predicting patterns: lenawee county's use of explore and plan

Predicting Patterns: Lenawee County's Use of

EXPLORE and PLAN

DataDirector 2011User Conference

Dearborn, Michigan

POP• Purpose

– Participants will learn how Lenawee County is using the results of EXPLORE and PLAN as predictors of college and career readiness.

• Objective– Participants will learn how DataDirector

is used to produce reports to answer questions from principals

• Procedure– PowerPoint Presentation– Questions and Answers

WE MUST UTILIZE AN

INQUIRY APPROACH

TO DATA ANALYSIS

WE MUST USE MULTIPLE

SOURCES OF DATA

We need a data warehouse

for our 21st century

schools

WE MUST FOCUS ON DATA TO INCREASE STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT

Talking Points for the Purpose of Implementing

a Data Warehouse in Lenawee Schools

Career and College Readiness

Secondary Principals’ MeetingSeptember, 2011

5

College Readiness Benchmark Scores

Early Indicators of College Readiness

EXPLORE PLAN ACT

English English Composition 13 15 18

Reading Social Sciences 15 17 21

Math Algebra 17 19 22

Science Biology 20 21 24

ACT SubjectArea Test College Course(s)

Using Multiple Measures for Educational Decisions

Conjunctive Approach

(All measures count)

Measures of different constructs

College Readiness based upon student

achievement meeting identified benchmark

targets in English, Math, Reading, and

Science

Lenawee County College Readiness Data

Using PLAN to Predict ACT

• Uses 10th grade PLAN scores from 10-11• Use predicted ACT scores in each subject area• Use color-coding to indicate probability

– Dark Green– Light Green– Yellow– Orange– Red

Analysis• Stronger relationship in Reading

than in English– curriculum vs. test?– lower CRB scores?

• Strongest relationship in Math– instruction in Algebra II?

• Weaker relationship in Science– process vs. content?

• Very few who perform well on PLAN and miss CRB on ACT

What are some other data sets to consider for “College and Career Readiness”?

• Standards Met• Credits Earned• Courses Taken• Grades Earned

• EDP Completion• Resume Completion• Interview Completion• Application Completion

Career and College Readiness

Secondary Principals’ MeetingOctober, 2011

Using EXPLORE to Predict PLAN

• Uses EXPLORE scores from 2010-2011• Uses predicted PLAN scores

in each subject area• Use color-coding to indicate probability

– Dark Green– Light Green– Yellow– Orange– Red

Reasonable Growth

• “On Target” • (met or exceeded CRB)

• “Nearly On Target” • (<2 points from CRB)

• “Off Target” • (>2 points from CRB)

Average Growth PointsBetween Tests

“On Target” (met or exceeded CRB)

“Nearly On Target” (<2 points from CRB)

“Off Target” (>2 points from CRB)

Test EXPLORE to PLAN

PLAN to ACT

EXPLORE to PLAN

PLAN to ACT

EXPLORE to PLAN

PLAN to ACT

English 2-3 2-3 3-4 1 3-4 1

Math 2-3 2-3 1-2 1-2 2-3 1-2

Reading 1-2 4-5 3-4 2-3 3-4 1-2

Science 1-2 2-3 1-2 2-3 2-3 1

College Readiness Benchmark Standards

• Compare Standards in each subject area– below, at, and beyond benchmark

• Review written and taught curriculum– Which unit in the course/grade level?– How was it assessed in the classroom?– What were the students’ scores on the classroom

assessment?

• Explore lesson plans and activities

Source: College and Career Readiness WORKSHOPS, Fall 2011

Rigor Issues

National HS Grad Class 2011 Profile Summary Report

College and Career

Readiness

Source: College and Career Readiness Workshops, Fall 2011

CRB=22

PLAN and EXPLORE Item Analysis

• Use test booklets from 11-12 testing– Order extra materials for

your staff (no cost)

ACT Moodle Course

Using College and Career Readiness Standards as a Tool for School Improvement

Identify students who need assistance with the testing formats

• Needs identified by students on the tests

– Writing– Reading– Math– Study Skills

• Identify students who need assistance with the testing formats

– Writings using ACT rubric– Analyzing data in graphs,

charts, and tables– Use of released items

from MDE– Use of release practice

items from ACT– Strategies for completing

timed portions of ACT – Close and critical reading

strategies from MS/HS Literacy Team

Assessment Calendars

Time Elements of an Assessment CalendarSource: White, S. H. (2005). “Beyond the Numbers: Making Data Work for Teachers and School

Leaders”. Lead and Learn Press: Englewood, CO

• When will we administer the assessment?• When will we collect the data?• When will we disaggregate the data?• When will we analyze the data?• When will we reflect upon the data?• When will we make recommendations?• When will we make the decisions about the

recommendations?• When will we provide written documentation about the

decisions?• When will we share the data with other stakeholders?

Questions?Stan MastersCoordinator of

Instructional Data ServicesLenawee Intermediate School DistrictFireside Building4107 N. Adrian HighwayAdrian, Michigan 49921

517-265-1606 (phone)517-265-2953 (fax)stan.masters@lisd.uswww.lisd.us/links/data