fy / q4 2011 investor conference call presentation charts
DESCRIPTION
Presentation Charts for FY / Q4 2011 Investor Conference CallTRANSCRIPT
FY/Q4 2011 ResultsInvestor Conference Call
February 28, 2012 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
DisclaimerThis presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on currentassumptions and forecasts made by Bayer Group or subgroup management.
Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead tomaterial differences between the actual future results, financial situation,development or performance of the company and the estimates given here.These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which areavailable on the Bayer website at www.bayer.com.
The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-lookingstatements or to conform them to future events or developments.
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 2
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 3
Full Year 2011 –Record Sales And EBIT
Very good year overall, Group targets – that were raised after Q1 –achieved, proposed DPS of €1.65
Mixed business performance in Q4 – HealthCare and CropScience in line, MaterialScience below expectations
Excellent innovation pipeline progress: 4 potential blockbuster products currently launching or expected to be launched near-term at pharma, crop protection pipeline with €2bn combined peak-sales potential (2011-2015)
Continued Emerging Markets growth: 9% organic business expansion
Productivity largely improved: measures with annualized savings of €543 million implemented
Confident for 2012: Expect higher sales and earnings
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 4
4th Quarter 2011 –Mixed Business Performance
Q4‘10 Q4‘11 ∆%
€ million € million
Sales 9,012 9,191 +2 (+2)
EBITDA
- reported 1,510 1,415 -6
- adjusted 1,689 1,541 -9
EBIT
- reported 51 629 •
- adjusted 1,005 844 -16
Net income -145 397 •
NCF 1,941 1,152 -41
oFCF 1,417 427 -70
EPS
- reported -0.18 0.48 •
- core 0.95 0.97 +2
( ) = Fx & portfolio adjusted
Highlights of Financial Results
Top-line driven by ConsumerHealth andCropScience
Emerging Markets sales up 5%
Improvement of reported EBIT due tolower special charges
Adj. EBITDA declined due to a sharp drop at MaterialScience
Net cash flow impacted by payments in connection with LL Rice (€484m)
Sales adj. EBITDA
Q4‘10 Q4‘11 ∆% (adj.) Q4’10 Q4‘11 ∆%
HealthCare 4,468 4,595 +3 (+2) 1,138 1,180 +4
Pharma 2,648 2,680 +1 (+1) 771 758 -2
Consumer Health 1,820 1,915 +5 (+5) 367 422 +15
CropScience 1,653 1,676 +1 (+3) 270 273 +1
MaterialScience 2,584 2,596 0 (0) 297 106 -64In € million, ( ) = Fx & portfolio adjusted
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 5
4th Quarter 2011 – HealthCare and CropScienceIn Line, MaterialScience Below Expectations
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Full Year 2011
Targets Achieved
Page 6
2011 Outlookoriginal
2011actual
2011∆ Comments
Sales 4-6% to €35-36bn €36.5bn +6% Raised to 5-7% or €36-37bn
in Q1
adj. EBITDA
increase towards €7.5bn
€7.6bn +7% Raised to >€7.5bn in Q1
Core EPS Increase by~10% €4.83 +15% Raised to ~15% in Q1
Net Debt reduce €7.0bn -€0.9bn Record GCF
Full Year 2011 –All Group Targets Achieved
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 7
Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA pre-special items
Full Year 2011 –Subgroup Performance vs. Targets
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 8
in € million2011 Outlook
original2011
actual adj. ∆ Comments
HealthCare Targets achieved or exceeded Top-line driven by Consumer
Health Pharma margin up 140 bpts.
Sales low/mid single-digit increase
17,169 +2%
Adj. EBITDA* small improvement 4,702 +7%
CropScience
Achieved or exceeded all targetsSales ≥ mid-single digit increase 7,255 +9%
Adj. EBITDA* grow at higher rate than sales 1,654 +28%
MaterialScience Sales growth above, bottom-line clearly below expectations
Pressure from higher raw material prices and deteriorating business environment
Sales mid single-digit increase 10,832 +8%
Adj. EBITDA* grow at higher rate than sales 1,171 -14%
*Adj. EBITDA = pre-exceptional items
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Full Year 2011
Significant Progress
Page 9
Pharma Pipeline –2011 – Significant Progress Achieved
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn DekkersPage 10
Project Indication Peak salespotential
Status & Targets
Xarelto Cardiology / Anticoagulation
> €2bn SPAF: launched (US, EU, others) DVT treatment and sec. prevention: launched DVT prev. ORS: launched in US Sec. prev. ACS: filed
VEGF Trap-Eye
Ophthalmology / Inhibition of bloodvessel growth
≥ €1bn Filed for wet AMD in EU and Japan Phase III for DME and wet AMD (China)
initiated Positive phase III data in CRVO
Alpharadin Oncology / Targeting of bonemetastases
≥ €1bn CR prostate cancer: 44% improvement of OS Fast track designation by FDA Filing target: mid 2012
Regorafenib Oncology / Oral multi-kinaseinhibition
≥ €1bn Metastatic colorectal cancer: 29% improvement of OS
Fast track designation by FDA Filing target: 1H 2012
SPAF: stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation; DVT: deep vein thrombosis; ORS: orthopedic surgery; ACS: acute coronary syndrome; AMD: age-related macular degeneration; DME: Diabetic macular edema
CRVO: central retina vein occlusion; CR: castration refractory; OS: overall survival
Sales in €bn from launches 2011-2015E
€2bn Peak Sales Potential withCrop Protection Pipeline 2011-2015
2011 Peak salespotential
Launches 2011–2015E*
Insecticide
Fungicide
Fungicide
Herbicide
SeedTreatment
Herbicide
Seed Treatment
Triafamone
Sivanto~ 0.2
~ 2.0
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 11* subject to regulatory approval
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn DekkersPage 12
Africa & Middle East
EasternEurope
Emerging Markets –Sales Growth Well Above Global Average
Emerging Economies
EmergingEconomies¹
+9%
Others²+4%
USA+3%
Western Europe+4%
Full Year 2011 Group sales by region
Group €36,528m; +6%
~4,300
+12%~5,100
+5%
~1,800
+9%~2,100
+12%
¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted
36%
11%34%
19%
Latin America
Emerging Asia³
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Emerging Markets –Realizing The Opportunity
Page 13
Examples 2011 Fx & portfolio adjusted sales development 2011
HealthCare
Hired add. ~1,000 sales reps in China Relocated primary care headquarter to China Established 50/50 JV w. Zydus Cadila in India In-licensed Tedizolid antibiotic from Trius for
several EM markets, incl. China
+10%
CropScience Opened new “seed treatment application
center” in Brazil Approval of LibertyLink soybean, Argentina
+11%
MaterialScience Opened new world-scale TDI plant in China
with innovative gas-phase phosgenation Moved polycarbonates headquarters to China
+7%
Restructuring Program Fully On Track
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 14
Target: €800m annual cost savings by 2013
Reinvestment of ~50%
One-time-charges of approx. €1bn of which €803m booked in 2010/11
Plans include staff reductions of 4,500
2,500 new hires in growth and innovation, particularly in emerging markets
Measures with €543m annualizedsavings already implemented by endof 2011
CropScience
HealthCareHolding & Admin.
~54%
34%
~12%
€800m
Contribution by Subgroup
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Full Year 2012
Financial Outlook
Page 15
Outlook 2012 –Planning Assumptions
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 16
2.6
0.7
1.7
3.3
4.8
in % vs previous year
4
3
2
1
5.15
Global economic/political risks remain high
Outlook for economic growth marked by uncertainty
Positive signals for North America, in Europe we expect slower expansion in 2012 than 2011
Asian emerging markets continue to drive growth
$/€ 1.40, 1% appreciation of Euro lowers sales by ~€76m and EBITDA by ~€23m
Crude oil: average $110/bbl
GDP growth by regions
Outlook 2012 –Planning Assumptions
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn DekkersPage 17
Expected 2012 Global Market Development
5% Electro/electronicRobust growth
27% Rx-pharmaMid-single digit growth, driven by emerging markets
10% OTC-pharmaLow- to mid-single digit growth
3% Diabetes carelow-single digit growth
3% Animal HealthModerate growth
20% Agrochemicals/SeedsPositive development
6% AutomotiveRobust growth
6 % ConstructionOngoing recovery
5% Furniture/woodOngoing recovery,small growth
15% Others
2011 Group sales break-down in %
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 18
2011 ∆ vs. 2010 2012E
Sales(Fx & portf. adjusted)
€36.5bn +6% +~3% or~€37bn*
adj. EBITDA €7.6bn +7% Slightly improve
Core EPS €4.83 +15% Slightly improve
Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA pre-special items
Full Year 2012 Outlook Projects Further Growth And Higher Earnings
*Assuming Fx rate of $1.40 per €Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions
as detailed in the Annual/ Quarterly Report
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 19
HealthCare Expect sales to increase by low- to mid-single-digit percentage. Plan to slightly improve adj. EBITDA .
Pharma Expect sales to remain stable or move slightly higher, and adj. EBITDA to approx. match prior year level.
Consumer Health
Anticipate mid-single-digit percentage growth of sales and adj. EBITDA.
CropScience Plan to grow above market and to increase sales and adj. EBITDA by mid-single-digit percentages.
MaterialScience
Expect sales and adj. EBITDA to remain level with prior year. Should market develop more favorably than anticipated, we expect sales and earnings to increase accordingly. Q1’12: Expect sales to be roughly level with Q4’11 and adj. EBITDA to be well above Q4’11 but below Q1’11.
Full Year 2012 –Guidance By Subgroup
Outlook depends on specific planning assumptionsas detailed in the Annual/ Quarterly Report
Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA pre-special items
• FY/Q4 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 20
Full Year 2012 –R&D And CapEx Budgets
1%
MaterialScience0.2bn
HealthCare2.0bnthereof Pharma1.5bn
MaterialScience0.5bn
HealthCare0.5bn
Reconciliation0.05bn
67%
24%
8%
Reconciliation0.2bn
CropScience0.8bn
CropScience0.3bn
CapEx (PPE) 2012e: ~€1.5bnR&D 2012e: ~€3.0bn
25%
66%
8% 34%
20%
33%
13%
FY/Q4 2011 ResultsInvestor Conference Call
February 28, 2012 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO