i 48,314 1,100 47,214 180,591 · gerdau sa nucor corporation loggers & plan inc steel dynamics,...
TRANSCRIPT
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NoI
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Ger
dau
had
not
tiled
thei
rQl
2013
reta
Ils
onof
the
valu
atio
nda
te,
resu
lting
ultic
isg
Gor
don’
s12
131/
12(F
YE
2012
)nu
mbe
rsin
stea
dof
LT
M3/
31/1
3nu
mbe
rsso
calc
ulat
eth
era
nkin
gs
Income Statement Analysis($ in millions)
Commercial Metals Company
Nucor Corporation
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Gilbralter Steel Corp.
Leggett & Plaft Inc.
Insteel Industries
Gerdau SA
Latest Twelve Months (LTM) Operating Results LTM Margins
Gross Gross
Revenue Profit EBITDA EBIT Profit EBITDA EBIT
$ 7,403.8 $ 694.7 $ 379.1 $ 242.8 9.4% 5.1% 3.3%
18,907.5 1,436.2 1,580.8 972.2 7.6% 8.4% 5.1%
7,103.9 660.2 602.5 375.8 93% 85% 53%
794.7 150.3 69.7 43.1 18.9% 8.8% 5.4%
3,710.0 759.1 458.8 343.7 20.5% 12.4% 9.3%
360.2 32.0 22.1 12.5 8,9% 6.1% 3.5%
19,519.6 2,439.9 2,141.7 1,202.5 12.5% 11.0% 6.2%
Low $ 360.2 $ 32.0 $ 22.1 $ 12.5 7.6% 5.1% 3.3°jHigh $ 19,519.6 $ 2,439.9 $ 2,141.7 $ 1,202.5 20.5% 12.4% 9.3%
Median $ 5,556.9 $ 726.9 $ 418.9 $ 293.3 10.9% 86% 5.3%
Mean $ 8,449.3 $ 918.7 $ 775.4 $ 469.5 13.0% 8.6% 5.5%
I Keystone Consolidated Industries, Inc. $ 537.2 $ 41.4 $ 27.9 $ 16.5 7.7% 5.2% 3.1%I
FYE 2013 Margins FYE 2014 Margins 13 - ‘14
FYE 2013 FYE 2014 Revenue
Revenue EBITDA EBIT Revenue EBITDA EBIT Growth
Commercial Metals Company $ 7,402.4 4.8% 3.0% $ 7,896.3 5.7% 3.9% 6.7%
Nucor Corporation $ 19,215.1 9.2% 5.8% $ 21,312.3 12.5% 9.4% 10.9%
Steel Dynamics, Inc. $ 7,372.6 9.7% 6.5% $ 8,043.3 11.6% 86% 9.1%
Gilbralter Steel Corp. 882.0 11.0% 7.9% 943.3 12.1% 8.5% 6.9%
Leggett & Platt Inc. 3,826.0 13.0% 10.0% 3,973.3 13.7% 10.5% 3.9%
Insteel Industries 365.5 9.9% 0.0% 435.0 9.5% 0.0% 19.0%
Gerdau SA 20,428.3 12.5% 7.6% 21,969.1 13.9% 9.2% 7.5%
Low $ 365.5 4.8% 0.0% $ 435.0 5.7% 00% 0.0%
High $ 20,428.3 13.0% 10.0% $ 21,969.1 13.9% 10.5% 19.0%
Median $ 7,372.6 9.9% 6.5% $ 7,896.3 12.1% 8.6% 7.2%
Mean $ 8,498.8 10.0% 5.8% $ 9,224.6 11.3% 7.2% 8.0%
I Keystone Consolidated Industries, Inc. $ 564.9 5.5% 3.4% $ 570.5 5.5% 3.1% 1.0%I
Note:
Gerdau had not filed their QI 2013 results as of the valuation date, resulting in ultizing Gerdau’s 12/31/12 (FYE 2012) numbers instead of LTM 3/31/13 numbers for relevent calculations
Key
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64
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s:(1
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equa
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Foot
note
s:
Wei
ghte
dA
vera
geC
ost
ofC
apita
l(W
AC
C)
=(C
ost
ofD
ebt*
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pris
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)+
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ityto
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ue)
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ofPr
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e+
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ium
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ofJu
ne,
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tson
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tes,
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cks
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dsB
ills
and
Infl
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n20
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alua
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Yea
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k
Com
mer
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pany
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ratio
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s,In
c.G
ilbra
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note
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19.4
%
DRAFT & PRELIMINARY
Discounted Cash Flow Approach
($ in millions)
Revenue
Adjusted EBITIncome Taxes at
Debt-free Earnings
39.5%
Net Investment:Depreciation & AmortizationCapital ExpendituresChange in WC
Net Debt-free Cash Flow
Projected Fiscal Year End2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$ 564.9 $ 570.5 $ 576.2 $ 602.1 $ 629.2
19.4 17.5 18.3 191 20.07.2 7.6 7.97.7 6.9
$ 11.7 $ 10.6 $ 11.1 $ 11.6 $ 12.1
11.8 13,6 14.6 15.3 16.0(19.5) (19.5) (17.4) (18.1) (190)10.1 (4.1) (0.8) (0.9) (0.9)
S 14.1 $ 0.7 $ 7.5 $ 79 $ 8.2
Base WACC 14.5%Increment 1.0%
Base EBITDA Multiple 7.0Increment 0.5
Base Growth Rate 4.5%Increment 0.25%
Terminal EBITDA $ 36.0Terminal NDFCF $ 11.2Last Period Factor - EBITDA 4.17Last Period Factor - Gordon Growth 4.17
Period0.33 1.17 3.17 4.17
• 12.5% $ 13.6 $ 0.6 $ 5.8 $ 5.4 $ 50 $ 30.4
13.5% $ 13.6 $ 0.6 $ 5.7 $ 5.3 $ 48 $ 30.0
14.5% $ 13.5 $ 0.6 $ 5.6 $ 5.1 $ 4.7 $ 29.5
15.5% $ 13.5 $ 0.6 $ 5.5 $ 5.0 $ 4.5 $ 29.0
16.5% $ 13.4 $ 0.6 $ 5.4 $ 4.8 $ 4.3 $ 28.6
12.5%13.5%14.5%15.5%16.5%
12.5%13.5%14.5%15.5%16.5%
lAverage of LowlHigh $ 121.6 $ 149.1
Total I
Terminal Value EBITDA ApproachTerminal Value EBITDA Multiple
6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0Present Value of Terminal Value
$ 132.2 $ 143.2 $ 154.2 $ 165.2 $ 176.2
$ 127.4 $ 138.0 $ 148.6 $ 159.2 $ 169.8
$ 122.8 $ 133.0 $ 143.3 $ 153.5 $ 163.7
$ 118.4 $ 128.3 $ 138.2 $ 148.0 $ 157.9
$ 114.3 $ 123.8 $ 133.3 $ 142.8 $ 152.3Total EV Conclusion
$ 162.6 $ 173.6 $ 184.6 $ 195.6 $ 206.7
$ 157.3 $ 167.9 $ 178.61 $ 189.2 $ 199.8
$ 152.3 $ 162.5 $ 172.8 $ 183.0 $ 193.2
$ 147.5 $ 157.31 $ 167.2 $ 177.1 $ 186.9
$ 142.8 $ 152.4 $ 161.9 $ 171.4 $ 180.9
Terminal Growth Rate ApproachTerminal Growth Rate
4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0%Present Value of Terminal Value
$83.9 $86.6 $89.5 $92.6 $95.9$72.3 $74.4 $76.7 $79.1 $81.6$63.1 $64.8 $66.5 $68.4 $70.4$55.5 $56.9 $58.3 $59.8 $61 4$49.3 $50.4 $51.6 $52.8 $54.1
Total EV Conclusion$114.3 $117.0 $120.0 $123.1 $126.4$102.3 $104.4 $106.7 I $109.0 $111.6
$92.6 $94.3 $96.0 $97.9 $99.9$84.6 $85.9 I $87.4 $88.9 $90.4
$77.9 $79.0 $80.2 $81.4 $82.7
Terminal Net Debt-free Cash Flow adjusted for taxes at 39,5%
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Income StatemeM LTM Mar2ins
tnt vm vm i rn n in z 94%- *tt4nI 02/201 I 44’ZOLZ] O8/2012J 9flJIj lizio irx
Ee’:csq Mi $?4G $35189 $39436 $7828 $7863 $6306
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Oth84*88t48g&n888 p Q Q Q Q Growth Rate
Rrp88* Optn4mg4ptok tflfl) fl4 $LL4A$O I1ë4ê S3$ sm sis II 4%
8Wr.4;$p$te t 7L 335 323 695 698 755 LVrRcttm(1h*)
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A808tdo R48#t8*W8 I & Z9 *Balance Sheet
l8ti8Wt$i $$
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% 893 401 10$ 975 tstgiNt,tVa8ue
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Tv*8Lti&OSS $bnbol4s?sE*wv a$ $3AMMiscellaneona Cakulationt
Statement ofCoah Flows •RoWtohtYqi4i8iattFtt 159%
X8optods$aii& Ant8ddSStiaR i sir; $68 $69 $137 $160 $169 C8flot198yR8ie I 4%
4109t1a1 98968d1118881 I ($42) ($53) ($1 14) (573) ($127)
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Enterprise Value Calculation Multiple CalcnlationlFrojections
&8l#$8 %116 k S*VeatA. r LTht fl
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_____________________________________________________
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__________________
Income Statement LTM Mareins
I UN’9llhV TED TED 4 flE 1 fl.E Grasfl’søSt fl%
I w14)1 03/2013 I ê4OUI I2I2O12bfIQ øiUi ]WN EBITøAIacIsrcM *fl,o7 $4551 $5073 $19429 $20024 $15845
ICiüGsoñSodønosdttD&A) 1741L 4 248 4 692 17 916 18 142 5 001 1eli.flpw 5-We•-
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I-avsia •36 $ S8SZ ØjjI±1. :iNI1.::.. .. .::. ::::
107 455 480 391
Ihhar8ram$E*p888t8 Q Q Q Grnwih Rate
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0 0 0 0 Mflqrsssfr()jsI7 117%
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I Røpos’rSdVrfriaSXntoslte flt u$W1 $221 $3 %L2SZ N1ØT 2 YtmrZrnTØ*tofl 5$ 0%jMkno8tlytaowte8t (9) (26) (It) (89) (83) (72) 2 Yesir1b8ktosmeØfist) 040%IInTn 201 41 02 20 121 01 lVel7M(OIofl Znj1RmptJitMNe( SW &W m
0440 *005- 0104 7}flI Y.arCsssØOo) 05-7%jnsdDtst20s4 1 0 Q p ç Q tYfrRmsr)
VquttI $SM *U *ua r Si & j4 1e0Dflt) 5-7%
k*sM*14Pe 3fl8 24% ‘a r ssso #3% *80 Ssti0ja 5*4% $fl% SMO 3flS M0 1898’
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8t84:fljsiii8..:i.00iEt8*Es!‘i. 0 0 0 0 0
Z-sctito5g OisSssIki&tRatnt) o o o 0
AOjus8e4 EDIt 2052 Irr1flq ‘? •‘ I1q46 S1s4ø{’ $402.D8pntot& MS0rbz8døt oowa sa w*. tot aoo MIS
$0juwt8j0StUA I 11481 $1606 $1Ø sEen
qxortttENetlisne&9asMslt10 CG18st1lt,th04tlE8 $444 lit ‘ *01* *080 $751 $114t41Sp88taJfl8M8 %. 10 I 3 32 II 32
*wsJ&l $suAeabkle4ostwtaufqe1lt SOsE • flt 0441 5524 flO $12.4
12ep8t8Ia&1I$Mø088188e 002 r iat t lOftAt4$WedCd*Th in tao WI n,sss ns Common $.ze
&880851$RSI2SSWgE8
Balance Sheet (8eentos 170%
Irni 0320E$ -1w; ‘ntF 0aW Wt cu4. 1(n1E Vlantt Xt7*tEJkE$1E$ IE 7%
84$1s 9808 0kt*bJ48’BdEtøf $932 $1 197 $2$$1 $241 ACOOSSIS P47SMO 71%
Øt00tI0l8Z%8Io81*11d ii I 791 1 808 1 lEE E 440 EnEetecEa08gDtbt 202%
)iW*:ttSotI3tS 1L. sljd Il 2 352 2.124. 9$7 14592. 1sgib8ttootVise 527%
OEh*4ES r 442 421 4!ttS8!tt5tkhSE8 Il Ii $5 $407 $$OOE $0102. $0141 Activity Rst’os
Ia;:Pthptst0 êqt0ps8881 ltd 4 ‘ 4 45’ I 4202 1 150 1 812 RtnnomAsos 2.1%
JnlssiØEsIt 0jhI 0 o 5-0%
oeAtstss 0—4t 4S41 _48 uz Ofl CotThaRMst
t8gaIAsStES 4U. - •tm am s 4tu8flsao I 4
3ll0
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Acos*sistsPtyth1 I 021 — fr 14347 00 SW A4tt3UtBSRE#4OflbEeElW8 144
øeis8 Elsbt ObIt.goS4 292 e 492. 12. kccw4 P%abkDqe 2E 2.
O0Qs1esstLst8oEtoe - 024 I-% M ,- 2$ S0 WøWs1d7%Gfl1
t980ttser0stLnbsItdeS $1, i $1034 $2S4 SE 44 Cdier$L,* VL4tifrT8t30tDc$9 3 380 .1111’ ‘thu I 100 1610 4280
OOsorttsbi2ttIos I j 898 g j Leveraçe Ratios
ttSIlLOSWtEIpt $6 47 $4261 $6864 2659E WsLFEBETDA
Mtitotqbtøt*S 235 144 $12. lIE 0tbltI4Y 046%0 0 0 0 EYctiEIrnf
$88t&soEdWVEq’t6 ZIOl 1b W Z7 ZEO 8t1t4s0cw8t*g4 0 $lc
rs41 LtJjt1s$& 0%nhoEOt?s EsizEr $It02. dkllf $3.4 22. flillOMiscellaneons Calculations
Statement orCnsh Flows Rdsisv.oDqsssttottitt 15-9%
Zsjsttdtlatik Assososntsott 3609 8149 $148 $607 $590 $583 5-8%
EøçtE6hhp8adltu8e1. $1 EEL $331 $167 $948 $439 $345 I.;;.; ;:;r!.i.54E: $0 $0 $0 $0
Enterprise Value Calcnlation Mnltiple Calculation/Projections
I8$%84$ 318 OiYVear4lt fl j4pudvølhatoqrrosnsnl4ow 0 12 E49pnee 04$42Z $Z4428 $18907 I1$ 112.$hhy xthe $Eiaoes I E0 5-flDtOk fl$18 $i 466 $1 $8J $ifle ,4$4 IE4ttl01 P1348 I.M 5-flU’ $104 $1 3$9 $1fl $1 377 $2004 IMa2.s8V$8#0fZt04lr $4804 To8*1 Astt 5-U 148 11290$ $11 1U 5-7ft 8t4*1IM8n0stEt1stfeR ‘%S 3$ EVtSR* $801 4$24 $465 DflM&0&D8N b RP2.(dtEutes $1 $3 410 $1 44 $fl *P3VAI
M#4Bs*dcSwfn4k 0 tFow $3031 $18S3 $14277 0N02$ 80fl0IP08r8’08484lal1s8[0taelEpb0u 0 4øip8y $7413 975-42 17 $2.7 8DTh0 $DW[0t
I OsVsrth 0 I020bsttt8 €4* E6%o*s±s p 004 fl6x 0881c 02.7Ehi$seV4he < i5I1warmA tt86 IOU JOOx SSx
1.7 0a 1$ 00 Eltlsc 15-OxML 4s4as I SOt I lOx .4DWiQt $fljl$1I
PIE IS Ia 2418 lOOts 44tWiU1 001W1$Ion 12.88 15-Ox wvvw oiswaI101515-V tOe 518 I 04 1 St #DWstl
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_______________
[Ebaø& *1 IzafleIncome Statement LTM Manins
h u 1Th( YTD YTD I fl WE 1 h4 êaPnftt PC
I U O3I 03/20131 I2/2O12[ 12dD11 EBflt4 ._ -. .: *8%*18vtW* I $197 $192 $790 $767 $637 Eflfl fli mtC3g*iGoødsSøiWncl9deD&A) l’ 644 161 157 $640 $621 $534 Cthficm tllll I 11111 I 44
:N’cLJnoøaie L!L ‘ ‘I II 1.1!IJ!iI’IIdI 08*4ko*8Pr*k$fl 4*w 4__ Isi, 538 Iii’ $I% t4
Sd%n8Gen.t&M$flwe j6d%r(jqp i 28 105 109 100
óNQp9dngE*pgu 49il{ li o 2 0 Growth Rate
wopemMmto ¶ a!s $ cnI$twflkat)‘ sMrt2I 11 5 19 19 20 Yar3twfl4kt) 31%
*iterfttlm) }IM? ‘0 0 0 0 0 Z)r4fr%tfr4tt9Ifr) 208%
011w I i1I!c1!jI 4 (0) (0) 4 (0) 77 2 YwZNTDAGhM)Noe.O9r&aQttø4tm8twmt I j{j j 0 0 0 (7) 16 1 flarE8(TDAakt) 148%
Rsp*ewdPrfr0Øbsattnø 4rqIj q1lJq11 $A ($6) $8 *82 II 204 i$iI 2 VtvZIflT Øflsfl 22*3%Mrn0tq*ft t Ill U1 o o o obwtneTn Iii p{ 8 (2) 1 ‘0 t (17) 2 YeaD&At3ltti) 48%
Rrported jpbøtn8fmw $8 183 8438 $238 fl8 fllPfr s9ot 2 tCtpØ(t8)
prret1iowaI o o o 0 2 1YeuRfltfl 11Wfl ft m a %c*rEWT8%43r) 382%
1pitd1$ &tê #1% 3A $ *04 4fl% 3J % ,3fl 3 aflfl tJMftznvm*wt S5% flt 29S% 316% 39M8 204%
At9itad 1nacSeMut tRqlatMd opet*tlt* ;wit i’r— 103 * *1 34$ iii a1llii 69m sh3533tt. . 0 0 0 0
R*ø1t3it%Odi#E49M d8 o o o o.4ujn*dEnJr h $43 jII *8 $2 :848. I36IW 83
Dqvetio1olt &A36658fl600 *0M2 1J11Il i8 8eW 22 nS! 842114
20J1i.bn$te4J Kflh1E3i8i *70 lHIjIl 1rniiiji ;882. Ih ‘1
lI 1d1 ... IReflI*84*’k4tt09ine &519t*1fl43udtt8*tl0Y I ttPla4 II J$1 *Z3iiiiI Iii’ $zt h i 1891)ttgE3*pttaLtnt9 uJ 0 (7) 0 7) 16
$8 $6Ø n3 — &- I ‘
t?*pr681w!1 - U 2 I 4 2&Adsu8tdpaThtw 88 $34 $3 S4 *39 iai o is Common Stze
1L86Quot$a6ca9u 1*3%Balance Sheet :I00ertoty 41%
03/2013 0*f2t1t2 12344. 1l1/Qi 12ØffJfl HtatVtptty&utp 166%
G6686*a1846t1c44*816*66t11111i6* $30 $48 $54 $61 %486tttflpble 92%A80018814 R’818610*tt I 12 911JJ 89 91 70 1n1t.*an8* Dtk zi. 1%
Ziinqts I 125 II 116 109 78 T4tt6jb1€888tVa18e 13%o8188xcatw*tA8tttI h1 i4 i2 1-2 22
tol8tctuStntAItølt. P’ ..Jlb’l .283 8269 8242 I Actotty Rattot
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zt1n8JT4w.Da8 lb 214 207 207 207
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Statement of Cash Flows .RaWte8tIt3sftl450ttltt 403%
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$7 $7 $26 $26 $24$2 $3 $11 $12 $8
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Enterprise Value Calculation Multiple CalculationfProjections
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b ITh1 YJD YX JTh GwPt’fttI 03/20131 03/20131 O9/2OI2 fl.DA
gviu $360 $363 $337 $212 ElTfli 328 341 305 191 C$WFkW
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Gii4 & 20 I 9 20 I 6
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Statement ofCash Flows 4° $10 $10 $7
:t8s11.ESpø1IddIt86 l $8 $8 $8 $1
Ac88$s c:m88 Eti$884888r86 IWRh I
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