united states agriculture cotton: world markets and trade...sep 01, 2007 · united states...

United States Department ofAgriculture Cotton: Foreign Agricultural Service World Markets and Trade Circular Series FOP 09 - 07 Sept 2007

LIST OF TABLES

o Summary of Changes (1,000 480-lb. bales)

o Table 1: World Cotton Supply, Use and Trade, (1,000 metric tons)

o Table 2: World Cotton Supply, Use and Trade, (1,000 480-lb. bales)

o Table 4: Area, Yield, and Production by Country

o Table 5: Cotton Supply & Distribution by Country 2007/2008 (1,000 480-lb. bales)

o Table 5-A: Cotton Supply & Distribution by Country 2007/2008 (1,000 metric tons)

o Table 6: Cotton Supply & Distribution by Country 2006/2007 (1,000 480-lb. bales)

o Table 6-A: Cotton Supply & Distribution by Country, 2006/2007 (1,000 metric tons)

o Table 8: Northern European Cotton and Adjusted World Price

o Table 9: World Cotton Production, Yield, Supply, and Utilization

o Table 10: United States Cotton Production, Yield, Supply, and Utilization

o Table 11: Foreign Cotton Production, Yield, Supply, and Utilization

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Working Statistics)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg Year Area Harvested

Beginning Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom. Cons.

Ending Stocks

Argentina

-270003-24000 2006/07

-27000000-270 2007/08

Australia

21000-210000 2006/07

21000-1000-10021-10 2007/08

Brazil

-350000-35000 2006/07

865000-3000600-35100 2007/08

Burkina

0000-2000-2000-150 2007/08

Canada

-10-100-100-20000 2006/07

-10000000-100 2007/08

Chad

-15000-850-1000-45 2006/07

-10000-300-25-15-45 2007/08

China, Peoples Republic of

-210000-2-212000 2006/07

-710-5000-5000-1,0000-2100 2007/08

Cote d'Ivoire

0000-500-500-25 2007/08

Croatia

0-10-10-1000 2006/07

Greece

50000-500000 2007/08

Hong Kong

1015015-27-2000 2006/07

10250250250100 2007/08

India

-550100010050050000 2006/07

-50025002502000500-5500 2007/08

Japan

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

September 2007


Beginning Stocks


Ending Stocks

-150000-15000 2006/07

-15000000-150 2007/08

Korea, Republic of

-330001-32000 2006/07

-33-500-500-500-330 2007/08

Mali

-25000-1250-1500-100 2007/08

Mexico

-1000000-100000 2006/07

-100000000-1000 2007/08

Morocco

10000010000 2006/07

10000000100 2007/08

Pakistan

-1102000200898000 2006/07

19020002000-100600-1100 2007/08

Paraguay

0000-1-1000 2006/07

Philippines

-7-50-5120000 2006/07

-7-50-50-50-70 2007/08

Sri Lanka

0-20-20-2000 2006/07

Switzerland

200002000 2006/07

200000020 2007/08

Syria

-25000-750-10000 2007/08

Taiwan

-250000-25000 2006/07

-25000000-250 2007/08

Tanzania, United Republic of

-75000-500-1250-50 2007/08

Thailand

-99-500-500-149000 2006/07

-99000000-990 2007/08


September 2007


Beginning Stocks


Ending Stocks

Turkey

12820002000328000 2006/07

1280000150-150128-45 2007/08

United States

40066660004660-37 2007/08

Uzbekistan, Republic of

050050-500000 2006/07

2575075-1000000 2007/08

World

World

-1,0654970497338-130-1000-45 2006/07

406166-5-880-9801,266-1,065-362 2007/08


September 2007

(1000 MT)

Table 01 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

Production none

4,855 China, Peoples Republic 6,532 5,987 7,076 7,076 7,076

3,048 India 4,137 4,148 4,746 5,008 5,117

3,975 United States 5,062 5,201 4,700 3,777 3,878

1,708 Pakistan 2,425 2,213 2,155 2,264 2,395

1,310 Brazil 1,285 1,023 1,524 1,350 1,481

893 Uzbekistan, Republic of 1,132 1,208 1,176 1,176 1,176

893 Turkey 904 773 875 784 751

4,080 Other 4,905 4,642 3,688 3,804 3,641

20,761 Total 26,381 25,197 25,942 25,238 25,514

USE Dom. Consumption none


2,939 India 3,222 3,592 4,050 4,355 4,409

2,090 Pakistan 2,341 2,558 2,613 2,613 2,656

1,306 Turkey 1,546 1,502 1,611 1,589 1,589

1,364 United States 1,457 1,278 1,078 1,002 1,002

871 Brazil 925 958 980 980 980

376 Bangladesh 408 479 523 544 544

468 Indonesia 468 474 474 479 479

435 Mexico 457 457 457 446 446

403 Thailand 457 468 435 425 425

4,134 Other 4,045 3,769 3,722 3,632 3,641

21,355 Total 23,710 25,334 26,828 27,821 27,820

Imports none


516 Turkey 743 737 855 762 795

370 Bangladesh 403 482 523 533 533

468 Indonesia 479 479 479 490 490

365 Thailand 497 412 425 414 414

393 Pakistan 382 352 500 392 370

405 Mexico 394 380 283 327 327

321 Russian Federation 316 310 310 310 310

220 Taiwan 291 247 256 250 250

277 Korea, Republic of 292 220 233 239 229

2,147 Other 2,092 1,777 1,831 1,739 1,744

7,406 Total 7,279 9,594 8,000 8,941 8,727

Exports none

2,995 United States 3,143 3,928 2,830 3,636 3,636

675 Uzbekistan, Republic of 860 1,045 1,002 1,023 1,002

152 India 144 751 1,067 784 827

210 Brazil 339 429 283 631 566

470 Australia 435 628 464 261 239

267 Greece 255 294 272 250 239

207 Burkina 212 305 294 256 212

120 Turkmenistan 82 120 152 180 180

256 Mali 207 223 191 163 136

114 Kazakhstan, Republic of 136 136 126 126 126

1,767 Other 1,802 1,871 1,465 1,524 1,479

7,233 Total 7,614 9,730 8,145 8,835 8,643

Ending Stocks none


911 India 1,908 1,799 1,516 1,592 1,484

751 United States 1,196 1,317 2,112 1,263 1,350

996 Brazil 1,095 831 1,237 1,103 1,292

682 Pakistan 1,022 961 942 939 980

322 Turkey 390 370 472 384 412

201 Uzbekistan, Republic of 283 272 272 266 272

2,526 Other 3,282 3,102 2,590 2,519 2,441

9,647 Total 12,239 12,573 12,366 11,217 11,226


September 2007

(1000 Bales)

Table 02 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

Production none

6,015 Brazil 5,900 4,700 7,000 6,200 6,800


14,000 India 19,000 19,050 21,800 23,000 23,500

7,845 Pakistan 11,138 10,165 9,900 10,400 11,000

4,100 Turkey 4,150 3,550 4,020 3,600 3,450

18,255 United States 23,251 23,890 21,588 17,346 17,812

4,100 Uzbekistan, Republic of 5,200 5,550 5,400 5,400 5,400

18,737 Other 22,529 21,322 16,940 17,472 16,722

95,352 Total 121,168 115,727 119,148 115,918 117,184

USE Dom. Consumption none

1,725 Bangladesh 1,875 2,200 2,400 2,500 2,500

4,000 Brazil 4,250 4,400 4,500 4,500 4,500


13,500 India 14,800 16,500 18,600 20,000 20,250

2,150 Indonesia 2,150 2,175 2,175 2,200 2,200

2,000 Mexico 2,100 2,100 2,100 2,050 2,050

9,600 Pakistan 10,750 11,750 12,000 12,000 12,200

1,850 Thailand 2,100 2,150 2,000 1,950 1,950

6,000 Turkey 7,100 6,900 7,400 7,300 7,300

6,266 United States 6,691 5,871 4,950 4,600 4,600

18,989 Other 18,580 17,311 17,093 16,680 16,725

98,080 Total 108,896 116,357 123,218 127,780 127,775

Imports none

1,700 Bangladesh 1,850 2,214 2,400 2,450 2,450


2,150 Indonesia 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,250 2,250

1,274 Korea, Republic of 1,343 1,011 1,068 1,100 1,050

1,858 Mexico 1,810 1,744 1,300 1,500 1,500

1,805 Pakistan 1,756 1,615 2,298 1,800 1,700

1,475 Russian Federation 1,450 1,425 1,425 1,425 1,425

1,011 Taiwan 1,337 1,133 1,175 1,150 1,150

1,678 Thailand 2,282 1,892 1,951 1,900 1,900

2,370 Turkey 3,414 3,383 3,928 3,500 3,650

9,862 Other 9,607 8,163 8,410 7,989 8,009

34,015 Total 33,434 44,064 36,743 41,064 40,084

Exports none

2,157 Australia 1,998 2,884 2,129 1,200 1,100

964 Brazil 1,557 1,972 1,300 2,900 2,600

950 Burkina 975 1,400 1,350 1,175 975

1,225 Greece 1,170 1,350 1,250 1,150 1,100

700 India 660 3,450 4,900 3,600 3,800

525 Kazakhstan, Republic of 625 625 580 580 580

1,175 Mali 950 1,025 875 750 625

550 Turkmenistan 375 550 700 825 825

13,758 United States 14,436 18,040 13,000 16,700 16,700

3,100 Uzbekistan, Republic of 3,950 4,800 4,600 4,700 4,600

8,116 Other 8,276 8,592 6,727 6,998 6,793

33,220 Total 34,972 44,688 37,411 40,578 39,698

Ending Stocks none

4,576 Brazil 5,031 3,817 5,682 5,067 5,932


4,186 India 8,764 8,264 6,964 7,314 6,814

3,134 Pakistan 4,695 4,412 4,327 4,312 4,502

1,478 Turkey 1,790 1,698 2,166 1,763 1,891

3,450 United States 5,495 6,050 9,700 5,800 6,200

923 Uzbekistan, Republic of 1,298 1,248 1,248 1,223 1,248

11,604 Other 15,076 14,248 11,896 11,568 11,210

44,309 Total 56,212 57,748 56,794 51,518 51,558


September 2007

Table 04 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last yearMBalesPercent

Yield(Kilograms per hectare)

Sep 2005/06 MBales

Country / Region

Area(Million hectares)

Production(Million 480 lb. bales)

Change in Production

2005/06Prel.

2006/07 Aug AugPrel.

2006/07 SepPrel.

2006/07 Aug Sep Percent2007/08 Proj.2007/08 Proj. 2007/08 Proj.

2005/06

34.62World -1.65-1.961.091.27117.1834.41 34.02 33.66 728.00 754.00 742.00 758.00 115.73 119.15 115.92

5.59United States -17.49-3.782.690.4717.815.15 4.30 4.27 931.00 912.00 877.00 909.00 23.89 21.59 17.35

29.04Total Foreign 1.861.810.810.8099.3729.26 29.72 29.39 689.00 726.00 722.00 736.00 91.84 97.56 98.57

none

Western Hemisphere

0.85 Brazil -2.86-0.209.680.606.801.09 1.00 1.10 1,204.0 1,393.0 1,350.0 1,346.0 4.70 7.00 6.20

0.13 Mexico 4.620.030.000.000.680.12 0.13 0.13 1,097.0 1,231.0 1,184.0 1,184.0 0.64 0.65 0.68

0.31 Argentina 0.000.000.000.000.800.40 0.40 0.40 446.00 435.00 435.00 435.00 0.63 0.80 0.80

0.24 Paraguay 0.000.000.000.000.160.13 0.10 0.10 236.00 279.00 348.00 348.00 0.26 0.16 0.16

0.09 Peru 0.000.000.000.000.300.09 0.09 0.09 704.00 726.00 726.00 726.00 0.28 0.30 0.30

0.06 Colombia 0.000.000.000.000.190.05 0.05 0.05 871.00 781.00 781.00 781.00 0.22 0.19 0.19

Africa

0.63 Burkina -30.77-0.40-18.18-0.200.900.70 0.60 0.45 472.00 404.00 399.00 435.00 1.37 1.30 1.10

0.52 Mali -27.27-0.23-20.00-0.150.600.46 0.45 0.35 419.00 390.00 363.00 373.00 1.00 0.83 0.75

0.27 Cote d'Ivoire -23.08-0.08-16.67-0.050.250.23 0.23 0.20 411.00 314.00 290.00 272.00 0.50 0.33 0.30

0.23 Cameroon -4.11-0.020.000.000.350.20 0.20 0.20 402.00 397.00 381.00 381.00 0.42 0.37 0.35

0.20 Benin 5.260.030.000.000.500.23 0.25 0.25 400.00 448.00 435.00 435.00 0.37 0.48 0.50

0.32 Chad 0.000.00-11.11-0.030.200.25 0.30 0.25 232.00 174.00 166.00 174.00 0.34 0.20 0.23

0.11 Togo 25.000.020.000.000.100.07 0.07 0.07 290.00 268.00 335.00 335.00 0.14 0.08 0.10

0.04 Senegal 0.000.000.000.000.100.04 0.04 0.04 490.00 495.00 495.00 495.00 0.09 0.10 0.10

0.28 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.980.25 0.25 0.25 743.00 863.00 849.00 849.00 0.94 0.98 0.98

0.37 Zimbabwe 13.000.070.000.000.570.35 0.37 0.37 288.00 311.00 332.00 332.00 0.49 0.50 0.57

0.38 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.400.38 0.38 0.38 229.00 229.00 229.00 229.00 0.40 0.40 0.40

Asia Oceania

5.24 China, Peoples 0.000.000.000.0032.505.60 5.70 5.70 1,143.0 1,264.0 1,241.0 1,241.0 27.50 32.50 32.50

8.87 India 7.801.702.170.5023.509.17 9.50 9.50 467.00 518.00 527.00 539.00 19.05 21.80 23.00

3.10 Pakistan 11.111.105.770.6011.003.25 3.25 3.25 714.00 663.00 697.00 737.00 10.17 9.90 10.40

0.20 Kazakhstan, Republic 0.000.000.000.000.630.20 0.20 0.20 720.00 698.00 680.00 680.00 0.68 0.63 0.63

0.26 Tajikistan, Republic of 0.000.000.000.000.640.26 0.25 0.25 542.00 542.00 553.00 553.00 0.64 0.64 0.64

0.60 Turkmenistan 8.330.100.000.001.300.60 0.60 0.60 354.00 435.00 472.00 472.00 0.98 1.20 1.30

1.43 Uzbekistan, Republic 0.000.000.000.005.401.42 1.45 1.45 844.00 826.00 811.00 811.00 5.55 5.40 5.40

0.60 Turkey -14.18-0.57-4.17-0.153.450.67 0.63 0.58 1,288.0 1,306.0 1,254.0 1,295.0 3.55 4.02 3.60

0.34 Australia -27.27-0.30-11.11-0.100.800.15 0.11 0.10 1,814.0 1,652.0 1,866.0 1,833.0 2.80 1.10 0.90

0.25 Syria 27.450.28-7.14-0.101.300.21 0.22 0.22 1,422.0 1,038.0 1,386.0 1,287.0 1.60 1.02 1.40

0.30 Burma, Union of 0.000.000.000.000.270.30 0.30 0.30 196.00 196.00 196.00 196.00 0.27 0.27 0.27

Europe

0.36 Greece -3.57-0.050.000.001.350.33 0.31 0.31 1,211.0 924.00 948.00 948.00 1.98 1.40 1.35

2.51Others 10.740.33-3.57-0.133.372.08 2.31 2.26 376.00 318.00 330.00 325.00 4.33 3.05 3.50

Note: Yeild for Total Foreign and Others is an incorrect calculation.


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2007/08

Area Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal Supply

ImportsProductionBeginning Stocks

Country

85 0709801350 Afghanistan 15

1 035423471 Albania 0

0 020252050 Algeria 0

5 0510322 Angola 3

800 98251,743200743400 Argentina 150

0 012110 Armenia, Republic 0

800 -75501,729092995 Australia 1,100

0 0557260120 Austria 6

225 025330010580 Azerbaijan, 225

0 0758975140 Bahrain 0

70 52,5003,0402,45052050 Bangladesh 0

0 030353050 Belarus 0

0 0100150130200 Belgium-Luxembour 30

500 0106480148250 Benin 500

48 080138405020 Bolivia 10

6,800 -1504,50012,8824005,6821,100 Brazil 2,600

10 0607350132 Bulgaria 0

900 041,2060306450 Burkina 975

270 0180343073300 Burma, Union of 100

0 020262060 Cambodia 0

350 0454500100200 Cameroon 320

0 0125142120220 Canada 0

15 05200525 Central African 10

200 015263063250 Chad 200

0 0557155160 Chile 0

32,500 -5,00053,50062,31115,00014,8115,700 China, Peoples 50

190 547558229010253 Colombia 5

15 0303515530 Congo, Democratic 0

1 023111 Costa Rica 0

250 0504730223200 Cote d'Ivoire 250

0 057520 Croatia 0

4 045494054 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0

0 0140171145260 Czech Republic 10

0 000000 Denmark 0


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2007/08 (Continued)

Area Harvested



Country

3 0810524 Dominican Republic 0

9 0556645123 Ecuador 0

975 131,0002,353550828250 Egypt 475

1 0125157125311 El Salvador 0

0 035413560 Estonia 0

85 07510602160 Ethiopia 10

0 0120171140310 France 20

0 0235304275290 Germany 40

40 0155501525 Ghana 25

1,350 503001,81520445310 Greece 1,100

3 0135164135262 Guatemala 4

14 00190514 Guinea 15

5 01011517 Haiti 0

4 023291962 Honduras 0

0 03005084001080 Hong Kong 100

0 16121020 Hungary 3

23,500 020,25030,8644006,9649,500 India 3,800

32 502,2002,6342,25035210 Indonesia 20

450 0525675110115150 Iran 25

30 0100119701920 Iraq 0

0 000000 Ireland 0

100 0414654113 Israel 105

0 0575674580940 Italy 20

0 0600682590920 Japan 0

625 0507680143200 Kazakhstan, 580

20 05070401037 Kenya 10

55 0100130502519 Korea, Democratic 0

1 01,0501,3171,0502661 Korea, Republic of 5

150 0519704735 Kyrgyzstan, 155

0 010121020 Latvia 0

0 034310 Lebanon 0

0 018252050 Lithuania 2

1 020242031 Macedonia, 0

60 0507101130 Madagascar 10

100 0519209247 Malawi 95


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

0 0140160140200 Malaysia 0

600 0237980198350 Mali 625

0 0657965140 Mauritius 0

680 252,0503,1541,500974125 Mexico 200

0 010141040 Moldova, Republic 0

1 0150190150391 Morocco 0

145 010208063196 Mozambique 145

0 0912930 Netherlands 1

10 0112024 Nicaragua 9

5 048035 Niger 1

400 035059475119380 Nigeria 125

11,000 2512,20017,0271,7004,3273,250 Pakistan 300

0 011100 Panama 0

160 030219554100 Paraguay 100

300 050086122533690 Peru 15

10 09511380234 Philippines 0

0 0100117100170 Poland 0

1 0275345270741 Portugal 2

0 0557355180 Romania 0

0 01,4251,6471,4252220 Russian Federation 0

100 02014104144 Senegal 85

0 0810820 Serbia and 0

0 00282530 Singapore 25

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 035443590 Slovenia 0

7 010113112 Somalia 0

55 02503061906117 South Africa, 0

185 0125273256345 Spain 100

5 01013535 Sri Lanka 0

325 084890164170 Sudan 325

0 000000 Sweden 0

0 020292090 Switzerland 0

1,300 07251,6190319220 Syria 575

0 01,1501,4911,1503410 Taiwan 0

635 01407850150250 Tajikistan, Republic 500


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

350 0706140264450 Tanzania, United 275

44 251,9502,3181,9003748 Thailand 2

100 01514704765 Togo 90

10 0110123100132 Tunisia 0

3,450 07,3009,2663,6502,166580 Turkey 75

1,300 04401,8990599600 Turkmenistan 825

150 020235085270 Uganda 125

0 0557255170 Ukraine 0

0 020312560 United Kingdom 5

17,812 324,60027,532209,7004,267 United States 16,700

0 023210 Uruguay 0

5,400 08006,64801,2481,450 Uzbekistan, 4,600

60 07596152110 Venezuela 0

52 09501,16490021223 Vietnam 0

65 025740940 Yemen 40

250 0655200270250 Zambia 225

565 16907660201370 Zimbabwe 425

World

117,184 -4,969127,775214,06240,08456,79433,658 World 39,698


September 2007

(1000 MT)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2007/08

Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks


ImportsProductionCountry

0 301521193 Afghanistan 3

7 008902 Albania 2

4 004501 Algeria 1

1 101210 Angola 0

44 332180379174162 Argentina 165


0 239-1611376174202 Australia 142

13 10121603 Austria 2

0 4905724923 Azerbaijan, 17

16 00161903 Bahrain 3

533 0154466215113 Bangladesh 116

7 007801 Belarus 1


0 1090214110932 Benin 30

9 2017301011 Bolivia 10

87 566-339802,8051,4811,237 Brazil 1,292

11 00131623 Bulgaria 3

0 2120126319667 Burkina 49

0 22039755916 Burma, Union of 14

4 004601 Cambodia 1

0 70010987622 Cameroon 19

26 00273105 Canada 4


0 4403574414 Chad 10

12 00121503 Chile 3

3,266 11-1,08911,64813,5677,0763,225 China, Peoples 2,996

63 111031274122 Colombia 21



0 540111035449 Cote d'Ivoire 38

1 001200 Croatia 0

9 00101111 Cuba 1

0 000000 Cyprus 0

32 20303706 Czech Republic 5

0 000000 Denmark 0


September 2007

(1000 MT)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2007/08 (Continued)

Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks




10 00121423 Ecuador 2

120 1033218512212180 Egypt 188

27 00273407 El Salvador 7

8 008901 Estonia 1

0 201623195 Ethiopia 5

30 40263707 France 7

60 90516606 Germany 6

0 5031293 Ghana 3

4 239116539529497 Greece 79

29 10293616 Guatemala 5

0 300431 Guinea 1

1 002210 Haiti 0

4 005611 Honduras 1

87 22065111024 Hong Kong 24

2 101300 Hungary 0

87 82704,4096,7205,1171,516 India 1,484

490 411479573777 Indonesia 79

24 501141479825 Iran 27

15 00222674 Iraq 4

0 000000 Ireland 0

1 230132229 Israel 8

126 40125147020 Italy 17

128 00131148020 Japan 18

0 12601116713631 Kazakhstan, 30

9 20111542 Kenya 2


229 10229287058 Korea, Republic of 57

0 3401433310 Kyrgyzstan, 8

2 002300 Latvia 0

1 001100 Lebanon 0

4 004501 Lithuania 1

4 004501 Macedonia, 1

0 201115132 Madagascar 2

0 2101422220 Malawi 20


September 2007

(1000 MT)


Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks



30 00303504 Malaysia 4

0 1360517413143 Mali 33

14 00141703 Mauritius 3

327 445446687148212 Mexico 191


33 00334108 Morocco 9

0 3202453214 Mozambique 12



0 001211 Niger 1

16 270761298726 Nigeria 26

370 6552,6563,7072,395942 Pakistan 980

0 000000 Panama 0

1 2207483512 Paraguay 19

49 301091876573 Peru 75

17 00212525 Philippines 4

22 00222504 Poland 4

59 006075016 Portugal 15

12 00121604 Romania 4

310 00310359048 Russian Federation 48

0 190431229 Senegal 8


5 500601 Singapore 1

0 000000 Slovakia 0

8 0081002 Slovenia 2

1 002220 Somalia 0

41 0054671213 South Africa, 12

5 22027594014 Spain 10

1 002311 Sri Lanka 1

0 71021067136 Sudan 34

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 125015835228369 Syria 69

250 00250325074 Taiwan 74



September 2007

(1000 MT)


Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks



0 600151347657 Tanzania, United 59

414 054255051081 Thailand 74

0 2003322210 Togo 9

22 00242723 Tunisia 3

795 1601,5892,017751472 Turkey 412

0 180096413283130 Turkmenistan 138

0 2704513319 Uganda 20

12 00121604 Ukraine 4


4 3,63671,0025,9943,8782,112 United States 1,350

0 000100 Uruguay 0

0 1,00201741,4471,176272 Uzbekistan, 272

3 001621135 Venezuela 5

196 002072531146 Vietnam 47

0 90516142 Yemen 2

0 490141135459 Zambia 50

0 9332016712344 Zimbabwe 51

World

8,727 8,643-1,08227,82046,60725,51412,366 World 11,226


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2006/2007

Area Harvested



Country

85 0709801350 Afghanistan 15

1 035423471 Albania 0

0 028332580 Algeria 0

5 0510322 Angola 3

800 97851,570176594400 Argentina 33


1,100 -75553,03801,938145 Australia 2,129

0 0607860180 Austria 6

220 025355013590 Azerbaijan, 225

0 0758975140 Bahrain 0

70 102,4002,9302,40046050 Bangladesh 0

0 035403550 Belarus 0


475 0106580183231 Benin 500

48 080140504220 Bolivia 10

7,000 -1504,50011,3325153,8171,094 Brazil 1,300

10 0657855132 Bulgaria 0

1,300 041,6600360700 Burkina 1,350

270 0200348375300 Burma, Union of 75

0 020262060 Cambodia 0

365 0454850120200 Cameroon 340

0 0135157105520 Canada 0


200 015293093250 Chad 215

0 0607655210 Chile 0

32,500 -3,80050,00061,09910,58818,0115,600 China, Peoples 88

190 54755853009553 Colombia 3



325 0506480323225 Cote d'Ivoire 375

0 068530 Croatia 0

4 045504064 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0

0 0150186160260 Czech Republic 10

0 000000 Denmark 0


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2006/2007 (Continued)

Area Harvested



Country


9 0607245183 Ecuador 0

975 131,0002,341550816246 Egypt 500

1 0125156125301 El Salvador 0

0 040464060 Estonia 0

85 07510602160 Ethiopia 10

0 0140191155360 France 20

0 0250329300290 Germany 50

40 0155501525 Ghana 25

1,400 503502,09520675330 Greece 1,250

3 0130160135222 Guatemala 4

14 00200614 Guinea 15

5 01011517 Haiti 0

4 023292052 Honduras 0

0 03255214181030 Hong Kong 88

0 18141040 Hungary 3

21,800 018,60030,4644008,2649,166 India 4,900

32 502,1752,5972,20036510 Indonesia 20

370 0525665150145106 Iran 25

30 0100119701920 Iraq 0

0 011010 Ireland 0

100 0514654113 Israel 100

0 56357546501040 Italy 20

0 06257176101070 Japan 0

625 0507730148195 Kazakhstan, 580

20 05070401037 Kenya 10


1 01,1001,3691,0683001 Korea, Republic of 3

170 0523206246 Kyrgyzstan, 180

0 012141130 Latvia 0

0 034310 Lebanon 0

0 018272070 Lithuania 4

1 020231841 Macedonia, 0

60 0507101130 Madagascar 10

110 0519208247 Malawi 95


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

0 0140160130300 Malaysia 0

825 0231,0960271460 Mali 875

0 0657965140 Mauritius 0

650 252,1003,2741,3001,324115 Mexico 175


1 0160199165331 Morocco 0

165 010233563196 Mozambique 160



5 048035 Niger 1

400 036060475129380 Nigeria 125

9,900 2512,00016,6102,2984,4123,250 Pakistan 258

0 011100 Panama 0

160 0303239154125 Paraguay 239

300 050085125030190 Peru 15

10 09513290324 Philippines 14

0 0115133110230 Poland 1

1 0285361280801 Portugal 2

0 0607855230 Romania 0

0 01,4251,6471,4252220 Russian Federation 0

100 02014104144 Senegal 80


0 00383530 Singapore 35

0 011010 Slovakia 0

0 035443590 Slovenia 0

7 012135112 Somalia 0

55 02503112005616 South Africa, 0

213 01503732513552 Spain 160

5 0811335 Sri Lanka 0

225 084720247160 Sudan 300

0 000000 Sweden 0


1,020 07251,4190399214 Syria 375

0 01,2251,5661,1753910 Taiwan 0



September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

200 0705590359300 Tanzania, United 225

47 252,0002,4011,9514039 Thailand 2

80 01516208265 Togo 100

10 0110123100132 Tunisia 0

4,020 07,4009,6463,9281,698670 Turkey 80

1,200 04301,7290529600 Turkmenistan 700

95 020185090270 Uganda 80

0 0557255170 Ukraine 0


21,588 84,95027,658206,0505,152 United States 13,000

0 023210 Uruguay 0

5,400 08006,64801,2481,424 Uzbekistan, 4,600

60 07596102610 Venezuela 0

49 08751,08787516322 Vietnam 0

65 025740940 Yemen 40

235 0655600325250 Zambia 225

500 15906910191350 Zimbabwe 385

World

119,148 -3,784123,218213,63936,74357,74834,411 World 37,411


September 2007

(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2006/2007

Area Harvested

ExportsEnding Stocks

LossUseImportsProductionBeginning Stocks

Country

19 30150311 Afghanistan 3

0 208720 Albania 0

0 106520 Algeria 0

1 001100 Angola 1

174 16221713812987 Argentina 7


239 202-1612042232 Australia 464

0 30131340 Austria 1

48 230502920 Azerbaijan, 49

0 30161630 Bahrain 0

15 113252352310011 Bangladesh 0

0 108810 Belarus 0


103 320204050 Benin 109

10 110171194 Bolivia 2

1,524 1,237-33980112831238 Brazil 283

2 30141230 Bulgaria 0

283 6701078152 Burkina 294

59 1604411665 Burma, Union of 16

0 104410 Cambodia 0

79 2201002644 Cameroon 74

0 502923110 Canada 0


44 140302054 Chad 47

0 30131250 Chile 0

7,076 3,225-82710,8862,3053,9211,219 China, Peoples 19

41 221103652112 Colombia 1



71 4901107049 Cote d'Ivoire 82

0 001110 Croatia 0

1 1010911 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0

0 60333560 Czech Republic 2

0 000000 Denmark 0


September 2007

(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2006/2007 (Continued)

Area Harvested



Country


2 30131041 Ecuador 0

212 180321812017854 Egypt 109

0 70272770 El Salvador 0

0 109910 Estonia 0

19 50160513 Ethiopia 2

0 70303480 France 4

0 60546560 Germany 11

9 303035 Ghana 5

305 971176414772 Greece 272

1 60282950 Guatemala 1

3 100013 Guinea 3

1 002102 Haiti 0

1 105410 Honduras 0

0 2407191220 Hong Kong 19

0 002210 Hungary 1

4,746 1,51604,050871,7991,996 India 1,067

7 7711474479792 Indonesia 4

81 250114333223 Iran 5

7 40221544 Iraq 0

0 000000 Ireland 0

22 901193 Israel 22

0 201138142230 Italy 4

0 200136133230 Japan 0

136 3101103242 Kazakhstan, 126

4 2011928 Kenya 2


0 580239233650 Korea, Republic of 1

37 100101310 Kyrgyzstan, 39

0 003210 Latvia 0

0 001100 Lebanon 0

0 104420 Lithuania 1

0 104410 Macedonia, 0

13 2011027 Madagascar 2

24 200101810 Malawi 21


September 2007

(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area Harvested



Country

0 40302870 Malaysia 0

180 4305059100 Mali 191

0 30141430 Mauritius 0

142 212545728328825 Mexico 38


0 80353670 Morocco 0

36 140211443 Mozambique 35



1 101011 Niger 0

87 26078162883 Nigeria 27

2,155 94252,613500961708 Pakistan 56

0 000000 Panama 0

35 120723427 Paraguay 52

65 730109546620 Peru 3

2 50212071 Philippines 3

0 40252450 Poland 0

0 1606261170 Portugal 0

0 40131250 Romania 0

0 480310310480 Russian Federation 0

22 9040910 Senegal 17


0 100810 Singapore 8

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 208820 Slovenia 0

2 003103 Somalia 0

12 1305444123 South Africa, 0

46 1403352911 Spain 35

1 102111 Sri Lanka 0

49 360205435 Sudan 65

0 000000 Sweden 0


222 69015808747 Syria 82

0 740267256850 Taiwan 0



September 2007

(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area Harvested



Country

44 5701507865 Tanzania, United 49

10 815435425882 Thailand 0

17 100301814 Togo 22

2 30242230 Tunisia 0

875 47201,611855370146 Turkey 17

261 1300940115131 Turkmenistan 152

21 190402059 Uganda 17

0 40121240 Ukraine 0


4,700 2,11221,07841,3171,122 United States 2,830

0 000000 Uruguay 0

1,176 27201740272310 Uzbekistan, 1,002

13 5016262 Venezuela 0

11 460191191355 Vietnam 0

14 205029 Yemen 9

51 5901407154 Zambia 49

109 4432004276 Zimbabwe 84

World

25,942 12,366-82426,8288,00012,5737,492 World 8,145


September 2007

Table 8

Northern European Cotton Price Quotations and USDA's Adjusted World Price (in cents per pound)

Date Cotlook A-Index

MemphisTerritory

Memphis - A-Index

Lowest A-Index Quote

Adjusted World Price

Yearly Average91.08 94.05 2.971994/1995 76.1281.0685.52 93.02 7.501995/1996 71.1481.9578.60 82.81 4.211996/1997 64.1274.8972.15 78.14 5.991997/1998 58.2466.9158.90 74.20 15.301998/1999 44.6457.8152.88 66.29 13.411999/2000 38.9149.3557.34 62.61 5.272000/2001 44.0054.7941.80 45.06 3.262001/2002 28.4941.3955.68 51.22 -4.452002/2003 43.0953.4469.18 73.29 4.112003/2004 55.0669.2353.53 55.94 2.422004/2005 38.9150.2357.06 60.14 3.082005/2006 41.7456.8660.53 61.60 1.072006/2007 44.6258.7567.75 67.20 -0.552007/2008 51.6068.04

Monthly AverageAugust 2006 60.89 64.79 3.90 44.9360.01September 2006 59.51 62.32 2.81 43.4758.11October 2006 57.87 58.95 1.09 41.6957.40November 2006 58.70 59.19 0.49 42.6158.38December 2006 61.62 63.24 1.61 45.5560.03January 2007 60.42 63.16 2.74 44.6458.93February 2007 59.22 61.15 1.93 43.1957.64March 2007 59.92 61.61 1.70 43.6858.28April 2007 58.68 58.80 0.12 42.5057.42May 2007 57.12 55.85 -1.27 41.6756.26June 2007 62.53 60.96 -1.57 48.1360.98July 2007 69.35 68.40 -0.95 54.8667.75August 2007 67.74 67.19 -0.55 51.6068.05September 2007 67.85 67.25 -0.60 68.00Weekly Average12-Apr-07 0.7258.78 59.50 42.3757.3319-Apr-07 -0.2658.76 58.50 42.3557.2526-Apr-07 -0.4658.31 57.85 41.9057.4503-May-07 -0.9656.71 55.75 40.3055.8010-May-07 -1.1556.53 55.38 40.1255.7517-May-07 -1.4556.40 54.95 41.1655.7024-May-07 -1.1757.82 56.65 42.6156.8531-May-07 -1.4358.68 57.25 44.1457.6707-Jun-07 -1.8959.74 57.85 45.2458.8514-Jun-07 -2.0660.91 58.85 46.8659.8521-Jun-07 -1.5363.43 61.90 48.9761.5528-Jun-07 -0.9265.37 64.45 51.4563.1005-Jul-07 -0.8667.26 66.40 52.9965.3512-Jul-07 -0.6569.90 69.25 55.5168.0019-Jul-07 -0.7171.31 70.60 56.8269.4526-Jul-07 -1.3468.64 67.30 54.1067.2502-Aug-07 -0.6269.82 69.20 54.4569.4009-Aug-07 0.4870.53 71.00 53.9470.3816-Aug-07 -0.8467.99 67.15 51.4568.4023-Aug-07 -1.0765.87 64.80 49.2966.3530-Aug-07 -1.0665.44 64.38 48.8866.0004-Sep-07 -0.6067.35 66.75 67.58

1 The A-Index is the average of the five lowest quotes of the following descriptions (all 1-3/32"): Memphis Terr.; Calif. Ariz; Mexico; Central America; Paraguayan; Turkish; Uzbeki; Pakistani 1503; Indian H-4; Chinese Type 329; West African; Tanzanian; Greek; Syrian; and Australian.2 Reflects incorporation of forward shipment quotations but does not include the Secretary's discretionaryadjustments.Averages for August 1998 and forward reflect 1998/99 quotations; others are 1997/98 quotations.SOURCE: Cotlook, Ltd. United Kingdom Sep 07


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 09: World Cotton Supply and Distribution

Area Harvested

LossUseExportsTotal Supply


Country Mktg Year

World

World

56,527 60,23824,603107,35924,93125,90130,533 1976/77 138

63,908 61,02226,441113,40827,12022,38033,576 1977/78 308

59,496 63,22927,253112,26227,12925,63732,814 1978/79 -76

65,446 65,90430,662117,80830,50621,85632,219 1979/80 10

63,381 65,02126,265111,86627,25321,23232,369 1980/81 -33

68,839 63,30925,764115,15025,69820,61332,932 1981/82 239

66,332 66,97025,515118,24126,07125,83831,394 1982/83 302

66,277 68,68025,333118,79027,05925,45430,920 1983/84 496

88,706 70,81627,200140,61627,62924,28133,740 1984/85 474

80,153 75,33028,078151,26028,98142,12631,582 1985/86 252

70,359 82,09533,350151,05233,09347,60029,353 1986/87 179

81,446 84,14630,103147,40330,52935,42830,871 1987/88 534

84,220 85,23833,481150,42233,58232,62033,831 1988/89 642

79,716 86,90531,357143,48032,70331,06131,689 1989/90 234

87,141 85,52429,560142,70330,57824,98433,161 1990/91 170

95,295 86,19228,249151,76629,02227,44934,786 1991/92 368

82,307 86,33225,475146,31727,05336,95732,642 1992/93 63

77,646 85,55026,660140,04427,95134,44730,710 1993/94 143

86,254 84,51328,157144,23230,28727,69132,238 1994/95 -330

93,795 85,79027,361152,68426,99731,89235,918 1995/96 -544

90,028 87,76426,838158,68228,57740,07733,732 1996/97 -585

92,234 87,26726,722162,82725,92844,66533,779 1997/98 -581

86,069 84,76023,524159,96824,48049,41932,870 1998/99 -1,114

87,908 91,05827,195168,68227,97652,79832,333 1999/00 -602

89,073 92,15826,258166,33126,22751,03132,001 2000/01 -1,364

98,744 94,29829,060177,32729,30449,27933,737 2001/02 -781

88,444 98,38030,322173,30630,11254,75030,447 2002/03 -804

95,352 98,08033,220174,77534,01545,40832,133 2003/04 -834

121,168 108,89634,972198,91133,43444,30935,628 2004/05 -1,169

115,727 116,35744,688216,00344,06456,21234,623 2005/06 -2,790

119,148 123,21837,411213,63936,74357,74834,411 2006/07 -3,784

117,184 127,77539,698214,06240,08456,79433,658 2007/08 -4,969


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 10: United States Cotton Supply and Distribution


Yield Beginning Stocks

Production Imports Total Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending Stocks

Stock to Use %

United States

283,258-1508,2593,38514,7527210,4774,2034914,643 1971/72

324,221-3057,7695,31116,9963413,7043,2585685,255 1972/73

283,808-1607,4726,12317,2434812,9744,2215834,844 1973/74

585,708-1125,8603,92615,3823411,5403,8084945,086 1974/75

353,681-1407,2503,31114,102928,3025,7085083,560 1975/76

262,928-866,6744,78414,3003810,5813,6815224,417 1976/77

455,34786,4835,48417,322514,3892,9285835,372 1977/78

323,958-2836,3526,18016,207410,8565,3474715,018 1978/79

193,000-1436,5069,22918,592514,6293,9586135,193 1979/80

232,668-3355,8915,92614,1502811,1223,0004535,348 1980/81

566,632-1235,2646,56718,3402615,6462,6686085,601 1981/82

747,937-425,5135,20718,6152011,9636,6326613,939 1982/83

222,7752385,9216,78615,720127,7717,9375692,973 1983/84

354,102-745,5386,21515,7812412,9822,7756734,200 1984/85

1129,348-1546,4131,96017,5673313,4324,1027064,140 1985/86

365,026-807,4526,68419,08239,7319,3486183,427 1986/87

415,771-1827,6176,58219,788214,7605,0267924,059 1987/88

517,0921657,7826,14821,187515,4115,7716944,835 1988/89

183,000-1638,7597,69419,290212,1967,0926883,860 1989/90

142,344-2858,6577,79318,509415,5053,0007114,748 1990/91

233,70489,6136,64619,9711317,6142,3447315,245 1991/92

304,662-19010,2505,20119,923116,2183,7047854,501 1992/93

203,530-810,4186,86220,802616,1344,6626795,173 1993/94

132,650-3811,1989,40223,2122019,6623,5307945,391 1994/95

142,6092710,6477,67520,95840817,9002,6506026,478 1995/96

223,971-811,1266,86521,95440318,9422,6097915,216 1996/97

213,8874111,3497,50022,7771318,7933,9717545,425 1997/98

273,939-39410,4014,29818,24443913,9183,8877014,324 1998/99

233,91514510,1946,75021,0049716,9683,9396805,433 1999/00

386,000-4838,8626,74021,1191617,1883,9157085,282 2000/01

407,4481807,69611,00026,3242120,3036,0007905,596 2001/02

285,3851667,27311,90024,7246717,2097,4487465,025 2002/03

173,4502116,26613,75823,6854518,2555,3858184,858 2003/04

265,4951086,69114,43626,7302923,2513,4509585,284 2004/05

256,050-5485,87118,04029,4132823,8905,4959315,586 2005/06

549,70084,95013,00027,6582021,5886,0509125,152 2006/07

296,200324,60016,70027,5322017,8129,7009094,267 2007/08


September 2007

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 11: Foreign Cotton Supply and Distribution


Yield Beginning Stocks

Production Imports Total Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending Stocks

Total Foreign

19,19115150,12221,45090,91424,59748,67517,64237328,380 1971/72

20,26619651,73022,50594,69727,34348,16319,19137128,285 1972/73

23,35022352,79620,09796,46626,69649,50420,26638528,001 1973/74

27,64422351,18120,36999,41723,79052,27723,35040028,421 1974/75

22,22028554,35022,65699,51126,19445,67327,64437826,310 1975/76

19,45222453,56419,81993,05924,89345,94622,22038326,116 1976/77

20,29030054,53920,95796,08627,11549,51919,45238228,204 1977/78

17,89820756,87721,07396,05527,12548,64020,29038127,796 1978/79

18,23215359,39821,43399,21630,50150,81717,89840927,026 1979/80

17,94530259,13020,33997,71627,22552,25918,23242127,021 1980/81

19,20636258,04519,19796,81025,67253,19317,94542427,331 1981/82

17,51734461,45720,30899,62626,05154,36919,20643127,455 1982/83

21,50625862,75918,547103,07027,04758,50617,51745627,947 1983/84

38,02454865,27820,985124,83527,60575,72421,50655829,540 1984/85

38,25240668,91726,118133,69328,94866,72138,02452927,442 1985/86

30,40225974,64326,666131,97033,09060,62838,25250925,926 1986/87

26,84971676,52923,521127,61530,52766,68630,40254226,812 1987/88

23,96947777,45627,333129,23533,57768,80926,84951728,996 1988/89

21,98439778,14623,663124,19032,70167,52023,96952827,829 1989/90

25,10545576,86721,767124,19430,57471,63621,98454928,413 1990/91

33,25336076,57921,603131,79529,00977,68125,10557329,541 1991/92

29,78525376,08220,274126,39427,05266,08933,25351128,141 1992/93

24,16115175,13219,798119,24227,94561,51229,78552425,537 1993/94

29,242-29273,31518,755121,02030,26766,59224,16154026,847 1994/95

37,468-57175,14319,686131,72626,58975,89529,24256129,440 1995/96

40,694-57776,63819,973136,72828,17471,08637,46854328,516 1996/97

45,532-62275,91819,222140,05025,91573,44140,69456428,354 1997/98

48,859-72074,35919,226141,72424,04172,15145,53255028,546 1998/99

47,116-74780,86420,445147,67827,87970,94048,85957426,900 1999/00

43,279-88183,29619,518145,21226,21171,88547,11658626,719 2000/01

47,302-96186,60218,060151,00329,28378,44143,27960728,141 2001/02

40,023-97091,10718,422148,58230,04571,23547,30261025,422 2002/03

40,859-1,04591,81419,462151,09033,97077,09740,02361527,275 2003/04

50,717-1,277102,20520,536172,18133,40597,91740,85970330,344 2004/05

51,698-2,242110,48626,648186,59044,03691,83750,71768929,037 2005/06

47,094-3,792118,26824,411185,98136,72397,56051,69872629,259 2006/07

45,358-5,001123,17522,998186,53040,06499,37247,09473629,391 2007/08


September 2007

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