1 lundin petroleum · forecast 2009 wf10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20...

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Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day Presentation January 2010 WF10878 1

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Page 1: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Lundin Petroleum

Capital Market Day PresentationJanuary 2010WF10878

1

Page 2: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Lundin Petroleum - Continued Focused Growth

WF9189a 01.10

Indonesia3 production licences,4 exploration licences

Vietnam1 exploration licence

Malaysia3 exploration licences

Netherlands

France

NorwayUnited Kingdom

Ireland2 exploration licences

14 production licences,9 exploration licences

18 production licences,1 exploration licence

3 production licences,1 development licence,39 exploration licences

1 production licence,2 development licences

4 production licences,11 exploration licences

2 exploration licences

Russia2 producing licences,1 exploration licence

Congo Brazzaville

Tunisia

Three Core Areas: Europe, Russia, Far East

2

Page 3: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Lundin Petroleum - Continued Focused Growth

WF9189b 01.10

Organic reserves growth400% reserve replacement ratio achieved over the last two years

Production growth20% production growth in 200950,000 boepd by end 2010 with Volund on streamFurther production growth with Luno, UK redevelopment and Norway tieback opportunities

Norway, Greater Luno Area, Barents SeaSouth East AsiaRussiaUSD 290 million budget, 11 wells in 2010

Material contingent resource inventory

Exploration leverage

Strong balance sheet and operating cash �ow

3

Page 4: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

2009 Financial Performance

WF10878

Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

4

Page 5: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Revenue

Cost of operationsTariffsProduction taxesStock movementOther

Cash Margin Netback

39.00

-16.95-2.20-1.80-0.850.00

17.20

2009 Forecast Margin Netback [USD/boe]

CMDJan 09

40.0061.65

Forecast2009

WF10877 p3 01.10

oil price

57.80

-16.45-2.20-2.900.30

-0.20

36.35

5

Page 6: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p4 01.10

2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe]

Average Brent oil price

Sales differential RussiaGas price differentialOther

Sales price achieved

Adjustment sales to production boeGovernment takeUK quality differenceInventory movementsTariff receipts & other income

Effective sales price per boe produced

40.00

-2.25-0.350.65

38.05

0.00-0.40-0.400.551.20

39.00

61.65

-3.40-1.650.55

57.15

0.05-1.65-0.451.501.20

57.80

CMDJan 09

Forecast2009

6

Page 7: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p6 01.10

0

10

20

30

40

0

10

20

30

40

UK Indonesia Tunisia Norway Russia LUPE AverageFrance Netherlands

2009 CMD2009 Forecast

2009 Forecast Cost of Operations

USD

/boe U

SD/boe

38.4

0

14.0

5

11.9

0

22.7

5

39.2

0

4.35

8.35

16.9

5

34.5

5

26.8

5

4.80

8.50

16.4

5

22.4

5

12.3

015.2

0

7

Page 8: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p13 01.10

2009 Forecast Quarterly Operating Cost

Cost of operationsTari� and transportation expensesRoyalty and direct taxesOtherTotal production costs

Changes in inventory/overliftTotal operating cost

21.102.503.400.20

27.20

-2.2025.00

Operating Cost (USD per boe)

15.742.043.500.20

21.48

4.3725.85

14.952.022.700.20

19.87

-0.5219.35

14.282.312.080.20

18.87

-3.1515.72

Q1Actual

Q2Actual

Q3Actual

Q4Forecast

16.452.202.900.20

21.75

-0.3021.45

2009Forecast

(1)

(1) One-o� items in UK including Thistle coiled tubing and Broom DSV projects

8

Page 9: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p7 01.10

Norway: PL006c Hyme, PL304 Aegis, PL363 Mon, PL412 Tasta wells

Russia: Petrovskaya-1 well

Cambodia: Block E

Vietnam: 06/94 Tuong Vi well

UK: Exploration licence relinquisments

Indonesia: Salawati Island & Basin wells

Congo (Brazzaville): Marine XI Liyeke well

France

Other

2009 Forecast Exploration Costs

69

35

11

7

6

4

3

3

2

140

3

35

11

0

0

0

0

0

0

49

1

19

8

0

0

0

0

0

0

28

2009 Forecast Exploration Costs

2009Forecast (1)

MUSD

Q4 2009Forecast (1)

MUSD

Q4 2009Forecast

after Deferred Tax & Minority Interest

MUSD

(1) Before deferred tax and minority interest

9

Page 10: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p15 01.10

Russia - Lagansky

Carrying value of Lagansky 850 MUSDIncluding Goodwill

Current value is under review

Likely impairment of value in year end accounts

10

Page 11: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p12 01.10

2009 Forecast Operating Cash Flow Netback (USD/boe)

Cash Margin NetbackCash taxesOperating Cash Flow Netback

36.35-2.1534.20

Development CapexExploration Capex

14.9021.50

2009Forecast

480 MUSD

11

Page 12: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p11 01.10

Effective Forecast Tax Rate Reconciliation

2009 effective tax rate before one-off items: 65%

Exploration costs Etrion writedown of Venezuela oil and gas assets Receipt of ShaMaran shares

Sale of Oilgaztet/Kalmeastern

Sale of NOGAT

2009 effective tax rate: 96% (1)

(1) Before any impairments

12

Page 13: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p10 01.10

2009 Forecast Taxation

Current tax charge

Deferred tax charge

2.15

7.35

9.50

USD/boe

13

Page 14: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10877 p9 01.10

2009 Forecast Other Items

Etrion (formerly Petrofalcon) (Q309)Full consolidation from 30 September 2009Write down of Venezuela oil and gas assets MUSD 52.6 expensed(MUSD 22.8 through share in result of associated company MUSD 29.8 throughfinancial expenses)

Lundin received 50 million shares in ShaMaran in relation to a deal concerningKurdistan exploration licencesMUSD 19.8 recognised in financial incomeA further 50 million shares will be received contingent upon the approval of adevelopment plan for the Pulkhana Block PSC

Oilgaztet sold mid-September 2009: MUSD 12 accounting loss recognised (Q309)Kalmeastern sold mid-December 2009: MUSD 14 accounting loss to be recognised (Q409)

ShaMaran Petroleum (Q409)

Sale of Oilgaztet/Kalmeastern (Q3/Q4 09)

1.8% holding in NOGAT BV sold: MUSD 10 accounting gain recognisedSale of NOGAT (Q309)

14

Page 15: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

Production and Resources

WF10878

15

Page 16: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

2010 Proven & Probable Reserves

WF10892 p1 01.10

Total 255.9 MMboe01.01.2009 MMboe 217.5

- Produced 13.9+ New reserves (excl sales/acquisitions)

Oil Price (Brent) USD 65/bbl flat

55.3- Sales 3.0

01.01.2010 MMboe 255.9

Reserves Replacement Ratio 398%

Increase in Reserves 26%

France (21.9)

Indonesia (13.7)

Netherlands (3.4)

Norway (120.9)Tunisia (0.3)

U.K. (78.8)

Russia (16.9)

Oil 85.5%

Gas 14.5%

Tax Royalty 95%

PSC 5%

16

Page 17: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Reserves Growth

WF10892 p2 01.10

Reserves Replacement Ratio of 361% (cumulative production: 76.3 MMBOE)

1.1.2003 1.1.2004 1.1.2005 1.1.2006 1.1.2007 1.1.2008 1.1.2009 1.1.20100

50

100

150

200

250

RussiaU.K.NorwayTunisiaVenezuelaNetherlandsIndonesiaFrance

300

MM

boe

17

Page 18: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Reserves Changes

WF10892 p3 01.10

-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60

France

Indonesia

Netherlands

Norway

Tunisia

U.K.

Russia

MMboe

Russia - Sale of KalmEastern and OilGazTet - Komi reserves increase from good reservoir performanceNorway - Luno and Pi moved from Contingent into Reserves

Net ReplacementProduced in 2009

Sales/Acquisition

18

Page 19: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Contingent Resources [01.01.10]

WF10891 p1 01.10

Contingent Resources net Lundin Petroleum 285 MMboe

Norway, 44.6*

UK, 54.3

Tunisia, 7.9

France, 9.6 Indonesia, 4.3

Congo (Brazzaville), 1.4

Russia, 163.3

Krabbe 9.1 MMboeMarihøne 4.8 MMboeAlvheim 8 MMboeLuno 4.8 MMboe

Thistle 16.9 MMboe Heather Brent 7.1 MMboeHeather Trias. 9.3 MMboe

Morskaya 163.3 MMboe

* Excludes Ragnarrock and Luno South discoveries in Norway

19

Page 20: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Contingent Resource Movement

-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60

Norway - Alvheim

Norway - Pi

Norway - PL340

Norway - Krabbe

Norway - Luno

Russia - Morskaya

Congo (Brazzaville)

MMBoe

CR to Reserves

Acquisition

Kameleon infills

Equity increase

Viodo well test results

Marihone A discovery

CR to Reserves

WF10891 p2 01.10

20

Page 21: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Contingent Resource - Historic

WF10891 p4 01.10

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1.1.2006 1.3.2007 1.1.2008 1.1.2009 1.1.2010

MM

boe

Russia

Venezuela

Ireland

Nigeria

Congo (Brazzaville)

Indonesia

Tunisia

France

Norway

UK

21

Page 22: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10835 CMD p2 01.10

Development Work Programme and Budget 2010

UNITED KINGDOM

BROOM

- Drill 1 well

- Installation of new flowline

THISTLE

- Drilling programme 4 wells/Workovers

- Don satellite field third party service

NORWAY

VOLUND

- Drill Phase 2 (2 production wells)

ALVHEIM

- Drill Phase 2 (3 producers)

NETHERLANDS

- Development drilling

FRANCE

- Mimosa development

INDONESIA

- Singa to come on production 1H 2010

- Salawatis drilling

RUSSIA

- Komi drilling

2010 Forecast 250 MUSD

Russia, 9

Norway, 75UK, 134

Other, 32

22

Page 23: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Prospective Resources

WF10880b 01.10

Norway 61%

SE Asia24%

Russia/Others15%

End of 2009 net unrisked prospective resources~1736 MMboe (prospects only)

23

Page 24: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Targeted Prospective Resources – 2010 Drilling

WF10880c 01.10

2010 exploration drilling

2010 drilling is targeting 332 MMboewhich represents 19% of total

Prospective Resources portfolio

8 of the 11 wells will be drilled in Norway, comprising approximately 90% of the targeted net unrisked prospective resourcesTwo wells are in Vietnam with one location still to be con�rmed One well in Congo (Brazzaville)

11 exploration wells in 2010

MakoualaFrusalen

Vietnam well No.2Hoa Hong

Earb Sor

Norall

Luno 3

Marihøne B

Barchan

Avaldsnes

Luno High

LUPE 2010 exploration targets

24

Page 25: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Targeted Prospective Resources – 2010 Drilling Schedule

WF10880d 01.10

Country Licence - Prospect Operator LUPE% NURPR CoS%

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

Norway

Norway

Norway

Vietnam

Norway

VietnamCongo(Brazzaville)

Det norske

Lundin

Marathon

Pearl

Marathon

Pearl

SOCO

30.00

70.00

15.00

30.00

33.33

33.33

21.55

14.3

18.6

1.4

24.3

21.1

-

6.6

-

27

36

34

18

20

34

PL476 - Frusalen

Norway

Norway

Norway

Lundin

Lundin

Lundin

40.00

40.00

70.00

41.2

50.8

79.1

36

36

36

PL359 - Luno High

PL501 - Avaldsnes

PL410 - Luno 3

PL409 - Norall

PL340 - Marihøne B

Block 06/94 - Hoa Hong

PL505 - Earb Sor

Block 06/94 - Well No. 2

Block Marine XIV - Makouala

Norway Lundin 50.00 74.5

NRPR

3.9

6.7

0.5

4.4

4.2

-

2.2

14.8

18.3

28.5

13.418PL400 - Barchan

332 97

operated non operated

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4(1)

(1) Net Unrisked Prospective Resources (MMboe)(2) Net Risked Prospective Resources (MMboe)

(2)

25

Page 26: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10836 CMD 01.10

Exploration Work Programme and Budget 2010

NORWAY- 8 exploration wells- 520 km2 3D seismic- APA Round- Ongoing development studies on Nemo, Luno, Pi, Krabbe

CONGO (Brazzaville)

2010 Forecast 290 MUSD

- 1 exploration well

IRELAND

Russia, 31

Norway, 190

Vietnam, 22

Indonesia, 19

Other, 16

Congo, 12

- 3D seismic

VIETNAM- 2 exploration wells

MALAYSIA- 3D seismic interpretation

INDONESIA- Rangkas 2D seismic- Cakalang 2D/3D seismic - Baronang 3D seismic- Salawati Basin drilling

RUSSIA - Lagansky- 3D seismic- Construct self elevating platform for continued exploration drilling

11 Exploration Wells

26

Page 27: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

2009 Production Performance

WF10877 p2 01.10

Net boepd

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Q4 (forecast)Q1 Q2 Q3

CMD High

Actual 2009

CMD Low

Norway14,000 boepd

Tunisia1,400 boepd

UK10,200 boepd

Russia4,700 boepd

Indonesia2,500 boepd

Netherlands2,000 boepd

France3,400 boepd

2009 production guidance 35,000 - 42,000 boepd2009 forecast: 38,200 boepd*

* after minority interest

27

Page 28: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

2010 Production Forecast

WF10022 01.10

Net boepd

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

CMD High

CMD Low

Q4Q1 Q2 Q3

Norway40%

Tunisia2%

UK26%

Russia11%

Indonesia9%

Netherlands4%

France8%

NorwayVolund �rst production timingAlvheim vessel regularity and plant capacity

Heather planned maintenance durationBroom pipeline replacementBroom development wellThistle in�ll drilling

IndonesiaSinga �rst gas

UK

2010 production guidance 38,000 - 44,000 boepd

28

Page 29: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Lundin Norway AS (7)

Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

Norway

WF10878

29

Page 30: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Norway

WF10757a 01.10

Organic growth strategy supported by a first class and experienced core team

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

31.12.2003

31.12.2004

31.12.2005

31.12.2006

31.12.2007

31.12.2008

16.09.2009

19.01.2010

Norway number of licences Number of licences per Company pre APA2009 award

Production licences

Exploration licences Torstein Sanness, MD Norway

New APA 2009 Award

0

50

100

150

200

250

Stato

ilTo

tal

Det Norsk

e

Win

tersh

all

Exxon Eni

Noreco

ConocoPhillips

Talis

man

RweGdf

DongEon

ShellVng

Bayern

Centrica Bg

Faro

e Bp

Petro-c

anada

Mara

thon

Rocksourc

eOm

v

Lundin Norway ranked No.3 in terms of operated licences (pre APA 2009)

LUNDIN NORWAY

30

Page 31: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Norway Contingent Resources & Reserves

WF10757c 01.10

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Norway Reserves and Contingent Resources

Hyd

roca

rbo

n V

olu

me

[MM

bo

e]

CR

2P

2010 CR: Luno South discovery not yet included

Positive impact of latest Luno appraisal well not included in reserves or contingent resources

2P reserves increased year by year from 36 MMboe (2005) to 121 MMboe (2010) +336% in 6 years

31

Page 32: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Norway Resources

WF10757c p 01.10

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,800

1,600

01.01.2005 01.01.2006 01.01.2007 01.01.2008 01.01.2009 01.01.2010

Norway Reserves and Contingent & Prospective Resources

Hyd

roca

rbo

n V

olu

me

[mm

bo

e]

PR

CR

2P

Statoil & Centrica farmout- 2009 exploration drilling programme2009 APA not included

32

Page 33: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Norway - Production Growth

Alvheim on production and Volund completed

WF10890 p1 01.10

0

- Krabbe

- Pi- Nemo

- Peik

- Luno

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Volund

Alvheim

15,000 boepd

Jotun

33

Page 34: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Proven Track Record

WF10757d 01.10

Exploration Wells Drilled up to 25 Nov 2009

Commercial Discoveries up to 25 Nov 2009

Cumulative E&A Spend up to end Sept 09, MMUSD

Finding Cost USD/boe

Success Rate (commercial successes)*

* Does not include Luno South

11

5

398

4.4

45%

Volund, Luno, Pi North, Marihone A, Viper

Hans Rønnevik

People = key

Proven basin & petroleum system

Close to infrastructure

Leading edge technology with emphasis on new 3D seismic acquisitionOver 7,115 km2 acquired since 2004 & 48,135 km2 of 3D seismic reprocessed.

34

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Norway - 2010 Work Programme & Budget

Development Budget

2010 Net Unrisked TargettedResources : ~ 300 MMboe

Phase 2 drilling AlvheimPhase 2 drilling Volund

8 exploration wells

USD 75 MM

WF10890 p3 01.10

Exploration Budget USD 190 MM

35

Page 36: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Focused Approach - 4 Key Growth Areas

WF10757b 09.08

Greater Alvheim Area

Greater Luno Area

Barents Sea Area

Greater Luno Area

Barents Sea Area

Greater Alvheim Area

Subsea tieback developmentopportunities

2009 APA award

36

Page 37: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Greater Alvheim Area

WF10876a 01.10

0090025

0024

Alvheim field

Peik field

Volund field

Marihøne

UK

Norway

0 KM 15

PL304

PL505

PL546

PL412

PL363

PL413

PL203

PL340

PL340BS

PL505BS

PL547S

PL150

PL036c

PL088P090

Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner

2009 APA Award

37

Page 38: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

PL203

PL203

PL150

PL150

P1283P1283

PL340PL340

PL413

PL413

PL088 BS

P090

P090

PL036C

PL036C

PL088PL088

PL088

PL088

PL088 BS

PL088 BS

GEKKO

ALVHEIM

ALVHEIM

VOLUND

HEIMDAL

PEIK (UK)

PEIK (NO)

SKENE

0025

009

0024

25/7-6

25/7-5

25/4-8

25/4-7

25/4-3

24/9-7

24/9-624/9-5

24/9-4

24/6-3

24/6-2

24/6-1

9/19-12

9/15b-49/15b-3

9/15a-2

9/15a-1

9/14a-6

9/14b-2B

0 KM 4

LundinPetroleum Partner

LundinPetroleum Operator

Volund

Alvheim

UK

Norway

PL547S

Lundin Petroleum 15% Marathon 65% (operator), ConocoPhillips 20%

Gross ultimate recovery 246 MMboe

2009 forecast net production 14,000 boepd, (above budget)

Alvheim Phase 2 drilling to commence in 2010

FPSO status 140,000 bopd capacity currently full

Lundin Petroleum 35% Marathon 65% (operator)

Gross reserves 49 MMboe

Subsea tie-back to Alvheim

Net plateau production 8,700 boepd

Development of Phase 1 completed

Phase 2 development drilling (2 wells) has commenced

First oil first half 2010

Opex Cost: - OPEX/boe is 8 USD/boe

Alvheim Field

Volund Field

WF10604 L6 11.09

Greater Alvheim Area - Norway Production

2009 APA Award

38

Page 39: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Greater Alvheim Area - Alvheim Vessel & Subsea Equipment

WF10876b 01.10

Alvheim, Vilje & Volund Field Developments

39

Page 40: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Greater Alvheim Area - Alvheim Reserve Growth

WF10876c 01.10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

PDO 2005 2006 2007 20092008

27.625.1

28.4

32.2

40

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

33.4

29.7

Alvheim net Lundin 2P reserves

Cumulative Production

Alvheim field latest 2P (gross) ultimate recovery : 246 MMboe

Hyd

roca

rbon

Vol

ume

[MM

boe]

End of Year Reserves

2.37.3

40

Page 41: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Greater Alvheim Area - Alvheim Field - Development Wells

WF10029 01.10

BOA 12

Kameleon

East Kameleon

Kneler

BoaBOA 11

BOA 09

KAM 02

KN 02

KN 05

KN 03

KN 06

KN 07

KAM 01

Drilled Development Wells

10 producers, 4 of them branch wells

41

Page 42: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Greater Alvheim Area - Alvheim Field - Phase 2

WF10029 01.10

BOA 12

Kameleon

East Kameleon

Kneler

BoaBOA 11

BOA 09

KAM 03

KAM 02

EKAM 01

EKAM 02

KN 02

KN 05

KN 03

KN 06

KN 07

KAM 01

Drilled Development WellsPhase 2 Targets

The 3rd Kameleon well and two branch producers at East KameleonDrilling start summer 2010 with Songa Dee

Drilling Phase 2

Opex cost in 2010

Opex /boe 5.2 USD/boe including opex income from Vilje

Opex /boe 4.1 USD/boe including further tariff income from Volund

42

Page 43: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10819 01.10

PL203

PL203

PL150

PL150

P1283P1283

PL340

PL340

PL505

PL547S

PL505BS

PL340BS

PL413

PL413

PL088 BS

P090

P090

PL036C

PL036C

PL088PL088

PL088

PL088 bs

PL088 BS

GEKKO

ALVHEIM

VOLUND

GAMMA

HEIMDAL

PEIK

SKENE

0025

009

0024

25/7-6

25/7-5

25/4-8

25/4-7

25/4-3

24/9-624/9-5

24/9-4

24/6-3

24/6-2

24/6-1

9/19-12

9/15b-49/15b-3

9/15a-2

9/15a-1

9/14a-6

9/14b-2B

0 KM 4

LundinPetroleum PartnerLundinPetroleum Operator

UK

Norway

PL340 (15%) Marihøne discovery 20-30 MMboe Delineated with two sidetracks Likely tieback to Alvheim FPSO Other prospectivity in block. Further exploration well in 2010

PL203 (15%) Viper oil discovery 5-10 MMboe South Kneler gas discovery - possible extension of Gekko gas accumulation

Alvheim Deep prospect Gross recoverable prospective resources 950 bcf

Greater Alvheim Area - Exploration

Marihøne BProspect

Marihøne CProspect

Padde Prospect

Alvheim DeepProspect

FroskProspect

Viper Oil Discovery

South KnelerGas Discovery

Marihøne ADiscovery

2009 APA Award

43

Page 44: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF9891 01.10

Greater Alvheim Area - PL340 Further Prospectivity

Light oil found in an area assumed to be either gas or heavy biodegraded oil

Marihøne has opened up several additional prospects ready to be drilled

PL304

PL340

PL150

PL203

PL547S

PL340BS

150

0025

0024

19

9b

9c

7b

9a

24b

24aS

9e

24aN

9d

19F1

GEKKO

VOLUND

MACLURE

GAMMA

SKENE

BRORA

5

8

4

2

7

65

4

3

21

4

3

21

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

21

8

13

12

11

2A

0 4 82

Kilometers

Marihøne BProspect

Marihøne CProspect

Padde Prospect

FroskProspect

Marihøne ADiscovery

CaterpillarProspect

MMboeDiscovery

20-30Marihøne A

MMboe

Marihøne B139

426

12

Marihøne CPaddeFroskCaterpillar (APA 2009)

Prospect

LundinPetroleum PartnerLundinPetroleum Operator

2009 APA Award

44

Page 45: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10018 01.10

Successfully appraised in 2009 Tested 4,000 boepd

Lundin Petroleum interest: 50% (operator) Wintershall 30%, RWE 20%

Discovery 16/1-8 Major light oil discoveryTested 5,700 boepdSignificant working interest in adjoining acreage

Proved and probable gross reservescerti�ed by Ga�ney Cline & Associates

Discovered in 2007

Development planning ongoing

Second appraisal well completed early 2010 Confirmed reservoir extension Excellent reservoir characteristics at well location

Luno Field MMboe

365Oil in placeRecoverable reserves*

* Recovery factor 26%

Greater Luno Area - Luno Field

95

009

0016

0025

016

008

0015015

0024

0026

0017

PL304

PL359

PL338 PL501PL265

PL505

PL505BS

PL547S

PL340BSPL546

PL544

PL410

PL409

PL412

PL363PL413

PL203

PL340

PL150

PL036c

PL088P090

PL167PL167B

0 20KM

Alvheim fieldPeik field

Volund field

Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner

UK

Norway

Luno Field

2009 APA Award

45

Page 46: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

PL338 (50%) Luno discovery 2007 Successfully appraised 2009 (16/1-10) 2P reserves of 95 MMboe gross Second appraisal successfully completed in January 2010 likely positive impact on reserves Concept selection 4Q 2010 Development Plan submission 1H 2011

Greater Luno Area - Luno Discovery

PL338 (Lundin 50%)

PL501 (Lundin 40%)

PL167 (Lundin 20%)

16/1-10

16/1-13

PL359 (Lundin 40%) PL410 (Lundin 70%)

PL265 (Lundin 10%)

Luno Field(2P reserves)

Luno second appraisal well

DST & PA - Q40916/1-8Luno discovery

Luno appraisal well

WF10821 01.10

46

Page 47: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10598a 01.10

Greater Luno Area - Luno Discovery Conceptual Model

16/1-8 (Luno discovery well)

16/1-10(Luno appraisal well)

16/1-13(Luno appraisal well)

16/1-12(Luno South discovery well)

Tested4,000 bopdTested

5,700 bopd

OWC

TRIASSIC

?

??? ?

16/1-1016/1-131.2km

Top Ekofisk Fm.

Top Jura/Top Res.

Top Balder Fm.

Base Kimmeridge

OWC 1940 m

47

Page 48: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10883 01.10

Greater Luno Area - 2nd Appraisal (16/1-13) Summary

190. 193. 196. 199. 202. 205. 208. 211. 214. 217. 220.MDT:CQG

2150.

2110.

2070.

2030.

1990.

1950.

1910.

1870.

DEV

:TVD

SS

XPT/MDT pressuresFWL: 1939m TVD MSL

Porosity 30%Perm: 12 Darcy

Porosity 28%Perm: 8 Darcy

24 points plotted out of 13586Well Depths(18) 16/1-1 125.58M - 2195.93M

Core Sample

48

Page 49: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Gas export to Sleipner, 40km

WF10766 p 09.09

Greater Luno Area - Luno Conceptual Development

FPSO with subsea wells

Option 1

49

Page 50: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10766 p 09.09

Greater Luno Area - Luno Conceptual Development

Wellstream flowline

Power and Control cable

Tie-in module

Luno WHPHost

Jacket Based Host & Wellhead Platform (WHP)

Option 2

50

Page 51: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

PL338 (50%) Luno South discovery Exploration well completed as discovery Fractured basement reservoir with potential large oil volumes in place New play concept in Norway Technical and commercial review ongoing

Greater Luno Area - Luno South Discovery

PL338 (Lundin 50%)

PL501 (Lundin 40%)

PL167 (Lundin 20%)

16/1-10

PL359 (Lundin 40%) PL410 (Lundin 70%)

PL265 (Lundin 10%)

Luno Field(2P reserves)

Luno second appraisal well

currently drilling

16/1-12

16/2-416/2-3

16/2-5

Ragnarrock oil and gas field

Luno South discovery

16/1-8Luno discovery

WF10821 12.09

Luno appraisal well

51

Page 52: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Greater Luno Area - Luno South Discovery

WF10899 01.10

1922.4m

1922.4m

1922 m

UV LightWhite Light

Fluorescencein fractures

30cm sedimentaryrocks of LC age

No fractures in theconglomeratic layer

Start ofhighlyfracturedbasement

20cm core shift

The Core and FMI shows marked difference infracture intensity above and below

Image log of 16/1-12 Core 4

Core 5Mini DST zones 1922-1923m MD RKB

Porosity & Permeability in Basement Rocks

52

Page 53: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10884 01.10

Block 15-1Final Retention Area

Ke Ga

Mui Ne

Vung Tau

Cuu Long Basin

Block 15-1 Su TuDen �rst oil –October 2003 Su Tu Den Phase 1 area producing up to 70,000 bopd(gross) from Miocene & Basement reservoirs combined.

Rang Dong Field first oil - August 1998 Rang Dong producing at 30-40,000 bopd(gross)

Bach Ho field This is a giant oil �eld with reserves up to 1.0 -1.4 mmmbbls. Production from 1986 Max production ; 250,000 bopd; 90% of which come from the basement reservoir; the remaining comes from Oligocene and Miocene clastics

1X

2X

SuTu Nau

SuTu Den

SuTu Vang

SuTu Trang

4X

FPSO

Plat. A

SC-1X

1X

1X2X

3X4X

2X

3X

4X

1X

2Xst 3X

5X6X

NN

4 km4 km

5X

Block 15-1 Final Retention Area

NE

SW

1X

2X

SuTu Nau

SuTu Den

SuTu Vang

SuTu Trang

4X

FPSO

Plat. A

SC-1X

1X

1X2X

3X4X

2X

3X

4X

1X

2Xst 3X

5X6X

NN

4 km4 km

5X

Block 15-1 Final Retention Area

NE

SW

Greater Luno Area - Luno South Analogues [Vietnam Offshore]

53

Page 54: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10884 01.10

SV Field

2Km

Cross-Line

W EKirchhoff PSTM (2000) St

retc

hed

Dep

th m

(2002)

Top of Basement Depth Structure

LN0902 GLA Controlled Beam PSDM (2007)

Greater Luno Area - Luno South Analogues [Vietnam Offshore]

54

Page 55: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

PL 359 (40%) Exploration well in 2010 targeting Luno High in the north east corner of the licence Prospective resources 103 MMboe gross unrisked PL 409 (70%) Norall exploration well in 2010 Prospective resources 27 MMboe gross unrisked

PL 410 (70%) Luno 3 exploration well in 2010 Prospective resources 113 MMboe gross unrisked

PL 501 (40%) Avaldsnes exploration well in 2010 Prospective resources 127 MMboe gross unrisked

PL 265 (10%) Acquired from Talisman in December 2009 Contains Ragnarrock oil and gas discovery

PL544 (70%) 2009 APA Award

WF10821 01.10

Greater Luno Area - Further Exploration Potential

0016016 0015

0 KM 20UK

SLEIPNER WEST

SLEIPNER EASTOilGasCondensate

Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner2009 APA Award

Luno and Luno Southdiscoveries

PL359

PL410

PL409

PL304 PL546

PL544

PL338

PL502

PL265

Norway

16/2-416/2-3

16/2-1

16/1-8

16/1-416/1-1016/1-13

16/2-516/1-12

PL501

Total Net Unrisked Resource Potentialin Luno Area : 190 MMboe

55

Page 56: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10760 01.10

Greater Luno Area - Regional OWC Still Holds True

PL338

PL410

PL265 PL501

PL546PL546

PL544PL544

PL359

16/1-10OWC 1940m MSLOil shows to 1943.5m MSL

16/3-2Oil shows from1936 – 1991m MSLTO BE CONFIRMED

16/5-1Oil shows from 1898 – 1918m MSL

16/1-8OWC 1940m MSLOil shows to 1943.5m MSL

Closure due topinchout ofUpper Jurassicsands againstBasement

1940m Regional OWC

16/1-12Oil shows to 1942m MSLMDT 1946.8m MD RKBWater sample 1956m MD RKB

16/2-51852m MSL GOC1866m MSL OWCOil shows down to 1939m MSL

16/1-13OWC 1940m MSLOil shows to 1943.5m MSL

All wells drilled on southern Utsira Highabove 1940m MSL proved an oil/gas column

Everything ‘porous’ on southernUtsira High contains oil or gas

56

Page 57: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Barents Sea

WF10825 p3 01.10

Arenaria

Source:maps.grida.no

Nucula

Goliat

Obesum

Ververis

Shtokman

Obelix?

Lundin Licence area

SnøhvitOil & GasGas

Oil

57

Page 58: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF9900 11.09

PL438 Lundin Petroleum 25% (operator) 3 prospects. Skalle to be drilled in 2011

PL490 Lundin Petroleum 30% (operator) 2 leads likely to be matured into prospects

PL492 Lundin Petroleum 30% (operator) 1 lead likely to be matured into prospect

PL533 Lundin Petroleum 20% One large lead Rauto in addition to the Pulk prospect

Barents Sea - Drilling in 2011

ICELAND

71227121

71207119

7118

7116

7123

72247223

72227221

7225

72207219

72187217

7216

7124

7127

7226

71267125

7227

7317

7019

72287318 7319

7020

7320

7021

73217316 7323

7022

7215

7324 7325

Hammerfest

KM0 80

Barents Sea

PL438

PL492

PL533

PL563

PL490 SnoehvitArea

Goliath

21°E

0 KM 8

Lundin Norway Licences

Operated

Non-Operated

Licenced Area (NPD)

Prospect

Oil field

Gas field

2009 APA award

22°E

72°N

71°45’N

LavvoRein

Pulk

Skalle

Rauto

PL490PL563

PL533

PL438

PL492

4 drillable prospects matured in Lundin Petroleum portfolio

58

Page 59: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Barents Sea - Play Types in Lundin Norway Acreage

WF10825 p2 11.09

Lower to Middle Triassic

Paleocene

Shallow gas anomalies Shallow gas anomalies

1000

2000

3000

Upper Paleozoic Carbonates

Late Triassic

Early Jurassic

Cretaceous?

Cretaceous

Paleocene

Pleistocene

Pre Carboniferous

7120/1-1R 7120/2-1SkalleLavvo

0 KM 4

21°E22°E

72°N

71°45’N

Lavvo Rein

X-SectionPulk

SkallePL490

PL563

PL533

PL438

PL492

NW

SE

Possible Flat Spot

Bright Spot

59

Page 60: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

Barents Sea - New 3D and Old Reprocessed 3D

WF10824 c 11.09

Eni operated 3D seismic survey:

940 km2 (Lundin 20%)

Lundin operated 3D seismic surveys:

973 km2

19°30’0’’E

71°4

0’0’

’N72

°0’0

’’N72

°20’

0’’N

71°40’0’’N72°0’0’’N

72°20’0’’N

20°0’0’’E 20°30’0’’E

19°30’0’’E 20°0’0’’E 20°30’0’’E

21°0’0’’E

21°0’0’’E

0510 10 km

N

SNOEHVIT AREA

OLD 3D, Merged in

512 km2

940 km2

344 km2

117 km2

Significant new 3D seismic being acquired/processed and interpreted to capture significantprospectivity in an underexplored but proven petroleum region

60

Page 61: 1 Lundin Petroleum · Forecast 2009 WF10877 p3 01.10 oil price 57.80-16.45-2.20-2.90 0.30-0.20 36.35 5. WF10877 p4 01.10 2009 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe] Average Brent

WF10881 p3 01.10

Subsea Tieback Development Opportunities

Nemo

Krabbe

Pi

Peik

FieldFirst Oil

(DG4) dateNet Resources

MMboeForecast Net

Production* boepd

8.9

9.1

8.6

15.31

6,000

4,800

4,800

8,6001

2013

2014

2012

Sanction(DG2) date

2Q10

3Q10

4Q09

2Q092

* Lundin Initial Production

Total 41.9 24,200

1 Assumes Lundin Petroleum ~40% equity across border (UK/Norway) and includes both UK and Norway

2 DG2 reached but project on hold subject to improved UK gas market

61

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Subsea Tieback Development Opportunities - PL292 Pi

WF10770c 01.10

PL292 is located in Blocks 6/3 and 15/12

Lundin Petroleum 40%BG Norge 60% (operator)

2P gross reserves of 21.5 MMboe

PDO submission 2010

First production 2012

Tie-back to Armada (BG operated) in UK

022 00070006

0015

016

0016

1

3

5a

5b

5c

4c

10a12g

5aF1

12a

4b

5bF1

9 10a

4aF1

29aF112c

10b

12f

10b

29cF129c

12d29aE12e

4a

6

PL292PL292b

REV

SEYMOUR

0015/12 (Area 8)

1

8

2

8

7

4

3

2

6

7

9

15

15/12-19

6/3-114

12

13

11

10

Pi Discovery

0 5KM

UK

Norway

ArmadaFields

62

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WF10881 p1 01.10

Subsea Tieback Development Opportunities - PL148 Nemo

UK

PL453 SPL453 S

PL292

PL292

PL148

PL148

PL301

PL495

PL292B

54km

22km

22km

0006/03 PI

022/08 (Area 2)

ARBROATH

PIERCE

HOWE

Mime

MONTROSE

HERON

Mungo

NemoNemo

Krabbe

BRECHIN

SKUA

MARIA

MONAN

CARNOUSTIE

WOOD

MIRREN

022/28 (Area 2)

PHYLLIS

KATE

Ula

ARKWRIGHT

EGRET

BANKS

SHELLEY

MORTIMER

022/15 (Area 2)

MILLBURN

SEAGULL

022/14 (Area 3)

MALLORY

Marnock

EVEREST N;S AND CATS

LOMOND

COLUMBUSFIDDICH

MERGANSER

COD

SEYMOUR

02207

023

0 20KM

NORWAY

Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner

Lundin Petroleum 50% interest (operator) Partner: Talisman (30%) Noreco (20%) Field development project - Nemo Ongoing concept study (DG2) 2P Gross reserves: 17.8 MMboe Development options: Tie-in to Mungo/ETAP (BP-UK) Tie-in to Pierce (Shell-UK) Tie-in to Ula (BP-Norway)

63

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WF10881 p2 01.10

Subsea Tieback Development Opportunities - PL301 Krabbe

Lundin Petroleum 40% interest (operator) Partner: Skeie Energy AS (60%)

Field development project - Krabbe Ongoing feasibility study (DG1) Contingent resource potential: 22 MMboe Development options: Tie-in to Pierce (Shell-UK) Tie-in to Ula (BP-Norway)

Re-development option – Mime

Exploration potential – Miming Potential exploration well

UK

PL453 SPL453 S

PL148

PL148

PL301

PL495

SHEARWATER

Pierce

Tambar

MimingProspect

Mungo

Nemo

Krabbe1 well discovery (1983)

MimeDiscovered (1982)Produced 1990-93

MONAN

MIRREN

PHYLLIS

Ula

BANKS

MORTIMER

022/15 (Area 2)

030/01 (Area 7)

Ula Nth

MARNOCK LOMOND

COLUMBUS

MERGANSER

OSELVAR

COD

OCKLEYFRANKLIN WEST

07

023

0 20KM

NORWAY

Lundin OperatorLundin Partner

64

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WF10420 01.10

Subsea Tieback Development Opportunities - Peik

Reserves: 37 MMboe Gross

Lundin Petroleum equity (UK and Norway): ~40%

Project on hold subject to improved gas market

Well “C” Well “B”

Top Reservoir

THugin

Well “A”009

0025

0024

Alvheim field

Peik field

Volund field

Marihøne

UKNorway

PL304

PL505

PL546

PL412

PL363

PL413

PL203

PL340

PL340BS

PL505BS

PL547S

PL150

PL036c

PL088P090

0 15

Lundin Petroleum OperatorLundin Petroleum Partner

2009 APA Award

KM

65

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Norway

UK

Sweden

Norway Exploration Wells in 2010-2012

PL 533 Rauto 20111

PL 476 Frusalen 2010 Trolltind 2011

5

8

PL167 1 well 201112

PL 203 Alvheim Deep 2012 PL 340 Marihøne B 2010

9 PL 505 Earb 201010

PL492/PL533 Pulk 2012PL492 Bieksu 2012

2

PL438 Skalle 2011 Lavvo 2012

3

PL490 Juksa 20124

PL410 Luno 3 201014

PL519 Albert 20116PL363 Monster 20117

PL304 Buhund 2011

11

PL501 Avaldsness 2010 GLA 2011

13

PL359 Luno High 2010 Armstrong 2011

15

PL409 Norall 2010 C/E/D 2011

16

XX

PL453S 2 wells 2011/201217PL495 Intrapods 201118PL301 1 well 201119PL400 Barchan 201020

0 KM 200

Lundin Norway LicencesOperatorPartner

12

6

7

3

4

5

810

12911

131416 17

20

1819

15Licences Prospect Year

Drilled as OperatorDrilled by Partners

WF10882 p2 01.10 Excludes latest 2009 APA awards

66

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Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

United Kingdom

WF10878

67

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WF10893 p1 01.10

UK Continental Shelf Licences

Acreage position11 exploration licences4 production licences

Average 2009 production 10,200 boepd

2P reserves 79 MMboe

Contingent resources 54 MMboe

End 2009Actual

68

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UK Strategy

WF10898 p1 01.10

Control infrastructure Heather and Thistle acquired in 2003

Facilitate hubcentric developments Broom on stream in 2004 SW Heather

Attract third party business Don production via Thistle in 2010

Put new life in aging facilities Significant investment in Thistle and Heather

Late life field development 3D seismic in 2007/2008 Rig reinstatement in 2009 Thistle drilling to start in 2010

Near field exploration P1608

69

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WF10322b 12.08

UK North Sea - Growing Business...

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

01.01.2006 01.01.2007 01.01.2008

Reserves History

Capex History

Cum ProdBroom 2PThistle 2PHeather 2P

BroomThistleHeather

mln

GBP (

Gros

s)M

Mbo

e

01.01.2009 01.01.201001.01.2005

100

70

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HeatherBroom subsea tiebackSeparator overhaulsExtension platformSubsea control systemCompressor control overhaulNumerous caisson replacementsNew open drains systemSeawater injection upgradeAccommodationFire and gas system upgradesCentral control room upgrade incl new ESD system Jacket defect repairsDrill rig improvementsCrane replacement programme (2008/9)Produced water handling system

ThistleAccommodation upgradesDirect oil export system installationCaisson replacementsManifold refurbishmentsSeparator overhaulsSignificant fabric maintenanceHelideck upgradesDrilling system overhaul/rig upgradeTurbine overhaulsTurbine replacement (post fire)Process overhauls and debottlenecking

WF10322j 07.08

... That Needs Investment

71

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WF10893 p2 01.10

2009 UK Production - Actual vs Forecast

UK Actual Production vs Forecast

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun2009

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

boep

d boepd

Actual 2009 2009 Forecast

72

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Thistle

Lundin Petroleum 99% WI

STOIIP 901 MMboe

Produced 430.5 MMboe 48% recovery factor

17 producers, 6 injector

01.01.10 certified 2P reserves (incl Deveron) 28.7 MMboe

2P ultimate recovery of 51%

Contingent resources (incl. Deveron) 17 MMboe

2P + CR ultimate recovery of 53%

WF10049 01.10

OWC

ThistleDeveron

73

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WF10894 p2 01.10

Thistle - Platform Improvements

Don Third Party Tie-in Facilities Don - Riser Hang-off

New Turbine B New BOP

74

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WF10894 p3 01.10

Thistle - Platform ImprovementsNew Top DriveNew Shakers

New Thistle RigNew Thistle Rig

75

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WF10894 p4 01.10

Thistle Field Development

Phase 1Phase 2

0 500m

No drilling since 1989

Phase I 3 producers 1 workover USD 7.5/bbl development costs

Phase II 4 producers 2 injectors 3 workovers USD 8.8/bbl development costs

No additional opex

76

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WF10894 p5 01.10

Thistle - Murchison Field Analogy

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Recovery Factor

Oil

Rat

e (b

bl/

d)

MurchisonThistleMurchison vs Thistle

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Murchison investment~ 40 penetrations

77

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WF10893 p1 01.10

Thistle – 2010 Outlook

2010 Phase I drilling and workover campaign Workover and installation of jetpump Abandon 4 wells for BP Drill 3 new producers

2011+ Phase II drilling

Increased production Opex USD 40/bbl for 2010

Third party income Further USD 10/bbl opex reduction Free gas reduces opex further

Future development drilling Double production in 2-3 years Half the opex

WF10894 p1 01.10

78

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WF10155 01.10

Heather

Lundin Petroleum 100%

STOIIP Brent 502 MMboe Trias 166 MMboe

Produced 134.2 MMboe 27% recovery (Brent only)

14 producers, 1 injector

Certified 2P reserves (01.01.10) 27.2 MMboe (Brent only) 2P Brent Ultimate Recovery 32.6 MMboe

Contingent resources 7.1 MMboe (Brent) 9.3 MMboe (Trias)

79

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Heather Development

WF10895 p6 01.10

H41

H07

H46

H33

H61

HBP1

H48ST

H50ST

HDP1

HHP1

H55

No drilling since 2006

Development activities 3 new producers 2 new sidetrack producers 2 water injector workovers 4 coiled tubing workovers

USD 7.5/bbl development costs

No additional opex

Coiled tubing

Producer

Injector

80

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Heather - Outlook

WF10895 p4 01.10

2010 Rig reactivation Continued 2 compressor operations

2011 Start drilling

Opex (Broom/Heather combined) USD 31/bbl (including Broom tariff)

Future development drilling Double Heather production USD 11/bbl opex reduction

81

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Broom

WF10895 p2 01.10

Lundin Petroleum 55% WI

STOIIP 172 MMboe (excl. West-flank Terraces)

Produced 25.8 MMboe

4 producers, 2 injectors

Net 2P reserves 16.5 MMboe Ultimate recovery 32.4%

Better than expected field perfomance

Current Producer

Current Injector

82

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Broom - Opportunities

WF10895 p3 01.10

Identified 25-40 MMboe of gross STOIIPin West Flank

Appraise North West Terrace 2010 well possible 4-5 MMboe gross contingent resources

Area-15 appraisal

North WestTerrace Appraisal

Area-15Appraisal

83

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Broom - Outlook

WF10895 p1 01.10

2010 Strong production despite flowline failure in 2009 Install new 10” flowline providing increased capacity Drill North-West Terrace fault block

Define optimum development strategy West flank development Area-15 appraisal North Terrace development

2011+ Further drilling

84

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South-West Heather – Tie Back Candidate

WF10895 p7 01.10

Tie-back candidate to Heather

~60-100 MMboe STOIIP (W.I. 55%)

5

4b 1b

96

1a

2b

5F1

2F1

26a30b

10a 7e

2a

29b

2c

4a

27e29c

27a

27f

2F2

27b

27c

3

002 003

211210

Lyell

Pelican

NW Hutton

South West Heather

Broom

Heather

0 5KM

-8487’

-9250’

2/5-10 2/5-112/5-16z

-8957’

-7781’Combined Emerald, Brent,Dunlin and Triassic section

Shallower occurrence of“Emerald/Brent” section

Much thicker Triassic with no Dunlin,Incorporates seismic banding

BCU

Top Basement

Sealing fault(s) necessary in crestalarea to isolate 16z well from 10 oil

WEST EAST

383 700381 200

6 750 0006 750 000

6 747 500 6 747 500

N

2.520

2.6202.320

2.3

20

2.120

2.220

2.120

2320

2.020

2.020

2.120

2.120

2.02

0

2.0

20

1.920

2.02

0

2.020

2.420

2.420

2.420

2/5-11

2/5-10

0 400 800

metres

Block 2/5

2/5-16z

85

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Control infrastructure Heather and Thistle acquired in 2003

Facilitate hubcentric developments Broom on stream in 2004 SW Heather

Attract third party business Don production via Thistle in 2010

Put new life in aging facilities Significant investment in Thistle and Heather

Late life field development 3D seismic in 2007/2008 Rig reinstatement in 2009 Thistle drilling to start in 2010

Near field exploration P1608

United Kingdom - Conclusion

WF10898 p2 01.10

Executing a clear defined hubcentric strategy

Invested significant capex to make Heather and Thistle ready for re-development

Shot 3D seismic and identified infill opportunities

Start drilling in 2010

Significant contingent resource portfolio and the potential (from an ultimate recovery point of view) to get more

Mostly fixed opex gives a large leverage on oil price and extra volumes

Potential to more than double the production in the next few years

Good business in its own right!

86

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Other European Assets – France

WF10900a 01.10

France Historical Oil Production

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

Jan-80 Jan-85 Jan-90 Jan-95 Jan-00 Jan-05 Jan-10

bopd

Paris Basin

Aquitaine

Strategy Optimise production from known low decline fields in a low fiscal regime Attract partners to share risk on remaining exploration potential

Resources 21.9 MMboe net reserves 9.6 MMboe contingent resources 9 exploration licences

Outlook Mimosa water injection 2010 Grandville development 2011/2012

87

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Other European Assets – Netherlands/Tunisia

WF10900b 01.10

Strategy Low risk gas production Fiscal benefit worldwide Near field low risk exploration - 2 small discoveries onshore

Resources 3.4 MMboe net reserves 1 protection exploration licence offshore

Outlook E17a new development (w.i. 1.2%) on stream Continued infill drilling

Netherlands

Oudna Continuous production with low decline Abandonment in the next years

Tunisia

88

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Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

Russia

WF10878

89

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WF9300 01.10

Lundin Petroleum in Russia

Offshore Caspian Lagansky Exploration Block 70% Lundin Petroleum (Operated)

Onshore Kalmykia Kaspiskoye Field 51% Lundin Petroleum (DIVESTED)

Onshore Orenburg Ashirovskoye Field 50% Lundin Petroleum (DIVESTED)

Onshore Komi Sotchemyu-Talyu Field 50% Lundin Petroleum (Arawak Operated)

Onshore Komi North Irael Field 50% Lundin Petroleum (Arawak Operated)

Russia

China

Ukraine

Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan

Turkmenistan

Iran

SwedenNorway

Finland

Artic Ocean

Black Sea

Casp

ian

Sea

Moscow

Komi / Nenets Region

Orenburg Region

Kalmykia Region

90

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Three producing fields (W.I. 50%) Sotchemyu East Sotchemy-Talyu North Ireal

Devonian Carbonates

Net reserves 16.9 MMboe

Forecast net production 4,000 boepd

4 km from existing Transneft pipeline system

Cost of operations USD 7/bbl

Komi - Assets

WF10896 p6 01.10

VERKHINYAYAINTA

PECHORA

VODMY

KER-CHEMYA UST-NEM

BRYKALANSK

NORTH IRAEL

0 10km

SOTCHEMYU-TALYUFIELDS

NORTH IRAELFIELD

NORTH IRAEL

0 10km

SOTCHEMYU-TALYUFIELDS

-

NORTH IRAELFIELD

PECHORA SEA

91

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Komi - Strategy

WF10896 p7 01.10

Gross Komi Production

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

Jul-9

0

Jul-9

1

Jul-9

2

Jul-9

3

Jul-9

4

Jul-9

5

Jul-9

6

Jul-9

7

Jul-9

8

Jul-9

9

Jul-0

0

Jul-0

1

Jul-0

2

Jul-0

3

Jul-0

4

Jul-0

5

Jul-0

6

Jul-0

7

Jul-0

8

Jul-0

9

BO

EPD

Near field exploration potential 3D seismic 2005-2008 1 well in 2009, 3 wells in 2010

Optimise existing well stock 80 wells with mostly ESP’s

Continuous development drilling 3 wells in 2009, 9 wells in 2010

Resulted in 3 MMboe 1.1.2010 net reserves increase

92

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Lagansky - Exploration Licence

WF10896 p2 01.10

0 MK 02

Lagansky Block

Kaspiskoye

Yuri Korchagin

Rakushechnoye Field4.4 TCF

Severo-Rakushechny

Northern Caspian

Viktor Filanovski600 MMbbls1.2 TCF

Morskaya Discovery

LundinConcessionOil Field

Gas Field

Prospects

Rak-4Rak-2

Rak-1

Morskaya-1Laganskaya-1

COC well

Petrovskaya-1

Drilled 3 exploration wells

Shot 1598 km 2D and 150 km2 3D

Morskaya discovery 227 MMboe on block

Gunvor acquired 30 percent in 2009

Lundin 70 percent

Licence extended to 2014

93

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Lagansky - Gunvor Deal

WF10896 p8 01.10

Acquired 30% interest in Lagansky Block from Mintley Kalmykia Ltd. USD 30 million Deferred consideration at development plan approval

Sold 30% to Gunvor Cyprus Holding Ltd USD 30 million Deferred consideration at development plan approval

Mintley interest was fully carried

Gunvor full paying partner

94

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Lagansky - Exploration

WF10896 p9 01.10

3 wells drilled, further structures identified

Extended exploration licence to 2014

Targeting remaining exploration potential Interpret 150 km2 3D already acquired Shoot additional 75 km2 3D seismic in 2010 Resume exploration drilling in 2011

Construct a new Marine Drilling Complex in 2010

95

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Lagansky - Petrovskaya

WF10896 p3 01.10

Drilled 3 exploration wells

Shot 1598 km 2D and 150 km2 3D

Morskaya discovery 227 MMboe on block

Gunvor acquired 30 percent in 2009

Lundin 70 percent

Licence extended to 2014

Petrovskaya-1

Morskaya-1

96

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WF10644 11.09

Lagansky - Petrovskaya Pre-Drill

APTIAN

ALBIAN

NEOCOMIAN

? STACKED PAY

PETROVSKAYA MORSKAYA

CONNECTED PAY

Original possible fill model

?

?

?

97

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WF10644 11.09

Lagansky - Petrovskaya Post-Drill

APTIAN

ALBIAN

NEOCOMIAN

PETROVSKAYA MORSKAYA

CONNECTED PAY

Current possible fill model

??

SPILLED AWAY?

98

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Lagansky - Further Exploration Potential

WF10896 p4 01.10

Petrovskaya-1

Morskaya-1

2011 exploration well

99

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Lagansky - Self Elevating Platform

WF10896 p5 01.10

New shallow water drilling complex

Self Elevating Platform New build Tender ongoing Construction in 2010

Floating service barge Buy existing or new build

Mobile land rig Leased

100

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Lagansky – Morskaya Development

WF10896 p10 01.10

Production Licence Application submitted December 2009 Sets timeline for appraisal strategy and Development Plan

Pre-Feed Development studies ongoing

Appraisal definition ongoing

150

0.0 0 0

0

000.00

51

15

00.

00

0

000.0541

1

45 0.000

14 50.0

0 0

000.0541000.0541

000.0541

000.0541

000.0541

14

50 .

00

0

1 4 50.

00

0

000.

054

1

140

0.00

0

1 4 00.00 0

1 4 00 .000

14 0 0.00 0

14

00.00

0

000.0041

000.0041

000.0041

14

00.

00

0

000.0

041

000

.00

41

14 5

0.00 0

000.0531

000.0531

000.

05

31

13 50.00 0

1 35 0.0 00

1 3 50.0 00

13 5 0. 00 0

000.0031

1 3 0 0.0 00

1 3 0 0.0 00

1450.0

00

000.

0041

Morskaya-1

COC WELL

101

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WF10356 04.09

Lagansky - Morskaya

Tested at 800 bopdTheoretical Flow Rate 4,000 bopd 32° API oil

in Aptian andNeocomian

25 km

M-1

Tested at 1,700 bopdTheoretical Flow Rate 8,000 bopd

ALBIAN

APTIAN

NEOCOMIAN

102

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Lagansky – Morskaya Development Options

WF10896 p11 01.10

IceShallow WaterEnvironment

Development Concept Subsurface water injection line drive Artificial islands, wellhead platforms, suction caisonsFlow assurance and crude treatmentStandalone, synergy with Caspian Oil Consortium (COC)Export Route Synergy with other Lukoil developments Tanker export via Caspian Own pipeline to CPC Early production

Main Issues:

Pre-Feed Study:

103

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Lagansky - Morskaya Development Schematic

WF10896 p13 01.10

104

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Lagansky - Morskaya Development Examples

WF10465c 09.08

105

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Lagansky - North Caspian Development

WF10465a 01.10

Ongoing Lukoil development ofYuri Korchagin Ice resistant fixed facilities First via offshore loading to the south Later via permanent pipeline system

3P Reserves from Lukoil 1.87 BnBO 17 tcfg

Mineral Extraction Tax holiday

Potential for further tax incentives

0 20

Oil field

Gas field

Condenste Field

Oil Pipeline

Gas Pipeline

KM 100

Tsentralnoye

Kazakhstan

Russ

ia

Rakushesnoye

170km

Shamkhal-Bukal

DimitrovskoyeAgachaulskoye

Achi-Su

Makhachkala

Izerbashskoye

Skalistoye More

V. Filanovsky

KAZAKHSTAN

KAZAKHSTANRUSSIA

RUSSIA

Makhachkala

Astrakhan

Morskaya

Khvalynskoye

Sarmatskoye

Y. Korchagin

Astrakhanskoye

CPC

Offshore Loading

106

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Lagansky – Morskaya Development Options

WF10896 p12 01.10

107

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Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

South East Asia

WF10878

108

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WF10897a 01.10

South East Asia - Production & Development Assets

2009 forecast net production: ~2,500 boepd

Indonesia - Salawati Basin & Island:

First gas, first half 2010Plateau rate: 2,100 boepd (net Lundin)

Indonesia - Singa Gas Project

WESTPAPUA

SALAWATIISLAND

BATANTA

Selat Dampir(Dampir Strait)

Teluk Berau(Gulf of Berau)

0 KM 40

0 Miles 20

Walio

Moi

SWA1-x

Wak amuk

SWC1-xTBA

KasimMatoa

NE Aja

N.S ele -1x

Arar

K lal inK lagagi

K la ifi

TBCKoi

O ffshore(S alawati Is land)

O nshore(S alawati Is land)

Arar Block(S alawati Basin)

Walio Block(S alawati Basin)0 KM 40

0 Miles 20

Singa

Limau Niru

Air S erdang

Mandala

BiruMerbau Prabumenang

B eringin

TanjungMir ingTimur

Musi

S ok a Lagan

R ambutan

S elagan

S enabing

S elo

B enak at

GunungKembang

Talang Ak ar-Pendopo

KampongMinyak

S uban Jer igi

G ajah B esar

Lembak

Abab

Air Hitam

R aja

D ewaJirak

Mambang

R amok

Prabumulih

Karagan

Talang J imar

B enuang

B etungB el imbing

Limau Tengah

Harimau

Lematang West

Lematang East

CAMBODIA

THAILAND

MALAYSIA

SARAWAK

SABAH

SUMATRA

JAVA

SULAWESI

Borneo

KALIMANTAN

PAPUA

BRUNEI

INDONESIA

AUSTRALIA

VIETNAM

WESTPAPUALematang

S alawatis

109

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Focus on building “core” exploration areas

Objectives:

Explore within proven Petroleum Systems

Criteria:

South East Asia – Exploration Model

WF10638b 01.10

Focus on under-explored basins with limited legacy data

Improved technical understanding

Strategy:

Application of 3D seismicAcquire acreage with Lundin operatorship & seek strategic partners

110

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CAMBODIA

THAILAND

MALAYSIA

SARAWAK

SABAH

SUMATRA

JAVA

SULAWESI

Borneo

KALIMANTAN

PAPUA

BRUNEI

INDONESIA

AUSTRALIA

VIETNAM

WESTPAPUALematang

Blora

SarebaSalawati Basin/Salawati Island

Banyumas

South East Asia - Building a Core Area

Lundin Petroleum Licence

WF10611b 02.09

July 2006

111

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CAMBODIA

THAILAND

MALAYSIA

SARAWAK

SABAH

SUMATRA

JAVA

SULAWESI

Borneo

KALIMANTAN

PAPUA

BRUNEI

INDONESIA

AUSTRALIA

VIETNAM

WESTPAPUA

Lundin Petroleum Licence

Sabah Area

Basin Margin Play

Rangkas

Lematang

SB303

PM308A & B

BaronangCakalang

Sareba

Block 06/94

Salawati Basin/Salawati Island

Gurita

Direct Joint Study Area

Exploration Licences:Direct Joint Studies:Production Licences:Total Prospective Resources:

813

426 MMboe

TOTAL

South East Asia - Building a Core Area

WF10611a 01.10

January 2010

112

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WF10873 01.10

Malay/Natuna Exploration Strategy

Basin Center Play

0 100KM

3D Surveys

Basin Margin Play

Basin Margin Play

Past Lundin exploration success in PM 03 post-3D seismic

Current Lundin explorationacreage with new 3D seismicalong the same play

Gurita

Baronang

PM 308A

Cakalang

PM 03

PM 308B

BUNGA KEKWA

BUNGA SERROJA

BUNGA RAYA

3D Seismic Along Proven Plays

MALAYSIA

113

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WF10873 01.10

South East Asia - Malay/Natuna Exploration Strategy

Basin Center Play

0 100KM

3D Surveys

Basin Margin Play

Basin Margin Play

Past Lundin exploration success in PM 03 post-3D seismic

Current Lundin explorationacreage with new 3D seismicalong the same play

Gurita

Baronang

PM 308A

Cakalang

PM 03

PM 308B

BUNGA KEKWA

BUNGA SERROJA

BUNGA RAYA

3D Seismic Along Proven Plays

MALAYSIA

Gullfak

s

Brage

Frigg

Bruce

Brae

Scott

Forties

Nelson

Ekofis

kPiper

Sleipner

Omeg

a

GR

ABEN

VIKING

GRABENCENTRALMORAY FIRTH

GRABEN

114

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South East Asia 5 - Year Work Programme

WF10633 01.10

Seismic Programme 2D 3D

Drilling

Blocks Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42011 2012 20132009 2010

Vietnam Block 06/94

Indonesia Rangkas PSC

Malaysia Block PM308A

Malaysia Block PM308B

Malaysia Block SB303

Indonesia Baronang PSC

Indonesia Cakalang PSC

Joint Study Area

Indonesia Gurita PSC

3D

2D

2D3D

3D

1 well

1 well

2 wells1 well

2 wells

2 wells

3 wells

2 wells

3D

1 well

3D

3D

3D

2,075 km 2D seismic 1,475 km2 3D seismic14 exploration wells

Work Programme 2010 onwards

115

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WF10873 01.10

South East Asia - Block SB303 - Tarap Prospect

A

A’

3D Data 2D Data

Amp 4 Anomaly

A

A A’

A’

Tarap Prospect - ‘Amp 4’

Initial seismic results show Direct Hydrocarbon Indicators (DHIs), with structural conformity on at least 4 levelsGross Unrisked Prospective Resources 45 MMboe

116

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WF10897b 01.10

South East Asia - 06/94 Vietnam Block

Pearl Energy 33.33%Kris Energy 33.33%

Lundin Petroleum interest: 33.33%

BP’s Lan Tay & Lan Do gas fields (2 TCF) located to the north of the blockPremier’s Dua & Chin Sao oil fields (75 MMboe) are located in the adjacent block to the west

Block 06/94 located in SouthernNam Con Son Basin

2,343 km 3D seismic acquired to date

2nd exploration well to be drilled 2Q10 (Hoa-Hong-IX, gross unrisked prospective resources: 63 MMboe)

2007

2009

2008

Lan TayGas Field

CRV-1X

CRD-1X Latest (2009)Premier Discovery

DuaOil Field

Chim SaoOil Field

Lan DoGas Field

3D Seismic

Hoa Hong-1X

117

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Capital Market DayJanuary 2010

2010 Financial Overview

WF10878

118

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Revenue

Cost of operationsTariffsProduction taxesStock movementsOther

Cash Margin Netback

70.80

-16.35-2.00-2.950.80

-0.20

50.10

2010 Forecast Margin Netback [USD/boe]

80.0060.00

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

57.80

-16.45-2.20-2.900.30

-0.20

36.35

61.65

Forecast2009

WF10879 p2 01.10

oil price

55.05

-16.35-2.00-2.100.65

-0.20

35.05

119

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2010 Forecast Oil Price Reconciliation [USD/boe]

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

Forecast2009

WF10879 p3 01.10

Average Brent oil price

Sales differential RussiaGas price differentialOther

Sales price achieved

Adjustment sales to production boeGovernment takeUK quality differenceInventory movementsTariff receipts & other income

Effective sales price per boe produced

60.00

-2.15-3.350.60

55.10

0.20-1.25-0.65-0.552.20

55.05

80.00

-2.95-5.800.60

71.85

0.30-2.00-0.85-0.702.20

70.80

61.65

-3.40-1.650.55

57.15

0.05-1.65-0.451.501.20

57.80

120

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WF10879 p4 01.10

0

10

20

30

40

50

10

20

30

40

50

0UK Indonesia Tunisia Norway Russia LUPE AverageFrance Netherlands

2009 Forecast FX adjusted2009 Forecast

2010 Forecast

2010 Forecast Cost of Operations

USD

/boe

USD

/boe

FX rates 2010 2009

USD : GBPUSD : EURNOK : USDRBL : USD

1.651.455.50

31.50

1.561.396.27

31.6834

.55

15.2

0

12.3

0

22.4

5

26.8

5

26.8

5

4.80

4.85

8.50

8.55

16.4

5

17.1

0

36.5

0

33.4

0

22.4

5

12.8

015.9

0

73.0

0

5.05 6.

95

16.3

5

17.7

5

14.0

517.4

5

Tariff contributionfrom Don fields and Broom

121

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WF10879 p5 01.10

2010 Cost of Operations - Quarterly

13.00

14.00

15.00

16.00

17.00

18.00

19.00

20.00

13.00

14.00

15.00

16.00

17.00

18.00

19.00

20.00

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

USD

/boe U

SD/boe

Forecast 2010 Average

Planned Shutdowns - Heather Platform - Alvheim FPSO

Operating costs reduceas production increasesprimarily due to Volund

122

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WF10879 p8 01.10

2010 Forecast Profit Netback

Cash Margin Netback

Depletion

G&A

Financial Items, net

Profit Before Tax

Tax

Profit After Tax

35.05

-12.70

-1.95

-1.75

18.65

-12.50

6.15

60.00oil price

50.10

-12.70

-1.95

-1.70

33.75

-22.10

11.65

80.00

(USD/boe)

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

123

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WF10879 p6 01.10

2010 Forecast Depletion

0

5

10

15

20

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

UK Indonesia Tunisia Norway Russia LUPE AverageFrance Netherlands

USD

/boe U

SD/boe

2010 Forecast

2009 Forecast

2009 CMD Forecast

10.6

013.5

513

.80

13.7

5

10.3

0 12.1

5

17.1

016

.75

21.4

0

25.0

022

.75

12.8

0

11.7

011

.85

12.7

0

12.9

015

.00

5.05

4.55

4.50

0

5.30

5.30 6.

15

UK, 29%

Netherlands, 8%

France, 8%Russia, 4%

Indonesia, 4%

Norway, 47%

124

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WF10879 p11 01.10

60.00oil price 80.00

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

Current tax charge

Deferred tax charge

1.10

11.40

12.50

3.15

18.95

22.10

Effective Tax Rate 67% 65%

2010 Forecast Taxation [USD/boe]

125

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60.00oil price 80.00

WF10879 p9 01.10

2010 Forecast Operating Cash Flow Netback [USD/boe]

Cash Margin NetbackCash taxesOperating Cash Flow Netback

35.05-1.1033.95

50.10-3.1546.95

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

126

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60.00oil price 80.00

WF10879 p10 01.10

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

Cash Margin NetbackGeneral & Administrative EBITDA

35.05-1.9533.10

50.10-1.9548.15

2010 Forecast EBITDA Netback (USD/boe)

127

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60.00oil price 80.00

WF10879 p17 01.10

2010 Forecast Cash Flow Available for Investment [USD/boe]

Forecast2010

Forecast2010

Operating Cash Flow Netback 33.95General & AdministrativeCash Financial itemsCash Flow available for Investment

-1.95-1.3030.70

Development CapexExploration Capex

19.5516.85

46.95-1.95-1.2543.75

19.5516.85

128

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WF10100 01.09

Norwegian Tax Value

Norwegian Tax Value from historic capex & E&A spend - 01.01.2010 (MUSD)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450 450

400

Depreciation ofcapex against CT

Depreciation ofcapex against SPT

Uplift on capexagainst SPT

Tax Loss tooffset against

future CT

Tax Loss to Totaloffset against

future SPT

Net

tax

valu

e (M

USD

) Net tax value (M

USD

)129

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WF10877 p14 01.10

Other Investments

Africa Oil CorporationMUSD 23.7 convertible loan in consideration for sale of Ethiopia/Kenya assets (Q209)Maturity date is 31 December 2011Convertible into shares of AOC at CAD 0.90 per share (Currently CAD 1.15)

50 million shares in ShaMaran (approx 10%) (Current Market Value MUSD 30)Additional 50 million shares receivable contingent on the approval ofa development plan for the Pulkhana Block PSC

71 million shares in Etrion Corp. (approx 45%) (Current Market Value MUSD 47)

ShaMaran Petroleum

Etrion Corporation

50% effective ownership of IKDAM FPSOOther

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(1)

(1)

USD 150 million unsecured facility cancelled 31/12/09

WF10879 p13 01.10

Liquidity

MUSD

Total Credit Facility 850

Borrowing Base Loan Drawn @ 31 December 2009 544

Approx. Cash Balances @ 31 December 2009 70

Net Debt Position @ 31 December 2009 474

excludes approx. MUSD 24 held by Etrion Corp.

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WF10879 p14 01.10

Liquidity - Borrowing Base Determination

Availability amount recalculated every six months

Based upon banks oil price and economic parameters

Utilising cashflows from certain 2P reserves

Borrowing base over USD 1.0 billion at 1 January 2010

Availability limited by facility size of USD 850 million

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WF10879 p15 01.10

Hedging as at 25 January 2010

Interest RateHedged amount Interest Rate Expires

MUSD 200 3.75% 1/2012

Oil No Hedges

Currency No Hedges

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WF10879 p16 01.10

Shares issued 318 million

Shares bought back 4.5 million

Outstanding employee incentive warrants 1.4 million(1)

Share Capital 31 December 2009

Exercisable @ SEK 78.05/warrant and expire in May 2010(1)

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Lundin Petroleum - Continued Focused Growth

WF9189b 01.10

Organic reserves growth400% reserve replacement ratio achieved over the last two years

Production growth20% production growth in 200950,000 boepd by end 2010 with Volund on streamFurther production growth with Luno, UK redevelopment and Norway tieback opportunities

Norway, Greater Luno Area, Barents SeaSouth East AsiaRussiaUSD 290 million budget, 11 wells in 2010

Material contingent resource inventory

Exploration leverage

Strong balance sheet and operating cash �ow

135