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Sonda de Campeche Financial and Operational Performance Comparative Analysis

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  • Sonda de Campeche

    Financial and Operational

    Performance Comparative Analysis

  • 1/55

    Forward-Looking Statement &

    Cautionary NoteVariations

    If no further specification is included, comparisons are made against the same realized period of the last year.

    Rounding

    Numbers may not total due to rounding.

    Financial Information

    Excluding budgetary and volumetric information, the financial information included in this report and the annexes hereto is based on unaudited consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IFRS”), which PEMEX has adopted effective

    January 1, 2012. Information from prior periods has been retrospectively adjusted in certain accounts to make it comparable with the unaudited consolidated financial information under IFRS. For more information regarding the transition to IFRS, see Note 23 to the consolidated financial statements included in Petróleos Mexicanos’ 2012 Form 20-F filed with

    the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and its Annual Report filed with the Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV). EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure. We show a reconciliation of EBITDA to net income in Table 33 of the annexes to PEMEX’s Results Report as of March 31, 2015. Budgetary information is based on standards from

    Mexican governmental accounting; therefore, it does not include information from the subsidiary companies or affiliates of Petróleos Mexicanos. It is important to mention, that our current financing agreements do not include financial covenants or events of default that would be triggered as a result of our having negative equity.

    Methodology

    We might change the methodology of the information disclosed in order to enhance its quality and usefulness, and/or to comply with international standards and best practices.

    Foreign Exchange Conversions

    Convenience translations into U.S. dollars of amounts in Mexican pesos have been made at the exchange rate at close for the corresponding period, unless otherwise noted. Due to market volatility, the difference between the average exchange rate, the exchange rate at close and the spot exchange rate, or any other exchange rate used could be material.

    Such translations should not be construed as a representation that the Mexican peso amounts have been or could be converted into U.S. dollars at the foregoing or any other rate. It is important to note that we maintain our consolidated financial statements and accounting records in pesos. As of June 30, 2020, the exchange rate of MXN 22.9715 = USD

    1.00 is used.

    Fiscal Regime

    Beginning January 1, 2015, Petróleos Mexicanos’ fiscal regime is governed by the Ley de Ingresos sobre Hidrocarburos (Hydrocarbons Revenue Law). From January 1, 2006 and to December 31, 2014, PEP was subject to a fiscal regime governed by the Federal Duties Law, while the tax regimes of the other Subsidiary Entities were governed by the

    Federal Revenue Law.

    On April 18, 2016, a decree was published in the Official Gazette of the Federation that allows assignment operators to choose between two schemes to calculate the cap on permitted deductions applicable to the Profit-Sharing Duty: (i) the scheme established within the Hydrocarbons Revenue Law, based on a percentage of the value of extracted

    hydrocarbons; or (ii) the scheme proposed by the SHCP, calculated upon established fixed fees, USD 6.1 for shallow water fields and USD 8.3 for onshore fields.

    The Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS) applicable to automotive gasoline and diesel is established in the Production and Services Special Tax Law “Ley del Impuesto Especial sobre Producción y Servicios”. As an intermediary between the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) and the final consumer, PEMEX retains the amount of the

    IEPS and transfers it to the Mexican Government. In 2016, the SHCP published a decree trough which it modified the calculation of the IEPS, based on the past five months of international reference price quotes for gasoline and diesel.

    As of January 1 2016, and until December 31, 2017, the SHCP will establish monthly fixed maximum prices of gasoline and diesel based on the following: maximum prices will be referenced to prices in the U.S. Gulf Coast, plus a margin that includes retails, freight, transportation, quality adjustment and management costs, plus the applicable IEPS to

    automotive fuel, plus other concepts (IEPS tax on fossil fuel, established quotas on the IEPS Law and value added tax).

    PEMEX’s “producer price” is calculated in reference to that of an efficient refinery operating in the Gulf of Mexico. Until December 31, 2017, the Mexican Government is authorized to continue issuing pricing decrees to regulate the maximum prices for the retail sale of gasoline and diesel fuel, taking into account transportation costs between regions, inflation

    and the volatility of international fuel prices, among other factors. Beginning in 2018, the prices of gasoline and diesel fuel will be freely determined by market conditions. However the Federal Commission for Economic Competition, based on the existence of effective competitive conditions, has the authority to declare that prices of gasoline and diesel fuel

    are to be freely determined by market conditions before 2018.

    Hydrocarbon Reserves

    In accordance with the Hydrocarbons Law, published in the Official Gazette on August 11, 2014, the National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH) will establish and will manage the National Hydrocarbons Information Center, comprised by a system to obtain, safeguard, manage, use, analyze, keep updated and publish information and statistics related; which

    includes estimations, valuation studies and certifications. On August 13, 2015, the CNH published the Guidelines that rule the valuation and certification of Mexico’s reserves and the related contingency resources.

    As of January 1, 2010, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) changed its rules to permit oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose not only proved reserves, but also probable reserves and possible reserves. Nevertheless, any description of probable or possible reserves included herein may not meet the recoverability

    thresholds established by the SEC in its definitions. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F and our Annual Report to the CNBV and SEC, available at http://www.pemex.com/.

    Forward-looking Statements

    • This report contains forward-looking statements. We may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in our periodic reports to the CNBV and the SEC, in our annual reports, in our offering circulars and prospectuses, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by our officers, directors or employees to third

    parties. We may include forward-looking statements that address, among other things, our:

    • exploration and production activities, including drilling;

    • activities relating to import, export, refining, petrochemicals and transportation, storage and distribution of petroleum, natural gas and oil products;

    • activities relating to our lines of business, including the generation of electricity;

    • projected and targeted capital expenditures and other costs, commitments and revenues;

    • liquidity and sources of funding, including our ability to continue operating as a going concern;

    • strategic alliances with other companies; and

    • the monetization of certain of our assets.

    • Actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements as a result of various factors that may be beyond our control. These factors include, but are not limited to:

    • changes in international crude oil and natural gas prices;

    • effects on us from competition, including on our ability to hire and retain skilled personnel;

    • limitations on our access to sources of financing on competitive terms;

    • our ability to find, acquire or gain access to additional reserves and to develop the reserves that we obtain successfully;

    • uncertainties inherent in making estimates of oil and gas reserves, including recently discovered oil and gas reserves;

    • technical difficulties;

    • significant developments in the global economy;

    • significant economic or political developments in Mexico;

    • developments affecting the energy sector; and

    • changes in our legal regime or regulatory environment, including tax and environmental regulations.

    Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. In any event, these statements speak only as of their dates, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. These risks and uncertainties are more fully detailed in our most recent

    Annual Report filed with the CNBV and available through the Mexican Stock Exchange (http://www.bmv.com.mx/) and our most recent Form 20-F filing filed with the SEC (http://www.sec.gov/). These factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

  • 2/55

    Overview

    1. Reference nominal GDP as of 2Q20.

    2. Preliminary figures at October 5, 2020.

    • This presentation has official information intended to clarify some misleading information that has been

    published about PEMEX’s operations and finances.

    • PEMEX is still the largest company in Mexico and the main tax contributor.

    • Total income in 2019 recorded MXN 1.9 trillion which represents 9.5% of the GDP.1

    • During January-September 2020, the company handed around MXN 490.0 billion in direct and indirect

    contributions to the Mexican State.2

    • In the same period, PEMEX received MXN 46.3 billion from the Mexican government. This represents

    0,75% of the total federal budget for 2020 and 13.9% of PEMEX’s total budgetary investment for the year.

  • 3/55

    Transfers from PEMEX to SHCP and support received, Jan-Sep 2020Budgetary figures in MXN million

    1. Net payment of Profit-sharing duty (DUC) utility, already discounting 48,750 million pesos of tax benefits that have been recorded as

    of August. Preliminary figures as of October 5, 2020.

    46,256

    Federal GovernmentSupport

    New projects capital injections

    PEMEX's Transfers to theFederal Government

    489,972 Total

    Direct taxes(DUC & others)

    Indirect taxes(IEPS & IVA)

    PEMEX has received this support from the Federal Government

    PEMEX has transferred

    443,716 million to the

    Federal Government

    during Jan-Sep.

    For each peso that the

    State invested in

    PEMEX, it obtained 9.4

    pesos in return.

    162,620

    327,352

  • 4/55

    PEMEX generates resources for the Federal Government

    • PEMEX usually does not receive budgetary resources from the Federal Government, except for

    some occasional cash injections that this year amount to 0.75% of the total federal budget.

    • PEMEX generates resources for the Federal Government through taxes and duties which

    represent around 10.4% of the total public spending financing (including Mexican states and

    municipalities).

    • Cash injections from the Federal Government are a complement to the company´s financing of

    investment projects.

    • For 2020, 86.1% of PEMEX’s investment projects are financed with the company’s own resources.

  • 5/55

    Cash Injections from the Federal Government in 2020Budgetary figures in MXN million

    46,256

    6,107,732

    635,114

    Federal Government'scontribution to PEMEX

    Federal Budget PEMEX's contributionto Federal

    Government

    PEMEX received

    0.7% of the Federal

    Budget in 2020

    In 2020, PEMEX’s

    contribution to the

    Federal Budget will be

    around 10.4%

  • 6/55

    PEMEX generates resources for the Federal Government

    • All operation expenditures for exploration, production and industrial transformation come from the

    company’s own resources. These expenditures are not financed by the Federal Government.

    • During 2019, for the first time in ten years, operation and capital expenditures were not financed

    through debt. On the contrary, PEMEX recorded a negative net indebtedness of MXN 28.7 billion.

    • PEMEX is still the state-owned company that contributes the most to Mexico’s development.

  • 7/55

    How is PEMEX contributing to the Federal Government if its

    financial statements record losses?

    • With the data presented here it becomes clear that PEMEX is a competitive company that

    generates value for the country and in some cases, records better results that the average of the

    industry.

    • Since PEMEX issues debt in international markets, it must comply with IFRS rules for the

    presentation of its financial statements.

    • The net income/loss line in the Income Statement considers some variables that generate cash

    flow but also some others that are considered virtual.

  • 8/55

    What are Financial Statements?

    • Financial statements provide information about the company, allowing its stakeholders to have a

    detailed picture about the company’s financial performance.

    • All financial transactions must be recorded as part of the financial statements.

    • Specifically for PEMEX, according to the applicable regulations for securities issuers (Circular

    Única de Emisoras, CUE), financial statements must be constructed under IFRS.

  • 9/55

    Financial Statements’ Purpose

    Measure the company’s operational and

    financial performance during a specific

    period

    Quantify the company’s current value

    considering assets and liabilities for the short,

    medium and long terms, as well as the

    comprehensive income/loss.

    Valuation variables include:

    • Asset impairment

    • Exchange income/loss

    • Plugging of wells, etc.

    1 2Some of the used variables are:

    • Ratios: EBITDA and EBITDA Margin

    • Sales

    • Operation and investment expenditures, etc.

    Reflect the company’s performance using

    variables that generate cash flow

    Most of these variables do not generate cash

    flow

    How much is the company making?

    Is it recording profits or losses?

    How much is the company worth?

  • 10/55

    Examples of variables that generate cash

    flow, 2019

    Examples of variables that do not

    generate cash flow, 2019

    Concept MXN million

    Total sales 1,403,473

    General expenses 152,307

    Exploration expenses 10,663

    Concept MXN million

    Impairment (reversal) of wells,

    pipelines, property, plant and

    equipment

    76,973

    Loss due to on hold, non-viable

    and non-successful wells76,279

    Actuarial loss for employee

    benefits320,525

    Variables used in Financial Statements

  • 11/55

    Accurate reading of PEMEX's financial statements

    • If we want to talk about how much PEMEX is earning or losing, it is not accurate to use the

    comprehensive income/loss reported in the company's financial statements. A better way to measure the

    performance of the company is using indexes such as EBITDA, EBITDA Margin or even the net

    income/loss not including the impairment of assets, nor losses due to on hold, non-viable and unsuccessful

    wells.

    • Unfortunately, there has been some confusion and the comprehensive income/loss item has been used

    as a synonym for business profit/loss. However, this item reflects the value of the company and not its

    performance. The latter would be a better way to understanding how much the company is earning or

    losing in a specific period.

    • PEMEX's comprehensive loss during the first half of 2020 recorded MXN 581.0 billion, but it doesn’t mean

    that the company has lost that money nor that it has cost that amount to public treasury. This figure

    has even been incorrectly used to calculate how much PEMEX loses per day, per hour, etc.

    • The mistake of using this item as a synonym of profit or loss, lies in the fact that it considers projected

    future cash flows, in addition to including items that do not generate cash flow.

  • 12/55

    Comprehensive income/loss, 2010-2019

    (Includes items that do not generate cash flow)1

    Real MXN billion (2019=100)

    -74

    -168

    -525

    112

    -673 -753

    -74

    -305

    45

    -660

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    • PEMEX recorded its highest comprehensive

    losses in 2014 and 2015.

    • Comprehensive Income/Loss includes

    accounting items that generate cash flow and

    items that do not generate cash flow.

    • Since cash flow and virtual items are mixed,

    this does not reflect the profitability of the

    company.

    This item does not indicate the profit or

    loss, but the value of the company

    1. Impairment, Foreign exchange profit/loss, unsuccessful wells, others.

  • 13/55

    Variables that determine PEMEX’s

    Comprehensive Loss, 2019MXN million

    -309,327

    -97,082

    -67,216

    -264,554

    78,245

    2019

    -659,934Comprehensive loss

    Actuarial loss due to employee benefits.

    Does not generate cash flow.

    Impairment of assets.

    Does not generate cash flow.

    Loss due to on hold, non-viable and unsuccessful wells.

    Does not generate cash flow.

    Loss due to cashflow items, primarily due to tax

    burden (MXN 360 billion in 2019).

    60% of the total

    comprehensive loss for 2019

    resulted from accounting

    items that do not generate

    cash flow, they are virtual

    accounting effects or

    projected future cashflows

    such as the impairment of

    assets or pension liability.

    In other words, PEMEX

    is not actually losing this

    amount.

    Unrealized foreign exchange profit.

  • 14/55

    Variables that determine PEMEX’s

    Comprehensive Loss, 1H20 MXN million

    -581,016 Comprehensive Loss

    Unrealized foreign exchange loss.

    Does not generate cash flow

    Loss due to cashflow items, primarily due to tax

    burden (MXN 114 billion in 1H20)

    68% of the total comprehensive

    loss for 1H20 resulted from

    accounting items that do not

    generate cash flow, they are

    virtual accounting effects or

    projected future cashflows such

    as the impairment of assets

    pension liability.

    In other words, PEMEX

    didn’t lose this amount.

    Impairment reversal (7,925) and unsuccessful wells

    from prior years (-3,479) Do not generate cash flow4,446

    -400,423

    -185,039

    2020

  • 15/55

    So, does PEMEX lose or make money?

    • Before taxes, PEMEX is one of the most profitable companies in the international oil industry.

    • Amid the international crisis, during the first half of 2020 PEMEX recorded one of the best results

    in the industry: a 20 percent EBITDA margin.

    • In a highly competitive environment in the oil industry, PEMEX is between the top competitors

    regarding profitability and operational efficiency.

    • Unfortunately, PEMEX also has the most burdensome tax regime, not only in Mexico but in the

    entire international industry.

  • 16/55

    PEMEX: a company that creates value

    1. Does not include variables that do not generate cash flow. EBITDA for its acronym in English (earnings before interest, taxes,

    depreciation, and amortization)

    Source: Bloomberg and PEMEX Financial Statements under IFRS 2020.

    • The EBITDA margin reflects the profit or income of a

    company before the payment of interest, taxes, amortization

    and depreciation of fixed assets in proportion to its total sales.

    • It is an international standard index that allows to compare

    the performance of companies by generated profit.

    • During the first half of 2020, PEMEX’s results reflect

    competitiveness, being above the average recorded by

    leading companies in the oil industry.

    • Petróleos Mexicanos shows its ability to create value under

    this standard measure of profitability.

    9%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    17%

    18%

    20%

    34%

    40%

    EBITDA margin, 1H20

    (EBITDA / Sales percentage)1

  • 17/55

    2019 & 1S20 Financial HighlightsMXN billion

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    2019Jan- Jun

    2020

    Sales 1,402 466

    Cost of sales 1,123 396

    Impairment (reverse) 97 -8

    Gross Income 182 78

    Transportation and distribution

    expenses145 77

    Operating income (loss) 37 1

    EBITDA 397 97

    EBITDA margin 28% 20%

    Financial cost, income due to

    financial derivatives127 103

    Foreign exchange profit (loss) 87 -420

    Taxes, duties and others 344 84

    Net income (loss) -347 -606

    11

    12

    Main factor of loss, but it is a

    virtual item

    Real profitability

    Real profitability

    Real profitability

    Real profitability

  • 18/55

    PEMEX operational efficiency

    • Sometimes PEMEX has been associated to inefficient management and high operating costs.

    • Actually, PEMEX has the lowest operating cost indexes in the international oil industry.

    • In the first half of 2020, PEMEX’s operating expenses/total sales ratio recorded 68%, while other

    leading companies in the industry revealed higher ratios: Exxon 86%, BP and Shell 85%, and

    Repsol 82%, just to mention a few examples.

  • 19/55

    EBITDA and Operating Expenses Peer Comparison

    1. PEMEX’s EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, impairment, undeveloped wells and net periodic

    cost of employee benefits net of pension and medical payments

    2. Cost of sales, general and administrative expenses

    Source: Bloomberg preliminary information and PEMEX financial statements (Equinor and Repsol reports observed information)

    50%59%

    68%80% 81% 84% 85% 83% 85% 82% 86%

    10%7%

    12%2% 2%

    4% 4% 7% 5% 8% 5%40% 34%

    20% 18% 17%12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9%

    0%

    25%

    50%

    75%

    100%

    EBITDA

    SG&A

    Operating Expenses

    1/

    2/

    PEMEX’s efficiency: Operational costs below the average of O&G peers

  • 20/55

    Tax burden offsets profits

    • Unlike other companies in the industry, PEMEX has a particularity in its tax base.

    • While the rest of the oil companies pay taxes on generated profit, PEMEX pays taxes on gross

    value associated to hydrocarbons production.

    • In 2019, PEMEX’s tax/EBITDA ratio recorded 105%; three times the average of oil industry.

  • 21/55

    Comparison of the tax burden in the oil industry

    1. Taxes calculated for comparable companies: Income tax and duties / royalties (17.25% on oil production profit) and PEMEX: Income

    tax, royalties (7.5% on production income) and DUC.

    Source: Bloomberg and PEMEX Financial Statements under IFRS 2019. Industry Tax Methodology: Upstream Petroleum, Fiscal and

    Valuation Modeling, by Kent Karriel & David Wood, 2015

    Taxes and duties

    on EBITDA 20191

    • PEMEX with a 105% Tax / EBITDA ratio is above

    comparable companies.

    • For the group of companies compared, the

    average taxes and duties on EBITDA ratio is

    36.2%

    • In other words, PEMEX does create value for

    the country by operating with profitability

    levels higher than the industry average, but its

    tax regime transfers all profits to federal

    government.

    20%

    25%

    29%

    3…

    35%

    38%

    38%

    41%

    52%

    52%

    105%

    Accrued

  • 22/55

    PEMEX and budgetary balance

    • In addition to using EBITDA and EBITDA margin indexes, another way to analyze PEMEX's

    financial performance is through its budgetary financial balance.

    • The budgetary financial balance only considers cash flow variables and is reported under

    Mexico’s Accounting standards.

    • Financial balance calculation includes all the income that PEMEX collects from domestic and

    export sales, dividends, asset sales, among other concepts, and all expenses incurred from

    operating expenses, investments, interest payments and taxes.

  • 23/55

    PEMEX: Budgetary Financial Balance, 2019MXN billion

    1. Includes MXN 3 billion for net foreign operations.

    1,899

    1,220

    1,018

    139

    Total

    income

    Purchase

    for resale

    Operating

    expenses

    Operative

    balance1Primary

    Balance

    before

    taxes

    Financial

    cost

    Taxes and

    duties

    Payment

    of debt

    interest

    Primary

    Balance

    Financial

    Balance1

    183

    201

    501

    875

    116

    -197

    9.6%

    PEMEX does generate value,

    with a primary balance of 1.0

    trillion pesos, but tax burden was

    85.9% as compared to this

    balance.

    27

    For the first time

    in a decade,

    PEMEX

    generated a

    surplus

  • 24/55

    PEMEX: financial balance 2008-2019Real 2019 MXN billion

    223.0

    -47.6

    -82.8

    -54.2 -49.5 -45.4

    -162.4-176.1

    -117.9-101.8

    -64.0

    26.4

    Since 2008, PEMEX didn’t

    record a positive financial

    balance

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20192008 2009 2010 2011 2012

  • 25

  • 26/55

    Crude Oil Production1

    Thousand barrels per day

    1. Considers crude oil and condensates production of fields, including partners

    -1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-2.1%

    2,5482,522

    2,429

    2,267

    2,154

    1,948

    1,833

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    -6.7%

    -5%

    -9.6%

    -5.9%

    -3.7%

    -1%

    1,833

    1,701 1,7111,733

    1,944

    2,011

    2,088

    2,236

    2018 2019 2020 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

    -7.2%0.6% 1.3%

    12.2%3.4%

    3.8%

    7.1%

    ForecatsReal

    2012-2018 2018-2024

    Jan-

    AugAnnual

    Forecast

  • 27/55

    Crude Oil Production, Jan-Aug 20201

    Thousand barrels per day

    1. Considers crude oil and condensates production of fields, including partners

    1,749 1,755 1,771 1,747

    1,677 1,655 1,6471,688

    Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago

    Production shut-in

    (OPEC+ agreement )

    The decrease in production

    during May-July was induced

    to comply with the OPEC

    agreement.

    It was not due to a natural

    decrease in production.

    As of August, we began to

    gradually return to production

    levels prior to the OPEC

    agreement.

  • 28/55

    Crude Oil Production 2018-20201

    Thousand barrels per day

    1. Considers crude oil and condensates production of fields, including partners

    -1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.3% -5.1% -2.8% -0.1% +1.3% -0.07%

    1,9

    32

    1,8

    97

    1,8

    67

    1,8

    88

    1,8

    70

    1,8

    48

    1,8

    43

    1,8

    18

    1,8

    27

    1,7

    67

    1,7

    16

    1,7

    29

    1,6

    42 1,7

    22

    1,7

    10

    1,6

    94

    1,6

    83

    1,6

    92

    1,6

    97

    1,7

    08

    1,7

    30

    1,6

    81

    1,7

    22

    1,7

    32

    1,7

    49

    1,7

    55

    1,7

    71

    1,7

    47

    1,6

    77

    1,6

    55

    1,6

    47

    1,6

    88

    1,200

    1,300

    1,400

    1,500

    1,600

    1,700

    1,800

    1,900

    2,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

    2019 20202018

    Lowest

    recordShut in production

    (OPEP+ agreement)

  • 29/55

    PEMEX’s Crude Oil Production 2018-20201

    Thousand barrels per day

    1. Considers crude oil and condensates production of fields, does not include partners.

    -1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.3% -5.1% -2.8% -0.1% +1.3% -0.07%

    1,9

    28

    1,8

    93

    1,8

    58

    1,8

    79

    1,8

    61

    1,8

    39

    1,8

    34

    1,8

    03

    1,8

    12

    1,7

    53

    1,7

    02

    1,7

    14

    1,6

    26 1,7

    06

    1,6

    94

    1,6

    78

    1,6

    66

    1,6

    76

    1,6

    80

    1,6

    90

    1,7

    13

    1,6

    63

    1,7

    04

    1,7

    13

    1,7

    30

    1,7

    36

    1,7

    52

    1,7

    26

    1,6

    57

    1,6

    35

    1,6

    28

    1,6

    69

    1,200

    1,300

    1,400

    1,500

    1,600

    1,700

    1,800

    1,900

    2,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

    Lowest

    recordShut in production

    (OPEP+ agreement)

    2019 20202018

  • 30/55

    Mexico’s Crude Oil Production Jan-Aug 20201

    Thousand barrels per day

    1. For PEMEX and partners as of August 2020. PEMEX (1,691 mbd) + Partners (20 mbd). For private companies, it corresponds to the

    January-July average, which is the latest figure published by CNH.

    1,711

    2020

    1,731

    Private companies' production

    20 Mbd (1.1%)

    98.9%

    PEMEX + Partners

    After almost 6 years

    from the energy reform,

    Petróleos Mexicanos

    contributes the most to

    Mexico’s crude oil

    production

  • 31/55

    PEMEX Achieves Production of New Developments in Record Time Thousand barrels per day

    Source: PEMEX´s production data is obtained from Pemex Exloración y Producción. Private companies' data is published by Comisión

    Nacional de Hidrocarburos, obtained from contracts production at www.cnh.gob.mx

    121.7 Mbd

    24 MbdEnergy reform

    PEMEX starts

    development of

    20 new fields

    PEMEX in

    1.7 years

    Private companies'

    production in 6 years

    PEMEX's production of new

    developments is 5 times higher as

    compared to private companies'

    production. This was achieved in a

    third of the time compared to the

    private companies

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Jan-1

    4

    Ma

    r-1

    4

    Ma

    y-1

    4

    Jul-1

    4

    Sep-1

    4

    No

    v-1

    4

    Jan-1

    5

    Ma

    r-1

    5

    Ma

    y-1

    5

    Jul-1

    5

    Sep-1

    5

    No

    v-1

    5

    Jan-1

    6

    Ma

    r-1

    6

    Ma

    y-1

    6

    Jul-1

    6

    Sep-1

    6

    No

    v-1

    6

    Jan-1

    7

    Ma

    r-1

    7

    Ma

    y-1

    7

    Jul-1

    7

    Sep-1

    7

    No

    v-1

    7

    Jan-1

    8

    Ma

    r-1

    8

    Ma

    y-1

    8

    Jul-1

    8

    Sep-1

    8

    No

    v-1

    8

    Jan-1

    9

    Ma

    r-1

    9

    Ma

    y-1

    9

    Jul-1

    9

    Sep-1

    9

    No

    v-1

    9

    Jan-2

    0

    Ma

    r-2

    0

    Ma

    y-2

    0

    Jul-2

    0

    Sep-2

    0

  • 32/55

    Induced Temporary Shut-In Production May-July

    • Some incorrect data about Petróleos Mexicanos' crude oil production was published, considering only

    one of the components of total oil production.

    • PEMEX publishes in a disaggregated manner the flows of liquids, condensates and other components

    that comprise total production. PEMEX has been consistent with this methodology in its quarterly

    and annual reports.

    • The official oil production figures are those reported by PEMEX in its Petroleum Statistics and are the

    ones we are using for this report.

    • The information saying that PEMEX's oil production recorded historic minimum levels in July is imprecise.

    • It should be noted that the historical minimum production for the last 14 years was recorded in January

    2019, when official production was 1,642 thousand barrels per day. Since that date, production was first

    stabilized and then gradually increased from October 2019, until the induced shut-in to comply with the

    OPEC agreement towards the end of April 2020.

  • 33/55

    Temporary Induced Shut-In Production During May-July

    • It is worth mentioning that once the agreement with OPEC to shut-in production by 100 thousand barrels

    per day, in effect in May and June, and subsequently extended to July, Pemex Exploration and

    Production has begun with the gradual opening of the wells that were closed to comply with the

    agreement.

    • Most of the selected wells for the induced shut-in of production were mature field wells. The

    reestablishment of those wells’ production is not immediate. Their reopening is in process, according to

    the programmed schedule and it is already reflected in August and September.

    • It is estimated that total shut-in production to comply with the agreement with OPEC+ will be

    reestablished in October.

    • Additionally, during July and August different meteorological phenomena affected production during some

    weeks of this summer. One of the biggest effects was the impact of the Olympic Future tanker when it

    lost its position due to bad wind conditions caused by the presence of a squall, which damaged the

    floating production, storage and offloading vessel (FPSO) Yúum K'aak' Náab. This caused a deferred

    production of approximately 68,000 barrels per day in July.

  • 34/55

    Crude Oil Production Increase from the New Fields

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2019 2020

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Agu Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Agu Sep

    Prod. 2.6 3.5 4.6 5.2 5.2 6.4 6.8 7.0 7.8 8.1 11.6 13.5 20.4 21.8 33.9 47.0 47.5 57.5 76.8 107.7 140.6

    121.7 Mbd

    Is the production from new

    developments in September 2020

    Of the 20 new

    developments, 15 have

    already started their

    production stage with at

    least one well

    Development Well Sept (Mbd)

    1 CahuaCahua-2 3.6

    Cahua-3 1.8

    2 CheekCheek-1 5.3

    Cheek-45 5.9

    3 Chejekbal Chejekbal-1 6.9

    4 Chocol Chocol-1 0.0

    5 Cibix

    Cibix-1 0.8

    Cibix-1001 0.9

    Cibix-12 2.4

    6 HokHok-4 5.5

    Hok-44 3.4

    7 Ixachi

    Ixachi-1 2.8

    Ixachi-10 3.7

    Ixachi-1DL 3.4

    Ixachi-2 1.5

    Ixachi-20 2.8

    Development Well Sept (Mbd)

    8 Manik Manik-4 4.3

    9 Mulach

    Mulach-10 7.1

    Mulach-5 10.7

    Mulach-9 10.8

    10 Octli Octli-2 5.6

    11 QuesquiQuesqui-1 7.6

    Quesqui-1DL 8.2

    12 TlacameTlacame-13 7.1

    Tlacame-3 6.5

    13 Valeriana Valeriana-1 0.9

    14 Xikin

    Xikin-22 0.0

    Xikin-24 1.6

    Xikin-32 0.6

    Total 29 wells 121.7

  • 35/55

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800Ja

    n

    Mar

    May Ju

    l

    Sep

    No

    v

    Jan

    Mar

    May Ju

    l

    Sep

    No

    v600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    Ja

    n

    Ma

    r

    Ma

    y

    Ju

    l

    Sep

    Nov

    Ja

    n

    Ma

    r

    Ma

    y

    Ju

    l

    Sep

    Nov

    Base Incremental fields en execution New fields

    PEMEX’s Effort to Stabilize and Increase Crude Oil Production 2019-2020Thousand barrels per day

    1,626

    1,192

    2019 2020

    Scenario of continuity of the

    previous policy

    • Annual decline 26 % or 387 Mbd• Monthly decline 32 Mbd

    2019 2020

    1,626

    1,814

    Results obtained with the new

    policy 2018-20241

    • Base production increased by 387 Mbd

    • New developments 116 Mbd• Total increase of 503 Mbd

    Base production

    1. September to November 2020 are estimated figures

  • 36/55

    Dimension of the effort of Petróleos Mexicanos' workers to

    maintain base production

    • Due to the maturity of most of our fields, the decline in crude oil production is around 26 percent per year,

    or approximately 387,000 barrels per day or 32,000 barrels per month.

    • In order to compensate for this decline, one of the most successful strategies of this administration was

    to carry out major drilling and repair activities in mature fields.

    • In addition, the work of attending to the wells in order to give continuity to their productive life through

    minor repairs, stimulations and inductions was increased.

    • All these activities have resulted in a 387 thousand barrels per day increase in the production of mature

    fields, which has compensated the natural decline of the oil fields.

    • This last part is extremely relevant, since from a simplistic analysis, the effort that to stop the natural fall

    of the production could be minimized. This is a great achievement for PEMEX’s technicians.

    • All the above allowed the company to stabilize production in a first stage, and to reach net production

    increases due to drilling of wells in new fields in a second stage.

  • 37/55

    Lifting CostUSD per barrel

    -1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-2.1%

    0.0%

    6.8

    7.98.2

    9.4

    7.8

    10.9

    13.7

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    14.3%

    -16.8%

    39.5%

    26%

    3.9%16%

    13.714.1

    13.8

    2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

    2.4% -1.8%

    Forecats

    Real

    Between 2017 and

    2018, costs increased

    32.7% annual

    average

    In two years a

    minimum 2% reduction

    is expected by the end

    of 2020

    2012-2018 2018-2024

  • 38/55

  • 39/55

    Budgetary InvestmentMXN billion

    -1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-2.1%

    0.0%312

    334

    359

    306 299

    194 189

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    -14.7%-2.3%

    -35.3%-2.6%

    7.6%

    6.9%

    189201

    305

    2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

    51.4%

    6.8%

    ForecastRealBetween 2014 and 2018

    PEMEX's investment fell

    13.7% annual average

    and debt increased

    Without new debt,

    investment is

    expected to grow

    more than 50% by the

    end of the year

    2012-2018 2018-2024

  • 40/55

    Results of Austerity and Expense Discipline 2015-2020MXN million

    2015 2016 2017 2018 20192020

    (Jan-Jun)

    Cleaning and sanitation materials and others 72 59 45 33 8 10

    Mobile phones 13 11 8 7 2 0

    Technical consulting 3,435 3,361 2,884 2,276 751 236

    Research and Investigation 275 65 22 109 13 15

    Services from third parties 1,205 284 629 1,243 761 658

    Social Communication 119 165 211 244 12 17

    Travel expenses 3,154 2,683 2,436 883 471 191

    Conferences, conventions and events 26 12 42 11 0 0

    TOTAL 8,300 6,640 6,277 4,805 2,019 1,128

    8,3006,640 6,277

    4,805

    2,019 1,128

    Efficiency, austerity and

    expense discipline at

    PEMEX

    Note: Total may not equal the exact sum of the figures due to rounding.

  • 41/55

    Crude Oil Processing in the National Refining SystemThousand barrels per day

    -1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8% -2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-2.1%

    1,199 1,2241,155

    1,065

    933

    767

    612

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    -7.8%

    -12%

    -18%

    -20%

    -5.6%2.1%

    612 592 582

    681

    1,114

    1,253

    1,5201,565

    2018 2019 2020 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

    -3.3% -1.7

    17%

    64%

    12%

    21%3%

    ForecastReal

    2012-2018 2018-2024

    Jan-Aug Annual

    forecast

  • 42/55

    Results of the Strategy to Combat Fuel Theft, 2018-2020Thousand barrels per day

    74

    23

    5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 4 4 6 5 4 5 4 4 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 4 6 2 3 3 36 6 6

    2 4 3 4 4

    Dec 0

    1-2

    0

    Dec 2

    1-3

    1

    Avg.

    201

    9

    Avg.

    202

    0

    Ja

    n 2

    02

    0

    Fe

    b 2

    02

    0

    Ma

    r 2

    02

    0

    Apr

    20

    20

    Ma

    y 2

    02

    0

    Ju

    n 2

    02

    0

    Ju

    l 20

    20

    Aug

    20

    20

    Sep

    20

    20

    1-S

    ep

    2-S

    ep

    3-S

    ep

    4-S

    ep

    5-S

    ep

    6-S

    ep

    7-S

    ep

    8-S

    ep

    9-S

    ep

    10-S

    ep

    11-S

    ep

    12-S

    ep

    13-S

    ep

    14-S

    ep

    15-S

    ep

    16-S

    ep

    17-S

    ep

    18-S

    ep

    19-s

    ep

    20-s

    ep

    21-s

    ep

    22-s

    ep

    23-s

    ep

    24-s

    ep

    25-s

    ep

    26-s

    ep

    27-s

    ep

    28-s

    ep

    29-s

    ep

    30-s

    ep

    2018

    Source: Comisión Nacional de Seguridad, Informe Seguridad http://www.informeseguridad.cns.gob.mx/

    Fuel theft has decreased by 95%

    as compared to the average for 2018

  • 43/55

    Losses due to Fuel SubstractionMXN billion

    1. Prices at storage facilities, does not include taxes (IEPS and IVA)

    2. As compared to 2018

    36.2

    3.62.03.2 1.0 0.4

    2018 2019 Jan-Aug 2020

    Automotive gasolines & diesel LPG

    Successful strategy

    against fuel

    substraction

    Estimated savings for

    PEMEX in two years

    amount to MXN 71.8

    billion2

    1 1 1

  • 44/55

    GDP O&G Contribution 2018-2020

    Fuente: INEGI

    • PEMEX’s activity is recorded in the secondary sector of the economy. Particularly in the "Oil and gas extraction

    activity".

    • This activity has recorded a positive trend since 1Q19, contributing to national development.

    • By 3Q19, oil and gas extraction ranked fourth in the level of contribution to the secondary sector.

    • By 2Q20, oil and gas extraction moved to second place, displacing the transport equipment manufacturing

    industry.

    12.2%11.9% 11.9% 11.6%

    11.0% 11.2%11.4%

    11.8% 11.9%

    15.0%

    10.5%

    11.5%

    12.5%

    13.5%

    14.5%

    15.5%

    Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

    Oil and gas extraction

  • 45/55

    O&G Industry Contribution to National GDP, 2017-2020

    1. MXN billion, constant 2013 figures.

    Source: INEGI

    • This graph shows the evolution of the oil and gas extraction industry as part of Mexico's total GDP.

    • The crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic caused that, in absolute terms, the oil and gas extractioncontribution to total GDP decreased by approximately MXN 1.5 billion, as compared to the same quarter of last

    year. The growth rate in the same period was -0.25%.

    • In percentage terms, the contribution of the oil and gas extraction activity had a greater participation in 2Q20,recording a 4% contribution to total GDP.

    710 714

    674 671 657 656 651618

    589 595611 613 620

    594

    4.0% 3.9%3.8%

    3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5%

    3.3% 3.2% 3.2%3.3% 3.3%

    3.4%

    4.0%

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    2.0%

    2.5%

    3.0%

    3.5%

    4.0%

    4.5%

    1Q 2017 2Q 2017 3Q 2017 4Q 2017 1Q 2018 2Q 2018 3Q 2018 4Q 2018 1Q 2019 2Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 1Q 2020 2Q 2020

    Va

    lue o

    f co

    ntr

    ibutio

    n to

    to

    tal G

    DP

    1

    Pe

    rce

    nta

    ge

    sh

    are

    in

    to

    tal

    GD

    P

    Growth rate Δ: -0.25%

  • 46/55

  • 47/55

    Financial DebtUSD billion

    1. Preliminary figures

    -1.8%-2.4% -5.3% -2.9%-1.8%-2.4% -5.3% -2.9%

    -2.1% 0.0%

    60.064.0

    78.0

    87.0

    96.0

    103.0106.0

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    11.5%

    10.3%

    7.3%

    2.9%

    21.9%

    6.7%

    10

    6.0

    10

    5.0

    105.0

    10

    5.0

    10

    5.0

    105.0

    10

    4.0

    103

    104

    105

    106

    107

    2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

    -0.9% 0%

    ForecastObserved

    2012-2018 2018-20241

  • 48/55

    Maturity Profile

    USD billion

    1. Represents the pending amount to be covered by the 2020’s financing program, considering the refinancing operations performed in

    the first half of the year. Does not considers revolving credit facilities and short-term credits, nor accrued interests.

    6.7

    9.6 9.4 8.7 8.6

    6.7 4.2

    9.1 7.5

    4.4 3.6

    0.3 0.1

    23.7

    201

    9

    202

    0

    202

    1

    202

    2

    202

    3

    202

    4

    202

    5

    202

    6

    202

    7

    202

    8

    202

    9

    203

    0

    203

    1

    203

    2

    20

    33

    1

    1.6

    6.0 5.5 6.3 8.5

    4.0

    8.7 9.8

    4.3 3.6 4.7 3.9

    30.2

    201

    9

    202

    0

    202

    1

    202

    2

    202

    3

    202

    4

    202

    5

    202

    6

    202

    7

    202

    8

    202

    9

    203

    0

    203

    1

    203

    2

    20

    33

    Before

    As of December 31, 2018

    Current

    As of June 30, 2020

    This administration has performed the largest refinancing operations in the history of PEMEX: more than

    USD 30 billion of refinanced financial liabilities.

  • 49/55

    Ten-year PEMEX’s bond yield

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

    6.5

    7.0

    7.5

    8.0

    201

    8-0

    2-2

    3

    201

    8-0

    4-2

    3

    201

    8-0

    6-2

    3

    201

    8-0

    8-2

    3

    201

    8-1

    0-2

    3

    201

    8-1

    2-2

    3

    201

    9-0

    2-2

    3

    201

    9-0

    4-2

    3

    201

    9-0

    6-2

    3

    201

    9-0

    8-2

    3

    201

    9-1

    0-2

    3

    201

    9-1

    2-2

    3

    202

    0-0

    2-2

    3

    Rendim

    iento

    (%

    )

    PEMEX 10 years

    Maximum:

    20/11/18

    7.65%

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    10.0

    11.0

    12.0

    202

    0-0

    3-0

    2

    202

    0-0

    3-1

    6

    202

    0-0

    3-3

    0

    202

    0-0

    4-1

    3

    202

    0-0

    4-2

    7

    202

    0-0

    5-1

    1

    202

    0-0

    5-2

    5

    202

    0-0

    6-0

    8

    202

    0-0

    6-2

    2

    202

    0-0

    7-0

    6

    202

    0-0

    7-2

    0

    202

    0-0

    8-0

    3

    Rendim

    iento

    (%

    )

    PEMEX 10 years

    Maximum:

    27/04/2020

    12.05%

    Pre-Covid-19 Period: Feb 2018 - Feb 2020 Covid-19 Period: Mar 2020- Jul 2020

    28/02/2020:

    6.25%

    11/08/2020:

    7.54%

    The maximum during Covid-19 recorded 12.05%, as compared to the 7.65%maximum

    in the pre-Covid period

    Yie

    ld (

    %)

    Yie

    ld (

    %)

  • 50/55

  • 51/55

    PEMEX will continue to be the most important tax

    contributor in 2021

    • According to the proposed 2021 Federal Budget, PEMEX estimates to transfer around MXN 897.2

    billion to the Federal Government in the form of direct and indirect contributions

    • From this amount, PEMEX will get back a MXN 45 billion capitalization to finance part of its

    investment projects. This represents 0.7% of the total federal budget for the year.

    • In other words, PEMEX will contribute with MXN 852.2 billion to the Mexican State next year.

  • 52/55

    PEMEX contributions to the Federal Government for 2021 MXN million

    1. Consider an annual average price of the Mexican crude oil mix of USD 42.1 per barrel

    PEMEX's transfers tothe government

    897,170 Total

    Direct taxes(DUC1 & others)

    Indirect taxes(IEPS & IVA)

    PEMEX will

    continue to be

    the most

    important tax

    contributor in

    2021

    352,570

    544,600

    Federal GovernmentSupport

    Capitalizations for the new refinery

    Total support from the Federal Government

    45,050

  • 53/55

    Final Thoughts

    1. Preliminary figures at October 2, 2020.

    2. Reference nominal GDP as of 2Q20.

    • PEMEX is the main contributor to the Mexican State.

    • During January-August 2020, PEMEX handed MXN 438.1 billion to the Federal Government in

    the form of direct and indirect contributions.1

    • PEMEX’s contributions finance around 10.4% of the total federal expenditures (including Mexican

    states and municipalities.

    • In 2019, PEMEX’s total income recorded MXN 1.9 trillion which represents 9.5% of the GDP.2

    • Petróleos Mexicanos usually does not receive budgetary resources from the Federal Government,

    except for some occasional cash injections that this year amount to 0.75% of the total federal

    budget.

  • 54/55

    Final Thoughts

    • All operation expenditures for exploration, production and industrial transformation come from the

    company’s own resources. These expenditures are not financed by the Federal Government.

    • During 2019, for the first time in ten years, operation and capital expenditures were not financed

    through debt. On the contrary, PEMEX recorded a negative net indebtedness of MXN 28.7 billion.

    • PEMEX is consolidated as one of the main companies of the oil and gas industry. Its EBITDA

    margin in the first half of 2020 recorded 20%.

    • PEMEX is still the state-owned company that contributes the most to Mexico’s development.

  • Investor Relations

    (+52 55) 9126-2940

    [email protected]

    www.pemex.com/en/investorsSonda de Campeche