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Viability Study
Sandwell Community Infrastructure Levy – Viability Assessment
Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council
March 2014 Private and Confidential
Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council
CIL Viability Assessment March 2014
Quality Assurance Date 12 March 2014
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This report has been prepared on behalf of and for the exclusive use of Aspinall Verdi Limited’s Client and it is subject to and issued in connection with the provisions of the agreement between Aspinall Verdi Limited and Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council. Aspinall Verdi Limited accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for or in respect of any use of or reliance upon this report by any third party.
Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council
CIL Viability Assessment March 2014
Contents Executive Summary
Report 1 Introduction 4
Report Structure 4
2 CIL Policy 6
CIL Examinations 9
3 Market Overview 11
National Outlook 11 Black Country 11 Residential 13 Office Space 22 Industrial Space 27 Retail 32 Hotels 35 Conclusions 36
4 Development Typologies 37
Residential 37 Offices and Industrial 41 Retail 44 Hotels 48 Non-Residential Institutions, Assembly & Leisure 48 Summary of Development Typologies 49
5 Viability Analysis 51
Development Economics 51 Gross Development Value 52 Balance 56 Viability Modelling 57 Assumptions 58 Profit, Finance and Overhead 61
6 Appraisal Outputs 63
Residential Typologies 63 Commercial Typologies 67
7 Conclusions & Recommendations 73
Economics of Brownfield Land 73 Charging Rates on Use Basis 75 Draft Charging Schedule 77 Next Steps 79
Appendices Appendix 1 – Residential Development Appraisals
Appendix 2 – Commercial Development Appraisals
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Executive Summary ES1 This report provides a viability assessment on a range of potential development typologies to
support the possible introduction of a Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) across Sandwell
Metropolitan Borough.
Methodology
ES2 The key elements of the study are as follows:
An analysis of the property market (including consultations with developers) across the
Borough for a range of uses in order to identify the assumptions (e.g. sales values, rents,
yields, supply and demand). We have also undertaken an assessment of land values
across Sandwell to identify whether there any significant variances by location/development
type.
A review of planning policy and development data monitoring (i.e. completions) to identify
the range of development typologies (scheme types) that are likely to come forward during
the Black Country Core Strategy (February 2011) plan period (2006 – 2026).
A bespoke CIL viability model to test the development typologies using the information
ascertained from the market analysis to assess whether the proposed development
schemes can generate a surplus for CIL having allowed for all costs and a reasonable
developer’s profit, and in respect of residential development the Council’s affordable
housing requirements.
Key Findings
ES3 The results of the viability assessment for all the development typologies show that there is a
significant challenge to viability across the Borough. Only retail and residential uses show any
development surplus for CIL.
ES4 We have devised a draft charging schedule to reflect the outcomes of the viability analysis and
take into account the need to have an ‘appropriate balance’ that allows for sufficient headroom
in the levy rates so not to impact on the viability (i.e. delivery) of the scheme even if market
conditions (values/costs) change.
ES5 Retail: As a result of the market and viability analysis it is clear that nearly all types of retail are
viable cross Sandwell, apart from unit shops (up to 280 sqm) outside the strategic centre of
West Bromwich. Supermarkets of less than 280 sqm are also marginal in terms of viability and
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therefore we have recommended a nil rate for these two typologies and a range of rates for the
other retail development typologies.
ES6 Residential: We recommend a rate of £30 psm for any residential schemes between 1-14 units
and £15 psm for all other residential developments (i.e. 15 units plus). The different rates are
supported by the viability analysis which clearly shows that residential schemes between 1-14
units are more viable than the other development typologies and therefore can afford to pay a
higher CIL rate.
ES7 Offices, Industrial and Hotels: The market values generated by these uses are currently
insufficient to cover the costs associated with these schemes and therefore are unviable, which
means that they are not able to pay a CIL.
ES8 Other Uses: With regards to leisure and education uses, as we explained in the development
typologies sections, these uses are rarely viable and therefore are unable to pay a CIL rate.
ES9 The recommended CIL rates are summarised on the table overleaf:
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Development Typology CIL Rate £ psm
Supermarkets/Superstores and Retail warehousing >280 sqm
£60
Retail Units (Strategic Centre Only)*
£50
Residential: 1-14 Units
£30
Residential: 15 Units plus
£15
Offices
Industrial
Industrial Warehousing
Retail Units Outside Strategic Centre*
Supermarkets/superstores < 280 sqm
Hotel
Leisure
Education
Residential Care Homes
£Nil
Table ES 1 - Sandwell MBC Draft CIL Charging Schedule
*Retail Units are those within Use Classes A1-A5, excluding convenience and retail warehouses.
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1 Introduction
1.1 AspinallVerdi has been commissioned by Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council (SMBC) to
prepare a Borough wide development viability assessment to be used as evidence to support
the possible introduction of a Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) charging schedule. This
assessment is an update of an earlier CIL viability study undertaken by AspinallVerdi in 2012
and it is based on 2014 market evidence.
1.2 This study will be important evidence to ensure that, if adopted, the CIL charging schedule is
commercially robust. The key elements of the study are as follows:
An assessment of land values across Sandwell to identify if there are any significant
variances by location/development type.
A viability assessment of CIL rates including sensitivity testing to include; various different
uses; a range of locations; different scales of development; and key policy requirements,
including affordable housing.
Recommend CIL tariffs/rates to achieve an appropriate balance between delivering
infrastructure and the impact on development viability; and to establish the evidence base
for zoning if appropriate.
Report Structure
1.3 The remainder of this report is structured as follows:
Section 2 – CIL Policy – in this section we provide a brief overview of CIL policy, the key
regulations and latest guidance (February 2014) issued by DCLG.
Section 3 - Market Overview – in this section we provide an overview of the current national
economic context and also the local property market evidence which informs the
assumptions for the CIL viability model. This also enables us to identify whether there is a
significant differential in values across the Borough to warrant different CIL charging zones.
Section 4 – Development Typologies – in this section we summarise current planning policy
and provide an overview of the proposed development within the core strategy. We
compare this to where development has taken place in the past (as well as taking into
consideration the market analysis undertaken in section 3) in order to identify the
development typologies to be tested by the CIL viability model.
Section 5 – Viability Analysis - in this section we set out our methodology and assumptions
for undertaking the modelling required to test whether there is scope to charge CIL.
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Section 6 – Appraisal Outputs – in this section we set out the findings of our viability model
and the implications for setting CIL Charges.
Section 7 – Conclusions & Recommendations – in this section we draw together the results
of the viability analysis and present a draft charging schedule for discussion.
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2 CIL Policy
2.1 CIL is a new planning charge that came into force on 6 April 2010 through the Community
Infrastructure Regulations 2010 (amended in 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014). CIL is a levy that
enables local authorities to raise funds from developers undertaking new building within their
area to pay for infrastructure that is needed as a result of development.
2.2 Local Authorities are normally required to implement their charging schedules on the basis of
an up to date development plan. In this case, the Council’s key planning policies are enshrined
in the Black Country Core Strategy (BCCS) (Adopted February 2011), Site Allocations and
Delivery Development Plan (August 2011), West Bromwich Area Action Plan (AAP) (August
2011) and the Smethwick and Tipton AAP (2008).
2.3 We set out below a summary of the regulatory context and some recent Examiners report
recommendations. The February 2014 guidance was issued by the Secretary of State under
section 221 of the Planning Act 2008 and is therefore mandatory.
2.4 A fundamental part of the Regulations is about the judging the “appropriate balance”.
Regulation 14 requires that,
In setting rates (including differential rates) in a charging schedule, a charging authority must
strike an appropriate balance between (our emphasis) —
(a) the desirability of funding from CIL (in whole or in part) the actual and expected
estimated total cost of infrastructure required to support the development of its area,
taking into account other actual and expected sources of funding; and
(b) the potential effects (taken as a whole) of the imposition of CIL on the economic
viability of development across its area1.
2.5 This is a difficult concept to interpret, but the Secretary of State has provided additional
guidance on the appropriate balance in the February 2014 guidance which states:
The levy is expected to have a positive economic effect on development across a local
plan area. When deciding the levy rates, an appropriate balance must be struck
between additional investment to support development and the potential effect on the
viability of developments.
1 The Community Infrastructure Levy Regulations 2010 coming into force 6 April 2010 under section 222(2)(b) of the Planning Act
2008 Regulation 14
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This balance is at the centre of the charge-setting process. In meeting the regulatory
requirements (see Regulation 14(1)), charging authorities should be able to show and
explain how their proposed levy rate (or rates) will contribute towards the
implementation of their relevant plan and support development across their area. .
As set out in the National Planning Policy Framework in England (paragraphs 173 –
177), the sites and the scale of development identified in the plan should not be subject
to such a scale of obligations and policy burdens that their ability to be developed
viably is threatened.2
2.6 Therefore the appropriate balance is a balance to be struck between setting the CIL rates too
high and ‘choking-off’ development such that economic growth and development is prevented
(and CIL revenues reduced); and setting the CIL rates too low such that there is not enough
revenue funding for the Authority to deliver the required infrastructure to support the future
development. This is clearly a very fine balance.
2.7 Given the current economic climate and the reduced availability of funds to pay for much
needed infrastructure, local authorities do have to consider alternative funding mechanisms (for
example, Regional Growth Fund). CIL will be part of a ‘cocktail of funds’ and part of this
consideration of the appropriate balance is to ensure that the CIL is not set right up to the
margins of viability. This is also confirmed in the February 2014 Guidance:
Charging authorities should set a rate which does not threaten the ability to develop
viably the sites and scale of development identified in the relevant Plan. They will need
to draw on the infrastructure planning that underpins the development strategy for their
area. Charging authorities should use that evidence to strike an appropriate balance
between the desirability of funding infrastructure from the levy and the potential impact
upon the economic viability of development across their area.3 (our emphasis)
2.8 This is important, because the cost and value assumptions for the hypothetical appraisals
across the Borough in this study vary widely compared to the specific circumstances of actual
sites coming forward for development.
2.9 The legislation (section 212(4)(b))4 only requires a charging authority to use ‘appropriate
available evidence' to inform their charging schedules. The February 2014 guidance expands
on this, explaining that:
2 Department of Communities and Local Government (February 2014) Community Infrastructure Levy, paragraph 2.2, page 12.
3 Department of Communities and Local Government (February 2014) Community Infrastructure Levy Guidance, paragraph 2.2,
page 12. 4 S212(4)(b) The Planning Act 2008
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A charging authority must use ‘appropriate available evidence’ (as defined in the
Planning Act 2008 section 211 (7A)) to inform their draft charging schedule. The
Government recognises that the available date is unlikely to be fully comprehensive.
Charging authorities need to demonstrate that their proposed levy rate or rates are
informed by ‘appropriate available’ evidence and consistent with that evidence across
their area as a whole.5
2.10 This is important because the appraisals can only be ‘high-level’ and therefore the evidence
supporting CIL needs to be proportionate.
2.11 Furthermore, the Guidance requires that,
a charging authority should directly sample an appropriate range of types of sites
across its area in order to supplement existing data. This will require support from local
developers. The exercise should focus on strategic sites on which the relevant Plan
relies, and those sites where the impact of the levy on economic viability is likely to be
most significant (such as brownfield sites).6
2.12 This is what we have done by analysing values and development monitoring data across the
borough (see below) to establish and appraise the relevant typologies and then ‘sense check’
against the Core Strategy Polices.
2.13 The February 2014 CIL Guidance also refers to regulations allowing charging authorities to
apply differential rates in a flexible way, to help ensure the viability of development is not put at
risk. The guidance goes on to state:
Differential rates may be appropriate in relation to
Geographical zones within the charging authority’s boundary
Types of development; and/or
Scales of development.7
2.14 The ability for the authority to adopt different rates is important given that different uses (or
even uses within the same use class) will have different levels of viability.
5 Department of Communities and Local Government (February 2014) Community Infrastructure Levy Guidance issued by the
Secretary of State, paragraph 2:2:2:4 6 Department of Communities and Local Government (February 2014) Community Infrastructure Levy Guidance issued by the
Secretary of State, paragraph 2:2:2:4 7 Department of Communities and Local Government (February 2014) Community Infrastructure Levy Guidance issued by the
Secretary of State, paragraph 2:2:2:6
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CIL Examinations
2.15 There have been a number of recent CIL examinations in public which have a direct impact on
the approach to our viability study including specifically:
the Examiner’s report to the Mayor of London CIL (January 2012)8
the Examiner’s report to the Greater Norwich Development Partnership CIL (December
2012)9
2.16 These are discussed in more detail below.
2.17 The impact on land value of future planning policy requirements e.g. CIL was contemplated in
the Examiner’s report to the Mayor of London CIL (January 2012). Paragraph 32 of the
Examiner’s report states:
…the price paid for development land may be reduced. As with profit levels there may
be cries that this is unrealistic, but a reduction in development land value is an
inherent part of the CIL concept. It may be argued that such a reduction may be all
very well in the medium to long term but it is impossible in the short term because of
the price already paid/agreed for development land. The difficulty with that argument is
that if accepted the prospect of raising funds for infrastructure would be forever
receding into the future. In any event in some instances it may be possible for contracts
and options to be re-negotiated in the light of the changed circumstances arising from
the imposition of CIL charges. (our emphasis)
2.18 This is a very important principle for CIL viability. Whilst we have every sympathy with
landowners whose values have fallen or stagnated due to the economic climate since the credit
crunch in 2007 there does have to be recognition that without funding for essential
infrastructure development may not be able to take place at all. This brings us back to the
discussion on the appropriate balance (see pp 6-7 above).
2.19 In the Greater Norwich Development Partnership’s CIL Examiners report, paragraph 9 states:
Bearing in mind that the cost of CIL needs to largely come out of the land value, it is
necessary to establish a threshold land value i.e. the value at which a typical willing landowner
is likely to release land for development. Based on market experience in the Norwich area the
Councils’ viability work assumed that a landowner would expect to receive at least 75% of
8 Holland, K (27 January 2012) Report on the Examination of the Draft Mayoral Community Infrastructure Levy Charging
Schedule, The Planning Inspectorate, PINS/K5030/429/3 9 Holland, K (4 December 2012) Report on the Examination of the Draft Community Infrastructure Levy Charging Schedules for
Broadland District Council, Norwich City Council and South Norfolk Council, The Planning Inspectorate, PINS/G2625/429/6
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the benchmark [Market] value. Obviously what individual land owners will accept for their land
is very variable and often depends on their financial circumstances. However in the absence of
any contrary evidence it is reasonable to see a 25% reduction in benchmark values as the
maximum that should be used in calculating a threshold land value. (our emphasis)
2.20 This is important, because in the Greater Norwich examination the same Examiner has built
upon the report to the Mayor of London and has quantified the discount from benchmark market
values to the threshold land value – 25%.
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3 Market Overview
3.1 This market section gives an overview to the national economic and property markets, followed
by the Black Country and Sandwell specifically. A detailed sectoral breakdown then follows for
within the Sandwell Borough. This element of the report outlines the data necessary to
understand sectoral viability and respective value differentials across Sandwell, informing both
the development typologies for testing and the assumptions to be taken into account within the
CIL Viability Model.
National Outlook
3.2 As is well documented in the national press; UK property markets across all sectors have
witnessed a significant downturn since the financial crash/economic recession of 2007/8.
However, the residential property market is beginning to show signs of recovery following a
long period of subdued activity. The ‘Help-to-Buy’ scheme implemented by the government has
helped to recover the residential property market considerably over recent months. Despite this,
price movements vary somewhat between regions, with London and the South East still faring
well in comparison the rest of the country (Land Registry House Price Data, 2014).
3.3 As we emerge from the recessionary environment, commercial property and development is in
greater demand as confidence in the economy improves continuously. The supply of
commercial stock has recently decreased, with capital values and investment transactions
expected to rise, as well as increased in occupier demand for each sector in most parts of the
UK (RICS UK Commercial Market Survey, 2013).
Black Country
3.4 The Black Country sits within the West Midlands. As a region there are some key economic
indicators (HM Treasury, 2013) and Property Indicators which reveal the regional standing
within the UK:
The West Midlands region contributed £93.1 billion to UK economic output. This was
7.2% of the UK’s total economic output (below the mean contribution by region of
9.4%);
The average economic output per person was £16,788. This was below the UK
average of £19,977.
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The West Midlands is one of the biggest fallers from the 2010 index, dropping 126
places. It is also among the most marked regions in terms of convergence across
localities (UKCI, 2013).
House values are below UK average values (£167,534) at £116,196 (Land Registry,
2014). Of the 9 regions and London (10 localities), The West Midlands sits 5th in terms
of the regional values hierarchy and 5th in terms of the number of residential mortgage
applications submitted in August 2012.
Commercial development is showing signs of recovery (Estates Gazette Property
Market Data, 2014).
3.5 A number of inter-related factors are having on impact on delivery of development within the
Black Country:
External economic influences;
Market failure within the Black Country - hence public sector interventions such as the
Black Country Business Property Investment Programme which is funded from the
European Regional Development Fund;
The region’s ‘structural vulnerabilities’ as a result of its historic and present
dependence on the manufacturing sector (and the related site contamination issues
raising development costs);
Predominance of brownfield sites, and the associated costs of development exerts a
negative influence on viability;
Low commercial rents/average house prices (further discouraging development);
Low skills levels and poor ‘quality of life aspects’ are making commercial development
options less attractive to potential investors.
Sectoral Data Sources: Overview
3.6 Information for each sector is conveyed using the following structure and sources:
Supply: Local activity is analysed utilising development monitoring data provided by the
Council. This is cross referred with current availability utilising in particular Property
Link (which lists a variety of properties advertised by agents) to understand present
supply; recent deals done (Estates Gazette); and planning policy projections.
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Demand: Future projections of demand are interpreted from Planning Policy evidence.
DCLG CIL Guidance required the existing evidence base to be utilised to the fullest to
inform assumptions. Demand is also informed by the levels of activity across Sandwell
utilising development monitoring (SMBC) and deals done (Estates Gazette Property
Data) information.
Values: Rents and any rent differentials are informed by: deals done informing average
values, quoting rents/market rents currently advertised; and via any information
gathered for the planning policy evidence base, or planning policy itself. Yields data
utilises property data at the wider level. Residential Values have been informed by
information available on databases (e.g. Zoopla) and consultation with developers and
agents.
3.7 All of the above data is supplemented by conversations with developers and agents. Although
the information is summarised in the report background evidence has been recorded
throughout and is available upon request.
Residential
3.8 This section provides an overview of the residential market to enhance our understanding of
development viability in Sandwell. We have firstly reviewed the housing market across the
borough, values of new homes, and then discuss whether the high and low value areas as
identified within the Roger Tym CIL Scoping Study (2011) are still applicable.
Sold Values
3.9 House prices in Sandwell are approximately £70,000 below the national average (£167,353),
and have fallen a long way since their peak in 2008. Sandwell has the lowest average house
prices across all dwelling types and locations within the West Midlands. The average house
value within Sandwell is £95,071; this compares with £107,801 in Walsall, and £118,715 in
Dudley, as displayed below in Figure 3.1 (Land Registry, 2014).
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Figure 3.1 – Average House Prices (Land Registry, 2014)
Regeneration Corridors
3.10 In Sandwell, the key housing locations are in West Bromwich and the housing led regeneration
corridors (9, 12, 13, and 16 as defined in the BCCS, of which none are areas of high value as
discussed below). The first stage of research has therefore been focused within these areas as
they are critical to the delivery of the Core Strategy. These sites are also where the greatest
number of site allocations for housing development occur (BCCS, 2011), where the greatest
number of deals have taken place (Property Data, 2014), and also where the greatest number
of completions have been registered to date (Development Monitoring, 2014). Areas outside of
the regeneration corridors are not expected to receive significant levels of housing development
(BCCS, 2011).
3.11 There have been a number of new developments within the regeneration corridors (9, 12, 13,
and 16) and West Bromwich (SMBC Development Monitoring Data, 2014; New Build Property
Market Data, 2013). Sandwell has a reasonably active market, with a comparable number of
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sales achieved of both new and second-hand property in relation to neighbouring locations
within the West Midlands (Land Registry, 2014). According to developers and agents, demand
is greatest for smaller properties; however demand differs within different locations. There is a
limited apartment market in the borough as there is little demand for this property type despite
its affordability, and very few new schemes include apartments (Agent/Developer Consultation).
We would suggest that due to a healthy supply of smaller affordable houses in Sandwell,
buyers are likely to favour this property type as a residence over apartments.
3.12 We have researched average sold values within the regeneration corridors for all dwelling types
(including new and second-hand homes), which will enable us to understand the level of value
differentials which may occur between locations. This data has been collected using Land
Registry, which holds the sold values for both new and second-hand homes across locations.
The average house prices in particular locations of Sandwell exhibit some variation in values
across different house types. However, one location is not consistently higher or lower across
all house types.
3.13 To confirm these findings, we have also undertaken research of the asking values of new
homes across the regeneration corridors, and how the values may differ across these locations
via Zoopla. Variables exist upon local area factors, and can vary substantially within a particular
locality. For example, in Cradley Heath (Reddal Hill Road) the asking value of a new 2 bedroom
house for sale is £130,000, which is above the average asking price of £108,000 for a 2
bedroom house in Sandwell. At another new housing scheme in Tipton (Lower Church Street),
the asking price of a 3 bedroom terrace is £179,950, which is considerably above the average
asking price in Sandwell for a 3 bedroom home of £142,000. This pattern is repeated across
and within different locations, therefore differential values cannot be attached across locations
within the regeneration corridors. As discussed above, the limited provision of apartments is
notable in new developments; during consultations developers stated there is no real demand
for apartments in Sandwell, and due to high land and build costs they are mostly unviable in the
new development schemes.
Value Differentials
3.14 Upon reviewing the average sold values across the entirety of Sandwell District, we identified
value differentials across different locations within Sandwell District.
3.15 Our research utilising Land Registry data for new properties sold in 2013 identified only three
postcode areas (two locations) which exhibit higher values across all house types; these are
postcode areas B71 4 (West Bromwich), B43 7 and B43 6 (Great Barr). We would therefore
only identify these postcode areas within West Bromwich and Great Barr as higher value areas,
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as no other locations with new build houses sold over the 2013 period exhibit higher values
across all property types. As there have been a low number of new build sale in some areas,
this high/low value area identification has been verified by cross checking the average values of
existing (second-hand) property. Although it is recognised that values for new homes often
achieve a premium, if the average values of existing properties are also high this would indicate
that the market (postcode area) is in fact one of high value.
3.16 Below we display heat maps for the identified higher value locations within West Bromwich
(B71 4) and Great Barr (B43 7 and B43 6). The heat maps show that these pockets of high
value are enclosed within surrounding low value areas, and therefore that high and low value
streets lay adjacently.
Figure 3.2 – Heat Map of B71 4 (Zoopla, 2014)
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Figure 3.3 – B43 7 and B43 6 (Zoopla, 2014)
3.17 Great Barr (B43 7 and B43 6) exhibits higher than average market values across new and
existing stock and therefore can be considered to be a high value area. However, as with all
other locations, there are differentials in values (Table 3.1). All developments cannot therefore
be assumed to be the top end of the value scale which is important when determining the CIL
rate.
Address House Type No’ Beds Price (£)
Booths Lane
Townhouse
Semi
Detached
Detached
3
3
4
5
£209,995
£189,995
£259,950 - 319,950
£359,996
Netherhall Avenue
Semi
Detached
3
5
£209,995 - £224,995
£449,995
Queslett Road
Townhouse
Detached
3
4
£189,995 - £232,995
£289,995
Table 3.1 - Value differentials (New schemes/advertised prices) in Great Barr
(Zoopla, 2014)
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3.18 No flats or apartments have been sold within these postcodes (Great Barr). There are however
some apartments advertised in the area at a similar price to the regeneration corridors,
reflecting the lack of demand for this kind of property. No value differentials have thus been
applied to apartment/flat properties in this higher value area.
3.19 West Bromwich is somewhat unusual in that its average new build values are mixed. Values
achieved for new build properties in 2012/13 are marginally above those achieved in 2009.
Furthermore, across the existing housing stock the values are subject to a wide variance (the
market is not purely high or low value), which makes it difficult to zone West Bromwich as a
high value area, with the exception of postcode area B71 4 where all property exhibits higher
values.
3.20 We have also identified a further 4 postcodes out of total 36 areas with the B district postcode
which exhibit consistently higher values across all house types for existing stock. These are:
B43 5, B62 8, B67 5 and B71 3. However, it must also be noted that these areas have
experienced no sales of new build property over the 2011-2013 period, and therefore existing
stock values have been considered in these locations. The lack of new development in these
areas reflects the policy within the Core Strategy (BCCS, 2011) to focus development within the
Regeneration Corridors; the majority of the high value areas are outside these corridors and
therefore unlikely to see much development.
3.21 The following table (Table 3.2) summaries this research.
Area/Postcodes New Build Existing Stock
Great Barr (B43 7 and B43 6)
Generally higher values exhibited for all house types
– but some variance (see Table 2.2)
Generally higher values exhibited for all house types
West Bromwich (B71 4) Values are generally high, but inconsistent over 2011-
2013
Mixed values, not consistently high or low
B43 5, B62 8, B67 5 and B71 3
No sales recorded for new development in last three
years
Generally higher values exhibited for all house types
Table 3.2 – High Area Summary Findings
3.22 The table below displays the average sold values for new homes in both high value (West
Bromwich and Great Barr) and low value (all other locations) across Sandwell over 2013.
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Please note there is only one comparable value for semi-detached property sales across the
high value areas, which is likely to be why the average value is lower overall.
House Type Low Value Area High Value Area
Flats £90,800 £112,300
Terraced/Townhouse £149,700 £159,400
Semi-detached £160,700 £150,000
Detached £192,800 £227,300
Table 3.3 - New Homes Average Sold Values (Land Registry, 2013)
3.23 The average new build sold prices of properties of higher value are £227,300 for detached
properties, £150,000 for semi’s and £159,400 for terraced (or townhouses). We would suggest
that the average sold value for semi-detached homes presented in the table is not
representative of the high value areas due to limited comparable data, and that the true
average value is likely to be higher for this property type (sold values over 2011-2012 in high
value areas were approx. £180,000).
3.24 As mentioned above, due to the limited new build comparables we also reviewed the average
sold values for existing (second-hand) properties across high and low value locations, as
displayed in the table below. It must be considered that second-hand homes often place
downward pressure on average values.
House Type Low Value Area High Value Area
Flats £68,800 £69,200
Terraced/Townhouse £104,200 £106,700
Semi-detached £117,100 £127,000
Detached £181,400 £207,600
Table 3.4 - All Homes Average Sold Values (Land Registry, 2013)
3.25 It is notable that there is limited differentiation in values for flats across high and low value
areas, which is likely to be due to a limited market for apartments in Sandwell. Detached homes
in high value areas hold a considerably higher average sold value.
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Value Assumptions
3.26 The following tables set out our assumptions of residential values for our CIL viability model.
These values are based upon all of our market research (in particular information from the Land
Registry and actual units on the market), and are representative of the general tone of values in
the Borough. We refer to these as ‘low value’ areas and ‘high value areas’.
3.27 Table 3.5 below sets out our value assumptions for the ‘high value areas’ within our CIL
models.
1 Bed Flat £100,000
2 Bed Flat £125,000
2 Bed House £160,000
3 Bed House £195,000
4 Bed House £225,000
Table 3.5 – Residential High Value Assumptions
3.28 We have also calculated value assumptions for the ‘low value areas’ within our CIL models, as
presented in Table 3.6 below.
1 Bed Flat £100,000
2 Bed Flat £120,000
2 Bed House £150,000
3 Bed House £160,000
4 Bed House £190,000
Table 3.6 – Residential Low Value Assumptions
3.29 There is limited value differentiation between apartments in high and low value areas due to the
low demand for this property type in Sandwell. All other house types in the high value areas
identified exhibit constantly higher values.
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Land Values
3.30 Land values for residential land are expected to be at the £300,000 per acre value for fully
serviced decontaminated sites. A range of values has been given from agents and developers
(£275,000 - £350,000 per acre for serviced sites). Market Evidence suggests that un-serviced
land achieves a land value of circa £225,000 per acre. As set out in paragraph 2.19 above and
based on the outcome of other CIL examinations, we have discounted the benchmark market
land value by 25% to give us a Threshold Land Value.
3.31 Based on discussion with agents/developers this lower value for un-serviced sites suggests that
a remediation allowance of £75,000 per acre is being adopted by developers. Land values are
thought to be consistent across the Borough with no particularly high or low value areas. Land
may be at the lower end of the scale for less desirable residential locations and at the higher
end of the scale for more aspirational locations. However this is not a rule applicable across the
board as location factors, access, contamination, and physical attributes and site specifics all
influence this value.
Affordable Housing
3.32 Housing associations are private, non-profit making organisations that provide low-cost social
housing for people in need of a home. Although independent, they are regulated by the state
aid commonly receive public funding. Housing associations are major providers of new housing
for rent; while many also run shared ownership schemes to help those who cannot afford to buy
a home outright. Affordable housing is exempt from Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL),
however it has implications for residential developers in terms of viability.
3.33 We consulted with several registered housing associations that provide homes across
Sandwell. All of the registered providers (RPs) we made contact with stated they provide a mix
of housing developed independently, as well as privately delivered homes, and mostly provide
between 10-15 dwellings per annum across the district. Over previous years, RPs delivered
more new build homes independently, however the deliverance of privately developed homes is
becoming more frequent due to issues of development viability in Sandwell. High build costs
and land values are affecting the delivery of housing; land values are particularly affecting
development due to the decontamination costs of the brownfield sites. The transfer values paid
for social rented properties are typically 50% (with a range provided of between 40-50%), and
60% for intermediate housing (with a range provided of 55-65%). It was discussed that high
rents affect the transfer values paid by RPs.
3.34 We have analysed three new housing schemes which are currently being delivered across
Sandwell, all of which provide different levels (percentages) of affordable housing due to
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development viability. However, the affordable housing provided in each scheme is an equal
split of social rent and intermediate housing.
Residential Care Homes
3.35 Care Homes / Residential care homes is living accommodation for older people and involves
employ staff who provide residents with personal care, such as washing and dressing.
Residents normally occupy their own single room but have access to other communal facilities.
We have reviewed the development plan monitor information and noted that no residential care
developments have been developed in the recent past, suggesting either low demand for this
use or viability issues hampering delivery. The high fixed cost of construction, inefficient net-
gross ratios and high management costs in residential care homes means that these facilities
tend to be marginal in terms of viability particular in low value areas and therefore we have not
tested this use. One Registered Provider added commentary that extra-care schemes are
costly, complex, and mostly unviable in Sandwell (Registered Provider Consultation).
Office Space
3.36 This section provides an overview of the Sandwell office market creating an understanding of
office development viability in Sandwell.
3.37 The Roger Tyms CIL Scoping Study (2011) in their initial Black Country wide review
recommended a zero CIL charge on office development stating that both office and industrial
markets are depressed, exhibiting low demand, and high vacancy within and outside the key
settlements of the Black Country.
3.38 The office market in Sandwell is under-developed due to the economic history of the area and
its close proximity to Birmingham city centre, the main office location in the West Midlands. This
proximity to a regional centre effectively makes the whole of the Sandwell Borough a secondary
market for office space. It suffers from low levels of activity in terms of completions, deals and
development. Only one large office development at the former Council Depot, West Bromwich
(Providence Place - first phase let to BT) has taken place in recent years, requiring public
sector subsidy to bring the project forward.
3.39 Discussion with agents/developers and general market research has confirmed that speculative
office developments are highly unlikely to be delivered. Development activity is occupier led
and therefore it is difficult to make distinctions in value terms across the Borough. Deals on new
development will be primarily based on the cost of the new development and returns to land
owners and developers will be low.
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3.40 Given the weak demand and occupier led market, office development in general is not viable.
Even a modest CIL charge would serve to increase development costs, which may have the
unintended consequence of reducing demand further (i.e. occupational rents will need to be
increased to achieve viability).
3.41 The key areas of office supply in Sandwell are West Bromwich, Tipton, Oldbury and to a lesser
extent Wednesbury and Smethwick. These are the localities where the greatest numbers of
deals have taken place (Estates Gazette Property Data, 2014), that exhibit the greatest
availability (Property Link, 2014) and where the greatest number of completions have taken
place (SMBC Development Monitoring Information, 2014). Furthermore these areas fall within
the regeneration corridors and the Strategic Centre of West Bromwich, where future
development is to be concentrated in accordance with the BCCS (2011).
3.42 We reviewed the total office demand across Sandwell in the key locations (as above) between
the period January 2006 – January 2014. A total of 1,796,537 sqft of office floorspace was
transacted across 139 units. The figures below illustrate the deals done.
Figure 3.4 – Office Take-up by Units (EGi, 2014)
02468
101214161820
Un
its
Sandwell - Office Take-up by Number of Units
0 - 1,000 sqft
1,001 - 2,500 sqft
2,501 - 5,000 sqft
5,001 - 10,000 sqft
10,001 - 20,000 sqft
20,001 - 50,000 sqft
50,001 - 100,000 sqft
100,001 sqft +
NB: Tipton saw 27 deals for offices below 1,000 sqft
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Figure 3.5 – Office Take-up by Sqft (EGi, 2014)
3.43 Oldbury saw the greatest number of office deals (53 units); however West Bromwich had the
greatest amount of transacted floorspace (695,855 sqft). Wednesbury had the lowest number of
deals (6 units), however Smethwick had the lowest amount of office floorspace transacted
(29,176 sqft). Offices under 2,500 sqft saw the highest take-up over the period reviewed (68
units).
3.44 We also reviewed the current supply of offices by sqft and number of units in Sandwell. There is
currently an availability of 457,530 sqft of floorspace available across 63 units. Figure 3.6 below
displays the data.
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
Un
its
Sandwell - Office Take-up by Sqft
0 - 1,000 sqft
1,001 - 2,500 sqft
2,501 - 5,000 sqft
5,001 - 10,000 sqft
10,001 - 20,000 sqft
20,001 - 50,000 sqft
50,001 - 100,000 sqft
100,001 sqft +
NB: West Bromwich had 353,592 sqft transacted in the 50,001 sqft category
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Figure 3.6 – Office Supply (EGi, 2014)
3.45 West Bromwich has the highest availability of office in terms of both floorspace (206,092 sqft)
and units (30). Wednesbury has the lowest availability of units (4), closely followed by Tipton
(6). Tipton also has the lowest availability of total office floorspace (12,171 sqft).
3.46 There is a limited supply of offices in terms of available/advertised properties revealing the
small-scale nature of the office market in Sandwell. Office supply is to be predominantly located
within the strategic centre (West Bromwich). There is an aspiration in West Bromwich for the
provision of 220,000 sqm (2.4m sqft) of office space by 2026, guided by the West Bromwich
AAP.
3.47 Within the Borough very few new office developments have taken place. Only 35 implemented
planning applications had been logged in the SMBC development monitoring report between
2006 and 2013. This equates to 5 completions per year across Sandwell. These were
generally at the lower end of the size scale with the majority of applications (22 out of 35) at
400 sqm (4,300 sqft) and below (as discussed by the development typologies assumptions).
3.48 Providence Place in West Bromwich is the largest scale development (13,115 sqm (141,000
sqft)) in the Borough for a number of years. There are however 14 extant permissions for purely
office use. It is likely that limited occupier market demand is affecting the bringing forwards of
these developments. Agent and developer conversations have confirmed that no/very limited
speculative office development is expected in the Borough for the foreseeable future.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Un
its
Sq
ft
Sandwell - Office Supply
Total Sqft
Total Units
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3.49 The Employment Land Review (2008) suggests a small increase in B1a and B1b office space
developments. Less than 100,000 sqm (1,076,000 sqft) is expected to be required across the
Borough between 2011 and 2026 (equivalent to 6,666 sqm (71,700 sqft) per annum). Within the
Strategic Centre, West Bromwich, the BCCS predicts development in the order of 20,450 sqm
(220,000 sqft) by 2026 or 1,363 sqm (14,665 sqft) per annum.
3.50 Demand is thus very modest for office accommodation within Sandwell. Historically market
activity has been focussed in West Bromwich, Tipton and Oldbury (Estates Gazette Property
Data 2007-2013) although only a small number of deals have been recorded in these locations
averaging 6 deals per annum in West Bromwich, 3 deals per annum in Tipton, and
approximately 5 per annum in Oldbury. Smethwick only experiences an average of 3 deals for
offices per annum.
3.51 Across the Borough prime rents for new builds in desirable locations are in the region of £161 -
£182 psm, £15 - £17 psf for larger developments of around 1,500 sqm. For smaller offices the
figure may be slightly higher (based upon professional knowledge) at £193 - £204 psm (£18 -
£19 psf). These figures are at the higher end of the spectrum for the best quality new units in
the most desirable office locations, thus if schemes are unviable at these higher end rents, then
a scheme in a local centre at lower rents is likely to be similarly unviable.
3.52 Market research into available units and deals done in the area has not confirmed whether rent
differentials exist between locations, and there is no consensus on this issue between agents.
Variable rents occur in a two tier market that is either driven by the impetus to rent a property
that has sat empty (thus subject to empty rates) and that of a new build on a cleared site, where
the rent reflects the costs associated with the delivery of the scheme.
3.53 Rental variations do however, occur across the Borough although clear distinctions based on
locations are not evident i.e. variations also occur within settlements rather than between them.
In terms of the rental values range, all of the main areas exhibit some rents below £100 psm
(£9.30 psf), whereas only Smethwick does not achieve rents above this value. Between 2006 -
2014, the highest rents for offices were paid in West Bromwich, Estates Gazette Deals Done,
2014).
3.54 Secondary accommodation frequently incurs rental values of £100 psm (£9.30 psf) and below
(from £54 psm (£5 psf)) whereas prime accommodation sits below and around the £175 psm
(£16.30 psf) mark across the Borough (Deals Done, 2012). This is however subject to variance
and limited comparables, with some agents stating a much lower value for prime office in the
current market, at £12.50 psf.
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3.55 This information is somewhat anecdotal in that very few new developments have come
forwards. Based on new schemes and consultation with agents/developers the figure of £175
psm (£16.25 psf) could be achieved on a well located high quality office development in any
locality across the Borough, particularly as new development may be charging rents aligned
with the cost of the development rather than market demand. Average rents data is not
available in the Employment Land Study (2008), thus data has been collected via achieved
rents (deals done), availability (quoting rents) and agent/developer consultation.
3.56 There is some range in terms of the incentives currently available, and this will also be
determined by the quality of the covenant and length of lease undertaken. Typically anything for
a private sector covenant the range is 18-24 months on a 10 year lease, to 6-12 months on a 5
year lease. These incentives however relate to existing buildings, to secure development a
longer term lease would be required and the incentive adjusted accordingly. Yield data is not
readily available at the Sandwell level. Prime yields as per the Q3 2013 CBRE Rents and
Yields Monitor for the West Midlands region were 7.96% in Q2, and 7.72% in Q3. These yields
reflect the nature of occupiers to be found across Sandwell. In general they tend to be local or
regional organisations occupying smaller premises on shorter leases.
Land Values
3.57 Land values for office use, for fully serviced and ‘ready’ sites, are generally in the region of
£300,000 per acre. A range of values has been given from agents and developers (£250,000 -
£350,000 per acre). Alternative sources of information on land values were considered, but
there is a lack of robust information at the local level. The level of knowledge held by local
agents makes this the most robust source. According to local agents land values are thought to
be consistent across the Borough with no particularly high or low value areas. The developer
and agent consultations identified that land may be at the lower end of the scale for town centre
locations and at the higher end of the scale for motorway (roadside) locations. However this is
not a rule applicable across the board as locational factors, access, contamination, and
physical attributes and site specifics all influence this value.
Industrial Space
3.58 This section provides an overview of the Sandwell industrial market creating an understanding
of industrial development viability in Sandwell.
3.59 High vacancy and low rents characterise the market resulting in limited viability and
development potential.
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3.60 Sandwell has a longstanding industrial legacy with an excess of secondary industrial stock
(Employment Land Review, 2008). There is an aspiration to: keep this stock as local quality
employment land; update it to high quality employment land; or redevelop this stock for
residential use (BCCS, 2011). New development is thus likely to take place on existing sites.
CIL may still apply on the net additional floorspace if net additional space is delivered.
Consultations with agents suggested the market demand for industrial property improved
considerably in 2013, which in turn has driven up rents in some instances and decreased the
supply of B8 units. However, there is still high availability of B2 industrial property under 10,000
sqft (Estates Gazette, 2014).
3.61 The key areas of industrial supply in Sandwell are West Bromwich, Oldbury, Smethwick, Tipton,
and Wednesbury. Although a large swathe of industrial land/property is available across the
Sandwell Borough in various locations, these are the localities where the greatest numbers of
deals have taken place (Estates Gazette Property Data, 2014), that exhibit the greatest
availability (Property Link, 2014) and where the greatest number of completions have occurred
(SMBC Development Monitoring Information, 2014). Furthermore these areas fall within the
regeneration corridors and the Strategic Centre of West Bromwich, where future development
is to be concentrated, as identified within the Core Strategy (BCCS, 2011).
3.62 We analysed the industrial take-up in Sandwell over the key locations mentioned above. A total
of 18,383,903 sqft of industrial floorspace was transacted across 712 B2 and B8 units between
the period of January 2006 – January 2014. The figures below show the take-up by location, as
well as total number of units and sqft transacted.
Figure 3.7 – Industrial Take-up by Number of Units (EGi, 2014)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
To
tal U
nit
s
Sandwell - Industrial Take up by Number of Units
0 - 1,000 sqft
1,001 - 2,500 sqft
2,501 - 5,000 sqft
5,001 - 10,000 sqft
10,001 - 20,000 sqft
20,001 - 50,000 sqft
50,001 - 100,000 sqft
100,001 - 200,000 sqft
200,001 sqft +
NB: Wednesbury had 118 units transacted in the 20,001 - 50,000 sqft category.
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Figure 3.8 – Industrial Take-up by Sqft (EGi, 2014)
3.63 The greatest amount of industrial floorspace was transacted in Tipton (5,201,642 sqft), however
the greatest number of units transacted was in Wednesbury (198 units), and then West
Bromwich (147 units). The size category which saw the greatest number of take-up was the
20,001 – 50,000 sqft category as 179 units were transacted in total, closely followed by the
5,001 – 10,000 sqft category which saw 118 transactions.
3.64 We also reviewed the current supply of industrial property in the Sandwell district across
locations. There is a current supply of 3,591,386 sqft of B2/B8 floorspace available across 199
units. The figures below illustrate this availability.
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
To
tal S
qft
Sandwell - Industrial Take up by Sqft
0 - 1,000 sqft
1,001 - 2,500 sqft
2,501 - 5,000 sqft
5,001 - 10,000 sqft
10,001 - 20,000 sqft
20,001 - 50,000 sqft
50,001 - 100,000 sqft
100,001 - 200,000 sqft
200,001 sqft +
NB: Oldbury had 1,873,485 sqft of floorspace transacted above 200,000 sqft. Tipton had 5,201,642 sqft of floorspace transacted above 200,000 sqft. Wednesbury had 4,701,516 sqft of floorspace transacted above 200,000 sqft.
Sandwell Metropolitan Borough Council
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Figure 3.9 – Industrial Supply by Number of Units (EGi, 2014)
Figure 3.10 – Industrial Supply by Sqft (EGi, 2014)
3.65 The greatest amount of floorspace available in total is in Tipton (1,223,332 sqft), whereas the
greatest number of units available are in West Bromwich (48 units), closely followed by Tipton
(46 units). Wednesbury has the lowest supply of units, with only 17 available. The category with
the greatest availability in Sandwell is the 2,501 – 5,000 sqft units (59 available).
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Un
its
Sandwell - Industrial Supply by Number of Units
0 - 1,000 sqft
1,001 - 2,500 sqft
2,501 - 5,000 sqft
5,001 - 10,000 sqft
10,001 - 20,000 sqft
20,001 - 50,000 sqft
50,001 - 100,000 sqft
100,001 - 200,000 sqft
200,001 sqft +
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Sq
ft
Sandwell - Industrial Supply by Sqft
0 - 1,000 sqft
1,001 - 2,500 sqft
2,501 - 5,000 sqft
5,001 - 10,000 sqft
10,001 - 20,000 sqft
20,001 - 50,000 sqft
50,001 - 100,000 sqft
100,001 - 200,000 sqft
200,001 sqft +
NB: Tipton has 439,162 sqft available in the 100,001 - 200,000 sqft. Wednesbury has 474,996 sqft of take-up in the same category.
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3.66 In the past there was an excess supply of employment land in Sandwell. The BCCS identified
the need to reduce the available (predominantly secondary industrial) employment land from
1,251 hectares in 2009 to 850 hectares in 2026. This was carried forward in the Site Allocations
and Delivery DPD which allocated some of the existing local employment land for residential
use.
3.67 As noted in the earlier Black Country market section there is a high prevalence of contaminated
brownfield land. This is an issue of particular significance in Sandwell where the levels of
contamination and the desire to reduce this contaminated land are greatest. The quantum of
local quality employment land earmarked for change of use to residential development is
almost double that of its Black Country neighbours at 574 hectares. This compares to 229
hectares in Dudley, 212 hectares in Walsall and 234 hectares in Wolverhampton, up to the
2026 period (Black Country Employment Land Study, 2008).
3.68 Much of the employment land is generally of low quality (local) standard. There is an aspiration
to upgrade from 192 ha of high quality land (2009) to 466 ha (2026) (BCCS, 2011). This is to
be focussed in the regeneration corridors and West Bromwich. The industrial market thus
exhibits fairly high levels of activity in comparison with the office market due to this oversupply
of stock.
3.69 Across the Borough there have been 62 implemented industrial developments (2006-2013) split
between; 25 B2 applications, 11 mixed industrial (B2-B8), and 26 B8 use class. B2 and B2-B8
mixed units have tended to be predominantly 400 sqm (4,300 sqft) and below. Above 400 sqm
(4,300 sqft) the unit sizes are spread disparately with the largest B2 development being 3,605
sqm (38,800 sqft). Of the B8 developments the majority have been below 1,000 sqm (14 out of
25) and disparately spread from 1,000 – 10,000 sqm (10,000 – 107,600 sqft). The number of
implemented applications broadly equates to 9 per annum across the Borough.
3.70 The Employment Land Review (2008) sets out that demand for B1c/B2 space is expected to fall
by approximately 350,000 sqm (3.7m sqft) between 2011 and 2026 and for B8 use by
approximately 40,000 sqm (430,000 sqft). There is therefore depressed demand for the
provision of more industrial accommodation in Sandwell. This is greatly affected by the present
oversupply of industrial land, hence the market for secondhand industrial property is in fact
fairly active, with 3,529 industrial leasehold deals recorded (Property Data, EGi 2014). Demand
for industrial units is thus fairly buoyant, but predominantly provided for by the existing supply of
cheaper stock.
3.71 The key areas where demand is focussed are in: West Bromwich (including Hill Top and Great
Bridge), Oldbury, Smethwick, Tipton and Wednesbury. The number of deals recorded in West
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Bromwich equates to 23 per annum, with 17 in Tipton, 19 in Oldbury, 9 in Smethwick, 13 in
Wednesbury, 3 in Rowley Regis, and 5 per annum in Cradley Heath. The agent/developer
consultation have confirmed greater demand is likely to be apparent in locations closest/with
easiest access to the motorway, as is frequently the case for industrial property.
3.72 Across the Borough prime rents are estimated to be in the region of £54 psm - £65 psm (£5-£6
psf) as per deals done data for smaller units, and £43 psm - £54 psm (£4-£5 psf) for larger
units. Agent/developer consultation confirmed that use types (B2/B8) tend to be
interchangeable thus rent differentials are based on property characteristics and size rather
than use type. Again generalisation is fraught with difficulty in that property is not homogenous,
and a large variety of factors influence the value of a unit. Consultation has indicated that there
may be rent differentials between motorway and less prominent locations although there is no
consensus, and any location differentials are not clearly reflected in the data gathered via deals
done/available properties.
3.73 Typical incentives are thought to be between 6 months’ rent free for 5 year lease, or 12-18
months for a 10 year lease. This is however highly changeable as a property with good
motorway access may not receive any incentive. Properties in less prominent locations are less
likely to be rented at all, thus incentives may be greater.
3.74 Yield data is not readily available at the Sandwell level. Prime rents and yields as per the Q3
2013 CBRE Rents and Yields Monitor for the West Midlands region were 7.32 in Q2, and 7.24
in Q3. Yields again are highly variable and are to be adjusted to local rent levels. Consultations
with Agents have confirmed that yields are driven by length of lease and the quality of the
covenant.
Land Values
3.75 Land values for industrial land are generally at the £250,000 per acre value for fully serviced
decontaminated sites. A range of values has been given from agents and developers
(£250,000 - £300,000 per acre). Land values are thought to be consistent across the Borough
with no particularly high or low value areas. Land may be at the lower end of the scale for less
prominent locations (with poor access) and at the higher end of the scale for motorway
(roadside) locations. However this is not a rule applicable across the board as again locational
factors, access, contamination, and physical attributes and site specifics all influence this value.
Retail
3.76 This section provides an overview of the retail market in Sandwell creating an understanding of
retail development viability in Sandwell.
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3.77 In the Roger Tyms CIL Scoping Study (2011) retail is divided by convenience and comparison
retailing and location i.e. in town and out of town (retail parks). In Sandwell for the CIL charging
schedule high level estimates were given for retail floorspace development. For convenience
retailing of all sizes/locations a charge of £150 psm was recommended, comparison retailing in
town and district centres £0 psm, and comparison out of town at £125 psm.
3.78 Falling consumer demand is reducing retail rents and the viability of schemes in town and out of
town. The key retail location in Sandwell is West Bromwich followed to a much lesser extent by
town centres such as Oldbury, or local and district centres such as Smethwick (Policy CEN2
BCCS, 2011). Future retail development is to be concentrated in Strategic Centres, and other
centres within regeneration corridors (i.e. Oldbury). There is an aspiration to provide 65,000
sqm (7m sqft) (2006-2026) of additional comparison retail floorspace in West Bromwich.
3.79 Across the Borough the hierarchy of centres is reflected in the number of deals delivered in
each location. From 2006 – 2013 there have been 42 deals within the town centre of West
Bromwich, 5 deals in Oldbury, 6 in Wednesbury, 6 in Smethwick, 4 in Tipton, and 2 in Rowley
Regis. West Bromwich is the hub of retail activity, although even here the low number of
reported deals is indicative of the limited retail market across Sandwell. Across the Borough
there are very few properties advertised, many of which are secondary, lower quality units
particularly outside of West Bromwich.
3.80 Consumer demand in Sandwell is low, dictated by low average disposable income levels and
wages in the Borough.
3.81 As stated in the Roger Tyms report comparison retailing and convenience retailing perform in
different ways. Most high streets in town comparison retailing have stalled outside of London
due to weak consumer demand, constraints on development finance and poor retail occupier
performance. Many of schemes are therefore not viable. In West Bromwich in 2013, a new
retail scheme opened. This opened in July and delivered circa 18,000 sqm (194,000 sqft) of
comparison floorspace but on the back of a 13,000 sqm (140,000 sqft) Tesco, which drove the
viability of that particular scheme.
3.82 Out of town retail units generally have greater levels of viability than retail schemes in town
centres, although certain out of town schemes are struggling in terms of delivery (CIL Scoping
Study, 2011). This is clearly demonstrated within Sandwell in relation to the stalled Junction
retail park in Oldbury.
3.83 Out of town mall style development with associated parking remains strong, although there are
no schemes coming forward in Sandwell of this nature.
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3.84 Convenience retailing continues to grow as operators seek to expand their market share in and
out of town. Convenience retailing is generally viable across a range of locations (CIL Scoping
Study, 2011).
3.85 Comparison in town: Rents are falling across the region, indicative of falling levels of consumer
demand. This is particularly prevalent in town centre comparison retailing. Shop units on the
high street have achieved rents on an overall basis between £130 - £408 psm (£12.11 - £37.91
psf). The average rent on West Bromwich high street is £239 psm (£22 psf) overall, although
shopping centre rents are much higher than this level at £860 psm (£80 psf). This is
considerably lower outwith West Bromwich where average rents are around £108 psm (£10
psf) in district and local centres. West Bromwich is the only notable comparison retail centre,
thus exhibits higher values than other locations. In particular, locations such as Smethwick
exhibit low rents and have a very small retail offer. Other than West Bromwich other
settlements/centres have no/limited prime retail offer.
3.86 Comparison out of town (Retail Warehouse): No out of town deals with values available have
been recorded post 2006 within Sandwell (property data, 2014) thus information has been
gathered via agent/developer consultation. Around £161 psm (£15 psf) is thought to be an
average value, however this was being achieved in the peak, and a lower value may be
applicable now. However, no present values/comparables are available to confirm the shift in
this value (Agent consultation).
3.87 Convenience: Rents are between £160 and £215 psm (£15 psf - £20 psf), with incentives for
convenience (foodstores) delivered through rent frees, with a 6 to 12 month rent free common.
Agent consultation has confirmed that the recent Tesco development and another development
by Sainsbury’s within Sandwell were freehold transactions rather than leasehold. Some
information is available regarding rents paid by discount retailers; which is thought to sit at
around £108 - £130 psm (£10 - £12 psf).
3.88 Yield data is not readily available at the Sandwell level. Prime rents and yields as per the Q3
2013 CBRE Rents and Yields Monitor for the West Midlands region for all shops were 6.84% in
Q2, and 6.82% in Q3, however yields in the district/local centres are around 8 to 9%. Yields for
convenience retailing (food stores of 450 sqm (4,800 sqft)) are expected to be in the region of
5.75% with larger stores at around 5%. Agent consultation has indicated that yields in West
Bromwich for a prime pitch in the town centre considerably higher than during the pre-crash
peak (7%), with major centres now at 8-12%.
3.89 To prepare our CIL appraisals we have had to incorporate an estimate of the land cost to the
developer. The figures that we have assumed in the CIL financial appraisals has been
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informed by our market research and the completion of residual appraisals which allow us to
derive the potential land payment after taking the value of a development and subtracting all the
costs associated with that scheme.
3.90 Sensitivity analyses for each of the residual appraisals were completed in order to establish a
range of prospective land values for each proposed retail scheme. There is a broad range of
values and this is to be expected, given that each scheme will have different values and costs.
The most attractive schemes will be competed for and thus will generate the highest land
values to be paid.
3.91 In preparing the CIL financial appraisals we have generally adopted the mid-range of land
value. This is justified by the potential variation in the attractiveness and characteristics of
schemes and thus values and costs will vary. Also by taking this approach we are mindful of
not affecting the viability of future developments from occurring.
3.92 The land values that we have adopted range from £100,000 per acre for retail units outside the
strategic centre, £300,000 per acre for units within the Strategic Centre, to £570,000 per acre
for retail warehouses and foodstore land values between £450,000 per acre (280 sqm unit) to
£1.0 m per acre (5,000 sqm unit).
Hotels
3.93 The viability of new hotels is determined entirely by the trading potential of the scheme which is
dependent on the location and the existing stock of bedrooms in the vicinity. Since 2009 it is
apparent that the trading performance in several major cities may have been adversely affected
by the supply of new hotels developed during the previous cycle. Debt remains the greatest
challenge to the market which demands strict criteria of location, sector and brand /
management.
3.94 The budget / roadside hotel sector is dominated by the big chains such as Travelodge and
Premier Inn. There is some flexibility as to whether developments are freehold or leasehold,
but often hotels are developed in partnership with developers as part of a wider mixed use
commercial or retail park scheme. Rents are generally £3,000 – 3,500 per bedroom. Yields
are subject to a significant range (6-9%) with Travelodge recently being subject of a company
voluntary arrangement (CVA) to restructure its debt and its covenant has still to be property
tested.
3.95 More upmarket hotels are even more difficult to prove viable. Most upmarket hotel brands are
represented in Birmingham city centre. Most new hotels are developed using a Management
Contracting business model whereby the developer / investor takes the risk and the hotel chain
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operates the hotel for a fee. Due to the expensive fit-out the viability is often only achieved for
the developer by the hotel bringing footfall and vitality to a wider scheme.
3.96 Other independent boutique hotels have similar challenges and their success or failure usually
depends on the strength of the management and the quality and location of the asset. These
hotels are often opened in refurbished properties which would not necessarily be captured by
CIL (if no new floorspace is developed).
Conclusions
3.97 The results of the property market analysis confirm that market generalisations are fraught with
difficulty due to the heterogeneous nature of property and the large number of variables
affecting the values, rents and yields achieved.
3.98 The marginal viability of schemes may however be considered and accounted for in the viability
testing by assuming the highest rents within the sector. If a scheme is not viable at this higher
value then it will not be viable in any less desirable locations.
3.99 The current property market across the Borough is generally one of low value.
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4 Development Typologies
4.1 In this section of the report we identify the key core strategy policies related to the various uses
proposed across the Borough as well as analysis of development that has been undertaken in
recent years. This analysis coupled with the market analysis undertaken in Section 3 defines
the development typologies that we have tested as part of this viability study.
Residential
Planning Policy
4.2 The Council’s policy framework is set out in the BCCS. The key planning policy relevant to
residential uses is:
HOU2 Housing Density, Type and Accessibility
The density and type of new housing provided on each site will be informed by:
The need for a range of types and sizes of accommodation to meet identified sub
regional and local needs;
The level of accessibility by sustainable transport to residential services, including
any improvements to be secured through development;
The need to achieve high quality design and minimise amenity impacts, taking into
account the characteristics and mix of uses in the area where the proposal is
located.
Each authority will aim to provide an overall mix of house types over the plan period,
tailored to best meet local and sub-regional needs. Developments of 15 dwellings or more
should provide a range of house types and sizes that will meet the accommodation needs
of both existing and future residents, in line with information available from the Strategic
Housing Market assessment and Housing Needs Surveys and with reference to the
standards in Table 8. All developments will aim to achieve a minimum net density of 35
dwellings per hectare, except where higher densities would prejudice historic character
and local distinctiveness as defined in Policy ENV2.
4.3 Table 4.1 below illustrates the number of sites allocated for development within the Core
Strategy based on whether the site is in one of the five regeneration corridors, out of corridor or
the Strategic Centre. These figures are based on the sites allocated with the Sandwell Site
Allocations and Delivery Development Plan Document (August 2011) and the West Bromwich
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Area Action Plan (August 2011). The split in terms of number of units per scheme is based on:
the core strategy; the development monitoring data provided by the Council, and typical
scheme sizes.
*The reason for considering schemes up to 14 units is that over 15 units the Council’s Affordable Housing Policy becomes effective. ** This site (Land at Friar Park Road, Wednesbury) is the single largest site in the Borough with 633 units proposed.
4.4 Table 4.2 below sets out the development densities and type splits (i.e. percentage of flats and
houses) as set out in Table 8 of the BCCS. The percentage splits in terms of unit sizes (i.e. 1
bed or 2 beds) are based on the size of the proposed scheme and market demand for those
units. However, having consider development monitoring data and reviewed the market, it is
clear that there is a very limited apartment (flat) market in Sandwell, and therefore the
percentage of apartments to be provided within Strategic Centre has been reduced and a split
based on actual market trends (review of scheme being delivered/planned) has been adopted
(i.e. 38% 2 bed, 40% 3 bed and 22% 4 bed).
Location
Density
(Units per Hectare)
1 Bed Flat
2 Bed Flat
1 Bed House
2 Bed House
3 Bed House
4+ Bed House
Out of Corridor 35 - - 20% 40% 20% 20%
In Corridor 45-60 10% 10% 30% 40% 10%
Strategic Centre 60+ 25% 25% 25% 25%
Table 4.2 – BCCS Development Densities & Mix
Number
of
Units
Regeneration Corridor (Number of Sites) Out of
Corridor Sites
Strategic Centre
8 9 12 13 16
1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
2-14* 15 9 15 4 3 3 0
15-50 15 22 15 9 6 18 2
51-250 12 12 12 11 2 7 12
251+ 0 3 3 0 0 1** 4
Total Number of Units
1,738
2,637
2,818
1,389
578
1,969
3,365
Table 4.1 – Residential Allocations
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4.5 With regards to Affordable Housing, the Council’s policy in the core strategy is as follows:
HOU3 Delivering Affordable Housing
The Local Authorities will aim to provide a minimum 11,000 new affordable dwellings
between 2006 and 2026, in partnership with developers and the Homes and
Communities Agency. Local Planning Authorities will seek to secure 25% affordable
housing on all sites of 15 dwellings or more where this is financially viable. The
tenure and type of affordable units sought will be determined on a site by site basis,
based on best available information regarding housing need, site surroundings and
viability considerations. On sites where 25% affordable housing is proven not to be
viable, the maximum proportion of affordable housing will be sought which will not
undermine the development’s viability, subject to achieving optimum tenure mix and
securing other planning obligations necessary for the development to gain planning
permission. Financial viability assessments conforming to an agreed methodology will
be required and, where necessary, independently appraised by the local planning
authority at the cost of the applicant. Claw back and other flexible arrangements will be
sought through planning agreements, wherever possible, to allow for changing market
conditions in future years.
4.6 In terms of tenure split for the affordable housing, we have been advised by the Council
Officers and Registered Providers to assume the following:
50% Affordable Rented at 50% discount from market value
50% Intermediate (as defined in the former PPS3) at 40% discount from market value.
4.7 The assumptions on the discount to market values are based on consultations with Registered
Providers of affordable housing. Note that the schemes that we have tested (apart from
schemes less than 14 units) all include 25% affordable housing.
Development Monitoring Information
4.8 With regards to residential development completions during the period 2006 to 2013, an
analysis of the development monitoring data suggests that the majority of development has
been small scale i.e. below 14 units, see Table 4.3 below.
4.9 From development plan monitoring data the largest residential scheme consisted of 71 units.
The majority of development has been focused in Corridors 8, 12, 13, 16 and in the Strategic
Centre.
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Number of Units
Number of schemes
Flats Houses
1 60 192
2 – 14 154 392
15 – 50 60 46
51 – 250 4 2
250+ 0 0
Table 4.3 – Residential Completions 2006-2014
4.10 Although, a number of large scale sites have been allocated within the Core Strategy, the
reality is that the majority of the schemes are of a smaller scale. This may in part be due to
phasing undertaken by the developer of a larger site, for example, there were a number of
entries in the development monitoring data for the same scheme for a site in Cape Hill.
Development Typologies
4.11 Based on the site allocations and the development monitoring data, we have devised the
following development typologies to be tested in the CIL viability model.
Land Use
Density
1-14 Residential Dwellings 35 units per ha
50 Residential Dwellings 60 units per ha
150 Residential Dwellings 35 – 60 units per ha
350 Residential Dwellings 35 – 60 units per ha
Table 4.4 – Residential Development Typologies
4.12 Based on the core strategy the residential development over the plan period is likely to take
place across the Borough with the majority of this focused on the Strategic Centre of West
Bromwich and Corridors 8, 9 and 12. However, at this stage the above typologies have been
tested for both high and low value areas as identified in section 2 above.
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Offices and Industrial
Planning Policy
4.13 The aspiration in the Core Strategy and Site Allocations DPD is to replace redundant industrial
land in none strategic locations (outside strategic centres and regeneration corridors) with
housing. The aim is thus for a reduction in the amount of employment land available, with
emphasis on updating obsolete stock. This aspiration and surplus of employment land makes
the efficiency of the CIL charge low, as most developments are likely take place on existing
brownfield land, (and may therefore provide little net additional floorspace). Furthermore
brownfield sites experience high abnormal costs due to the industrial legacy of the Black
Country further inhibiting impetus for development.
4.14 Industrial space is to be centred within the regeneration corridors, and offices in the Strategic
centre of West Bromwich. Development is to be concentrated in the regeneration corridors.
Corridors 8 and 12 have the greatest potential for high quality strategic employment land
(HQSE) whereas 9, 13 and 16 will have a more residential focus providing land of local
employment standard. The Strategic Centre West Bromwich is to focus on the provision of high
quality office space.
4.15 The corridors are:
Corridor 8: Hill Top - This area is identified as an area of Potential High Quality Strategic
Employment (HQSE area). Within this HQSE 33.5ha of industrial land has been identified
as being development opportunities.
Corridor 9: Dudley Port / Tividale / Brades Village - The Strategy for this corridor is to use
the available obsolete employment land to create attractive urban residential environments.
Corridor 12: Oldbury / West Bromwich / Smethwick - A significant level of various types of
employment land will be retained within this corridor, aiming to uplift it to HQSE.
Corridor 13: Jewellery Line-Rowley Regis - Employment land is local standard but provides
valuable employment. In the west are Portsersfield Industrial Estate, Corngreaves Trading
Estate and Cradley Business Park. In the North employment land stretches from Waterfall
Lane to Doulton Road. In the East on Cakemore Road.
Corridor 16: Coseley, Tipton / Princes End. The corridor is to provide high quality residential
and local standard employment land.
4.16 This distinction between HQSE and local employment land may need to be reflected in the CIL
typologies to test viability. They provide a clear divide between potentially lower and higher
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value areas, in keeping with present SMBC policy. However, in respect of CIL we have not
identified clear differential in market values.
Development Monitoring Information
4.17 Offices: Since 2006 there have been 35 office (B1 use type) completions across Sandwell
Borough, totalling 5 per annum on average. The sizes range from 32 sqm (345 sqft) to 13,115
sqm (141,000 sqft). Discounting the largest development at 13,115 sqm (Providence Place),
the largest development was 4,100 sqm (44,000 sqft). 15 of these offices have been 120 sqm
(1,290 sqft) and below. The range is diverse and not concentrated at any one end of the scale
at any location. Developments over 100 sqm (1,076 sqft) have been concentrated in: West
Bromwich, Tipton, Smethwick, Wednesbury and Oldbury with no completions recorded
elsewhere.
4.18 Some office developments have however come forward as part of a mixed development
(B1/B2, B1/B2/B8, and B1/B8). There have been 66 completions over the 2006-2013 periods
the vast majority of these (58 out of 61) have been B1/B2/B8. Smaller developments (100 – 400
sqm (1,076 – 4,300 sqft), 37 developments in total) have been concentrated at: Rounds Green
Road, Oldbury; Percy Business Park, Oldbury; Tividale, Oldbury; Gold Green, West Bromwich;
Charles Street, Great Bridge. Within the 400-1,000 sqm range, mixed use development (7 in
total) has been concentrated at West Bromwich and Cradley Heath. Sites of 1,000 – 7,575 sqm
(10,760 – 81,500 sqft) (19 sites in total) have been in West Bromwich, Oldbury, Cradley
Business Park, Smethwick, Cradley Heath, Wednesbury and Great Bridge.
4.19 For the mixed use and singular office (B1) only completions the skew is towards the smaller
end of the market. It is appropriate (confirmed by market research and experience) to
differentiate between larger scale office developments and smaller. For the larger offices no
development has taken been place over 4,100 sqm (44,100 sqft), other than the BT
development, which at that size is an anomaly at almost double the average large size. We
have tested 2,000 sqm (21,500 sqft) offices as this is at the larger end of the scale that has
been delivered in the locality. For the smaller offices the most frequently occurring offices are
still at the smaller end of the scale sitting at 100 - 400 sqm (1,076 – 4,300 sqft). To encompass
the breadth of potential completions (including 400 sqm +) we have tested 400 sqm (4,300 sqft)
within our CIL viability model.
4.20 Industrial (B2 – B8) - In all there were 25 B2 developments within a size range of 106 sqm
(1,140 sqft) to 3,605 sqm (38,800 sqft), 12 of which were below 400 sqm (4,300 sqft) and
spread disparately over the larger sizes. Using the same rationale as the offices, 400 sqm
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(4,300 sqft) has been chosen as it represents the point where frequent smaller completions turn
into larger more disparately delivered schemes. It is thus a broadly representative midpoint.
4.21 There are 11 B2-B8 developments, of which 7 are sized between 200 sqm (2,152 sqft) and
then 4,000 sqm (43,055 sqft). There have been 26 B8 development completions the majority of
which have been below 1,000 sqm (10,800 sqft) and disparately spread from 1,000 – 10,000
sqm (10,800 – 108,000 sqft). Similarly these developments have centred in West Bromwich,
Oldbury, Smethwick and Great Bridge. Again using the same rationale as above but skewing
upwards slightly due to the large differential between 1,000 – 10,000 sqm (10,760 – 107,600
sqft), 2,000 sqm (21,500 sqft) is thought to be representative across the completion spectrum.
We have also been informed by Planning Officers, that a number of larger B8 units are
expected to be delivered in the future and therefore we have also tested units of circa 5,000
sqm (53,800 sqft).
Development Typologies
4.22 From this information on completions it is possible to identify key areas in which development
has taken place and where activity has been recorded. Furthermore the Site Allocations DPD
and Core Strategy identify the future spatial aspirations for development, these are noted as
Strategic centres (West Bromwich) or regeneration corridors. This spatial planning policy fits
with where the development has taken place and where deals have been recorded. Utilising
these information sources we can identify the key locations for office and industrial
development.
Office key locations – West Bromwich, Tipton, Smethwick, Wednesbury, Oldbury and Great
Barr
Industrial key locations – West Bromwich, Oldbury, Smethwick, Cradley Heath, Rowley
Regis, Tipton and Great Bridge.
4.23 The development typologies in Table 4.5 below have been based upon the most frequently
occurring sizes gleaned from the development completions monitoring report.
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Land Use
Offices: 400 sqm
Offices: 2,000 sqm
Industrial (B2): 400 sqm
Industrial Warehousing (B8): 2,000 sqm
Industrial Warehousing (B8): 5,000 sqm
Table 4.5 – Office & Industrial Development Typologies
Retail
Planning Policy
4.24 The Core Strategy envisages a “network of vibrant and attractive town, district and local centres
across the Black Country, each offering an appropriate choice of facilities.” Within the Strategic
Centres development up to 345,000 sqm is anticipated. In policy CEN1 West Bromwich is
identified as the key Strategic Centre, which will provide the higher order functions. Other
centres are defined as Town Centres and District & Local Centres to form a hierarchy. Policy
CEN7 controls out of centre development with a presumption in favour of development in
centres.
Strategic Centre Town Centres District/Local Centres
West Bromwich Oldbury
Cape Hill
Blackheath
Cradley Heath
Great Bridge
Wednesbury
Bearwood
Smethwick High Street – District Centre
Carter’s Green
Langley
Smethwick High Street (Lower)
Stones Cross
Hamstead
Rood End
Queens Head – Bristnall
Owen Street
Scott Arms
Tipton
Quinton
Princes End
Old Hill
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Lion Farm
West Cross
Whiteheath
Table 4.6 – Sandwell Hierarchy of Centres
4.25 Policy CN3 identifies up to 45,000 sqm of new floorspace up to 2021 and then a further 20,000
sqm up to 2026. It is noted that any convenience retail development over 500 sqm will be
subject to a retail impact assessment.
4.26 Under policy CEN4 – regeneration of town centres states that the appropriate development
considered to be (up to) 650 sqm convenience and 500 sqm comparison. CEN5 covers smaller
District and Local centres and here appropriate development is considered to comprise up to
500 sqm net for convenience retail and 200 sqm comparison or leisure.
Development Monitoring Information
4.27 The graphs below have been generated from development monitoring data provided by the
Council from 2006 onwards. Figure 4.1 indicates the amount of completions in a year by use.
The predominance of A1 Retail is plain to see and it is the leading use by floorspace every
year.
Figure 4.1– Development Completions by Year and Use (Sqm)
4.28 Figure 4.2 shows the average development size in square meters in each year by the A use
classes.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Sq
m
Gross Development Completions by Year and Use (Sqm)
A1 Retail
A2 Financial
A3 Restaurants and Cafes
A5 Hot Food Takeaway
NB: 21,549.4 sqft of A1 Retail floorspace was developed in
2007/08
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Figure 4.2 – Development Completions by Use and Year (Sqm Average)
4.29 On this basis the emphasis is slightly different with A2 financial being significant early in the
range and A1 remaining the leading category with average applications sizes being in the order
of 500 sqm. The scale of A3 and A5 applications have grown more recently, however they as
with A2 financial all fall below the 500 sqm level.
4.30 Figure 4.3 illustrates the average size for all of the completions over the period 2006 – 2013.
Figure 4.3 – Development Completions Overall Average Size by Use (Sqm)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Avera
ge S
qm
Gross Development Completions by Year and Use (Sqm Average)
A1 Retail
A2 Financial
A3 Restaurants and Cafes
A5 Hot Food Takeaway
610
126
231
208 A1 Retail
A2 Financial
A3 Restaurants andCafes
A5 Hot Food Takeaway
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Development Typology
4.31 With the exception of A1 retail, which has been skewed by the large completion in 2007/8, the
majority of completions are below 500 sqm confirming the Core Strategy position of generally
expecting applications up to 500 sqm. With convenience retailing there are and will continue to
be exceptions and therefore this will need to be reflected in the typologies.
4.32 In selecting the typologies one has to also reflect the nature of the locations where
development may take place. In Sandwell these are generally urbanised Town and District
Centres where the potential of constructing larger units is restrictive due to the need for land
assembly and other similar constraints.
4.33 With regards to defining different types of retail units, we have referred to recent definitions that
have been accepted by the Planning Inspectorate (PINS) in respect of other CIL charging
schedules:
Retail units are those within Use Classes A1-A5 extending to 280 sqm, but excluding
convenience (food) and retail warehouses.
Retail Warehouses are large stores specialising in the sale of household goods (such
as carpets, furniture and electrical goods), DIY items and other range of goods,
catering for mainly car-borne customers.
Superstores/supermarkets are shopping destinations in their own right where weekly
food shopping needs are met and which can also include non-food floorspace as part
of the overall mix of the unit.
4.34 The typologies tested therefore comprise:
Land Use
Retail unit (A1 to A5*) extending to 280 sqm
Retail Unit (A1 to A5*) extending to 280 sqm – Strategic Centre
Retail warehouse of 1,500 sqm
Supermarket of 280 sqm
Supermarket of 1,500 sqm
Supermarket of 5,000 sqm
Table 4.7 – Retail Development Typologies
*Excluding convenience and retail warehouses.
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4.35 This scale of development is the most likely to be proposed for development in Sandwell, due
to the nature and scale of the market.
Hotels
Planning Policy
4.36 The Core Strategy policy CEN3 Growth in Strategic Centres sets out an aspiration to grow the
tourism economy within the Black Country. The development of Hotel and other cultural and
leisure facilities are anticipated to come forwards with the Strategic Centre of West Bromwich.
Policy EMP6 is also relevant and makes clear that “…facilities which support the visitor
economy and the business tourism sector will also be encouraged and promoted…”
Development Monitoring Information
4.37 Examination of the Development Monitoring information shows that there have only been 3
schemes completed. Of these one was an extension, another a small development of 30
rooms combined with a showroom and the third a new standalone development located close
to the M5 off Wolverhampton Road. This latter development extends to 3,707 sqm.
Development Typology
4.38 Taking into consideration current planning policy and discussions we have had with Planning
Officers. We understand that there are a number potential hotel developments in the pipeline
which could come forward during the plan period and therefore we have tested a 100 bed Hotel
at the viability stage. However, it is also important to note that operators examine carefully
market potential in terms of room rates (income) and occupancy factors. It is highly likely that
across Sandwell such development will be marginal in viability terms, especially when sites are
likely to be brownfield and as such will be costly to develop.
Non-Residential Institutions, Assembly & Leisure
Planning Policy
4.39 The Core Strategy policy CEN3 Growth in Strategic Centres sets out an aspiration to grow the
tourism economy within the Black Country. Specifically the development of a cinema is
anticipated to come forwards within the Strategic Centre of West Bromwich (together with
Walsall and Wolverhampton).
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Development Monitoring Information
4.40 The Development Monitoring information shows that Class D1 and D2 developments have
generally been civic developments and not commercial leisure. For instance the Class D1
developments of which there are three comprise a school, birthing centre and place of worship.
Development Typology
4.41 The New Square (Tesco) development in West Bromwich Town Centre opened in 2013 and
includes a 6 screen cinema operated by Reel Cinemas. The likelihood of there being further
demand for another cinema in the Sandwell area is likely to be minimal. Furthermore it is highly
likely that the development of a cinema would need to be cross subsidised by other higher
value use development which would be A1 or A3 development and the fact that you normally
have to pay the operator a premium to come into a scheme. A CIL would therefore not be
appropriate and this would affect the prospect and viability of delivering a cinema. Other D1 and
D2 uses are generally non-commercial and funded by the public or community therefore do not
generate surpluses from which a CIL can be realised.
Summary of Development Typologies
4.42 To summarise the development typologies we have tested as part of our CIL viability analysis
are as follows:
Residential
Land Use
Scheme 1 1-14 Residential Dwellings (High & Low Value Areas)
Scheme 2 50 Residential Dwellings (High & Low Value Areas)
Scheme 3 150 Residential Dwellings (High & Low Value Areas)
Scheme 4 350 Residential Dwellings (High & Low Value Areas)
Table 4.8 – Residential Development Typologies
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Commercial
Land Use
Scheme 5 Office (B1)s: 400 sqm
Scheme 6 Offices (B1): 2,000 sqm
Scheme 7 Industrial (B2): 400 sqm
Scheme 8 Industrial Warehousing (B8): 2,000 sqm
Scheme 9 Industrial Warehousing (B8): 5,000 sqm
Scheme 10 Retail unit (A1 to A5*) extending to 280 sqm
Scheme 11 Retail Unit (A1 to A5*) extending to 280 sqm – Strategic Centre
Scheme 12 Retail warehouse of 1,500 sqm
Scheme 13 Supermarket of 280 sqm
Scheme 14 Supermarket of 1,500 sqm
Scheme 15 Supermarket of 5,000 sqm
Scheme 16 Hotel (C1): 100 Beds
Table 4.9 – Commercial Development Typologies
*Excluding convenience and retail warehouses.
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5 Viability Analysis
5.1 In this section of the report we set out our methodology to establish the viability of the various
development typologies described above. We have appraised each of the development
typologies having regard to open market land values and normal levels of developers profit to
establish whether there is any development surplus which could form CIL.
5.2 This section should be read in conjunction with our excel viability models contained at Appendix
1 and 2.
Development Economics
5.3 The property market and policy review above underpins the development typologies and the
basis of the economic viability analysis.
5.4 The general principle is that the CIL will be levied on the increase in land value resulting from
the grant of planning permission. However, there are fundamental differences between the
land economics for every development scheme is different. Therefore in order to derive the
potential CIL and understand the ‘appropriate balance’ it is important to understand the micro
economic principles which underpin the viability analysis.
5.5 The viability model is a residual appraisal model as recommended in the report by the Local
Housing Delivery Group, Viability Testing Local Plans (the Harman report).10
Figure 5.1 below,
illustrates the principles of a viability appraisal.
10
Local Housing Delivery Group, Local Government Association / Home Builders Federation / NHBC (20 June 2012) Viability
Testing Local Plans, Advice for planning practitioners, Edition 1 (the ‘Harman’ report)
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Figure 5.1 – Elements Required for a Viability Assessment (Harman)11
Gross Development Value
5.6 Figure 5.2 below, illustrates some of the items that might make up the gross development value
of any particular scheme. The valuation approach will depend upon whether the scheme is
residential (e.g. comparable approach) or commercial (e.g. investment approach: rent £ per
annum capitalised at the appropriate yield %).
Figure 5.2 – Gross Development Value
11
Local Housing Delivery Group, Local Government Association / Home Builders Federation / NHBC (20 June 2012) Viability
Testing Local Plans, Advice for planning practitioners, Edition 1 (the ‘Harman’ report) page 25
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5.7 In order to keep the generic models manageable we have valued residential development
typologies by reference to benchmark house values for each unit type e.g. 2 bed, 3 bed, 4 bed
houses and 1 bed, 2 bed apartment types.
5.8 In terms of average unit sizes, we have reviewed the Council’s Supplementary Planning
Residential Design Guidance - Appendix 3 (2004) and also compared these against a number
of schemes currently being promoted by developers across the Borough. The differential
between the design standards and what is being delivered is minimal and therefore we have
adopted the Council’s design standards for the purposes of our viability model.
Type
SMBC Standards
Sqft
Scheme 1
Sqft
Scheme 2
Sqft
Scheme 3
Sqft
Scheme 4
Sqft
1 Bed Flat 538 - 606 - -
2 Bed Flat 700 624 660 652 -
2 Bed House 700 766 694 730 699
3 Bed House 860 915 900 1,109 946
4 Bed House 1,076 1,076 1,163 1,298 1,110
Table 5.1 –Average Unit Sizes
5.9 In terms of commercial property, we have used an investment approach to valuation based on
the estimated rental value (per sq ft) for the use type and capitalised by the appropriate yield
taking into account investment purchasers’ costs. The yield for any particular property will
depend upon the location of the property; the specification; use; and crucially the covenant
strength of the tenant. For this exercise we have had regard to market yield benchmarks and
discussions with property agents.
5.10 It is important to be cognisant of all income streams e.g. temporary income and ground rents,
but only to the extent that this is relevant on generic schemes. The residential scheme we have
tested are generally housing led (as opposed to apartments) so we have excluded ground
rents. We have also ignored other temporary income as this is site specific.
5.11 Figure 5.3 below illustrates the typical direct expenditure (i.e. excluding land and profit) on a
scheme. This includes all aspects of pre-construction; construction; and post construction
(marketing and sales) costs.
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Figure 5.3 – Direct Expenditure
5.12 Construction cost information has been derived from the BCIS (Building Cost Information
Service) and has been weighted to reflect the Sandwell market.
5.13 From the market research and discussions with agents and developers a significant risk to
property development in the Sandwell District is the extent of any decontamination, remediation
and site clearance costs required in order to redevelop brownfield sites (which make up the
majority of the development sites in the District). These site clearance costs can be significant
sum, but are also subject to significant variation. Within the viability models we have included a
benchmark sum of £75,000 per acres for decontamination, remediation and site clearance
costs (including demolition) in the absence of site specific information.
Threshold Land Values
5.14 The land values adopted are based on market land values as far as we have been able to
ascertain from a range of sources including: VOA, reported deals, agents and developer
consultations. These land values reflect the ‘prices paid’ for land and sites in the Sandwell
Borough for various potential uses. The land values assumptions exclude the cost of
decontamination and/or site clearance which is included as a separate cost item in the viability
models (see above).
5.15 A very important aspect when considering CIL is an appreciation of how the property market for
land works in practice. Developers have to secure sites and premises in a competitive
environment and therefore have to equal or exceed the landowners’ aspirations as to value for
the landowner to sell. From the developers’ perspective, this price has to be agreed often
many years before commencement of the development. The developer has to subsume all the
risk of: ground conditions; obtaining planning permission; funding the development; finding
purchasers; increases in constructions costs; and changes to the economy and market demand
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etc. The ‘profit’ on the appraisal is not actual profit until the development is realised. The
appraised profit is a “gamble that all of the above costs and risks can be managed and
delivered on budget”. This is a significant amount of work for the developer to manage; but this
is the role of the developer and to do so the developer is entitled to a ‘normal’ developers’ profit
(see below).
5.16 To mitigate some of these risks developers and landowners often agree to share some of these
risk by entering into arrangements such as ‘subject to planning’ land purchases’ and / or
overage agreements whereby the developer shares any ‘super-profit’ over the normal
benchmark.
5.17 From the landowners’ perspective, they will have a preconceived concept of the value or worth
of their site. This could be fairly straight-forward to value, for example, in the case of greenfield
agricultural land which is subject to per hectare benchmarks. However, in the case of
brownfield sites (which accounts for the majority of land in Sandwell), the ‘existing use’ value
could be a lot more subjective depending upon the previous use of the property; the condition
of the premises; and/or any income from temporary lets, car parking and advertising hoardings
etc. Also, whilst (say) a former manufacturing building could have been state-of-the-art when it
was first purchased by the landowner, in a redevelopment context it might now be the subject of
depreciation and obsolescence which the landowner finds difficult to reconcile. Accordingly,
the existing use value is much more subjective in a brownfield context.
5.18 Furthermore, where there is a possibility of development the landowner will often have regard
to ‘hope value’. Hope value is the element of open market value of a property in excess of the
existing use value, reflecting the prospect of some more valuable future use or development. It
takes account of the uncertain nature or extent of such prospects, including the time which
would elapse before one could expect planning permission to be obtained or any relevant
constraints overcome, so as to enable the more valuable use to be implemented12
. Therefore
in a rising market landowners may often have high aspirations of value beyond that which the
developer can justify in terms of risk and in a falling market the land owner my simply ‘do
nothing’ and not sell in the prospect of a better market returning in the future. The actual
amount paid in any particular transaction is the purchase price and this crystallises the value for
the landowner.
5.19 Hence land ‘value’ and ‘price’ are two very different concepts which need to be understood fully
when formulating planning policy and CIL. The incidence of any tax/CIL to a certain extent
depends on this relationship and the individual circumstances. For example, a farmer with a
long-term greenfield site might have limited ‘value’ aspirations for agricultural land – but huge
12
Estates Gazette Glossary of Property Terms
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‘price’ aspirations for residential development. Whereas an existing factory owner has a much
higher value in terms of ‘sunk’ costs and investment into the existing use and the tipping point
between this and redevelopment is much more marginal.
Threshold Land Value Assumptions
5.20 In order to ensure our viability analysis is robust we have sought to model brownfield scenarios
within our development typologies (see Table 4.8 and 4.9).
5.21 The land values adopted are based on market land values (subject to a discount of 25% as set
out in paragraphs 2.19 and 2.20) as far as we have been able to ascertain from a range of
sources including: actual S106 viability appraisals, reported deals, agents and developer
consultations. These land values reflect the ‘prices paid’ for land and sites in the borough for
various potential uses. The land values assumptions exclude the cost of decontamination
and/or site clearance which is included as a separate cost item in the viability models.
Use £ per acre Use £ per acre
Residential £168,750 Retail Units £100,000
Offices £225,000 Retail Units – Strategic Centre £300,000
Industrial £188,000 Supermarkets < 280 sqm £450,000
Hotel £100,000 Supermarkets 1,500 sqm £700,000
Retail Warehouse £570,000 Supermarket 5,000 sq m £1,000,000
Table 5.2 – Threshold Land Value assumptions
Balance
5.22 In order to determine whether the CIL is affordable (viable) one must compare the appraised
residual land value with the threshold land value.
5.23 Figure 5.1 clearly shows when a scheme is viable and not viable. A scheme is viable if the total
of all the costs of development including land acquisition, planning obligations and profit are
less than the GDV of the scheme. Conversely, if the GDV is less than the total costs of
development (including land, S106s and profit) the scheme will be unviable.
5.24 If the balance is positive then the policy is viable. If the balance is negative then the policy is
not viable and the CIL rates should be reviewed.
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5.25 This approach is summarised in figure 5.4 below.
Gross Development Value (net of affordable housing)
less Policy Requirements (e.g. CSH, CIL)
less Profit, Finance and Overhead
less Development Costs
= Residual Land Value (gross)
less Site Acquisition Costs / Finance on Land
= Residual Land Value (net)
less Threshold Land Value
= if positive, policy is viable,
if negative, policy is not viable
Figure 5.4 – CIL Viability Summary
Viability Modelling
5.26 Using the information from the evidence base we have developed a series of viability models to
appraise the hypothetical development typologies identified above (Tables 4.8 and 4.9). This is
based on a simple residual appraisal model which tests the ‘margin’ for CIL beyond actual land
values and ‘normal’ developers profit. This is to ensure that CIL can be accommodated without
the development scenario becoming unviable.
5.27 Any ‘super’ development surplus beyond ‘normal’ profit and appropriate land values represents
an amount of £ for CIL.
5.28 In order to advise on any development surplus for CIL we have benchmarked land values from
the market research. We have calculated the site area required for each development typology
based upon the development densities typical of each typology as set out in the Core strategy
or as recommended by Sandwell MBC.
5.29 In the event that there is a deficit in the appraisal taking into account market land values and
normal developer’s profit, this shows that there is no capacity to levy CIL for that particular
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typology. Where there is a development surplus after market land values and normal profit, this
is an amount that can potentially be captured as CIL.
5.30 Where this is the case, the CIL rate per square meter could be up to the appraised surplus
divided by the amount of appraised floorspace to give a rate that the typology can afford to pay,
however, the actual rate will need to take into account the maximum infrastructure funding gap
and the appropriate balance test i.e. to have sufficient headroom to accommodate changes in
the market.
5.31 Finally, once the model has been run for the different development typologies we have carried
out a sensitivity analysis on the value (+/- 10%) and construction cost assumptions (+/- 15%) to
understand the potential implications of changes in the market on any surplus for CIL. This is
important as CIL should not be set at the limits of viability given that markets and economic
circumstances change.
Assumptions
5.32 The viability model has been populated with the following value and cost assumptions based
upon our market research.
Residential Values
5.33 Table 5.3 below sets out our baseline residential value assumptions from section 3 above:
Dwelling Type £ Price – For New Build Property
Low Value High Value
1 Bed Flat £100,000 £100,000
1 Bed Flat £125,000 £125,000
2 Bed House £150,000 £160,000
3 Bed House £160,000 £195,000
4 Bed House £190,000 £225,000
Table 5.3 – Residential Value Assumptions
S106/S278 Costs & Affordable Housing
5.34 Given that CIL is to replace (pooled S106) once adopted (or after April 2015 when it will be no
longer possible to use pooled S106s). Existing ‘tariff’ based S106s’ for infrastructure provision
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(e.g. for education provision or green space etc.) will no longer be legitimate particularly if the
infrastructure (e.g. schools) is defined in the Section 123 List. However, other S106s/S278
costs may continue after CIL is adopted, these are likely to include on site infrastructure works
associated with a development scheme. We have allowed for a S106/S278 figure of £1,000
per residential unit and between £25 psm to £75 psm on the commercial depending on the
typology, for example, S106/S278 costs are likely to be higher for a 5,000 sqm supermarket
than a 400 sqm office development.
5.35 Affordable housing is currently exempt from CIL and therefore has to be delivered by S106.
Affordable housing policies have therefore been taken into consideration in the viability
modelling. In accordance with Policy HOU3 we have allowed for affordable housing with our
appraisals based upon:
25% affordable housing, of which:
o 50% is Social Rented at a 50% discount to market values, and
o 50% is Intermediate tenure based on a 40% discount to market values.
Commercial Values
5.36 Table 5.4 below sets out our commercial valuation assumptions from Section 2 above:
Use Rent Yield Incentives
B1 Offices £175 psm (£16.25 psf) 7.75% 18 months rent free
B2 Industrial £60 psm (£5.57 psf) 7.25% 12 months rent free
B8 Warehouse £48 psm (£4.50 psf) 7 – 7.25% 12 months rent free
Retail Units £161 - £204 psm
(£15 – £19 psf)
8% - 8.5% 12-18 months rent free
Retail Warehouse £161 psm (£15 psf) 7% 12 months rent free
Food Store £161 – £215 psm
(£15 – £20 psf)
5..25 – 5.75% 12 months rent free
Hotel £3,500 per bed 7.0% 12 months rent free
Table 5.4 – Commercial Value Assumptions
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Construction Costs
5.37 Table 5.5 below sets out our baseline construction cost assumptions from BCIS (see paragraph
5.12 above):
Use BCIS £ per sqm / £ per sq ft
Houses £852 psm / £79.00 psf
Apartments £982 psm / £91.00 psf
B1 Offices £1,184 psm / £110 psf
B2 Industrial £609 psm / £57 psf
B8 Warehouse £422 / £39 psf
Retail £725 / £68 psf
Retail Warehouse £575 psm / £53 psf
Food Store £1011 - £1,191 psm / £94 – 1111 psf
Hotel £37,000 per bed
Table 5.5 – Construction Cost Assumptions
Generic Cost Assumptions
5.38 Table 5.6 below sets out our baseline other cost assumptions.
Item Assumption
Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) % rates from HMRC website
Acquisition Agent Fees 1%
Acquisition Legal Fees 0.5%
Statutory Planning Fees From Planning Portal online calculator
Demolition and Site Clearance including decontamination and remediation
£75,000 per acre
External Works including utilities 10% allowance
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Contingency 5%
Professional Fees 8-12%
Sale Agents 1%
Sale Legals 0.5%
Letting Agents 15%
Letting Legals 5%
Marketing & Promotion 1-3%
Table 5.6 – Other Appraisal Cost Assumptions
Profit, Finance and Overhead
5.39 These are the indirect costs of development.
5.40 The cost of finance for any particular development depends upon the source of the funding
(e.g. bank finance, corporate finance, shareholder equity etc) and the perceived risk of the
project. We have incorporated finance costs in our appraisals based on Table 5.7:
Finance Fees 2% (of the total project cost) finance fees
Interest on development costs 7% interest calculated on a cashflow basis
Interest on land 7% interest for 1 year
Table 5.7 – Finance Assumptions
5.41 Developers profit and overhead again vary from sector-to-sector, scheme-to-scheme and
developer-to-developer.
5.42 There are different measures of profit for example - % on cost, % on GDV, IRR (Internal Rate of
Return), ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) etc. Similarly, developers will have different
requirements for the treatment of overheads. So for example a PLC house-builder who is
funded by shareholder capital may prefer to analyse schemes on a ROCE or IRR measure net
of overheads whereas a local builder may take a simpler approach of % on value (and account
for their overheads and time out of gross profit).
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5.43 The RICS Guidance on Financial Viability in Planning13
describes the different types of
developer and the requirements for profit in more detail. It notes that commercial developers
tend to seek a return on cost, usually expressed as a percentage of the total development cost
and the residential sector seeks a return on the GDV, commonly referred to as the sales
margin14
.
5.44 For the purposes of our appraisals we have adopted the following assumptions (Table 5.8):
Private for Sale Residential Profit 20% Sales Margin on GDV
Affordable Housing Profit 6% on Transfer Values
Commercial Profit 20% Profit on Cost
Table 5.8 – Profit Assumptions
13
RICS Professional Guidance England (August 2012) Financial viability in planning, 1st edition guidance note GN 94/2012
Appendix E 14
RICS Professional Guidance England (August 2012) Financial viability in planning, 1st edition guidance note GN 94/2012
paragraph E.3.2.8.1
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6 Appraisal Outputs
6.1 We have modelled a range of residential and commercial typologies (please see tables 4.8 and
4.9) and the results of the appraisals and the sensitivities are shown in the tables below. The
baseline scenario is shown in the centre of the matrix (100% values and 100% costs) and in the
top left hand cell. This figure is the amount available from which a CIL Levy will be paid or not,
depending on where the figure is a positive (i.e. surplus) or negative (i.e. a deficit). Normal
developers profit and market land value are included in the model. The figures in the table
represent the surplus/deficit for CIL.
6.2 We have also undertaken a sensitivity analysis to test the implications of increased
development values on the ability to generate a surplus i.e. demonstrating the potential impact
that improvements in market conditions (i.e. values) could have in terms of the amount of
surplus that can be generated from a scheme.
6.3 The sensitivity on gross development values is shown across the columns ranging from 90%
(i.e. a 10% drop in values) to 115% (i.e. a 15% increase in values). This is a manifold approach
to values whereby any combination of changes to rents and yields are reflected in the GDV
sensitivity.
6.4 The sensitivity on costs relates to construction costs rate psf and is shown down the rows. This
is in steps of 5% ranging from 90% (i.e. a 10% drop in costs) to 115% (i.e. a 15% increase in
costs). Again, we need to demonstrate the impact that changes in cost could have on the
surplus available for CIL.
Residential Typologies
6.5 We set out in the tables below the results of our viability model and sensitivity analysis for the
residential development typologies.
Residential Corridors (Low Value Areas)
6.6 We set out in the tables below (Tables 6.1 – 6.4) the results of our viability model and sensitivity
analysis for the residential areas which are not high value.
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Table 6.1 – Scheme 1: 1–14 Residential Dwellings (Low Value) Results
Table 6.2 – Scheme 2: 50 Residential Dwellings (Low Value) Results
Table 6.3 – Scheme 3: 150 Residential Dwelling (Low Value) Results
149,130 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 132,413 323,886 523,681 723,476 923,271
95% (61,333) 140,771 332,149 531,944 731,739
100% (251,187) (52,975) 149,130 340,412 540,207
105% (443,791) (242,733) (44,617) 157,488 348,675
110% (649,270) (435,146) (234,279) (36,258) 165,846
115% (870,694) (639,717) (426,501) (225,825) (27,900)
463,195 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 460,387 999,453 1,538,519 2,077,585 2,616,652
95% (49,496) 461,791 1,000,857 1,539,923 2,078,989
100% (592,358) (48,059) 463,195 1,002,261 1,541,327
105% (1,144,453) (590,904) (46,622) 464,599 1,003,665
110% (1,770,847) (1,142,933) (589,450) (45,185) 466,003
115% (2,407,134) (1,769,186) (1,141,412) (587,996) (43,747)
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Table 6.4 – Scheme 4: 350 Residential Dwelling (Low Value) Results
6.7 All the schemes within the low value areas show a positive return (see Table 6.5 below); this is
primarily due to the fact that the sales values are at a sufficient level to generate a surplus
whilst achieving the Council’s 25% affordable housing requirements and also a developer’s
profit of 20% profit on GDV on the private element and 6% profit on GDV on the affordable
housing.
6.8 Scheme 2, 1-14 Residential Units shows a relatively high surplus compared to the other
scheme (i.e. the 50 unit scheme), this is due to the fact that we have assumed that only houses
will be built and there is no requirement for affordable housing with this number of units.
6.9 With regards to the sensitivity analysis, a decrease in values by 5% or 5% increase in costs
result in all of the schemes becoming marginal. If the values increase by 5% then there is a
significant improvement in the surplus available for CIL. Although, it is also important to note
that with an increase in values, you are also likely to see an increase in build costs as result for
an increased demand for materials/labour; however, even under this scenario (i.e. values up
5% and costs up 5%) the schemes generate a surplus.
1,214,486 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 1,263,572 2,550,669 3,837,766 5,124,863 6,411,960
95% (48,068) 1,239,029 2,526,126 3,813,223 5,100,320
100% (1,334,319) (72,611) 1,214,486 2,501,583 3,788,680
105% (2,715,180) (1,359,443) (97,154) 1,189,943 2,477,040
110% (4,267,417) (2,744,225) (1,384,566) (121,697) 1,165,400
115% (5,819,653) (4,296,461) (2,773,270) (1,409,690) (146,240)
Scheme
Development Typology
Surplus/Deficit
1 1-14 Residential Dwellings £132,013
2 50 Residential Dwellings £149,130
3 150 Residential Dwellings £463,195
4 350 Residential Dwellings £1,214,486
Table 6.5: Residential Development Results – Low Value Area
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Residential – High Value Areas
6.10 We set out in the tables below the results of our viability model and sensitivity analysis for the
residential typologies in the perceived high value areas.
Table 6.6 – Scheme 1: 1–14 Residential Dwellings (High Value) Results
Table 6.7 – Scheme 2: 50 Residential Dwellings (High Value) Results
Table 6.8– Scheme 3: 150 Residential Dwelling (High Value) Results
344,194 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 275,235 368,054 460,873 553,692 646,511
95% 216,895 309,714 402,533 495,352 588,171
100% 162,910 251,375 344,194 437,013 529,832
105% 103,903 197,783 285,854 378,673 471,492
110% 44,897 138,777 227,515 320,334 413,153
115% (9,402) 79,771 173,651 261,995 354,814
752,188 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 670,741 906,264 1,097,023 1,327,100 1,557,177
95% 475,942 711,465 906,727 1,136,804 1,366,881
100% 281,143 516,665 752,188 946,509 1,176,586
105% 86,344 321,866 557,389 792,911 986,291
110% (100,527) 127,067 362,589 598,112 833,635
115% (297,579) (59,333) 167,790 403,313 638,835
1,897,947 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 1,744,438 2,358,076 2,971,714 3,585,352 4,198,990
95% 1,207,555 1,821,192 2,434,830 3,048,468 3,662,106
100% 670,671 1,284,309 1,897,947 2,511,584 3,125,222
105% 133,787 747,425 1,361,063 1,974,701 2,588,338
110% (373,160) 210,541 824,179 1,437,817 2,051,455
115% (914,136) (294,589) 287,295 900,933 1,514,571
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Table 6.9 – Scheme 4: 350 Residential Dwelling (High Value) Results
6.11 In the high value areas, as with the low value areas all of the schemes show a surplus, see
Table 6.10 below. The higher sales value in the high value areas clearly improves the viability
of the schemes and their ability to pay a CIL charge.
6.12 With regards to the sensitivity analysis, even of the values were to fall by 5% or if the costs
increased by 5% then all schemes are still showing a significant surplus.
6.13 It is also important to note that the impact of sales values falling by 5% would result in the
amount of surplus being available for CIL being reduced on average by approximately 30% and
therefore even small changes in values and costs could have a significant impact on the
viability of the schemes and their ability to pay a CIL charge. It is important to note that when
setting the CIL charges, there needs to be sufficient margins to accommodate changes in the
scheme (i.e. values/costs) without making the schemes unviable.
Commercial Typologies
6.14 We set out in the tables below the results of our viability model and sensitivity analysis for the
commercial development typologies:
4,783,858 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 4,474,812 5,919,790 7,364,767 8,809,744 10,254,721
95% 3,184,358 4,629,335 6,074,312 7,519,289 8,964,266
100% 1,893,903 3,338,881 4,783,858 6,228,835 7,673,812
105% 603,449 2,048,426 3,493,403 4,938,380 6,383,358
110% (687,005) 757,972 2,202,949 3,647,926 5,092,903
115% (1,947,502) (532,483) 912,494 2,357,471 3,802,449
Scheme
Development Typology
Surplus/Deficit
1 14 Residential Dwellings £344,194
2 50 Residential Dwellings £752,188
3 150 Residential Dwellings £1,897,947
4 350 Residential Dwellings £4,783,858
Table 6.10: Residential Development Value Results – High Value
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Table 6.11 – Scheme 5 : Offices 400 sq m Results
Table 6.12 – Scheme 6: Offices 2,000 sq m Results
Table 6.13 – Scheme 7 – Industrial 400 sq m Results
(231,819) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (218,045) (186,980) (155,915) (124,850) (93,785)
95% (255,997) (224,932) (193,867) (162,802) (131,737)
100% (293,949) (262,884) (231,819) (200,754) (169,689)
105% (331,902) (300,836) (269,771) (238,706) (207,641)
110% (369,854) (338,789) (307,723) (276,658) (245,593)
115% (407,806) (376,741) (345,676) (314,610) (283,545)
(1,063,529) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (991,848) (836,539) (681,230) (525,921) (370,612)
95% (1,182,998) (1,027,688) (872,379) (717,070) (561,761)
100% (1,374,147) (1,218,838) (1,063,529) (908,219) (752,910)
105% (1,565,296) (1,409,987) (1,254,678) (1,099,369) (944,060)
110% (1,756,446) (1,601,136) (1,445,827) (1,290,518) (1,135,209)
115% (1,947,595) (1,792,286) (1,636,976) (1,481,667) (1,326,358)
(228,776) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (217,553) (203,501) (189,448) (175,395) (161,343)
95% (237,217) (223,165) (209,112) (195,059) (181,007)
100% (256,881) (242,828) (228,776) (214,723) (200,670)
105% (276,545) (262,492) (248,440) (234,387) (220,334)
110% (296,209) (282,156) (268,103) (254,051) (239,998)
115% (315,873) (301,820) (287,767) (273,715) (259,662)
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Table 6.14 – Scheme 8 – Industrial Warehousing 2,000 sq m Results
Table 6.15 – Scheme 9: Industrial Warehousing 5,000 sq m Results
Table 6.16 – Scheme 10: Retail Units 280 sq m (District Centres) Results
(673,819) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (651,092) (594,326) (537,560) (480,795) (424,029)
95% (719,221) (662,455) (605,690) (548,924) (492,158)
100% (787,350) (730,585) (673,819) (617,053) (560,288)
105% (855,479) (798,714) (741,948) (685,182) (628,417)
110% (923,609) (866,843) (810,077) (753,312) (696,546)
115% (991,738) (934,972) (878,207) (821,441) (764,675)
(1,623,648) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (1,566,830) (1,424,916) (1,283,002) (1,141,088) (999,174)
95% (1,737,154) (1,595,239) (1,453,325) (1,311,411) (1,169,497)
100% (1,907,477) (1,765,563) (1,623,648) (1,481,734) (1,339,820)
105% (2,077,800) (1,935,886) (1,793,971) (1,652,057) (1,510,143)
110% (2,248,123) (2,106,209) (1,964,295) (1,822,380) (1,680,466)
115% (2,418,446) (2,276,532) (2,134,618) (1,992,704) (1,850,789)
(39,833) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (42,724) (24,892) (7,060) 9,262 25,401
95% (59,111) (41,278) (23,446) (5,614) 10,571
100% (75,497) (57,665) (39,833) (22,000) (4,259)
105% (91,884) (74,052) (56,219) (38,387) (20,554)
110% (108,270) (90,438) (72,606) (54,773) (36,941)
115% (124,657) (106,825) (88,992) (71,160) (53,328)
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Table 6.17 – Scheme 11: Retail Units 280 sq m (Strategic Centre) Results
Table 6.18 – Scheme 12: Retail Warehouse 1,500 sq m Results
Table 6.19 - Scheme 13: Foodstore 280 sq m Results
46,735 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 34,618 55,506 76,395 97,284 118,172
95% 19,788 40,677 61,565 82,454 103,343
100% 4,958 25,847 46,735 67,624 88,513
105% (9,872) 11,017 31,906 52,794 73,683
110% (25,680) (3,813) 17,076 37,964 58,853
115% (42,067) (18,986) 2,246 23,135 44,023
312,180 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 176,106 305,063 434,019 562,975 691,932
95% 115,187 244,143 373,099 502,056 631,012
100% 54,267 183,223 312,180 441,136 570,092
105% (6,653) 122,303 251,260 380,216 509,172
110% (67,573) 61,384 190,340 319,296 448,253
115% (128,492) 464 129,420 258,377 387,333
9,620 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (10,893) 19,834 50,561 81,289 112,016
95% (31,364) (637) 30,090 60,818 91,545
100% (51,835) (21,108) 9,620 40,347 71,074
105% (72,306) (41,579) (10,851) 19,876 50,603
110% (92,777) (62,050) (31,322) (595) 30,132
115% (113,463) (82,521) (51,793) (21,066) 9,661
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Table 6.20 – Scheme 14: Foodstore 1,500 sq m Results
Table 6.21 – Scheme 15: Foodstore 5,000 sq m Results
Table 6.22 – Scheme 16: Hotel 100 Beds Results
299,490 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 146,846 352,773 558,700 764,627 970,553
95% 17,241 223,168 429,095 635,022 840,949
100% (112,363) 93,564 299,490 505,417 711,344
105% (241,968) (36,041) 169,886 375,813 581,739
110% (371,572) (165,646) 40,281 246,208 452,135
115% (496,315) (295,250) (89,323) 116,603 322,530
1,122,534 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 437,417 1,215,792 1,994,166 2,772,541 3,550,915
95% 1,601 779,975 1,558,350 2,336,724 3,115,099
100% (434,215) 344,159 1,122,534 1,900,908 2,679,283
105% (870,031) (91,657) 686,718 1,465,092 2,243,467
110% (1,305,847) (527,473) 250,902 1,029,276 1,807,651
115% (1,741,663) (963,289) (184,914) 593,460 1,371,835
(1,859,991) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (1,688,609) (1,475,629) (1,262,650) (1,049,670) (836,690)
95% (1,987,280) (1,774,300) (1,561,320) (1,348,341) (1,135,361)
100% (2,285,951) (2,072,971) (1,859,991) (1,647,011) (1,434,032)
105% (2,584,621) (2,371,642) (2,158,662) (1,945,682) (1,732,702)
110% (2,883,292) (2,670,312) (2,457,333) (2,244,353) (2,031,373)
115% (3,181,963) (2,968,983) (2,756,003) (2,543,024) (2,330,044)
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6.15 As set out in the market analysis office, industrial and hotel developments are not viable and
therefore do not generate a surplus even after testing for 10% improvement in values as part of
the sensitivity analysis. Thus suggesting that CIL is not feasible for these uses.
6.16 With regards to retail, we have tested retail units up to 280 sq m in the Strategic Centre of
West Bromwich and within the local/district centres. Clearly, West Bromwich is the main (and
strongest) centre within the Borough and therefore achieves higher rents and keener yields
compared to the local/district centres. This has been reflected in the viability model and hence
why a surplus is generated in the strategic centre, whereas retail units of 280 sqm are unviable
in all other locations.
6.17 As expected, retail warehouses and supermarket developments (apart from supermarkets
below 280 sqm) generate a surplus given the rents that are achieved and the fact that foodstore
operators are seen as good covenant strength and therefore investors are still keen to acquire
these types of development. This is reflected in the strong investment yields which are driving
viability. Clearly, as the market improves these uses will generate greater surpluses.
6.18 The 280 sqm supermarket unit is only marginally viable; this is due to the lower rents and yields
associated with this type of unit i.e. a unit of this size if likely to be occupied by an independent
retailer who will have a weaker covenant, unable to pay high rents compared to major
supermarket operators, and therefore a less secure investment (i.e. weaker yield).
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7 Conclusions & Recommendations
7.1 The principle of CIL is to attempt to ‘capture’ some of the development surplus over and above
normal developers profit and market land values. Developers have a minimum amount of profit
they can accept to stay in business and landowners have a minimum sale price (sometimes
dictated by the price they paid for the site). Hence there is much more scope for the incidence
of any tax to be pushed down to the landowner in the greenfield context - or where land has
been in a single ownership for a considerable period of time.
7.2 CIL will contribute an additional direct cost to the scheme and therefore consideration needs to
be given to the incidence of the tax. For example, if direct costs go up, this will need to be
borne by the landowners or the developer. Where there is a significant difference between the
existing use value and the development value of the site (e.g. greenfield windfall sites) the
incidence of the tax is more likely to be passed back to the landowner. However, where risks
and margins are much tighter (e.g. in a brownfield regeneration context such as Sandwell),
there is less scope to pass the CIL to the landowner but the developer must maintain their
margin due to the significant risks involved particularly in relation to securing funding. The
result is most likely to be a deferment of development until the market improves or some other
public sector intervention take place to ‘unlock’ the scheme.
Economics of Brownfield Land
7.3 The appraisal analysis highlights some qualitative aspects of the general approach to CIL which
is relevant when considering the ‘appropriate balance’.
7.4 Fundamentally, CIL is a form of ‘tax’ on development as a contribution to infrastructure. By
definition, any differential rate of tax/CIL, this will have a distorting effect on the pattern of land
uses. The question as to how this will distort the market will depend upon how the CIL is
applied.
7.5 Also, consideration must be given to the ‘incidence’ of the tax i.e. who ultimately is responsible
for paying it i.e. the developer out of profit, or the landowner out of price (or a bit from each).
7.6 This is particularly relevant in the context of brownfield sites. Any CIL on brownfield
redevelopment sites will impact on the timing and rate of redevelopment. This will have a direct
effect on economic development, jobs and growth.
7.7 In the brownfield context redevelopment takes place at a point in time when buildings are
economically obsolete (as opposed to physically obsolete). Over time the existing use value of
buildings falls as the operating costs increase, depreciation kicks in and the rent falls (by
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comparison with modern equivalent buildings). In contrast the value of the next best alternative
use of the site increases over time due to development pressure in the urban context
(assuming there is general economic growth in the economy). Physical obsolescence occurs
when the decreasing existing use value crosses the rising alternative use value.
7.8 However, this is not the trigger for redevelopment. Redevelopment requires costs to be
incurred on site demolition, clearance, remediation, and new build construction costs. These
costs have to be deducted from the alternative use value ‘curve’. The effect is to extend the
time period to achieve the point where redevelopment is viable.
7.9 This is absolutely fundamental for the viability and redevelopment of brownfield sites. Any
Tariff, Tax or Obligation which increases the costs of redevelopment will depress the net
alternative use value and simply extend the timescale to when the alternative use value
exceeds the existing use value to precipitate redevelopment.
7.10 Contrast this with the situation for development on greenfield land. Greenfield sites are
constrained by the planning designation. Once a site is ‘released’ for development there is
significant step up in development value – which makes the development economics much
more accommodating. There is much more scope to capture development gain, without
postponing the timing of development – albeit we are mindful that there are very few
Greenfield/major urban extension sites in Sandwell.
7.11 This difference between the development ‘gain’ in the context of a greenfield windfall site and
the slow-burn redevelopment of brownfield sites is absolutely fundamental to the success of
any regime to capture development ‘gain’ or ‘value’. It is also key to the ‘incidence’ of the tax
i.e. whether the developer or the land owner carries the burden of the tax.
7.12 It is important to remember that whilst CIL came out of the 2007 Housing Green Paper, it has
its roots in the Barker review following PGS. PGS failed because of the valuation issues across
all forms of development including brownfield, commercial and residential. Similarly previous
attempts to tax betterment in 1947 ‘Development Charge’, 1967 ‘Betterment Levy’ and the 1973
‘Development Gains Tax’ have all ended in repeal.
7.13 This historical context and land economics is fundamental for the success of the CIL in
Sandwell.
7.14 The market is very fragile for all types of development and particularly redevelopment of
brownfield land. Residential development on greenfield windfall sites will remain viable, almost
regardless of the market, because of the substantial uplift in value from agricultural land use.
However, Sandwell does not have this luxury as the majority of the proposed development is
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planned to take place within the existing Regeneration Corridors or Strategic Centre i.e.
primarily brownfield locations. These sites have the potential to deliver substantial numbers of
housing in the urban areas and are sustainable in all respects.
7.15 Sandwell should have a supply of development sites for housing, employment and other uses.
However, given the outputs of the viability assessment we have suggested CIL rates so as not
to stymie redevelopment.
Charging Rates on Use Basis
7.16 The objective is to ensure that the Council’s CIL Charging Schedule is sufficiently robust and
sound in viability terms and that the charges set are not so onerous that it makes development
across the Borough unviable - striking an appropriate balance in order to ensure that schemes
that are viable do not become unviable because of CIL.
7.17 To calculate the maximum CIL rate we have divided the surplus (if any) shown in tables 6.1 –
6.9 and 6.11 – 6.22 by the amount of floorspace proposed under each development typology to
arrive at a rate per sqm.
7.18 In table 7.1 below we set out the maximum CIL that could be payable under each development
typology, however, to allow for changes in the market, build costs or unforeseen circumstances
and to give sufficient ‘headroom’ in the CIL rate we have suggested that the CIL rate should be
30% of the maximum. The reason for such a big discount is demonstrated by the sensitivity
analysis we have undertaken, for example, a 5% reduction in residential values alone results in
the surplus available for CIL being reduced by approximately 30% and hence the needed to
allow for sufficient ‘headroom’ to accommodate changes in costs/values so as not make
schemes unviable and stop development.
7.19 In respect of the residential elements only, the private residential floorspace has been used to
calculate the CIL rate per sqm. Although the residential market has seen improvement in recent
years we have discounted the maximum rate by 70% to reflect the need to ensure that
schemes do not become unviable as a result of CIL. Furthermore the ground
conditions/contamination of majority of the brownfield land across the borough will continue
have an impact on scheme viability. The discount we have suggested allows for a significant
margin which can accommodate potential changes in values in values/costs without impacting
on scheme viability.
7.20 With regards to Scheme 2 (14 residential units or below) in both low and high value areas, this
typology is showing a significant surplus primarily due to the fact that a scheme of this size
benefits from some economies of scale and also the fact that the number of units proposed is
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below the threshold at which the Council’s affordable housing requirements come into effect. In
accordance with the latest CIL Guidance (February 2014) we have therefore considered setting
differential rate based on the scale of development proposed (i.e. number of units being
developed); we discuss this in further detail below.
7.21 On commercial elements, the maximum rate per sqm has also been reduced by 70% to provide
a CIL rate which again allows for a significant margin which can accommodate potential
changes in values/costs without impacting on scheme viability and reflects the difficulties
associated with developing on brownfield land, the majority of which needs remediation.
Scheme
Typology
Maximum
£ psm
CIL Rate
£ psm @ 30%
Residential
1 14 residential Dwellings:
Low value Areas
High Value Areas
£112
£292
£34
£88
2 50 residential Dwellings
Low Value Areas
High Value Areas
£51
£255
£15
£77
3 150 Residential Dwellings
Low Value Areas
High Value Areas
£55
£223
£17
£67
4 350 Residential Dwellings (In/out Corridors)
Low Value Areas
High Value Areas
£61
£241
£18
£72
Commercial
Scheme
Typology
Maximum
£ psm
CIL Rate
£ psm @ 30%
5 Office (B1): 2,000 sq m £0 £0
6 Industrial (B2): 400 sq m £0 £0
7 Industrial Warehousing (B8): 2,000 sq m £0 £0
8 Industrial Warehousing (B8): 5,000 sq m £0 £0
9 Retail Units (A1 to A5*) 280 sq m (Local/District Centres)*
£0 £0
10 Retail Units (A1 to A5*) 280 sq m (Strategic Centre)*
£167 £50
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11 Retail Warehouse: 1,500 sq m £208 £62
12 Supermarket: 280 sqm £34 £10
13 Supermarket: 1,500 sq m £197 £60
14 Supermarket: 5,000 sq m £225 £68
15 Hotel: 100 beds £0 £0
Table 7.1 – Summary of Potential CIL Levy
*Excluding convenience and retail warehouses.
Draft Charging Schedule
7.22 Having run the development appraisal model for hypothetical schemes for all the typologies the
results show that there is a significant challenge to viability across the Borough. Only retail and
residential uses show any development surplus for CIL. With regards to retail, generally these
schemes often take a significant number of years to come to fruition; have complex and
expensive land assembly issues and require substantial developers profit to maintain the
commitment to delivery.
7.23 We have devised a draft charging schedule to reflect the outcomes of the viability analysis and
take into account the need to have an ‘appropriate balance’ that allows for sufficient headroom
in the levy rates so not to impact on the viability (i.e. delivery) of the scheme even if market
conditions (values/costs) change significantly. We have also taken into consideration the need
to keep the CIL Charging Schedule relatively simple and straightforward. Please refer to table
7.2 below.
7.24 Retail: As a result of the market and viability analysis it is clear that nearly all types of retail are
viable cross Sandwell, apart from unit shops (up to 280 sqm) outside the strategic centre of
West Bromwich, which are unviable. Supermarkets of less than 280 sqm are also marginal in
terms of viability and therefore we have recommended a nil rate for these two typologies and a
range of rates for the other retail development typologies.
7.25 Residential: We recommend a rate of £30 psm for any residential schemes between 1-14 units
and £15 psm for all other residential developments (i.e. 15 units plus). The different rates are
supported by the viability analysis which clearly shows that residential schemes between 1-14
units are more viable than the other development typologies and therefore can afford to pay a
higher CIL rate.
7.26 Although, we have tested both high and low value areas, it is important to note that the majority
of the planned development is actually proposed within the low value areas (see paragraphs
3.10 and 4.9); coupled with the fact that the high value areas are actually quite small (as shown
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on the heat maps in Figures 3.2 and 3.3), we have recommended that no differentiation is
made between high and low value areas and a single charging zone is adopted for the whole
borough; thus keeping the Charging Schedule simple and straightforward.
7.27 Offices, Industrial and Hotels: The market values generated by these uses are currently
insufficient to cover the costs associated with these schemes and therefore are unviable, which
means that they are not able to pay a CIL.
7.28 Other Uses: With regards to leisure and education uses, as we explained in the development
typologies sections, these uses are rarely viable and therefore are unable to pay a CIL rate.
Development Typology CIL Rate £ psm
Supermarkets/Superstores >280 sqm and Retail Warehouses
£60
Retail Units (A1 to A5*) (Strategic Centre Only)
£50
Residential: 1- 14 Units
£30
Residential: 15 units plus
£15
Offices
Industrial
Industrial Warehousing
Retail Units (A1 to A5*) Outside Strategic Centre
Supermarkets/superstores < 280 sqm
Hotel
Leisure
Education
Residential Care Homes
£Nil
Table 7.2. - Sandwell MBC Draft CIL Charging Schedule
*Excluding convenience and retail warehouses.
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Next Steps
7.29 Before proceeding with a CIL Charging Schedule the Council needs to consider whether
sufficient CIL will be collected to generate a surplus over and above the cost of implementing
and monitoring the CIL Charging schedule. The Council needs to take a view as the level of
floorspace that is realistically likely to come forward over the Core Strategy period and multiply
these figures by the CIL rates in Table 7.2 above to see whether there is sufficient surplus to
cover the administration costs on an annual basis and make pursing a CIL worthwhile at this
stage.
7.30 CIL regulations require that local authorities spend the CIL’s revenue on the infrastructure
needed to support the development of their area and therefore it is important that the Council
clearly identifies the required infrastructure and the associated funding gap. The Council cannot
collect more CIL revenue than is required to fund the infrastructure and therefore the potential
revenue that could be generated needs to be tested against the infrastructure funding gap, and
in the unlikely event, that excess revenue is generated then the rates will need to be amended
accordingly. It is also important to note that in addition to the CIL, it is still possible to secure
S106 monies from schemes, if the proposed S106 items relate to the scheme and not to a
wider infrastructure requirement (on the S123 List).
7.31 As we have set above Sandwell is substantially a brownfield area with minimal greenfield
development opportunities, and therefore the ability for schemes to subsume these additional
costs may be difficult. The Council needs to carefully consider the implications of CIL on the
development pipeline and the impact on jobs and growth in the Borough.
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Appendix 1 – Residential Development Appraisals
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Appendix 2 – Commercial Development Appraisals
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
Residential control panel
Net sales (NIA)
Floor areas - (sqm)
2 bed houses 65.0
3 bed houses 80.0
4 bed houses 100.0
5 bed houses 0.0
2 bed bungalows 0.0
1 bed apartment 50.0
2 bed apartment 65.0
Open Market values (£) - Low Value (£ psm) High Value(£ psm)
2 bed houses 2,308 2,462
3 bed houses 2,000 2,438
4 bed houses 1,900 2,250
5 bed houses 0 0
2 bed bungalows 0 0
1 bed apartment 2,000 2,000
2 bed apartment 1,846 1,923
Affordable Housing Low Value -
RP Transfer Values (£):
2 bed houses 75,010 80,015 90,012 96,018
3 bed houses 80,000 97,500 96,000 117,000
4 bed houses 95,000 112,500 114,000 135,000
5 bed houses 0 0 0 0
2 bed bungalows 0 0 0 0
1 bed apartment 50,000 50,000 60,000 60,000
2 bed apartment 59,995 62,498 71,994 74,997
CIL psm
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 75,000 per acre
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 852.00 psm
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.00 psm
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 982.00 psm
Extra over for CSH 0.00 psm
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 20.00%
On affordable housing pre-sale 6.00%
Social Rented 50% of MV
Low Value High Value
Intermediate 60% of MV
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14 Residential Dwellings
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 3 21% 195.0
3 bed houses 6 43% 480.0
4 bed houses 5 36% 500.0
1 bed apartment 0 0% 0.0
2 bed apartment 0 0% 0.0
14 100% 1,175.0
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,308 150,020
3 bed houses 2,000 160,000
4 bed houses 1,900 190,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,846 119,990
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 0%
Policy Tenure split 50% Social Rented 50% Affd Rent/Int. 100%
RP Transfer Values (£): 80% % of MV
2 bed houses 75,010 Social Rented 90,012 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 80,000 Social Rented 96,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 95,000 Social Rented 114,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 59,995 Social Rented 71,994 Affd Rent/Int.
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14 Residential Dwellings
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 3 @ 150,020 450,060
3 bed houses 6 @ 160,000 960,000
4 bed houses 5 @ 190,000 950,000
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 100,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 119,990 -
14 (rounded) 2,360,060
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 0 @ 75,010 -
3 bed houses 0 @ 80,000 -
4 bed houses 0 @ 95,000 -
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 50,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 59,995 -
0 (rounded) -
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 0 @ 90,012 -
3 bed houses 0 @ 96,000 -
4 bed houses 0 @ 114,000 -
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 60,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 71,994 -
0 (rounded) -
14.00 (total)
GDV 2,360,060
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14 Residential Dwellings
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (20,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (5,390)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (14,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.99 acres @ 75,000 per acre (74,130)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 1,175.0 sqm @ 852 psm (1,001,100)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 982 psm -
Extra over for CSH 1,175.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 1,001,100 @ 10% (100,110)
Contingency 1,175,340 @ 5% (58,767)
Professional Fees 1,234,107 @ 8% (98,729)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 2,360,060 GDV @ 1.00% (23,601)
Sale Legal Costs 2,360,060 GDV @ 0.50% (11,800)
Marketing and Promotion 2,360,060 GDV @ 3.00% (70,802)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 1,478,428 @ 2.00% (29,569)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (42,417)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 2,360,060 @ 20.00% (472,012)
On affordable housing pre-sale 0 @ 6.00% -
(blended) 20.00%
TOTAL COSTS (2,022,426)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 337,634
SDLT 337,634 @ (10,129)
Acquisition Agent fees 337,634 @ 1.0% (3,376)
Acquisition Legal fees 337,634 @ 0.5% (1,688)
Interest on Land 337,634 @ 7.0% (23,634)
Residual Land Value (net) 21,343 per plot (check) 298,806
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 35 units per hectare
Site Area 0.40 ha 0.99 acres
Threshold Land Value 168,750 £ per acre 416,981 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 11,914 per plot (check) 166,793
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 132,013
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
14 Residential Dwellings
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 132,013 0 5 10 15 20
5% 108,475 103,084 97,693 92,302 86,911
10% 84,936 79,829 74,722 69,615 64,508
Affordable Housing % 15% 61,398 56,574 56,690 51,757 46,825
20% 42,484 37,842 33,199 28,557 23,915
25% 18,413 14,061 9,709 5,357 1,005
30% (5,657) (9,719) (13,781) (17,843) (21,905)
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 132,013 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 90,250 169,806 249,362 323,317 401,974
95% 36,058 111,131 190,688 270,244 343,963
Construction costs 100% (23,942) 57,412 132,013 211,570 285,952
105% (83,027) (2,588) 73,339 152,895 232,452
110% (143,690) (61,437) 18,765 94,221 173,777
115% (207,843) (122,101) (41,235) 40,119 115,103
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 2,360,060
AH discount from GDV 0
AH contribution £/dwelling 0 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 0.00 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 19 38% 1,235.0
3 bed houses 20 40% 1,600.0
4 bed houses 11 22% 1,100.0
1 bed apartment 0% 0.0
2 bed apartment 0% 0.0
50 100% 3,935.0
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,308 150,020
3 bed houses 2,000 160,000
4 bed houses 1,900 190,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,846 119,990
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 25%
Policy Tenure split 50% Social Rented 50% Affd Rent/Int. 100%
2 bed houses 75,010 Social Rented 90,012 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 80,000 Social Rented 96,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 95,000 Social Rented 114,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 59,995 Social Rented 71,994 Affd Rent/Int.
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 14 @ 150,020 2,137,785
3 bed houses 15 @ 160,000 2,400,000
4 bed houses 8 @ 190,000 1,567,500
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 100,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 119,990 -
38 (rounded) 6,105,285
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 2 @ 75,010 178,149
3 bed houses 3 @ 80,000 200,000
4 bed houses 1 @ 95,000 130,625
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 50,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 59,995 -
6 (rounded) 508,774
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 2 @ 90,012 213,779
3 bed houses 3 @ 96,000 240,000
4 bed houses 1 @ 114,000 156,750
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 60,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 71,994 -
6 (rounded) 610,529
50.00 (total)
GDV 7,224,587
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (19,250)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (50,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 3.53 acres @ 75,000 per acre (264,750)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 3,935.0 sqm @ 852 psm (3,352,620)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 982 psm -
Extra over for CSH 3,935.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 3,352,620 @ 10% (335,262)
Contingency 3,952,632 @ 5% (197,632)
Professional Fees 4,150,264 @ 8% (332,021)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 6,105,285 GDV @ 1.50% (91,579)
Sale Legal Costs 7,224,587 GDV @ 0.50% (36,123)
Marketing and Promotion 6,105,285 GDV @ 3.00% (183,159)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 4,887,395 @ 2.00% (97,748)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (100,009)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 6,105,285 @ 20.00% (1,221,057)
On affordable housing pre-sale 1,119,302 @ 6.00% (67,158)
(blended) 17.83%
TOTAL COSTS (6,373,368)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 851,219
SDLT 851,219 @ (34,049)
Acquisition Agent fees 851,219 @ 1.0% (8,512)
Acquisition Legal fees 851,219 @ 0.5% (4,256)
Interest on Land 851,219 @ 7.0% (59,585)
Residual Land Value (net) 14,896 per plot (check) 744,817
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 35 units per hectare
Site Area 1.43 ha 3.53 acres
Threshold Land Value 168,750 £ per acre 416,981 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 11,914 per plot (check) 595,688
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 149,130
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 149,130 0 5 10 15 20
5% 453,030 435,384 417,738 400,093 382,447
10% 374,927 358,210 341,493 324,776 308,059
Affordable Housing % 15% 296,823 281,035 275,200 259,229 243,258
20% 228,136 213,104 198,073 183,042 168,010
25% 149,130 135,038 120,946 106,854 92,762
30% 70,124 56,971 43,819 30,666 17,514
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 149,130 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 132,413 323,886 523,681 723,476 923,271
95% (61,333) 140,771 332,149 531,944 731,739
Construction costs 100% (251,187) (52,975) 149,130 340,412 540,207
105% (443,791) (242,733) (44,617) 157,488 348,675
110% (649,270) (435,146) (234,279) (36,258) 165,846
115% (870,694) (639,717) (426,501) (225,825) (27,900)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 8,140,380
AH discount from GDV 915,793
AH contribution £/dwelling 18,316 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 232.73 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 45 30% 2,925.0
3 bed houses 60 40% 4,800.0
4 bed houses 15 10% 1,500.0
1 bed apartment 15 10% 914.6
2 bed apartment 15 10% 1,189.0
150 100% 11,328.7
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,308 150,020
3 bed houses 2,000 160,000
4 bed houses 1,900 190,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,846 119,990
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 25%
Policy Tenure split 50% Social Rented 50% Affd Rent/Int. 100%
2 bed houses 75,010 Social Rented 90,012 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 80,000 Social Rented 96,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 95,000 Social Rented 114,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 59,995 Social Rented 71,994 Affd Rent/Int.
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 34 @ 150,020 5,063,175
3 bed houses 45 @ 160,000 7,200,000
4 bed houses 11 @ 190,000 2,137,500
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 11 @ 100,000 1,125,000
2 bed apartment 11 @ 119,990 1,349,888
113 (rounded) 16,875,563
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 6 @ 75,010 421,931
3 bed houses 8 @ 80,000 600,000
4 bed houses 2 @ 95,000 178,125
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 2 @ 50,000 93,750
2 bed apartment 2 @ 59,995 112,491
19 (rounded) 1,406,297
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 6 @ 90,012 506,318
3 bed houses 8 @ 96,000 720,000
4 bed houses 2 @ 114,000 213,750
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 2 @ 60,000 112,500
2 bed apartment 2 @ 71,994 134,989
19 (rounded) 1,687,556
150.00 (total)
GDV 19,969,416
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (50,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (30,549)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (150,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 7.41 acres @ 75,000 per acre (555,975)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 9,225.0 sqm @ 852 psm (7,859,700)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 2,103.7 sqm @ 982 psm (2,065,793)
Extra over for CSH 11,328.7 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 9,925,493 @ 10% (992,549)
Contingency 11,474,017 @ 5% (573,701)
Professional Fees 12,047,718 @ 8% (963,817)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 16,875,563 GDV @ 1.00% (168,756)
Sale Legal Costs 19,969,416 GDV @ 0.50% (99,847)
Marketing and Promotion 16,875,563 GDV @ 3.00% (506,267)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 14,016,954 @ 2.00% (280,339)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (82,813)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 16,875,563 @ 20.00% (3,375,113)
On affordable housing pre-sale 3,093,853 @ 6.00% (185,631)
(blended) 17.83%
TOTAL COSTS (17,940,849)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 2,028,566
SDLT 2,028,566 @ (142,000)
Acquisition Agent fees 2,028,566 @ 1.0% (20,286)
Acquisition Legal fees 2,028,566 @ 0.5% (10,143)
Interest on Land 2,028,566 @ 7.0% (142,000)
Residual Land Value (net) 11,428 per plot (check) 1,714,138
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 50 units per hectare
Site Area 3.00 ha 7.41 acres
Threshold Land Value 168,750 £ per acre 416,981 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 8,340 per plot (check) 1,250,944
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 463,195
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 463,195 0 5 10 15 20
5% 1,368,742 1,319,948 1,271,154 1,222,360 1,173,566
10% 1,142,355 1,096,130 1,049,904 1,003,678 957,452
Affordable Housing % 15% 915,969 872,311 828,653 784,995 741,337
20% 689,582 648,492 607,402 566,312 525,223
25% 463,195 464,333 424,899 385,466 346,033
30% 272,021 235,216 198,412 161,607 124,803
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 463,195 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 460,387 999,453 1,538,519 2,077,585 2,616,652
95% (49,496) 461,791 1,000,857 1,539,923 2,078,989
Construction costs 100% (592,358) (48,059) 463,195 1,002,261 1,541,327
105% (1,144,453) (590,904) (46,622) 464,599 1,003,665
110% (1,770,847) (1,142,933) (589,450) (45,185) 466,003
115% (2,407,134) (1,769,186) (1,141,412) (587,996) (43,747)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 22,500,750
AH discount from GDV 2,531,334
AH contribution £/dwelling 16,876 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 223.45 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwellings
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 104 30% 6,760.0
3 bed houses 140 40% 11,200.0
4 bed houses 36 10% 3,600.0
1 bed apartment 35 10% 2,134.1
2 bed apartment 35 10% 2,774.4
350 100% 26,468.5
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,308 150,020
3 bed houses 2,000 160,000
4 bed houses 1,900 190,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,846 119,990
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 25%
Policy Tenure split 50% Social Rented 50% Affd Rent/Int. 100%
2 bed houses 75,010 Social Rented 90,012 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 80,000 Social Rented 96,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 95,000 Social Rented 114,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 59,995 Social Rented 71,994 Affd Rent/Int.
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwellings
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 78 @ 150,020 11,701,560
3 bed houses 105 @ 160,000 16,800,000
4 bed houses 27 @ 190,000 5,130,000
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 26 @ 100,000 2,625,000
2 bed apartment 26 @ 119,990 3,149,738
263 (rounded) 39,406,298
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 13 @ 75,010 975,130
3 bed houses 18 @ 80,000 1,400,000
4 bed houses 5 @ 95,000 427,500
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 4 @ 50,000 218,750
2 bed apartment 4 @ 59,995 262,478
44 (rounded) 3,283,858
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 13 @ 90,012 1,170,156
3 bed houses 18 @ 96,000 1,680,000
4 bed houses 5 @ 114,000 513,000
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 4 @ 60,000 262,500
2 bed apartment 4 @ 71,994 314,974
44 (rounded) 3,940,630
350.00 (total)
GDV 46,630,785
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwellings
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (100,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (53,549)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (350,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 14.41 acres @ 75,000 per acre (1,081,063)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 21,560.0 sqm @ 852 psm (18,369,120)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 4,908.5 sqm @ 982 psm (4,820,183)
Extra over for CSH 26,468.5 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 23,189,303 @ 10% (2,318,930)
Contingency 26,589,296 @ 5% (1,329,465)
Professional Fees 27,918,761 @ 10% (2,791,876)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 39,406,298 GDV @ 1.00% (394,063)
Sale Legal Costs 46,630,785 GDV @ 0.50% (233,154)
Marketing and Promotion 39,406,298 GDV @ 3.00% (1,182,189)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 33,023,591 @ 2.00% (660,472)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (316,163)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 39,406,298 @ 20.00% (7,881,260)
On affordable housing pre-sale 7,224,488 @ 6.00% (433,469)
(blended) 17.83%
TOTAL COSTS (42,314,955)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 4,315,830
SDLT 4,315,830 @ (302,108)
Acquisition Agent fees 4,315,830 @ 1.0% (43,158)
Acquisition Legal fees 4,315,830 @ 0.5% (21,579)
Interest on Land 4,315,830 @ 7.0% (302,108)
Residual Land Value (net) 10,420 per plot (check) 3,646,877
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 60 units per hectare
Site Area 5.83 ha 14.41 acres
Threshold Land Value 168,750 £ per acre 416,981 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 6,950 per plot (check) 2,432,391
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,214,486
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwellings
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,214,486 0 5 10 15 20
5% 3,366,432 3,238,820 3,111,208 2,983,596 2,855,984
10% 2,828,445 2,707,550 2,586,654 2,465,759 2,344,863
Affordable Housing % 15% 2,290,459 2,176,280 2,062,101 1,947,922 1,833,743
20% 1,752,473 1,645,010 1,537,547 1,430,085 1,322,622
25% 1,214,486 1,113,740 1,012,994 912,247 811,501
30% 676,500 582,470 488,440 394,410 300,380
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,214,486 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 1,263,572 2,550,669 3,837,766 5,124,863 6,411,960
95% (48,068) 1,239,029 2,526,126 3,813,223 5,100,320
Construction costs 100% (1,334,319) (72,611) 1,214,486 2,501,583 3,788,680
105% (2,715,180) (1,359,443) (97,154) 1,189,943 2,477,040
110% (4,267,417) (2,744,225) (1,384,566) (121,697) 1,165,400
115% (5,819,653) (4,296,461) (2,773,270) (1,409,690) (146,240)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 52,541,730
AH discount from GDV 5,910,945
AH contribution £/dwelling 16,888 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 223.32 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
14 Residential Dwellings (High)
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 3 21% 195.0
3 bed houses 6 43% 480.0
4 bed houses 5 36% 500.0
1 bed apartment 0 0% 0.0
2 bed apartment 0 0% 0.0
14 100% 1,175.0
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,462 160,030
3 bed houses 2,438 195,000
4 bed houses 2,250 225,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,923 124,995
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 0%
Policy Tenure split 50% Social Rented 50% Affd Rent/Int. 100%
RP Transfer Values (£): 80% % of MV
2 bed houses 80,015 Social Rented 96,018 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 97,500 Social Rented 117,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 112,500 Social Rented 135,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 62,498 Social Rented 74,997 Affd Rent/Int.
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
14 Residential Dwellings (High)
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 3 @ 160,030 480,090
3 bed houses 6 @ 195,000 1,170,000
4 bed houses 5 @ 225,000 1,125,000
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 100,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 124,995 -
14 (rounded) 2,775,090
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 0 @ 80,015 -
3 bed houses 0 @ 97,500 -
4 bed houses 0 @ 112,500 -
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 50,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 62,498 -
0 (rounded) -
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 0 @ 96,018 -
3 bed houses 0 @ 117,000 -
4 bed houses 0 @ 135,000 -
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 60,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 74,997 -
0 (rounded) -
14.00 (total)
GDV 2,775,090
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
14 Residential Dwellings (High)
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (5,390)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (14,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.99 acres @ 75,000 per acre (74,130)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 1,175.0 sqm @ 852 psm (1,001,100)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 982 psm -
Extra over for CSH 1,175.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 1,001,100 @ 10% (100,110)
Contingency 1,175,340 @ 5% (58,767)
Professional Fees 1,234,107 @ 8% (98,729)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 2,775,090 GDV @ 1.00% (27,751)
Sale Legal Costs 2,775,090 GDV @ 0.50% (13,875)
Marketing and Promotion 2,775,090 GDV @ 3.00% (83,253)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 1,502,105 @ 2.00% (30,042)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (40,401)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 2,775,090 @ 20.00% (555,018)
On affordable housing pre-sale 0 @ 6.00% -
(blended) 20.00%
TOTAL COSTS (2,127,566)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 647,524
SDLT 647,524 @ (25,901)
Acquisition Agent fees 647,524 @ 1.0% (6,475)
Acquisition Legal fees 647,524 @ 0.5% (3,238)
Interest on Land 647,524 @ 7.0% (45,327)
Residual Land Value (net) 40,470 per plot (check) 566,584
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 35 units per hectare
Site Area 0.40 ha 0.99 acres
Threshold Land Value 225,000 £ per acre 555,975 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 15,885 per plot (check) 222,390
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 344,194
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
14 Residential Dwellings (High)
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 344,194 20 40 60 80 100
5% 295,451 274,010 252,570 231,130 214,627
10% 269,276 248,964 228,653 213,263 192,719
Affordable Housing % 15% 243,102 223,919 209,616 190,214 170,811
20% 216,928 203,687 185,426 167,164 148,903
25% 195,475 178,355 161,235 144,115 126,995
30% 169,001 153,023 137,044 121,065 105,087
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 344,194 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 275,235 368,054 460,873 553,692 646,511
95% 216,895 309,714 402,533 495,352 588,171
Construction costs 100% 162,910 251,375 344,194 437,013 529,832
105% 103,903 197,783 285,854 378,673 471,492
110% 44,897 138,777 227,515 320,334 413,153
115% (9,402) 79,771 173,651 261,995 354,814
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 2,775,090
AH discount from GDV 0
AH contribution £/dwelling 0 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 0.00 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings (High)
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 19 38% 1,235.0
3 bed houses 20 40% 1,600.0
4 bed houses 11 22% 1,100.0
1 bed apartment 0% 0.0
2 bed apartment 0% 0.0
50 100% 3,935.0
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,462 160,030
3 bed houses 2,438 195,000
4 bed houses 2,250 225,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,923 124,995
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 25%
2 bed houses 80,015 Social Rented 96,018 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 97,500 Social Rented 117,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 112,500 Social Rented 135,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 62,498 Social Rented 74,997 Affd Rent/Int.
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings (High)
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 14 @ 160,030 2,280,428
3 bed houses 15 @ 195,000 2,925,000
4 bed houses 8 @ 225,000 1,856,250
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 100,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 124,995 -
38 (rounded) 7,061,678
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 2 @ 80,015 190,036
3 bed houses 3 @ 97,500 243,750
4 bed houses 1 @ 112,500 154,688
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 50,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 62,498 -
6 (rounded) 588,473
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 2 @ 96,018 228,043
3 bed houses 3 @ 117,000 292,500
4 bed houses 1 @ 135,000 185,625
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 0 @ 60,000 -
2 bed apartment 0 @ 74,997 -
6 (rounded) 706,168
50.00 (total)
GDV 8,356,318
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings (High)
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (19,250)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (50,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 3.53 acres @ 75,000 per acre (264,750)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 3,935.0 sqm @ 852 psm (3,352,620)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 982 psm -
Extra over for CSH 3,935.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 3,352,620 @ 10% (335,262)
Contingency 3,952,632 @ 5% (197,632)
Professional Fees 4,150,264 @ 8% (332,021)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 7,061,678 GDV @ 1.00% (70,617)
Sale Legal Costs 8,356,318 GDV @ 0.50% (41,782)
Marketing and Promotion 7,061,678 GDV @ 3.00% (211,850)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 4,900,783 @ 2.00% (98,016)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (79,716)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 7,061,678 @ 20.00% (1,412,336)
On affordable housing pre-sale 1,294,641 @ 6.00% (77,678)
(blended) 17.83%
TOTAL COSTS (6,568,529)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 1,787,790
SDLT 1,787,790 @ (89,389)
Acquisition Agent fees 1,787,790 @ 1.0% (17,878)
Acquisition Legal fees 1,787,790 @ 0.5% (8,939)
Interest on Land 1,787,790 @ 7.0% (125,145)
Residual Land Value (net) 30,929 per plot (check) 1,546,438
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 35 units per hectare
Site Area 1.43 ha 3.53 acres
Threshold Land Value 225,000 £ per acre 555,975 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 15,885 per plot (check) 794,250
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 752,188
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
50 Residential Dwellings (High)
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 752,188 20 40 60 80 100
5% 1,006,937 936,810 905,996 834,209 762,422
10% 920,470 893,047 825,038 757,030 689,021
Affordable Housing % 15% 872,542 808,311 744,081 679,851 615,621
20% 784,028 723,576 663,124 602,672 542,220
25% 695,514 638,840 582,167 525,493 468,819
30% 607,000 554,105 501,209 448,314 395,418
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 752,188 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 670,741 906,264 1,097,023 1,327,100 1,557,177
95% 475,942 711,465 906,727 1,136,804 1,366,881
Construction costs 100% 281,143 516,665 752,188 946,509 1,176,586
105% 86,344 321,866 557,389 792,911 986,291
110% (100,527) 127,067 362,589 598,112 833,635
115% (297,579) (59,333) 167,790 403,313 638,835
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 9,415,570
AH discount from GDV 1,059,252
AH contribution £/dwelling 21,185 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 269.19 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling (High)
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 45 30% 2,925.0
3 bed houses 60 40% 4,800.0
4 bed houses 15 10% 1,500.0
1 bed apartment 15 10% 914.6
2 bed apartment 15 10% 1,189.0
150 100% 11,328.7
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,462 160,030
3 bed houses 2,438 195,000
4 bed houses 2,250 225,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,923 124,995
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 25%
2 bed houses 80,015 Social Rented 96,018 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 97,500 Social Rented 117,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 112,500 Social Rented 135,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 62,498 Social Rented 74,997 Affd Rent/Int.
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© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling (High)
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 34 @ 160,030 5,401,013
3 bed houses 45 @ 195,000 8,775,000
4 bed houses 11 @ 225,000 2,531,250
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 11 @ 100,000 1,125,000
2 bed apartment 11 @ 124,995 1,406,194
113 (rounded) 19,238,456
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 6 @ 80,015 450,084
3 bed houses 8 @ 97,500 731,250
4 bed houses 2 @ 112,500 210,938
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 2 @ 50,000 93,750
2 bed apartment 2 @ 62,498 117,183
19 (rounded) 1,603,205
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 6 @ 96,018 540,101
3 bed houses 8 @ 117,000 877,500
4 bed houses 2 @ 135,000 253,125
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 2 @ 60,000 112,500
2 bed apartment 2 @ 74,997 140,619
19 (rounded) 1,923,846
150.00 (total)
GDV 22,765,507
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling (High)
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (50,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (30,549)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (150,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 7.41 acres @ 75,000 per acre (555,975)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 9,225.0 sqm @ 852 psm (7,859,700)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 2,103.7 sqm @ 982 psm (2,065,793)
Extra over for CSH 11,328.7 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 9,925,493 @ 10% (992,549)
Contingency 11,474,017 @ 5% (573,701)
Professional Fees 12,047,718 @ 8% (963,817)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 19,238,456 GDV @ 1.00% (192,385)
Sale Legal Costs 22,765,507 GDV @ 0.50% (113,828)
Marketing and Promotion 19,238,456 GDV @ 3.00% (577,154)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 14,125,450 @ 2.00% (282,509)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (78,267)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 19,238,456 @ 20.00% (3,847,691)
On affordable housing pre-sale 3,527,050 @ 6.00% (211,623)
(blended) 17.83%
TOTAL COSTS (18,545,540)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 4,219,966
SDLT 4,219,966 @ (295,398)
Acquisition Agent fees 4,219,966 @ 1.0% (42,200)
Acquisition Legal fees 4,219,966 @ 0.5% (21,100)
Interest on Land 4,219,966 @ 7.0% (295,398)
Residual Land Value (net) 23,772 per plot (check) 3,565,872
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 50 units per hectare
Site Area 3.00 ha 7.41 acres
Threshold Land Value 225,000 £ per acre 555,975 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 11,120 per plot (check) 1,667,925
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,897,947
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
150 Residential Dwelling (High)
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,897,947 20 40 60 80 100
5% 2,734,618 2,540,539 2,346,460 2,152,381 1,958,302
10% 2,487,145 2,303,281 2,119,417 1,935,552 1,751,688
Affordable Housing % 15% 2,239,672 2,066,023 1,892,373 1,718,724 1,545,074
20% 1,992,199 1,828,764 1,665,330 1,501,895 1,338,460
25% 1,744,726 1,591,506 1,438,286 1,285,066 1,131,846
30% 1,497,254 1,354,248 1,211,243 1,068,237 925,232
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,897,947 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 1,744,438 2,358,076 2,971,714 3,585,352 4,198,990
95% 1,207,555 1,821,192 2,434,830 3,048,468 3,662,106
Construction costs 100% 670,671 1,284,309 1,897,947 2,511,584 3,125,222
105% 133,787 747,425 1,361,063 1,974,701 2,588,338
110% (373,160) 210,541 824,179 1,437,817 2,051,455
115% (914,136) (294,589) 287,295 900,933 1,514,571
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 25,651,275
AH discount from GDV 2,885,768
AH contribution £/dwelling 19,238 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 254.73 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwelling (High)
SCHEME DETAILS
Net sales (NIA) Net to Gross % Gross (GIA)
Floor areas - (sqm) (sqft) % (sqm) (sqft)
2 bed houses 65.0 700 100.0% 65.0 700
3 bed houses 80.0 861 100.0% 80.0 861
4 bed houses 100.0 1,076 100.0% 100.0 1,076
1 bed apartment 50.0 538 82.0% 61.0 656
2 bed apartment 65.0 700 82.0% 79.3 853
Unit mix - # units mix% total floor area (GIA sqm)
2 bed houses 104 30% 6,760.0
3 bed houses 140 40% 11,200.0
4 bed houses 36 10% 3,600.0
1 bed apartment 35 10% 2,134.1
2 bed apartment 35 10% 2,774.4
350 100% 26,468.5
Open Market values (£) - £ psm £
2 bed houses 2,462 160,030
3 bed houses 2,438 195,000
4 bed houses 2,250 225,000
1 bed apartment 2,000 100,000
2 bed apartment 1,923 124,995
Affordable Housing -
Policy requirement % 25%
2 bed houses 80,015 Social Rented 96,018 Affd Rent/Int.
3 bed houses 97,500 Social Rented 117,000 Affd Rent/Int.
4 bed houses 112,500 Social Rented 135,000 Affd Rent/Int.
5 bed houses 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed bungalows 0 Social Rented 0 Affd Rent/Int.
1 bed apartment 50,000 Social Rented 60,000 Affd Rent/Int.
2 bed apartment 62,498 Social Rented 74,997 Affd Rent/Int.
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwelling (High)
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Private for Sale GDV -
2 bed houses 78 @ 160,030 12,482,340
3 bed houses 105 @ 195,000 20,475,000
4 bed houses 27 @ 225,000 6,075,000
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 26 @ 100,000 2,625,000
2 bed apartment 26 @ 124,995 3,281,119
263 (rounded) 44,938,459
Social Rented GDV -
2 bed houses 13 @ 80,015 1,040,195
3 bed houses 18 @ 97,500 1,706,250
4 bed houses 5 @ 112,500 506,250
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 4 @ 50,000 218,750
2 bed apartment 4 @ 62,498 273,427
44 (rounded) 3,744,872
Intermediate GDV -
2 bed houses 13 @ 96,018 1,248,234
3 bed houses 18 @ 117,000 2,047,500
4 bed houses 5 @ 135,000 607,500
5 bed houses 0 @ 0 -
2 bed bungalows 0 @ 0 -
1 bed apartment 4 @ 60,000 262,500
2 bed apartment 4 @ 74,997 328,112
44 (rounded) 4,493,846
350.00 (total)
GDV 53,177,176
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwelling (High)
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (100,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (53,549)
CIL 0.00 psm (on private for sale) -
Site Specific S106/278 1,000 per dwelling (350,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 14.41 acres @ 75,000 per acre (1,081,063)
Houses Build Costs (BCIS) 21,560.0 sqm @ 852 psm (18,369,120)
Bungalow Build Costs (BCIS) 0.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
Apartment Build Costs (BCIS) 4,908.5 sqm @ 982 psm (4,820,183)
Extra over for CSH 26,468.5 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 23,189,303 @ 10% (2,318,930)
Contingency 26,589,296 @ 5% (1,329,465)
Professional Fees 27,918,761 @ 10% (2,791,876)
Disposal Costs -
Sale Agents Costs 44,938,459 GDV @ 1.00% (449,385)
Sale Legal Costs 53,177,176 GDV @ 0.50% (265,886)
Marketing and Promotion 44,938,459 GDV @ 3.00% (1,348,154)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 33,277,610 @ 2.00% (665,552)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (252,538)
Developers Profit -
On private for sale 44,938,459 @ 20.00% (8,987,692)
On affordable housing pre-sale 8,238,717 @ 6.00% (494,323)
(blended) 17.83%
TOTAL COSTS (43,677,714)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 9,499,462
SDLT 9,499,462 @ (664,962)
Acquisition Agent fees 9,499,462 @ 1.0% (94,995)
Acquisition Legal fees 9,499,462 @ 0.5% (47,497)
Interest on Land 9,499,462 @ 7.0% (664,962)
Residual Land Value (net) 22,934 per plot (check) 8,027,045
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Residential density per ha 60 units per hectare
Site Area 5.83 ha 14.41 acres
Threshold Land Value 225,000 £ per acre 555,975 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 9,266 per plot (check) 3,243,188
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 4,783,858
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
350 Residential Dwelling (High)
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
CIL £/psm
Surplus/(Deficit) 4,783,858 20 40 60 80 100
5% 6,718,963 6,233,771 5,748,580 5,263,388 4,778,196
10% 6,139,425 5,679,770 5,220,114 4,760,459 4,300,804
Affordable Housing % 15% 5,559,887 5,125,768 4,691,649 4,257,531 3,823,412
20% 4,980,349 4,571,767 4,163,184 3,754,602 3,346,019
25% 4,400,812 4,017,766 3,634,719 3,251,673 2,868,627
30% 3,821,274 3,463,764 3,106,254 2,748,745 2,391,235
Green = viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Red = not viable for given level of affordable housing and CIL
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 4,783,858 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 4,474,812 5,919,790 7,364,767 8,809,744 10,254,721
95% 3,184,358 4,629,335 6,074,312 7,519,289 8,964,266
Construction costs 100% 1,893,903 3,338,881 4,783,858 6,228,835 7,673,812
105% 603,449 2,048,426 3,493,403 4,938,380 6,383,358
110% (687,005) 757,972 2,202,949 3,647,926 5,092,903
115% (1,947,502) (532,483) 912,494 2,357,471 3,802,449
Green = viable
Red = not viable
CIL £/psm
Green = viable
Red = not viable
Affordable Housing Commuted Sum
Full GDV (no AH) 59,917,945
AH discount from GDV 6,740,769
AH contribution £/dwelling 19,259 £ / dwelling (total scheme)
AH contribution £ psm 254.67 £ psm (total scheme)
NOTES
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140226 Sandwell CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:08
C:\Users\Parm\Documents\AVL local (C)\_Client Projects\1401 CIL Refresh Study_Sandwell MBC\_Appraisals\140226 Sandwell
CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:08
C:\Users\Parm\Documents\AVL local (C)\_Client Projects\1401 CIL Refresh Study_Sandwell MBC\_Appraisals\140226 Sandwell
CIL Residential Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B1 Offices 400 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Offices 400.0 4,306 85.0% 340.0 3,660
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 400.0 4,306 340.0 3,660
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Offices 3,660 @ 16.25 59,472
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 59,472
Yield @ 7.75%
capitalised rent 767,383
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 18 months rent (89,208)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (36,935) 641,240
GDV 641,240
Page 2/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B1 Offices 400 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (2,053)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (4,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.13 acres @ 75,000 per acre (9,884)
Offices 400.0 sqm @ 1,184 psm (473,600)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 400.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 473,600 @ 10% (47,360)
Contingency 530,844 @ 5% (26,542)
Professional Fees 557,386 @ 10% (55,739)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 59,472 ERV @ 15.00% (8,921)
Letting Legal Costs 59,472 ERV @ 5.00% (2,974)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 641,240 GDV @ 1.00% (6,412)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 641,240 GDV @ 0.50% (3,206)
Marketing and Promotion 641,240 GDV @ 1.00% (6,412)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 672,104 @ 2.00% (13,442)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (17,293)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 702,839 @ 20.00% (140,568)
TOTAL COSTS (843,407)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (202,167)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (202,167)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 7,500 sqm per hectare 75% site coverage
Site Area 0.05 ha 0.13 acres
Threshold Land Value 225,000 £ per acre 555,975 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 29,652
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (231,819)
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B1 Offices 400 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (231,819) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (218,045) (186,980) (155,915) (124,850) (93,785)
95% (255,997) (224,932) (193,867) (162,802) (131,737)
Construction costs 100% (293,949) (262,884) (231,819) (200,754) (169,689)
105% (331,902) (300,836) (269,771) (238,706) (207,641)
110% (369,854) (338,789) (307,723) (276,658) (245,593)
115% (407,806) (376,741) (345,676) (314,610) (283,545)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 4/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B1 Offices 2,000 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Offices 2,000.0 21,528 85.0% 1,700.0 18,299
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 2,000.0 21,528 1,700.0 18,299
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Offices 18,299 @ 16.25 297,361
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 297,361
Yield @ 7.75%
capitalised rent 3,836,916
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 18 months rent (446,042)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (184,677) 3,206,198
GDV 3,206,198
Page 5/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B1 Offices 2,000 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (10,267)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (20,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.66 acres @ 75,000 per acre (49,420)
Offices 2,000.0 sqm @ 1,184 psm (2,368,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 2,000.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 2,368,000 @ 10% (236,800)
Contingency 2,654,220 @ 5% (132,711)
Professional Fees 2,786,931 @ 10% (278,693)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 297,361 ERV @ 15.00% (44,604)
Letting Legal Costs 297,361 ERV @ 5.00% (14,868)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 3,206,198 GDV @ 1.00% (32,062)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 3,206,198 GDV @ 0.50% (16,031)
Marketing and Promotion 3,206,198 GDV @ 1.00% (32,062)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 3,260,518 @ 2.00% (65,210)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (108,827)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 3,434,555 @ 20.00% (686,911)
TOTAL COSTS (4,121,466)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (915,269)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (915,269)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 7,500 sqm per hectare 75% site coverage
Site Area 0.27 ha 0.66 acres
Threshold Land Value 225,000 £ per acre 555,975 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 148,260
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (1,063,529)
Page 6/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B1 Offices 2,000 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (1,063,529) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (991,848) (836,539) (681,230) (525,921) (370,612)
95% (1,182,998) (1,027,688) (872,379) (717,070) (561,761)
Construction costs 100% (1,374,147) (1,218,838) (1,063,529) (908,219) (752,910)
105% (1,565,296) (1,409,987) (1,254,678) (1,099,369) (944,060)
110% (1,756,446) (1,601,136) (1,445,827) (1,290,518) (1,135,209)
115% (1,947,595) (1,792,286) (1,636,976) (1,481,667) (1,326,358)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B2 Industrial 400 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Industrial 400.0 4,306 100.0% 400.0 4,306
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 400.0 4,306 400.0 4,306
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Industrial 4,306 @ 5.57 23,983
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 23,983
Yield @ 7.25%
capitalised rent 330,795
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (23,983)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (16,710) 290,102
GDV 290,102
Page 8/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B2 Industrial 400 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (2,053)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (4,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.24 acres @ 75,000 per acre (17,863)
Industrial 400.0 sqm @ 609 psm (243,600)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 400.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 243,600 @ 10% (24,360)
Contingency 285,823 @ 5% (14,291)
Professional Fees 300,114 @ 10% (30,011)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 23,983 ERV @ 15.00% (3,597)
Letting Legal Costs 23,983 ERV @ 5.00% (1,199)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 290,102 GDV @ 1.00% (2,901)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 290,102 GDV @ 0.50% (1,451)
Marketing and Promotion 290,102 GDV @ 1.00% (2,901)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 373,228 @ 2.00% (7,465)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (14,393)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 395,085 @ 20.00% (79,017)
TOTAL COSTS (474,103)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (184,000)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (184,000)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 4,150 sqm per hectare 42% site coverage
Site Area 0.10 ha 0.24 acres
Threshold Land Value 188,000 £ per acre 464,548 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 44,776
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (228,776)
Page 9/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B2 Industrial 400 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (228,776) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (217,553) (203,501) (189,448) (175,395) (161,343)
95% (237,217) (223,165) (209,112) (195,059) (181,007)
Construction costs 100% (256,881) (242,828) (228,776) (214,723) (200,670)
105% (276,545) (262,492) (248,440) (234,387) (220,334)
110% (296,209) (282,156) (268,103) (254,051) (239,998)
115% (315,873) (301,820) (287,767) (273,715) (259,662)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B8 Warehouse 2,000 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Industrial 2,000.0 21,528 100.0% 2,000.0 21,528
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 2,000.0 21,528 2,000.0 21,528
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Industrial 21,528 @ 4.50 96,878
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 96,878
Yield @ 7.25%
capitalised rent 1,336,246
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (96,878)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (67,500) 1,171,868
GDV 1,171,868
Page 11/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B8 Warehouse 2,000 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (10,267)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (20,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 1.19 acres @ 75,000 per acre (89,313)
Industrial 2,000.0 sqm @ 422 psm (844,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 2,000.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 844,000 @ 10% (84,400)
Contingency 1,017,713 @ 5% (50,886)
Professional Fees 1,068,599 @ 10% (106,860)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 96,878 ERV @ 15.00% (14,532)
Letting Legal Costs 96,878 ERV @ 5.00% (4,844)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 1,171,868 GDV @ 1.00% (11,719)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 1,171,868 GDV @ 0.50% (5,859)
Marketing and Promotion 1,171,868 GDV @ 1.00% (11,719)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 1,279,398 @ 2.00% (25,588)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (46,521)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 1,351,507 @ 20.00% (270,301)
TOTAL COSTS (1,621,808)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (449,940)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (449,940)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 4,150 sqm per hectare 42% site coverage
Site Area 0.48 ha 1.19 acres
Threshold Land Value 188,000 £ per acre 464,548 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 223,879
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (673,819)
Page 12/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B8 Warehouse 2,000 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (673,819) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (651,092) (594,326) (537,560) (480,795) (424,029)
95% (719,221) (662,455) (605,690) (548,924) (492,158)
Construction costs 100% (787,350) (730,585) (673,819) (617,053) (560,288)
105% (855,479) (798,714) (741,948) (685,182) (628,417)
110% (923,609) (866,843) (810,077) (753,312) (696,546)
115% (991,738) (934,972) (878,207) (821,441) (764,675)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 13/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B8 Warehouse 5,000 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Industrial 5,000.0 53,821 100.0% 5,000.0 53,821
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 5,000.0 53,821 5,000.0 53,821
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Industrial 53,821 @ 4.50 242,195
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 242,195
Yield @ 7.25%
capitalised rent 3,340,614
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (242,195)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (168,749) 2,929,670
GDV 2,929,670
Page 14/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B8 Warehouse 5,000 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (17,132)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (50,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 2.98 acres @ 75,000 per acre (223,283)
Industrial 5,000.0 sqm @ 422 psm (2,110,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 5,000.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 2,110,000 @ 10% (211,000)
Contingency 2,544,283 @ 5% (127,214)
Professional Fees 2,671,497 @ 10% (267,150)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 242,195 ERV @ 15.00% (36,329)
Letting Legal Costs 242,195 ERV @ 5.00% (12,110)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 2,929,670 GDV @ 1.00% (29,297)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 2,929,670 GDV @ 0.50% (14,648)
Marketing and Promotion 2,929,670 GDV @ 1.00% (29,297)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 3,152,460 @ 2.00% (63,049)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (112,509)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 3,328,019 @ 20.00% (665,604)
TOTAL COSTS (3,993,622)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (1,063,952)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (1,063,952)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 4,150 sqm per hectare 42% site coverage
Site Area 1.20 ha 2.98 acres
Threshold Land Value 188,000 £ per acre 464,548 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 559,696
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (1,623,648)
Page 15/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
B8 Warehouse 5,000 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (1,623,648) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (1,566,830) (1,424,916) (1,283,002) (1,141,088) (999,174)
95% (1,737,154) (1,595,239) (1,453,325) (1,311,411) (1,169,497)
Construction costs 100% (1,907,477) (1,765,563) (1,623,648) (1,481,734) (1,339,820)
105% (2,077,800) (1,935,886) (1,793,971) (1,652,057) (1,510,143)
110% (2,248,123) (2,106,209) (1,964,295) (1,822,380) (1,680,466)
115% (2,418,446) (2,276,532) (2,134,618) (1,992,704) (1,850,789)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 16/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Units 280 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Retail 280.0 3,014 80.0% 224.0 2,411
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 280.0 3,014 224.0 2,411
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Retail 2,411 @ 15.00 36,168
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 36,168
Yield @ 8.50%
capitalised rent 425,502
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (36,168)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (21,204) 368,130
GDV 368,130
Page 17/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Units 280 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (30,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (1,437)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (7,500)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.05 acres @ 75,000 per acre (3,844)
Retail 280.0 sqm @ 725 psm (203,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 280.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 203,000 @ 10% (20,300)
Contingency 227,144 @ 5% (11,357)
Professional Fees 238,501 @ 10% (23,850)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 36,168 ERV @ 15.00% (5,425)
Letting Legal Costs 36,168 ERV @ 5.00% (1,808)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 368,130 GDV @ 1.00% (3,681)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 368,130 GDV @ 0.50% (1,841)
Marketing and Promotion 368,130 GDV @ 1.00% (3,681)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 317,725 @ 2.00% (6,355)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (11,619)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 335,698 @ 20.00% (67,140)
TOTAL COSTS (402,838)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (34,708)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (34,708)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 13,500 sqm per hectare 135% site coverage
Site Area 0.02 ha 0.05 acres
Threshold Land Value 100,000 £ per acre 247,100 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 5,125
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (39,833)
Page 18/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Units 280 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (39,833) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (42,724) (24,892) (7,060) 9,262 25,401
95% (59,111) (41,278) (23,446) (5,614) 10,571
Construction costs 100% (75,497) (57,665) (39,833) (22,000) (4,259)
105% (91,884) (74,052) (56,219) (38,387) (20,554)
110% (108,270) (90,438) (72,606) (54,773) (36,941)
115% (124,657) (106,825) (88,992) (71,160) (53,328)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 19/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Units 280 sqm Strategic
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Retail 280.0 3,014 80.0% 224.0 2,411
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 280.0 3,014 224.0 2,411
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Retail 2,411 @ 19.00 45,812
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 45,812
Yield @ 8.00%
capitalised rent 572,655
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 18 months rent (68,719)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (27,446) 476,491
GDV 476,491
Page 20/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Units 280 sqm Strategic
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (30,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (1,437)
CIL psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (7,500)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.05 acres @ 75,000 per acre (3,844)
Retail 280.0 sqm @ 725 psm (203,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 280.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 203,000 @ 10% (20,300)
Contingency 227,144 @ 5% (11,357)
Professional Fees 238,501 @ 10% (23,850)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 45,812 ERV @ 15.00% (6,872)
Letting Legal Costs 45,812 ERV @ 5.00% (2,291)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 476,491 GDV @ 1.00% (4,765)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 476,491 GDV @ 0.50% (2,382)
Marketing and Promotion 476,491 GDV @ 1.00% (4,765)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 322,363 @ 2.00% (6,447)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (11,073)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 339,884 @ 20.00% (67,977)
TOTAL COSTS (407,860)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 68,630
SDLT 68,630 @ (686)
Acquisition Agent fees 68,630 @ 1.0% (686)
Acquisition Legal fees 68,630 @ 0.5% (343)
Interest on Land 68,630 @ 7.0% (4,804)
Residual Land Value (net) 62,111
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 13,500 sqm per hectare 135% site coverage
Site Area 0.02 ha 0.05 acres
Threshold Land Value 300,000 £ per acre 741,300 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 15,375
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 46,735
Page 21/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Units 280 sqm Strategic
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 46,735 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 34,618 55,506 76,395 97,284 118,172
95% 19,788 40,677 61,565 82,454 103,343
Construction costs 100% 4,958 25,847 46,735 67,624 88,513
105% (9,872) 11,017 31,906 52,794 73,683
110% (25,680) (3,813) 17,076 37,964 58,853
115% (42,067) (18,986) 2,246 23,135 44,023
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 22/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Warehouse 1,500 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Retail 1,500.0 16,146 100.0% 1,500.0 16,146
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 1,500.0 16,146 1,500.0 16,146
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Retail 16,146 @ 15.00 242,195
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 242,195
Yield @ 7.00%
capitalised rent 3,459,921
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (242,195)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (175,247) 3,042,480
GDV 3,042,480
Page 23/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Warehouse 1,500 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (30,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (7,700)
CIL psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (75,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 1.32 acres @ 75,000 per acre (99,281)
Retail 1,500.0 sqm @ 575 psm (862,500)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 1,500.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 862,500 @ 10% (86,250)
Contingency 1,048,031 @ 5% (52,402)
Professional Fees 1,100,433 @ 10% (110,043)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 242,195 ERV @ 15.00% (36,329)
Letting Legal Costs 242,195 ERV @ 5.00% (12,110)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 3,042,480 GDV @ 1.00% (30,425)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 3,042,480 GDV @ 0.50% (15,212)
Marketing and Promotion 3,042,480 GDV @ 1.00% (30,425)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 1,447,677 @ 2.00% (28,954)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (42,849)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 1,519,479 @ 20.00% (303,896)
TOTAL COSTS (1,823,375)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 1,219,105
SDLT 1,219,105 @ (48,764)
Acquisition Agent fees 1,219,105 @ 1.0% (12,191)
Acquisition Legal fees 1,219,105 @ 0.5% (6,096)
Interest on Land 1,219,105 @ 7.0% (85,337)
Residual Land Value (net) 1,066,717
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 2,800 sqm per hectare 28% site coverage
Site Area 0.54 ha 1.32 acres
Threshold Land Value 570,000 £ per acre 1,408,470 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 754,538
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 312,180
Page 24/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Retail Warehouse 1,500 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 312,180 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 176,106 305,063 434,019 562,975 691,932
95% 115,187 244,143 373,099 502,056 631,012
Construction costs 100% 54,267 183,223 312,180 441,136 570,092
105% (6,653) 122,303 251,260 380,216 509,172
110% (67,573) 61,384 190,340 319,296 448,253
115% (128,492) 464 129,420 258,377 387,333
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 25/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 280 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Retail 280.0 3,014 100.0% 280.0 3,014
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 280.0 3,014 280.0 3,014
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Retail 3,014 @ 15.00 45,210
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 45,210
Yield @ 5.75%
capitalised rent 786,255
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (45,210)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (40,359) 700,685
GDV 700,685
Page 26/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 280 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (30,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (1,437)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (14,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.25 acres @ 75,000 per acre (18,533)
Retail 280.0 sqm @ 1,011 psm (283,080)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 280.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 283,080 @ 10% (28,308)
Contingency 329,921 @ 5% (16,496)
Professional Fees 346,417 @ 10% (34,642)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 45,210 ERV @ 15.00% (6,781)
Letting Legal Costs 45,210 ERV @ 5.00% (2,260)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 700,685 GDV @ 1.00% (7,007)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 700,685 GDV @ 0.50% (3,503)
Marketing and Promotion 700,685 GDV @ 1.00% (7,007)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 453,055 @ 1.00% (4,531)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (15,072)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 472,657 @ 20.00% (94,531)
TOTAL COSTS (567,189)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 133,497
SDLT 133,497 @ (1,335)
Acquisition Agent fees 133,497 @ 1.0% (1,335)
Acquisition Legal fees 133,497 @ 0.5% (667)
Interest on Land 133,497 @ 7.0% (9,345)
Residual Land Value (net) 120,815
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 2,800 sqm per hectare 28% site coverage
Site Area 0.10 ha 0.25 acres
Threshold Land Value 450,000 £ per acre 1,111,950 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 111,195
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 9,620
Page 27/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 280 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 9,620 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (10,893) 19,834 50,561 81,289 112,016
95% (31,364) (637) 30,090 60,818 91,545
Construction costs 100% (51,835) (21,108) 9,620 40,347 71,074
105% (72,306) (41,579) (10,851) 19,876 50,603
110% (92,777) (62,050) (31,322) (595) 30,132
115% (113,463) (82,521) (51,793) (21,066) 9,661
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 28/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 1,500 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Retail 1,500.0 16,146 100.0% 1,500.0 16,146
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 1,500.0 16,146 1,500.0 16,146
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Retail 16,146 @ 18.00 290,633
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 290,633
Yield @ 5.50%
capitalised rent 5,284,244
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 6 months rent (145,317)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (279,881) 4,859,046
GDV 4,859,046
Page 29/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 1,500 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (30,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (7,700)
CIL psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (75,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 1.32 acres @ 75,000 per acre (99,281)
Retail 1,500.0 sqm @ 1,191 psm (1,786,500)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 1,500.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 1,786,500 @ 10% (178,650)
Contingency 2,064,431 @ 5% (103,222)
Professional Fees 2,167,653 @ 12% (260,118)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 290,633 ERV @ 15.00% (43,595)
Letting Legal Costs 290,633 ERV @ 5.00% (14,532)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 4,859,046 GDV @ 1.00% (48,590)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 4,859,046 GDV @ 0.50% (24,295)
Marketing and Promotion 4,859,046 GDV @ 1.00% (48,590)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 2,720,074 @ 2.00% (54,401)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (107,000)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 2,881,476 @ 20.00% (576,295)
TOTAL COSTS (3,457,771)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 1,401,275
SDLT 1,401,275 @ (56,051)
Acquisition Agent fees 1,401,275 @ 1.0% (14,013)
Acquisition Legal fees 1,401,275 @ 0.5% (7,006)
Interest on Land 1,401,275 @ 7.0% (98,089)
Residual Land Value (net) 1,226,115
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 2,800 sqm per hectare 28% site coverage
Site Area 0.54 ha 1.32 acres
Threshold Land Value 700,000 £ per acre 1,729,700 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 926,625
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 299,490
Page 30/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 1,500 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 299,490 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 146,846 352,773 558,700 764,627 970,553
95% 17,241 223,168 429,095 635,022 840,949
Construction costs 100% (112,363) 93,564 299,490 505,417 711,344
105% (241,968) (36,041) 169,886 375,813 581,739
110% (371,572) (165,646) 40,281 246,208 452,135
115% (496,315) (295,250) (89,323) 116,603 322,530
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 31/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 5,000 sqm
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: GIA (sqm) GIA (sqft) Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Retail 5,000.0 53,821 100.0% 5,000.0 53,821
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 5,000.0 53,821 5,000.0 53,821
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
sqft £ psf £
Retail 53,821 @ 20.00 1,076,420
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 1,076,420
Yield @ 5.25%
capitalised rent 20,503,238
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (1,076,420)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (1,058,042) 18,368,777
GDV 18,368,777
Page 32/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 5,000 sqm
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (100,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (17,132)
CIL psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (375,000)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 4.41 acres @ 100,000 per acre (441,250)
Retail 5,000.0 sqm @ 1,191 psm (5,955,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 5,000.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 5,955,000 @ 10% (595,500)
Contingency 6,991,750 @ 5% (349,588)
Professional Fees 7,341,338 @ 12% (880,961)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 1,076,420 ERV @ 15.00% (161,463)
Letting Legal Costs 1,076,420 ERV @ 5.00% (53,821)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 18,368,777 GDV @ 1.00% (183,688)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 18,368,777 GDV @ 0.50% (91,844)
Marketing and Promotion 18,368,777 GDV @ 1.00% (183,688)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 9,388,934 @ 2.00% (187,779)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (459,141)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 10,035,853 @ 20.00% (2,007,171)
TOTAL COSTS (12,043,024)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) 6,325,753
SDLT 6,325,753 @ (253,030)
Acquisition Agent fees 6,325,753 @ 1.0% (63,258)
Acquisition Legal fees 6,325,753 @ 0.5% (31,629)
Interest on Land 6,325,753 @ 7.0% (442,803)
Residual Land Value (net) 5,535,034
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 2,800 sqm per hectare 28% site coverage
Site Area 1.79 ha 4.41 acres
Threshold Land Value 1,000,000 £ per acre 2,471,000 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 4,412,500
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,122,534
Page 33/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Supermarket 5,000 sqm
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,122,534 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% 437,417 1,215,792 1,994,166 2,772,541 3,550,915
95% 1,601 779,975 1,558,350 2,336,724 3,115,099
Construction costs 100% (434,215) 344,159 1,122,534 1,900,908 2,679,283
105% (870,031) (91,657) 686,718 1,465,092 2,243,467
110% (1,305,847) (527,473) 250,902 1,029,276 1,807,651
115% (1,741,663) (963,289) (184,914) 593,460 1,371,835
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
Page 34/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Hotel 100 beds
SCHEME DETAILS
Floor areas: Beds Net to Gross % NIA (sqm) NIA (sqft)
Hotel 100 beds 100.0 100.0% 100.0 1,076
- 0 85.0% 0.0 0
- 0 100.0% 0.0 0
total floor area 100.0 0 100.0 1,076
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Beds Per Room £
Hotel 100 beds 100 @ 3,500.00 350,000
- 0 @ -
- 0 @ -
Estimated Gross Rental Value per annum 350,000
Yield @ 7.00%
capitalised rent 5,000,000
less
Rent Free / Void allowance 12 months rent (350,000)
Purchasers costs @ 5.76% (253,253) 4,396,747
GDV 4,396,747
Page 35/38
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Hotel 100 beds
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
Initial Payments -
Planning Application Professional Fees and reports (allowance) (25,000)
Statutory Planning Fees (5,360)
CIL 0.00 psm GIA -
Site Specific S106/278 (allowance) (32,500)
Construction Costs -
Demolition and Site Clearance (allowance) 0.03 acres @ 75,000 per acre (2,471)
Hotel 100 beds 100.0 Rooms 37,000 per room (3,700,000)
- 0.0 psm -
- 0.0 sqm @ psm -
Extra over for BREEAM 100.0 sqm @ 0 psm -
External works inc. utilities reinforcement (allowance) 3,700,000 @ 10% (370,000)
Contingency 4,072,471 @ 5% (203,624)
Professional Fees 4,276,095 @ 10% (427,609)
Disposal Costs -
Letting Agents Costs 350,000 ERV @ 15.00% (52,500)
Letting Legal Costs 350,000 ERV @ 5.00% (17,500)
Investment Sale Agents Costs 4,396,747 GDV @ 1.00% (43,967)
Investment Sale Legal Costs 4,396,747 GDV @ 0.50% (21,984)
Marketing and Promotion 4,396,747 GDV @ 1.00% (43,967)
Finance Costs -
Finance Fees 4,946,483 @ 2.00% (98,930)
Interest on Development Costs 7.00% APR 0.565% pcm (165,791)
Developers Profit -
% on costs 5,211,203 @ 20.00% (1,042,241)
TOTAL COSTS (6,253,444)
RESIDUAL LAND VALUE
Residual Land Value (gross) (1,856,696)
SDLT - @ -
Acquisition Agent fees - @ 1.0% -
Acquisition Legal fees - @ 0.5% -
Interest on Land - @ 7.0% -
Residual Land Value (net) (1,856,696)
TRESHOLD LAND VALUE
Site density 7,500 sqm per hectare 75% site coverage
Site Area 0.01 ha 0.03 acres
Threshold Land Value 100,000 £ per acre 247,100 £ per ha
Threshold Land Value 3,295
BALANCE
Surplus/(Deficit) (1,859,991)
Page 36/38
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140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
Hotel 100 beds
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Values
Surplus/(Deficit) (1,859,991) 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%
90% (1,688,609) (1,475,629) (1,262,650) (1,049,670) (836,690)
95% (1,987,280) (1,774,300) (1,561,320) (1,348,341) (1,135,361)
Construction costs 100% (2,285,951) (2,072,971) (1,859,991) (1,647,011) (1,434,032)
105% (2,584,621) (2,371,642) (2,158,662) (1,945,682) (1,732,702)
110% (2,883,292) (2,670,312) (2,457,333) (2,244,353) (2,031,373)
115% (3,181,963) (2,968,983) (2,756,003) (2,543,024) (2,330,044)
Green = viable
Red = not viable
NOTES
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Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
140220 Sandwell CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited
Printed: 05/03/2014 16:13
C:\Users\Parm\Documents\AVL local (C)\_Client Projects\1401 CIL Refresh Study_Sandwell MBC\_Appraisals\140220 Sandwell
CIL Commerical Viability Models v2.4
© Copyright Aspinall Verdi Limited