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Finance Lecture 1
Keating F&A 1-2 Spring 2008
Outline Lecture 1
• Introduction
• Accounting Statements
• Fun with Ratios
Keating F&A 1-3 Spring 2008
Finance and Accounting
• Finance: Assess performance and plan future actions based on accounting information
• Accounting: The scorecard of business. Provide information about a firm’s performance, problems, and prospects
• Accounting exists, in part, to assist corporate finance decisionmaking
• Finance:Accounting::Head Coach:Team Statistician
Keating F&A 1-4 Spring 2008
Financial Accounting andManagerial Accounting
• Financial Accounting: Measuring and recording business transactions and providing financial statements that are based on generally accepted accounting principles
Reports to external lenders, investors Taxation
• Managerial Accounting: Measuring and reporting financial and nonfinancial information that helps managers make decisions
Example: Activity-Based Costing What is firm’s marginal cost of production?
• Often times, we have financial accounting information, but we want managerial accounting information
Keating F&A 1-5 Spring 2008
Important Jargon: “GenerallyAccepted Accounting Principles”
Important Jargon: “Generally AcceptedAccounting ImpPrinciples”
• The Securities and Exchange Commission has statutory authority to establish financial accounting and reporting standards. To date, the SEC’s policy has been to rely on the private sector for this function to the extent that the private sector demonstrates ability to fulfill the responsibility in the public interest.
• The not-for-profit, non-governmental Federal Accounting Standards Board (FASB, www.fasb.org) establishes Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
Statements Interpretations Technical bulletins
Keating F&A 1-6 Spring 2008
Outline Lecture 1
• Introduction
• Accounting Statements
• Fun with Ratios
Keating F&A 1-7 Spring 2008
The Two Most Famous Accounting Statementsare Balance Sheets and Income Statements
• A balance sheet is a snapshot, at a point in time, of a firm’s assets and liabilities (claims against those assets)
• An income statement reports a firm’s financial results (revenue, costs, profits) in a given year
• Wealth:Income::Balance Sheet:Income Statement
Keating F&A 1-8 Spring 2008
Balance Sheets BalanceBalance Sheets Balance
• Assets = Liabilities + Stockholders’ Equity
• In reality, there is less to this equivalence than meets the eye
In formulating a balance sheet, assets and liabilities are tallied and the (hopefully positive) difference is labeled “Stockholder’s Equity” Computed “Stockholder’s Equity” almost never remotely equals the current stock price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding, i.e., the market value of the firm Computed “Stockholder’s Equity” is an accountant’s additive convenience with little obvious meaning aside from “more is better”
Keating F&A 1-9 Spring 2008
Balance Sheets Traditionally List Assetsand Liabilities from Most Liquid to Least
Assets 2006 Liabilities and Equity 2006
Cash $10 Accounts payable $60Marketable Securities $0 Notes payable $110Accounts receivable $375 Accruals $140Inventories $615 --------- ------- Total current liabilities $310Total current assets $1,000 Long-term bonds $754 ---------Net plant & equipt $1,000 Total Debt $1,064 Stockholders’ equity $936 ---------- Total assets $2,000 Total liabilities/equity $2,000
Keating F&A 1-10 Spring 2008
Yet More Jargon
• Accounts Receivable – Funds owed to the firm by customers who have not yet paid
• Accounts Payable – Firm debts to vendors not yet paid
• Accruals – Wages owed to workers not yet paid (since workers are generally paid with a lag relative to when work was accomplished)
Keating F&A 1-11 Spring 2008
Income Statements Show HowCorporate Income is Disbursed
Net Sales $3,000Costs Excluding Depreciation $2,616Depreciation $100 ----------Earnings before Interest/Taxes $284Interest $88 ----------Earnings before Taxes $196Taxes $78 ----------Net Income $118 Preferred Dividends $4 Common Dividends $58 Retained Earnings $56
Keating F&A 1-12 Spring 2008
Depreciation EstimatesCapital Consumed in a Year
• Facilities, machines wear out
• Faster depreciation is usually advantageous tax-wise
• Generally not valid to expense capitalinvestments in one year
• Note: Depreciation is NOT generally a current-year cash out-flow; the money was already spent in the past
Keating F&A 1-13 Spring 2008
The Federal and State GovernmentsTax Corporate Income
• Earnings after interest (but before dividends) is paid are subject to corporate income taxation
The tax code de facto favors debt financing over equity financing since interest payments are tax deductible
• While a typical corporation’s average corporate income tax rate might be ~35-45%, the corporate income tax system’s complexity dwarfs the personal income tax system’s complexity
• “Double taxation of corporate income”
Keating F&A 1-14 Spring 2008
Corporate IncomeFaces Double Taxation
• Profitable corporations paycorporate income tax
• Dividends paid to stockholders aretaxed as personal income
• Politicians disingenuously like totax corporations, not “people”
Keating F&A 1-15 Spring 2008
There are Accounting ControversiesLurking in the Shadows
• Example: Suppose your firm has a building that is fully depreciated for tax purposes. On the balance sheet, should it be valued at…
0? (Value IRS assumes) Original purchase price? “Mark to market”?
• This controversy does not affect tax liability, but it impairs cross-corporation comparisons
Keating F&A 1-16 Spring 2008
Outline Lecture 1
• Introduction
• Accounting Statements
• Fun with Ratios
Keating F&A 1-17 Spring 2008
Firms’ Accounting StatementsProvide Analysis
Opportunities• Publicly traded companies are required to issue annual balance sheets and income statements
• Analyzing these accounting statements might provide insight as to how the company is doing
Potentially interesting insights for prospective investors, a company’s own employees, a company’s competitors…
• Recurring problem: Business and accounting practices vary both across firms and, especially, across industries
Example: A good inventory turnover (Annual Sales/Inventory) ratio in the aircraft industry would be atrocious for a food store
Keating F&A 1-18 Spring 2008
Higgins’ Three Favorite RatiosCompose Return on Equity
Net Income Net Income Sales AssetsReturn = ----------------- = ---------------- * ---------- * ---------- On Stockholder Sales Assets StockholderEquity Equity Equity
Keating F&A 1-19 Spring 2008
Net Income/Sales is also TermedProfit Margin
• Higher is better (obviously)
• If you have a low profit margin, hopefully you don’t have a lot of assets tied up
• Profit margin varies inversely with the amount of competition the firm faces
Keating F&A 1-20 Spring 2008
Sales/Assets is also TermedAsset Turnover
• Asset turnover is a function of the firm’s technology
A food store has relatively few assets compared to sales Boeing has enormous assets
• Increases in some assets, e.g., accounts receivable, can be a warning sign
Keating F&A 1-21 Spring 2008
Assets/Equity is also TermedFinancial Leverage
• A problem here is that the denominator is an accountant’s construct (to make the balance sheet balance)
• (Assets/Equity Market Value) might be a more interesting metric
• The corporate tax code encourages financial leverage since debt is tax-preferred
But too much leverage risks firm bankruptcy
Keating F&A 1-22 Spring 2008
A Few Other Famous Ratios
• Current Ratio = (Current Assets/Current Liabilities)
Had better be a fair bit greater than 1.0 How able is the firm to cover near-term liabilities?
• P/E Ratio = (Stock Price/Earnings per Share)
A stock’s price can be viewed as the expected discounted sum of its future dividends A higher P/E suggests the market has more optimistic expectations as to the firm’s future earnings
Keating F&A 1-23 Spring 2008
How Should One Use Ratios?
• There is no one “perfect” ratio Multiple ratios form a mosaic depicting a firm’s performance
• Within a specific firm, large-scale changes in any ratios bear noting
• Cross-firm and, especially, cross-industry ratio comparisons are fraught with risk
Keating F&A 1-24 Spring 2008
A Contrarian Perspective:Perhaps Ratio Analysis is Meaningless
• The Theory of Rational Expectations suggests all publicly available information is already reflected in a firm’s stock price
You as an individual investor doing ratio analysis are not going to learn anything the market does not already know
• What ratio analysis can do is give one insight as to what a firm is doing, e.g., is this a high-risk, high leverage firm?
Descriptive information without creating market trading insight May assist with “clientele effect,” e.g., risk-averse investors shouldn’t invest in high leverage firms