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IEF EIEF Working Paper 19/05 April 2019 Monetary Policy in a World of Cryptocurrencies by Pierpaolo Benigno (LUISS and EIEF) EIEF WORKING PAPER SERIES Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance

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Page 1: ERIE IEF s EIEF WORKING PAPER s (LUISS and EIEF) · 2019. 4. 15. · location can be reached when the –xed cost of entry goes to zero.9 Further, unlike Fernandez-Villaverde and

IEF

EIEF Working Paper 19/05

April 2019

Monetary Policy in a World of Cryptocurrencies

by

Pierpaolo Benigno

(LUISS and EIEF)

EIE

F

WO

RK

ING

P

AP

ER

s

ER

IEs

E i n a u d i I n s t i t u t e f o r E c o n o m i c s a n d F i n a n c e

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Monetary Policy in a World ofCryptocurrencies∗

Pierpaolo BenignoLUISS and EIEF

April 14, 2019

Abstract

Can currency competition affect central banks’control of interest rates andprices? Yes, it can. In a two-currency world, the growth rate of the cryptocur-rency sets an upper bound on the nominal interest rate and the attainable infla-tion rate, if the government currency is to retain its role as medium of exchange.In a world of multiple competing currencies issued by profit-maximizing agents,the nominal interest rate and inflation are both determined by structural fac-tors, and thus not subject to manipulation, a result hailed by the proponentsof currency competition. The article also proposes some fixes for the classicalproblem of indeterminacy of exchange rates.

∗I am grateful to Giorgio Primiceri for useful comments, Marco Bassetto for insightful discussionat the NBER Monetary Economics Meeting and Roger Meservey for professional editing. Financialsupport from ERC Consolidator Grant No. 614879 (MONPMOD) is gratefully acknowledged.

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In recent years cryptocurrencies have attracted the attention of consumers, mediaand policymakers.1 Cryptocurrencies are digital currencies, not physically minted.Monetary history offers other examples of uncoined money. For centuries, sinceCharlemagne, an “imaginary” money existed but served only as unit of accountand never as, unlike today’s cryptocurrencies, medium of exchange.2 Nor is thecoexistence of multiple currencies within the borders of the same nation a recent phe-nomenon. Medieval Europe was characterized by the presence of multiple media ofexchange of different metallic content.3 More recently, some nations contended withdollarization or eurization.4

However, the landscape in which digital currencies are now emerging is quitepeculiar: they have appeared within nations dominated by a single fiat currency justas central banks have succeeded in controlling the value of their currencies and taminginflation.In this perspective, this article asks whether the presence of multiple currencies can

jeopardize the primary function of central banking —controlling prices and inflation—or eventually limit their operational tools —e.g. the interest rate. The short answeris: yes it can.The analysis posits a simple endowment perfect-foresight monetary economy along

the lines of Lucas and Stokey (1987), in which currency provides liquidity services. Forthe benchmark single-currency model, the results are established: the central bankcan control the rate of inflation by setting the nominal interest rate; the (initial) pricelevel instead is determined by an appropriate real tax policy.5 The combination ofthese two policies (interest-rate targeting and fiscal policy) determines the path ofthe price level in all periods, and the central bank can achieve any desired inflationrate by setting the right nominal interest rate.First I add to this benchmark a privately issued currency that is perfectly sub-

stitutable for the government’s currency in providing liquidity services. The privatecurrency is “minted”each period according to a constant growth rate µ.The first important result is that private currency can be worthless if it is believed

to be, while government currency always has a positive value. This result follows fromthe connection between the policy followed by the government, the levying of taxes inthe government currency and the existence of a market of interest-bearing securitiesin it.Despite these privileges, government money can lose the property of medium of

1See BIS (2018).2See Einaudi (1936) for an analysis of the “imaginary”money from the time of Charlemagne to

the French Revolution. Loyo (2002) studies optimal choice of unit account in a context of multipleunits.

3Cipolla (1956,1982,1990) describes several cases in the monetary history of coexistence of mul-tiple currencies.

4See Calvo and Vegh (1997) for an analysis of dollarization.5Canzoneri, Cumby and Diba (2001), Niepelt (2004), Sims (1994, 2000, 2013) and Woodford

(1995, 2001, 2003), among others, present results of the benchmark single-currency case.

1

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exchange if its inflation is higher than that of private money. The “better money”—with higher return and lower inflation —will prevail in transaction services, confirmingthe view of Hayek (1974). The loss of the property of medium of exchange can berisky for the government and threaten the very survival of the currency, unless legalrestrictions are imposed.What happens if the government wants to crowd out private currency to avoid

getting into such dangerous territories? It has to keep inflation (Π) low and boundedby the growth rate of private money, i.e. Π ≤ 1+µ. Currency competition could thusbecome a useful way of keeping inflation low and reducing liquidity premia. But, theinflation bound imposed on the government can be too tight when other objectives,such as economic stabilization, require a higher inflation target.A pervasive result in this environment, along the lines of Kareken and Wallace

(1981), is that the exchange rate between the two currencies is indeterminate. How-ever, if fiscal policy is set in the same way as in the benchmark single-currencyframework, this indeterminacy does not bring instability to the price level (in unitsof government currency).6

Next I extend the framework to allow for multiple currencies in a market of profit-maximizing issuers where entry is endogenous and subject to a fixed cost. The resultsbecome even more striking: the nominal interest rate becomes entirely determined bystructural factors (the intertemporal discount factor, the exit rate and the fixed costof entry). As a consequence, the inflation rate too becomes a function of the samestructural factors. However, the (initial) price level in units of government currency isstill determinate if fiscal policy is set appropriately as in the benchmark case. Multiplecurrency competition, unlike the two-currency variety, can also preclude all possibleinstability of the path of real money balances in each currency. The government canstill crowd out private currency by setting relatively low interest and inflation rates,but these might turn out to be too low if the barriers to entry are themselves enoughstrict.I then turn back to analyze exchange-rate determination in the two-currency econ-

omy. This problem can be solved if the private currency is issued in a centralizedsystem and the issuer has some taxation power. This approach has novel featureswith respect to the straightforward application of the fiscal theory of the price level toa two-currency economy: only one of the two monetary authorities can issue securitiesthat have a solely pecuniary return.7 In general, currencies that are not the liabilitiesof some agent, like cryptocurrencies, can hardly have a determined exchange rate.The latter is therefore subject to non-fundamental sunspot shocks.This paper is related to the recent literature prompted by the increasing number

6It creates indeterminacy of the equilibrium path of government money supply with no conse-quence for the equilibrium path of consumption except but at time zero.

7The fiscal theory of the price level, instead, requires that the government issue at least somesecurities with only pecuniary value.

2

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of cryptocurrencies, which has revived interest in multiple-currency monetary mod-els. Fernandez-Villaverde and Sanches (2018) evaluate the role of competing privatecurrencies whose supply is determined by profit maximization.8 Their results differsubstantially from mine. They find that an appropriately defined price stability equi-librium can arise under certain restrictions on the cost function for private moneyproduction. But, when the marginal cost goes to zero, price stability cannot be anequilibrium.Motivated by these results, they argue in favour of Milton Friedman’s view that

a purely private system of fiduciary currencies would inevitably lead to price insta-bility (Friedman, 1960). Further they find that competition does not achieve theeffi cient allocation and is socially wasteful. If anything, my currency competitionmodel is reminiscent of Hayek’s view that unfettered competition in the currencymarket is beneficial for society (Hayek, 1976) insofar as I find that the effi cient al-location can be reached when the fixed cost of entry goes to zero.9 Further, unlikeFernandez-Villaverde and Sanches (2018), I find no equilibrium multiplicity or anyhyperinflationary equilibria.The difference might depend on their assumption of a fixed number of issuers

without no new entry whereas I allow for entry at a fixed cost. We share the resultthat a competing currency can restrict the set of possible equilibria. But even in thiscase the results differ considerably. In their model, there cannot be an equilibrium inwhich the real interest rate equals the rate of time preference unless private moneyis driven out of the market, whereas in mine the real interest rate is always tied, inequilibrium, to the rate of time preference. The restrictions that I find are on nominalvariables —interest rate and prices.Schilling and Uhlig (2018) also analyze coexistence and competition between tra-

ditional fiat money and cryptocurrencies. But, they are more concerned with thedetermination of the price of cryptocurrencies, deriving interesting bounds and asset-price relationships. On policy, they assume that the government has always fullcontrol of the inflation rate. With respect to monetary policy, they emphasize theconnection between the indeterminacy of the cryptocurrency, prices and governmentmoney supply. This result emerges also in my two-currency model but not in themultiple-currency profit-maximizing framework. Garratt and Wallace (2017) too areinterested in the determinacy of the exchange rate between currencies and revisit theindeterminacy result of Kareken and Wallace (1981). In my analysis, exchange-rateindeterminacy, if present, is not particularly relevant to the way in which competing

8Klein (1974) is an early example of a model of currency competition with profit-maximizingsuppliers.

9Marimon et al. (2012) also find that currency competition can achieve effi ciency. However, theydo not model entry, so in their framework each profit-maximizing issuer would set its price level toinfinite to wipe out its existing stock of liabilities. Kovbasyuk (2018), instead, finds that privatecurrency (tokens) can tend to inflate prices and harm agents who hold fiat currency.

3

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currencies affect the findings of traditional monetary policy analysis. I also suggestways to overcome the indeterminacy problem in a centralized system of private cur-rency creation.10

Woodford (1995) is the benchmark reference for the analysis of price determinationthrough interest-rate targeting and fiscal rules in a single-currency economy. He alsostudies a “free banking” regime in which deposits, in units of the single currency,compete with government money in providing liquidity services. In this case, he alsofinds that the nominal interest rate and the inflation rate are determined by structuralfactors. However, he does not analyze multiple-currency models.The paper is structured as follows. Section 1 presents the two-currency model and

solves for the equilibrium, and Section 2 analyzes this equilibrium. Section 3 discusseswhat a competing currency implies for standard monetary policy analysis. Section 4extends the model to multiple currencies with competition among profit-maximizingissuers and assesses the implications. Section 5, going back to the two-currency model,shows how it is possible to solve the problem of indeterminacy of the private-currencyexchange rate. Section 6 concludes.

1 The model

We consider a two-currency economy, one issued by the government and one privately.The model follows the lines of Lucas and Stokey (1987) and Benigno and Robatto(2018) in which there are two goods: a “cash”good and a “credit”good. The “cash”good can only be purchased by money.Consumers have preferences of the following form:

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0 {lnCt +Xt} , (1)

where β is the intertemporal discount factor with 0 < β < 1; C is the “cash”and Xthe “credit”good. C can be purchased for money

Ct ≤Mt−1

Pt+M∗t−1

P ∗t(2)

in whichMt is the government-issued andM∗t the privately issued money. Money can

be material (coins or banknotes) or digital, and in either form it carries no interestpayment; Pt is the price of the consumption good in terms of the government currency,P ∗t is the price in the private currency.

10In one-currency models, Sargent and Wallace (1982) and Smith (1988) have studied the coex-istence, and competition, between government money and private assets and the need to separatethe credit and money markets to avoid fluctuations in the price level unrelated to fundamentals.

4

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The cash constraint (2) assumes that the two types of cash are perfect substitutesfor the purchase of the consumption good C. This assumption simplifies the analysisat little cost in generality. At least, it enables the model to challenge the results thatderive from the single-currency framework to a greater extent.11

In the credit market the consumption good Xt is subject to the budget constraint

BtPt(1 + it)

+Mt

Pt+M∗t

P ∗t+Xt ≤

Bt−1

Pt+

(Mt−1

Pt+M∗t−1

P ∗t− Ct

)+ Y +

TtPt

+T ∗tP ∗t, (3)

in which B is a risk-free interest-bearing security in units of the government currency;Y is the constant endowment of the two consumption goods; Tt are governmenttransfers in units of government currency and T ∗t are the private issuer’s transfers inunits of its currency.In writing the budget constraint (3), we make two important assumptions: first,

interest-bearing securities provide no liquidity services; second, they are only de-nominated in the government currency. The significance of the latter assumption isdiscussed later. Bt can be positive, in which case it is an asset for the household, ornegative, in which case it is debt. I allow the private sector to borrow by issuing debtdenominated in government currency but not in the privately-issued currency. Andthis debt, when issued, is paid back with certainty, being subject to an appropriateborrowing limit.Before addressing this limit, note that the impossibility of arbitrage has two impli-

cations for an equilibrium in which both currencies compete as a medium of exchange.First, it requires that

Pt+1

Pt=P ∗t+1

Pt(4)

for each t ≥ t0 and therefore that the exchange rate St —the price of the privately-issued currency in government currency (i.e. St ≡ Pt/P

∗t ) —is constant over time at

a value S, which has to be determined. The equivalence of money returns shown in(4) follows from the assumption of perfect substitutability between the two moneysin the cash constraint.12

The second implication of the absence of arbitrage is that the nominal interestrate in government currency is non-negative, it ≥ 0. If it were negative, householdscould make infinite profits by borrowing at negative interest rates and investing theproceed in cash.Given these two results, the flow budget constraint (3) can be written as

Wt

(1 + it)Pt+ Ct +Xt +

it1 + it

Mt

Pt+

it1 + it

SM∗t

Pt≤ Wt−1

Pt+ Y +

TtPt

+ST ∗tPt

,

11Schilling and Uhlig (2018) also assume perfect substitutability between the two moneys.12Condition (4) and its implications hold when both currencies are used as a medium of exchange.

Later, I will discuss equilibria arising when (4) does not hold.

5

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in which nominal wealth is defined in units of government currency, as

Wt ≡ Bt +Mt + SM∗t .

The natural borrowing limit is then written as

Wt−1

Pt≥ −

∞∑T=t

Qt,T

(Y +

TTPT

+ST ∗TPT

)> −∞ (5)

for each t ≥ t0 given an appropriate discount factor Qt,T with Qt,t ≡ 1 and

Qt,T =PTPt

T∏j=1

1

1 + it+j,

for T > t.The natural borrowing limit (5) is the maximum amount of net debt that the

consumer can carry in a certain period of time and repay with certainty, i.e. withcurrent and future net income and assuming that future consumption and asset hold-ings are going to be equal to zero. The finite borrowing limit is a requirement forconsumption to be bounded in the optimization problem. This assumption can beequivalently written as

∞∑t=t0

Qt0,t

(TtPt

)<∞

∞∑t=t0

Qt0,t

(ST ∗tPt

)<∞.

For a bounded consumption plan to exist, the following two infinite sums musthave a finite value

∞∑t=t0

Qt0,t

(it

1 + it

M gt

Pt

)<∞

∞∑t=t0

Qt0,t

(it

1 + it

SM∗pt

Pt

)<∞.

We now turn to the optimality conditions. The first-order condition with respectto the consumption of the cash good is

Ct =1

1 + λt(6)

for each t ≥ t0 in which λt ≥ 0 is the Lagrange multiplier associated with the cashconstraint (2). The optimality condition with respect to holdings of the interest-bearing security Bt is

1 + it =1

β

Pt+1

Pt(7)

6

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at each time t ≥ t0 while those with respect to Mt and M∗t are:

1 + λt+1 =1

β

Pt+1

Pt(8)

at each time t ≥ t0. Combining (7) and (8), it follows that λt+1 = it for each t ≥ t0+1.Finally, the intertemporal budget constraint holds with equality,

Wt0−1

Pt0+

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0(Y +

TtPt

+ST ∗tPt

)=

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0(Ct +Xt +

it1 + it

Mt

Pt+

it1 + it

SM∗t

Pt

).

(9)Let us now specify the budget constraint of the two currency issuers. The govern-ment’s monetary authority is subject to the following budget constraint

M gt +

Bgt

1 + it= Tt +M g

t−1 +Bgt−1

where M gt is the supply of cash, and B

gt is the debt issued by the government, if

positive, or the assets held, if negative.The private issuer is instead subject to the following constraint

M∗pt = T ∗t +M∗p

t−1,

which can be interpreted either as the budget constraint of an agent issuing money ina centralized system or simply as an identity regulating how private money is createdin a decentralized system. The latter interpretation is akin to the way in which somecryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoins, are created nowadays.

2 Equilibrium

Equilibrium in the goods market implies that the sum of the consumption of the twogoods is equal to the constant endowment

Ct +Xt = Y.

Equilibrium in the market for the interest-bearing security in government currencyrequires that

Bt = Bgt ,

while equilibrium in the cash market for the two currencies implies that supply anddemand equalize for each currency

Mt = M gt ,

7

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M∗t = M∗p

t .

We can now summarize the set of equilibrium conditions concisely.The first equation to consider is the Euler equation (7) derived from household

optimality condition with respect to the interest-bearing security B :

1 + it =1

β

Pt+1

Pt(10)

which holds for each t ≥ t0. The Euler equation links the nominal interest rate to thereal rate and the future gross inflation rate.The second equilibrium condition is the consumer’s intertemporal budget con-

straint (9) which, using equilibrium in the good and asset markets, can be writtenas

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1 + SM∗t0−1

Pt0+

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0(TtPt

+ST ∗tPt

)=

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0[

it1 + it

(M gt

Pt+SM∗p

t

Pt

)].

(11)The mirror image of this constraint is an aggregate intertemporal budget constraintconsolidating both currency issuers. In (11), the initial value of the real liabilities ofboth agents plus the present discounted value of real transfers should be equal to theseigniorage revenues accruing to both suppliers from issuance of non-interest bearingliabilities that have non-pecuniary benefits for the consumer.In equilibrium, for a bounded consumption path to exist, it should be the case

that all infinite sums have a finite value, i.e.

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0TtPt

< ∞∞∑t=t0

βt−t0ST ∗tPt

<∞, (12)

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0it

1 + it

M gt

Pt< ∞

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0it

1 + it

SM∗pt

Pt<∞. (13)

Although there is an aggregate intertemporal budget constraint that pools thetwo issuers together, each has a different flow budget constraint on policy decisions.The following constraint applies to the government

M gt +

Bgt

1 + it= Tt +M g

t−1 +Bgt−1 (14)

given initial conditions M gt0−1 and B

gt0−1.

Private issuance of currency instead follows the law of motion

M∗pt = T ∗t +M∗p

t−1, (15)

8

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given an initial condition M∗pt0−1.

From the optimality condition of the household, consumption of good C is in-versely related to the nominal interest rate

Ct =1

1 + it−1

, (16)

for each t ≥ t0 + 1, and

Ct0 =1

1 + λt0at time t0. The cash-in-advance constraint implies that

M gt−1

Pt+ S

M∗pt−1

Pt≥ Ct (17)

for each t ≥ t0 with equality whenever it−1 > 0, but for each t > t0.To close the set of equilibrium conditions, I must specify the monetary policy

regime.13 There are three degrees of freedom according to which one can set monetarypolicy for the two issuers. I assume that the government authority eventually sets thepath {it, Tt}∞t=t0 as a function of other variables. In the flow budget constraint (14),this means that given initial conditions M g

t0−1 and Bgt0−1, the government is setting

the size of the balance sheetM gt +Bg

t /(1+it) and leaving the private sector to allocateits wealth optimally between the two government securities. I assume that the privateissuer sets the transfer {T ∗t }∞t=t0 which, given the initial condition on M

∗pt0−1, directly

implies the path of its money supply according to (15). This specification is perfectlyin line with how such cryptocurrencies, as Bitcoins, are now being issued, namely bya proof-of-work system that determines the new units to be emitted at each point intime.

Definition 1 An equilibrium with two competing currencies is a set of sequences{Ct, Pt, it,M g

t ,M∗pt , B

gt , Tt, T

∗t }∞t=t0 with Ct, Pt, it ≥ 0 and M g

t ,M∗pt > 0 at each time

t ≥ t0 and a positive S and non-negative λt0 that are consistent with the monetary-policy regime and that satisfy (10), (14), (15), (17) (with equality whenever it−1 > 0)for each t ≥ t0 and (16) for each t ≥ t0 + 1 together with the intertemporal budgetconstraint (11), the bounds (12), (13) and the constraint Ct0 = (1 + µt0)−1, giveninitial conditions M g

t0−1, Bgt0−1,M

∗pt0−1.

Analysis will be restricted to a certain class of policy rules.

Definition 2 Assume the following specification of the monetary policy regime. Thegovernment sets a constant interest rate policy it = i at each t ≥ t0 and the followingtransfer policy

TtPt

=i

1 + i

M gt

Pt− (1− β)τ (18)

13Analysis of all possible regimes is beyond the scope of this work.

9

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for each t ≥ t0 and for some τ different from zero. The private currency issuer setsT ∗t = µM∗p

t−1 at each t ≥ t0 with µ > −1, to achieve a constant growth rate, 1 + µ, ofits money supply.

Let us focus on the implications of such a monetary policy regime. First, by theFisher equation (10), the constant-interest-rate policy implies that inflation too isconstant

Pt+1

Pt= β(1 + i). (19)

The inflation rate is positive whenever (1 + i) > β−1, negative when (1 + i) < β−1.A price stability policy is in place when the nominal interest rate is set equal to theinverse of the consumer’s rate of time preference, i.e. (1 + i) = β−1.The government also sets a transfer policy in which it rebates its entire seigniorage

revenue to the consumers —the first element on the right-hand side of (18) —minus aconstant proportional to a non-zero value τ . In the terminology of the literature onprice-level determination, the transfer rule (18) is an “active”transfer policy.Finally, it is assumed that the private issuer sets a constant growth rate of supply;

growth can also be negative, where the issuer is able to destroy money by someelectronic algorithm.The assumptions on the monetary policy regime carry important implications for

the conditions of possible equilibrium. Assuming i > 0, the cash constraint (17) holdswith equality. After plugging in the private issuer’s supply rule and Ct = 1/(1 + i),we obtain

M gt

Pt+1

+ S(1 + µ)t+1−t0M∗p

t0−1

Pt+1

=1

1 + i

into which one can substitute (19) to obtain

M gt

Pt+1

+ S

(1 + µ

β(1 + i)

)t+1−t0M∗pt0−1

Pt0=

1

1 + i.

From this it follows that for an equilibrium with two currencies as medium of exchangeto exist it must be the case that 1 + µ ≤ β(1 + i) : otherwise the government moneysupply will be negative within some finite period of time, which is not feasible.Note, however, that when i = 0, then the cash constraint (17) holds with inequality

so it is possible for real money balances to grow without bound.Moreover, under the monetary policy regime defined above, we explicitly write

the following summations

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0(ST ∗tPt

)=

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0(SµM∗p

t−1

Pt

)= µ

SM∗pt0−1

Pt0

∞∑t=t0

(1 + µ

1 + i

)t−t0(20)

10

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∞∑t=t0

βt−t0it

1 + it

(SM∗

t

Pt

)=i(1 + µ)

1 + i

SM∗pt0−1

Pt0

∞∑t=t0

(1 + µ

1 + i

)t−t0(21)

where in (20) the transfer rule of the private issuer is substituted into the first equalityand the equilibrium condition (19) into the second equality. Similarly in (21). Thefirst sum is finite whenever µ < i for any i ≥ 0, while (21) requires that µ < i onlywhen i > 0.The results of the above discussion are grouped in the following Lemma.

Lemma 3 Given the monetary policy regime specified in Definition 2, a necessarycondition for an equilibrium with competing currencies to exist is: i) 1 +µ ≤ β(1 + i)when i > 0 and ii) µ < 0 when i = 0.

We now characterize the properties of the equilibrium and discuss whether giventhe above specification of the policy regime the price level and the exchange rate canbe determined.

3 Characterization of equilibria

Before analyzing the consequences of a multiple-currency environment, let me firstoutline the results of the benchmark one-currency model. Assume that there is onlythe government currency and that the government sets the same policies as in De-finition 2: constant nominal interest rate and appropriate real transfers. First, bysetting the nominal interest rate at a target i it can also set the gross inflation rate,Π, to any desired constant number given by Π = β(1 + i), which is a function of theinterest rate chosen. Second, the initial price level and the entire price path are fullydetermined by the fiscal policy rule (18). The central bank thus has full control of theprice level and its rise. Note that in order to determine the price level it is critical forthe government to issue some liabilities with only pecuniary return, such as securityB.14 Moreover, given interest-rate targeting, the money supply path is endogenouslydetermined by the cash-in-advance constraint (2).The presence of a competing currency alters these conclusions substantially. This

Section is divided into three parts. The first characterizes the equilibrium outlined inthe previous Section in which the two currencies compete as medium of exchange; thesecond examines equilibria in which only one of the two currencies serves as medium ofexchange; and the third summarizes the results in order to draw policy implications.

14Benigno (2017) discusses price determination when the net asset position of the government ispositive.

11

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3.1 Equilibrium with competing currencies

In a world of competing currencies, Lemma 3 states the first result. If the centralbank sets a positive nominal interest rate, then, in order for the two currencies tocoexist, the rate of growth in private money should be bounded by 1 + µ ≤ β(1 + i).An alternative intuition for this upper bound uses the Fisher equation (10) to obtain1 + µ ≤ Π. Thus, given the inflation rate set by the government, the growth rateof private currency should be capped by that number. Note that in equilibrium theinflation rates in the two currencies are the same, Π = Π∗, because of (4), so there isnot necessarily any linkage between the growth and inflation rates of private money.If, instead, the government has a zero interest rate policy, i = 0, with a deflationrate of Π = β, then for an equilibrium with competing currencies to exist the grossgrowth rate of private currency can also be higher than Π but must in any case belower than 1, i.e. µ < 0. In this equilibrium Π = Π∗ always, Π∗ being the privatecurrency inflation rate.We now investigate whether a competing currency can create problems for the

determination of the price level. The following Proposition summarizes these results.

Proposition 4 Given the monetary policy regime of Definition 2, an equilibriumwith competing currencies exists if and only if: (i) the government sets a positiveinterest rate and (1 + µ) ≤ β(1 + i); or (ii) the government sets i = 0 and µ < 0. Ineither case, the path of the price level in government currency is determined, but theexchange rate S and consumption at time t0 are not.

Proof. See Appendix A.1.Lemma 3 and Proposition 4 carry two interesting implications. First, the second

currency causes no problem for the determinacy of the price level. The potentialproblem would be the absence of a single intertemporal budget constraint for eachcurrency supplier. But given that i > µ in any equilibrium, an intertemporal budgetconstraint does not hold for the supplier(s) of private currency. To see this, note thatgiven i > µ it follows that

limT→∞

βT−t0SM∗p

T

PT+1

=SM∗p

t0−1

βPt0

(1 + µ

1 + i

)T+1−t0= 0

which, together with the flow budget constraint (15), implies an intertemporal bud-get constraint for the private currency issuers (see the Appendix for details). This,together with the aggregate intertemporal budget constraint (11), implies that theconstraint holds for the government in exactly the same form as in the benchmarkcase of a single currency. Applying the real transfer policy (18), we get price deter-mination.The second result, where multiple equilibria arise, is the indeterminacy of the

exchange rate, as in Kareken and Wallace (1981) and recently restated by Garratt

12

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and Wallace (2017) and Schilling and Uhlig (2018). In my model, this results in theindeterminacy of consumption at time t0 and of the equilibrium path of governmentmoney supply starting in period t0 + 1.15

To see the first result, consider the cash constraint at time t0

Mt0−1

Pt0+SM∗

t0−1

Pt0≥ Ct0

and note that since Pt0 is determined and Mt0−1, M∗t0−1 are given, variations in S

translate into variations in Ct0 unless consumption is at the effi cient level. To see thesecond result, consider the cash constraint (17) when i > 0 and use (16) and (19) toobtain

M gt

Pt+ S

M∗pt

Pt= β

for each t ≥ t0. Since Pt is determined and M∗Pt is also given by the process of

private money creation, the indeterminacy of the exchange rate S translates directlyinto indeterminacy of the path of government money supply. By contrast, prices ingovernment currency are completely insulated from the indeterminacy of the exchangerate.

3.2 Equilibria with a single currency as medium of exchange

So far we have characterized equilibria in which multiple currencies coexist. For thisto happen, the return on the two moneys should be the same, which is condition (4).But when (4) is violated in either direction, there can be equilibria in which agentshold only one of the two currencies.In what follows, we maintain the monetary policy regime of Definition 2. The first

equilibrium discussed here is one in which government money is the only medium ofexchange. This outcome does not depend on the value of µ. To intuit this, assumethat consumers believe the return on private money is lower than that on governmentmoney, i.e. P ∗t+1/P

∗t > Pt+1/Pt. In this case no one will rationally hold any private

money. The value of private money in terms of goods is going to be zero —its priceinfinite—validating the consumer’s initial belief.The reverse result —that there is always an equilibrium without government money

—does not hold. There are two reasons for this. First, is the trade in interest-bearingsecurities issued in government currency. Second, is the government policy of interest-rate peg and real transfer. Setting the nominal interest rate fixes the inflation rateas well, while the real transfer policy pins down the price level. In this way, the valueof government money is never zero.

15The path of consumption from period t0 + 1 on, instead, is fully determined by the path ofnominal interest rates set by the government.

13

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Nonetheless, there can be equilibria in which only private money is used as mediumof exchange. For this to be so the return on private money must be higher than thaton government currency, i.e. P ∗t+1/P

∗t < Pt+1/Pt. In this equilibrium, the “cash”

constraint simplifies to:M∗pt−1

P ∗t≥ Ct =

1

1 + λt,

for each t ≥ t0 given that only private money is used to purchase consumption goodC, where the equality follows from (6) and λt is the Lagrange multiplier attached tothe “cash”constraint, with λt ≥ 0. The optimality condition with respect to privatemoney holdings is

1

P ∗t= β(1 + λt+1)

1

P ∗t+1

for each t ≥ t0. Combining the two foregoing conditions to eliminate the Lagrangemultiplier, we get

M∗pt−1

P ∗t≥ β

1 + µ

for each t ≥ t0. The above holds with equality whenever λt > 0, in which case itdetermines the price level in units of private money and its growth rate at P ∗t+1/P

∗t =

Π∗ = 1 + µ. Since Π > Π∗ and Π = β(1 + i), for this equilibrium to exist it shouldbe that β(1 + i) > 1 + µ.The two moneys coexist and prices are determined in both, but the private cur-

rency appreciates over time at the rate Π∗/Π.16 For this reason, only private moneyis used as a medium of exchange. Government money still maintains a role in theeconomy for two reasons: it is the unit of account for taxes and the denominationof government debt, which private agents are willing to hold. This equilibrium isfragile. Government money is losing value with respect to private money, and agentscould decide to replace it with the latter either in credit markets or in tax paymentsunless some form of legal constriction is in place. The economy could become en-tirely dominated by the cryptocurrency, and the government currency could becomeworthless.

3.3 Summing up

We can now summarize the results in the following Proposition and comment on thepolicy implications.

16To see that prices are determined in government currency, note that real money balances inprivate currency are bounded, so an intertemporal budget constraint holds for the government.Therefore the price level P is determined using the transfer rule (18).

14

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Proposition 5 Given the monetary policy regime of Definition 2: 1) there is alwaysan equilibrium in which private currency is worthless and government currency is themedium of exchange, in which case Π < Π∗; 2) if β(1 + i) = 1 + µ, in which caseΠ = Π∗, then there is only one additional equilibrium with both currencies competingas medium of exchange; 3) if either i > 0 and β(1+ i) > 1+µ, in which case Π > Π∗,or i = 0 and µ < 0, in which case Π = Π∗, there are two additional equilibria,one with both currencies competing and one with only private money as medium ofexchange.

Some important conclusions can be drawn from Proposition 5 and the foregoingdiscussion. As in the benchmark one-currency model, the government has full controlof the interest rate and inflation, since it has taxation power and there exists a marketin interest-bearing securities denominated in government currency. These privilegesare not shared by the private currency, so that if consumers believe it to be worthless,it becomes such.Despite these advantages, the presence of an alternative currency can limit the

properties of government money, in particular the function of medium of exchange.In this respect, an important lesson of Proposition 5 is that the best money —the onewith higher return or lower inflation —prevails as medium of exchange, following theprinciple set out, among others by Hayek (1974).It is worth repeating that government money can get into unknown and dangerous

territories if the return on it is less than on other currencies and can therefore loseall medium-of-exchange function. It could eventually lose its other properties as welland become worthless, unless it is bolstered by legal restrictions.Another way to see the results of Proposition 5 is to ask how government should

set policy so as to absolutely preclude equilibria in which private currency is used.The government could fix the interest rate in the range 0 < i < (µ/β − 1), keepinginflation in the interval β < Π < (1+µ). Interest rates and inflation are then boundedabove by the growth rate of private money. To intuit these bounds, one should observethat in this model currency competition acts in the direction of facilitating certaintransactions. To compete and exclude other currencies, the government should offer abetter money, one with higher return and lower inflation. In line with Hayek (1974),currency competition can improve the welfare of consumers if the growth rate ofprivate money is suffi ciently low and the competing money correspondingly good.However, government objectives for monetary policy are generally broader than

just merely liquidity premia in money markets. Central banks also seek to moderatethe fluctuations of the economy. Along these lines, the literature offers justificationsfor a positive inflation rate, such as the need to avoid the zero lower bound on nominalinterest rates or to “grease the wheels”of the economy in the presence of downward

15

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nominal wage rigidity.17 Taking these considerations into account in the simple modelof this paper would imply that the bound on inflation can be too stringent for theattainment of other objectives, whenever the growth rate of private money is low.The desired or optimal inflation target could be high enough to enter the regionof multiple equilibria where government money might lose its medium of exchangefunction and be at survival risk.The conclusion of this simple model —that a competing currency can limit the

action of monetary policy —is further reinforced in the next section, which analyzescompetition by profit-maximizing private issuers.

4 Multiple-currency competition

Now let us extend the above framework to a multiple-currency environment. Eachcurrency issuer operates in a centralized system and chooses its money supply tomaximize profit. Entry into the market is subject to a fixed cost, and the number ofissuers is endogenously determined by the zero-rent condition. Government currencyis supplied as in the benchmark model, with a monetary policy of a constant nominalinterest rate and an appropriate real transfer policy.A concise summary of the results is that nominal interest rate and inflation rate are

now both determined by structural factors. The price level and real money balancesin each currency are also determined.Assume that at time t0 − 1 there is only government money; therefore at t0 the

cash-in-advance constraint is:

Ct0 ≤Mt0−1

Pt0.

Starting from time t0 other issuers can enter and the liquidity constraint generalizesto

Ct ≤Mt−1

Pt+

t−1∑t̄=t0

Mt̄,t−1

Pt̄,t

for each t ≥ t0 + 1, in which Mt̄,t−1 is the aggregate money supply chosen for periodt − 1 by the issuers that entered the market in period t̄, with t0 ≤ t̄ ≤ t − 1; Pt̄,t isthe price of goods in terms of the currency of these issuers. The aggregate balancesMt̄,t−1 also include the money issued at t − 1 by issuers that are still in the market,i.e. Mt̄,t−1 =

∫j∈Nt̄,t−1

Mt̄,t−1(j)dj where the mass of issuers remaining in the market

is given by Nt̄,t−1 = (1− δ)t−1−t̄Nt̄,t̄ in which Nt̄,t̄ is the mass entering at time t̄.Entering at time t̄, a generic issuer j pays a fixed cost Φ > 0 and commits to the

sequence {Mt̄,t(j)}∞t=t̄ so as to maximize its liquidity rent (specified below) subject to17On the first justification, see Eggertsson and Woodford (2003); on the second, among others,

Benigno and Ricci (2011) and Dupraz et al. (2018).

16

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an exit rate of δ > 0. In the case of exit at time t + 1, the money holdings Mt̄,t(j)chosen for period t still provide liquidity services in period t + 1 and only becomeuseless at the end of the period. Therefore, the first-order condition with respect toMt̄,t(j) is

1

Pt̄,t= β(1− δ + λt+1)

1

Pt̄,t+1

, (22)

since the currency has unitary payoff with probability 1 − δ and zero otherwise andalways provides liquidity services, receiving the premium λt+1. The above conditionholds for any t ≥ t̄.Given that first-order condition (8) still applies, comparing it with (22), we get

thatPt̄,t+1

Pt̄,t=Pt+1

Pt− βδ (23)

which implies that the returns on the two moneys are equalized when the exogenousexit rate is taken into account. Given the latter, the number of private currencies Jtfollows the law of motion Jt = Nt,t + (1− δ)Jt−1 with initial condition Jt0−1 = 0.Each issuer is subject to the flow budget constraint

Mt̄,t−1(j) + Tt̄,t(j) = Mt̄,t(j),

starting from its entry at time t̄ with Mt̄,t̄−1(j)= 0. Real profits at time t are givenby the liquidity premium λt+1 in period t+ 1 multiplied by the real money balances,i.e. λt+1Mt̄,t(j)/Pt̄,t+1 discounted by the rate of time preference β. It is essential toobserve that the liquidity premium is a function of the money supply chosen by thesingle issuer j. In fact when λt > 0

Ct =1

1 + λt=Mt−1

Pt+

t−1∑t̄=t0

Mt̄,t−1

Pt̄,t. (24)

We model a market of monopolistic competition, in which each supplier exerts someinfluence on the liquidity premium, but not much with respect to the overall marketor with respect to the total set of suppliers entering at the same time. The latterassumption implies that the issuer takes prices, and in particular Pt̄,t, as given inits optimization problem. Each supplier maximizes the discounted present value ofreal profits by choosing the sequence {Mt̄,t(j)}∞t=t̄, conditional on its still being in themarket, and therefore it maximizes:

β

∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄λt+1(Mt̄,t(j))Mt̄,t

Pt̄,t+1

(25)

starting from its entry period t̄ where λt+1 shows its dependence on the choiceMt̄,t(j)through (24).In an equilibrium with competing currencies, then, the following results obtain.

17

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Proposition 6 Given a fixed entry cost Φ > 0 and an exogenous exit probability0 < δ < 1, in an equilibrium with currency competition and profit-maximizing issuers:(i) consumption is constant and equal to

Ct = 1− z 12 > 0, (26)

for each t ≥ t0 + 1 with z ≡ (1 − (1 − δ)β)Φ/β (assuming z < 1); (ii) the supply ofreal money balances of each private issuer is constant and equal to

M∗t

P ∗t+1

= z12 − z > 0; (27)

and (iii) the number of private suppliers of currency is given by

Jt = z−12

(1− M g

t

Pt+1

1

1− z− 12

). (28)

Proof. See Appendix A.2.Some interesting implications derive from Proposition 6: (i) the nominal interest

rate and (ii) the inflation rate in each currency are constant and are functions ofstructural parameters.18 To see the first result, combine the constant consumptionlevel of equation (26) with the equilibrium condition Ct = 1/(1 + it−1) at each timet ≥ t0 + 1. It follows that the nominal interest rate is constant and determined bythe entry cost Φ, the exogenous exit rate δ and the intertemporal discount factor βthrough the parameter z

1 + it =1

1− z 12

, (29)

for each t ≥ t0. One implication of currency competition is therefore that the gov-ernment loses control of the nominal interest rate.19 Moreover, to see that structuralfactors also determine the inflation rate in each currency, combine (29) with the Eulerequation (10) to obtain

Pt+1

Pt=

β

1− z 12

P ∗t+1

P ∗t=

β

1− z 12

− δβ, (30)

where the second equality follows from (23).We collect these results in the following Corollary.

18With appropriate qualifications a similar result could arise in a model of competition amongsecurities all denominated in the same currency, see Woodford (1995).19The real interest rate, however, is always tied to the rate of time preference. This is different

from the finding of Fernandez-Villaverde and Sanchez (2018), namely that there is no equilibriumin which the real interest rate is equal to the rate of time preference.

18

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Corollary 7 Given a fixed entry cost Φ > 0 and an exogenous exit probability 0 <δ < 1, in an equilibrium with currency competition and profit-maximizing issuers:(i) the nominal interest rate and (ii) the inflation rates are determined by structuralfactors:

1 + it =1

1− z 12

,

Pt+1

Pt=

β

1− z 12

P ∗t+1

P ∗t=

β

1− z 12

− δβ.

Note that in the special case of zero entry cost there are an infinite number ofissuers and the competition drives liquidity premia to zero. The effi cient allocationis attained.20 Therefore the nominal interest rate is at the zero lower bound, whichis equivalent to have full satiation of liquidity. Prices in government currency fallat rate β and all other prices — in private currencies — at β(1 − δ). These resultsare perfectly in line with Hayek (1974), who advocated private money creation wayto achieve effi ciency in the liquidity provision. The loss of control over the nominalinterest rate and inflation too is consistent with his position that government shouldnot have monopoly power to manipulate interest rates and prices. Rather, unfetteredcompetition can work to keep inflation under control.An important further result of Proposition 6 is that equilibrium real money bal-

ances for each of private currency are uniquely determined and constant.21 They arenot affected by exchange rate indeterminacy, which was instead pervasive in the two-currency model (Section 1). As a consequence, real money balances for governmentcurrency are also determined again departing from the two-currency model.The key remaining question is whether there is some indeterminacy of the price

level, in government currency, now that interest and inflation rates are determined byexogenous factors. The answer is no, the argument follows the foregoing discussionwith some caveats. For one thing, we need to appropriately redefine the monetaryregime.

Definition 8 Assume the following specification of the monetary policy regime. Thegovernment sets the sequence of money supply {M g

t }∞t=t0 and the following transferpolicy

TtPt

=it

1 + it

M gt

Pt− (1− β)τ (31)

for each t ≥ t0 and for some τ different from zero.

20Fernandez-Villaverde and Sanchez (2018) instead find that private money creation can be sociallywasteful.21This is again in contrast with Fernandez-Villaverde and Sanches (2018), who find multiple

equilibria, including hyperinflationary equilibria with real money balances that converge to zero.

19

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With respect to the benchmark monetary policy regime (Definition 2), here theinterest-rate policy is replaced by a money supply policy.

Proposition 9 Given the monetary policy regime of Definition 8 and the results ofProposition 6, in an equilibrium under currency competition the path of the price levelin government currency is determined as is consumption at time t0.

Proof. See Appendix A.3.This result contradicts Friedman (1960), who held that purely private fiduciary

currencies would inevitably produce price instability. Fernandez-Villaverde and Sanchez(2017) reach a similar conclusion: “in a monetary system with competitive issuers thesupply of each brand becomes unbounded when the marginal cost goes to zero...Privateentrepreneurs always have an incentive to mint just a little bit more of the currency.”In my model, what eliminates this is the possibility of entry into the market, whichdrives all rents to zero. Moreover, an appropriate real transfer policy fully determinesthe path of prices.To this point the equilibrium characterized is one in which multiple currencies

coexist as medium of exchange, with striking results on what government policy isleft to do. However, along the lines of the discussion in Section 3.3, in theory thegovernment could set a higher interest rate and so achieve higher inflation, but in thiscase government money will not serve as medium of exchange. Or else, the governmentcould crowd private money out by setting the interest rate lower than (29). However,this interest rate could be very low where entry barriers are negligible, i.e. Φ close tozero. In line with our previous conclusions, then, a market of competitive currencysuppliers can place significant limits on monetary policy action.

5 Determinacy of the exchange rate

Let us return to the two-currency model to see whether it is possible to solve theproblem of indeterminacy of the exchange rate of the cryptocurrency. I have alreadyobserved that this is not the main reason for monetary policymakers to be concernedover the existence of other currencies.We need to explore alternative monetary regimes for private issuance to address

the indeterminacy problem. A characteristic of some cryptocurrencies is that they arenot the liability of any single agent (decentralization), while government currency isthe liability of the central bank (centralization). The rule of constant money-supplygrowth for private currency (Definition 2) can describe the behavior of a decentralizedas well as of a centralized system. On the other hand, transfer policy (18) can be morenaturally instituted by an agent that has full control of its balance sheet and that canback the value of its liability by a real transfer/tax policy. To obtain determinacy,a one possibility is to posit that the private currency is issued by an agent in a

20

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centralized system that at some point can switch to an “active”transfer policy of thesame kind as (18).

Definition 10 Assume the following specification of the monetary policy regime. Thegovernment sets a constant interest rate policy it = i at each t ≥ t0 and the followingtransfer policy

TtPt

=i

1 + i

M gt

Pt− (1− β)τ (32)

for each t ≥ t0 and for some τ different from zero. The private currency issuer setsT ∗t = µM∗p

t−1 for each t0 ≤ t < t̃ with µ > −1, to achieve a constant growth rate,1 + µ, of its money supply and switches to a real transfer policy

T ∗tP ∗t

=i

1 + i

M∗pt

P ∗t− (1− β)τ ∗ (33)

for each t ≥ t̃ and some τ ∗ > 0.

The difference with respect to the monetary policy regime set in Definition 2 is theassumption that the private issuer switches to a real transfer policy at or after time t̃,which may coincide with the initial period t0 or be postponed far into the future. Thischange to the monetary regime is suffi cient for an equilibrium to have determinacy ofall the variables, and in particular the price level (in government currency) and thenominal exchange rate. A necessary condition, in the following Proposition, is thatthe government-set nominal interest rate be positive.

Proposition 11 Given the monetary policy regime of Definition 10, in an equilib-rium with a positive nominal interest rate it = i > 0 for each t ≥ t0, the equilibriumis determinate.

Proof. See Appendix A.4.It is worth highlighting some of the key elements of the proof of Proposition 11.

First is the requirement of a positive interest rate. In this case the liquidity constraint(17) holds with equality, and it follows that in equilibrium real money balances arebounded and therefore limt→∞ β

tM∗pt−1/P

∗t = 0. This condition is suffi cient to sep-

arate the aggregate intertemporal budget constraint into two components, one forthe government and the other for the private issuer. It then follows that given thebacking implied by the regime of Definition 10 through transfer rules (32) and (33),the path of prices in each currency is determined and so is the exchange rate.The proposal of Definition 10 might seem to be a straightforward extension of the

fiscal theory to a two-currency setting, but there is one key difference. While the fiscaltheory applied to a single currency requires that the monetary authority issue at leastsome securities with only pecuniary return, like B, in the two-currency extension only

21

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one currency issuer should supply such securities. Indeed, supposing that the privateissuer of currency also issues interest-bearing securities with only pecuniary return,let’s say B∗p, the fact that limt→∞ β

tM∗pt−1/P

∗t = 0 in any equilibrium with positive

interest rate no longer implies the possibility of defining two separate intertemporalbudget constraints. Consequently prices and the exchange rate cannot be determinedseparately.Instead, the proposal of Definition 10 could be interpreted as a combination of the

fiscal theory approach for the government and the proposal of Obstfeld and Rogoff(1983) for private money, since currency is exchanged for goods (a stream of goods)at a certain point in time. However, in my model, the purpose of this exchange isdifferent. In their case, it serves to rule out multiple equilibria and in particular hy-perinflationary solutions. In mine, explosive equilibria are ruled out and the purposeof exchanging currency for goods is to determine the constant exchange rate betweenthe two currencies.Note, further, that under the monetary regime proposed the path of private money

supply is determined by the private issuer’s policy, while that of the government isendogenously determined by the cash constraint (17).Finally, note that the monetary policy regime of Definition 10, given a positive

nominal interest rate, does not necessarily imply the existence of an equilibrium. Butif an equilibrium does exist under that regime, it features determinate prices andexchange rate.

6 Conclusion

This paper analyzes models of coexistence between government and privately-issuedcurrencies. Competing currencies can limit the ability of the central bank to usethe interest rate as a policy instrument; they can also restrict the attainable equilib-rium inflation rate. In a market with free entry for multiple currencies with profit-maximizing issuers, the central bank completely loses control of the interest rate andthe inflation rate, which both come to be determined by structural factors (rate oftime preference, entry cost, exit rate).I have kept the analysis as simple as possible in order to focus on this important

topic, which has recently received a good deal of attention. In particular, privateand government currencies are assumed to be perfect substitutes, delivering the sameliquidity services. However, an extension to imperfect substitutability does not alterthe results significantly. Most interesting would be to devise a model in which theacceptance or non-acceptance of currencies is endogenous not only for the medium ofexchange function but also for other properties of money —a task I leave to futureresearch. Another interesting avenue would be extension to a multi-country world, asa way of studying competition among international reserve currencies and national

22

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currencies.

23

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References

[1] Benigno, Pierpaolo. 2017. “A Central-Bank Theory of Price Level Determina-tion.”CEPR Discussion Paper No. 11966.

[2] Benigno, Pierpaolo and Luca Ricci. 2011. “The Inflation-Output Trade-OffwithDownward Wage Rigidities.” The American Economic Review 101(4): 1436-1466.

[3] Benigno, Pierpaolo and Roberto Robatto. 2018. “Private Money Creation, Liq-uidity Crises, and Equilibrium Liquidity.”CEPR Discussion Paper No. 13091.

[4] Bank for International Settlements. 2018. Annual Economic Report. Chapter V.Cryptocurrencies: looking beyond the hype. Basel.

[5] Canzoneri, Matthew, Robert Cumby and Behzad Diba. 2001. “Is the Price LevelDetermined by the Needs of Fiscal Solvency?”American Economic Review 91(5):1221-1238.

[6] Calvo, Guillermo and Carlo Vegh. 1996. “From Currency Substitution to Dollar-ization and Beyond: Analytical and Policy Issues.”In Guillermo A. Calvo, ed.,Money, Exchange Rates and Output. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

[7] Cipolla, Carlo Maria. 1956.Money, Prices, and Civilization in the MediterraneanWorld. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.

[8] Cipolla, Carlo Maria. 1982. The Monetary Policy of Fourteenth-Century Flo-rence. University of California Press, Berkeley, CA.

[9] Cipolla, Carlo Maria. 1990. Il governo della moneta a Firenze e a Milano neisecoli XIV—XVI. Il Mulino, Bologna.

[10] Dupraz, Stéphane, Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson. 2018. “A Plucking Modelof Business Cycles.”Unpublished manuscript, University of California at Berke-ley.

[11] Eggertsson, Gauti and Michael Woodford. 2003. “The Zero Bound on InterestRates and Optimal Monetary Policy.”Brookings Papers on Economic Activity2003(1), 139-211.

[12] Einaudi, Luigi. 1936. “Teoria della moneta immaginaria nel tempo da Carlo-magno alla rivoluzione francese.”Rivista di Storia Economica 1, 1—35.

[13] Fernandez-Villaverde, Jesus and Daniel Sanches. (2018). “Can Currency Com-petition Work?”unpublished manuscript, University of Pennsylvania.

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[14] Friedman, Milton. 1960. A Program for Monetary Stability. New York: FordhamUniversity Press.

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[18] Klein, Benjamin. 1974. “The Competitive Supply of Money.”Journal of Money,Credit and Banking, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 423—453.

[19] Kovbasyuk, Sergey. 2018. “Initial Coin Offering and Seigniorage.”Unpublishedmanuscript. EIEF.

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[21] Lucas, Robert and Nancy Stokey. 1987. “Money and Interest in a Cash-in-Advance Economy,”Econometrica, Vol. 55, No. 3, 491-513.

[22] Niepelt, Dirk. 2004. “The Fiscal Mith of the Price Level.”The Quarterly Journalof Economics 119 (1): 277-300.

[23] Marimon, Ramon, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Pedro Teles. 2012. “Money is anExperience Good: Competition and Trust in the Private Provision of Money.”Journal of Monetary Economics 59, 815-825.

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[26] Schilling, Linda and Harald Uhlig. 2018. “Some Simple Bitcoin Economics.”Unpublished manuscript. Chicago University Press.

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[28] Sims, Christopher. 2000. “Fiscal Aspects of Central Bank Independence.”Un-published manuscript, Princeton University.

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[32] Woodford, Michael. 2001. “Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability.”Journal ofMoney, Credit and Banking 33 (1): 669-728.

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A Appendix

A.1 Proof of Proposition 4.

Proof. Consider first the case in which i > 0. Lemma 3 implies that in an equilibrium(1 + i) > β−1(1 + µ). Since 0 < β < 1, then i > µ. When instead i = 0, Lemma 3also implies that i > µ. Therefore in any equilibrium i > µ. Consider the flow budgetconstraint (15) and iterate it forward to obtain

SM∗pt0−1

Pt0+∞∑t=t0

βt−t0ST ∗tPt

=∞∑t=t0

βt−t0it

1 + it

SM∗pt

Pt+ limT→∞

βT−t0SM∗p

T

PT+1

. (1)

Note that we can write

limT→∞

βT−t0SM∗p

T

PT+1

=SM∗p

t0−1

βPt0

(1 + µ

1 + i

)T+1−t0= 0

using in the first equality PT+1 = [(1 + i)β]T+1−t0Pt0 and M∗pT = (1 + µ)T+1−t0M∗p

t0−1.The second equality follows since i > µ in any equilibrium. Moreover, under thisinequality the two sums in (1) are also finite. We can therefore write

SM∗pt0−1

Pt0+∞∑t=t0

βt−t0ST ∗tPt

=i

1 + i

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0SM∗p

t

Pt. (2)

Substituting (2) into (11) we obtain:

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0+∞∑t=t0

βt−t0TtPt

=i

1 + i

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0M gt

Pt. (3)

Plugging in the active monetary policy (18), (3) simplifies to

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0= τ , (4)

which determines the price level Pt0 . Note that in the case Mgt0−1 + Bg

t0−1 > 0, i.e.when government is a net debtor, then it should be that τ > 0. Conversely, whenM gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1 < 0 it should be that τ < 0. Given a constant interest rate policy i, itfollows from (10) that the entire path of prices {Pt}∞t=t0 is determined; further, using(16) the path of consumption starting from period t0 + 1 is also determined.Consider first the case i > 0; this implies

M gt

Pt+ S

M∗pt

Pt= β

27

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for each t ≥ t0 and in particular at time t0 + 1 in which case

M gt0

Pt0+ S

M∗pt0−1(1 + µ)

Pt0= β. (5)

Moreover, substituting (18) into the government budget constraint we get

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1 = (1− β)Pt0τ +M gt0

1 + i+

Bgt0

1 + i. (6)

Since Pt0 is determined in (4), the two restrictions (5) and (6) are insuffi cient todetermine the three variables S, Bg

t0 and Mgt0 . Note also that the liquidity constraint

at time t0 cannot determine the variables of interest. Indeed,

M gt0−1

Pt0+ S

M∗pt0−1

Pt0≥ Ct0 (7)

cannot disentangle S and Ct0 .Consider now the case in which the government sets i = 0 provided µ < 0.

Equation (6) also applies when i = 0, but now (5) is replaced by

M gt0

Pt0+ S

M∗pt0−1(1 + µ)

Pt0> 1

which cannot determine S andM gt0 . Note instead that (7) still applies, so that Ct0 too

is not determined. To see the result of indeterminacy from a different angle, supposeinstead that S is determined, so that (5) determines M g

t0 , (6) determines Bgt0 , and

so forth using the foregoing two equations in the subsequent periods. Further, giveninitial conditions M g

t0−1 and M∗pt0−1, the values of S and Pt0 determine the amount of

initial real money balances. If the left-hand side of (7) is greater than the unitaryvalue, then Ct0 = 1 and λt0 = 0. If it is less, then Ct0 is constrained by this value andλt0 = C−1

t0 − 1.

A.2 Proof of Proposition 6

Proof. Consider the optimization problem of a generic supplier of private currency.Each supplier internalizes that it has some power on the rents given by λt. If liquidityrents are zero, i.e. λt = 0, the supply of currency will be infinitely elastic. But ifλt > 0, rents are inversely related to the overall supply of liquidity, as shown by thefollowing equation

Ct =1

1 + λt=Mt−1

Pt+

t−1∑t̄=t0

Mt̄,t−1

Pt̄,t. (8)

28

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Inserting the above constraint into the objective function (25) and deriving it withrespect to the sequence {Mt̄,t(j)}∞t=t̄ taking prices and others’money supply as given,one gets

Ct+1 (1− Ct+1) =Mt̄,t(j)

Pt̄,t+1

, (9)

for each t ≥ t̄ in which t̄ is the entry time of a generic issuer j of private currency.Therefore, the above equality holds for every t̄ ≥ t0. Since the left-hand side isindependent of j, so too is the right-hand side, and the equilibrium is thereforesymmetric. Defining Mt̄,t(j)/Pt̄,t+1 = M∗

t /P∗t+1 for each j and t̄, we can write (9) as

Ct+1 =

(Mt

Pt+1

+ Jt+1M∗t

P ∗t+1

)= 1−

M∗t

P ∗t+1(Mt

Pt+1+ Jt+1

M∗t

P ∗t+1

) , (10)

which holds for every t ≥ t0 and where Jt+1 is the overall mass of suppliers active attime t+!. Free entry proceeds until there are no rents left in the market, i.e. at eachpoint in time the discounted present value of the profit of each issuer entering themarket is equal to the fixed cost

β∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄λt+1Mt̄,t(j)

Pt̄,t+1

= Φ, (11)

for every t̄ ≥ t0. We can further write (11), using (8) and (9), as

∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄(1− Ct+1)2 =Φ

β. (12)

Since (12) applies at each t̄ ≥ t0, this implies that

Ct = 1− z 12 , (13)

for each t ≥ t0 + 1. Moreover, using (9) and (13), we get

M∗t

P ∗t+1

= z12 − z,

for each t ≥ t0. Combining this with (10) and (13), the number of supplier in themarket, at each point in time, is given by

Jt = z−12

(1− Mt

Pt+1

1

1− z− 12

).

29

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A.3 Proof of Proposition 9

Proof. To determine the price level in government currency, consider first the con-sumer’s flow budget constraint, which in this more general case can be written as

BtPt(1 + it)

+Mt

Pt+ Jt

M∗t

P ∗t+Xt ≤

Bt−1

Pt+

(Mt−1

Pt+ (1− δ)Jt−1

M∗t−1

P ∗t− Ct

)+

+Y +TtPt

+ JtT ∗tP ∗t.

The consumer’s intertemporal budget constraint together with goods market equilib-rium implies the following aggregate resource constraint:

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0+

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0(TtPt

+ JtT ∗tP ∗t

)=

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0[

it1 + it

M gt

Pt+ Jtβ

M∗t

P ∗t+1

λt+1

].

Using the law of motion Jt = (1− δ)Jt−1 +Nt,t, this can be written as

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0+∞∑t=t0

βt−t0TtPt

+∞∑t̄=t0

β t̄−t0Nt̄,t

∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄T ∗tP ∗t

=∞∑t=t0

βt−t0it

1 + it

M gt

Pt+∞∑t̄=t0

β t̄−t0Nt̄,t

∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄βλt+1M∗t

P ∗t+1

. (14)

Consider now the flow budget constraint of a generic private currency issuer, expressedin real terms,

M∗t−1

P ∗t+T ∗tP ∗t

=M∗t

P ∗t= β(1− δ + λt+1)

M∗t−1

P ∗t

in which in order to obtain the second equality we have used (22). The above budgetconstraint can be reiterated forward starting from the entry period t̄ to obtain

∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄T ∗tP ∗t

= β∞∑t=t̄

[(1− δ)β]t−t̄M∗t

P ∗t+1

λt+1 (15)

using the fact that M∗t /P

∗t+1 is bounded in all periods given (27) and therefore

limt→∞(1 − δ)tβtM∗t /P

∗t+1 = 0. Note, further, that the right-hand side is also finite

and equal to Φ given the zero-rent condition. Profit maximization under currencycompetition and free market entry therefore implies that an intertemporal budgetconstraint holds for each private issuer. We can then plug (15) into (14) to obtain

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0+∞∑t=t0

βt−t0TtPt

=

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0[

it1 + it

M gt

Pt

],

30

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which reduces toM gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0= τ ,

having used (31). Therefore the price level at time t0 is determined by the aboveequation. Given the cash constraint Ct0 ≤ M g

t0−1/Pt0 consumption at time t0 isdetermined by Ct0 = min(1,M g

t0−1/Pt0). Given that the interest rate is constant at(29), the path of the price level is determined by Pt+1 = β(1 + i)Pt for each t ≥ t0.Note from Proposition 6 that since the government monetary authority sets {M g

t }∞t=t0and since {Pt}∞t=t0 is determined, it follows that Jt too is determined. Moreover, usingthe flow budget constraint of the government and the real transfer policy (31), weobtain

M gt−1 +Bg

t−1

Pt= (1− β)τ + β

(M gt +Bg

t

Pt+1

),

which determines the sequence {Bgt }∞t=t0 given that all other variables are determined.

A.4 Proof of Proposition 11

Proof. When the nominal interest rate is positive, (17) holds with equality and

M gt−1

Pt+M∗pt−1

P ∗t=

1

1 + i

holds in equilibrium, which implies that the real money balances are non-negative andbounded above at every point in time. Therefore in equilibrium limt→∞ β

tM∗pt−1/P

∗t =

0, which implies limt→∞βt(M g

t−1 +Bgt−1)/Pt given the transversality condition of the

consumer’s problem.22 Using limt→∞βt(M g

t−1 + Bgt−1)/Pt, the flow budget constraint

of the government (14) and Pt+1 = βPt(1 + i), we obtain

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0+∞∑t=t0

βt−t0TtPt

=i

1 + i

∞∑t=t0

βt−t0M gt

Pt,

in which (32) can be used to get

M gt0−1 +Bg

t0−1

Pt0= τ

and to determine the price level Pt0 at time t0. Using Pt+1 = βPt(1 + i) startingfrom t = t0, one can determine the sequence {Pt}∞t=t0 . Using limt→∞ β

tM∗pt−1/P

∗t = 0,

22When i = 0, it is not necessarily the case that limt→∞ βtM∗pt−1/P∗t = 0.

31

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Pt+1 = βPt(1 + i) and (15) starting from period t = t̃, we obtain

M∗pt̃−1

P ∗t̃

+

∞∑t=t̃

βt−t̃T ∗tP ∗t

=i

1 + i

∞∑t=t̃

βt−t̃M∗pt

P ∗t

into which (33) and M∗pt̃−1

= (1 + µ)t̃−t0M∗pt0−1 can be substituted to obtain

(1 + µ)t̃−t0M∗pt0−1

P ∗t̃

= τ ∗, (16)

which determines P ∗t̃. Using (4) the entire sequence {P ∗t }∞t=t0 can be determined, and

therefore also the nominal exchange rate S from S = Pt/P∗t . Using Pt+1 = βPt(1+ i),

(15) for time t ≥ t̃ and (33) we obtain

M∗pt−1

P ∗t= (1− β)τ ∗ + β

M∗pt

P ∗t+1

, (17)

which can determine the path of private money supply from period t̃ onward, whereasin previous periods the path of private money issuance is determined by the transferrule T ∗t = µM∗p

t−1 for each t0 ≤ t < t̃ given initial condition M∗pt0−1. Consumption is

determined by (16) for each t ≥ t0 + 1, whereas at time t0 it is determined by

Ct0 = min

{M gt0−1

Pt0+M∗pt0−1

P ∗t0, 1

}.

The sequence of government money issuance is determined by

M gt

Pt+1

+M∗pt

P ∗t+1

=1

1 + i

for each t ≥ t0 given the path of all the other variables. Using Pt+1 = βPt(1 + i),equation (14) for time t ≥ t0 and the policy rule (32) we obtain

M gt−1 +Bg

t−1

Pt= (1− β)τ + β

(M gt +Bg

t

Pt+1

),

which determines the sequence {Bgt }∞t=t0 given that all the other variables are already

determined. Note that the existence of an equilibrium imposes restrictions on theparameter µ and the time t̃. Indeed, it should be the case that(

1 + µ

β(1 + i)

)t̃+1−t0M∗pt0−1

Pt0≤ 1

1 + i

given the value Pt0 determined in equilibrium.

32