update on container liner shipping - · pdf fileupdate on container liner shipping frans waals...
TRANSCRIPT
Update on Container Liner Shipping
Frans Waals
DYNAMAR B.V.
Netherlands
THE TRADES
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Worldwide Container Trade Volumes
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
Car
ryin
gs (
mill
ion
TEU
)
2014 volume152 million TEU
2014 Growth4%
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Europe-Far East
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Car
ryin
gs (
mill
ion
TEU
)
Far East - Europe Europe-Far East Growth
+7.4% > 15.3 mln TEU +1,3% > 6.5 mln TEU +5.4% > 22.3 mln TEU
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Transpacific
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Car
ryin
gs (
mill
ion
TEU
)
Far East-US US-Far East Growth
+5.4% > 13.1 mln TEU -2.4% > 6.2 mln TEU +2.4%% > 19.3 mln TEU
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Transatlantic
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Car
ryin
gs (
mill
ion
TEU
)
US-Europe Europe-US Growth
-0.6% > 1.9 mln TEU +9.0% > 2.8 mln TEU +5.5% > 4.6 mln TEU
THE FINANCIALS
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
China-based rates (index)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Ind
ex
Spot rates
Medium/Longterm rates
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Medium/longterm rates (index)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Ind
ex
Far East-Europe
Far East-USWC
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Spot rates (USD)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
USD
/TEU
Far East-Europe
Far East-USWC
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Price of HFO (USD)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
USD
/To
n
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Charter hire (Index)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Ind
ex
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Profit/loss 2014
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Ne
t/o
pe
rati
ng
pro
fit
(mill
ion
USD
) Operating result
Net result
Selling off propertiesIntegration of CSAV
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Profit/loss since 2009
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Ne
t/o
pe
rati
ng
pro
fit
(mill
ion
USD
) Operating result
Net result
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Sold between Jan 2013 and April 2014Carrier Asset When PriceMaersk Interests held: Dansk Supermarked and F.Salling Jan-14 3,000Maersk Interests held: DFDS shareholding (31%) Sep-13 291Maersk Vessels: Handygas and Very Large Gas Carriers (2 deals) 2013 722Maersk Vessels: VLCCs (15) Jan-14 980MOL Share of: Los Angeles and Oakland terminals (49%)1 Jan-14 201MSC Share of: Terminal Investment Limited (35%) May-13 1,930NYK Interests held: Maestra Navegacao (9%) Apr-13 5Wan Hai Interests in: Yangtze River Express air cargo carrier (6%) Jul-13 6APL Singapore headquarters Feb-13 307China COSCO Share of: Qingdao (Asset) Management (81%) Nov-13 336China COSCO Share of: Shanghai Tianhongli (Asset) Management (81%) Nov-13 274China COSCO Interests held: COSCO Pacific share of CIMC (22%)3 Sep-13 527China COSCO Subsidiary: COSCO Logistics Jun-13 1,084China Shipping Subsidiary: China Shipping Yangshan Jan-14 50China Shipping Subsidiary: Shanghai Zhenjiang Industrials Co Jan-14 61China Shipping Subsidiary: China Shipping Terminals Development1, 2 Nov-13 557.2China Shipping Share of: Lianyungang New Oriental Int'l CT (55%) Sep-13 121CMA CGM Share of: Terminal Link (49%) Jun-13 531Evergreen Containers (32,000) Dec-13 76Hanjin Activities: Dry bulk and LNG shipping (76% of) Dec-13 285Hanjin Share of: Total Terminals International Algeciras (76%)1 Mar-14 169Hyundai Activities: LNG shipping business (incl 7 vessels)1 Feb-14 1,000Hyundai Interests held: KB Financial Group Jan-14 43Hyundai Containers (18,100) Dec-13 53Yang Ming Interests in: Yangtze River Express air cargo carrier (12%) Jul-13 12Yang Ming Share of: Kao Ming Container terminal (12.5%) Nov-13 56Yang Ming Containers (undisclosed number) Nov-13 47ZIM Interests held: CXIC Star (55%) & CXIC Huizhou (25%) Nov-13 51
Total 12,774(Million USD)
Re-investmentUSD 7.1 billion
Fire saleUSD 5,6 billion
THE ANSWER
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Europe/Mediterranean-Far EastCKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
Maersk Line
UASC
China Shipping
CMA CGM
MSC
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
ZIM
Maersk Line
UASC
China Shipping
CMA CGM
MSC
Wan Hai
PIL
2M
MSC
Maersk Line
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
ZIM
PIL
Wan Hai
No
rth
Eu
rop
e –
Far
East
Med
iter
ran
ean
–Fa
r Ea
st
No
rth
Eu
rop
e –
Far
East
Med
iter
ran
ean
–Fa
r Ea
st
Bef
ore
AFter
2M
MSC
Maersk Line
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
Ocean Three
CMA CGM
China Shipping
UASC
Ocean Three
CMA CGM
China Shipping
UASC
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Far East-US East Coast/West CoastCKHY Alliance
Coscon
Hanjin
“ K” Line
Yang Ming
2M
MSC
Maersk Line
ZIM
Maersk Line
UASC
China Shipping
Evergreen
CMA CGM
MSC
ZIM
CKHY Alliance
Coscon
Hanjin
“ K” Line
Yang Ming
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
ZIM
Maersk Line
UASC
China Shipping
Evergreen
CMA CGM
MSC 2M
MSC
Maersk Line
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
Far
East
–U
S W
est
Co
ast
Far
East
–U
S Ea
st C
oas
t
Far
East
–U
S W
est
Co
ast
Far
East
–U
S Ea
st C
oas
t
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
Bef
ore
AFter
New World Alliance
APL
Hyundai
MOL
Grand Alliance
Hapag-Lloyd
NYK
OOCL
Matson/Westwood
PIL/Wan Hai
ZIM
Matson/Westwood
PIL/Wan Hai
Ocean Three
CMA CGM
China Shipping
UASC
Ocean Three
CMA CGM
China Shipping
UASC
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
TransatlanticCKHY Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin (not present)
Yang Ming
2M
MSC
Maersk Line
Marfret
Maersk Line
Evergreen
CMA CGM
MSC
ACL
CKHY Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Melfi
Maersk Line
UASC
CMA CGM
MSC2M
MSC
Maersk Line
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin
Yang Ming
Evergreen
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
ZIM
UASCNo
rth
Eu
rop
e –
No
rth
Am
eric
a
Med
iter
ran
ean
–N
ort
h A
mer
ica
No
rth
Eu
rop
e –
No
rth
Am
eric
a
Med
iter
ran
ean
–N
ort
h A
mer
ica
CKHYE Alliance
Coscon
“ K” Line
Hanjin (not present)
Yang Ming
Evergreen (n.p.)
G6 Alliance
APL
Hapag-Lloyd
Hyundai
MOL
NYK
OOCL
Bef
ore
AFter
New World Alliance
APL
Hyundai
MOL
Grand Alliance
Hapag-Lloyd
NYK
OOCL
ICL
ACL
Melfi
ICL
CMA CGM
Marfret
New World Alliance
APL
Hyundai
MOL
Grand Alliance
Hapag-Lloyd
NYK
OOCL
Turkon
ZIM
Turkon
CMA CGM
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Merger/Takeover
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
19,100 TEU CSCL Globe in Rotterdam
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
The 18,000-19,000 TEU class
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
The details
Ship Triple-E CSCL Globe MSC Oscar Barzan
Operator Maersk China S. MSC UASC
Delivered Jun-13 Nov-14 Jan-15 Apr-15
TEU 18,340 18,980 19,224 18,800
Length o.a. 399.9 399.7 395.4 400.0
Breadth 59.0 58.6 58.6 58.6
Draught 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0
DWT 194,252 184,320 197,360 190,000
DWT/TEU 10.6 9.7 10.3 10.1
Boxes wide 23 23 23 23
Reefer plugs 600 1,000 1,800 1,000
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Build even larger container ships
Length +12.5 metres+900 TEU
Height +2.5 metres+1,000 TEU
Width +2.5 metres+1,000 TEU
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Number of 16,000+ vessels
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
ChinaShipping
Coscon CMA CGM Evergreen MaerskLine
MOL MSC OOCL UASC
No
. of
ship
s
In operation
On order
Intent
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
Capacity of 16,000+ vessels
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
ChinaShipping
Coscon CMA CGMEvergreen MaerskLine
MOL MSC OOCL UASC
TEU
cap
acit
y
In operation
On order
Intent
www.dynamar.com IMSF 2015
That’s all folks