The Challenges and OpportunitiesFacing The Challenges and OpportunitiesFacing the ISES Family of Societies: Hubbert the ISES Family of Societies: Hubbert

Peak of Petroleum Production and Global Peak of Petroleum Production and Global WarmingWarming

byby

Francis de Winter (fdw@ecotopia.com)Francis de Winter (fdw@ecotopia.com)

at theat the

IV Latin AmericanSolar Energy Conference of ISESIV Latin AmericanSolar Energy Conference of ISES

Cusco, Peru, November 1-5, 2010Cusco, Peru, November 1-5, 2010

A Wall of Coal in Wyoming, USAA Wall of Coal in Wyoming, USA

Petroleum Barrels and Coopers Petroleum Barrels and Coopers Oklahoma, USA, Circa 1890Oklahoma, USA, Circa 1890

Modern Container ShipModern Container Ship

Bicycles for the City of ParisBicycles for the City of Paris

High Speed Train (TGV) in the High Speed Train (TGV) in the StationStation

Future US TGVFuture US TGV

Dr. Farrington Daniels, Founder of Dr. Farrington Daniels, Founder of ISESISES

Melting Ice on GreenlandMelting Ice on Greenland

Melting Polar Cap – Open PassageMelting Polar Cap – Open Passage

The Effect of Permafrost MeltingThe Effect of Permafrost Melting

A Solar DHW Equivalent of the A Solar DHW Equivalent of the Horseless Carriage (1890-2010)Horseless Carriage (1890-2010)

The One-Tank Solar The One-Tank Solar Water Heating Water Heating “System.”“System.”

Another Solar DHW Equivalent of the Another Solar DHW Equivalent of the Horseless Carriage (1890-2010)Horseless Carriage (1890-2010)

The Two-Tank Solar The Two-Tank Solar Water Heating Water Heating “System.”“System.”

A Reasonable System Design for the A Reasonable System Design for the Single Family HomeSingle Family Home

The collector loop involves The collector loop involves a drain-back annulusa drain-back annulus

A thermal diode is used to A thermal diode is used to couple the tankscouple the tanks

A thermal diode provides A thermal diode provides backup heatingbackup heating

Actual HardwareActual Hardware

Solar DHW unit with Solar DHW unit with gas-fired backup gas-fired backup heating developed and heating developed and built for GRI.built for GRI.

Inter-Tank Diode ChimneyInter-Tank Diode Chimney

Another view of the Another view of the chimney.chimney.

This is the unit built for This is the unit built for GRI.GRI.

Test Setup for the Development of the Two-Test Setup for the Development of the Two-Tank Stacked Tank DesignTank Stacked Tank Design

The bottom (solar) The bottom (solar) tank was heated tank was heated electrically to develop electrically to develop the inter-tank neck the inter-tank neck design that would design that would provide the best provide the best coupling of the tanks. coupling of the tanks.

GRI PrototypeGRI Prototype

Two heaters like this Two heaters like this were built for GRI.were built for GRI.

This one was on life-This one was on life-test in Hawaii for 9 test in Hawaii for 9 years.years.

Current TPTS DesignCurrent TPTS Design

The current TPTS The current TPTS design features a design features a helical condenser helical condenser inserted through the inserted through the bottom of the tank.bottom of the tank.

Circulation Diagram For Swimming Circulation Diagram For Swimming Pool Filtration and Solar HeatingPool Filtration and Solar Heating

Collector Flow DiagramCollector Flow Diagram

Final Collector RoofFinal Collector Roof

Copper Roof Prior to Collector Copper Roof Prior to Collector AssemblyAssembly

View of New Collector from AboveView of New Collector from Above

Test VehicleTest Vehicle

Sustainability offers greater, not lesser, wealth ;optimizing diverse

goals like health, wealth and equity.

Our Planet EarthOur Planet Earth

Val di Funes, Dolomites,

Rice Paddies in AsiaRice Paddies in Asia

The Needs of the FutureThe Needs of the Future

Marchant Mechanical Calculator of Marchant Mechanical Calculator of the 1950sthe 1950s

A River Bridge in GermanyA River Bridge in Germany

The US Space ShuttleThe US Space Shuttle

The Bridge in MillauThe Bridge in Millau

The Bridge in MillauThe Bridge in Millau

A Santiago Calatrava BuildingA Santiago Calatrava Building

The Sun’s SurfaceThe Sun’s Surface