth,

Intellect, Infrastructure, and Moral/Ethical)• Create an annual national SOFI report

IFS/MP SOFI

• Described in detail in Chapter 2• Now on line at www.ifs.du.edu/ifs.