the role of new technologies for safety in the 21 century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0...
TRANSCRIPT
Gerhard SchmidtFord Motor Company
Chief Technical OfficerVice President, Research and Advanced Engineering
Gerhard SchmidtFord Motor Company
Chief Technical OfficerVice President, Research and Advanced Engineering
21st ESV ConferenceStuttgart, Germany15 – 18 June, 2009
21st ESV ConferenceStuttgart, Germany15 – 18 June, 2009
The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21st CenturyThe Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21st Century
Outline
• State of Safety
• Sustainability and Safety
• Safety Technologies
• Shared Responsibilities
Top 10 Causes of Death & Disability in the World (2004)
Source: World Health Organization, 2006
Low
er re
spira
tory
infe
ctio
ns
Dia
rrho
eal d
isea
ses
Uni
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r dep
ress
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rder
s
Isch
emic
hea
rt d
isea
se
HIV
/AID
S
Cer
ebro
vasc
ular
dis
ease
Prem
atur
ity a
nd
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h w
eigh
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nd
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a
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d tr
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iden
ts
Neo
nata
l inf
ectio
ns&
oth
er
9
Road Accident Fatalities are a significant cause…..
Isch
emic
hea
rt d
isea
se
Perin
atal
con
ditio
ns
Cer
ebro
vasc
ular
dis
ease
CO
PD
Low
er re
spira
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ns
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Uni
pola
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HIV
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Source: World Health Organization, 2006
Top 10 Causes of Death & Disability in the World (2030)
And will be more important in the future
Estimated Worldwide 2004/5 Traffic Fatalities
Total: 1.3 Million Fatalities in 2004
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
India
Japan
UK
US
CarLight Truck Motorcycle Bicycle Pedestrian Other
Percentage of Fatalities
Sources: - WHO, World Report on Road Traffic Injury Prevention, 2004 - International Road Traffic and Accident Database (IRTAD - OEC/ITF), 2008
Vehicle safety technologies may need to vary by region
Fuel Economy
• Fleet shift to smaller vehicles will increase compatibility challenges
• Alignment of structures per Voluntary Agreement will help increase compatibility in North America
• Structural enhancements (e.g., adaptive structures) can help reduce the impact of downsizing and weight reduction
Effect of Changing Vehicle Mix on Fatality Rates Drivers killed / 1000 crash events*
0.6 0.6
1.6 0.3
2.1 0.5
2.0 0.3
0.7 0.7
0.9 0.9
0.9 1.2
0.8 0.8
1.2 1.3
1.6 1.6
5.8
3.7
10.6
10.6Changing the fleet mix increases the likelihood of incompatible vehicle interactions
Vehicle-to-Vehicle Accidents
Single Vehicle
Source: UMTRI
* All crash types included in analysis
Vehicle Compatibility
Geometry
Peak
Acc
eler
atio
n (g
)
0 2 40
1000
2000
3000
Wheelbase (m)
Mas
s (k
g)
600 1400 22000.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Fata
lity
Ris
ks
Mass (kg)
15
25
40
50
400 600 800Max Crush (mm)
Mini Car
B Car
C/CD Car
Mass & Size
Mass & Size
Crush Space
Sources: Evans, AJPH, 2001 & Evans, SAE, 2004
Small Vehicle Safety Challenges
• Smaller vehicles, in general: are lighter and have less crush space
have lower structural height
experience higher accelerations than larger vehicles in multi-vehicle accidents
• Therefore, the challenge for the safety community is to: continuously improve safety by democratization of
safety technologies (e.g., airbags, ESC, etc)
make newer technologies affordable for small vehicles
Safety Technology Trends
Levels of autonomous safety features for driver assistance/accident avoidance and crash protection will increase due to:
Increasing computing power
Faster algorithms
Advanced sensor capabilities
Lower sensing costs
Advanced electrical chassis systems
Safety Technologies Outlook
Safety potential
100%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 ? ? ...
brake assistACC
ABS
ESP
traction control
active body control
lane detection
collision mitigationactive steer
active driver assist.
active accidentavoidance
Active safety
V2V & V2I
safety cell
safety belts
crumple zone
front bag
advanced seat beltsside impact protection
side airbag
Passive safety
head restraints
safety pedals
adaptive restraintscompatibility
preactivated restraints
Ford Safety Technology Implementation – 2010 Taurus
MyKeyTMMyKeyTM
Ford SYNCRFord SYNCR
Power Sunshade
SecuriCodeTM
Keyless Entry Keypad
Blind SpotInformation(BLISR
)
CrossTraffic
Alert
Collision WarningWith Brake Support
Auto High Beams
Rain Sensing Wipers
Multi-Contour SeatsWith Active MotionTMMulti-Contour SeatsWith Active MotionTM
Adaptive Cruise Control
Shared Responsibilities
Breakthroughs in safety will occur when all entities work together.
Driver• Safety belt use• Blood alcohol limits• Speed limits• Driver education
OEM• V2V communications• Pre-crash technology• Adv. crash technology• Post-crash technology
Consumer• Relevant tests• Solicit input from OEMs
before new testing protocols• Communication
Government• Global regulations• Partnership with industry• Seatbelt use laws• Litigation Reform
Infrastructure• Design• V2I Integration • Construction/Maintenance• Rescue chain
Outlook
• Vehicle safety technologies will make a significant contribution to the improvement of road safety
• Technologies must address customer needs and be adapted to specific national situations
• Shared responsibilities exist for all stakeholders