efow/ lercpa: leaders of energy without borders. on our way to 100% renewables

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2016 Year of Organization for Change on Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable

Development post-2015 Agenda

Leaders of Energy without Borders:Our roadmap to a 100% renewables

energy architecture

29 th February 2015: Open Google Hangout

Adriaan Kamp

2016 Year of Organization for Change on Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable Development post-2015 Agenda

World Economic Forum –2030 Scenario’s

We are here- so mind the moment we are in!

Enough Studies

• UN SDSN- deep-decarbonization project: http://deepdecarbonization.org/

• Prof. Marc Jacobsen of Stanford ( 100 % renewables): http://thesolutionsproject.org/

• Bloomberg Energy Outlook: http://www.bloomberg.com/company/new-energy-outlook/

• GreenPeace 100% renewable: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/campaigns/climate-change/energyrevolution/

Enough Energy Outlooks

Sixth IEA-IEF-OPEC Symposium on Energy Outlooks16 February 2016 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

…….."Unfortunately, this report also shows that the current pace of action is falling short of the aim of limiting climate change to a global temperaturerise of 2°C (in ETP modelling, the 2° Scenario or 2DS). Indeed, despite positive signs in manyareas, for the first time since the IEA started monitoring clean energy progress, not one ofthe technology fields tracked is meeting its objectives. As a result, our ability to deliver afuture in which temperatures rise modestly is at risk of being jeopardised, and the future thatwe are heading towards will be far more difficult unless we can take action now to radicallychange the global energy system."

Constructing An Integrative Framework for Steering Transition

Levels of Maturity of Change (1)Integration- Transition- Transformation• Level 1

• Level 2

• Level 3

• Level 4

• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying

• Full Integration of Renewables (cleantech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures

• Energy Autonomy: Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade.

• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness

Levels of Maturity of Change (2)Integration- Transition- TransformationElectricity Markets

(Homes and Cities)

NOW

Transportation

coming 5-15 years

Industry

Just starting

Level 4Yet to come

• E.g. New 100 Re % Energy Architectures: combining Sun, Wind. Geo-thermal (/ Gas?), storage and grid- regional, national and local (micro): Central and Distributed.

• E.g. Plan Obama: changing the face of personal mobility, and mass transit in cities- and between cities. Greening shipping and trucking. Cleaner and even more fuel efficient airplanes.

• E.g. Circle Economy, Green Chemistry . 3D printing. Light materials/ material s for construction and manufacturing, new material science, eco-friendly etc..

• E.g. Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness

UNRegional Blocks

CountriesCities

CommunitiesCompanies and InstitutesCo-alitions of the Willing

Dialogue and ConversationRoles and Opportunities

• Scandinavia

• NW Europe/ Germany

• US Markets/ America’s (e./g. Mexico, Argentine)

• Middle-East

• India/ SE Asia

• Africa

Click to Go To Website

Germany: An example how it works- in real

America’s New Grid

Autonomous Driving Cars-On-Demand: A new paradigm shift

A Happy Marriage of Google with Uber

100% Renewables (Cities and Communities)- The movement

Sweden- Vaxjo

India

197 countries need to change

Building New Bridges onEnergy & Sustainability

Focus – Impact- Meaning- Results

Circles of Change

Back-up

• Agora Think-Thank: http://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/•

• GGGI-in Korea: http://gggi.org/staff/yvo-de-boer/•

• Energy Transition and leadership over Change ( Nyenrode Energy Classes): energy transition model/ working classes• http://www.energytransitionmodel.com/•

• EU PDF roadmap to energy transition- for Africa and rural villages |(see attachment) http://www.euei-pdf.org/•

• Europe: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/.../2012_energy_roadmap_2050_en_0.pdf•

• And for cities/ communities:•

• Australia: - http://www.circlesofsustainability.org/•

• Sweden: https://sweden.se/nature/sustainable-living/•

• In the guardian: http://www.theguardian.com/cities/2015/nov/25/what-can-the-world-learn-from-vaxjo-europes-self-styled-greenest-city•

• Germany: World Future Council, Anna Leidreiter- http://go100re.net/•

One World. Many Needs. Many Views

Eco-Conscious

Moderated Consumerism

Limits to Growth

Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry

Zero emissions

Nature First

NetworkedSociety

Away with traditional country and/or

corporate borders : City-Hubs.

Horizontal, cross-border collaborations

Cultural awareness and tolerance

A new world of sharing and abundance

Power to the People

Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth

Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.

Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience

A world of larger inequalities and divisions:

Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s

Money First

Shared Capitalism

A world of Power , Principles and Politics

Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power

Blocks

The Geo-politics of Emotions

Darwin’s Survival of the Fittest

Power to the Strongest, FirstDarwin

Techno Modernity

The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and

Kurz Weill Singularity

Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations

A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,

Exponential Growth and Abundance

The Rule of Science &

Technology

Conscious Capitalism

The rise of new (global and business)

leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s

Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality

Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.

Transformative leadership

Conscious Humanity

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