technical aspects of the forest carbon inventory of the united states: recent past and near future

34
TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE Christopher W. Woodall, Research Forester, U.S. Forest Service, St. Paul, MN

Upload: olinda

Post on 23-Feb-2016

22 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE. Christopher W. Woodall, Research Forester, U.S. Forest Service, St. Paul, MN . Grant Domke Sean Healey John Coulston James Smith Andrew Gray. Co-Authors. Outline. Where we’ve been… - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Christopher W. Woodall, Research Forester, U.S. Forest Service, St. Paul, MN

Page 2: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

GRANT DOMKESEAN HEALEYJOHN COULSTONJAMES SMITHANDREW GRAY

Co-Authors

Page 3: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Outline Where we’ve been… Where we are at… Where we want to go…

Page 4: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

FIA Carbon/Biomass Goal

“Improve forest biomass/carbon estimates using the sound science in concert with our external partners/scientists. Just as we try to provide the best volume estimates across the country, we should produce the best biomass/carbon estimates”

Page 5: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

State of Accounting in 2010

Live Tree = Field Measurement Standing Dead Tree = Model Litter = Model Downed Dead Wood = Model Soil Organic Carbon = Model Belowground = Model

Data Delivery = FIA vs NGHGI Tools

Vs.

* Used in 2009 National Greenhouse Gas Inventory of Forests (LULUCF)

Page 6: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Problem with ModelsDo trees really grow/die in such a stable manner?

How about invasive earthworms and warming temperature impact on litter depth?

How about western tree mortality and fires?

Page 7: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Problem with Models

e.g., 1,000 year ice storm

Page 8: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Improvements in 2011

Jenkins to Component Ratio Method

Phase 2 standing dead

Released to Public in April 2012

Page 9: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Improvements in 2012

Phase 3 Down Woody Materials

Released to Public in April 2013

Page 10: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

CRM vs. JenkinsJenkins

Nationally consistent method

Tree component estimates

Single field-based parameter: dbh

Useful at large scales Not linked to tree volume Relies on external stump

equation

Component Ratio Method (CRM)

Nationally consistent method

Standardized use of regional volume equations

Utilizes dbh and height measurements

Requires Jenkins to estimate component biomass

Incorporates rotten and missing cull deductions

Relies on external stump equation

Page 11: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

CRM vs. Jenkins

MethodJenkins:CRM:

79.5 kg C70.0 kg C

25.0 kg C21.7 kg C

4.9 kg C4.3 kg C

109.4 kg C96.0 kg C

Bole Top and limbs

Stump Total AG carbon

Page 12: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

CRM vs. Jenkins

9 inch tree biomass by tree height across United States

Douglas-fir Quaking Aspen

Page 13: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

CRM vs. Jenkins

Woodall, C.W., Heath, L.S., Domke, G.M., Nichols, M.C. 2011. Methods and equations for estimating aboveground volume, biomass, and carbon for trees in the U.S. forest inventory, 2010. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-88. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 30 p.

Domke, G.M., Woodall, C.W., Smith, J.E., Westfall, J.A., McRoberts, R.E. 2012. Consequences of alternative tree-level biomass estimation procedures on U.S. forest carbon stock estimates. Forest Ecology and Management. 270: 108-116.

Page 14: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

National Volume/Biomass Effort

Consortium Collect Data Progressively Through

Species

Page 15: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Standing Dead Trees Inventory Plots

Page 16: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Standing Dead Wood

Wood density

Structural loss

Page 17: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Density Reduction Factors

Page 18: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Density Reduction Factors

Page 19: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Structural Loss Adjustment

Page 20: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Models vs. Measurements

Models may not account for recent disturbance mortality such as fire or insects

Page 21: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Western State Standing Dead Trees

C

Wilson et al. In Review

Page 22: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Standing Dead Research

Woodall, C.W., Domke, G.M., MacFarlane, D.W., Oswalt, C.M. 2012. Comparing field- and model-based standing dead tree carbon stock estimates across forests of the United States. Forestry. 85: 125-133.

Domke, G.M., Woodall, C.W., Smith, J.E. 2011. Accounting for density reduction and structural loss in standing dead trees: Implications for forest biomass and carbon stock estimates in the United States. Carbon Balance and Management 6: 14.

Page 23: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Implications of Changes to 2012 US LULUCF Not all changes are due to the revised estimation

procedures for live and standing dead trees (e.g., new inventories).

Reduction in US C stocks by 6.7% (3,232 Tg C) Increase in US C annual sequestration (2009 inventory

year) by 3.5% (8.3 Tg C/yr) CRM adoption was partially responsible for reducing AG

live tree stocks (2010) by 15.2% (2,606 Tg C). However, annual stock change (2009) increased by 0.9% (1.2 Tg C/yr)

Using FIA Phase 2 standing dead trees reduced standing dead tree US stocks (2010) by 14.8% (458 Tg C). However, annual stock change (2009) increased by 122.2% (11.0 Tg C/yr).

Page 24: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Phase 2 vs Phase 3 Plots

Phase 21 per 6,000 acres

Phase 31 per 96,000 acres

Soils Downed

Woody Materials (DWM)

Forest Floor Understory

Vegetation

Page 25: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

DWM Plots

27,000+ plots

Sampled 2002-2010

Page 26: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Unique DWM Considerations (i.e., Decay)

Height collapse (volume)

Case hardening Density

reductions Harmon et al.

2008 (NRS-GTR-29)

Page 27: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Prior NGHGI Model

Live Tree Biomass

Down

ed D

ead

Biom

ass

Smith et al. 2006

Page 28: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

DWM P3 vs. NGHGI Model

Field-basedModel: Carbon calculation tool

Estimated CWD C density (Tg)

Domke et al. In review

Page 29: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

DWM P3 vs. NGHGI Model

Domke et al. In review

Page 30: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Live versus Dead versus Area

Woodall et al. In Review.

Page 31: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Bringing it All Together: A Cohesive View of C Across Pools and US

Wilson et al. In Review

Page 32: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Future Work Interior Alaska and Managed

Land Definition Missing Data and 1990 Baseline CCT for National Forest System Soil Organic Carbon and Forest

Floor Belowground Unity among on-line reporting

tools Volume/Biomass research And so on…

Page 33: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

Summary Improving estimation of each

pool…step by step CRM adoption and standing

dead refinements in 2011 Downed dead wood in 2012

(right now) Soil organic carbon and forest

floor in 2013 Small group that tries to

leverage the community of carbon scientists

Page 34: TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE FOREST CARBON INVENTORY OF THE UNITED STATES: RECENT PAST AND NEAR FUTURE

THANK YOU!!!

[email protected]