the fed’s non-quant: beige book november 16, 2007 toby madden federal reserve bank of minneapolis

30
The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Post on 21-Dec-2015

218 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

The Fed’s Non-quant:Beige Book

November 16, 2007Toby Madden

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Page 2: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Disclaimer

The views expressed here are the presenter's and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis or the Federal Reserve System.

Page 3: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Fed’s Duties• Payments System

• Safety and Soundness

• Monetary Policy

Page 4: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Additional Resources

•Region Magazine

•fedgazette

•Minneapolisfed.org

[email protected]

Page 5: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Beige Book•What

•When

•Who

•How

•Why

Page 6: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

WhatSummary of Commentary on

Current Economic Conditions by Federal Reserve District

•Anecdotal

•Recent

•Economic Sector

•By District

Page 7: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

When

•8x per year

•Released ~ 2 weeks b4 FOMC

•Cut off 9 days b4 release

•Compiled for 2 weeks

Page 8: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Who

•Each district’s economists

•Part of 3 peoples jobs in Mpls

Page 9: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

How

•Fed Surveys/Polls

•News

•Advisory Councils/BOD

•Contacts

• Associations

Page 10: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Why

•Timely

•Stats < turning points

•Flexible

Page 11: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Who Wants to Win Toby’s Money?

Page 12: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

To tighten the money supply, the Federal Reserve a.decreases the reserve ratio. b.purchases government securities in the open market. c.sells government securities in the open market. d.decreases the discount rate.

Page 13: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

To tighten the money supply, the Federal Reserve b.purchases government securities in the open market. c.sells government securities in the open market.

Page 14: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

To tighten the money supply, the Federal Reserve c.sells government securities in the open market.

Page 15: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

A reduction in aggregate demand is likely to result in: a.inflation. b.recession. c.a sudden spurt of growth in production. d.increased consumption of crushed rock for concrete foundations.

Page 16: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

A reduction in aggregate demand is likely to result in: a.inflation. b.recession.

Page 17: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

A reduction in aggregate demand is likely to result in:

b.recession.

Page 18: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What is the cost of a “Free Lunch”?

Page 19: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What is the cost of a “Free Lunch”?

Opportunity Cost

Page 20: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What rank did Minnesota have for high school attainment in

2006?

• A - 1st

• B - 5th

• C - 10th• D - 20th

Page 21: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What rank did Minnesota have for high school attainment in

2006?

• A - 1st

• B - 5th

Page 22: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What rank did Minnesota have for high school attainment in

2006?

• A - 1st

Page 23: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What rank did Minnesota have for total high school spending per

student in 2004?

• A - 6th

• B - 11th

• C - 16th• D – 21st

Page 24: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What rank did Minnesota have for total high school spending per

student in 2004?

• C - 16th• D – 21st

Page 25: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What rank did Minnesota have for total high school spending per

student in 2004?

• D – 21st

Page 26: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What was the 2006 population in Minnesota (according to the U.S.

Census website)?

• A – 5,167,101

• B – 5,476,892

• C – 5,811,739

• D – 6,032,903

Page 27: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What was the 2006 population in Minnesota (according to the U.S.

Census website)?

• A – 5,167,101

• C – 5,811,739

Page 28: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What was the 2006 population in Minnesota (according to the U.S.

Census website)?

• A – 5,167,101

Page 29: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

QUESTIONS

Page 30: The Fed’s Non-quant: Beige Book November 16, 2007 Toby Madden Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

What are the expected changes in your company’s employment in 2008?

UpSameDown