what's next for tv?

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Hybrides-Sozial-Multiscreen- Search-OnDemand-Video- App-Linear-Plattform-TV What's next?

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Meine Präsentation zu den Trends an der Schnittselle von TV und Internet auf dem Media Future Day des TPC am 26.01.2012. http://www.tpcag.ch/de/news/wegweisender-media-future-day-2012.html

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: What's next for TV?

Hybrides-Sozial-Multiscreen-Search-OnDemand-Video-App-Linear-Plattform-TV

What's next?

Page 2: What's next for TV?

EINE PRÄSENTATION VON BERTRAM GUGEL

2

Page 3: What's next for TV?

3

Die Zukunft des Fernsehens?

Page 4: What's next for TV?

4

Nein,die Gegenwart!

Page 5: What's next for TV?

5

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and

underestimate the effect in the long run.– Roy Amara

Page 6: What's next for TV?

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Wo stehen wir heute?

Page 7: What's next for TV?

7

NEUER ZUGANG

Page 8: What's next for TV?

8

Gebt uns was wir wollen!

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9

87% der Nutzer sehen TV-Inhalte on demand

13% live

TV ist ein on demand Medium

http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/iplayer/iplayer_performance_monthly_0911.pdf

Page 10: What's next for TV?

10Nielsen: THE CROSS- PLATFORM REPORT QUARTER 1, 2011

+27min

-35min

Problem für die lineare Übertragung.

Page 11: What's next for TV?

11

Choices go from finite to infinite. Navigation goes from sequential to random access. And audiences choose content by the item far more than by the collection. We’ve gone from the packaged and channelized to the unbound and itemized. Autonomous albums are fragmented into songs; series into clips;

– Ben Elowitz, CEO Wetpaint

http://netzwertig.com/2010/07/15/spotify-gruender-daniel-ek-die-mp3-datei-ist-zur-url-geworden/

Disaggregation

Page 12: What's next for TV?

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Das ganze Netz auf Zuruf

Page 13: What's next for TV?

13

Apps steuern den Fernseher

Page 14: What's next for TV?

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AirPlay öffnet ein neues Universum

Page 15: What's next for TV?

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Suche zerstückelt das Programm

Page 16: What's next for TV?

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„The central challenge to the folks running the traditional aspects of content businesses is that their business models are based on moving the containers around. No containers means no business model. Chaos.“ 

Brady Gilchrist http://www.slideshare.net/Bradygilchrist/the-death-of-tv

Page 17: What's next for TV?

NEUER KONTEXT

Page 18: What's next for TV?

Unendliche Auswahl ...

Page 20: What's next for TV?

YouTube plus Hangouts

Page 21: What's next for TV?

21

Watch with Friends, anyone?

Page 22: What's next for TV?

22

Unterhalte mich 30 Minuten.

Page 23: What's next for TV?

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Freunde gestalten das Programm

Tweek.TV SocialGuide.com

Page 24: What's next for TV?

Likes/Sharing

Personalisierung durch ...

Tweets

Checkins

Verhalten

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25

TV liebt Twitter ...

Page 26: What's next for TV?

26

Twitter als EKG des Programms

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Interaktion mit TV-Inhalten

3m

50cm

10cm

Interaktives TV

Page 28: What's next for TV?

28http://www.engadget.com/2011/01/29/study-shocker-mobile-users-piddle-around-on-the-internet-while

86%

14%

No Usage Mobile Internet usage

Parallele Smartphone Nutzung während des Fernsehens

56 %

40 %

37 %

33 %Mobile AppsBrowsingSocial NetworkingTexting

Smartphones fördern Interaktion ...

Page 29: What's next for TV?

NEUE INHALTE

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30

What's going to kill movies and TV is what's already killing them: better ways to entertain people.

– Paul Graham, Y-Combinator

http://ycombinator.com/rfs9.html

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Welten prallen aufeinander ...

>1h Dokumentationen

Page 32: What's next for TV?

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Neue Vertriebsmodelle ...

170.000 downloads für $4,99

Page 33: What's next for TV?

3.000.000.000 Views/Month

Neue Studios und Produzenten ...

Page 34: What's next for TV?

... mit originären Inhalten!

Mortal Kombat: Legacy @ Machinima

Page 35: What's next for TV?

= Cable 2.0

Page 36: What's next for TV?

36

+

+ $100M für Inhalte+ Live streaming= Enabler

Page 37: What's next for TV?

37

Restricting access to content is a bad business model in the age of a global network that costs practically nothing to distribute on.

– Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures

Neue Verwertungsfenster ...

http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2012/01/scarcity-is-a-shitty-business-model.html

Page 38: What's next for TV?

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Chance zum Direktvertrieb!

$1 Mio in 12 Tagen!

https://buy.louisck.net/news

Page 39: What's next for TV?

NEUE ANBIETER

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40

TV670 MioCHF

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Amazon/Hulu/Netflix

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vs.

Das Spiel beginnt in UK

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All3MediaBBC WorldwideCBSChannel 4’s 4oDDisneyITV, Lionsgate UKMGMMiramaxMomentum PicturesNBCUniversalParamountSony PicturesTwentieth Century FoxViacom

vs.

Kampf um online Inhalte

Sony Pictures Warner Bros.

Entertainment OneStudio Canal

DisneyLionsgate

Momentum ITV

BBC Worldwide

£4.99 £5.99

Page 44: What's next for TV?

Netflix & Hulu produzieren Inhalte!

Netflix – Lilyhammer

Page 45: What's next for TV?

45

Facebook

Page 46: What's next for TV?

= Guide

Page 47: What's next for TV?

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„We’ve talked to broadcasters about putting their whole EPG as events on Facebook, and letting people RSVP to them to get a reminder.“Christian Hernandez Gallardo – Head of International Business Development Facebook

http://blog.mipworld.com/2011/04/liveblog-facebook-on-engaging-passionate-fans/

Facebook als TV Guide 2.0

Page 48: What's next for TV?

= Plattform

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„Facebook would stream Vevo's music videos and the two companies would sell ads and share in the profits, the sources said.“

http://news.cnet.com/8301-31001_3-57362453-261/facebook-in-talks-to-replace-youtube-as-vevos-host/

Facebook als Medienplattform

Page 50: What's next for TV?

50

Microsoft/Sony

Page 51: What's next for TV?

Darf ich vorstellen? XBox Live

The XBox is an entertainment device.

We see nothing but opportunity there.

Page 52: What's next for TV?

HD Inhalte über das INTERNET

52

30 Std Video pro Monat!

Page 53: What's next for TV?

53

Google/Apple

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“Google is in the very, very early phases of adding consumer products to our portfolio. [...] The media industry didn’t see us as that. They saw us a search company.”

– Andy Rubin SVP Mobile @Google

http://allthingsd.com/20111019/google-music-store-with-a-twist-coming-soon-says-android-boss/

Page 55: What's next for TV?

Überarbeitetes Google TV

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One more thing ...

?I finally cracked it.

– Steve Jobs

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57

What‘s next?

Page 58: What's next for TV?

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Connect the dots ...

NACHFRAGE

NEUER ZUGANG

NEUER KONTEXT

AN

BIET

ER

INH

ALT

E

Page 59: What's next for TV?

Vielen Dank!

KontaktBertram Gugel

M: +49 179 22 1 77 63

[email protected] www.gugelproductions.de@digitalerfilm