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Milk Market Situation
Brussels, 17 June 2021
The United Kingdom is no longer a Member State of the European Union, however where it is deemed relevant (e.g. for comparison purposes) EU+UK aggregates may still be displayed.
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!!! Data from some Member States are confidential and are NOT included in this table !!!
Jan-Apr 2021/20: -0.7%
(leap year adjusted: +0.1%)
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-4.0% to -1.5%
-1.5% to -1.2%
-1.2% to -0.9%
-0.9% to 0.0%
0.0% to +1.0%
+1.0% to +2.6%
+2.6% to +5.4%
+5.4% to +18.0%
n/a-0.5
+1.4
-1.1
-0.4
-1.4
+1.1
+9.2
+5.2-0.6
-1.6
+2.9
+17.1
+5.5
-1.1
+6.0
-3.1
-1.2
-1.3
+1.0
0
+0.5+2.7
-1.0
-2.8
+2.6
Source : MS' Communications to Eurostat, FEGA, AGEA, Reg.479/2010.1(a)1
+1.0
DE, EL, HR, CY and SE figures based on MS notifications to DG AGRI - estimation for IT
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever o n the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
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-2.0% to -0.9%
-0.9% to -0.7%
-0.7% to -0.6%
-0.6% to 0.0%
0.0% to +1.1%
+1.1% to +2.0%
+2.0% to +3.3%
+3.3% to +16.0%
n/a+1.2
+3.2
+1.7
+0.4
-0.9
+2.3
+5.2
+3.7+0.5
-0.9
+3.7
+16.0
+2.5
-0.6
+3.7
+1.4
-0.6
-1.6
+1.5
+0.5
+1.5+2.6
+0.6
-0.4
+3.2
Source : MS' Communications to Eurostat, FEGA, AGEA, Reg.479/2010.1(a)1
+0.8
Estimated figures for: EL, and IT
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever o n the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
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10 000
11 000
12 000
13 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
10
00
To
nn
es
EU - Cows' milk collected
2018
2019
2020
2021
Jan-Apr 2021/20: - 0.7%
Source: Estat (Newcronos) - MS notifications - CLAL(IT)
LU not included (confidential data)
Jan-Apr 2021/20 (leap year adjusted): + 0.1%
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35.4
37.2
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
50
Jan 0
1
Jan 0
2
Jan 0
3
Jan 0
4
Jan 0
5
Jan 0
6
Jan 0
7
Jan 0
8
Jan 0
9
Jan 1
0
Jan 1
1
Jan 1
2
Jan 1
3
Jan 1
4
Jan 1
5
Jan 1
6
Jan 1
7
Jan 1
8
Jan 1
9
Jan 2
0
Jan 2
1
EUR/100 kgEU evolutive* Raw Milk Prices Evolution (up to Apr 2021)
Weighted EU Average (real fat content)
EU Milk Equiv. Price (based on SMP and Butter prices)
Source : MS’ communications under Reg. (EU) No 2017/1185 Article 12(a) - Annex II.4(a)
* : provisional figures
* EU evolutive: EU-15 (before 2004), EU-25 (2004 to 2006), EU-27 (2007 to 2013), EU-28 (2013 to 01/2020), EU-27 without UK (from 02/2020 onwards)
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57.8
55.6
38.8
38.6
38.1
38.1
37.3
36.6
36.5
36.0
36.0
35.6
35.4
35.3
33.5
33.3
33.1
32.6
32.4
32.2
31.9
31.7
31.1
31.0
30.8
30.5
30.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
CY MT GR FI SE AT DK IE° FR NL IT DE EU* BE HR CZ PL ES BG SK LT SI EE HU RO LV PT
in E
UR
/1
00
kg
EU MILK PRICES
Milk price 2020
Milk price 2021
Source : Member States (Regulation (EU) No 2017/1185 Article 12(a) - Annex II.4(a))
( Apr 2021 vs Apr 2020 )
: estimated figures for Apr 2021*: without UK
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100
150
200
250
300
350
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
EU
R/1
00 k
g
Weekly EU SMP Prices
2018 2019 2020 2021 IP 2009
Latest price : 260 EUR/100kg
Evolution compared to same period last year : +20%
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265 262 261 260 255249 246
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
DE FR BE EU Avg. CZ PL IE
in E
UR/1
00 kg
EU S.M.P. Prices (up to 6.06.2021)
I.P. : 169.8
Source: Regulation (EU) No 2017/1185 Article 11 - Annex I.7
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200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
EU
R/1
00 k
g
Weekly EU BUTTER Prices
2018 2019 2020 2021 IP 2009
Evolution compared to same period last year : +34%
Latest price : 413 EUR/100kg
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504
452 447
422 413 412 407390 390 387
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
SK FR CZ EE EU Avg. BE DE ES PL IE
EU
R/1
00 k
g
EU BUTTER Prices (up to 6.06.2021)
Source : Regulation (EU) No 2017/1185 Article 11 - Annex I.7
I.P. = 221.75
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100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700Jan 0
3
Jan 0
4
Jan 0
5
Jan 0
6
Jan 0
7
Jan 0
8
Jan 0
9
Jan 1
0
Jan 1
1
Jan 1
2
Jan 1
3
Jan 1
4
Jan 1
5
Jan 1
6
Jan 1
7
Jan 1
8
Jan 1
9
Jan 2
0
Jan 2
1
in E
UR/100 k
g
.
EU Quotations of Butter and SMP(EU average based on MS communication and weighted by production)
Butter Intervention buying in price SMP Intervention buying in price
BUTTER prices SMP prices
Source: MS’ communications under reg. 562/2005 and 479/2010
413
260
EU evolutive (without UK from 02/2020 onwards)
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100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Jan 0
3
Jan 0
4
Jan 0
5
Jan 0
6
Jan 0
7
Jan 0
8
Jan 0
9
Jan 1
0
Jan 1
1
Jan 1
2
Jan 1
3
Jan 1
4
Jan 1
5
Jan 1
6
Jan 1
7
Jan 1
8
Jan 1
9
Jan 2
0
Jan 2
1
in E
UR/1
00 k
g
EU evolutive* dairy Quotations
(EU Average Prices based on MS communication and weighted by production)
BUTTER
SMP
WMP
CHEDDAR
Source: Regulation (EU) No 2017/1185 Article 11 - Annex I.7
* EU evolutive: EU-15 (before 2004), EU-25 (2004 to 2006), EU-27 (2007 to 2013), EU-28 (2013 to 01/2020), EU-27 without UK (from 02/2020 onwards)
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150
200
250
300
350
400
450Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
EU
R/1
00 k
g
Weekly EU WMP Prices
2018 2019 2020 2021
Evolution compared to same period last year : +19%
Latest price : 322 EUR/100kg
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200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
EU
R/1
00 k
g
Weekly EU* CHEDDAR Prices
2018 2019 2020 2021
Evolution compared to same period last year : +4%
Latest price : 313 EUR/100kg
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
EU
R/100 k
g
Weekly EU* EDAM Prices
2018 2019 2020 2021
Evolution compared to same period last year : +10%
Latest price : 326 EUR/100kg
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50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
EU
R/1
00 k
g
Weekly EU WheyPowder Prices
2018 2019 2020 2021 Series2
Evolution compared to same period last year : +35%
Latest price : 101 EUR/100kg
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EUR/USD
1.2195
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3 538
3 131
2 846
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
Fe
b 1
4
Ma
y 14
Aug
14
Nov 1
4
Fe
b 1
5
Ma
y 15
Aug
15
Nov 1
5
Fe
b 1
6
Ma
y 16
Aug
16
Nov 1
6
Fe
b 1
7
Ma
y 17
Aug
17
Nov 1
7
Fe
b 1
8
Ma
y 18
Aug
18
Nov 1
8
Fe
b 1
9
Ma
y 19
Aug
19
Nov 1
9
Fe
b 2
0
Ma
y 20
Aug
20
Nov 2
0
Fe
b 2
1
Ma
y 21
Prices in U
SD
/tonne
EU*/US/Oceania Quotations of SMP
Avg Oceania SMP quotation
Avg EU SMP internal Price
Avg US SMP quotation
Source: MS’ communications under Reg. 2017/1185 & USDA market news
* EU evolutive
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4 150
3 9073 977
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
6 000
Fe
b 1
4
Ma
y 14
Aug
14
Nov 1
4
Fe
b 1
5
Ma
y 15
Aug
15
Nov 1
5
Fe
b 1
6
Ma
y 16
Aug
16
Nov 1
6
Fe
b 1
7
Ma
y 17
Aug
17
Nov 1
7
Fe
b 1
8
Ma
y 18
Aug
18
Nov 1
8
Fe
b 1
9
Ma
y 19
Aug
19
Nov 1
9
Fe
b 2
0
Ma
y 20
Aug
20
Nov 2
0
Fe
b 2
1
Ma
y 21
Prices in U
SD
/tonne
EU*/US/Oceania Quotations of WMP
Avg Oceania WMP quotation
Avg EU WMP internal Price
Avg US WMP quotation
Source: MS’ communications under Reg. 2017/1185 & USDA market news
* EU evolutive
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5 1254 996
3 988
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
6 000
6 500
7 000
7 500
8 000
8 500
Fe
b 1
4
Ma
y 14
Aug
14
Nov 1
4
Fe
b 1
5
Ma
y 15
Aug
15
Nov 1
5
Fe
b 1
6
Ma
y 16
Aug
16
Nov 1
6
Fe
b 1
7
Ma
y 17
Aug
17
Nov 1
7
Fe
b 1
8
Ma
y 18
Aug
18
Nov 1
8
Fe
b 1
9
Ma
y 19
Aug
19
Nov 1
9
Fe
b 2
0
Ma
y 20
Aug
20
Nov 2
0
Fe
b 2
1
Ma
y 21
Prices in U
SD
/tonne
EU*/US/Oceania Quotations of Butter
Avg Oceania Butter quotation
Avg EU Butter internal Price
Avg US Butter quotation
Source: MS’ communications under Reg. 2017/1185 & USDA market news
* EU evolutive
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4 425
3 808
3 402
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
6 000
6 500
Fe
b 1
4
Ma
y 14
Aug
14
Nov 1
4
Fe
b 1
5
Ma
y 15
Aug
15
Nov 1
5
Fe
b 1
6
Ma
y 16
Aug
16
Nov 1
6
Fe
b 1
7
Ma
y 17
Aug
17
Nov 1
7
Fe
b 1
8
Ma
y 18
Aug
18
Nov 1
8
Fe
b 1
9
Ma
y 19
Aug
19
Nov 1
9
Fe
b 2
0
Ma
y 20
Aug
20
Nov 2
0
Fe
b 2
1
Ma
y 21
Prices in U
SD
/tonne
EU*/US/Oceania Quotations of Cheddar
Avg OceaniaCheddar quotation
Avg EU Cheddar internal Price
Avg US Cheddar quotation
Source: MS’ communications under Reg. 2017/1185 & USDA market news
* EU evolutive
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EU*: without UK
Main exporters
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EU*: without UK
Main exportersnotice: trade between EU and UK for May 2020 is incomplete.
Main exporters
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EU Exports (1/2)Source : Eurostat (COMEXT)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
178187
232
206 198
240261
1000 Tonnes
BUTTER exports
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Apr 2021 exports compared to 2020 : - 15%
BUTTER exports
2020
2021
Trade with UK excuded for monthly data (not complete)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
661707
597
794826
946831
1000 TonnesSMP exports
0
20
40
60
80
100
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Apr 2021 exports compared to 2020 : + 1%
SMP exports
2020
2021
Trade with UK excuded for monthly data (not complete)
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EU Exports (2/2)
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
1 152 1 1591 231 1 275 1 279
1 3481 400
1000 Tonnes
CHEESE exports
0
100
200
300
400
500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
375 386 381404
346315
345
1000 TonnesWMP exports
0
20
40
60
80
100
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Apr 2021 exports compared to 2020 : + 7%
CHEESE exports
2020
2021
Trade with UK excuded for monthly data (not complete)
0
10
20
30
40
50
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan- Apr 2021 exports compared to 2020 : - 2%
WMP exports
2020
2021
Trade with UK excuded for monthly data (not complete)
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Main importers
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Main importers
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Main Dairy Importers (Butter + Butteroil 1/2)
0
25
50
75
100
125
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
8071
8292
113
86
116
1000 Tonnes
China
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : + 12%
2020
2016
2021
0
25
50
75
100
125
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
139
96 105 9887
116 125
1000 Tonnes
Russia
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 1%
2020
2021
2020
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Main Dairy Importers (Butter + Butteroil 2/2)
Source: IHS Mark it/GTA - Eurostat(COMEXT)
0
25
50
75
100
125
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2240 47 43
5767 68
1000 Tonnes
United States
0
25
50
75
100
125
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
69 73 77 84 79 74 75
1000 Tonnes
United Kingdom HMRC
0
2
4
6
8
10
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 12%
2020
2021
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 12%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : - 45%
2020
20162019
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : - 45%
2021
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Main Dairy Importers (S.M.P. - 1/2)
Rem: for confidentiality reasons, trade data from Mexico are incomplete and therefore not presented here.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
253200 184
247280
344 336
1000 Tonnes
China
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
2020
2019
2021
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : + 36%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
146 145 159 147 160188 197
1000 Tonnes
Indonesia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : + 5%
2020
2017
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : + 5%
2021
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Main Dairy Importers (S.M.P. – 2/2)
0
50
100
150
200
250
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
138 147 135 121 129 126 117
1000 Tonnes
Malaysia
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
2020
2014
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : + 24%
2016
2019
2021
0
5
10
15
20
25
1000 tonnes
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : + 5%
2009
2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
95 101
185154 159 177 179
1000 Tonnes
Philippines
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020 : + 5%
2020
2021
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Main Dairy Importers (W.M.P. 1/2)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
671
347420 470 521
671 644
1000 Tonnes
China
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : + 17%
20202021
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
42 46 47 50 60 59 58
1000 Tonnes
Thailand
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 18%
2020
2017
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 18%
2019
2021
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Main Dairy Importers (W.M.P. 2/2)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
3059
12673 68 61
89
1000 Tonnes
Brazil
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
81 75 86 87 104 9653
1000 Tonnes
Hong Kong
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : + 70%
2020
2021
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnesJan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 50%
2020
2013 2016
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : - 50%
2021
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Main Dairy Importers (Cheese – 1/2)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
469 494 490 494 523 536 496
1000 Tonnes
United Kingdom HMRC
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Mar 2021 compared to 2020: - 22%
2020
2016 2017
2021
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
321
209 223 226 249278
311
1000 Tonnes
Russia
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020: + 18%
2020
2021
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Main Dairy Importers (Cheese – 2/2)
Source: IHS Mark it/GTA - Eurostat(COMEXT)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
165200 205 183 176 180 165
1000 Tonnes
United States
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
232 249 258 273 286 303 292
1000 Tonnes
Japan
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020: + 4%
2020
2021
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1000 tonnes
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020: + 2%
20202021
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7 000
7 200
7 400
7 600
7 800
8 000
8 200
8 400
8 600
8 800
9 000
9 200Jan
Fe
b
Ma
r
Apr
Ma
y
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
in 1
000 t
on
ne
s
U.S. milk production
2018
2019
2020
2021
Source:USDA
Jan-Apr 2021 compared to 2020 : + 1.6%
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Source: Dairy Australia
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200Ju
l
Au
g
Sep
Oc
t
No
v
Dec
Ja
n
Fe
b
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Ju
n
in 1
000 t
on
ne
s
Jul-Mar 2020/21 compared to 2019/20 : + 0.9%
Australian milk production
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
![Page 38: Milk Market Situation...Milk Market Situation Brussels, 17 June 2021 The United Kingdom is no longer a Member State of the European Union, however where it is deemed relevant (e.g](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070222/613bff9af8f21c0c82695224/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Source: DCANZ - Fonterra
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
Ju
n
Ju
l
Au
g
Sep
Oc
t
No
v
Dec
Ja
n
Fe
b
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
in 1
000 t
on
ne
s
.
Jun-Apr 2020/21 compared to 2019/20 : + 2.4%
NZ milk production
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
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GDT Auction results
Average price (USD/MT, FAS)
Event 2851 June 2021
-0.9%
$4 128
Event 2851 June 2021
-0.9%
$4 128
Anhydrous Milk Fat
-0.8%$ 5 654
Butter
-5.4%$ 4 690
Butter MilkPowder
-7.5%$ 3 810
Cheddar
+0.5%$ 4 324
Lactose
-1.6%$ 1 236
Skim MilkPowder
-0.5%$ 3 415
Whole MilkPowder
-0.5%$ 4 062
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Thank you