cambodia labor market information system and public...
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Cambodia Labor Market Information System and Public Employment Service
Hong Choeun
National Employment Agency, Cambodia
for
Training on Labor Market Information
11-15, July 2016
Jeju Island, Republic of Korea
Cambodia: Sectoral and per capita GDP Growth, 1993-2018p
1993-2012 1993-1998 1998-2008 2008-2009 2009-2012 2012-2018
Agriculture 4.5% 5.0% 4.5% 5.6% 4.2% 3.3%
Industry 12.7% 12.1% 14.4% -2.7% 7.0% 9.3%
Service 7.8% 5.2% 9.9% 5.7% 4.7% 7.5%
Total 7.7% 6.3% 9.1% 3.4% 5.1% 7.1%
GDP(per capita)
8.2% 2.5% 9.8% 7.4% 6.5% 7.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1993 1998 2003 2008 2013e 2018p
Cambodia Sectoral GDP Share, 1994-2018p
Agriculture Industry Service
Population, Labor Force, and Employment
4 969 5 278
3 1993 054
2 987
3 059
1 5752 839
1 486 1 393
937 1 322
674 1 000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2016 2025
Cambodia Population by Age Group in 2016 and 2025 (% and in '000)
65+
55-64
45-54
35-44
25-34
15-24
0-14
3 1993 054
2 987
3 059
1 5752 839
1 486 1 393
937 1 322
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2016 2025
Cambodia Working Age Population by Age Group in 2016 and 2025 (%
and in '000)
55-64
45-54
35-44
25-34
15-24
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Ratio of Working Age Population (15-64) to Dependents: Cambodia vsASEAN Countries
Cambodia Myanmar Thailand Viet Nam ASEAN
Sectoral Employment Growth, 1994-2015
Sector 1993-2012 1993-1999 1999-2008 2008-2009 2009-20122012-2015
Agriculture 1.71% 3.87% 0.05% 8.11% 0.38% 8.20%
Industry 10.70% 10.19% 12.82% 3.80% 7.79% 16.06%
Services 5.04% -0.43% 8.58% -3.26% 8.76% 14.26%
Total 3.46% 3.33% 3.32% 4.20% 3.90% 11.51%
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
5.000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Sectoral Employment (% & ‘000), 2004-2013
Services (Tertiary)
Industry (Secondary)
Agriculture (Primary)
Agriculture ('000)
Industry ('000)
Service ('000)
Employment growth by skill level (%), 2004-2013
2004-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
2004-2013
2004-2013*
Highly skilled 4.5 8.4 -36.7 7.4 -12.4 17.4 15.8 0.6 6.8
Skilled (non-manual)
4.3 -13.9 41.4 17.6 -3.2 2.3 8.8 8.2 2.6
Skilled (manual)
20.8 2.8 -16.9 10.7 1.2 10.7 16.0 6.5 10.4
Elementary 11.6 40.7 9.2 2.8 9.8 -5.2 -7.4 8.8 8.7
Farmers -0.9 -6.7 2.3 -5.5 4.9 -9.4 -1.7 -2.4 -3.2
Total 3.9 -0.1 2.0 2.6 2.8 -2.4 3.3 1.7 1.7
Role of National Employment Agency (NEA)
Mandated to provide employment services and labor market information to job seekers, employers, employee, education/training providers, and the public (Sub-degree No. 67, 2009)
Mandated as the “Designated Statistical Unit” (Sub-degree No. 117, 2010) playing central role in:– Establishing and developing LMIS– Compiling, synthesizing, collecting and analyzing
data and information to be publicly disseminated as a easily accessible one-stop source of LMI
• NEA produces LMI from :– by-product of its functions (administrative records of
registered jobseekers, and collected vacancies & training info)
– primary source (surveys)– secondary source
Data Category Data Element Data Source
Admin. Records
Primary Secondary
Economic and trade Data
-GDP (growth, sector)-Inflation (CPI, GDP deflator)
-NIS: National Accounts- past ¤t-MEF: forecast
Population, Labor Force, Employment, Unemployment, ect.
Demographics, pop projection, employment (sector, occupation, age,gender, education, status, geographical); unemployment (age, education, geographical)
-NIS: Pop. Census, Establishment Census, Agriculture Census, ICPS, LFS, CSES, ESS-UN: World Population Prospect-Wittgenstein Centre Data: Education Attainment Projection
13
Data Category Data Element Data Source
Admin. Records Primary Secondary
Demand -Vacancies: real-time(sector, occupation, education, geographical)
- Future demand estimation & forecast and (sector, occupation)
NEA: advertisedvacancies
NEA estimation from records of CDC, MoC, MLVT: -approved investment projects -new company registration-request for employing workers
-NEA short term forecast (6-12 months) from Employer Survey data
-NEA medium-termforecast (3-5 years) from CSES and macro forecast
Supply Job seekers: real-time (sector, occupation, education, education)
NEA: registered jobseekers
Data Category Data Element Data Source
Admin. Records Primary Secondary
Supply (con’t) -Supply estimation and projection (stock, flow)
-education enrollment (EMIS), TVET enrollment (TVETMIS)
-Pop, labor force, & educational attainment projection (stock, flow): NIS (Pop Census), UN (pop prospect), Wittgenstein Centre Data (Education Attainment Projection)
Education and Training Information
Education and training institutions, programs, courses, and financial assistance
-NEA: advertised courses and programs-MLVT, MoEYS & others: registered courses and program
Education and training survey
How do we use our LMI?• Real-time data on vacancies and registered job seekers- for
assisting jobseekers in job search, matching and placement and employment counseling (quick access to LMI)
156.109
3.861
11.158
12.760
23.692
454
33
22
438
542
3.357
48.961
938
633
738
263.696
4.393
782
1.487
1.816
4.638
318
38
28
74
190
1.287
17.456
247
16
54
32.824
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Never/No Class Completed
Primary
L. Secondary
H. Secondary
HS Diploma
TVET Short Term Training
TVET Certificate I
TVET Certificate II
TVET Certificate III
Technician Diploma
Associate
Bachelor
Master
Ph.D.
Prof. Cert./License
Total
Vacancies and Jobseekers (real-time), 2010-2016 (May)
Vacancies Jobseekers
• For employment counseling: assisting jobseekers in acquiring job search skills and soft skills)
• For career and vocational counseling- assisting jobseekers to:
– select an appropriate occupation (self-assessment based on interests, personality, value & skills; and planning future career using LMI)
– identify skill gap & determine the most appropriate means of closing this gap
e.g. Results from employer survey on skill shortage and gap, andfuture forecast of employment demand (6-12 mons)
10,2
12,8
4,4
7,0
12,7
5,2
6,7
6,7
5,5
11,9
7,1
0 5 10 15
Accommodation
Construction
Education
Finance and insurance
Food and beverage
Garment, footwear,…
Health
ITC
Logistics, warehousing,…
Rubber and plastics
Total
Forecast of employment change by sector (Dec 2014 as base), %
3,5%
4,9%
4,9%
5,6%
7,0%
9,1%
12,6%
14,0%
15,4%
17,5%
19,6%
31,5%
39,2%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Strategic…
Numeracy skills
Office admin skills
Written…
Planning and…
Team working skills
Oral communication…
Advanced IT or…
Problem solving skills
Customer handling…
Basic computer…
Foreign language skills
Technical or practical…
Skills shortages among jobseekers reported by employers
• For informing planning and policy making:
– education, training, HR and labor market
– employment service and labor market programs
e.g. Sectoral Employment Growth Forecast
Sector 1993-2012 1993-1999 1999-2008 2008-2009 2009-2012 2012-2015
Agriculture 1.7% 3.9% 0.1% 8.1% 0.4% 8.2%
Industry 10.7% 10.2% 12.8% 3.8% 7.8% 16.1%
Service 5.0% -0.4% 8.6% -3.3% 8.8% 14.3%
Total 3.5% 3.3% 3.3% 4.2% 3.9% 11.5%
Source៖ Hyeok-Jeong (2013), Skills Need Assessment of Cambodia Labor Market in Policy Agenda for Cambodia in Developing Industrial Skills, Industrial Complex, and Agro-processing Industry, Korean Development Institute, 2013
Forecast of employment change by skill
Skill 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 Average
Managers 2,733 5,403 9,618 5,918
Professionals 368 35,435 65,028 33,610
Technicians 7,159 20,443 29,790 19,131
Clerks 59,394 93,506 141,589 98,163
Sales 144,145 248,415 342,095 244,885
Agricultural Skill
- 33,069 - 79,276 2,269 - 36,692
Craftsmen 147,962 166,274 209,058 174,431
Mechanics 2,231 48,338 12,530 21,033
Unskilled 463,414 530,629 699,662 564,568
Army - 1,351 845 3,258 917
Source៖ Hyeok-Jeong (2013), Skills Need Assessment of Cambodia Labor Market in Policy Agenda for Cambodia in Developing Industrial Skills, Industrial Complex, and Agro-processing Industry, Korean Development Institute, 2013
Our way forward• Cambodia LMI is still under-developed:
– not well-integrated system
– lack of comprehensive data collection and sources
– no systematic model for future anticipation and forecast of demand and supply
– lack of analytical capability
• Development of LMI is one of the focus of national development strategies, National Employment Policy (2015-2025), TVET Strategic Development Plan and Policy in order to:– Provide info on current and future demand and supply for
supporting individual entry into employment and career decision making; and education providers and government education, training and labor market planning and design
– reduce mismatch in labor market by better providing individual career guidance
– provide info on skill demand in occupations and industrial sectors which are fast-growing and in decline, and targeted for promotion by Cambodia Industrial Development Policy (2015-2025)
• NEA’s plan is to:– Expand our real-time database of advertised vacancies
and jobseekers for faster matching– Produce regularly labor market intelligence report from
administrative records, and secondary and primary data– Developing more integrated labor market forecasting
model including capability in analysis– More effective communication of the results for better
informing career decision, education/training curriculum & policy design; and for improving career guidance tools and service delivery.
Thank You!
www.nea.gov.khEmail: [email protected]
Facebook: www.facebook.com/neakhmerTel: 023 884 692/088 678 5678