state of the industry - the food institute · 2021. 4. 16. · © 2021 technomic, inc. source:...
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State of the Industry
© 2021 Technomic, Inc. © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 2© 2021 Technomic, Inc.
Image Source: Shutterstock
© 2021 Technomic, Inc. © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 3© 2021 Technomic, Inc.
Image Source: Shutterstock
© 2021 Technomic, Inc. 4
Note: Based on preliminary raw data; unweightedSource: Technomic Raw Feed Data Sources
80%
67%
40%
24%
Fine Dining Casual Dining Fast Casual QSR
MARCH 2021YOY SALES GROWTH*
© 2021 Technomic, Inc.
Source: Technomic analysis of Opentable.com data
-120.0
-100.0
-80.0
-60.0
-40.0
-20.0
0.0
20.0
7 D
ay A
vera
ge %
Cha
nge
RESTAURANT RESERVATIONSChange v. Same Period 2019
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Vaccinations Quarantine Fatigue Warmer Weather Stimulus $s
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Pent-up demand expected
68% of consumers say that once it’s safe, they are very excited to dine in at restaurants again
Base: 1,000 consumersSource: Technomic Omnibus Survey Photo by Alex Haney on Unsplash
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47%
43%
32%
27%
23%
15%
15%
12%
11%
11%
6%
Hanging out with friends/family
Going out to eat at a restaurant
Traveling
Going shopping at a store or shopping mall
Going to a movie
Going to a bar with friends, family, co-workers
Going to a park
Going to a sporting event
Going back to my office or place of work
Attending a concert or play
Going to a museum
ACTIVITIES CONSUMERS ARE LOOKING FORWARD TO ONCE COVID-10 RESOLVED % INDICATING
Base: 1,000 consumersUp to 3 selected. List shown is not exhaustive.Source: Technomic, Inc.
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Source: Technomic Feb 2021 Wallchart
100 100 100
56.5
76.6 77
83.8
93.9 95.7
2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Quarterly Sales Indices2019=100
2019 2020 2021 (FC)
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Category: Final demand foods; seasonally adjustedSource: Bureau of Labor Statistics
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX: FINAL DEMAND FOODSYEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE %
MARCH 20215.1%
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Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
RESTAURANT MENU PRICE INDICES12-MONTH CHANGE %
MARCH 20213.7%
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*2019 = 100Source: Technomic Projections
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2019 2020 2021* 2022 2023 2024 2025
CUMULATIVE SEGMENT GROWTH INDEXNOMINAL GROWTH
LSRs FSRs Retail Hosts Travel & Leisure Noncommercial Total Foodservice
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SurvivalMarch-May 2020
StartUneven re-opening
June 2020-Feb 2021
SurgeIndustry recovery
StrengthenLong-term investment
and growthThe ‘Four S’ Process of Recovery WE
ARE HERE NOW