energy security peak oil conspiracy
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8/8/2019 Energy Security Peak Oil Conspiracy
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Code word ³energy security´ replaces ³peak oil´
The mother of all conspiracies?
Politicians, government departments, radio and TV, newspapers, banks, consultants, industry groups,academia, professional associations etc. are consistently avoiding the term ³peak oil´. In a workshop
in Parramatta on 22/11/210 http://www.10000friends.org.au/events/details.aspx?article=144 I wasstopped to use the PO word. Do we have a conspiracy here, is the peak oil story so bad it should not
be spread? Here are some examples:
21/2/2008
MARTIN FERGUSON, RESOURCES MINISTER: Australia's got a huge challenge. We've got
huge problems on the trade front, but also importantly, a real problem in terms of energy security
and our economic future by 2015. http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2007/s2169087.htm
29/6/2010 MARTIN FERGUSON: At the moment it can only get worse because we¶re more and
more required to import further petroleum products from overseas. And that¶s why the
last thing we should do is just suspend production or exploration in Australia. Our
responsibility is to actually ensure we meet our domestic requirements as best we can. http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2010/s2940420.htm
No word of peak oil. The Federal government¶s oil vulnerability report is outdated by 4 years now:
29/5/2009 Critique ACIL Tasman liquid fuel vulnerabilityhttp://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=793
The media are creating car dream illusions: on 2/11/2010 SBS shows air cars claiming they are ³zeroemissions´ without mentioning the primary energy problem http://www.mdi.lu/english/airpod.php
19/6/2010 M2 widening: Primary Energy Dilemma for cars http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=1631
ABC TV screened this excellent documentary in May 2007: The incredible journey of oil
http://www.abc.net.au/science/crude/ with videos on peak oil and global warming, but has droppedthe ball since then, as evidenced in this interview dated 22/11/2010:
UK appoints special envoy for climate and energy securityLEIGH SALES: You mentioned energy security earlier. How significant is the risk of war in the
future over competition for energy resources?
NEIL MORISETTI: I think there is always going to be a risk of conflict over resources, whether it beenergy, food or water. It may be that water's perhaps more likely in the present circumstances thanenergy, but it can't be ruled out. And we need to recognise that the risk¶s to our secure and stablesupplies of energy. http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2010/s3073553.htm
SMH 23/11/2010 Better cars, less oil mean fuel tax revenue will dry uphttp://www.smh.com.au/national/better-cars-less-oil-mean-fuel-tax-revenue-will-dry-up-20101122-1848o.html Fuel efficiency has actually NOT improved in the last years as research of the EnergyEfficiency Task Force in the Prime Minister¶s office has shown.
8/8/2019 Energy Security Peak Oil Conspiracy
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M2 widening increases Sydney's oil vulnerability Transurban¶s debt and cash flow problem
http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=2039 http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=2255
<< IEA WEO November 2010
Crude oil production is
flat at best. Thestraight line suggests
no proper modellingwas done and istherefore wishfulthinking. It is a hiddenwarning message thatcrude oil productionwill actually decline
<< fierce fights over oil: OECD
must save oil which will be used byOPEC¶s and Chindia¶s growth.Australia is linked to Asia¶sgrowing economy on one hand butmember of OECD on the other hand. We¶ll be between a rock and ahard place, with a real oil importcrisis. There will be another financial shock when loans for toll-ways and other oil dependentinfrastructure can no longer berolled over.
Next oil shock 2012 ± just when the widening of the M2 is scheduled to be completed
<< Graph from Chris Skrebowski,Energy Institute, London.
The black line shows the increasingdecline at 4.7% pa in existingfields, the blue line totalincremental capacity from newdevelopments. The red line is the
net capacity. Where it comes closeto the depletion curve there is nospare capacity and oil prices go up.
In 2005, Chris correctly predicted problems after 2008. It came a bitearlier as China went on the oilmarket with an extra 800 kb/d inMay-July 2008, for the Olympicgames. I call it the Oilympic peak,
which broke the camel¶s neck with $147 oil prices. Visit my website for more details.Prepared by Matt Mushalik (MIEAust, CPEng) 24//11/2010 [email protected]