creating the 2040 regional transportation plan. today’s presentation now developing the next rtp ...
TRANSCRIPT
Creating the
2040Regional Transportation Plan
Today’s Presentation
Now Developing the Next RTP Very Early Stages of Development Website:
2040Plan.org Partner with us to spread the word
1.Transportation Planning
2.Demographic Forecast
3.System Overview
4.2035 RTP Update
5.2040 Revenue Forecast
6.Vision and Goals
1. Transportation Planning
Who is H-GAC?
Houston-Galveston Area Council serves:
13 counties105 citiesMetropolitan
Planning Organization (MPO) for 8-county metro area
What is the RTP?
“Blueprint” for transportation system Goals and Performance Measures Cost/Benefits Analysis Financial Plan Priorities and Development Steps
Why Update the RTP?
Vision and Goals New Demographic and Financial Data Extend the Planning Horizon to 2040 Analyze Investment Options Get Public Input on Direction, Priorities
Where are we?
RTP DEVELOPMENT PROCESS
Phase 1: Initial Assessment
• Update Demographics • Review Goals and Vision• Define Challenges/Gaps
Public Outreach (Jan-Mar 2013)
Phase 2: Corridor Analysis
• Evaluate Alternative Transportation Scenarios• Develop Financial Plan • Develop Priorities and Strategies Public Outreach (Early 2014)
Phase 3: Regional Analysis
• Finalize Investment Priorities• Establish Performance Measures and Standards • Determine Regional Impacts (Air Quality,
Environment, Social Justice) Final Public Comment (Summer 2014)
2. Demographic Forecast
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
2.2 3.1
3.7 4.7
5.9
7.0
8.1
9.2
0.9 1.6 1.8
2.3 2.6 3.2
3.74.1
People
Region will grow by 3.3 Million
Source: HGAC Demographic Model
In Millions
The population will be older…
0.0
200,000.0
400,000.0
600,000.0
800,000.0
1,000,000.0
1,200,000.0
1,400,000.0
16% 15% 14% 15% 14%13%
8%
4%2%
13% 12% 13% 13% 13%12%
10%
7%
5%
2010 2040
Source: HGAC Demographic Model
Age Groups
Mill
ions
…and more diverse
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
72% 65% 58%48% 39% 36% 32% 30%
9% 14% 20%29% 36% 39% 42% 44%
19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17%
3% 3%7% 7% 8% 9% 10%
White Hispanic Black OtherSource: HGAC Demographic Model
Ethnicities
Mill
ions
Economic ChangesStatewide
208
178
155
129
Light Vehicle FleetReal State GDPNumber of HouseholdsState VMTMotor Fuel Taxes
Source: HGAC Financial Model
Growth Rate
3. System Overview
What is our System Today?
Roads 10,363 highway lane miles 19,900 arterial street lane miles
Transit 4,397 fixed route miles 204 HOV lane miles
Bikeways 500 designated on-street miles 434 miles off-street
2002-12 Expenditures
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -
200,000,000
400,000,000
600,000,000
800,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,200,000,000
1,400,000,000
1,600,000,000
Roadway = $9.3B Transit = $3.5B
TOTAL = $13.0B
4. 2035 RTP Update
2035 RTP Capital PrioritiesRoadways
SH 99 Grand Pkwy $6.7B
US 290 Corridor $3.7B
IH 45 S $1.5B
SH 288 $1.4B
US 59 S $1.2B
BW 8 $1.1B
IH 610 $1.0B
SH 146 $0.7B
All Roadways $25.6B
TransitBus Replacement $2.8B
North Corridor $1.6B
Southeast Corridor $1.1B
Northwest Corridor $1.1B
University Corridor $1.0B
Southwest Commuter $0.7B
East End Corridor $0.7B
Uptown Corridor $0.6B
All Transit $11.9B
Ped/BikeCity of Houston $29.9M
Greenspoint $29.8MGalveston & Harris Counties $22.0M
City of La Porte $14.9M
Westchase Dist $14.8M
City of Conroe $12.4M
Sims Bayou Trail $11.6M
All Ped/Bike $0.3B
2035 RTP Expenditures= $85.6 B
Roads: State & Federal
$6.5 (8%)
Roads:City & County$23.2 (27%)
Roads:Tolls
$17.4 (20%)
Transit$38.5 (45%)
By Mode
2035 RTP Expenditures= $85.6 B
Added Capacity Operations/ Maintenance
Administration Debt Service$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$26.0
$10.5$5.1 $5.0
$9.5
$24.7
$2.0 $2.3
$0.3 $0.2Bike/Ped/FreightTransitRoads
$Bill
ions
42% 7% 7% 41%
By Function
5. 2040 RevenueForecast
2014 - 2040 Revenue Forecast = $93.7 B
Federal20%
State14%
Local66%
Roads74%
Transit26%
Mode Source
Roads Transit
Toll Revenues $20.0
Property Tax14.9
Parking 1.4
METRO Sales Tax $5.7
METRO SalesTax $16.6
Farebox $3.0
2014 - 2040 Local Sources= $61.1 B
6. Vision andGoals
Vision Statement
In the year 2040, our region will have a safe, multimodal transportation system through coordinated investments that allow for a desirable quality of life, enhanced economic vitality and a high level of safety, access and mobility.
Goal: Mobility
Ensure travel is safe and reliable for people and goods
Maximize mobility and access to jobs, goods, services and global markets
Provide meaningful and equitable transportation options
Goal: Stewardship
Keep the transportation system in a state of good repair
Manage transportation system assets efficiently and effectively
Goal: Prosperity
Support the region’s economic development and competitiveness
Enhance community health and quality of life by improving air quality and environmental conditions, and conserving natural resources
Goal: Implementation
Deliver investments quickly and cost-effectively that incorporate life cycle costs
Encourage regional coordination, cooperation and decision making
We Want Your Input
Take Action! Go to 2040Plan.org Provide feedback Tell others Open House Meeting
H-GAC March 19 6p-8p
What’s next? Analyze results of feedback Start Phase II Development Early 2014: Ask for your
input again
Contacts:For Information
on the RTP
Roland StrobelChief Transportation Planner
(713) 993-4538 [email protected]
To Schedule a Presentation
Rosalind HebertPublic Information Planner
(713) 993-2471 [email protected]
Go To 2040plan.org