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GSJ 1 st Workshop of Asia-Pacific Region Global Earthquake and Volcanic Eruption Risk Management Tsukuba, Japan, Feb, 22-25, 2012 Bui Cong Que and Nguyen Hong Phuong Institute of Geophysics Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN COASTAL AREAS OF VIETNAM AND MEARURES FOR SEISMIC RISK MITIGATION

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Page 1: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

GSJ 1st Workshop of Asia-Pacific Region Global Earthquake and Volcanic Eruption Risk Management

Tsukuba, Japan, Feb, 22-25, 2012

Bui Cong Que and Nguyen Hong Phuong

Institute of Geophysics Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology

EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN COASTAL AREAS OF VIETNAM

AND MEARURES FOR SEISMIC RISK MITIGATION

Page 2: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

CONTENTS

• Introduction

• Seismicity and seismotectonics

• Earthquake hazard evaluation

• Identification of Tsunami source zones

• Tsunami affects evaluation

• Measures for Earthquake and Tsunami hazard mitigation

• Vietnam National System for Earthquake information and Tsunami warning

• Conclusion

Page 3: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

COASTAL AREAS OF VIETNAM

• Coastline length: 3260km, 2600 Islands

• 4 main coastal area: North-Northeastern, Central, Southeastern and Southwestern areas

• Population: 20 millions

• Big cities: Halong, Haiphong, Danang, Nhatrang, Vungtau.

• 12 industrial zones, 18 big ports, 25 tourism zones

Study area and seismicity

of southeast region

Page 4: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

MAIN RESEARCH PROJECTS ON EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN VIETNAM

• Study of Earthquake and Tsunami hazard in Coastal area of Vietnam, Vietnam Academy of Science and technology, Nguyen Dinh Xuyen (2005 - 2006)

• Evaluation of Tsunami hazard in coastal zone of Vietnam. Vietnam Academy of Science and technology. Tran Thi My Thanh (2006 - 2007)

• Numerical Modeling for possible Tsunami scenarios affecting coastal areas of Vietnam. Ministry of Environment and resources. Vu Thanh Ca (2007 - 2008)

• Tsunami Hazard and Risk assessment and preparedness for Vietnam. Vietnam – New Zealand Cooperation project. Bui Cong Que, IGP and Terry Webb, GNS, (2007 - 2009)

• Study of Earthquake and Tsunami Hazard assessment in Coastal areas of Vietnam and mitigation measures. Vietnam National Research project. Bui Cong Que, (2007 – 2010)

Page 5: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

STUDY OF SEISMICITY AND SEISMOTECTONICS

• Seismicity of Vietnam and Eastern sea

• Seismicity of Southeast Asia region

• Seismotectonics of Vietnam

• Geodynamic and recent tectonic movement

• Study of active tectonic faults

• Study of volcanic and landslide activities in the offshore areas

Page 6: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

SESMICITY OF VIETNAM AND EASTERN SEA

• Catalog of Earthquake with:

+ M ≥ 5 on data of ISC (1900-2008)

+ M ≥ 3 on data of local seismic network and historic data.

• Study area: 1°N - 24°N, 99°E - 125°E.

• Total 8955 Earthquakes with:

+ 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9

+ 331 ~ M = 6 – 6,9

+ 78 ~ M = 7 – 7,9

+ 10 ~ M ≥ 8 Distribution of epicenters

in Vietnam and Eastern Sea

Page 7: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

SESMICITY OF VIETNAM AND EASTERN SEA

• Maximum Earthquake evaluation

+ Earthquake energy estimation:

log E = 11,8 + 1,5M

• Distribution of epicenters on the Depth:

0 40 80 120 160 200

0

10

20

30

40

50 %

h(km)

Mmax for Vietnam territory

Mmax for Eastern Sea of Vietnam

Page 8: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismotectonic scheme of Southeast Asia region

Page 9: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Structural and Tectonic Map

in Vietnam and adjacent areas

Page 10: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

STUDY OF GEODYNAMICS AND RECENT TECTONIC MOVEMENT

• Study of the active faults in Pliocene – quaternary sediment

Page 11: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

STUDY OF GEODYNAMICS AND RECENT TECTONIC MOVEMENT

• Study of recent tectonic movement on GPS network

Crustal motion

for 2007, 2008, 2009

Crustal motion on the Projects GEODYSSEA, PCGIAP, SEAMERGES

Page 12: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scheme of geodynamics and modern tectonic movements

Page 13: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

SCHEME OF ACTIVE TECTONIC FAULTS

• Data of gravity and magnetic anomalies

• Seismic profiling data of high resolution

• Data of seismicity

• Data of volcanic activities

Page 14: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Method

- Probabilistic approach: Cornell A.C. method (1968)

- Seismic hazard is calculated by

where P indicates probability, A is the event whose

probability is sought, and m and r are continuous,

independent random variables which influence A. In our

case, A represents the event that a specific value of ground

motion intensity is exceeded at the site of interest during an

earthquake, variables m and r represent earthquake size

(magnitude) and distance from the site of interest.

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Page 15: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Procedure

1. Determination of seismic source zones in the study

area;

2. Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters for each

source zone

3. Choosing an attenuation equation for the study area;

4. Seismic Hazard computation and mapping.

Page 16: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

1. EQRISK program by McGuire (1974)

2. CRISIS99 program by Ordaz (1999)

Tools

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Page 17: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Input Data

• An Earthquake catalog of Vietnam and adjacent sea

areas for the period from 114 to 2008 including 3197

events, compiled by the Institute of Geophysics, VAST.

The catalog incorporates all historical as well as

instrumental data collected from various sources (ISC,

USGS, NEIS, BEJ ).

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Page 18: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Input Data

Page 19: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Parameter estimation

The following earthquake hazard parameters,

characterizing level of seismicity, were estimated for all

seismic source zones in the territory of Vietnam and

adjacent sea areas:

• Expected maximum magnitude Mmax;

• Constants a, b in the Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-

frequency relation and their deductive values α and β;

• Mean return period T(M) of the strong earthquakes with

magnitude M.

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Page 20: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Attenuation relationship

The Campbell (1997) attenuation relationship was chosen for application:

ln(AH) = -3.512+0.904 Mw -1.328ln{R2SEI+[0.149 exp(0.647 Mw)]2

+[1.125-0.112ln(RSEI) - 0.0957 Mw]F+[0.440-0.171ln(RSEI)] SSR

+[0.405-0.222ln(RSEI)] SHR +

where: AH is horizontal PGA, in g (g = 981 cm/s2). Rseis is the closest

distance from the site to the zone of the seismogenic rupture, Mw is the

moment magnitude of the earthquake, F is a fault type flag: GRS = 1 for

reverse-slip faults, 0 otherwise, SSR and SHR are site coefficients: for soft

soils SSR = SHR = 0; SSR =1, SHR =0 for soft rocks; SSR=0, SHR= 1 for

hard rock and is the standard deviation, with = 0.4095.

EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Page 21: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

MAP OF EARTHQUAKE HAZARD IN NORTH AND CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF VIETNAM. RETURN PERIOD 950 YEARS, SITE A

Page 22: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

MAP OF EARTHQUAKE HAZARD IN SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF VIETNAM. RETURN PERIOD 950 YEARS, SITE A

Page 23: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

IDENTIFICATION OF TSUNAMI SOURCE ZONES

Scheme of tsunamigenic zones in Southeast Asia

Catalog of tsunamis in Southeast Asia

Tsunami source zones in South China Sea region

Zones of volcanoes in the South China Sea

Zone of potential of landslides

Page 24: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scheme of tsunamigenic faults in Southeast Asia

Page 25: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Tsunami source zones in South China Sea region

Page 26: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Neotectonic activities along coastal zone in the north part of Vietnam

L ¹ n g S ¬ n

B ¾c C ¹ n

Hµ Né I

H µ T ©y

H µ N a m

N in h B ×n h

T h ¸ i B ×n h

H ¶ i D ­ ¬ n g

T h a n h H ã a

N g h Ö A n

H ß n M ª

H ß n M ¸ t

Q u ¶ n g B ×n h

Q u ¶ n g T r Þ

H u Õ

§ µ N ½n g

Q u ¶ n g N a m

Q u ¶ n g N g · i

B ×n h § Þn h

C ï L a o X a n h

C ï L a o C h µ m

K h ¸ n h H ß a

N in h T h u Ën

B ×n h T h u Ën

B ×n h P h ­ í c

T iÒn G ia n g

K iª n G ia n g

T r µ V in h

S ã c T r ¨ n g

B ¹ c L iª u

C µ M a u

H ß n K h o a i

H ß n § ¸ L Î

H ß n T rø n g B Ð

H ß n T rø n g L í n

C « n § ¶ o

H¶ i Na m

B · i § ¸ B ¾c

§ ¶ o H o µ n g S a

§ ¶ o Q u a n g ¶ n h

C å n § ¸ L í n

§ ¶ o B ¸ c h Q u ý§ ¶ o B ã n g B a y

§ ¶ o C h ©n Y Õn

§ ¶ o P h ó L ©m § ¶ o § ¸

§ ¶ o T r u n g

§ ¸ L ¸ t

§ . T r ­ ê n g S a

B · i H u y Òn T r ©n

B · i V ò n g M ©y

B · i P h ó c N g u y ª n

B · i T ­ C h Ýn h

B ¹ c h L o n g V Ü

100 108 110 112

22

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

1 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

6 5 0 0

3 0 0 0

2000 1 0 0 0

5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

7 0 0 0

1000

1 0 0 0

2 0 0 0

9 5 0 0

500

0

5 0 0 0

10000

3 0 0 0

1000

5000

1 00 0 0

15000

4000

1000

1 0 0 0

10000

5000

2000

3000

3 0 0 0

2000

1000

800

0

1000

500

0

1000

60

00

6000

500

0

50

00

6 0 0 05 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

2000

100

0

3000

2000

3 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

7000 5

000

6 0 0 07 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

7000

6 0 0 0

10000

11000

1000

5 0 0 03 0 0 0

4 0 0 0

8 0 0 0

1 2 0 0 0

6 0 0 0

6000

1 5 0 0

1000

5 0 0 0

6 5 0 0

5 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

1000

2000

2500

1 0 0 0

1000

5000

8000

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0500

0

Bå n t r ò n g Be j b u w a n

Bån tròng s«ng hång

Bå n t r ò n g n a m h ¶ i n a m

n t

ng

Ph

ó k

nh

®íi t¸ch g

i·n b

iÓn ®

«ng

®íi t

r­ît c

¾t tuy h

ßa

Th Òm p

h an ran g

Th Òm v ò n g t µu

Bå n t r ò n g c ö u l o n g

®íi n

©ng c

«n s

¬n

Bå n t r ò n g n a m c « n s ¬ n

®í i n©n g c

« n s¬ n

Bå n t r ò n g t ­ c h Ýn h - v ò n g m©y

The seismic section

Page 27: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Neotectonic activities along coastal zone in the cental part of Vietnam

L ¹ n g S ¬ n

B ¾c C ¹ n

Hµ Né I

H µ T ©y

H µ N a m

N in h B ×n h

T h ¸ i B ×n h

H ¶ i D ­ ¬ n g

T h a n h H ã a

N g h Ö A n

H ß n M ª

H ß n M ¸ t

Q u ¶ n g B ×n h

Q u ¶ n g T r Þ

H u Õ

§ µ N ½n g

Q u ¶ n g N a m

Q u ¶ n g N g · i

B ×n h § Þn h

C ï L a o X a n h

C ï L a o C h µ m

K h ¸ n h H ß a

N in h T h u Ën

B ×n h T h u Ën

B ×n h P h ­ í c

T iÒn G ia n g

K iª n G ia n g

T r µ V in h

S ã c T r ¨ n g

B ¹ c L iª u

C µ M a u

H ß n K h o a i

H ß n § ¸ L Î

H ß n T rø n g B Ð

H ß n T rø n g L í n

C « n § ¶ o

H¶ i Na m

B · i § ¸ B ¾c

§ ¶ o H o µ n g S a

§ ¶ o Q u a n g ¶ n h

C å n § ¸ L í n

§ ¶ o B ¸ c h Q u ý§ ¶ o B ã n g B a y

§ ¶ o C h ©n Y Õn

§ ¶ o P h ó L ©m § ¶ o § ¸

§ ¶ o T r u n g

§ ¸ L ¸ t

§ . T r ­ ê n g S a

B · i H u y Òn T r ©n

B · i V ò n g M ©y

B · i P h ó c N g u y ª n

B · i T ­ C h Ýn h

B ¹ c h L o n g V Ü

100 108 110 112

22

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

1 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

6 5 0 0

3 0 0 0

2000 1 0 0 0

5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

7 0 0 0

1000

1 0 0 0

2 0 0 0

9 5 0 0

5000

5 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

1000

5000

1 0 0 0 0

1 5 0 0 0

4000

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

10000

500 0

2 0 0 0

3000

3 0 0 0

2000

1000

8000

1000

500

0

1000

60

00

6000

500

0

50

00

6 0 0 05 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

2000

100

0

3 0 0 0

2000

3 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

7000 5

000

6 0 0 07 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

7000

6 0 0 0

10000

11000

1000

5 0 0 03 0 0 0

4 0 0 0

8 0 0 0

1 2 0 0 0

6 0 0 0

6000

1 5 0 0

1000

5 0 0 0

6 5 0 0

5 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

1000

2 0 00

2500

1 0 0 0

10 0 0

5000

8000

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0

500

0

Bå n t r ò n g Be j b u w a n

Bån t

ròng s

«ng h

ång

Bå n t r ò n g n a m h ¶ i n a m

n t

ng

Ph

ó k

nh

®íi t¸ch g

i·n b

iÓn ®

«ng

®íi t

r­ît c

¾t t u

y h

ßa

Th Òm p

h an ran g

Th Òm v ò n g t µu

Bå n t r ò n g c ö u l o n g

®íi n

©ng c

«n s

¬n

Bå n t r ò n g n a m c « n s ¬ n

®í i n©n g c

« n s¬ n

Bå n t r ò n g t ­ c h Ýn h - v ò n g m©y

The seismic section

Page 28: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

L ¹ n g S ¬ n

B ¾c C ¹ n

Hµ Né I

H µ T ©y

H µ N a m

N in h B ×n h

T h ¸ i B ×n h

H ¶ i D ­ ¬ n g

T h a n h H ã a

N g h Ö A n

H ß n M ª

H ß n M ¸ t

Q u ¶ n g B ×n h

Q u ¶ n g T r Þ

H u Õ

§ µ N ½n g

Q u ¶ n g N a m

Q u ¶ n g N g · i

B ×n h § Þn h

C ï L a o X a n h

C ï L a o C h µ m

K h ¸ n h H ß a

N in h T h u Ën

B ×n h T h u Ën

B ×n h P h ­ í c

T iÒn G ia n g

K iª n G ia n g

T r µ V in h

S ã c T r ¨ n g

B ¹ c L iª u

C µ M a u

H ß n K h o a i

H ß n § ¸ L Î

H ß n T rø n g B Ð

H ß n T rø n g L í n

C « n § ¶ o

H¶ i Na m

B · i § ¸ B ¾c

§ ¶ o H o µ n g S a

§ ¶ o Q u a n g ¶ n h

C å n § ¸ L í n

§ ¶ o B ¸ c h Q u ý§ ¶ o B ã n g B a y

§ ¶ o C h ©n Y Õn

§ ¶ o P h ó L ©m § ¶ o § ¸

§ ¶ o T r u n g

§ ¸ L ¸ t

§ . T r ­ ê n g S a

B · i H u y Òn T r ©n

B · i V ò n g M ©y

B · i P h ó c N g u y ª n

B · i T ­ C h Ýn h

B ¹ c h L o n g V Ü

100 108 110 112

22

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

1 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

6 5 0 0

3 0 0 0

2000 1 0 0 0

5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

7 0 0 0

1000

1 0 0 0

2 0 0 0

9 5 0 0

5000

5 0 0 0

10000

3 0 0 0

1000

5000

1 00 0 0

15000

4000

1000

1 0 0 0

10000

5000

2000

3000

3 0 0 0

2000

1000

8000

1000

500

0

1000

60

00

6000

500

0

50

00

6 0 0 05 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

2000

100

0

3000

2000

3 0 0 0

3 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

7000 5

000

6 0 0 07 0 0 0

5 0 0 0

7000

6 0 0 0

10000

11000

1000

5 0 0 03 0 0 0

4 0 0 0

8 0 0 0

1 2 0 0 0

6 0 0 0

6000

1 5 0 0

1000

5 0 0 0

6 5 0 0

5 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

1000

2000

2500

1 0 0 0

100 0

5000

8000

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0

500

0

Bå n t r ò n g Be j b u w a n

Bån t

ròng s

«ng h

ång

Bå n t r ò n g n a m h ¶ i n a m

n t

ng

Ph

ó k

nh

®íi t¸ch g

i·n b

iÓn ®

«ng

®íi t

r­ît c

¾t tuy h

ßa

Th Òm p

h an ran g

Th Òm v ò n g t µu

Bå n t r ò n g c ö u l o n g

®íi n

©ng c

«n s

¬n

Bå n t r ò n g n a m c « n s ¬ n

®í i n©n g c

« n s¬ n

Bå n t r ò n g t ­ c h Ýn h - v ò n g m©y

Neotectonic activities along coastal zone in the south part of Vietnam

The seismic section

Page 29: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic profiles to study landslide potential in coastal area of central and southern Vietnam

Page 30: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic profiles VOR 93-103

Page 31: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic profiles VOR 93-104

Page 32: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic profiles VOR 93-105

Page 33: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic profiles VOR 93-112

Page 34: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

TSUNAMI AFFECT EVALUATION

Evaluation of Mw for Tsunami source zones

Calculation model for Tsunami propagation and inundation

Identification of appropriate Tsunami scenarios

Simulation of Tsunami propagation and Inundation for coastal areas of Vietnam

Page 35: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

SOURCE PARAMETERS OF MAIN TSUNAMI SCENARIOS

Source zone Mw L (km) W(km) Dislocatio

n (m)

Strike Dip. Slip H (km)

Manila Trench

(Eastern source

zone)

8.0

8.5

9.0

160

280

500

45

80

140

5

9

15

357

357

357

40

40

40

90

90

90

20

30

30

Western source

zone

6.5

7.0

30

50

8

15

1

1.7

180

180

90

90

-90

-90

6

10

North source zone 7.0

7.5

50

90

15

25

1.7

3.0

57

57

78

78

90

90

10

17

Page 36: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scenario 1: Tsunami propagation time from Manila Trench. Mw=9.0

Page 37: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scenario 2: Tsunami propagation from Manila Trench. Mw=8.5

Page 38: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scenario 3: Tsunami propagation from Manila Trench. Mw=9.0

Page 39: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scenario 4: Tsunami inundation. Tsunami from Manila Trench. Mw=8.0

Page 40: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Scenario 5: Tsunami inundation. Tsunami from Manila Trench. Mw=9.0

Page 41: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Tsunami hazard in Coastal area of Vietnam for return period of 950 years

Page 42: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Tsunami hazard in Coastal area of Vietnam for return period of 2500 years.

Page 43: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Inundation in Nha Trang city with Tsunami wave height = 2m

Page 44: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Inundation in Nha Trang city with Tsunami wave height = 4m

Page 45: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Inundation in Nha Trang city with Tsunami wave height = 6m

Page 46: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

MEASURES FOR HAZARD MITIGATION

Detail seismic sounding and geological investigation for meridional fault system along central and south central coastline

Conduct of earthquake and Tsunami risk assessment for central and south central coastal zone of Vietnam

Establishment of National system for earthquake information and Tsunami warring

Development of mangrove forest areas and protecting forests along coastal zone

Education and training of earthquake and Tsunami hazard preparedness for the population and community

Conduct of drill for earthquake and Tsunami preparedness and rescue

Page 47: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

VIETNAM NATIONAL SYSTEM FOR EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND TSUNAMI WARNING

1. Legislation bases 2. Earthquake Information and Tsunami Warning Centre 3. Institute of Geophysics (IGP) 4. Vietnam National Seismic Network (Vietnet 2010) 5. Operation System for Earthquake Information and Tsunami

Warning

Page 48: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

LEGISLATION BASES

1. Prime Minister decision No 264/2006/QD-TTg, November 16, 2006 on ”Regulation of earthquake information and Tsunami Warning in Vietnam”

– Information for all earthquakes with M>3,5

– Alert with tsunami warning for coastal areas and islands.

– Institute of Geophysics is an only agency responsible for earthquake information and tsunami warning in Vietnam

– Improvement of national seismic network an tidal station system to serve earthquake information and tsunami warning

– Establishment of earthquake information and tsunami warning centre

– Responsibilities of Government offices and localities authorities to support earthquake information and tsunami warning system

Page 49: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

LEGISLATION BASES

2. Prime Minister decision No 78/2007/QD-TTg, May 29, 2007 on ”Regulation and Guideline for earthquake and Tsunami preparedness and prevention”

3. Decision No 1798/QD-KHCNVN, September 4, 2007 on establishment of the earthquake information and tsunami warning centre belong to Institute of Geophysics

4. Decision No 1798/QD-KHCNVN, December 21, 2007 on approval to project for improvement of National Network of Seismic Stations in Vietnam. Realization in period of 2008-2012

Page 50: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

THE EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER

• Location: Institute of Geophysics, Hanoi

• Functions: – To receive and process data and information of the seismic networks,

sea level stations and buoys

– To provide information of the earthquakes and tsunami warning to TV, radio, the Government offices and localities

– To provide guideline for earthquake and tsunami preparedness and prevention

• Working staff: 12 people

Page 51: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICS

Building A8, 18 Hoang Quoc Viet - Cau Giay - Hanoi

Tel: 84. 4. 7567305

Fax: 84. 4. 8364696

Institute founded in 1986 by Vietnamese Government decision No.60/HDBT/15-05-1986

Page 52: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT FUNCTIONS

• Investigation of geophysical fields (gravity, geomagnetic, geoelectric and geothermal)

• Investigation of seismicity and seismic zoning

• Study of the earth crustal structure and geodynamics,

• Study of atmosphere physics

• Development and application of geophysical methods of prospecting

• Earthquake information and tsunami warning in the territory of Vietnam and adjacent sea areas

• Postgraduate training in geophysics

Page 53: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE

• Research departments – Seismology

– Seismic observation (seismological network)

– Geomagnetism

– Geodynamics

– Geophysical methods of prospecting

– Atmosphere physics

– Ionosphere observatory

• Administrative and management office

• Operation center for earth information and tsunami warning

• Current member of researchers: 80 (Ph.D:15, M.Sc: 20)

Page 54: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

MAIN COMPLETED NATIONAL RESEARCH PROJECTS

• Seismicity and seismic zoning in Vietnam territory (1990)

• Seismicity and seismogenetic zones in Eastern sea of Vietnam (2000)

• Seismicity and detail seismic zoning in northeastern part of Vietnam (2005)

• Scientific and technological bases for protection of underground water resources in Vietnam (2007)

• Compilation of atlas of natural conditions and environment in sea areas of Vietnam (2005)

• Study of structure and dynamics of faults in area of Hoa Binh hydroelectric plant

• Earthquake and tsunami hazards and risk assessment in the coastal areas of Vietnam (2007-2008)

Page 55: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

MAIN SCIENTIFIC EQUIPMENTS AND FACILITIES

• Network of 25 seismological stations in Vietnam territory

• 4 geomagnetic observatories (Sapa, Dalat, Bac Lieu, Hanoi)

• 9 atmospheric physics stations

• System of 9 teleseismic station

• Operation center for earthquake information and tsunami warning

• 15 digital seismometers

• 24 channels seismic sounding unit

• Geophysical equipments (gravity meters, magnetometers, geoelectric sounders)

• Ionosphere sounders

Page 56: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION OF IGP

Page 57: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

VIETNAM NATIONAL SEISMIC NETWORK (VIETNET)

• Present status: 25 stations – North Vietnam: 20

– Central Vietnam: 3

– South Vietnam: 2

– Seismographs: L-4C-1D (8) and L-4C-3D (17)

T=1

• Project for Vietnet 2008-2012: 36 stations – North Vietnam: 18

– Central Vietnam: 8

– South Vietnam: 10

– Seismographs: Broadband remote seismic stations GPS systems

– Satellite system for data transmission

– Data acquisition and processing centre (in Hanoi)

Page 58: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic Network of Vietnam

Page 59: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

Seismic Network of Vietnam for 2010-2012

Page 60: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

OPERATION SYSTEM FOR EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND TSUNAMI WARNING IN VIETNAM

Sea level stations

Tsunami buoys

Regional seismic

network

National seismic

network

Tsunami scenarios

Seismic data

processing

centre

Earthquake

information and

tsunami warning

centre

Tsunami data

processing

centre

-TV

-Radio

-Government

Offices

-Related

Agencies

-Localities related

to event

-Alert system

-TV

-Radio

-Government

Offices

-Related

Agencies

- Coastal areas

communities

M ≥

6,5

Page 61: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

CONCLUSIONS

1. Coastal areas of Vietnam are a zones of complicated geological structure and active seismotectonics as places of meeting and crossing by most seismoactive fault systems of NW-SE direction in land and NE-SW, N-S directions faults along coastline in the sea.

2. Depending from geological structure and seismicity coastal area of Vietnam characterized by strong and differenced Earthquake hazard with PGA changes from 0,18 gal to 0,08 gal with return period of 950 years and ground A. Highest Earthquake hazard characterized for the north and north central areas, while lowest Earthquake hazard are make in the south and south central areas.

Page 62: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

CONCLUSIONS

3. Coastal areas of Vietnam may be affected by Tsunami from source zones as Manila Trench subduction zone and seismogenic fault systems along northeast and west coastline of the South China Sea. Tsunami may have a maximum height of 6-8m with return period of 950 years in central and south central coastal areas.

4. Main measures for seismic risk mitigation in coastal areas of Vietnam are:

– Improvement and modernization of national seismic stations network

– Promotion of national system of Earthquake information and Tsunami warning in close cooperation with another national systems and international networks in the region.

– Enhancement of research and investigation in the field of seismotectonics and detail seismic hazard and risk assessment.

Page 63: CCOP-GAI International Symposium on Tsunami Risk ...g-ever.org/en/materials/sharing/G-EVER1_Bui_Cong_Que_VAST.pdf · • Total 8955 Earthquakes with: + 2086 ~ M = 5 – 5,9 + 331

The end!

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION!