[source of picture: ] management... · 4/15/2013 china's electrical power sector | ziyi wu 4...

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4/15/2013 China's Electrical Power Sector | Ziyi Wu 2

http://www.chinafreunde.de

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A series of social and economic development initiatives

1st Five-year Plan (1953 - 1957)

2nd Five-year Plan (1958 - 1962)

3rd Five-year Plan (1963 - 1970)

4th Five-year Plan (1971 - 1975)







11th Five-year Guideline (2006 – 2010)

12th Five-year Guideline (2011 - 2015)

Soviet-style planned economy

socialist market economy (socialism with Chinese characteristics)


Why does China need this series of development initiatives

[http://www.zimbio.com]

Communist Party of China

Establishing the foundations and principles

of Chinese communism

Mapping strategies for economic development

Setting growth targets

Launching reforms

Economy

Economy











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√ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √

√

√

√

√

√

√

√

√

√

√ Industry

√ Economy

√ Agriculture(food)

√

√

√ Steel Production

√ Coal Mining

√ Living Condition

√ Cotton Production

√ Transport Sector

√ Oil Production

√ High Technology

√ National Defence

√

√

√ Electrical Power

[Source: China Interneat Network News Center]


“Growing electrical power generation” did not belong to

the main growth targets during 1st to 4th Plans

Statistical capacity was limited by the lagging statistical skill

“Dress warmly and eat one’s fill” was the main goal

Cotton Production Agriculture(food)

In the 1970s,

“growing electrical

power generation”

became one of the

main growth

targets of China


1978

«1978 National Economy Guideline»

«Ten year Guideline»

(a national economic guideline with ten year duration )

1984

In «Build up socialism with Chinese Characteristics», he emphasized the

importance of developing China’s rural area to the country’s sustainability.

1985

"If you want to bring the initiative of the peasants into play, you should

give them the power to make money."

- October 1985 comment to Time magazine delegation.

1992

"We should be bolder than before in conducting reform and opening to

the outside and have the courage to experiment. We must not act like

women with bound feet."

- Comment made during January-February 1992 tour of southern China.

Deng Xiaoping

22.08.1904 –

19.02.1997

Chinese politician,

Statesman, diplomat

Reformer of China’s

economy

Twice became “MAN

OF THE YEAR” from

TIME magazine

[http://www.proudchina.com]

1978 1985 [http://www.time.com]

http://pic14.nipic.com

http://de.fotolia.com


Since 1980s China suffers from power

shortage due to increased electrical power consumption.

Till 1997 the balance between power demand and supply was first maintained.

Please switch off the light

Please safe the electricity

Go

Green,

safe

electri-

city

Sa

ve

Ele

ctr

icit

y


Severe power shortages have occurred nationwide

Part of China experienced a more than 20% increase in electricity consumption, causing 21 out of 29 provinces to suffer power shortages.

2002

2003

2004 The situation worsened further

26 provinces had to shed load, especially in the highly developed industrial regions of

Jiangsu and Zhejiang, where factories had to be shut down part of the week.

Loss of GDP worth tens of billions of US dollars.

The power shortage was estimated at 35 GW.

http://www.eapoo.com

http://www.51pptmoban.com

http://www.zcool.com.cn

http://www.csrshe.com

Zhejiang

Jiangsu





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√ Develop Power Generation Technology

√ Speed Up Research

√ Support Implementation of Large Scale Gas Turbines

√

√ Enlarge Pumped Storage(Hydro) Capacity

√ Support Nuclear Power Generation

√ Support High Voltage DC Power Transmission

√ Improve Coal Quality

√ Develop Large Scale Generation Facilities

√ Develop Renewable Energy (Solar, Wind, Biomass, Geothermal) Energetically

√ Eliminate Small Scale/Low Efficiency Facilities

√ √

√ √ √

√ √ √

√ √ √ Five-year Program

– Energy Sector


266 84 30 50 63 101 100 91 90 129 144

-1997 1998-2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

[Unit:

[Source of data: National Bureau of Statistics of China]

9

13 15

20 17

13 11 10

15

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

[Unit: %]

France 119.1 GW

Africa 129.2 GW

Canada 131.5 GW

Germany 146.9 GW


Annual installed power capacity: 144.10 GW

Total installed power capacity: 1110.1 GW

Installed capacity per capita till end of 2011: 0.82 kW

Annual generation of electrical power: 4721.7 TWh

Annual consumption of electrical power: 4692.8 TWh

[Source of data: CEC, National Bureau of Statistics of China]

Total Installed

Electricity Capacity

of Selected Indicators

for 2009:


rich experience of other countries

decades of experiments of OECD countries with

environmental regulatory and non-regulatory instruments.

allow China to avoid other countries’ mistakes and

capitalize on the successes

Minimizing the

population lacking

access to electricity

Satisfying the demand of industry

Speed up the development

of central and west

China

Improving the rural area

living condition


[Unit: million]

World 1.4 billion 1.2 billion

China 8 million 0

[Source of graphic: IEA]


0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

GDP [Unit: billion RMB]

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Electrical Power Generation [Unit:TWh]

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Export [Unit: billion US dollar]

[Source of data: National Bureau of Statistics of China]


Gain sustainability of electricity system development

Increase of the economy and electricity will be slowed down

With 9.5% the total consumption will reach 5140 TWh

~ 20 GW for hydro power; ~ 50 GW for fossil fuel generation.

[Source: CEC]

Still Short of

ELECTRICITY


http://www.fanpop.com

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itio

n

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rovin

g

livin

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co

nd

itio

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Imp

rovin

g liv

ing

co

nd

itio

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[Source: iisd]

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rovin

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livin

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Globle

warming

Improved

living

condition

1,347,350,000 ×

Equal Right

!!!!!!!!!

Installed Electrical

Capacity: 0.85 kW

Total Installed

Electrical Capacity:

1110.1 GW


Minimizing the population

lacking access to electricity

Satisfying the demand of

industry

Speed up the development of central and west China

Improving the rural

area living condition

2%

75%

11%

12% Primary industrial (101.5 TWh)

Secondary industrial (3518.5 TWh)

Tertiary industrial (508.2 TWh)

Residential (564.6 TWh)

[Source: CEC]

Residential electric power

consumption increased

10.84 % compare to 2010.

However, in the urban area

the increase is only 8.2%


Minimizing the population

lacking access to electricity

Satisfying the demand of

industry

Speed up the development of central and

west China

Improving the rural

area living condition

[Source: CEC]

the increase of electric power consumption of central and western China are much higher than eastern and northeastern China.


• http://www.apfelnews.eu/2011/06/03/china-teenager-verkauft-niere-fur-ein-ipad-2/

• http://www.chinafreunde.de/?china

• N. Tanaka, World Energy Outlook 2010, IEA(2010).

• China Statistical Yearbook 2011(2012).

• 2011 National Electricity Analysis, CEC(2012).

• International Energy Statistics, EIA.

• http://www.zimbio.com/pictures/QFHWPzfJXZP/Communist+Party+China+Celebrates+90th+Birthday/FG3PK9_-Pco

• http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/55/National_Emblem_of_the_People%27s_Republic_of_China.svg

• China Internet Network News Center.

• http://www.proudchina.com/deng64.gif

• http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1074879,00.html

• http://www.51pptmoban.com/d/file/2012/03/26/4e94e96656a49b0004501c24a1c707fb.jpg

• http://pic14.nipic.com/20110503/6820752_175442643000_2.jpg

• http://de.fotolia.com/id/28279021

• http://www.eapoo.com/design/VmcMMQ4wUTRaPwRmVzJUbQ==.html

• http://www.zcool.com.cn/img.html?src=/9/63/1297650177212.jpg

• http://www.csrshe.com/images/upfile/2008102517225496960.jpg

• http://www.fanpop.com/spots/american-dad/images/877309/title/american-dad-photo

• “China’s Electrical Power Sector, Environmental Protection and Sustainable Trade”, iisd (2010).

• F. F. Wu and S. Fu, IEEE power&energy magazine july/august (2005).

• Chun Chun Ni, “China‘s Electric Power Industry and Its Trends”, IEEJ (2006).

• “2011 China’s electric power supply and analysis for 2012”, China Electricity Council (2012).













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√ Improve people’s living condition

√ Dominate the world

[source of picture: ] management... · 4/15/2013 china's electrical power sector | ziyi wu 4...

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