what is your business really worth? alan kenyon kenyon prendeville 24 th november 2006
TRANSCRIPT
What is Your Business Really Worth?
Alan Kenyon
Kenyon Prendeville
24th November 2006
Agenda
• Kenyon Prendeville’s Experience
• Valuation methodology
• Market pricing
• Key drivers for business value
• Current market
• Buyers – want/challenges
• Sellers – want/why deals fail & key success factors
• Current & future issues
• Future for buyers & sellers
• Questions
Kenyon Prendeville’s Experience
• 57 transactions
• $3.8 billion FUM
• Business value $65 million
• Averaged 35% growth in gross revenue 12 month post settlement
• 98% client retention
Valuation Methodology
Multiples:
• Financial Planning: 2 to 4 times recurring revenue
• Risk: 2.5 to 3.25 times renewals
• Accounting: 0.65 to 1 times fees
• General Insurance: 1.25 to 1.65 times fees
• Mortgage: 1.8 to 2.5 times trails
• E.B.I.T: 4 to 8 times• N.P.A.T: 8 to 12 times• Maintainable Earnings
Others:• Capitalisation• Discounted cash flow
Valuation Methodology
• Recurring Revenue 49
• E.B.I.T (earnings before interest & tax) 8
Most Used Methodology
Key
Profitability of buyers business post acquisition
Why Mostly Recurring Revenue & Not E.B.I.T?
• Internal succession
• External succession
• Additional business locations
When is E.B.I.T Most Relevant?
Summary Market Pricing
• 12month average FY 2005 3.00
• 12 month average FY 2006 3.31
• 6 month average Jan – Jun 2006 3.45
• Victoria 3.22
• New South Wales 3.12
• Queensland 3.35
• South Australia 3.48
• Western Australia 3.29
(excludes internal dealer transactions)
Transparency of Business
• Client segmentation
• Client profitability
• Service & pricing segmentation
• Product segmentation
• Client relationships
Key Drivers to Business Value
• Source of Business
• Referral relationships
• Staff profile
• Practice management / efficiencies
• Business opportunities
Key Drivers to Business Value
Current Market Environment
• 1,600 registered buyers
• 20 plus enquires for every listed business
• 3 – 4 meet vendor
• Only 2 go to due diligence post indicative offers
• Post due diligence, call for binding offers
• Enter heads of agreement
• Contract of sale
HIGHLY COMPETITIVE SELLERS MARKET
• Renovators delight
• Platformed and efficient
• Cultural fit – business opportunity
Types of Buyers
What Buyers Want
• Cross selling opportunities
• Business scale (growth)
• Economies of scale (admin)
• Platform migration
• Free cash flow after financing costs
• Profile own business
• Demonstrate prepared
• Initial meeting
- Agenda – past, present, future of each party
Last chance for first impression
Challenges For Buyers
Challenges For Buyers (Journey)
• First meeting
• Indicative offer
• Binding offer
• Sales contract
• Integration
What Sellers Want
• Transparency of buyers business/history
• Confidence – re: stakeholders – clients, staff, family
• Confidence can finance
• Business to go to next stage
• Open and honest communication
• Commitment
Why Deals Fail
• Cultural misalignment
• Unrealistic expectations
• Lack of preparation
• Owners negotiate
• Intimidation
• Timeframes
• Poor communication
• Finance
• No professional help
Key Success Factors
• Develop a strategy
• Preparation
• Realistic expectations
• Business as usual
• Flexibility/lateral solutions
• Finance in place
• Negotiable/non negotiable
• Legal advice at conclusion
• Future vision
• Professional help
• Conflict of interest
• Talent shortage
• Dealer relevance
• Westpoint
• Industry funds competitive position
• Succession
Current Issues
• Business values EBIT orientated?
• New brand competitors (Virgin, Myers, Wizard)
• Increased compliance
• Adviser margin squeeze?
• IMA’s widely accepted by HNW’s
• Advice fees not linked to FUM but service?
Future Issues
What Does The Future Hold Buyers/Sellers?
If 1 in 2 owners will exit in 3 to 5 years?
• Will the number of buyers decrease?
• Will this lead to more sellers than buyers?
• Will this mean lower prices?
• Will future valuations focus on profit not recurring revenue?
• Growth industry
• Consumers need for FP increasing
• Boutiques are moving to second tier dealer groups and forming breakaways
• IDGR’s supporting advisers to acquire businesses
• Industry change from product to advice model
• Growing number of younger, ambitious advisers
What Does The Future Hold Buyers/Sellers?
Summary
You don’t buy, sell or merge your business everyday, you only get one chance
• Get professional assistance
• Cultural “fit” and business opportunities are for both parties critical
• Success or otherwise will be determined 12 months post transaction
• Stay on track
Questions