strategy review final 280611

Upload: ross-morrow

Post on 05-Apr-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    1/39

    ThorntonsStrategy Review Presentation28 June 2011

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    2/39

    Business Objectives

    A profitable & rebalanced organisation

    A customer-focused business

    A revitalised brand

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    3/39

    Agenda

    Where We Are Today JH

    The Transformation Plan JH

    The Financial Implications MR

    In Conclusion JH

    3

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    4/39

    Where We Are TodayJonathan Hart

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    5/39

    Strong Brand

    We are ranked 20th in the Superbrand Index

    We are leading growth in our core markets

    Our customers continue to see us as the strongest brand in the mass premium chocolate market

    45

    50

    Customer Advocacy : April 2010 2011 **

    * Source: AC Neilsen MAT April 2011

    **Source: Brand Tracking April 2011

    We are No. 1* in inlaid boxed chocolatessubcategory with 34.0% market share, up

    from 31% a year ago

    We are No. 3* in boxed chocolates category

    with 11.3% market share, up from 8.7% last

    year

    Total sales of Thorntons branded products at

    RSP are more than 350m and growing5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    3540

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    6/39

    Strong Product Innovation & Quality

    Over 13% of our sales come from new products

    Customer satisfaction with our quality remains high

    Four Gold Awards from the Academy of Chocolate in 2011

    Our Master Chocolatier Keith Hurdman awarded joint Chocolatier ofthe Year 2011

    6

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    7/39

    Multi-Channel Model

    OurCommercial channel has delivered significant double digit

    growth every year for the past 5 years

    Our multi-channel model provides significant opportunities and

    spreads business risk

    OurFranchise channel allows us to offer Thorntons productswhere we do not have our Own Stores

    OurDirect channel has consistently grown in line with the overall

    gifting market since it launched 13 years ago

    We have a well invested & maintained UK based manufacturing

    facility

    7

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    8/39

    Primary Challenge - Own Stores (1)

    Diverse portfolio ranging from Mega Malls to Factory Outlets, Cafes

    and High Street Stores

    Our Retail estate requires restructuring to reflect the significant

    changes in consumer shopping behaviours over the past decade

    We havent sufficiently differentiated the Retail experience

    We havent de-seasonalised the business

    8

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    9/39

    Our Own Stores have been impacted threefold from

    The changing shopping habits as supermarkets and malls have

    grown

    Primary Challenge - Own Stores (2)

    The impact of the economy on some secondary and tertiary retail

    locations

    9

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    10/39

    The Transformation PlanJonathan Hart

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    11/39

    Role Own Stores

    Our Own Stores will play an important dual role

    in our business

    A profitable sales & distribution channel as part

    of a rebalanced organisation

    Showcase our revitalised brand, helping todrive sales across all our channels

    11

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    12/39

    Objectives Own Stores

    Fixing our Own Stores is an essential and urgent task with two key

    elements

    Create a sustainable own store structure

    12

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    13/39

    We have reviewed every Own Store location against the following

    criteria

    Long-term sustainability through sufficient footfall

    Creating a Sustainable Structure - Own Stores (1)

    CACI data (strength of location)

    Trading patterns and comparison to a model Thorntons store

    13

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    14/39

    Creating a Sustainable Structure - Own Stores (2)

    Our Own Store Review has concluded the following

    We can run a profitable and sustainable Own Store channel with between 180-200 stores

    We will close a minimum of 120 of our 364 stores over the next 3years taking advantage of

    lease breaks

    We will explore measures to exit up to 60 further stores during the same period We expect to secure a Franchisee in the majority of the locations where we are exiting an Own

    Store - key in rebalancing the sales and contribution from Own Stores as they close

    We may re-site or open stores in the UKs top 100 retail locations if the right opportunities

    arise

    14

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    15/39

    Our Own Store Channel will run three formats

    Core Retail (c.150 Stores currently 299 Stores)

    Profitably supporting the brand with a revitalised proposition

    Located primarily in the top 150 retail locations

    Creating a Sustainable Structure - Own Stores (3)

    Factory Outlets (c.30 Outlets currently 29 Outlets)

    Supports the ongoing requirement to manage excess stocks/misshapes etc

    Further opportunities will be limited

    Cafes (c.35, 10 in Factory Outlets, 25 in Core Retail currently 36 Cafes)

    Profitable, all year round business Not actively seeking further opportunities at this time

    Requires different model store profile and significant investment

    Extension through existing non-cafe stores not an option

    15

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    16/39

    Develop a differentiated and less seasonal business

    While the brand will remain famous for the key seasons We will grow the relevance forother gifting occasions in our customers lives e.g. birthdays,

    anniversaries, thank-yous, congratulations, love yous, just becauses, etc

    Differentiate and Deseasonalise Own Stores (1)

    Create new products We will extend our core gifting category by developing innovative, good value little gifts

    Significantly increasing the number of opportunities to personalise and customise gifts

    Improve the merchandising

    Improve the customer experience

    16

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    17/39

    Customers Own Stores

    Our brand proposition shapes our focused customer objective

    We know and understand our customers well"When I go into

    Thorntons, I'd like to

    see something a bit

    new and different.

    When I enter a

    Thorntons I want to have

    a bit of me-time, losing

    touch with the outside

    I want my shopping

    experience to feel

    more special.

    17

    Nikki

    (young & carefree)

    Jill

    (40s, family focused)

    world for a while."

    Jean

    (in her 60s)

    Our current average frequency of visit and purchase is just over 5 times a year

    Our customer objective is forour customers to visit and purchase from our stores just

    once more per year

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    18/39

    Differentiate and Deseasonalise - Own Stores (2)

    Developing the Proposition

    New retail category management and trading team will be formedto create the plans supporting the new proposition in terms of

    category focus, range and price architecture, trading and

    promotional plans

    New Format Store reflecting new proposition will be trialled preChristmas 2011

    Investment behind new Format in 2012

    Packaging refresh by Christmas 2012

    18

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    19/39

    Differentiate and Deseasonalise - Own Stores (3)

    Creating new products

    Innovation is key

    New little gifts category under 5 in development following successful trials (launch by

    Christmas 2011)

    for introduction throughout the next 12 months

    Better align Own Stores and the Thorntons Direct channel by introducing best-selling ideas in

    Own Stores - Hampers to be launched in Own Stores for Christmas 2011

    New flagship boxed-chocolate brand to be developed for launch in 2012 to sit alongside

    Continental and Classics

    Further development of relevant opportunities in the sharing and impulse categories

    19

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    20/39

    Differentiate and Deseasonalise - Own Stores (4)

    Improving the merchandising by Christmas 2011

    More than 100 store frontages to be refreshed

    New browsing tables to be introduced

    Lower-density merchandising, more open product

    20

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    21/39

    Differentiate and Deseasonalise - Own Stores (5)

    Improving the customer experience

    More engaging POS communication Programme to recruit to the brand now underway

    New Customer Service programme from serving to engaging

    New customer sampling programme a chocolate for everyone

    Customer experience measurement programme launchingAutumn 2011

    Investment in new website and CRM system over next 12

    months will enable customer relationships to be deepened and

    extended outside of the store

    21

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    22/39

    Implications on other channels (1)

    Franchise

    Will be key in rebalancing the sales and contribution from our OwnStore closures

    The estate will continue to grow strongly

    Will benefit from the differentiation delivered throu h the all ear

    round gifting strategy

    22

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    23/39

    Implications on other channels (2)

    Commercial

    Will benefit from the reduced Own Stores estate Will become the main sales channel over the next 3 years

    Will see further growth in breadth and depth of distribution during key seasons as well as

    throu h existin and new fla shi roducts

    Will deliver further benefits to our business partners from Thorntons mass premium positioning

    23

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    24/39

    Implications on other channels (3)

    Thorntons Direct

    Will continue to deliver strong sales growth Will see its role change as the customer

    direct segment aligns with and supports our

    Own Stores

    International

    Will maintain steady sales growth and we will

    invest resource over the next 12 months to

    investigate the longer term opportunities for

    the Thorntons brand

    24

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    25/39

    Implications on other channels (4)

    Manufacturing

    Our plan ensures that we continue to maintain and grow our factoryproduction levels within current capacity

    Will see continued investment to reduce /kg produced

    Our UK manufacturin base will continue to benefit us versus Euro-

    based competitors

    25

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    26/39

    Improve Efficiency

    We have undertaken a review of all major costs and contracts

    We are outsourcing our Warehousing and Distribution We will reduce our supply chain and central costs by c. 2m (annualised)

    We already have plans in place to mitigate rising input costs e.g. forward purchasing

    -

    26

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    27/39

    Senior Executive Team

    I will lead a new senior Executive in delivering this Transformation Plan

    Executive responsibilities have been restructured

    Peter Wright (Marketing Director) will leave the business

    New Executive roles created for Brand & Customer Marketing, Retail Trading and Business

    Development

    27

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    28/39

    Financial ImplicationsMark Robson

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    29/39

    Current Trading FY2010/2011

    Trading has continued to be challenging, as expected

    Own Stores and Franchise experienced Q4 LFL declines

    Commercial continued YOY growth in Q4

    PBT before impairment charges and bank re-financing costs in linewith management expectations

    Gross margin % (including H2) down YOY

    Growth in Commercial channel sales participation

    Effect of VAT rate increases

    Discounting of Easter seasonal stock lines

    29

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    30/39

    Financial Implications Sales FY2011/12

    Retail

    Ongoing challenge as implementation of plans commence andrecouping sales - low single digit negative LFL %

    Commercial

    Continuin rowth articularl Easter with market share rowth -

    double digit positive % growthFranchise

    Growth in line with new store openings

    Thorntons Direct

    Low single digit positive % growth

    30

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    31/39

    Financial Implications Margins FY2011/12

    Margin

    Growth in Commercial channel sales participation and effect of VATrate increases will continue to influence margins

    Improvements in manufacturing overhead absorption rates will help

    offset the impact of channel sales mix / VAT

    Raw materials

    Continued price volatility

    Hedging of cocoa prices in place, at least 6 months forward

    Pro-active management via manufacturing efficiencies but also

    product re-engineering and selective price increases

    31

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    32/39

    Own Store Closures

    Detailed property review of our portfolio including current/future trading; footfall and other fascias

    Recent LFL differential between top trading stores and potential closure stores is 4 - 5%

    Closure programme to follow lease expiry profile

    Financial Implications Own Stores and Franchises

    Potential closures stores - annual sales range from 150-250k To maintain contribution levels, only 50% of Own Store sales need to transfer to the Franchisee

    opening in the same area

    32

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    33/39

    Financial Implications Closure Costs

    Three - year profile

    Average closure costs at lease expiry/break clause forecast to be 35-

    40k; implied total over 120 closures - 4.2-4.8m

    .

    FY2012/13 c. 40%; FY2013/14 c. 20%

    Average closure costs incurred in year to June 2011 c. 32k with 16

    closures in the year

    Lower costs to date with employees redeployed and exit costs

    33

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    34/39

    Financial Implications Operating Expenses

    Cost reduction programme continues

    Distribution Outsourcing

    Up front transition costs: c. 0.7m

    . . - .

    Central Costs

    Process and procurement review underway

    Annualised savings c. 1m

    34

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    35/39

    Capital Expenditure

    Annual expenditure over next 3 financial years: 7.5m-10.0m

    Store format development/refit programmes c. 3-5m

    Supply Chain - improve conversion costs c. 3-4m

    Financial Implications - Cashflow

    Triennial review as at end of May 2011 Forecast increase in pension scheme funding deficit

    Annual contributions could increase from 2.2m to 2.5-3.0m

    35

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    36/39

    New facilities

    57.5 million revolving credit facility

    4+ year term to October 2015

    Financial Implications - Banking

    Interest cover; net debt & fixed charge covenant ratios

    5 million overdraft facility

    One-off costs of c.400k for fees and write-off of the remaining

    unamortised arrangement fees of the previous facilities

    36

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    37/39

    Sales Overall modest growth

    Retail: Declining in line with portfolio reductions and short

    term LFL weakness

    Commercial: Further growth short term thereafter maturing

    Franchise: Continued growth in line with Own Store closures

    Financial Implications 3-5 year expectations

    International: Modest continued growth short term; medium termprospects yet to be defined

    Return on sales

    Delivering industry competitive returns over the medium to long term

    Dividend Policy

    FY2011, expect to recommend a nominal final dividend

    Aligned to peer group in the medium term

    37

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    38/39

    In conclusionJonathan Hart

  • 7/31/2019 Strategy Review Final 280611

    39/39

    Conclusion

    Delivering this transformation will have a positive impact on our

    multi-channel strategy and our long-term corporate health

    A healthier de-risked business

    39