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Solar Thermal Power PlantWGP 84(14) - IMIA Conference 2014
Manuela Baroncini
IMIA Conference 2014
“The sun will be the fuel of the future”
Anonymous, April 1876, Popular Science
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Solar Thermal Power:
• The past, the present and the future
• CSP cost as a challenge
• Main risks and U/W considerations
Agenda
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Concentrated Solar - A brief history
• 212 B.C.: Syracuse Siege
• 15th: Leonardo da Vinci’s notebooks
• 1914: First plant in Egypt for irrigation
• 1861: Agustin Mouchot solar motor in the Universal Expo in Paris
• 1968. The first CSP plant in Sant’Ilario, near Genoa, Italy
• 1984: The first commercial CSP began operating in US
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The sun as fuel
Source: NASA
1,000 W/m2
1 hour of sun =
1 year worldwide energy consumption
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World Energy Mix
Source: Bloomberg
Annual Gross Capacity additions, 2013-30 (GW)
Solar: ~110 GW Solar: ~ 1090 GW
• Worldwide drivers to decarbonise power generation
• Financial incentives, feed-in tariffs and grants
• Aging of existing fossil fuel and nuclear power plants
• Reputational benefits for utilities
BUT …
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IMIA Conference 2014
LCOE by Power Technology (US$/MWh), first quarter of 2013
Source: IEA analysis with power price data from Bloomberg LP, 2013
LCOE = Levelised Cost of Energy is the cost per MWh for a fixed period taking into account all costs incl. fixed and variable costs
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What brings the cost down?
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Location
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CSP Technology
Parabolic Troughs Solar TowerDish/Engine System Fresnel Systems
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Heat exchanger
Hot salt tankHeat exchanger
Steam turbine Transformer Generator
Cooling tower
Cold salt tank
SOLAR FIELD
THERMAL STORAGE
POWER BLOCK
CSP Technology: How it works
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Conventional Risks• Parties' Experience
• Project Location
• CSP System Components
o Natural Events hazards
o Man Made hazards
IMIA Working Group WGP 84(14) Solar Thermal Power Plant
Non Conventional Risks• Weather risks
• System efficiency
• Grid integration
• Regulatory/Institutional risks
• Environmental Concerns
Key areas of perceived risks
Claims and Lessons Learnt
Insurance Solutions and UW Considerations
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Conventional Risks: Parties Experience
Source: www.worldbank.org/energy
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Conventional Risks: Project Location
• Natural events
• Local infrastructure / Logistic
• Grid connection
• Site security
• Water availability
• Fire-fighting facility
• TPL exposure
• Political issues (SRCC)
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Conventional Risks: Mirror System
• Natural events
• Mechanical Breakdown
• Storage / Workshops
• Faulty manufacturing, assembly or installation
• Accidental damage (lifting, transit, site collision)
• Possible material degradation
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Conventional Risks: Heat Transfer Fluid (HTF) System
Synthetic oil (400°C)
• Leakage/Fire
• Leakage/Contamination
absorber tubeDirect Steam
• High pressure
Molten Salt (550°C)
• HTF Freezing below 238°C
• Potential corrosion
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Conventional Risks: Thermal Energy Storage (TES)
• Natural events
• Risks as per HTF depending on the medium fluid
• Faulty design
• Lift activities
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Conventional Risks: Power Tower
• Natural events
• Accidental damage (lifting, transit, site collision)
• Faulty design
• Mechanical, Electrical Breakdown
• Health and Safety
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Conventional Risks: Power Block
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Conventional Risks Summary: Natural EventsNATURAL EVENTS
MIRROR SYSTEM
POWER TOWER(TOWER & SRSG) HTF SYSTEM TES HEAT
EXCHANGERCONTROL SYSTEM POWER BLOCK BOP/AUX
SYSTEMS
PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI
EarthquakeC
O
FloodC
O
WindstormC
O
Sand StormC
O
HailC
O
LightningC
O
Wild FireC (1) (1)
O (1) (1)
LandslideC
O
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IMIA Conference 2014
Conventional Risks Summary: Man Made HazardMAN MADE
HAZARDMIRROR SYSTEM POWER TOWER
(TOWER & SRSG) HTF SYSTEM TES HEAT EXCHANGER CONTROLS POWER BLOCK BOP/AUX
SYSTEMS
PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI PD DSU/BI
Faulty material, workmanship, design, plan, specification
C (9)
O (9)
Poor site work Operational
errors
C (9)
O (9)
Accidental damage (1)
C (9)
O
Fire and explosion
C (2) (2) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (9)
O (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (9)
TransitC (3) (3) (9)
O
Theft, malicious acts
C
O
Mechanical, Electrical
Breakdown
C (4) (4) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (9)
O (4) (4) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (9)
CorrosionC
O (7) (7) (7) (7) (7) (7)
SRCC & Terrorism
C
O
Health & SafetyC (9)
O (9)
Pollution, contamination
C (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) (8)
O (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) (8)
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CSP Plants have high potentialbut
• Still relatively new industry
• Limited operational experience
• High technology cost
• New developing technology /risks
Summary
To secure a bright and
sunny future
• Engagement of the various players
• Risk Management
• Securing skill and know-how transfer
• Sharing lessons learnt
IMIA paper goal is to contribute to the CSP industry success
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IMIA Conference 2014
Chair Person:
• Manuela Baroncini, Corporate Solutions, Swiss Re
Contributors:
• Alberto Mengotti, Mapfre
• Charlie Richardson, GCube
• Dan Georgescu, XL
• José Antonio Otero, RSA
• Mamoon Alyah, LWS Consulting
Sponsor
• Richard Radevsky, Charles Taylor Adjusting
A big THANK to IMIA Working Group WG84(14)
• Miguel Angel Patier, Mapfre
• Navraj Basra, Infrassure
• Stephan Heigl, Munich Re
• Stephen Morris, HSB Engineering
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Here comes the sun…(and it's all right)
Manuela Baroncini, Senior Engineering Underwriter Swiss Re International SE, UK branch 30 St. Mary Axe, EC3A 8EP London, United KingdomDirect: +442079333638 E-mail: [email protected]
Thank you!
Any question?
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