subscription brochure 102016

Subscription services

2016

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IntroductionA world leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, Oxford Economics offers a comprehensive portfolio of publications, databases, and analytical tools on a subscription basis. These services fall under three main areas.

Countries

Regularly updated data, models, analysis, forecasts, and scenarios for over 200 countries, together with global trade and risk forecasts, and historical and future price trends on 26 commodity markets.

Industries Consistent data, analysis and forecasts across 68 countries and ten industries: aerospace, basic metals, chemicals, construction, consumer goods, electronics, energy and mining, engineering, intermediate goods, and motor vehicles. We also offer a travel and tourism service.

CitiesForecasts for 3,000 cities and sub-regions, with databanks and analysis for Europe, the United Kingdom, North America, China, Asia, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East.

Flexible access This brochure provides descriptions for our range of subscription services and packages. Prices are available upon request. Clients can access Oxford Economics’ information through our website (www.oxfordeconomics.com), proprietary software, our iOS and Android apps, Excel add-ins, or through direct content feeds.

Global analysis for better decisions

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Countries

Global Macro ServiceThe Global Macro Service brings together all of our world-class macro monitoring tools. Within a single workstation, you can access our event-driven analysis and insights on key data releases, alongside a deep portfolio of research tools to assess the impact of macro events across more than 200 countries on your investment or business strategy.

What the service includes:

J Research briefings: high-frequency analysis of macro events, market shifts, emerging issues, and policy changes that will affect investment portfolios.

J Weekly Economic Briefings: weekly wrap-ups of key developments and upcoming events for the US, Eurozone, and the UK.

J Data Insights: immediate analysis of key data releases and the implications for our macro forecasts.

J Country Economic Forecasts: concise country reports providing analysis and forecasts, with monthly updates for the world’s major economies.

J Global Economic Databank: detailed macro economic data on over 200 countries with forecasts to 2040.

J Chartbooks: monthly dashboards of key data and trends for each region, and for major countries.

J Scenarios: quarterly summary report of our forecasts under alternative scenarios.

J Webinars and presentations: regular global and regional outlook webinars, as well as ad hoc event-driven updates, and our archive of presentations.

J Analyst contact: you can contact our macro and financial economists directly to discuss our macro analysis and the potential impact on your portfolio.

The Global Macro Service is available either as a global package, or by region.

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Country Economic ForecastsCountry Economic Forecasts provide regularly updated analysis and forecasts on economic conditions in more than 200 countries. These concise reports examine the latest economic developments and policy changes for each country, together with long-term forecasts for a wide spectrum of economic indicators.

By drawing on our integrated Global Economic Model, our in-house team is able to provide the highest-quality forecasts in a consistent international framework.

Reports are updated once a month for the top 60 world economies, and once a quarter or semi-annually for the rest, and include an assessment of risks and alternate scenarios.

The service includes access to the Global Economic Databank, as well as summary forecast data spreadsheets. Full telephone and email support from our economists is included in the subscription price.

Global Economic Databank Oxford Economics’ Global Economic Databank is the world’s most comprehensive forecast database. Each month, our team of economists produces forecasts for over 200 countries using our integrated Global Economic Model.

The forecast database covers hundreds of forecast series per country, including macroeconomic, socioeconomic, financial and tourism trends from 1980 to 2040. Annual series are presented for all countries; quarterly for 47 key economies.

Our web-based databank software allows users to modify forecast frequency, time variables, and how the data are presented. Numbers may be represented as absolutes, percentages, and even differences between time periods. All data are annotated by source, date of update, and the name and email of the economist who is responsible for each forecast. Searches can be saved for future reference and downloaded quickly as a spreadsheet or image. A plug-in allows users to select and access data directly within Excel.

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Global Economic Model

The key framework for our global analysis is the Oxford Global Economic Model, the most widely used globally integrated economic model. The model is updated every month and covers 46 countries in detail, 35 others with headline forecasts and the rest of the world as trading blocs.

Our team of over 150 economists set underlying global assumptions and ensure that the data, forecasts, and formulas are kept up-to-date, and provide clients with full training and support.

In addition to our baseline projections, the model provides a number of alternative scenarios, and can be further extended to support your own custom requirements.

The model provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting, economic impact research, and scenario analysis. Users can easily change economic assumptions to produce new forecasts or scenarios, add variables and equations, produce presentation-quality graphics, download data into spreadsheets and other data-handling packages, compare, map and graph data across countries and alternative scenarios, or build your own economic models.

Global Scenarios ServiceEvents-driven scenario analysis from Oxford Economics draws on our sophisticated Global Economic Model to examine and quantify the implications of potential risks to the world economy.

Each quarter, clients receive a detailed written report examining our baseline forecast and three scenarios linked to possible major world shocks. In addition to our rigorous analysis, you will receive an Excel file that shows both the quarterly and annual results for a range of variables for each of the 80 countries covered plus the Eurozone and the world as a whole.

Weekly Economic BriefingsThese concise briefings make it easy for you to monitor key economic events that can affect your business. Each week, our economists provide their insights into the latest economic and financial events and policy changes in the world’s major industrial and emerging markets.

Crucially, these weekly economic briefings assess how recent developments fit into our expectations for economic trends and policy changes and give you snapshots of latest data and upcoming market events. Our weekly briefings cover four key areas: United States, United Kingdom, Eurozone, and Emerging Markets.

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Commodity Price ForecastsOur monthly Commodity Price Forecasts provide historical data and two-year forecasts for 26 commodity prices, including base metals, precious metals, and oil and non-oil commodities.

Consistent with our economic forecasts, our commodity price outlooks analyse quarterly and annual price trends. Access to our Commodity Price Databank is included in the service.

Global Trade Databank Updated each quarter, this service provides historical trends and forecasts of trade flows between 180 countries across five continents. It shows export, import and trade balance for each country in relation to all other nations in the databank. For each pair of exporting and importing countries, the service provides: (US$, % total exports and % GDP), imports (US$, % total imports and %GDP) and visible trade balance (US$, % GDP) for all countries. Historical data generally go back to 1980 and forecasts run to 2040. The service comes with full telephone and email support.

Trade-by-Product DatabankForecasts of bilateral export flows dis-aggregated by sub-sector for 33 key economies. Exports and trade balances are identified for each pair of countries, with historical data generally going back to 1990 and forecasts running to 2040. The figures, which are updated once a quarter, are annual and shown in US dollars.

Economic and Political Risk EvaluatorThe Economic and Political Risk Evaluator provides a framework for forecasting economic and geopolitical risks in 164 countries through regularly updated ratings, in-depth profiles, and event-driven analysis. It is a subscription service designed and delivered by a joint venture between Control Risks, the leading political, security and integrity risk consultancy and Oxford Economics, one of the world’s foremost macroeconomic forecasting consultancies. The tool can be customised to fit an organisation’s own risk profile.

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Industries

Global Industry ForecastsThese in-depth reports probe the latest developments, five-year future trends and alternate scenarios out to 2024 for ten major global industries and over 100 sub-sectors across 68 countries and 10 regions/blocs and the Eurozone. Each quarterly report provides historical and forecast data and analysis on the world’s major and emerging markets. Our global models ensure that our industry forecasts are accurate and consistent with world economic conditions.

A subscription includes quarterly world summary reports, supplementary data and forecast tables, monthly industry updates, and support from our analysts. Industries covered:

J Aerospace

J Basic metals

J Chemicals

J Construction

J Consumer goods

J Electronics & Computers

J Energy and Mining

J Engineering

J Intermediate goods

J Motor vehicles

J Utilities

J Pharmaceutical

Global Industry Databank The most comprehensive industry forecast database in the world, with hundreds of series for 68 countries, the Eurozone, and multiple regions/trading blocs. Our industry databank presents forecasts to 2040, supported by historical data from 1980, categorised by NACE codes. Because we use an integrated global model, our industry data and forecasts are fully consistent with our world economic forecasts.

Our web-based databank software allows users to modify forecast frequency, time variables, and how the data are presented. Numbers may be represented as absolutes, percentages, and even differences between time periods. All data are annotated by source, date of update, and the name and email of the economist who is responsible for each forecast. Searches can be saved for future reference and downloaded quickly as a spreadsheet or image. A plug-in allows users to select and access data directly within Excel.

Monthly Industry Briefings These reports provide updates on the latest developments in key world markets, with month-to-month output numbers and revised forecasts. A complement to our Global Industry Forecasts, this service covers nine key sectors. Each month, you receive a summary report that provides an insightful overview of global industry trends, as well as 20 data and forecast tables providing indices, month-on-month and year-on-year

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growth rates for the US, Japan and eight leading European countries.

By-country Industry ForecastsReliable, in-depth industry data for 68 country markets and the Eurozone in our comprehensive By-Country Industry Forecasts, which provide detailed data, forecasts and graphs, plus summary analysis, for every main manufacturing sector and sub-sector in each country. These quarterly reports cover key developed and developing markets with forecasts out to 2024. They show at-a-glance which segments will grow the fastest and slowest.

Global Industry ModelThe first of its kind, our integrated Global Industry Model enables you to develop detailed industry forecasts from a set of economic projections and assumptions. This sophisticated model covers 100 sectors across 68 key countries, using demand as its key input but other variables, such as exchange rates and commodity prices, are used when appropriate. The model runs off our latest economic forecasts and generates projections of output by industry and sub-sector.

The model is based on 2000 indices, prices and input-output tables, and it makes use of NACE revision 2 industrial classifications. Industrial coverage includes both manufacturing sectors and services in all economies. Training and support are provided.

Tourism Decision Metrics A dynamic tool for international market analysis, provides data, analysis and reports for over 180 countries. This best-of-breed service was developed for market strategists, scenario planners, economists, tourism analysts and capital investors within both public- and private-sector organisations.

Our rigorous tourism and travel database includes 10-year forecasts based on the Oxford Global Economic Model for every major origin and destination pair. The service includes over 40,000 indicators of tourism activity, including details on the purpose of trip and visitor spending. The platform provides tourism “dashboard” reports and economic briefings for all major markets.

Air Passenger Forecasts The most comprehensive set of projections on how the airline industry will evolve over the coming decades. Created in partnership with the IATA, the service provides annual forecasts of air passenger flows for almost 4,000 routes and 185 major markets over the next 20 years, representing over 90% of all air travel in that time period. Regional flows are included and important rapid growth routes are covered.

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Cities

Global CitiesThis forecasting tool is designed to measure, benchmark and forecast economic performance in the largest cities around the world. The service offers forecasts for key demographic, economic, labour market, and industry variables, plus household income distribution and consumer spending for 770 business centres in 139 countries that are not available from any other source.

African and Middle Eastern Cities ForecastsUnparalleled in terms of the breadth of cities covered and depth of variables included, this databank covers 96 cities, spanning 43 countries in Africa, and 54 major business centres in 19 countries in the Middle East. The service provides annual forecasts for key demographic, economic, industry, household income distribution, and consumer spending variables.

The variables available range from population and GDP forecasts, to detailed consumer spending forecasts for over 50 categories of goods and services. Data is produced in current and constant 2012 prices, and in both local currency and US dollar terms, to allow comparative analysis of market size and growth.

The data mostly refers back to 2000, with forecasts to 2030 for all locations, thus providing a 30-year annual time series.

Asian Cities and Regional ForecastsThis forecast databank covers 35 important cities and sub-regions in the Pacific basin. It offers regularly updated annual forecasts for key economic, labour-market and industry variables such as total output and employment, sector outlooks, population, labour force, unemployment, and household income and spending.

The forecasts go out to 2025 and are consistent with our global economic and industry forecasts.

China Cities and Regional ForecastsThis unique Chinese cities and regional forecasting service covers 30 provinces and 286 cities. The full dataset contains historical trends and forecasts out to 2025 for population; GDP, broken out by primary industries, manufacturing, construction and a range of services; GDP per person; consumer spending; government consumption; fixed income; employment for primary industries, manufacturing & construction and services; household spending and income; household spending and income per person; retail sales; and consumer prices.

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European Cities and Regional ForecastsThis service provides annual data and forecasts for over 2,000 sub-regions, cities and towns in the EU, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey and Russia, drawing on Eurostat’s Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS), for all NUTS 1, 2, and 3 regions. The forecasts, consistent with our economic and industry projections, cover key macroeconomic, labour market and industry variables, with a written analysis of key trends prepared at semi-annual intervals, and can be supplemented with consumer spending forecasts for over 1,700 locations in the region.

Clients access historical trends and 10-year forecasts for GDP, 14 industries, employment, incomes and consumer spending, among other series of importance.

Add-on: consumer spending forecasts for 1,700 locations and over 40 categories.

Latin American Cities and Regional ForecastsThe only high quality service of its type available today, this unparalleled forecasting service is designed to measure, benchmark and forecast economic performance in key locations across Latin America. The service offers regularly updated annual forecasts for key economic, labour market and industry variables for 32 business centres.

North American Metro ServiceAnalysis of all 50 states and Washington, DC, 89 Metropolitan Statistical Areas that together comprise over 75% of all US economic activity, and all 31 Metro Divisions, plus Canada’s provinces and 9 major cities. Clients have online access to our full dataset of historic trends and long-term forecasts, including income and retail sales, GDP, employment by sector, consumer spending, household income bands, and housing starts and permits.

UK Cities and RegionsThe most comprehensive service of its kind, our UK Cities and Regions offers detailed data, forecasts, and analysis for 13 regions, 33 London boroughs, and 486 local authority districts. The service provides consistent quarterly data and forecasts for output and employment (by sector), population, labour force, unemployment, household income and spending, and house prices.

Global City Travel Detailed and comparable inbound and outbound travel data for 300 cities around the world, representing more than 80% of global air travel. This service uses a combination of destination measurements, origin-destination air passenger demand, hotel statistics, and economic indicators, to provide an accurate view of global city tourism. It includes ten years of history and a ten-year forecast horizon, and is updated every six months.

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Subscription packages

1. Full Global Macro Package A complete service for tracking and analysing emerging macro events and future trends in over 200 countries.

J Country Economic Forecasts

J Global Economic Databank

J Global Scenarios Service

J Weekly Briefings

J Research Briefings

J Data Insights

J Chartbooks

J World Economic Prospects

J Commodity Forecasts

J Presentations

J Webinars

J Access to economists

2. Advanced Global Industry Programme A complete industry forecasting and analysis service with continuous updates for 69 countries and 26 commodities.

J Global Industry Forecasts

J Global Industry Databank

J Monthly Industry Briefings

J By-Country Industry Forecasts

J Commodity Price Forecasts

J Access to economists

3. Global Cities and Regions Package The only global service of its kind, this comprehensive data and forecasting service covers over 3,000 cities regions.

J African and Middle Eastern Cities Forecasts

J Asian Cities and Regional Forecasts

J China Cities and Regional Forecasts

J European Cities and Regional Forecasts

J Latin American Cities and Regional Forecasts

J North American Cities & Regional Forecasts

J Optional: Global Cities Forecasting Service

For more information on service bundles, please contact your nearest Oxford Economics sales representative.

J Optional: Global Industry Model

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Our analytical softwareWe continually update our analytical platforms to provide new ways to access and view our data and forecasts. Recent improvements include:

Global ModelsOur proprietary modelling platform provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting, impact research, and scenario analysis. Our user-friendly, Windows-based software makes it easy to change economic assumptions to produce new forecasts or scenarios, add new variables and equations, produce presentation-quality graphics, download data into spreadsheets and other data-handling packages, as well as compare, map and graph data across countries and alternative scenarios, or build your own economic models.

Global Model WorkstationThe Global Model Workstation is used alongside our Global Economic Model, and provides an enhanced set of features for exploring, visualising and exporting data from those scenarios which go beyond those found in the View and Download Data area of the Model. This functionality is provided through a modern, intuitive user interface which is shared with our online databanks.

Global Data WorkstationThe Global Data Workstation provides access to our suite of macro, industry, and city databanks. This web-based software allows users to modify forecast frequency, time variables, and how the data are presented. Numbers may be represented as absolutes, percentages, and even differences between time periods. Searches can be saved for future reference and downloaded quickly as a spreadsheet or image. The Excel Data Workstation add-in allows users to select and access data directly within Excel.

Excel Data WorkstationThe Excel Data Workstation is a simple but powerful add-in for accessing data from Oxford Economics directly within Excel. The tool forms a direct link from both our Global Data Workstation, which houses 19 databanks that provide economic data on 200 countries, 100 industries, and 3,000 cities, and the Global Model Workstation, an application for analysing user-driven forecasts and scenarios generated in the Global Economic Model.

Global Scenarios WorkstationThe Global Scenarios Workstation is a user-friendly interface that allows the user to run scenarios from within the Global Model Workstation. Scenarios include our baseline forecast and a number of potential global risks for the world economy that are regularly generated by our economists using our Global Economic Model. The tool also allows users to upload and run their own custom scenarios.

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About Oxford EconomicsOxford Economics was founded in 1981 as a commercial venture with Oxford University’s business college to provide economic advice and forecasts to international organisations. Since then, we have become one of the world’s foremost independent global economic firms, producing forecasts, analysis, and data on over 200 countries and regions, 100 industries, and 3,000 sub-regions and cities. Our team includes over 150 professional economists, industry analysts, and management experts.

Oxford Economics specialises in global quantitative analysis and business and public-policy advice. The firm offers a sophisticated portfolio of forecasting services, consisting of regular reports, databases, and models on countries, cities, and industries. Oxford Economics is renowned for its evidence-based consulting and thought leadership services, including economic impact studies, scenario analysis, business modeling, risk assessment, market sizing, executive surveys, white papers, and public-sector analysis. The firm is distinguished by the quality of its quantitative analysis and the caliber of its staff. We offer the world’s only integrated Global Economic and Industry Model.

Our international clientsA key adviser to business and government decision-makers, our worldwide client base now comprises over 1,200 international corporations, financial institutions, government organisations, professional firms and universities.

Our subscription clients include:

J Government organisations, including the World Bank, the United Nations, Cabinet Office, the Asian Development Bank, the OECD, US Department of Agriculture, Bank of Japan, and the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency.

J Multinational firms, such as Apple, GE, Shell, Coca-Cola, Airbus, IBM, Rolls-Royce, BP, BAT, Daimler, Akzo Nobel, Mittal Steel, Petrobras, Honda, Boeing, Renault, Ford, Rio Tinto, Air Products, Owens Corning, Carrefour, and Siemens.

J Financial institutions, including Citi, Credit Suisse, Commerzbank, Goldman Sachs, American Express, Lloyds TSB Bank, Macquarie Bank, State Street Global Advisors, Mastercard, BNY Mellon, BNP Paribas, Nomura, Barclays, and TD Bank.

J Real estate, real estate finance and infrastructure, including Aareal, AEW, Allianz, CBRE, DTZ, Invesco, GIC, Cushman and Wakefield, Patrizia, Pradera, Jones Lang LaSalle, Bouwfonds, and Redevco.

J Professional service firms, such as Booz Allen, AT Kearney, LEK Consulting, McKinsey and Company, Deloitte, PwC, Accenture, KPMG, and E&Y.

J Academic institutions, including Oxford University, Brown University, UCLA, NYU, LSE, ITESM, Aichi University, and University of Melbourne.

Europe, Middle East & AfricaOXFORD Abbey House, 121 St Aldates Oxford, OX1 1HB, UK Tel: +44 1865 268900

LONDON Broadwall House, 21 Broadwall London, SE1 9PL, UKTel: +44 207 803 1400

BELFASTLagan House Sackville StreetLisburnCounty Down, BT27 4ABUKTel: + 44 (0)2892 635400

PAARL 12 Celia StreetPaarlSouth Africa 7646Tel: +27(0)21 863-2728

FRANKFURT Mainzer Landstaße 4760329, Frankfurt am MainGermanyTel: +49 69 96 758 658

PARIS3 square Desaix75015 Paris, FranceTel: +33 (0)1 78 91 50 52

MILANVia Cadorna 320080 Albairate (MI)Tel: +3902 9406 10

DUBAIJumeirah Lake Towers Dubai, UAE Tel: +971 56 396 7998

Global Offices

AmericasNEW YORK 5 Hanover Square, 19th Floor New York, NY 10004, USATel: +1 (646) 786-1879

PHILADELPHIA 303 Lancaster Avenue, Suite 2EWayne PA 19087, USATel: +1 610 995-9600

MEXICO CITYEmerson 150, Despacho 802Col. Polanco, Miguel HidalgoMéxico D.F., C.P. 11560Tel: +52 (55) 52503252

BOSTON 51 Sawyer RdBuilding 2 - Suite 220Waltham, MA 02453Tel: +1 617 206-6112

CHICAGO980 N. Michigan Ave, Suite 1412 Chicago, IL 60611Tel: +1 (773) 372-5762

LOS ANGELES2500 BroadwayBuilding F, Suite F-125Santa Monica, CA 90404Tel: +1 (424) 238 4331

TORONTO2425 Matheson Blvd East, 8th FloorMississauga, OntarioL4W 5K4Tel: +1 (905) 361-6573

October 2016

Asia PacificSINGAPORE6 Battery Road#38-05Singapore 049909Tel: +65 6850 0110

SYDNEYLevel 56, MLC Centre 19 Martin Place Sydney, NSW 2000 Tel: +61 2 9220 1707

HONG KONG30/F, Suite 3015-16Entertainment Building30 Queen’s Road CentralTel: +852 3103 1096

EMAIL:[email protected]

WEBSITE:www.oxfordeconomics.com

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.oxfordeconomics.com

subscription brochure 102016

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