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Page 1: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

25-1263-010

Page 2: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

2

25-1263-010

2008 7 28 5

CAD CENTER 3 MAP CUBE

17(1994 1

2011 8 7

AMeDAS

2011 8 7

Page 3: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

3

25-1263-010

2008 7 28 5

GPV

2014

Page 4: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

2

................................................................................................................... 3 ..................................................................................................... 3 ..................................................................................................... 3

.................... 4 .................................................... 5

2011 ................................................................. 5 , ) ............................................................... 6

............................................. 8 ................................ 12

.................. 16 CTRL ................................. 16

PDDY ........................................ 19 ................................................................................................... 22

Hasti Widyasamratri

Page 5: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

3

mm )

)

2008 7 28 3

5 15 2

1.34m ) 2008 8 5

5 11 40

11 35 12 33)

2008 ) 2009 ) 2011)

Page 6: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

4

CReSiBUC

(Souma et al., 2013) ) CReSiBUC

CReSS (Tsuboki and Sakakibara, 2002) )

SiBUC (Tanaka, 2004) )

SiBUC

1

CReSiBUC)

1994

CAD CENTER 3 MAP

CUBE

2km

17 500m

2010

1994 ) 1

1

Page 7: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

5

2011 8 27

2011 8 27

14 16 08 1 77.5mm

16 30 1 100mm

87 234

9

2 1

3 10

Page 8: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

6

2 1

33.8 14 15

3 14 16 50 10

15 20

15 10 16 20 1

4 2011 8 26 27 9 26

27

4 2011 8 26 27 9

HP )

, )

Page 9: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

7

3.2.2

9.8 /km

100m 0.5

1960

2008

Page 10: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

8

5 7 a) 10 60 AMeDAS

13 50

14 00

14 10 20

14 40 15 14

15 10 20

15 30 40

a) 20

1km 10

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9

5 2011 8 27 10 60

Page 12: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

10

6 2011 8 27 10 60

Page 13: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

11

7 2011 8 27 10 60

Page 14: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

12

8 2011 8 27

10

9 2011 8 27 1 20 g/m3

8 16 18 g/m3 b)

13 14

10 500hPa 5000m

6 3

11 c) 2011 8 27 12 15 500hPa

500hPa 6

15 5

b) 1 g/

c)

32011 5km 3

Page 15: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

13

8 2011 8 27 10

Page 16: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

14

9 2011 8 27 1

10 2011 8 27 9 500hPa

Page 17: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

15

11 2011 8 27 12 15 500hPa

Page 18: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

16

CTRL

12 240 240 45 2km 2011

8 27 12 21

12

13 2011 8 27 14-20 6

CTRL

CTRL

14 2011 8 27 15-17 17-19 2

CTRL

15-17

17-19

CTRL 2

Page 19: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

17

13 2011 8 27 6 CTRL

15 2011 8 27 CTRLd)

15

17

AMeDAS

d) kg/(m2s) ( m/s)× kg/kg)× kg/ m3

1 m2

Page 20: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

18

14 2011 8 27 2 CTRL

Page 21: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

19

15 2011 8 27 CTRL

PDDY

PDDY CTRL

2011

16 CTRL

PDDY 2011 8 27 2 15-17

CTRL PDDY

CTRL 17-19

CTRL

17 2011 8 27 14-20 6 CTRL PDDY

CTRL PDDY CTRL

CTRL PDDY

Page 22: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

20

16 2011 8 27 CTRL PDDY 2

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21

17 2011 8 27 6 CTRL PDDY

Page 24: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

22

2011 8 27

CAD CENTER

SiBUC CReSS

CReSS SiBUC

Page 25: ] Z ö5 Bpublic-report.kasen.or.jp/251263010.pdf · Hasti Widyasamratri #'*Ë>8 £ ± Û ± Û7T Û d Û)r M*ñ4 \7 v æ)r È'ö#."I 9 ¥ î « $ 1"&ì>1 º#Õ û4T l,< #'*Ë>8

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) (2009): , :

2014 04 21 , http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/info/ooametebiki_main.pdf) (2009): , : 2014 04

21 , http://www.mlit.go.jp/common/000034320.pdf) (2009): 2008 7 28

, 20 : 20-1251-1 , p.36.) (2008):

, p.19.) (2008)

pp.191.) (2009)

53 pp.277-282.) (2012)

200853 pp.403-408.

) Kazuyoshi Souma, Kenji Tanaka, Tadashi Suetsugi, Kengo Sunada, Kazuhisa Tsuboki, Taro Shinoda, Yuqing Wang, Atsushi Sakakibara, Koichi Hasegawa, Qoosaku Moteki, and Eiichi Nakakita (2013): A comparison between the effects of artificial land cover and anthropogenic heat on a localized heavy rain event in 2008 in Zoshigaya, Tokyo, Japan, Journal of Geophysical Research, 118, pp.11,600-11,610, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50850.

) Kazuhisa Tsuboki and Atsushi Sakakibara (2002): Large-scale parallel computing of Cloud Resolving Storm Simulator, High Performance Computing. Zima H. P. et al. (eds), Springer, Germany, pp.243-259.

) Kenji Tanaka: Development of the new land surface scheme SiBUC commonly applicable to

basin water management and numerical weather prediction model, doctoral dissertation, Kyoto

Univ., 2004.) , , , , , , (2013):

2011 ,2013 , pp.14-15.

31 pp.263-273. ) , , , : 2014 04 21 ,http://www.data.jma.go.jp/fcd/yoho/hibiten/index.html

) (2001): , , p. 309. ) (1999): [ 2 ], , p. 308.

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Hasti Widyasamratri