eoghan furey, kevin curran, paul mc kevitt intelligent systems research centre,

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http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk Magee Campus A Bayesian Filter Approach to Modelling Human Movement Patterns for First Responders Within Indoor Locations Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre, University of Ulster Magee, Derry, Northern Ireland

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A Bayesian Filter Approach to Modelling Human Movement Patterns for First Responders Within Indoor Locations. Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre, University of Ulster Magee, Derry, Northern Ireland . - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

A Bayesian Filter Approach to Modelling Human Movement Patterns for First Responders Within Indoor Locations

Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

University of Ulster Magee, Derry, Northern Ireland

Page 2: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

This research creates a system that enhances Wi-Fi tracking capability in an indoor environment

HABITS (History Aware Based Wi-Fi Indoor Tracking System) enables real-time continuous tracking in areas where this was not previously possible due to signal black spots

Historical movement patterns and probability will facilitate this

Page 3: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Information first responders can use This system has the ability to inform first

responders of the locations of the inhabitants of a building

HABITS also gives indications of where the inhabitants are intending to go in the short (a few seconds), medium (end of the current journey) and long (later that day or week) term

Page 4: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Positioning Systems Positioning is a process to obtain the spatial position

of a target Location Based Services (LBS) are required which

work in an indoor environment. Large public buildings; universities, hospitals and shopping centres

Due to the poor performance of Satellite and Cellular systems indoors, a separate system is required

802.11 Wi-Fi networks as specified by the IEEE are available in many large buildings. The signals transmitted by the Access Points (APs) provide a readily available network of signals which may be used for positioning

Page 5: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Related Research• Indoor Tracking

–ActiveBadge – Olivetti Research (Ward et al., 1997)–RADAR – Microsoft Research (Bahl & Padmanabhan,

2000)–PlaceLab – Intel Research (LaMarca et al., 2005)–Ekahau (Inc, 2004) – Current market leader

• Modelling Movement patterns– Zhou (2006); Petzold et al.(2006); Song et al.(2010)

Page 6: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

802.11 b/g Wi-Fi Network Installation

• When designed for Data Communication– Data transfer rate– Quality of Service– Cost

• When designed for Indoor Tracking– Treble number of Access Points (AP)– AP placement in zig-zag pattern

Conflict of Interest!

Page 7: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Signal strength map

Black spots

Page 8: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Context of HABITS

Ekahau enhanced

with HABITS

Page 9: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Node positions in a house

Kitchen

Bathroom

Living RoomBedroom

Front Door

Kitchen

Bathroom

Living RoomBedroom

Kitchen

Bathroom

Living RoomBedroom

Front Door

Page 10: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Connected graph with node connections

Kitchen

Bathroom

Living RoomBedroom

DP1

DP2DP3

Front Door

Kitchen

Bathroom

Living RoomBedroom

DP1

DP2DP3

Front DoorFront Door

Page 11: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Connected graph with node connections

2

8

61

3

47

5

2

8

61

3

47

55

Page 12: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Adjacency matrix for nodes in example house

1010100

0

7 8654321

0000000811010007000000060001000500101004000101130000100200001001

1010100

0

7 8654321

0000000811010007000000060001000500101004000101130000100200001001

Page 13: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Zones for recording movement history

Page 14: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Zones represented as graph nodes

MS Ground Floor

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Page 15: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Initial Transition Matrix between nodes

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

1 0 0.167 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2 0.667 0 0.077 0 0.019 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3 0 0.667 0 0 0.157 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4 0 0 0 0 0.314 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.667 0 0 0 0

5 0 0.167 0.923 0.6 0 0.571 0.2 0.045 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.013 0 0 0

6 0 0 0 0 0.314 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

7 0 0 0 0 0.157 0 0 0.045 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

TO 8 0 0 0 0 0.019 0 0.8 0 1 0.071 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.364 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.545 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.43

11 0.167 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.571 0.143 0.043 0 0.013 0 0 0

12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.125 0 0.143 0.043 0 0.053 0 0 0

13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.125 0.143 0 0.043 0 0.053 0 0 0

14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.125 0.143 0.143 0 0 0.053 0 0 0

15 0 0 0 0.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.267 0 0 0

16 0 0 0 0 0.019 0 0 0 0 0 0.125 0.143 0.571 0.869 0.333 0 0.16 0.556 0.015

17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.053 0 0.167 0.061

18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.48 0.8 0 0.492

19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.571 0 0 0 0 0 0.013 0.04 0.278 0OUT 0.167 0.429 0.357

FROM

Page 16: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Distance (Travel Time) between nodes

MS Ground Floor

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

97

9.5

5

5.5 8

3

4

5

4 210.5

9

9.5

5

5

30

5

3.5

7.54

8

3

4.5

5.5

5 2.5

4

8

8

2

Page 17: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Wait nodes, Transition Nodes & ExitsToilet Kevin’s Office

MS Ground Floor

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Eoghan Desk

Lecture Theatre

Reception/Mail Room

Board RoomDirectors Office

Canteen

Car Park Exit

Main Exit

Smokers Exit

Transition Node

Exit/Wait Node

Wait Node

Transition NodeTransition Node

Exit/Wait NodeExit/Wait Node

Wait NodeWait Node

Page 18: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

HABITS operational scenario

xt-2 xt-1

xt(i)

xt(j)

3 4

5

62

1

xt-3

xt-2 xt-1

xt(i)

xt(j)

3 4

5

62

1

xt-3

Page 19: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

MS Ground Floor

Preferred Paths – Car park to DeskToilet

Kevin’s Office

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Eoghan Desk

Lecture Theatre

Reception/Mail Room

Board RoomDirectors Office

Canteen

Car Park Exit

Main Exit

Smokers Exit

Transition Node

Exit/Wait Node

Wait Node

Transition NodeTransition Node

Exit/Wait NodeExit/Wait Node

Wait NodeWait Node

Page 20: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

MS Ground Floor

Preferred Paths – Desk to Kevin’s Office

Car Park Exit

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Eoghan Desk

Lecture Theatre

Reception/Mail Room

Board RoomDirectors Office

Toilet

Kevin’s Office

Canteen

Main Exit

Smokers Exit

Transition Node

Exit/Wait Node

Wait Node

Transition NodeTransition Node

Exit/Wait NodeExit/Wait Node

Wait NodeWait Node

Page 21: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Preferred Paths – Desk to Toilet

MS Ground Floor

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Eoghan Desk

Lecture Theatre

Reception/Mail Room

Board RoomDirectors Office

Toilet Kevin’s Office

Canteen

Car Park Exit

Main Exit

Smokers Exit

Transition Node

Exit/Wait Node

Wait Node

Transition NodeTransition Node

Exit/Wait NodeExit/Wait Node

Wait NodeWait Node

Page 22: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Preferred Paths – Desk to Canteen

MS Ground Floor

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Eoghan Desk

Lecture Theatre

Reception/Mail Room

Board RoomDirectors Office

Toilet Kevin’s Office

Canteen

Car Park Exit

Main Exit

Smokers Exit

Transition Node

Exit/Wait Node

Wait Node

Transition NodeTransition Node

Exit/Wait NodeExit/Wait Node

Wait NodeWait Node

Page 23: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Preferred Paths – Desk to Main Exit

MS Ground Floor

MS First Floor

1

2

3

6

4

5

78

9

10

14 17

15

1916

1813

11

12

Eoghan Desk

Lecture Theatre

Reception/Mail Room

Board RoomDirectors Office

Toilet Kevin’s Office

Canteen

Car Park Exit

Main Exit

Smokers Exit

Transition Node

Exit/Wait Node

Wait Node

Transition NodeTransition Node

Exit/Wait NodeExit/Wait Node

Wait NodeWait Node

Page 24: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Long term predictions for User 1Long term predictions

36

21

64

78

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Observed twice Observed three or more times

Number of Times PP observed

Perc

enta

ge Incorrect

Correct

Page 25: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

HABITS Application in Emergencies Where are the people now? Where were they going? Where will they be in the future? Knowledge of where users are likely to go also

gives knowledge of where they are Not likely to go! Potentially as useful!

Page 26: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Conclusion and future work We conclude that HABITS improves on the

standard Ekahau RTLS in term of accuracy (overcoming black spots), latency (giving position fixes when Ekahau cannot), cost (less APs are required than are recommended by Ekahau) and prediction (short, medium and longer term predictions are available from HABITS). These are features that no other indoor tracking system currently provides.

Page 27: Eoghan Furey, Kevin Curran, Paul Mc Kevitt Intelligent Systems Research Centre,

http://isrc.ulster.ac.uk

Magee Campus

Thank you for your attention.

Questions/Comments