statistics exam s2 mark scheme edexcel specimen paper - a-level maths tutor

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EDEXCEL STATISTICS S2 (6684) SPECIMEN PAPER MARK SCHEME 21 Question Number Scheme Marks 1. (a) Advantage: eg quicker/cheaper B1 Disadvantage: eg doesn’t give the full picture B1 (2) (b) The register of pupils attending B1 (1) (c) The individual pupils B1 (1) (4 marks) 2. (a) A B R X U[0,12] B1, B1 (2) (b) M1 A1 P(X x) = x x t 0 12 d 12 1 12 1 12 0 , 12 0 , 0 ) ( F x x x x x B1 ft (centre) B1 (ends) (4) (c) P (X < 4) = 3 1 12 4 B1 ft (1) (7 marks) 3. (a) P(SC) = 4 3 ; P (HC) = 4 1 either B1 Let X represent the number of HC chocolates X ~ B(20; 0.25) can be implied B1 P (X = 10) = 0.9961 0.9861 = 0.0100 awrt 0.010 B1 (3) (b) P (X < 5) = P (X 4) M1 = 0.4148 awrt 0.415 A1 (2) (c) Expected number = np = 100 0.25 = 25 M1 A1 (2) (7marks)

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Mark scheme for statistics exam S2(6684), an A2 level paper.This is a specimen paper for A-level mathematics from Edexcel.The exam will cover the following:The Binomial and Poisson distributions; continuous random variables; continuousdistributions; samples; hypothesis tests.

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Page 1: Statistics Exam S2 Mark Scheme Edexcel Specimen Paper - A-level Maths Tutor

EDEXCEL STATISTICS S2 (6684) SPECIMEN PAPER MARK SCHEME

21

QuestionNumber Scheme Marks

1. (a) Advantage: eg quicker/cheaper B1

Disadvantage: eg doesn’t give the full picture B1 (2)

(b) The register of pupils attending B1 (1)

(c) The individual pupils B1 (1)

(4 marks)

2. (a)

A B RX U[0,12] B1, B1 (2)

(b) M1 A1

P(X x) = � �

x xt

0 12d

121

��

��

��

121

120,12

0,0

)(F

x

xxx

x B1 ft (centre)B1 (ends)

(4)

(c) P (X < 4) = 31

124

� B1 ft (1)

(7 marks)

3. (a) P(SC) = 43 ; P (HC) =

41

either B1

Let X represent the number of HC chocolates

�X ~ B(20; 0.25) can be implied B1

P (X = 10) = 0.9961 � 0.9861 = 0.0100 awrt 0.010 B1 (3)

(b) P (X < 5) = P (X 4) M1

= 0.4148 awrt 0.415 A1 (2)

(c) Expected number = np = 100 � 0.25 = 25 M1 A1 (2)

(7marks)

Page 2: Statistics Exam S2 Mark Scheme Edexcel Specimen Paper - A-level Maths Tutor

EDEXCEL STATISTICS S2 (6684) SPECIMEN PAPER MARK SCHEME

OO

QuestionNumber Scheme Marks

4. (a) 2250500

12606537125602651370

��

����

��������

�x M1 A1cso (2)

(b) )9196.1(or 912.14250

14782250

var 222

�������

� sx M1 A1 (2)

(c) For a Poisson distribution the mean must equal the variance;

parts (a) and (b) are very close, so a Poisson might be a suitable model. B1 (1)

(d) H0: � = 2; H1: � < 2 B1 B1

X = number of errors over 4 pages. Under H0 X ~ P0(8); M1

P(X 3) = 0.0424 M1 A1

This is less than 5% so a significant result and there is evidence that thesecretary has improved. A1 ft (6)

(11 marks)

5. (a) H0 : p = 0.30 H1 : p < 30 B1 B1

X = number ordering vegetarian meal X B (20, 0.30) under H0

P (X 3) = 0.1071 >5% M1, A1

�Not significant i.e. no reason to suspect proportion is lower A1 ft (5)

(b) H0 : p = 0.10 H1 : p � 0.10 B1 B1

Y = number ordering vegetarian mealY B(100, 0.10) � Y P0 (10)

M1

Need a, b such that P(Y a) 0.025 and P(Y � b) 0.025

From tables: P(Y 4) = 0.0293 and P(Y 16) = 0.9730 M1 A1

�P(Y � 17 = 0.0270 A1

�Y 4 and Y � 17 (6)

(c) Significance level is 0.0270 + 0.0293 = 0.0563 (5.6%) B1 ft (1)

(12 marks)

Page 3: Statistics Exam S2 Mark Scheme Edexcel Specimen Paper - A-level Maths Tutor

EDEXCEL STATISTICS S2 (6684) SPECIMEN PAPER MARK SCHEME

23

QuestionNumber Scheme Marks

6. (a) X = number of sheep per square X P0 (2.25) B1 (1)

(b) � � ... 105399.0e0P -2.25���X awrt 0.105 B1 (1)

(c) P (X > 2) 1 � P (X 2), =1– � �

���

���

���

!225.225.21e

22.25- M1, M1

A1

1 � 0.60933… = 0.39066 awrt 0.391 A1 (4)

(d) Sheep would tend to cluster – no longer randomly scattered B1 (1)

(e) Y P0 (20) � normal approx, � = 20, � = 20 M1, A1

P (Y < 15) = P (Y 14.5), ��

���

���

2020-14.5P Z 2

1� M1, M1

P� (Z �1.2298…) A1

= 1 � 0.8907 = 0.1093 AWRT 0.109 M1 A1 (7)

(14 marks)

Page 4: Statistics Exam S2 Mark Scheme Edexcel Specimen Paper - A-level Maths Tutor

EDEXCEL STATISTICS S2 (6684) SPECIMEN PAPER MARK SCHEME

OQ

QuestionNumber Scheme Marks

7. (a) B1, B1

B1

��

���

2027,

201

(3)

(b) � � 42.2100242

100d

201E

3

1

53

1

4 ����

���

��� �

xxxXM1 [M1]

A1(3)

(c) � �� ������

���

����

3

1 22

3

1

6252 21026.042.2

120728

120d

201

���xxx M1 [M1]

� � = 0.459 A1 cso (3)

(d) � � � ����

���

���

xx

xtttxX1

4

1

43

801

8080d

201P M1 � �xM 11 A1 cso

� � � ���

��

��

331

1

1

1801

0F 4

xx

xxx B1 ft, centre

B1 ends(5)

(e) � � � � ... 14.221411

80125.0F 44

�������� pppp M1 A1

� � � � ... 79.261431

80175.0F 44

�������� qqqq A1

IQR=0.65 A1 ft (4)

(f) 612.0459.034IQR ��� , B1

Sensible comment, e.g. reasonable approximation or slight underestimate B1 (2)

(20 marks)