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Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network EDITION 2

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Page 1: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - DNB€¦ · GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK | 3 INTRODUCTION Welcome to the second edition of the Dun & Bradstreet Global

Global Bankruptcy Report 2017Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network

E D I T I O N 2

Page 2: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - DNB€¦ · GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK | 3 INTRODUCTION Welcome to the second edition of the Dun & Bradstreet Global

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2DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

INDEX

INTRODUCTION ......................................................... 3

COMMENTARY: A More Balanced Economy ............. 4

Bankruptcies and economic context in the US ............................................................. 5

Bankruptcies and economic context in Japan .............................................................. 5

Bankruptcies and economic context in Germany ......................................................... 6

Bankruptcies and economic context in the UK ............................................................. 6

Bankruptcies and economic context elsewhere in the EU .......................................... 7

Bankruptcies and economic context in China .............................................................. 7

Bankruptcies and economic context in Russia ............................................................. 7

Bankruptcies and economic context in Canada ........................................................... 8

Outlook .............................................................. 8

Oana Aristide’s bio ............................................ 8

GDP Growth % overview ................................... 9

Bankruptcy % overview ...................................... 9

Failure % by country against D&B’s active universe count overview ................................. 10

CHARTS

AFRICA

Morocco ........................................................... 11 South Africa ...................................................... 11

ASIA/OCEANIA

Australia ........................................................... 11 China ................................................................ 11 Hong Kong ....................................................... 12 Indonesia .......................................................... 12 Japan ................................................................ 12 Singapore ......................................................... 12 South Korea ...................................................... 13 Taiwan ............................................................... 13 Thailand ............................................................ 13 Vietnam ............................................................ 13

EUROPE

Austria .............................................................. 14 Belarus .............................................................. 14 Belgium ............................................................ 14 Bosnia ............................................................... 14 Bulgaria ............................................................ 14 Croatia .............................................................. 14 Cyprus .............................................................. 15 Czech Republic ................................................ 15 Denmark ........................................................... 15 Finland .............................................................. 15 France ............................................................... 15 Germany ........................................................... 15 Hungary ............................................................ 16 Italy ................................................................... 16 Kazakhstan ........................................................ 16 Netherlands ...................................................... 16 Norway ............................................................. 16 Poland .............................................................. 16 Portugal ............................................................ 17 Romania ............................................................ 17 Russia ................................................................ 17 Serbia ............................................................... 17 Slovakia ............................................................ 17 Slovenia ............................................................ 17 Spain ................................................................. 18 Sweden ............................................................. 18 Switzerland ....................................................... 18 Ukraine ............................................................. 18 United Kingdom ............................................... 18

MIDDLE EAST

Israel ................................................................. 19 Turkey ............................................................... 19

NORTH & SOUTH AMERICA

Canada ............................................................. 19 USA ................................................................... 19 Brazil ................................................................. 19

Page 3: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - DNB€¦ · GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK | 3 INTRODUCTION Welcome to the second edition of the Dun & Bradstreet Global

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3DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

INTRODUCTION

Welcome to the second edition of the Dun & Bradstreet Global Bankruptcy Report.

This report provides insight into the health of our economies around the world, focusing in on local bankruptcy rates. For each of the markets and regions covered, a either positive or negative trend is identified for the local economy, to support your business decisions and relationships in helping you make informed decisions when trading in these local markets.

The Global Bankruptcy report is compiled for you by the members of the Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network (WWN). Since 2005, our network of partner organizations has offered customers across the globe access to the best local business information, whilst maintaining a consistent high-quality standard. Today, the network consists of 16 partners and Dun & Bradstreet, collecting business information on over 200 countries. We work together to provide the best data, analytics and insights to help you manage your business relationships.

We are pleased to share that in this latest edition, we’ve worked to increase the number of markets covered in this edition from 38 to 46. I would like to extend a special thanks to the following WWN members who contributed local bankruptcy data from their respective markets:

Altares, Bisnode, Cial D&B, CRIBIS D&B, D&B Hong Kong, D&B Indonesia, D&B Israel, D&B Singapore, D&B Thailand, D&B Turkey, D&B Vietnam, Huaxia D&B China, ICAP, Informa D&B, Interfax, NICE D&B, TSR and our team at Dun & Bradstreet (US, Canada, UK and Ireland).

The data compiled has been analyzed and edited by Dun & Bradstreet’s Country Insight team of experienced economists.

We hope you find the report beneficial.

Sabine Leferink Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network Leader

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COMMENTARY:

A More Balanced EconomyOana Aristide | Dun & Bradstreet Economist

The global economy has become more balanced in the past year, with fewer obvious discrepancies between emerging markets and developed countries, as well as less variation within those groups. Growth in the large mainland European economies is picking up pace, as is the recovery in Japan, at the same time as momentum in the US – previously a global growth engine – appears to be flagging slightly. Against the background of the partial monetary policy normalisation in developed economies, capital flows to emerging economies look set to moderate, with dampening effects on the stock and real estate markets in countries that have benefitted the most from the previous years’ abundant international capital.

Meanwhile, two of the largest emerging economies (Brazil and Russia) are expected to have their first year of positive economic growth after a recession, while China is on a mildly decelerating slope. Most importantly, this rebalancing has taken place at a higher economic growth level: global real GDP is forecast to expand by 2.9% in 2017, versus an estimated 2.4% in 2016. Against this background, it is unsurprising that worldwide company failures are continuing to decrease (as we have seen in our coverage of global failure rates since 2015). Of the 46 countries in our analysis (28 European, 13 Asia-Oceania, 2 North American, 2 African and 1 South American), 28 experienced falling bankruptcy rates relative to the previous year; meanwhile the failure rate stagnated in two countries, and 16 countries saw the rate increase.

A changed feature relative to the previous edition of our report is that whereas all but one of the global top ten economies (by size) in our analysis experienced falling failure rates, a non-negligible contingent (the US, the UK, China, and Brazil) is now in the ‘deteriorating’ group. Meanwhile, the region that stands out as being most solidly on an improved trend is Central and Eastern Europe, with only two countries (Poland and Russia) reporting increasing failure rates (out of thirteen). The situation is more nuanced in the Asia-Oceania region, with failure rates declining for six countries, increasing for five (including China), and stagnating for two.

In terms of the number of companies that have filed for bankruptcy as a percentage of the total number of active businesses in the Dun & Bradstreet universe, the average is 0.88%1, with only four countries (out of 45) reporting a failure percentage larger than 2%, seven countries reporting a failure percentage between 1% and 2%, and the remaining 34 countries recording a failure rate below 1%.

Analysis of the results based on the income status of the countries in our sample reveals that bankruptcy rates have declined in a majority of both developed and developing countries.

1 After removing one outlier among the 46 data points.

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Failure rates in the US increased by 2.6% in the year to July 2017, a reversal of the improving trend witnessed in the last few years. As a percentage of the Dun & Bradstreet active company universe, the failures represented 0.11% of the total – towards the low end in our sample. The deterioration of operating conditions in the US has also been apparent in our proprietary Small Business Health Index2 (SBHI), which fell by 0.3 points to reach 87.1 in June 2017. This, the fourth straight monthly drop in the index, brought it to its lowest level since January 2012, and well short

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN THE US

and taxes. There is also a widespread practice of winding down operations rather than going through a costly legal bankruptcy. This form of cessation (businesses that are discontinued, suspended, or liquidated) has actually surged in significance and now dwarfs the number of official bankruptcies. According to Tokyo Shoko Research, there were nearly 30,000 liquidated businesses in 2016, a record high, while the total number of bankruptcies was just under 8,500.

Another reason behind the surge in business dissolutions is that ageing owners/employers are struggling to find successors and so end up winding down operations. While Japan’s economic recovery gathers pace (in Q2 2017 the country recorded its sixth consecutive quarter of GDP growth, the best performance for Japan in more than a decade), we expect the failure rate to start increasing, particularly among labour-intensive small and medium-sized enterprises, as Japan’s extremely tight labour market means companies will struggle to fill positions without raising wages.

Corporate failures in Japan were effectively stagnant (recording a -0.9% drop) in the year through to June 2017, halting the decline seen in previous years. As a percentage of the Dun & Bradstreet active company universe, the failures represented 0.19% of the total. However, while the failure rate continues to hover at record lows (the lowest number of company failures in 26 years, since comparable records exist), the actual situation is more nuanced.

Despite an overall fall in the bankruptcy rate, the official statistics hide the fact that a large number of small companies are unviable and survive merely by deferring loan, interest and tax payments, and by tapping personal savings to prevent closure (so-called ‘zombie companies’). This has been facilitated by a law on easy loan rescheduling introduced in the aftermath of the financial crisis; the law has since expired but banks are reportedly pressurised by politicians to keep companies alive. The phenomenon constitutes, in effect, unfair competition, as viable companies are forced to compete on price while repaying their debts

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN JAPAN

2 The Small Business Health Index measures year-on-year small business performance through payment patterns and credit use. The index ranges from zero (with all businesses recording high levels of risk) to 100% (with all businesses recording low levels of risk).

Looking further ahead, high political uncertainty and implementation risks increase the likelihood of a much-delayed and reduced policy stimulus; this has prompted us to also revise downwards our 2018 growth forecast, to 2.3% (down from 2.6%).

of the average level of 92.3 set in 2016. The SBHI is a leading indicator of macroeconomic performance; an SBHI hovering around the high 80s is consistent with a US economy growing at a modest rate between 1.5% and 2.0%.

Given the lacklustre micro and macroeconomic data, Dun & Bradstreet has downgraded its near-term growth forecast for the US economy; we now forecast that real GDP growth will come in at 2.0% in 2017 (down from 2.2% previously).

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On the political front, the upcoming federal elections (September 2017) give less cause for concern than those that have recently taken place in other EU member states, as the major contenders (and favourites – Angela Merkel’s Conservatives, and Martin Schulz’s Social Democrats) are both pro-EU and business-friendly. Given all these factors, Dun & Bradstreet has upgraded Germany’s risk rating from DB1d to DB1c, a rating it last achieved in January 2012. Germany is now the best-rated country of all 132 economies we cover (before the upgrade, it shared top position with Norway and Sweden). We predict the number of business failures to stay on a generally downward trend in 2017-18, helped by a still-supportive monetary policy in the euro zone and robust domestic and external demand.

Corporate bankruptcies in Germany were down by 8.2% in the year through to June 2017, while the number of company failures represented 0.42% of our active company universe. Our proprietary data also shows that payments performance in Germany in 2016 was the second-best in Europe, behind only Denmark, with 81.7% of all bills having been paid by due date (the European average is 39.1%).

The average payment delay in Germany currently stands at a low six days, and we do not expect any noteworthy deterioration of this metric in the short-to-medium term. Accordingly, business confidence is at a record high for all major sectors of the economy.

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN GERMANY

Although the government managed to secure the support of the Democratic Unionist Party, it is clear that this narrow majority will be insufficient to get highly controversial Brexit legislation through parliament. With EU-UK talks having made little progress since starting in June, it is almost certain that the two sides will be unable to agree on post-Brexit EU-UK relations until Brexit formally takes place in March 2019. In this light, from a country risk perspective, a transitional deal would be the best-case scenario, as, otherwise, trade and investment regulations would change significantly on 29 March 2019, with immense adverse effects for the British economy. Our current UK GDP growth forecast is 1.7% in 2017 and 1.4% in 2018, but this is subject to significant downside risk.

The UK is the only major European economy to record increasing bankruptcy rates; the deterioration is also far more pronounced than in our previous report (19.8% in the year through to June 2017, compared to 10.1% in 2016). Relative to the number of active companies in our records, the failure rate represents 0.28% of the total. As we had forecast, sentiment has deteriorated as Brexit has started to produce concrete and noticeable effects (at the moment, these effects are limited to exchange rate depreciation and higher domestic inflation). Macroeconomic data is also showing a marked slowdown, with GDP growth in H1 2017 dipping below last year’s rate (and below that of the euro zone).

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN THE UK

In line with improving macroeconomic conditions in Germany, company failures are also decreasing, and at an accelerated rate compared to our previous report.

Far from removing political uncertainty, the snap elections earlier this year merely served to elevate it, as Prime Minister Theresa May’s Conservative government lost its absolute majority in parliament.

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outcome of the recent elections, forward-looking indicators continue to point towards an improving failure rate and robust economic growth in 2017-18.

One EU outlier is Sweden, where bankruptcies have increased by 4% in the past year. However, this is very much at odds with the macroeconomic data, which shows Sweden out-performing most of its OECD peers with 4.0% year-on-year GDP growth in Q2 2017. There is anecdotal evidence that a greater prevalence of economic fraud is behind the increase in the failure rate, and that therefore the increase is, to some extent at least, artificial. Overall for the EU, with political risk significantly reduced relative to just six months ago, and regional growth engines performing well, we expect the benign failure-rate trend to continue into 2018.

Failure rates are on a broadly improving trend in the EU, with all major economies except the UK showing improving failure rates. Positively, the previously ailing southern economies of Spain3, Italy and Portugal recorded the largest improvements, with failure rates declining by 18.3%, 14.5% and 24.1% respectively in the year through to June 2017; macroeconomic trends in all these countries support our view that a recovery is underway. In the second largest EU economy, France, the number of corporate failures declined by 9.7% in the year to June 2017, an improvement consistent with the economic recovery taking hold (as a percentage of our total active company universe, the failures represented 1.27% of the total). With political risk sharply reduced given the

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT ELSEWHERE IN THE EU

3 Data for Spain available only through to December 2016.

enterprises, weaknesses in upstream industry, historical over-investment (particularly in real estate), and debt overhang. While it is not our baseline scenario, we believe there is a non-negligible risk of the credit cycle turning nasty in 2018, as several leading indicators point to worsening conditions (diminished profitability at listed and non-listed companies, widening corporate bond yields). Dun & Bradstreet forecasts continued soft deceleration in China, to 6.6% in 2017 and 6.2% in 2018.

Patchy data coverage has prompted us to disregard China’s total failure rates in H1 2017; as such, our China bankruptcy data covers the whole year of 2016. In this period there were 125% more corporate failures in China (representing 0.03% of our total active universe). The sharply increasing failure rate is at least partly a consequence of the fact that resorting to formal bankruptcy procedures is still relatively uncommon in China. That consideration aside, we still would have expected to see an increasing failure rate given the financial troubles at state-owned

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN CHINA

Nevertheless, we believe the authorities have sufficient resources to support all of Russia’s systemic banks to prevent a financial crisis, and macroeconomic data for Q2 2017 suggests that the recovery is becoming more broad-based, with growth registered across the industrial, retail and construction sectors. We expect the economy to grow by 1.4% in 2017 and 1.6% in 2018, and the corporate failure trend to gradually reverse direction. However, the authorities are planning changes in legislation that may, in the long run, lead to an increase in the number of bankruptcy proceedings. The system is arguably dysfunctional now for the creditors: in Q2 2017, the share of companies that did not pay creditors was 67%, and in completed bankruptcy cases, only 4% of creditors’ claims were granted.

Corporate failures in Russia increased marginally, by 1.9%, in the year through to June 2017; the number of failed companies represents 0.31% of the businesses in the Dun & Bradstreet active universe. This is a reversal of the improving trend seen in the previous edition of our report, and is in line with our view that the economic environment in the country remains precarious. The banking sector is vulnerable in the near term as both corporate and retail clients continue adjusting to low growth and weak demand amid ongoing Western sanctions, low oil prices and a still-weak currency. The sanctions continue to restrict banks’ access to external financing, while the cost of servicing foreign debt remains elevated as the rouble – despite strengthening since hitting an all-time low in January 2016 – remains historically weak.

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN RUSSIA

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The Canadian economy has proved resilient since the oil price shock of 2014, and lately there has been a clear improvement in the contribution to growth from the non-commodity-related goods segments, which, when combined with the already positive contributions from commodity-related goods sectors and from services, translates into a sustainable recovery. Furthermore, the Bank of Canada’s Summer 2017 Business Outlook Survey indicates that the number of firms from all regions that expect sales to increase over the next year is at the highest level since 2011. We expect the favourable bankruptcy trend to continue into 2018.

The number of company failures in Canada decreased by 4.7% in the year through to July 2017; this represents 0.22% of the Dun & Bradstreet total active business universe. The improvement in underlying microeconomic conditions is reflected in the country’s macroeconomic performance, and after a series of encouraging monthly data releases consensus forecasts for Q2 2017 GDP growth are above 3.5%.

At Dun & Bradstreet we have recently upgraded Canada’s country risk rating one notch to DB2b due to historically high business sentiment, record high exports and imports, and accelerating growth in goods and services industries alike.

BANKRUPTCIES AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN CANADA

Returning to the wider global context, overall we expect global growth of 2.9% in 2017 (up from an estimated 2.4% in 2016) and 3.1% in 2018. While the risks associated with doing cross-border business in the global economy remain elevated, these have decreased significantly in the last six months. Two of the major risks we highlighted in our previous report have not materialised: firstly, elections in EU member states have not brought in the EU-sceptic parties that we feared would threaten the breakup of the EU, and, secondly, protectionism has been more of a rhetorical feature than part of actual policy-making. Indeed, one of the most significant developments in the last six months is the EU-Japan free trade deal that creates the world’s largest free-trade area (representing nearly 30% of world GDP).

OUTLOOK

Meanwhile, monetary policy normalisation is ongoing, but we have not seen any dramatic negative spill-overs. An important reason here is that while the US Federal Reserve has acted to gradually edge up short-term borrowing costs, overall financial conditions have stayed highly accommodative (especially in the US itself, as seen in asset prices and long-term commercial borrowing rates), which has benefitted emerging markets significantly. Accordingly, provided that US monetary tightening does proceed (our baseline scenario) we still expect bankruptcy trends in emerging markets to be on a mildly deteriorating slope in coming quarters, while those in developed economies should remain benign.

OANA ARISTIDE’S BIO

Oana Aristide is a Senior Economist on Dun & Bradstreet’s Advanced Analytics

team. Based in the UK, she covers three Scandinavian countries as well as Romania,

Japan, Malaysia, and the Philippines as a contributor to Dun & Bradstreet’s Macro

Market/Country Insight Products. She has a background in central banking.

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GDP GROWTH %

2016 2017 2018

WORLD GDP GROWTH 2.4 2.9 3.1

EUROZONE 1.7 1.9 2.0

GERMANY 1.9 1.9 2.0

US 1.6 2.0 2.3

RUSSIA -0.2 1.4 1.6

CHINA 6.7 6.6 6.2

JAPAN 1.0 1.3 1.3

BRAZIL -3.6 0.3 1.8

UK 1.8 1.7 1.4

NORTH AMERICA 1.6 2.1 2.3

EUROPE 1.8 2.0 2.0

ASIA PACIFIC 4.4 4.6 4.5

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

-1.9 0.9 1.9

EASTERN EUROPE & CENTRAL ASIA

1.3 2.8 3.1

MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA

4.4 2.9 3.8

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 1.1 2.2 3.0

COUNTRY BANKRUPTCY (%)

CROATIA -69.8

SERBIA -45.2

INDONESIA -26.3

UKRAINE -24.8

PORTUGAL -24.1

CYPRUS -22.1

AUSTRALIA -21.2

HUNGARY -18.9

SPAIN -18.3

ROMANIA -17.3

NETHERLANDS -16.2

BOSNIA -15.5

ITALY -14.5

SLOVAKIA -13.8

KOREA REP OF -12.8

THAILAND -11.3

FRANCE -9.7

ISRAEL -9.5

CZECH REPUBLIC -9.1

HONG KONG -9.1

BULGARIA -8.3

GERMANY -8.2

FINLAND -5.1

CANADA -4.7

SLOVENIA -4.1

SOUTH AFRICA -2.1

AUSTRIA -1.7

BELARUS -1.2

JAPAN -0.9

TAIWAN 0.4

RUSSIAN 1.9

USA 2.6

NORWAY 3.1

SWEDEN 4.0

TURKEY 5.3

SWITZERLAND 6.1

BELGIUM 6.8

VIETNAM 9.3

UNITED KINGDOM 19.1

SINGAPORE 26.0

DENMARK 28.7

KAZAKHSTAN 30.2

MOROCCO 32.1

BRAZIL 32.6

POLAND 100.2

CHINA 125.4

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FAILURE % BY COUNTRY AGAINST D&B’S ACTIVE UNIVERSE COUNT

COUNTRY TOTAL FAILURES IN LAST YEAR

D&B ACTIVE COUNT

% FAILURE OF TOTAL

SOUTH AFRICA 1858 540,780 0.3

MOROCCO 7972 459,995 1.7

AUSTRALIA 7970 1,163,091 0.7

CHINA 2558 9,522,707 0.0

INDONESIA 631 159,255 0.4

JAPAN 8440 4,480,852 0.2

KOREA REP OF 543 2,812,922 0.0

SINGAPORE 92 306,171 0.0

TAIWAN 24388 370,870 6.6

THAILAND 502 604,879 0.1

VIETNAM 87852 1,207,121 7.3

AUSTRIA 5849 601,641 1.0

BELARUS 1747 211,141 0.8

BELGIUM 9614 1,741,058 0.6

BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA 1208 50,163 2.4

BULGARIA 452 644,190 0.1

CROATIA 6929 152,238 4.6

CYPRUS 106 124,980 0.1

CZECH REPUBLIC 854 1,186,539 0.1

DENMARK 6497 570,496 1.1

FINLAND 1741 468,048 0.4

FRANCE 55730 4,398,926 1.3

GERMANY 20684 4,923,202 0.4

HUNGARY 7955 494,209 1.6

ITALY 12302 6,602,969 0.2

KAZAKHSTAN 1253 432,730 0.3

NETHERLANDS 5024 1,436,799 0.3

NORWAY 4927 758,531 0.6

POLAND 1299 4,370,412 0.1

PORTUGAL 2826 686,107 0.4

ROMANIA 8007 1,396,442 0.6

RUSSIAN FEDERATION 13456 4,398,948 0.3

SERBIA 85 160,992 0.1

SLOVAKIA 431 364,070 0.1

SLOVENIA 1197 174,889 0.7

SPAIN 4059 3,561,348 0.1

SWEDEN 6544 1,307,362 0.5

SWITZERLAND 6599 574,551 1.1

TURKEY 12813 893,647 1.4

UKRAINE 1527 1,155,196 0.1

UNITED KINGDOM 16,920 6,054,041 0.3

ISRAEL 669 672,857 0.1

BRAZIL 126 8,910,769 0.0

CANADA 3737 1,706,809 0.2

USA 24701 22,794,516 0.1

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CHARTS – AFRICA

CHARTS – ASIA/OCEANIA

Source: Altares

MOROCCO

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

1200

1400

1000

800

600

400

200

0

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

20172015 20162014 20172015 20162014

Source: Statistics South Africa

2015

200

250

150

100

50

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

SOUTH AFRICA

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

CHINA

Source: Huaxia Dun & Bradstreet China: Websites of Chinese Courts

2015 20172014 2016

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

2015

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

400

300

350

200

250

100

150

50

0

AUSTRALIA

2015

Source: Australian Securities and Investments Commission

20172015 2016

JUN

JUN

JUN

DE

C

DE

C

DE

C

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

FEB

FEB

FEB

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

2014

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 1200

1000

1100

800

900

600

700

500

400

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

12DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – ASIA/OCEANIA

Source: Dun & Bradstreet, Hong Kong

HONG KONG

18000

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JUL

JUL

JUL

DE

C

DE

C

DE

C

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

JAN

JAN

JAN

SEP

SEP

SEP

FEB

FEB

FEB

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

JUN

JUN

JUN

20172015 20162014

Source: PT. Dun & Bradstreet Indonesia

INDONESIA

900

700

800

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20172015 20162014

Source: Tokyo Shoko Research

JAPAN

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

900

700

800

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

1000

JUL

JUL

JUL

DE

C

DE

C

DE

C

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

JAN

JAN

JAN

SEP

SEP

SEP

FEB

FEB

FEB

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

JUN

JUN

JUN

20172015 20162014

JUL

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Singapore

SINGAPORE

JUL

JUL

JAN

JAN

JAN

SEP

SEP

SEP

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

20172015 20162014

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 30

20

25

10

15

0

5

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

13DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – ASIA/OCEANIA

Source: NICE D&B

SOUTH KOREA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20172015 2016

JUN

JUN

JUN

DE

C

JAN

DE

C

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

FEB

MA

R

FEB

AP

R

MA

Y

AP

R

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T90

70

80

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

2014

Source: Ministry of Economic Affairs, R.O.C.

TAIWAN

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20172015 2016

JUL

AU

G

AU

G

DE

C

JAN

JAN

AU

G

SEP

SEP

JAN

FEB

FEB

SEP

OC

T

OC

T

FEB

MA

R

MA

R

OC

T

NO

V

NO

V

MA

R

AP

R

AP

R

MA

Y

JUN

JUN

NO

V

DE

C

DE

C

AP

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

JUN

JUL

3000

2000

2500

1500

1000

500

0

3500

2014

Source: D&B Thailand (Department of Business Development, Ministry of Commerce)

THAILAND

20162014 2015

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

Source: Dun & Bradstreet - Vietnam : General Statistics Office of Vietnam

VIETNAM

20172015 2016

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

JAN

DE

C

DE

C

JUN

JUN

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

JAN

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

12000

8000

10000

6000

4000

2000

0

14000

14000

2014FE

BM

AR

AP

RM

AY

JUN

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

14DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

AUSTRIA

Source: Bisnode (Austria)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20172015 2016

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C700

500

600

300

400

100

200

0

2014N

o. o

f co

mp

anie

s d

ecla

red

ban

krup

tcy

BELARUS

Source: Interfax - Dun & Bradstreet

20152014

200

250

150

100

50

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JAN

JAN

JUL

AP

R

AP

R

OC

T

FEB

FEB

AU

G

MA

Y

NO

V

JUN

DE

C

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Bosnia)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

400

300

200

100

0

BOSNIA

2014

BULGARIA

Source: ICAP (Bulgaria)

20172015 2016

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

180

140

160

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

200

2014

CROATIA

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market : Croatia)

20172015 2016

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

4,000

3,000

3,500

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0

4,500

2014

Source: BelgoStat

20172015 2016

JUL

JUL

JUL

JAN

JAN

JAN

SEP

SEP

SEP

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

2014

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 1400

1000

1200

600

800

200

400

0

BELGIUM

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

15DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

Source: I CAP (Cyprus)

*Until 31/05/2017

2000

2012

2006

2003

2015

2009

2001

2013

2007

2004

2016

2010

2005

*201

7

2011

2002

2014

2008

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

CYPRUS

180

140

160

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

200

CZECH REPUBLIC

Source: Bisnode (Czech Rep)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

140

160

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

20172015 20162014

DENMARK

Source: Bisnode (Denmark)

2014 2016

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 1200

800

1000

400

600

0

200

2017

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

JAN

2015

Source: Bisnode (Finland)

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 250

150

200

50

100

0

FINLAND

FRANCE

7000

5000

6000

3000

4000

1000

2000

0

Source: Altares : Altares Proprietary

JUL

JUL

JUL

JAN

JAN

JAN

SEP

SEP

SEP

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20172015 20162014

GERMANY

Source: Bisnode (Germany)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

2000

1000

1500

500

0

2500

JUL

JUL

JUL

DE

C

DE

C

DE

C

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

JAN

JAN

JAN

SEP

SEP

SEP

FEB

FEB

FEB

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

MA

Y

JUN

MA

Y

MA

Y

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

JUN

JUN

20172015 20162014

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

16DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

Source: Bisnode (Hungary)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y2500

1500

2000

1000

500

0

HUNGARY

ITALY

Source: Cribis Dun & Bradstreet Srl

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

1800

1400

1600

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

2000

20172015 20162014

KAZAKHSTAN

Source: Interfax - Dun & Bradstreet

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

180

140

160

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

200

NETHERLANDS

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Netherlands

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

800

600

700

500

400

300

200

100

0

900

NORWAY

Source: Bisnode (Norway)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

800

600

700

500

400

300

200

100

0

900

20172015 20162014

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

Source: Bisnode (Poland)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

POLAND

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

140

160

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

20172015 20162014

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

17DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

Source: National Statistics Institute (INE)

PORTUGAL

Source: Informa - Portugal

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

450

350

400

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

500

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

ROMANIA

Source: I CAP - Romania

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

6000

4000

5000

3000

2000

1000

0

7000

20172015 20162014

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

RUSSIA

1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

Source: Interfax - Dun & Bradstreet

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Serbia)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

25

15

20

10

5

0

30

SERBIA

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

MA

Y

Source: Bisnode (Slovakia)

SLOVAKIA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

SLOVENIA

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Slovenia)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

18DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

Source: Informa - Spain

20162014 2015

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

SPAIN

800

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

SWEDEN

Source: Statistics Sweden

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

700

500

600

400

300

200

100

0

800

20172015 20162014

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

SWITZERLAND

Source: Bisnode D&B Switzerland Ltd

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

600

700

500

400

300

200

100

0

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

UKRAINE

Source: Interfax - Dun & Bradstreet

20162014 2015N

o. o

f co

mp

anie

s d

ecla

red

ban

krup

tcy

300

350

250

200

150

100

50

0

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

*JA

N

*2017- till Jan 20, 2017

UNITED KINGDOM

Source: Dun & Bradstreet - United Kingdom

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 3500

2500

3000

2000

1500

1000

500

0

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

19DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

2013 2014 2015 2016

CHARTS – MIDDLE EAST

CHARTS – NORTH & SOUTH AMERICA

ISRAEL

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Israel

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

100

60

80

40

20

0

120

JAN

MA

R

MA

Y

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

20172015 20162014

TURKEY

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Turkey

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 3000

2000

2500

1500

1000

500

0

20172015 20162014

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

Source: Dun & Bradstreet - Canada

20172015 20162014

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

JUL

UNITED STATES

Source: Dun & Bradstreet - United States

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 3,000

2,000

2,500

1,500

1,000

500

0

20172015 20162014

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

JAN

JUN

FEB

MA

RA

PR

MA

Y

JUL

BRAZIL

Source : Cial D&B : Federal Tax Authority

150

100

50

0

CANADA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

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