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The TBEST Framework for Data Analysis and Forecasting Rodney P. Bunner October 16, 2013 l Public Transit Modeling. Agenda. Motivation and Use GIS Specifications TBEST Framework Components Data Management Data Interoperability Data Requirements Model Engine Analysis and Reports - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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TBEST Why, What, and How

The TBEST Framework for Data Analysis and Forecasting Rodney P. Bunner

October 16, 2013 l Public Transit Modeling

Center for Urban Transportation Research | University of South FloridaAgendaMotivation and UseGIS SpecificationsTBEST Framework ComponentsData ManagementData InteroperabilityData RequirementsModel EngineAnalysis and ReportsNext StepsMotivationFDOT/planners wanted a software tool for short-term transit service planning designed specifically for transit.Serve as FDOT provided ridership estimation technique for State mandated Transit Development Plans (TDPs)Transit Boardings Estimation and Simulation Tool (TBEST) has been in production for several years and is on its 4th Major Version (4.1).FDOT is continually supporting the improvement of TBEST.

TBEST in FloridaMajor Benefits:Standardized modeling method to ensure consistency and equity among agenciesTBEST reduces burden on FDOT for evaluating a variety of ridership estimation methodologiesTBEST reduces burden on agencies to prepare and conduct more expensive and complex modeling effortsLeverage TBEST data and software framework to support multiple transit agency tasks:

Mobility StudiesNTD Route MilesMarket AnalysisNetwork Accessibility Service PlanningComprehensive Operational Analysis (COA)Grant ApplicationsFTA Title VI AnalysisTBEST ElsewhereVarious projects inside and outside of Florida:RVTD (Oregon) Calibration and ImplementationLos Angeles Metro CalibrationCAT (Savannah) Strategic PlanTheT (Ft. Worth) Model DevelopmentLYNX (Orlando) Service Planning ImplementationPennDOT Pilot ProjectPeopleMover (Anchorage, AK)TBEST GIS SpecificationsDesktop application requiring ArcGIS 10.1 Basic license Utilizes ArcGIS Engine for map display, spatial analysis and network editingSQL Server 2008 R2 (Express or Enterprise editions)No Network Analyst or ArcSDE requiredUtilizes ESRI Map Services, Bing Maps or preformatted .mxd for base mapNo fee for TBEST except ArcGIS license

Components Data ManagementTBEST manages data specific to individual transit systemsEach transit system is composed of scenarios which contain editable routes, segments, stops, socio-economic data and network attributes Validation specific to each transit systemAll GIS/database files managed internallyDownload pre-formatted SE data, transit systems and model definition packagesEasily create current or future year scenarios

TBEST managed Transit SystemsComponents Data ManagementTBEST User Interface

Components Data InteroperabilityGTFS ImportImported networks for FL agencies with GTFS feedsUtilized nationally in Ft. Worth, RVTD, Los Angeles, SavannahGTFS ExportExport TBEST planning network into GTFSAdded TBEST attributes to exported data including ridership and stop amenitiesArcGISExport TBEST maps and data into ArcGISImport route alignments into TBEST from outside data sourcesExport loaded networks into geodatabases

Components Data RequirementsOriginal Data RequirementsCensus 2000

EmploymentFDOT provided InfoUSA address-based data

Manually coded Route Network

Special Generator SpecificationCurrent Data RequirementsCensus 2010American Community Survey

EmploymentFDOT provided InfoUSA address-based dataOptionally include locally provided zonal dataLand UseFlorida Department of Revenue parcel dataITE Trip Generation Tables

GTFS network import and full network editorSpecial Generator and Stop Amenity Specification

Components Model EngineMicro-level model which simulates transit ridership at the level of the individual stop: by route, direction and time period Designed to capture both walk access market and network accessibilityModel equations estimate direct and transfer boardingsAccommodate service features of fare, speed, frequency, etc.Accommodate fundamental differences in route types (local, circulator, express)Automated Validation Users supply observed ridership and TBEST calculates model application adjustmentsallows TBEST to adapt to different urban locations without developing new model equations (transferable)

Components Model EngineMultiple Model Management Users are able to maintain multiple model structures which can be applied to model scenarios

Editable Model Structures Users can add, delete or modify coefficients, land use trip rates, and network and market accessibility parameters

Available ModelsComponents Model EngineBRT Sensitivity - Users specify the implementation level of specific route-level BRT characteristics and TBEST will adjust base ridership forecasts with an empirically derived adjustment factor

Components Analysis and ReportsStop, Segment, Route and Regional distribution reports with supporting maps

Components Analysis and ReportsScenario Comparison and Mobility Threshold service recommendations

Components Analysis and ReportsTDP Summary Report - Summarizes annual service area pop, employment, performance, and service for all scenarios in a TBEST transit system

Components Analysis and ReportsLand Use Market Analysis

Components Analysis and ReportsSocio-Economic Market Analysis

Components Analysis and ReportsNetwork Accessibility Analysis

Steps UnderwayOctober 2013Release TBEST 4.1Contains online Video Tutorials Classroom training early 2014January 2014Enhanced FTA Title VI and Environmental Justice Analysis and ReportingJune 2014 Parcel EditorIntegrate Observed Ridership for COA supportOctober 2014Network Accessibility Composite Measures

Contact InformationRodney BunnerTransportation Technology [email protected]@hotmail.com

Steven Polzin, Ph.D.Director Mobility Policy [email protected]

Thank You! www.tbest.org Xuehao Chu, Ph.D.Senior Research [email protected]