turkcell · in q114 turkcell turkey operational kpis *excluding mtr cut impact, blended , postpaid...
TRANSCRIPT
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FIRST QUARTER OF 2014 April 25, 2014
TURKCELL
CELEBRATING OUR 20TH YEAR IN TURKEY
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This presentation may contain statements that are forward looking. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially due to factors discussed in this presentation, in our press release, in the Risk Factors section of Turkcell’s most recent Form 20-F, or in other reports and filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Please note that all financial data is consolidated, whereas non-financial data is unconsolidated unless otherwise specified.
NOTICE
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BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Süreyya Ciliv Turkcell CEO
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TRY MILLION1 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Growth YoY %
Revenue 2,688 2,855 6%
EBITDA2 808 887 10%
EBITDA Margin 30.0% 31.1% 1.1pp
EBIT 447 488 9%
Net Income 566 359 (36%)
TURKCELL GROUP: FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures 2 EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the press release for the reconciliation of EBITDA to net cash from operating activities.
• Continued growth despite tough market conditions
• Excluding MTR cut, consolidated revenues would increase by 10%
• Net income adversely affected by FX loss due to devaluation in Ukraine
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RESULTS
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2.382
2.688
2.855
29,5%
30,0%
31,1%
Q112 Q113 Q114
Revenue EBITDA Margin
TURKCELL GROUP
Turkcell Turkey
Mobile Broadband
Subsidiaries
Turkcell Turkey
Voice1
REVENUE GROWTH (YoY)
TURKCELL GROUP: Q114 KEY REVENUE GROWTH DRIVERS
↓3%
↑26%
↑33%
Excl. MTR cut impact2 ↑3%
1 Voice and other revenues include outgoing, incoming, roaming and other (comprising almost 1% of Turkcell Turkey) revenues 2 Excluding MTR cut impact figure calculated by multiplying actual traffic by MTR rates prior to the cut
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ARPU (TRY)
Q1 2013 Q1 2014 YoY (%)
Blended 21.0 21.0 -
Postpaid 36.4 36.3 -
Prepaid 11.5 10.8 (6%)
14.1
20.7
Postpaid Prepaid
TURKCELL TURKEY: OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
Total: 34.8
million Postpaid subscriber
↑93K in Q114
TURKCELL TURKEY OPERATIONAL KPIs
*Excluding MTR cut impact, blended , postpaid and prepaid ARPU would be TRY22.0; TRY37.4 and TRY11.6 respectively in Q114
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
72,1
75,0
72,4
69,2
72,7
7,88 7,40 7,75 7,89 8,39
Sep13 Dec13 Jan14 Feb14 Mar14
Consumer Confidence Index Consumer Price Index
Total subscriber
↓389K in Q114
• CPI increased in Q114
• Decreasing trend in consumer confidence showed an upward move in March’14
• Aggressive pricing environment prevailed in the mobile market
- Focus on bundled packages with increased data incentives
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4,3
6,9
10,3 13%
22%
32%
Q112 Q113 Q114
# of smartphone (mn)Smartphone Penetration
TURKCELL TURKEY: CONTINUED GROWTH ON DATA
MOBILE BB & SERVICE REVENUES TURKCELL SMARTPHONE TREND
60%
19% 21%
TRY 668 mn
Mobile BB & Services
Revenues (TRY mn)
YoY % Chg
Mobile Broadband
Mobile services*
668 ↑ 8%
400 ↑ 26%
129 ↑ 3%
Messaging ↓ 20% 139
Mobile Broadband & Services Revenue Breakdown – Q114
*Includes IFRS adjustments for mobile broadband and services
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39% 26%
35%
TURKCELL SUPERONLINE: FIBER BUSINESS DELIVERS SOLID RESULTS
TRY 280 mn
Corporate 73 mn TRY ↑34%
Residential 109 mn TRY ↑51%
Wholesale 98 mn TRY ↑28%
STRONG SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
REVENUE BREAKDOWN IN Q114
Q114 Revenue YoY%
• 32,500 km of fiber network
• 614K fiber subscribers in Q114
• 1.8 million3 homepass and 35% take-up rate
TRY MILLION1 Q113 Q114 YoY%
Revenue 203 280 38%
EBITDA2 56 75 34%
EBITDA Margin 27.3% 26.7% (0.6pp)
EBIT 12 20 67%
% of Group
Revenues 8% 10% 2pp
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures 2 EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the press release for the reconciliation of EBITDA to net cash from operating activities. 3 Home passes figure refers to the total of home passes and office passes
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UKRAINE: CONCERNING MACRO, YET STABLE PERFORMANCE
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Source : GFK Ukraine
7,99 7,99 7,99
9,99
10,95 80,6 80,3
72,5
64,6 67,8
Sep13 Dec13 Jan14 Feb14 Mar14
Closing USD/UAH Consumer Confidence
• Increased tensions in Ukraine, specifically in Crimea and the Eastern regions
• Instability in political and macro environment led to
• Decrease in consumer confidence
• Devaluation of local currency (USD/UAH↑37%)
• Operational KPIs remained strong with
• 9.3 million 3- month active subscribers (↑1.1 million YoY)
• Evaluating the potential impacts of the macro developments on our operations
• No major impact yet due to limited exposure to Crimea
• Devaluation led to TRY464 million FX loss
ASTELIT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
↑13% in UAH terms
US$ MILLION Q113 Q114 YoY%
Revenue 99 99 0%
EBITDA 28 32 13%
EBITDA Margin 28.2% 31.9% 3.7pp
EBIT (2) 7 n.m
% of Group
Revenues 7% 8% 1pp
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FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Murat Erden Turkcell CFO
NOTICE:
Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non-financial data are unconsolidated unless otherwise specified.
EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the press release for the reconciliation of EBITDA to net cash from operating activities.
All non-financial data are unconsolidated, prepared in accordance with IFRS and expressed in US$ and/or TRY.
The figures used in this presentation are rounded while percentage changes are calculated based on the figures disclosed in the Q1 2014 result announcement press release.
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2.382
2.688
2.855
Q112 Q113 Q114
TURKCELL GROUP: REVENUE & EBITDA MARGIN DEVELOPMENT
TRY MILLION
*Excluding depreciation and amortization
↑6% YoY
REVENUE
808
887 167
(17) (13) (58)
EBITDAQ113
Δ in Revenues
Δ in Direct cost of
revenues*
Δ in G&A exp.
Δ in S&M exp.
EBITDAQ114
EBITDA & EBITDA MARGIN TRY MILLION
Margin
30.0% Margin
31.1% EBITDA Margin ↑ 1.1pp ↑10% YoY
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566
359
41 75 5
(508)
11 (23) 192
Net incomeQ113
Δ in EBIT Δ in Interest Inc./(Exp.)
Δ in Equity in
Net Inc./(Loss)
Δ in FX Gain/(Loss)
Δ in Monetary
Gain/(Loss)
Δ in Taxation Δ in Other Net incomeQ114
TURKCELL GROUP: NET INCOME
∆ in Astelit’s FX Loss (465)
∆ in interest income 82 ∆ in interest expense (7)
TRY MILLION
∆ in EBITDA 80 ∆ in D&A (39)
Q114 vs. Q113
∆ in minority interest 196
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8.129 7.989
887 (340) 205 104
(996)
Q413 EBITDA Capex* Netinterestincome
Netchangein debt
Othercash flow
items
Q114
TURKCELL GROUP: BALANCE SHEET & NET CASH DEVELOPMENT
TRY million Q1 2013 Q1 2014
Total Cash 6,611 7,989
Total Assets 18,863 21,508
Total Debt 3,015 3,516
Net Cash 3,596 4,474
Total Equity 13,284 15,026
BALANCE SHEET HIGHLIGHTS
*Including operational and non-operational capex
CASH DEVELOPMENT
TRY MILLION
MAJOR CASH OUTFLOW ITEMS
Capex TRY 340 mn
Frequency Usage Fee payment TRY345 mn
Corporate tax of Turkcell Turkey TRY 123 mn
Increase in trade receivables TRY 190 mn
Decrease in trade payables TRY 217 mn
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THANK YOU For further information please e-mail
[email protected] or call Turkcell Investor Relations at
(+90 212 313 1888)
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APPENDIX
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SUMMARY INCOME STATEMENT AS PER CMB1 FINANCIALS
1 Capital Markets Board of Turkey 2 Depreciation and amortization is included
Summary income statement Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 2,688.4 2,883.6 2,855.2 6% (1%)
Direct Cost of Revenues2 (1,685.7) (1,848.9) (1,740.9) 3% (6%)
S&M (425.0) (510.4) (483.1) 14% (5%)
G&A (128.9) (152.0) (142.1) 10% (7%)
EBITDA 807.6 851.5 887.3 10% 4%
EBITDA Margin 30.0% 29.5% 31.1% 1.1pp 1.6pp
Net Income 566.9 506.7 360.6 (36%) (29%)
(TRY MILLION)
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SUMMARY INCOME STATEMENT AS PER IFRS FINANCIALS
1 Depreciation and amortization is included
($ MILLION)
Summary income statement Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 1,504.5 1,417.6 1,284.0 (15%) (9%)
Direct Cost of Revenues1 (944.2) (905.6) (783.6) (17%) (13%)
S&M (237.7) (250.7) (217.1) (9%) (13%)
G&A (72.1) (74.3) (63.9) (11%) (14%)
EBITDA 452.1 420.4 399.2 (12%) (5%)
EBITDA Margin 30.0% 29.7% 31.1% 1,1pp 0.4pp
Net Income 316.5 254.0 162.9 (49%) (36%)
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CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET ($ MILLION)
Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ mn) 1Q 2013 4Q 2013 1Q 2014 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Cash & Bank 3,655 3,809 3,648 (0%) (4%)
CURRENT ASSETS 5,477 5,455 5,527 1% 1%
Fixed Assets, Net 4,223 3,855 3,625 (14%) (6%)
Other Long Term Assets 729 662 670 (8%) 1%
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 4,952 4,517 4,295 (13%) (5%)
TOTAL ASSETS 10,429 9,973 9,822 (6%) (2%)
S/T Debt 892 845 983 10% 16%
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,958 2,020 2,007 3% (1%)
L/T Debt 775 716 623 (20%) (13%)
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,126 1,049 953 (15%) (9%)
MINORITY INTEREST (81) (85) (128) 58% 51%
Share Capital 1,636 1,636 1,636 - -
TOTAL EQUITY 7,345 6,904 6,862 (7%) (1%)
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 10,429 9,973 9,822 (6%) (2%)
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2,33 2,31 2,54 3,04
2,44 2,35 2,94 3,01
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q
Average Period-End
CURRENCY TRENDS
USD / TRY EUR / TRY
USD / BYR USD / UAH
1,67 1,79 1,91
2,23 1,89 1,78
2,13
2,19
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q
5,038
8,326 8,883 9,697
8,350 8,570 9,510 9,870
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q
7,9663 7,9912 7,9930 9,1510
7,9898 7,9930 7,9930
10,9546
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q