we are about to cure ms in the nest 10 years even though we do not know its cause no
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7/30/2019 We Are About to Cure MS in the Nest 10 Years Even Though We Do Not Know Its Cause NO
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Multiple Sclerosis Journal
18(6) 784785
The Author(s) 2012
Reprints and permissions:
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DOI: 10.1177/1352458512446522
msj.sagepub.com
MULTIPLE
SCLEROSIS MSJ
JOURNAL
Rebuttal
What would a cure of multiple sclerosis look like?
Well, with a course ofMSmiracure all inflammatory
activity would be stopped; damage accrued until that point
would be completely repaired; there would be no possibil-ity of late disease recurrence or progressive disease, even
decades later; all with an acceptable safety profile; and with
no further treatment ever required.
I doubt we will never achieve this, let alone within 10
years. I have five arguments.
First, could we ever prevent all further inflammatory
activity, without understanding the cause of multiple scle-
rosis? Here we are doing pretty well, both in terms of con-
trolling the disease and understanding its cause. The
recent magisterial genetic studies1 demonstrate that the
immune system is at the heart of the pathogenesis of mul-
tiple sclerosis, and we have a large armamentarium ofdrugs and manoeuvres that affect the immune system. In
terms of a cure, we would first look to those treatments
that permanently remould the immune system to a more
benign form: autologous haematopoietic stem cell trans-
plantation and (in my potentially biased opinion) alemtu-
zumab (Campath-1H). These are undoubtedly effective
therapies, at the cost of significant side-effects, but even
they do not stop all further inflammatory activity in all
patients. For instance, in a small trial where both treat-
ments were combined, 5/21 patients relapsed at some
point after treatment.2 In theory, more specific therapies,
might lead to better benefitrisk ratios. But the current
selective approaches (for instance, altered peptide ligandsor TCR/T cell vaccination) are not terribly effective, no
doubt limited by our ignorance of quite which pathways
we should interfere with. And there is a nagging worry
that Hans Lassman might be right: and that some of the
inflammation underlying multiple sclerosis might be
trapped behind a closed bloodbrain barrier, which is a
problem because this cannot be crossed by nearly all of
the drugs we currently use in multiple sclerosis.
Second, we will not be able to repair damage already
accrued, at least not in the near future. Currently, we
identify people with multiple sclerosis when the CNS is
damaged, causing symptoms and /or MRI scars. We will
never be able to predict who will get multiple sclerosis
before such damage has occurred.3 So, even if we had the
perfect immunotherapy to prevent all subsequent disease
activity, we will always be faced with how to reverse the
scars of demyelination, axon and neuronal loss and gliosis.
We are making progress on understanding the mechanisms
of remyelination, leading to rational drug targets,4 but there
is little understanding of how to re-grow neurons.
Third, and perhaps most worryingly, it is possible that
even if we stop inflammation as early as possible, the pro-
gressive phase would emerge nonetheless. Personally I
doubt this. But there is a respectable body of opinion,
mainly from Lyon,5 that progression is due to non-inflam-
matory mechanisms and is entirely independent from the
inflammation which produces relapses. If that turns out to
be true, then we are in real trouble: we have little idea of themechanism and almost no idea how to start with treatment.
Perhaps one of the current neuroprotective drugs might,
by accident, do the job (and, of these, my favourite is ami-
loride, from Lars Fuggers work).6
Which brings me to my next point, which is pragmatic:
even if a target was identified today that could lead to a cure
for multiple sclerosis, it would not be available to people
with multiple sclerosis in 10 years. In the US (where things
are speedier than the EU) it takes on average 13 years to get
a drug into the clinic. There are numerous road blocks to
developing drugs. In response to this, Francis Collins first
move, when he became director of the U.S. NationalInstitutes of Health, was to set up the US$723-million
National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences. Our
We are about to cure MS in thenext 10 years, even though wedo not know its cause: No
Alasdair Coles
Department of Clinical Neuroscience, University of Cambridge,
Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, UK.
Corresponding author:
Alasdair Coles, Department of Clinical Neuroscience, University of
Cambridge, Addenbrookes Hospital, Hills Road, Cambridge
CB2 0QQ, UK.
Email: [email protected]
MSJ18610.1177/1352458512446522ColesMultipleSclerosisJournal
Controversies in Multiple Sclerosis
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7/30/2019 We Are About to Cure MS in the Nest 10 Years Even Though We Do Not Know Its Cause NO
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Coles 785
own David Cameron has also responded by promising, in
November 2011, 180 million to set up a government
Biomedical Catalyst Fund to invest in U.K. health and life
sciences companies, and to accelerate access of seriously ill
patients to novel drugs.
Finally, no other autoimmune disease can be cured, so
why expect multiple sclerosis to be? In medicine, we onlytalk about a cure in surgical and infectious diseases, and
sometimes in cancer therapy; but not in autoimmunity.
Despite the great advances in the treatment of rheumatoid
arthritis, a PubMed search on cure and rheumatoid arthri-
tis gets just 21 hits, which are either rhetorical or barmy.
Even with the most radical treatment, autologous hae-
mopoietic stem cell transplantation, disease breaks through
in 50% of patients.7 But, also I am signed up to the view
that autoimmune diseases are the cost of our increasingly
hygienic and infection-free environment; so, as we push
development and clean industrialization, so we will see yet
greater incidence of autoimmunity.
So, I am afraid, multiple sclerosis is with us for more
than 10 years. In fact, I predict that the disease, or variants
of it, will be modern humans constant companion. And our
predicament will continue to be the pressure to diagnose
early and treat aggressively, being held back by concern for
adverse effects.
References
1. International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium; Well-
come Trust Case Control Consortium 2. Genetic risk and a
primary role for cell-mediated immune mechanisms in mul-
tiple sclerosis.Nature 2011; 476: 214219.
2. Burt RK, Loh Y, Cohen B, et al. Autologous non-myeloablative
haemopoietic stem cell transplantation in relapsingremitting
multiple sclerosis: a phase I/II study. Lancet Neurol2009; 8:
244253.
3. Sawcer S, Ban M, Wason J and Dudbridge F. What role for
genetics in the prediction of multiple sclerosis? Ann Neurol
2010; 67: 310.
4. Huang JK, Jarjour AA, Nait Oumesmar B, et al. Retinoid X
receptor gamma signaling accelerates CNS remyelination.
Nat Neurosci 2011; 14: 4553.
5. Confavreux C, Vukusic S and Adeleine P. Early clinical
predictors and progression of irreversible disability in
multiple sclerosis: an amnesic process. Brain 2003; 126:
770782.
6. Vergo S, Craner MJ, Etzensperger R, et al. Acid-sensing ion
channel 1 is involved in both axonal injury and demyelinationin multiple sclerosis and its animal model. Brain 2011; 134:
571584.
7. Snowden JA, Passweg J, Moore JJ, et al. Autologous
hemopoietic stem cell transplantation in severe rheumatoid
arthritis: a report from the EBMT and ABMTR.J Rheumatol
2004; 31: 482488.
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