CHILTON COUNTY2014 EXISTING INDUSTRY SEMINAR

Labor Market Information Division Tonya Lee

INFORMATIONTHE MISSING PIECE

DemographicsAmerican Community Survey Average Population Estimates for 2008-2012

Age EstimateUnder 5 years 2,996

5 to 9 years 3,07510 to 14 years 2,99815 to 19 years 2,98320 to 24 years 2,57325 to 29 years 2,71430 to 34 years 2,98235 to 39 years 3,02340 to 44 years 2,88745 to 49 years 3,01750 to 54 years 3,18055 to 59 years 2,80760 to 64 years 2,48765 to 69 years 1,96670 to 74 years 1,47975 to 79 years 1,13080 to 84 years 729

85 years and over 617

At minimum,25% of thePopulation aged55 & overwho reside inChilton Countyis still in theworkforce

Unemployment DataMarch 2014 Unemployment & 2014 Underemployment Data

County

Civilian Labor Force

CLF Employm

entUnemploym

entUnemployme

nt RateUnderemploy

ment

Available

Labor Pool

Blount 26,436 24,790 1,646 6.2% 6,693 8,339Chilton 19,816 18,595 1,221 6.2% 3,878 5,099Jefferson 305,004 285,418 19,586 6.4% 73,938 93,524Shelby 105,853 100,807 5,046 4.8% 25,776 30,822St. Clair 38,127 35,791 2,336 6.1% 8,629 10,965

Walker 27,151 25,186 1,965 7.2% 5,356 7,321

Unemployment + Underemployment = Potential Available Labor Pool

Source: Alabama labor force data prepared by the Alabama Department of Labor in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Preliminary March 2014 data, based on 2013 bench mark.

Underemployment data produced by the University of Alabama, Center for Business and Economic Research in cooperation with the Alabama Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Division, 2014 survey results.

Unemployment DataChilton County Unemployed by Occupation 2013, Quarter 4

OccupationNumber

Unemployed

OccupationNumber

Unemployed

Team Assemblers 23 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants

7

Cashiers 15 Bookkeeping, Accounting, & Auditing Clerks

6

Construction Laborers 9 Stock Clerks, Sales Floor 6Customer Service Reps 9 Retail Salespersons 6Maintenance & Repair Workers

9 Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers

6

Stock Clerks, Warehouse 8 Personal Care Aides 5Receptionists & Information Clerks

7 Painters, Construction & Maintenance

5

Electricians 7 Cooks, Restaurant 5Construction Carpenters 7 Office Clerks, General 5Industrial Truck & Tractor Operators

7 Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

5

Source: Alabama Department of Labor, Unemployment Insurance Reports

Alabama Joblink ResumesResumes by Occupation January−March 2014

Occupation Resumes

Occupation Resumes

Helpers−Production Workers 37 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 9

Customer Service Representatives 15 Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers 3

Office Clerks, General 25 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 7

Cashiers 24 Team Assemblers 18Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 16 First-Line Supervisors of Production and

Operating Workers 8Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 19 Security Guards 3

Nursing Assistants 9 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 4

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 13 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 6

Receptionists and Information Clerks 17 Office and Administrative Support Workers, All Other 2

Construction Laborers 10 Stock Clerks- Stockroom, Warehouse, or Storage Yard 6

Retail Salespersons 10 General and Operations Managers 3

Medical Assistants 8 Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters 4

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 12 Home Health Aides 3

Source: Data Reported by the Alabama Department of Labor, Alabama Joblink system. https://joblink.alabama.gov/ada/

Expected Worker Shortfall

Chilton County2010-2020 2010-2030

Total Population Growth 9.3% 17.4%

Age 20-64 population growth 5.4% 9.8%

Nonagricultural job growth -3.5% -1.3%

Worker shortfall -8.8% -11.1%

Worker shortfall -819 -1,032

Source: Center for Business and Economic Research (CBER), University of Alabama

If the job growth declines as this projection indicates, Chilton County is projected to have approximately 1,000 more workers than jobs in the County.

DemographicsAmerican Community Survey Average Population Estimates for 2008-2012

School Enrollment EstimatePopulation 3 years and over, enrolled in school 9,925 Nursery school, preschool 656 Kindergarten 472 Elementary school (grades 1-8) 4,962 High school (grades 9-12) 2,406 College or graduate school 1,429

Educational Attainment EstimatePopulation 25 years and over 28,945 Less than 9th grade 2,571 9th to 12th grade, no diploma 4,452 High school graduate (includes equivalency) 11,356 Some college, no degree 4,994 Associate’s degree 1,964 Bachelor’s degree 2,276 Graduate or professional degree 1,332

Postsecondary Education2012-2013 HS Graduates Enrolled in Alabama Public Colleges

High School HS Grads

Enrolled in AL Public

Colleges

Enrolled in Remedial Course(s)

Math Only

English Only Both Total

Chilton County High School 148 71 16 5 11 32

Isabella High School 44 18 5 3 1 9

Jemison High School 100 42 13 0 4 17

Maplesville High School 28 10 1 1 1 3

Thorsby High School 70 35 11 2 6 19

Verbena High School 22 8 0 0 2 2• Approximately 45% of 2012-2013 High School Graduates were enrolled in Alabama Public Colleges for Fall 2013

• About 70 of the approximately 110 enrolled in public colleges are attending colleges close to Chilton County

• This does not include those that enroll in private Institutions• Also does not include those who enroll in Institutions in other states.Source: Alabama Commission on Higher Education (ACHE) High School Feedback Reports http://ache.alabama.gov/Content/StudentDB/SDBReports.aspx

Postsecondary EducationFall 2013 Undergraduate Enrollment of Students

Attending Alabama Public Two-Year and Four-Year Institutions

Chilton County # Undergrads

# First-Time Freshman

Major Grand Total 1,128 194General Studies 275 69Undeclared/Not Reported 155 11Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 102 16Liberal Arts and Sciences/Liberal Studies 44 10Biology/Biological Sciences, General 34 7Psychology, General 28 1Accounting 25 1Business Administration and Management, General 23 4Elementary Education and Teaching 23 1Radiologic Technology/Science - Radiographer 22 8Social Work 17 1Office Management and Supervision 16 3Physical Therapy Technician/Assistant 15 7Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 12 0Computer and Information Sciences, General 12 1Finance, General 12 1Art/Art Studies, General 11 1Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic) 10 4Physical Education Teaching and Coaching 10 1Criminal Justice/Safety Studies 9 2Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 9 0Business/Commerce, General 8 2Chemical Engineering 8 1Electrician 8 1

Source: Alabama Commission on Higher Education (ACHE) Workforce Development Reports, Potential Workforce by County http://ache.alabama.gov/Content/Workforce/Workforce.aspx

Postsecondary EducationFall 2013 Graduate Enrollment of Students Attending

Alabama Public Four-Year InstitutionsChilton County # Graduate

StudentsMajor Grand Total 71

Elementary Education and Teaching 11Counselor Education/School Counseling and Guidance Services 7Secondary Education and Teaching 7Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 6Educational Leadership and Administration, General 4Mathematics, General 3Special Education and Teaching, General 3Criminal Justice/Safety Studies 2Liberal Arts and Sciences/Liberal Studies 2Medicine 2Physical Education Teaching and Coaching 2Physical Therapy/Therapist 2Undeclared/Not Reported 2Accounting 1Business Administration and Management, General 1Civil Engineering, General 1Community Psychology 1Education, General 1Educational/Instructional Technology 1Elementary and Middle School Administration/Principalship 1Food Science 1Human Resources Management/Personnel Administration, General 1Marketing/Marketing Management, General 1Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, General 1

Source: Alabama Commission on Higher Education (ACHE) Workforce Development Reports, Potential Workforce by County http://ache.alabama.gov/Content/Workforce/Workforce.aspx

Postsecondary EducationSummer 2012 thru Spring 2013 Completions of Students from

Alabama Public Two-Year and Four-Year Institutions: Sorted by Major

Major

Less than 1 year

Less than

2 yearsAssocia

teLess than

4 yearsBachel

orPost-

Bachelor

Master Post-Master

Doctoral

Chilton Total

* State Totals

Accounting Technology/Technician & Bookkeeping 3 2 3 8 78Accounting 4 4 935

Administrative Assistant & Secretarial Science, General 5 3 8 664Agricultural Economics 1 1 24Anthropology 1 1 71Art Teacher Education 1 1 9

Art/Art Studies, General 2 2 217Bioengineering & Biomedical Engineering 1 1 20Biology/Biological Sciences, General 2 2 716Biomedical Sciences, General 2 2 199

Business Administration & Management, General 1 5 1 7 1,641Carpentry/Carpenter 2 2 66Chemistry, General 1 1 149Child Care & Support Services Management 1 1 1 3 331Computer & Information Sciences, General 1 1 2 612

Corrections &Criminal Justice, Other 1 1 65Cosmetology/Cosmetologist, General 1 1 369Criminal Justice/Police Science 1 1 1 3 168Criminal Justice/Safety Studies 1 2 3 396

Early Childhood Education & Teaching 1 1 203

Source: Alabama Commission on Higher Education (ACHE) Workforce Development Reports, Potential Workforce by County http://ache.alabama.gov/Content/Workforce/Workforce.aspx

2012 Annual Industry Employment

Manufacturing19%

Retail Trade17%

Accommodation & Food Services

10%

Health Care & Social Assistance9%

Con-struction

6% Wholesale Trade

3%

All Other or Not

Reported36%

Source: Data prepared by the Alabama Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Division, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wage Unit (QCEW) in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data not reported is due to confidentiality restrictions enforced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Industry Trend by Age GroupAll Industries

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

1,404 1,231 1,153 1,139 1,244 1,309

1,955 1,748 1,712 1,746 1,737 1,789

2,0881,926 1,916 1,969 1,996 2,000

2,0281,928 1,886 1,910 1,859 1,858

1,5831,517 1,553 1,604 1,648 1,673

14-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://Lehd.did.census.gov

Industry Trend by Age GroupManufacturing

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

200 130 127 146 199 264

396284 294 325

347414

428

341 342 352366

412

451

369 360371

372

409

265

237 251244

249

263

14-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://Lehd.did.census.gov

Industry Trend by Age GroupHealth Care

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

86 94 85 79 65 68

191 190 175 167 172 148

211 204 222 230 232198

238 232 221 214 200174

149 149 156 166 175

167

14-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://Lehd.did.census.gov

Industry Trend by Age GroupEducation

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

32 30 25 19 17 17

201 181 185 176 158 158

237 243 246 252 263 282

232 227 228 227 226 233

170 173 179 185 175188

14-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://Lehd.did.census.gov

2014 Occupational Wages

Chilton County Average Hourly WageAll Occupations

Entry Mean Experienced$8.46 $16.40 $20.37

Chilton County Average Hourly WageProduction Occupations

Entry Mean Experienced$11.79 $15.32 $17.08

Source: Data provided by the Alabama Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Division in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is based on the 2013 release of the Occupational Employment Statistics report, employment and wage estimate file. Wage data has been aged using the latest quarterly Employment Cost Index (ECI) factors.

2014 Occupational WagesAnnual Average Wage Comparison

Montgomery CountyAll $18,861 $41,446 $52,739Production $19,734 $32,649 $39,107

Shelby CountyAll $18,942 $43,100 $55,179

Production $19,354 $35,572 $43,681

Jefferson CountyTotal $19,517 $45,045 $57,809Production $21,227 $35,121 $42,067

Chilton CountyEntry Median Experienc

edTotal $17,610 $34,128 $42,388Production $24,528 $31,863 $35,531

Source: Data provided by the Alabama Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Division in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is based on the 2013 release of the Occupational Employment Statistics report, employment and wage estimate file. Wage data has been aged using the latest quarterly Employment Cost Index (ECI) factors.

2011 Commuting PatternsWorker Profile

Jobs by Worker Educational Attainment Count Share

Less than high school 794 9.8%High school or equivalent, no college 2,220 27.5%Some college or Associate’s degree 1,927 23.9%Bachelor’s degree or advanced degree 1,310 16.3%Educational Attainment not available (workers aged 29 or younger) 1,810 22.5%

Jobs by Worker Age Count ShareAge 29 or younger 1,810 22.5%Age 30 to 54 4,689 58.2%Age 55 or older 1,562 19.4%

Jobs by Worker Sex Count ShareMale 3,995 49.6%Female 4,066 50.4%

Jobs by Earnings Count Share$1,250 per month or less 2,055 25.5%$1,251 to $3,333 3,788 47.0%More than $3,333 per month 2,218 27.5%

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, OnTheMap Application a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/

2011 Commuting Patterns

Distance Workers Travel toChilton County to Work

Count Share

Total Primary Jobs 8,061 100.0%

Less than 10 miles 3,328 41.3%

10 to 24 miles 1,807 22.4%

25 to 50 miles 1,383 17.2%

Greater than 50 miles 1,543 19.1%

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, OnTheMap Application a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/

2011 Commuting PatternsCounty of Residence for Workers in Chilton County

Count ShareChilton County, AL 4,419 54.8%

Shelby County, AL 606 7.5%

Autauga County, AL 326 4.0%

Jefferson County, AL 292 3.6%

Dallas County, AL 214 2.7%

Elmore County, AL 206 2.6%

Talladega County, AL 166 2.1%

Montgomery County, AL 148 1.8%

Bibb County, AL 126 1.6%

Mobile County, AL 111 1.4%

All Other Locations 1,447 18.0%

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, OnTheMap Application a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/

2011 Commuting PatternsCounties Where Chilton County Workers Commute to Work

Count ShareChilton County, AL 4,419 29.7%

Shelby County, AL 2,963 19.9%

Jefferson County, AL 2,769 18.6%

Montgomery County, AL 1,277 8.6%

Autauga County, AL 290 1.9%

Calhoun County, AL 256 1.7%

Lee County, AL 244 1.6%

Talladega County, AL 223 1.5%

Elmore County, AL 217 1.5%

Tuscaloosa County, AL 208 1.4%

All Other Locations 2,037 13.7%

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program, OnTheMap Application a partnership between the Alabama Department of Labor and the US Census Bureau. http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/

Sum It UpWill my kids be able to work here?

Projections show that the population will grow faster than job growth through 2030.

Chilton County is in a great location, right on the I-65 corridor in between two of the largest metropolitan areas in the state.

Chilton County’s schools produce large number of students who graduate high school and then go to college.

The question that arises is does everyone that lives in Chilton County wish to work in Chilton County, or do they choose to live there rather than in the metropolitan areas in which they work?

Good news is that if employment increases in Chilton County over the next decade rather than decreases, the County has plenty of workers to fill those positions.

Tonya LeeAlabama Department of LaborLabor Market Information DivisionPhone(334) 242-8881Tonya.Lee@labor.alabama.gov

www.labor.alabama.gov/lmi

Questions???