2013 interim results - e-chinalife.com interim results ... factors is included in the company’s...
TRANSCRIPT
- 2 -
Forward-looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this presentation may be viewed as “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of U.S. Securities Act andSection 21E of U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and otherfactors, which may cause the actual performance, financial condition or results ofoperations of the Company to be materially different from any future performance,financial condition or results of operations implied by such forward-lookingstatements. Further information regarding these risks, uncertainties and otherfactors is included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal yearended December 31, 2012 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission,or SEC, on April 26, 2013; and in the Company’s other filings with the SEC. TheCompany does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-lookingstatement, except as required under applicable law. All information provided in thispresentation is as of the date of this presentation, and the Company undertakes noduty to update such information, except as required under applicable law.
Unless otherwise indicated, the Chinese insurance market information set forth inthis presentation is based on public information released by CIRC.
Agenda
1H 2013 OverviewSection I
- 3 -
Investment Performance Section IV
Business Review Section II
Embedded ValueSection V
Financial Summary Section III
Operating Environment in 1H 2013
- 5 -
As the global economic recovery remained slow, China facedwith a complicated situation for economic growth; amidhighly volatile capital market, the task for life insurancecompanies to boost their investment yields was arduous.
Featured with growth deceleration, structural adjustmentand development model transformation, life insuranceindustry not only had to cope with competition from bankwealth management products, but also felt pressures fromhigh surrenders and maturity peaks.
China Life implemented the “innovation-drivendevelopment strategy”, adhered to the keynote of “tacklingdifficulties, making steady progress and striving for expansion”,emphasized equally on scale and value to ensure marketleadership and growth sustainability.
Business Development Overview in 1H 2013
- 6 -
Responded to complicated environment and achieved steady growth ofpremiumsSeized market opportunities and increased investment yieldssignificantlyEmphasized equally on scale and value and achieved stable newbusiness value growth
Properly handled claims and payments to ride out maturity peaks
Continued with product innovation to support business development
Outlook for 2H 2013
- 7 -
In the second half of 2013, the global and domestic environment maystay complicated and the life insurance industry may face manydifficulties. However, China’s overall trend of economic developmentremains steady, and the life insurance industry still has substantialgrowth potentials. Given the recently released “Guiding Opinions onFinancial Support for Adjusting, Transforming and Upgrading theEconomic Structures”, along with the launch of Traditional LifeInsurance Premium Rate Reform, the insurance industry will continueto enjoy “reform dividend” .Under such circumstances, China Life will adhere to the keynote of“tackling difficulties, making steady progress and striving forexpansion”, place emphasis upon business value growth whilemaintaining steady business development, and continue with ourinnovation-driven development strategy to further innovate productsand boost development vitality.
Life Insurance Industry in 1H 2013
Life insurance industry grew faster than the same period of last year.
New premiums recovered from two years of decrease.
Agent channel business maintained double-digit growth.
Affected by bank wealth management products, bancassurance channel still faced challenges.
572,853
624,250
1H2012 1H2013
1H 2013 Industry Gross Written Premiums
- 9 -
RMB mn
First-year Regular Premiums
27,400 24,197
1H2012 1H2013
103,614 112,301
1H2012 1H2013
73,201 79,912
1H2012 1H2013
Premium Income
Gross Written Premiums
- 10 -
Long-term First-year Premiums
Renewal Premiums
185,438 203,251
1H2012 1H2013
RMB mnRMB mn
RMB mnRMB mn
Business Structure
Long-term FYP
First-year Regular Premiums
Long-term Premiums
Short-term Premiums
37% 30%
63% 70%
1H2012 1H2013First‐year Regular Premiums Single Premiums
32% 29%
30% 29%
38% 42%
1H2012 1H2013Less than 5 years 5‐9 years 10 years or longer
59% 58%
41% 42%
1H2012 1H2013Renewal Premiums Long‐term FYP
61% 61%
39% 39%
1H2012 1H2013Short‐term Accident Short‐term Health
- 11 -
Business Value
- 12 -
Value of 1H 2013 SalesRMB mn
In-force Business Value
12,494 12,589
1H2012 1H2013
209,088223,514
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
Note:: Both value of 1H 2013 sales and in-force business value are after the cost of solvency margin.
RMB mn
225.0%
13.3%
12.1%
14.1%
8.3%
Individual, Group and Short-term Business(GWP)
- 13 -
Individual Business
1H2013
191,186
Change1H2012
Group Business 1,027
Short-term Business
9,770
Short-term Health 3,810 3,398
Short-term Accident
5,960 5,225
176,499
316
8,623
RMB mn
Supplementary major medical insurance* 1,268 ---- ----
Note: Supplementary major medical insurance for urban and rural residents.
1.38%
2.05%
1H2012 1H2013
Surrender Rate and Persistency Rate
Surrender Rate Long-term Individual Policy Persistency Rate
Note:Surrender Rate = Surrender payment/(Liability of long-term insurance contracts at the beginning of the period + Premiums of long-term insurance contracts)
Policy persistency rate = in-force policies within the review month that are commenced 14/26 months prior to the review month / policies that are commenced 14/26 months prior to the review month
- 14 -
92.5% 92.5%
90.0%
87.0% 87.0% 88.8%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
1H2011 1H2012 1H2013
14 Months 26 Months
22,453 22,412
83,260 93,742
1H2012 1H2013New Business Renewal Premiums
Individual Agent Channel
Business Development: Individual agent business achieved steady development, renewalpremiums continued to grow.Sales Force Development: Further upgraded Agent Management & Compensation System,incentivized team development; further promoted “e-chinalife” mobile marketing system amongsales force, and the number of agents remained stable with 684,000 in total.
- 15 -
Agent Channel GWPRMB mn
57.0% 57.1%
27.4%24.6%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
1H2012 1H2013
Share in Gross Written Premiums Share in New Business
105,713116,154
Agent Channel Share in GWP & New Business
0.2%
12.6%
Note:In the first half of 2013, the Company's channel premium breakdown was presented based on the separate groups of sales personnelsbelonging to exclusive individual agent team, direct sales representatives, bancassurance sales team, and other distribution channels respectively, with the corresponding data for 2012 adjusted accordingly.
52,615 58,455
19,874 18,035
1H2012 1H2013
New Business Renewal Premiums
44,716 53,793
7,875
4,616
1H2012 1H2013
Single Premiums First‐year Regular Premiums
20.3%
Bancassurance Channel
Business Development: The Company proactively responded to challenges from bank wealthmanagement products, and achieved growth in total premiums and solidified marketleadership.
Sales Force Development: The total number of account managers and financial advisorsreached 56,000, 9,806 more than the end of last year.
- 16 -
Bancassurance FYP
72,48976,490
Bancassurance GWPRMB mnRMB mn
9.3%
11.1%
41.4%
3,551 4,283
2,145 2,548
1,296
2,158
1H2012 1H2013
Short‐term Accident Insurance Short‐term Health Insurance
Long‐term Business
105
1,412
139
206
1H2012 1H2013New Business
48.2%
Direct Sales and other Channels
Direct Sales Channel: Both long-term and short-term insurance premiums maintained rapidgrowth. Strengthened business development in large-and-medium-sized urban areas to enhancemarket competitiveness. Direct sales team remained stable with 16,000 representatives.
Other Channels: The Company proactively promoted the development of supplementary majormedical insurance for urban and rural residents. Meanwhile, the Company speeded up thedevelopment of telemarketing channel. In 1H2013, telemarketing business achieved rapid andsustainable growth with healthy business mix.
- 17 -
Direct Sales Channel GWP Other Channels*GWPRMB mn
244
1,618
1244.8%
Note: Other channels mainly refer to supplementary major medical insurance for urban and rural residents and telemarketing channel.
RMB mn
6,992
8,989
20.6%
18.8%
66.5%
2H 2013 Development Focuses
- 18 -
Continue to follow the keynote of “tackling difficulties, making steady progress and striving for expansion”, emphasize equally on business scale and value, implement innovation-driven development strategy, and promote sustainable and healthy development.
Focus on business value and keep steady growth of first-year regularpremiums.
Continue to promote product innovation with emphasis on traditionalproducts.
Enhance service capabilities to support business development. Consolidate the foundation of sustainable development with sales force
development as fundamental means. Strengthen primary-level organizations to invigorate innovation Reinforce stringent risk control to ensure solid operation.
Revenues
Net Premiums Earned Total Revenues
Investment Income & Realized/Unrealized Gains and Impairment Losses
RMB mn RMB mn
184,739200,844
1H2012 1H2013
208,600
247,548
1H2012 1H2013
- 20 -
35,303
2,003
(15,117)
177
40,103
7,618
(3,696)
918
Investment IncomeNet Realized Gainson Financial Assets Impairment Losses
Net fair value gainsthrough profit or loss
1H2012 1H2013
RMB mn
Cost Control
Underwriting and Policy Acquisition Cost Ratio
Administrative Expenses Ratio
7.0%
5.6%
1H2012 1H2013
4.7%4.4%
1H2012 1H2013
Notes:Underwriting and Policy Acquisition Cost Ratio = Underwriting and policy acquisition costs/ total revenueAdministrative expenses ratio = Administrative expenses / total revenue
- 21 -
Profitability
Net Profit Attributable to Equity Holders Weighted Average ROE EPS
RMB mn RMB yuan
0.34
0.57
1H2012 1H2013
9,635
16,198
1H2012 1H2013
4.71%
7.11%
1H2012 1H2013
- 22 -
Financial Position
Total Assets Equity Holders’EquityRMB mn RMB mn
1,898,9161,984,035
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
221,085230,643
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
- 23 -
Solvency Ratio
Solvency Ratio
Affected by the combined effects of comprehensive income, distribution of last year's shareholder dividend and business development, China Life's solvency ratio was 237.90% as of June 30, 2013.
- 24 -
235.58% 237.90%
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
1,790,8381,855,519
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
Investment Assets and Portfolio
Investment Assets
Note: Investment assets = Cash and cash equivalents + Securities at fair value through profit or loss + Available‐for‐sale securities + Held‐to‐maturitysecurities + Term deposits + Securities purchased under agreements to resell + Loans + Statutory deposits + investment properties
RMB mn
- 26 -
Investment Portfolio
46.24% 46.01%
35.80% 37.23%
9.20% 8.02%3.88% 2.75%4.88% 5.99%
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
Debt Securities Term Deposits
Equity Securities Cash & Cash Equivalents
Others
Investment Yields
- 27 -
Gross Investment Yield
Note:Net investment yield = {[(Investment income + Rental income from investment properties - Business tax and extra charges for investment) / ((Investment assets at the beginning of the period + Investment assets at the end of the period) / 2)]/181} x 365Gross investment yield = {[(Investment income + Net realized gains/(losses) and impairment on financial assets + Net fair value gains/(losses) through profit or loss +Total income from investment properties - Business tax and extra charges for investment) / ((Investment assets at the beginning of the period + Investment assets at the end of the period) / 2)]/181} x 365Comprehensive investment yield = {[(Investment income + Net realized gains/(losses) and impairment on financial assets + Net fair value gains/(losses) through profit or loss + Current net fair value changes of available-for-sale securities recognized in other comprehensive income +Total income from investment properties - Business tax and extra charges for investment) / ((Investment assets at the beginning of the period + Investment assets at the end of the period) / 2) ]/181} x 365
Net Investment Yield
4.48% 4.42%
1H2012 1H2013
2.83%
4.96%
1H2012 1H2013
Comprehensive Investment Yield
5.99%
4.27%
1H2012 1H2013
New Investment Channels
Subscribed RMB 4.8 billion in the industry's first infrastructureequity investment plan for PetroChina Pipeline Project of the WestNatural Gas Lines No.1 and No.2. Proactively participated ininfrastructure and real estate debt investment plans, with cumulativeinvestment amount of RMB 45.5 billion.
Infrastructure Investment Plan
Equity Funds
Trust Plan and other
Financial Products
Interest Rate Swap and other Risk
Management Tools
- 28 -
Explored the use of risk management tools, such as interest rate swap, and prepared the qualification filing with CIRC for stock index futures investment.
Steadily invested in financial products, including trust schemes, bank wealth management products and special-purpose asset management plans, with a total investment of RMB 3.7 billion.
The Company invested in China Life Suzhou Urban Development Industry Investment Fund with a contract amount of RMB 5 billion.The investment not only supported local infrastructure development, but also expanded our investment channels.
Embedded Value Breakdown by Components
2013.6.30RMB mn
139,846
363,359
261,005
(37,491)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
Adjusted Net Worth In-force Business Value Cost of Solvency Margin Embedded Value
- 30 -Note:Numbers may not be additive due to rounding.
12,494 12,589
1H2012 1H2013
128,507 139,846
209,088 223,514
2012.12.31 2013.6.30
In‐force Business Value(After cost of solvency margin)
Adjusted Net Worth
Growth of EV and Value of New Business
Value of 1H 2013 SalesEmbedded ValueRMB mnRMB mn
363,359337,596
Note:Numbers may not be additive due to rounding.- 31 -
Embedded Value Movement Analysis
RMB mn
EV movement from 2012 year end to 30, June 2013
- 32 -Note:Numbers may not be additive due to rounding.
337,596 363,359
16,721 12,589
5 3,426 881
EV at Beginningof 2013
ExpectedReturns
Value of 1H2013 Sales
OperatingExperienceVariance
InvestmentExperienceVarience
Methodologyand ModelChanges
Market Valueand Other
Adjustments
Exchange Gainsor Losses
ShareholderDividends
Others EV at June30,2013
(3,277) (3,957)(363) (260)
Appendix:Honors in 1H 2013
China Life Insurance (Group) Co. , with China Life Insurance Company Limited as its core member, has been selected as a “Fortune 500” company for 11 consecutive years, ranking 111th in 2013.
The brand of China Life continues to rank 5th on the list of “China’s 500 Most Valuable Brands” in 2013 with RMB 155.88 billion brand value. China Life ranked 1st among all 7 insurance companies on the list.
China Life has been selected in “Forbes Global 2000” for ten consecutive years, ranking 106th in 2013.
On the list of “ BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands ” in 2013, China Life ranked 57th with USD 15.28 billion brand value.
- 34 -
Fulfilling Corporate Social Responsibilities
Sponsoring Orphans
Continued sponsoring orphans in Wenchuan earthquake, Yushuearthquake and Zhouqu mudslide, launched charity event - “Relay for Love, Sailing for Your Dream--Dreams of Earthquake Orphans Come True” to help orphans fulfill their dreams.
Funding for Xinjiang
Donated RMB 3 million to Urumqi Charity Association to fund the building of two community day care centers, and provided relief to poverty-stricken patients with serious diseases.
Aiding Police Families
The Company donated RMB 2 million to Beijing Police Foundation to aid impoverished families in police force.
- 35 -Note:Above undertakings were operated by China Life Foundation..
Post Disaster Relief
Donated RMB 10 million to fund the reconstruction of Ya’anearthquake-stricken areas, and offered living allowance to support Ya’an earthquake orphans until they reach 18.
Sensitivity Analysis–Investment Return and Discount Rate
Value of 1H 2013 Sales after the Cost of Solvency Margin
Value of In-force Business after the Cost of Solvency Margin
RMB mn RMB mn
- 36 -
223,514
( 36,945)
( 10,855)
11,657
37,209
InvestmentYield ‐10%
Risk AdjustedDiscount
rate=11.5%
Base Case Risk AdjustedDiscount
rate=10.5%
InvestmentYield +10%
12,589
( 1,634) ( 661)
709 1,653
InvestmentYield ‐10%
Risk AdjustedDiscount
rate=11.5%
Base Case Risk AdjustedDiscount
rate=10.5%
InvestmentYield +10%
Note:Numbers may not be additive due to rounding.
Sensitivity Analysis-Operational and other Assumptions
Sensitivity Analysis Results (after the cost of solvency margin)RMB mn
- 37 -
Claim Ratio for Short Term Insurance+/-10%
Morbidity Ratio+/-10%
Surrender Ratio+/-10%
Mortality Ratio for Non-Annuity Products +/-10%,
Mortality Ratio for Annuity Products -/+10%
Cost Ratio+/-10%
Base
Value of In-force Business Value of 1H 2013 Sales
‐939
‐48
‐105
‐54
‐404
939
48
106
54
404
‐1,500 ‐1,000 ‐500 0 500 1,000 1,500
‐2,633
‐1,967
‐1,172
‐2,100
‐384
2,633
2,017
1,210
2,120
384
‐3,000 ‐2,000 ‐1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000
223,514 12,589
Note:Numbers may not be additive due to rounding
Sensitivity Analysis Results –other assumptions
Sensitivity Analysis ResultsRMB mn
- 38 -
Value of In-force Business after the Cost
of Solvency Margin
Value of 1H 2013 Sales after the Cost of Solvency Margin
Base 223,514 12,589
Solvency Margin at 150% of Statutory Minimum 213,238 11,604
Taxable income based on the accounting profit in accordance with “the Provisions on the Accounting Treatment Related to Insurance Contracts” under one possible scenario
226,245 11,956