climate change impacts on water resources of mongolia

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  • 8/8/2019 Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources of Mongolia

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    Kaifighaq i` Abhgc}k Alcfjk cfm Biz Ac~nif J~iz}l

    Q}~c}kjhkq hf Fi~}lkcq} Cqhc

    31 Ia}ink~ >535[bccfncc}c~" Gifjibhc

    U&Nc}hgcc" Zc}k~ C{}li~h}x

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    Aif}kf}q

    Alcfjkq hf ~hpk~ `biz

    Alcf kq hf Zc}k~ ncbcfak c~cgk}k~q

    Alcfjkq hf jbcahk~q

    Cmcu}c}hif

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >

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    ^hpk~ Ncqhfq

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 1

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  • 8/8/2019 Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources of Mongolia

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    =5

    ;5

    05

    :5

    ~jk"1)

    ^hpk~ @biz

    5

    35

    >5

    15

    38=5 38;5 3805 38:5 38555 >535

    Mhqal

    5

    355

    >55

    155

    =55

    ;55

    055

    :55

    535

    Lhjl`biz"1)

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf ;

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    ^hpk~ @biz

    5

    355

    >55

    155

    =55

    ;55

    055

    :55

    535

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 0

    5

    38:; 3855; >535

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    U~kahuh}c}hif

    >; +

    0= +

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf :

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    Kpcui}~cfquh~c}hif

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 8

  • 8/8/2019 Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources of Mongolia

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    L{ghmh}x

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 35

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    Hf}k~pcb Qu~hfj ,HP'PH( Q{ggk~,PHH'H\( C{}{gf,\'\H( Zhf}k~,\HH'HHH(

    38=;'38;5 33"; 1="> ;"0 5"38

    38;3'3805 >;": 00"; 35"1 5">5

    3803'38:5 1>"0 :3"3 35"= 5">3

    ^hpk~ @biz

    38:3'38555 >;"= 8

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    Hak ~kjhgk

    Abkc~ alcfjkq hf hak ulkfibijx mc}kq }lk hak aipk~ m{~c}hif lcq qli~}kfkm `~ig

    35mcxq }i 15mcxq&

    Gc|hg{g hak }lhadfkqq lcq mka~kcqkm `~ig

    5

    ;5

    355

    3;5

    >55

    >;5

    38=5 38;5 3805 38:5 38555 >535

    Hakmku}l"qg

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 3>

    &

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    Uk~gc`~iq}

    Uk~gc`~iq} }kguk~c}{~k lcq hfa~kcqkm `~ig 5&5;5A }i 5&3;5A `~ig }lk 38:5q&

    Uk~gc`~iq} ulkfigkfc q{al cq gkb}hfj gi{fmq" }lk~gidc~q}" cfm qibh`b{a}hif

    iaa{~ gi~k `~ks{kf}bx&

    K|}kfqhpk }lk~gidc~q}hfj lcq nkkf mhqaipk~km hf }lk aif}hf{i{q cfm

    mhqaif}hf{i{q uk~gc`~iq} ifk i` }lk Dlcfjch'Dl{pqj{b gi{f}chfq& ]lk `i~gc}hif

    i` }lk~gidc~q} bcdkq zk~k inqk~pkm abiqk }i }lk Mc~dlcm mku~kqqhif cfm }lk

    Al{b{{} ~hpk~ pcbbkx& ]lk cpk~cjk ~c}k i` }lk~gidc~q} pc~hkq `~ig ;'35 ag)xkc~

    zh}l }lk gc|hg{g ~c}k i` >5'=5 ag)xkc~&

    K|}kfqhpk qibh`b{a}hif lcq nkkf inqk~pkm hf }lk aif}hf{i{q uk~gc`~iq} ifk i` }lk

    Dl{pqj{b cfm Dlcfjchf gi{f}chfq zh}l c ghfhg{g ~c}k i` > ag uk~ xkc~&

    ]lk }lhadfkqq i` qkcqifcbbx `~ikf j~i{fm lcq mka~kcqkm nx 35'>5 ag `i~ }lk bcq}15 xkc~q&

    ]lk~k c~k cbqi abkc~ alcfjkq hf q{~`cak qihb `~kkk hf c{}{gf cfm qu~hfj }lcz& ]lk

    mc}k i` }lk `~kkk hf c{}{gf zcq mkbcxkm nx >'0 mcxq zlkf }lk mc}k i` }lk }lcz hf

    qu~hfj cmpcfakm nx >'0 mcxq& Bifjk~ qlh`}q hf }hghfj lcpk iaa{~~km hf }lk `i~kq}'

    q}kuuk cfm qli~}k~ qlh`}q hf }lk Jinh Mkqk~}

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    Bcdk zc}k~ bkpkb alcfjkq

    Dl{pqj{b

    15

    ==5

    =05

    ~bkpkb"ag

    [pq

    =55

    =;5

    ;55

    ;;5

    kpkb"

    ag

    155

    1>5

    1=5

    105

    3805 380; 38:5 38:; 3855;

    Zc}

    >55

    >;5

    155

    1;5

    3805 380; 38:5 38:; 3855;

    Zc}k~b

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    Jbcahk~

    ' 1 &50&>; 3;=:&8 >55> &5:&3= 8=;&>80;; l Bcfmqc} K]G$

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 3;

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    Jbcahk~

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 30

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    Jbcahk~

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 3:

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    5

    >

    =

    005

    :5

    3=5

    35

    >5

    15

    =5

    3 > 1 = ; 0 : < 8 35 33 3>

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 3553 >55> >551 >55= >55; >550 >55: >55

    =0

    5+

    Hf}k~fcb m~chfcjk ncqhf

    ]$5 '>5&> ':&; 5&5 >3&> 1:&1

    ]$3 '3:&1 ';&8 0&3 >0&> =5&5

    C> N>

    >5>5 >5;5 >55>5 >5;5 >5 0&> '>&

    KALCG= 3&= ':&1 '>0&8 3&= '1&> '3:&;AQH^I'Gd>n '0&= '31&> '>=&: '8&3 '3=&0 '3:&8

    U~ioka}hifq? ^hpk~ `biz

    ]$> '>5&> '3&1 10&1

    ]$1 '>>&< '3>&3 5&> 3:&5 15&0

    ]$; '15&3 '>3&: '31&3 '1&> 0&>

    C~a}ha Iakcf ncqhf

    ]$5 '>>&1 '3>&; 5&5 3>&< >:&=

    ]$3 '>1&; '3=&3 '1&< 8&3 >>&8

    ]$> '>:&> '38&5 '>3&0 '31&; '1&5 :&8]$; '18&= '3:&0 '>>&1 '30&: '5&1 5&5 3:&: 13&>

    ]$3 '10&8 '>0&8 '3;&3 ;&5 >3&>

    ]$> '=5&3 '13&8 '>5&: ';&;

    ]$1 '=>&3 '13&0 '>1&3 '8&< 0&3

    ]$; '=>&5 '1:&3 '11&> '>>&8 '3>&55;

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >5

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    U~ioka}hifq? ^hpk~ `biz

    Gimkbq

    C> N>

    >5>5 >5;5 >55>5 >5;5 >5&3

    KALCG= =&< '=&: '=&8 '3&: '0&0 '0&0

    AQH^I'Gd>n '33&3 '31&1 '>;&> '8&= '30&; '38&:

    U~kahuh}c}hif ,+(

    U75 U'35 U'>5 U$35 U$>5

    ]kguk~c}{~kalcfjkq

    ,5A(

    ]$5 5&5 '13&1 ';=&= 1>&: :>&;

    ]$3 '3=&> '=5&5 '05&; 3:&5 ;1&0

    ]$> '>1&; '=0&8 '0;&1 =&< 1&< '08&; ';&8 >=&8

    ]$; '==&3 '03&< ':;&0 '>>&> =&5

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >3

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    U~ioka}hifq? Uk~gc`~iq}

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    U~ioka}hifq? Jbcahk~q

    jbcahk~q bkqq }lcf ;5g }lhad ai{bm nk

    aigubk}kbx jifk nx >5=5" jbcahk~q bkqq }lcf 355g nx >5;5

    jbcahk~q bkqq }lcf 3;5g }lhad nx >5:5

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >1

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    Cmcu}c}hif

    ]lk u~hfahubk cmcu}c}hif hq }i mkpkbiu cf

    Hf}kj~c}km Zc}k~ ^kqi{~akq Gcfcjkgkf}

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >=

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    Cmcu}c}hif

    Gi~k qukah`ha cmcu}c}hif gkcq{~kq ~kbc}km }i zc}k~

    ~kqi{~akq acf nk mhphmkm hf}i }zi ac}kji~hkq?

    cmcu}c}hif i` }lk q{uubx,}i }lk ~km{akm cpchbcnhbh}x

    i` zc}k~ ~kqi{~akq'gimh`hac}hif i` }lk k|hq}hfj

    ulxqhacb hf`~cq}~{a}{~k cfm cb}k~fc}hpk gcfcjkgkf}

    i` }lk k|hq}hfj zc}k~ q{uubx qxq}kgq(

    cmcu}c}hif i` }lk mkgcfm,}i }lk hfa~kcqhfj zc}k~

    mkgcfmq'zc}k~ aifqk~pc}hif cfm hgu~ipkm

    k``hahkfax" zc}k~ u~hahfj cfm }kalfibijhacb alcfjk(

    Ni}l nkfk`h} `~ig cf hgu~ipkm dfizbkmjk if abhgc}k

    alcfjk&

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >;

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    Ulxqhacb gkcq{~kq?

    ~klcnhbh}c}k }lk k|hq}hfj zc}k~ q{uubx fk}zi~d }i ~km{ak zc}k~ biqqkq hf

    }lk mhq}~hn{}hif uhukq4

    hf}~im{ak c{}igc}km aif}~ib i` zc}k~ q{uubx qxq}kgq4 cfm

    aifq}~{a} ubcf}q }i ~kaxabk zc}k~ `~ig nkpk~cjk hfm{q}~hkq `i~ fif'i}cnbk {qk i~ k|cg bk i~ zc}k~hf }lk ~kkf c~kcq i }lk ah}

    Cmcu}c}hif' Migkq}ha Zc}k~ q{uubx

    Gcfcjkgkf} gkcq{~kq?

    q}c~} u~hahfj i` zc}k~4

    ~chqk u{nbha czc~kfkqq hf {qhfj zc}k~ qcphfj }kalfibijhkq q{al cq zc}k~gk}k~hfj" biz'`biz }ihbk}q cfm qlizk~q" k``hahkf} cuubhcfakq bhdk biz

    u~kqq{~k ui}cnbk cfm ~chfzc}k~ aibbka}hif `i~ jc~mkf cfm i}lk~ {qkq4

    hgu~ipk }lk gcfcjkgkf} i` zc}k~ q{uubx {}hbh}hkq

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >0

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    Cmcu}c}hif' Lxm~ibijhacb k|}~kgkq

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >:

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    Ulxqhacb gkcq{~kq? aifq}~{a} ~hpk~ zc}k~ ~kj{bc}hif zi~dq ,`i~ k|cgubk? k~ka}hif i` acqacmk

    ncqhfq cbifj }lk gchf ~hpk~ }i ~kj{bc}k ~{fi`` cfm u~kpkf} `biimq zi{bm nk

    gi~k cuu~iu~hc}k }lcf n{hbmhfj nhj mcg(4

    ~klcnhbh}c}k k|hq}hfj `biim u~i}ka}hif cfm m~chfcjk qxq}kgq4

    gchf}chf m~chfcjk qxq}kgq4

    Cmcu}c}hif' Lxm~ibijhacb k|}~kgkq

    aifq}~{a} fkz `biim u~i}ka}hif cfm m~chfcjk qxq}kgq hf `biim u~ifk c~kcq

    i` }lk ah}x4

    Gcfcjkgkf} gkcq{~kq?

    ~kphkz k|hq}hfj ubcfq if ~icm" li{qhfj" qk}}bkgkf} cfm quc}hcb ubcfq4

    u~kuc~k `biim mk`kfak cfm u~i}ka}hif ubcfq4

    ~chqk u{nbha czc~kfkqq cfm km{ac}hif4 cfm

    u~igi}k hfq{~cfakq

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >

    =

    0

    3=

    30

    Zc}k~s{cbh}xhfmk|

    Cmcu}c}hif' Zc}k~ s{cbh}x

    38

    3855:

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf >8

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    Abhgc}k alcfjk c``ka}q zc}k~ s{cbh}x hf }l~kk

    zcxq?

    bkqq zc}k~ gkcfq bkqq `biz cfm mhb{}hif hf }lk ~hpk~"

    bkcmhfj }i c mkj~cmkm zc}k~ s{cbh}x i~ hfa~kcqkm

    Cmcu}c}hif' Zc}k~ s{cbh}x

    fpkq gkf q f zcq kzc k~ ~kc gkf "

    lhjlk~ }kguk~c}{~kq ~km{ak }lk mhqqibpkm i|xjkf hf

    zc}k~ nimhkq cfm

    hf ~kquifqk }i abhgc}k alcfjk" }lk zc}k~ {qk i`kqukahcbbx hfm{q}~hkq" ghfhfj cfm }i{~hq} acguq gcx

    hfa~kcqk }lk aifakf}~c}hif i` uibb{}hif nkhfj ~kbkcqkm

    }i }lk ~hpk~q

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 15

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    Ulxqhacb gkcq{~k?

    ~klcnhbh}c}k zcq}kzc}k~ }~kc}gkf} ubcf}q" kqukahcbbx }lk

    hfm{q}~hcb zc}k~ }~kc}gkf} ubcf}q hf [bccfncc}c~

    Gcfcjkgkf} gkcq{~kq?

    Cmcu}c}hif' Zc}k~ s{cbh}x

    kf i~ak } k kjc ~cgkzi~ if zc}k~ q{uu x" qkzcjk"

    mhquiqcb" cfm }~kc}gkf} i` zcq}kzc}k~4

    q}~kfj}lkf }lk acucah}hkq i` }lk u{nbha {}hbh}hkq `i~ qkzcjk cfm

    zcq}kzc}k~4 kq}cnbhql c zc}k~ mhqalc~jk uk~gh}q qxq}kg `i~ mh``k~kf} {qk~q4

    hf}~im{ak u~ca}hakq }i ~k{qk)~kaxabk zcq}kzc}k~

    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 13

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    3>'Ia}'35 Nc}hgcc U& gaaiEc~hjqi~&gf 1>