presentation for potential studies don’t …...potential studies don’t maximize. optimize!...

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POTENTIAL STUDIESDON’T MAXIMIZE. OPTIMIZE!October 31, 2017 | Phoenix, AZ

PRESENTATION FOR

`

2017 National Conference on Energy Efficiency as a Resource

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SERVICESEXPERTISE

DUNSKY OVERVIEW

ASSESS

opportunities

DESIGN

strategies

EVALUATE

performance

EFFICIENCY RENEWABLES MOBILITY

CLIENTELE*Governments ▪ Utilities ▪ ▪ Private firms ▪ Non-profits

* selection of clients

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STORY INTRO

Four legs of an (optimized) potential study stool

METH

OD

OLO

GY

OP

TIM

IZED

SC

OP

E

DELI

VER

ED

PR

OD

UC

T

QU

ALI

TY C

ON

TRO

L

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NEEDSSCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS

What needs should shapeoptimized study scopes?

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

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SCOPES

NEEDSSCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

Program Matching

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

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SCOPES

SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

Program Matching

Q Are goals aggressive, moderate or low?

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

aggressive

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SCOPES

SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

Program Matching

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

Q How critical are savings to grid reliability? to shareholder returns?

critical?aggressive?

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SCOPES

SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

Program Matching

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

Q Is targeted timeframe near or long-term?

long horizon?critical?aggressive?

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SCOPESProgram Matching

SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

Q Does client plan and/or deliver programs?

client delivers?long horizon?critical?aggressive?

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SCOPESProgram Matching

Sample | GOVERNMENT AGENCY

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

long horizon

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SCOPESProgram Matching

Sample | UTILITY (easy goals)

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

client delivers

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SCOPESProgram Matching

Sample | UTILITY (tough goals)

MeasureReach

MarketResearch

EmergingTech

Risk Analysis

DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY

client deliversaggressive

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0

10

20

30

40

50

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Life

tim

e S

AV

ING

S(M

MD

th)

Annual Program COSTS ($M)

50% BAU

BAU

BAU +

BAU+ w/FIN

BAU+ w/+$$

MAX

SAMPLE: These potential study scenarios reveal savings opportunity

POTENTIAL METHODOLOGY

OPTIMIZATION

$150M savings

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BOTTOM LINE

Potential studies can be powerful tools to guide action on energy efficiency

Achieving that promise requires robust methodology, solid QC, user-friendly deliverables and… methodical scoping to needs

“My study will suck your blood”

“My study will sprinkle fairy dust

on your rainbow dreams”

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Philippe Dunsky

President

Dunsky Energy Consulting

philippe@dunsky.com

dunsky.com