uplift in pjm - california iso · 2018. 2. 10. · 2 pjm©2013 uplift in pjm • presentation...
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PJM©2013
Uplift in PJM
Adam Keech
Director, Market Operations
www.pjm.com
PJM©2013 2
Uplift in PJM
• Presentation focused on
bid cost guarantee for
resources scheduled by
PJM
• Early 2014 numbers are
high – Polar Vortex
– Gas prices
www.pjm.com
Month Day Ahead Real-Time Reactive Opportunity Cost Total
Jan 5,928,134 67,758,162 23,604,234 11,481,302 108,771,833
Feb 4,980,867 62,395,543 17,624,984 4,730,662 89,732,056
Mar 6,302,475 10,288,210 14,350,137 7,127,313 38,068,135
Apr 5,712,618 17,635,540 13,670,581 5,781,873 42,800,612
May 5,403,220 14,006,295 17,214,142 8,518,358 45,142,016
June 6,584,357 10,816,722 22,055,238 7,029,836 46,486,153
July 8,306,004 23,655,288 19,633,772 19,492,274 71,087,338
Aug 4,159,470 8,819,526 27,827,070 5,666,954 46,473,020
Sept 6,005,482 19,918,883 27,534,906 10,974,087 64,433,358
Oct 2,473,705 9,505,540 41,721,300 3,085,323 56,785,868
Nov 2,799,522 15,565,028 42,743,907 2,144,870 63,253,327
Dec 5,224,275 34,868,398 43,464,829 1,108,647 84,666,150
2013-Total $63,880,129 $295,233,135 $311,445,100 $87,141,499 $757,699,866
PJM-2013
PJM©2013 3
Very Localized
• Some statistics from 2013:
– Day Ahead Uplift Top 10 = 60% of total Day Ahead
• Top 5 units are 55% of total
– Real-Time Uplift Top 10 = 58% of total Real-Time
• Top 5 units are 46% of total
– Reactive Uplift Top 10 = 62% of total Reactive
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PJM©2013 4
Where most of it comes from…
• Units scheduled for reliability and sitting at min
– For reactive or thermal constraints • Output above minimum not needed to resolve constraint
• Longer than required min run times
• High incremental cost at min and no load costs
– Startup cost not as big of a problem
• Ineligible to set LMP under PJM rules
• 4-hour problem with a 24-hour solution
www.pjm.com
PJM©2013 5
Emergency Uplift Costs
• Emergency Uplift Costs
– Emergency DR
– Emergency purchases
• Stakeholder group tasked with short and long term
changes during peak periods
– Better management of interchange
– Scheduling and operating to increased reserve requirements
– Short term discussions underway
• Mixed feedback
www.pjm.com
PJM©2013 6
RTO Load, LMP and Interchange on July 18th, 2013
Average Interchange Increases
64% from HE14 to HE15 $28
$77$95
$74 $78$101
$298
$465
$52
$232$250
$266
$173
$130
96,033 MWRTO Valley
158,156 MWRTO Peak
160,285 MW with Estimated Demand Response
-$100
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour Ending
RTO Total LMP
RTO Hourly MW Load (Preliminary)
RTO Load w/ Economic & Emergency DR
RTO Net Actual Interchange
4,686 MW
7,692 MW
Emergency DR
14:40 - Emergency Load Management ImplementedPECO, PPL, ATSI Zones
Cancelled 18:00
15:00 - Emergency Load Management ImplementedAEP Canton Subzone
Cancelled 18:00
PJM©2013 7
What’s been done?
• Leaner scheduling practices
– Schedule less large units • More reliance on CTs where possible
• Charges for this reason have dropped precipitously since (Reactive charges mostly)
– Higher prices for short durations, less uplift
– Local issues still may require running uneconomic generation • Can we price this out?
• SENECA Interface has been implemented (Closed Loop Interfaces)
– Transmission topology solution as well
• Planning upgrades scheduled for June 2014 for Cleveland Area
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PJM©2013 8
Closed Loop Interfaces - Cleveland
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PJM©2013 9
Pricing Solutions
• Extend existing logic for price-setting of inflexible units to
generators sitting min for a transmission constraint
(reactive/voltage or thermal) to set LMP
– Already done in PJM for CTs that are not dispatchable
• Model and bind the constraints these generators are
running for in real-time and day-ahead
– Likely closed-loop interfaces
• Ensure these facilities are modeled appropriately in
ARR Allocations and FTR Auctions
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PJM©2013 10
Thermal Uplift Issues
• Closed-loop interfaces and/or binding thermals at levels
significantly less than their rating
– This can create significant (additional) FTR funding problems
• ARR allocation methodology results in over-allocation in
some cases
– Binding facilities where there are more FTRs than the flow on the
line will create underfunding
– Stage 1A infeasible facilities
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PJM©2013 11
Thermal Uplift Issues
• PJM has reviewed problem areas to schedule more
optimally
• Several paths
– Live with the uplift (attempt to minimize)
– Bind the facilities and live with the underfunding
• Allocate underfunding on these facilities differently?
– Change the ARR allocation to limit over-allocating and bind the
facilities
• Allocate underfunding on these facilities differently?
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PJM©2013 12
Energy Market Uplift Senior Task Force
• EMUSTF
– Tasked with overall review of uplift credit and charge
calculations
– Current allocation has some drawbacks
– Cost causality versus consistency?
www.pjm.com
PJM©2013 13
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