thai capital market story - stock exchange of thailand

27
Thai Capital Market Story Pakorn Peetathawatchai President The Stock Exchange of Thailand 24 June 2019

Upload: others

Post on 28-May-2022

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

Thai Capital Market Story

Pakorn Peetathawatchai

President

The Stock Exchange of Thailand24 June 2019

Page 2: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

2

Outline

Thai Capital Market Landscape

Current Investment Themes

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms

12

3

Page 3: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

3Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand, Bank of Thailand, ThaiBMA, NESDB GDPNote: End of May 2019 (Bank lending as end of April 2019)

Thailand’s outstanding value of Bank lending, Equity market and Bond market (LHS) , Market Cap to GDP (RHS)

Unit: Billion USD

Corporate Bond

Outstanding

Bank lending

Gov’t Bond

Outstanding

Market Capitalization

of stock

Total Outstanding

May 2019 (Bil. USD)

532

304

485

110

(37%)

1,431

(8%)

(21%)

(34%)

(100%)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018

Asian Financial Crisis 1997

Global Financial Crisis 2008

Market Cap to GDP = 102%

Market cap to GDP

The Thai capital market has played an important role in the development of our economy.

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

May 2019

Page 4: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

4

7

13

44

17

3

12

8

30

47

94

63

23

9

15

5

83

57

9

43

2

97

3

1,7

73

2,1

92

2,1

65

1,2

09

3,0

23

3,7

62

3,7

30

1,0

48

14

,12

9

6,5

20

1,4

85

2,4

48

1,6

64

4,2

95

1,9

89

2,9

21

3,8

28

3,0

78

1,5

31

1,0

54

3,0

12

2,6

51

9,9

86

11

,63

6

8,6

51

9,3

37

7,2

45

7,8

85

6,6

57

4,5

32

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand, Bank of Thailand

SET and mai have been the main sources of funding duringthe periods of opportunities and challenges.

Thai Capital Market Landscape1Capital raised from listed companies (Million USD)

Thailand’s Eastern Seaboard Development1

Thai companies’ regional and global expansion

Domestic growth

Recapitalization after the 1997 financial crisis

2

3

4

Eastern

Economic

Corridor

Development

May 2019

Page 5: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

5

ASEAN Peers Comparison

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

Noted: Thailand’s market cap from GDP calculated by YTD average daily market cap. 2019 / pro-rate 5 month nominal GDP

Source: World Federation of Exchanges, Exchanges’ website, IMF

191%

112%102%

85%61% 51%

6% 2% 1%

Singapore Malaysia Thailand Philippines Vietnam Indonesia Lao PDR Cambodia Myanmar

Market Capitalization to GDP (%) as of May 2019

Page 6: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

6*Noted: Indonesia data as of February 2019

Source: World Federation of Exchanges, Bloomberg

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

16,180

10,562

4,795 4,738

2,077

THAILAND SINGAPORE MALAYSIA INDONESIA PHILIPPINES

Accumulated IPO Value 2014 – YTD 2019(Million USD)

Market Capitalization as of May 2019(Billion USD)

691

532 520

398

281

SINGAPORE THAILAND INDONESIA MALAYSIA PHILIPPINES

Average daily turnover YTD 2019(Million USD)

1,493

768 725

548

148

THAILAND SINGAPORE INDONESIA MALAYSIA PHILIPPINES* *

ASEAN Peers Comparison

Page 7: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

7

Number of Thai listed companies in MSCI Standard index

2529 29

34 33 3537

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May-19

2019 MSCI membersADVANC, AOT, BANPU, BBL, BEM, BH, BGH, BTS, BJC, LH,

CPALL, CPF, CPN, DTAC, EA, GLOW, GULF, HMPRO, EGCO,

INTUCH, IVL, IRPC, KBANK, KTB, MINT, MTC, PTT, PTTGC,

PTTEP, RATCH, ROBINS, SCB, SCC, TMB, TOP, TRUE, TU

35

23

12

6

1

Thailand Singapore Indonesia Malaysia Philippines

Number of listed companies having market capitalization >= $1 billion and average

daily trading value* >= $ 10 million

As of May 2019

*Calculated by 6 months average daily trading valueSource: Bloomberg

SET has a relatively larger number of liquid large-cap listed companies and increasing number of constituents in MSCI, the benchmark index

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

Page 8: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

8

Consumer Product52 companies

(7%)

Industrials130 companies

(18%)

Agro & Food62 companies

( 9%)

Technology50 companies

(7%)Property & Construction

122 companies (17%)

Financials70 companies

10%

Resources66 companies

(9%)

Services161 companies

(23%)

Sales

Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 2019

Sectors listed on the Exchange

SET has diverse business sectors listed on the exchange withservices sector being the largest industry among 8 industries in SET & mai.

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

Total

711*Companies

Breakdown by number of companies Breakdown by Market Capitalization

Consumer Product4 (1%)

Industrials27

(5%)

Agro & Food35

(7%)Technology

42(8%)

Property & Construction

65(13%)

Financials86

(17%)

Resources115

(23%)

Services130

(26%)

Sales

Total

504Billion USD

Companies in SET 550

Companies in mai 161

Note: *Excluding Property Fund & REITs 60 securities and IFF 7 securities

Unit: Billion USD (%)Unit: Number of companies (%)

Page 9: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

9Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand

Investor base in Thai stock market is well diversified with roughly equal proportion between foreign and local.

Average daily trading value by investor type

Unit: Million USD (Percent), data as of May 2019

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

766 801

713 729

520

287 381

446 650

634

121 150 163 188 164

119 156 154 219 183

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2015 2016 2017 2018 May-19

Prop. Trade

Institutional Investors

Foreign Investor

Retail Investors

(9%) (11%) (10%) (12%) (12%)

(9%)(10%) (11%) (11%) (11%)

(22%)(26%)

(30%)(36%)

(42%)

(69%)(54%)

(48%)(41%)

(36%)

Page 10: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

10

SET offers a wide range of attractive products to create valueand broaden investment opportunities for investors.

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

Common Stock

Preferred Stock

Warrants

Derivative Warrants

Exchange Traded Funds

Non-Voting Depositary Receipt

Depositary Receipt

Equities

SET50 Index Futures

SET50 Index Options

Single Stock Futures

50 Baht Gold Futures

10 Baht Gold Futures

Gold-D Futures

Interest Rate Futures

Oil Futures

Currency Futures

Sector Index Futures

Rubber Futures

Derivatives

Property Funds

REITs

Infrastructure Funds

Quasi-fixed income

Page 11: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

11Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand

PrimaryListing

2

SecondaryListing

3

Infrastructure Trust

4Real Estate

Investment Trust (REIT)

5

Foreign

Company

Listed company in

Home Exchange

(e.g. Cambodia, Laos)

Listed company on SET

Income generating

infrastructure assets

Infrastructure trust (IFT)

Income generating

real estate assets

Real estate

Investment trust

(REIT)

Ordinary Share Unit Trust

Listing of a company

incorporated abroad

on the SET as a

primary exchange

Allow foreign listed

companies to list on SET

as the Secondary Listing

Listing of Foreign

Infrastructure Assets

Listing of Foreign

Real Estate

Holding Company

1

Listing of the Thai

holding company with

core companies

operating overseas

Shareholders (Thai/foreign)

Holding Company(Thai incorporated)

Core Company(Foreign subsidiary)

> 50%

Various schemes to facilitate foreign listing are available to suit different capital requirements and business structures.

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

Page 12: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

12

Thailand is internationally recognized as a leader in capital market corporate governance.

ACGA’s CG Watch market scores: 2016 to 2018*

2016 2018

1. Australia 1. Australia

2. Singapore 2. Hong Kong

3. Hong kong 3. Singapore

4. Japan 4. Malaysia

5. Taiwan 5. Taiwan

6. Thailand 6. Thailand

7. Malaysia 7. Japan, India

8. India -

9. Korea 9.Korea

10. China 10.China

11. Philippines 11.Philippines

12. Indonesia 12.Indonesia

Source: Asian Corporate Governance Association

* Remark on Thailand: ACGA sees Thailand is moving ahead with pre-existing national CG

policies and plans. Enforcement is also better. However, political / regulatory falls in Thailand

remain a drag, though this could be improved as political blockage is solved and institutional framework is enhanced.

Remark: * Average total corporate governance score of the country’s 100 largest listed companies based on market capitalization

Source: Joint Initiative of the ASEAN Capital Markets Forum and the Asian Development Bank

ASEAN corporate governance scorecard*

The score is weighted and allocated to each of the five areas as follows:

• Rights of shareholders 10%

• Equitable treatment of shareholders 15%

• Role of stakeholders 10%

• Disclosure and transparency 25%

• Responsibilities of the board 40%

67

.66

62

.29

55

.67

48

.90

43

.29

28

.42

75

.39

71

.69

71

.68

57

.99

54

.55

33

.87

85

.73

82

.41

78

.45

Thailand Malaysia Singapore Philippines Indonesia Vietnam

2012-2013

2013-2014

2017

Top of ASEAN

Thailand score increased to

84.53 in 2015 and 87.53 in 2016

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

Page 13: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

13

Number of Thai listed companies in DJSI Index

Source : DJSINote: DJSI Emerging Market Index has been calculated since 2013.

Ranking World’s Top Stock Exchanges on Sustainability Disclosure

Source: Measuring Sustainability Disclosure report by Corporate Knights

Note : The evaluation takes into consideration seven quantitative indicators of corporate ESG performance:

1) greenhouse gas emissions, 2) energy use, 3) water use, 4) waste, 5) occupational safety, 6) employee turnover, and 7) temporary staff.

23

4 45 5

8

34

10

1315

16

19

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

DJSI World Index DJSI Emerging Market Index

CPALL, CPN, KBANK, PTT, PTTEP, PTTGC, SCB*, SCC

AOT, BANPU, BTS*, CPALL, CPF, CPN, HMPRO, IRPC, IVL,

KBANK, MINT, PTT, PTTEP, PTTGC, SCB*, SCC, TOP, TRUE, TU

*new members in 2018

2018 DJSI

member

19 ListedCompanies

Thai listed companies continue to perform strongly on sustainability.

Thai Capital Market Landscape1

• Ranking from Measuring Sustainability Disclosure Report

• Out of 35 global stock exchanges, SET was the top-

ranked emerging stock exchange and the only Asian

exchange to reach the top 10

SET won United Nation Sustainable Stock Exchange

(UN SSE) Market Transparency Award, the top ranked emerging market exchange

DJSI World:

DJSI Emerging Markets:

Page 14: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

14

• Well-being

• International exposure

• Sustainability

• Infrastructure

• High dividend

Outline

Thai Capital Market Landscape

Current Investment Themes

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms

1

3

2

Page 15: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

15

SET launches SET Well-Being Index to reflect the performance of highly competitive stocks in well-being related sectors which is the strength of Thailand

Current Investment Themes – Well Being2

30 securities from 7sectors

with high competitiveness

90

100

110 SETWB index SET index

SETWB vs SET: total return index performance

(data as end of May 2019)

The SET Well-Being Index (SETWB)

Note: SETWB starts on April 1, 2019

Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand

7 Sectors in SETWB index

• Tourism & Leisure

• Health Care Services

• Transportation &

Logistics

• Food & Beverage

• Commerce

• Agricultural

• Fashion

Page 16: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

16

68 65 59 57 57 55 42 28

Myanmar Vietnam Singapore Laos Cambodia Indonesia Malaysia Philippines

132 148 153 189 245 264 264

471 472 472 476 502 522 545

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Listed firms with foreign revenue All listed firms in SET

Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand (data as of end 2018)

(Data of 249 companies which continually reported revenue from trade and investment abroad during 2016 - 2018) Note: One company may invest in more than one country/region.

North Asia

91America

41

Europe

46

South

Asia

37Australia

17

Middle east

19

Africa

15

ASEAN 190

(CLMV 144)

Number of listed companies with foreign revenue

Number of listed companies investing abroad

Unit: Company

Thai listed companies have expanded abroad and

grabbed extra growth opportunities.

Current Investment Themes – International Exposure2

Revenue growth from abroad

Unit: Million Baht

5.81 6.38 6.90

2.342.66

3.10

2016 2017 2018

Revenue from aboard

Revenue from local

+14.5%

+10.0%

+15.7%

+8.1%

0.80 1.10 1.33 2.27 2.63 2.34

3.10

5.887.61 7.83

10.7711.84

10.45

12.74

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Revenue from aboard Total revenue of all firms in SET

Listed companies’ revenue from abroad

Unit: Trillion Baht

28% 48%

14%24%

Page 17: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

17Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand

90

100

110

120

SET CLMV Index SET index

SETCLMV vs SET: total return index performance

(data as of May 31, 2019)

SET CLMV Exposure Index

SET launches CLMV Exposure index which will enable investors to benefit from CLMV economies.

Selection criteria

• Stocks selected from Thai-listed companies, generating ≥ 10%

of annual revenues from CLMV countries or ≥ THB 100 million

annually (~USD 3.1 million).

• The market cap of selected stocks must be ≥ THB 5 billion

(~USD 1.5 million) with at least 20% of free-float.

• Monthly traded status, indicated by the turnover ratio, ≥ 0.5%

of total listed shares.

31

23% of Market Cap on SET & mai

Thai listed firms selected into 2018

SET THSI Index

dividend yields2.8%

Current Investment Themes – International Exposure2

Page 18: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

18Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand

90

100

110

120

SETTHSI index SET index

SETTHSI vs SET: total return index performance

(data as of May 31, 2019)

45

58% of Market Cap on SET & mai

Thai listed firms selected into 2018

SET THSI Index

dividend yields3.2%

SETTHSI Index (Thailand Sustainability Investment)

Selection criteria

• The market cap of selected stocks must be

≥ THB 5 billion (~USD 1.5 million) with at least 20%

of free-float.

• Monthly traded status, indicated by the turnover ratio,

• ≥ 0.5% of total listed shares.

Stock selected from the THSI list and not limited to

the number of the stocks from the list.• Being DJ sustainability list (DJSI)

• Survey based (3 dimensions of ESG ratings by SET)

Current Investment Themes - Sustainability2 To deepen sustainability practice in to smaller Thai listed companies

Page 19: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

19

105

111

808

1,626

1,767

1,932

4,826

BRRGIF

ABPIF

EGATIF

TFFIF

JASIF

BTSGIF

DIF

Infrastructure market capitalization

(Unit: million USD; data as of May 31, 2019)

Noted: Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand

Current Investment Themes - Infrastructure2 Infrastructure development funds offer high yield.

Dividend yields,

higher than market average (3.31%)Infrastructure funds listed in SET7 7%

8.29

9.07

6.38

1.57

9.02

7.65

5.90

12 Months trailing dividend yield

(Unit: Percent; data as of May 31, 2019)

Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC)

Potential for new Infrastructure fund (IFF)

Source: Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) Office

Project Project Value

(Mil. Baht)

Project

Completion

U-Tapao Airport and

Airport City

290,000 2023

High Speed Rail

Connecting the Airports

185,524 2023

Laem Chabang Port –

Phase 3

84,360 2023

Map Ta Phut Industrial

Port – Phase 3

55,400 2025

U-Tapao Aircraft

Maintenance

10,588 2022

Page 20: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

20Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand

Thai listed companies offer high dividend yield.

Current Investment Themes – High Dividend2

30

5.1% Dividend yields, higher than market average (3.17%)

Thai listed firms selected into 2019 SETHD Index

90

100

110

120 SETHD index SET index

SETHD vs SET: total return index performance

(data as end of May 2019)

The SET High Dividend 30 Index (SETHD)

3

5

10

23

5

2

< 3.00 3.01 - 4.00 4.01 - 5.00 5.01 - 6.00 6.01 - 7.00 7.01 - 8.00 > 8.00 (%)

Number of high dividend yield stock in SETHD classified by dividend yield

(data as of May 2019)

SETHD Index selection criteria

• Stocks selected from SET100 index in the same period and

have paid dividends continuously in 3 accounting periods.

• Cash dividends (excluding special dividends) are paid

continuously for the last 3 years.

• Stocks that have passed the above criteria will be ranked in

descending order by the average daily dividend yield for the

past 3 months.

Page 21: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

21

Thai Capital Market Landscape

Current Investment Theme

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms

Outline

1

2

3

Page 22: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

22

Fintech/

BlockchainDLT

Crypto Currency/

Bitcoins

AIArtificial Intelligence

Securities TokenOffering

CyberSecurity SustainabilityBig Data

CVCCorporate Venture

Capital

STO

Regulatory

Change

Digital Assets

Disruptive technologies, sustainability and regulatory change will redefine the future financial landscape.

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms3

Page 23: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

23

Partnership and platform will be keys to improve working efficiency and diversifying into new businesses.

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms3

Exchange function

Long term capital

market development

Industry platform

Competitiveness & Sustainability

SustainabilityEfficiency Enabler

To Make the Capital Market “Work” for Everyone

Goal

How

Vision

Page 24: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

24Source: The Stock exchange of Thailand and The United Nations

Encouraging innovation and building key infrastructure/platformfor industry will be our focus towards sustainability.

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms3

Digital Service Development

Collaborative Digital Asset Platform

Capital Market Innovation Award

Page 25: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

25

A payment platform for capital market in order to enhance the efficiency

Bank

E-Money Provider

Bank

E-MoneyProvider

e-Dividend

Stock

Mutual

Fund

OTC Market

Stock Subscription

Payment

Platform (FinNet)

FundConnext

Asset Management Companies

Investors

Distributors

Fund Service Platform to broaden

access to mutual funds

Safe Custody

Digital Asset Platform

SecureRegulated

StreamlinedTrusted

Customer

Relationship

1

2

3 4

Trading &

Settlement

Token & Smart Contract

Wallet ProviderMatching Platform

Settlement Instruction

Asset

Tokenization

KYC & Anti-money laundering Integrated Virtual Pitching

Platform for Startups

Enhancing infrastructure and creating business opportunity for long term growth

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms3

https://www.live-mkt.com

19 2125

44

Asset ManagementCompany

Distributor

On FundConnext Total

76% of AMCs

48% of Distributors

• Securities Company = 11

• Commercial Bank = 4

• Others = 6

• Intra-bank Go-Live on February 2018

(12 Banks, 30 Brokers)

• Interbank tentative Go-Live on July 2019

(12 Banks, 31 Brokers)

Page 26: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand

26

Collaboration and partnership with International Exchanges & Organizations

SET: Growth through Partnerships & Innovative Platforms3

Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand, Information as of May 2019

• Fund service platform

o Cross-border cooperation with Clearstream

• SET Role in World Federation of Exchanges (WFE)

o Representing ASEAN Exchanges in global arena

• The 1st ASEAN Stock Exchange joining UN Stock Exchange Initiative (UN SSE)

o Emphasizing SET role on promoting sustainability development

• GMS Collaboration

o Capital market development platform

o GMS cross border product development

o ACMECS: promotion of infrastructure raising fund

• ASEAN Collaboration

o Collaboration on ASEAN products, ASEAN website, and possible joint ASEAN roadshow

• China Strategy

o Cooperation with Shenzhen Stock Exchange on China-Thailand SME Capital Market Service Initiative

Page 27: Thai Capital Market Story - Stock Exchange of Thailand